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China's policy and influence on the North Korea nuclear issue: denuclearization and/or stabilization of the Korean peninsula? 中国在朝鲜核问题上的政策和影响:朝鲜半岛的无核化和/或稳定?
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-06-10 DOI: 10.1080/10163271003744421
Dong Ryul Lee
Abstract China is the largest trading partner of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) and also provides considerable economic aid. Thus, China is said to have very strong economic leverage over North Korea. China's goal in its North Korea policy is to secure political and economic stability in the region peripheral to China by using such economic leverage. To achieve this goal, China is expected to approach the North Korea nuclear issue with a more comprehensive and longer-term viewpoint. China seeks to stably manage the North Korea nuclear issue by utilizing its economic leverage over North Korea in the short- to medium-term. China thinks that such management, through the Six-Party Talks, is the most appropriate solution to the North Korea nuclear issue as far as China is concerned. In the long term, China seeks to transplant its reform and open-door model into North Korea and to structurally soft-land North Korea as a China-friendly regime in the region that adjoins the northeastern border o...
中国是朝鲜民主主义人民共和国最大的贸易伙伴,并向朝鲜提供了大量经济援助。因此,据说中国对朝鲜有很强的经济影响力。中国对朝政策的目标是利用这种经济杠杆,确保中国周边地区的政治和经济稳定。为了实现这一目标,预计中国将以更全面、更长远的眼光来看待北韩核问题。中国希望在中短期内利用对北韩的经济影响力,稳定地管理北韩核问题。中方认为,通过六方会谈对朝核问题进行这样的管理,是中方认为最恰当的解决办法。从长远来看,中国寻求将其改革开放模式移植到朝鲜,并在与中国接壤的东北边境地区,将朝鲜作为一个对中国友好的政权,在结构上软着陆。
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引用次数: 11
Energy security and cooperation in Northeast Asia 东北亚能源安全与合作
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-06-10 DOI: 10.1080/10163271003744462
Jae-Seung Lee
Abstract The importance of Northeast Asian energy cooperation has been consistently emphasized in recent years to cope with uncertainties in the global energy market and to avert potential conflicts regarding energy supply among consumer countries. Energy supply, climate change, and the North Korean energy crisis have posed major concerns with respect to the energy security of Northeast Asian countries. However, the actual implementation of energy cooperation has reflected strong competition among major energy consuming countries, despite the perceived necessity of energy cooperation. Energy cooperation in Northeast Asia has become essential—not only for the facilitation of energy supply but also for the prevention of potential conflicts stemming from competitive energy procurement. This paper proposes that intergovernmental energy cooperation in Northeast Asia should focus more on the aspect of public goods. Intergovernmental energy cooperation should be based on a practical and achievable “soft agenda” ...
近年来,为应对全球能源市场的不确定性,避免能源消费国之间潜在的能源供应冲突,东北亚能源合作的重要性一直受到重视。能源供应、气候变化、北韩能源危机是东北亚各国能源安全的主要问题。然而,能源合作的实际实施反映了主要能源消费国之间的激烈竞争,尽管人们认为能源合作是必要的。东北亚地区的能源合作已变得至关重要,这不仅是为了促进能源供应,也是为了防止竞争性能源采购所产生的潜在冲突。本文提出东北亚政府间能源合作应更多地关注公共产品方面。政府间能源合作应以实际可行的“软议程”为基础……
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引用次数: 13
The United States between Japan and Korea: keeping alliances strong in East Asia 美国在日本和韩国之间:在东亚保持强大的联盟
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-06-10 DOI: 10.1080/10163271003744405
Kongdan Oh
Abstract Japan and the Republic of Korea are the United States' two most important allies in East Asia. Although U.S. alliances with those countries have succeeded in maintaining peace and stability in Northeast Asia, it is not clear how effective they would prove to be should they be tested by a major incident originating, say, in North Korea, because South Korea-Japan relations are troublesome. The issues that divide these two countries, based on strong and long-standing emotional attitudes that are resistant to change, largely revolve around Korean perceptions that the Japanese have not sufficiently recognized and apologized for past aggression against their neighbors during the first half of the twentieth century. For its part, the United States can improve trilateral relations by avoiding foreign policy decisions that make other countries nervous, such as decisions based on the principle of preemptive attack. A resumption of trilateral security dialogue is also needed. The U.S. alliances with Japan a...
日本和韩国是美国在东亚最重要的两个盟友。虽然美国与这些国家的联盟在维护东北亚的和平与稳定方面取得了成功,但由于韩日关系的问题,如果发生诸如朝鲜等重大事件,就很难说这些联盟的效果如何。两国之间的分歧主要是基于长期以来强烈的、拒绝改变的情感态度,这些问题主要围绕着韩国人的看法,即日本人没有充分认识到过去在20世纪上半叶对邻国的侵略并为此道歉。就美国而言,可以通过避免做出让其他国家感到紧张的外交政策决定来改善三边关系,例如基于先发制人攻击原则的决定。恢复三边安全对话也是必要的。美国与日本结盟…
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引用次数: 3
China and the freedom of navigation in the South China Sea 中国和南海航行自由
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-06-10 DOI: 10.1080/10163271003744488
B. Hamzah
Abstract The parties vying for territories in the South China Sea need not fear China. Despite expanding its military presence in the South China Sea, China does not pose any palpable military threat to the region. On the contrary, a rich and strong China could be a stabilizing factor. Likewise, while there is no evidence to suggest that China, a country that depends on international trade to sustain its strategic interests globally, will interfere with the freedom of navigation as defined under customary international law in the South China Sea. However, as a proud nation with a long-established civilization it will not shy away from challenging what it considers to be unauthorized military activities in its maritime space that is within its national jurisdiction, the South China Sea included.
在南海争夺领土的各方不必害怕中国。尽管中国扩大了在南中国海的军事存在,但并未对该地区构成任何明显的军事威胁。相反,一个富强的中国可能是一个稳定因素。同样,虽然没有证据表明中国,一个依靠国际贸易来维持其全球战略利益的国家,会干涉南海习惯国际法所定义的航行自由。然而,作为一个拥有悠久文明的骄傲国家,中国不会回避在其国家管辖范围内的海域(包括南中国海)挑战其认为未经授权的军事活动。
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引用次数: 2
Building organizational adaptive capacity: the U.S. Army's performance in the Iraq War and its implications for the ROK Army 建立组织适应能力:美国陆军在伊拉克战争中的表现及其对韩国陆军的影响
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903522853
Hyeong-wook Boo
Abstract This study delves into the issues of the U.S. Army's adaptive capacity in the Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) Phase IV. The author borrows the concept of organizational adaptive capacity while arguing that adaptive capacity framework can provide coherent theoretical explanations for the U.S. Army's unsatisfactory performance in OIF Phase IV. The author, then, tries to apply the analysis of U.S. Army's experience to the Republic of Korea (ROK) Army. The ROK Army has tried to follow the U.S. Army from doctrine to weapon systems and the author sees that there is a possibility that the ROK Army will be faced with similar challenges that the U.S. Army had to deal with. Thus, the author argues that drawing theoretical implications and lessons from U.S. experiences should be regarded important tasks for the ROK Army.
摘要本研究探讨了美军在“伊拉克自由行动”第四阶段的适应能力问题,作者引入组织适应能力的概念,认为适应能力框架可以为美军在“伊拉克自由行动”第四阶段的不理想表现提供连贯的理论解释,并试图将美军的经验分析应用于韩国陆军。韩国陆军试图从理论到武器系统都效仿美国陆军,笔者认为,韩国陆军有可能面临美国陆军曾经面临的类似挑战。因此,笔者认为,汲取美国经验的理论启示和教训应被视为韩国陆军的重要任务。
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引用次数: 1
Insurgency warfare as an emerging new mode of warfare and the new enemy 叛乱战争作为一种新兴的战争新模式和新的敌人
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903522887
Min-woo Yun
Abstract Asymmetric insurgency warfare is the dominant form of conflict today. The global community has been observing this form of conflict around the world for the past 15 years. The current insurgency warfare is substantially different from warfare of commonsense. This new enemy, the so-called insurgents, is a group of small irregulars, terrorists, religious fanatics, and criminals. Strikingly, the highly advanced and mighty military such as the U.S. forces cannot completely win this battle, despite so much efforts and sacrifice. Rather, the inferior Islamic insurgents seem to be gaining in strength. This paper is an attempt to understand today's irony. For doing so, it tries to explain: (i) what the historical meaning of asymmetric insurgency warfare is; (ii) who this new opponent, called Islamic insurgents is; and (iii) how this new enemy fights. This paper argues that the current asymmetric insurgency warfare should be understood beyond modernity. It suggests that the insurgency warfare is a new mod...
非对称叛乱战争是当今冲突的主要形式。过去15年来,国际社会一直在观察世界各地这种形式的冲突。当前的叛乱战争与常识性战争有着本质上的不同。这个新的敌人,即所谓的叛乱分子,是一群小的非正规军、恐怖分子、宗教狂热分子和罪犯。引人注目的是,美军这样的先进而强大的军队,尽管付出了巨大的努力和牺牲,却无法完全赢得这场战斗。相反,实力较弱的伊斯兰叛乱分子似乎正在壮大。本文试图理解当今的讽刺。为此,它试图解释:(i)不对称叛乱战争的历史意义是什么;这个被称为伊斯兰叛乱分子的新对手是谁;(三)这个新敌人如何作战。本文认为,当前的不对称叛乱战争应该超越现代性来理解。这表明叛乱战争是一种新的模式。
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引用次数: 0
From a buffer zone to a strategic burden: evolving Sino-North Korea relations during the Hu Jintao era
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903526359
H. kim
Abstract The purpose of this article is to understand China's changing strategic views on North Korea during Hu Jintao's era and to consider the implications for South Korea's policies toward North Korea and China. Sino-North Korea cooperation can be theoretically explained by the alliance transition theory, a modified one from the political realist perspective. The implications of the alliance transition theory are that China would strengthen its alliance with North Korea, seek to weaken the South Korea–U.S. alliance, and induce South Korea to cooperate with China, while preventing North Korea from getting close to the United States. However, it is noteworthy that even in China, there exist various groups of strategic thinking in international relations on China's roles in North Korean issues. North Korea's incessant provocations have effects on mobilizing the Developing Country Diplomacy School as well as the Rising Great Power Diplomacy School against North Korea. Such incidences would soon reverse the...
中朝合作可以用从政治现实主义角度修正的联盟过渡理论进行理论解释。同盟过渡理论的含义是,中国将加强与北韩的同盟关系,削弱韩美同盟。在防止朝鲜向美国靠拢的同时,诱导韩国与中国合作。然而,值得注意的是,即使在中国,国际关系中也存在着各种关于中国在朝鲜问题上的角色的战略思维。北韩不断的挑衅,不仅动员了新兴大国外交学派,也动员了发展中国家外交学派。这样的事件将很快扭转……
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引用次数: 21
The Obama administration's policy toward East Asia 奥巴马政府的东亚政策
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903522804
V. Cha
Abstract Conventional wisdom argues that President Obama inherited a U.S. reputation that was badly damaged around the world. While this may hold true in Europe, in Asia, where U.S. standing matters most, there was never such a precipitous decline. To Europeans, the Iraq War stirred moral outrage and rabid opposition. However, the situation in the Persian Gulf simply did not matter as much to Asians. There were pockets within Asia that were critical of U.S. actions, but this was overshadowed by an overwhelming support for values such as democracy and human rights. Evidence shows that even vis-a-vis China, U.S. standing has not faced a significant decline in the region. The result is that Asians continue to perceive the United States as the closest thing to an honest broker in the region, as evidenced by positive reactions to the leadership role that the United States took in response to the 2004 tsunami. Representing 60 percent of the world's population, compared to Europe's seven percent, Asian views are...
传统观点认为,奥巴马总统继承了在世界范围内严重受损的美国声誉。虽然这在欧洲可能是正确的,但在美国地位最重要的亚洲,从未出现过如此急剧的衰退。对欧洲人来说,伊拉克战争激起了道德上的愤怒和激烈的反对。然而,波斯湾的局势对亚洲人来说并没有那么重要。亚洲也有一些人对美国的行动持批评态度,但这被对民主和人权等价值观的压倒性支持所掩盖。有证据表明,即使与中国相比,美国在该地区的地位也没有明显下降。其结果是,亚洲人继续认为美国是该地区最接近诚实的中间人,美国在应对2004年海啸时发挥的领导作用得到了积极反应,这证明了这一点。亚洲人口占世界人口的60%,而欧洲人口只占7%。
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引用次数: 3
Poland and the Proliferation Security Initiative 波兰和防扩散安全倡议
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903522812
L. Kulesa
Abstract Poland is an active supporter of the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI), a multinational cooperation effort to interdict weapons of mass destruction (WMD) related materials, launched by President George W. Bush in Krakow on May 31, 2003. The article describes the Polish engagement in the development of the Initiative, broadening the number of participating countries, conducting exercises and organizing PSI meetings. The issues of the effectiveness of the cooperation and the prospects for the future are also discussed. In the case of Poland, its engagement in the PSI has had a positive impact on the country's international and regional image and position. Poland has been able to establish itself as one of the leaders of the Initiative. Domestically, the PSI participation has helped to strengthen the coordination between the different state institutions and agencies dealing with non proliferation.
波兰是“防扩散安全倡议”(PSI)的积极支持者。PSI是乔治·w·布什总统于2003年5月31日在克拉科夫发起的一项多国合作努力,旨在阻止与大规模杀伤性武器(WMD)有关的材料。文章描述了波兰参与该倡议的发展,扩大参与国的数量,进行演习和组织PSI会议。讨论了合作的有效性问题和未来的前景。就波兰而言,它参与防扩散安全倡议对该国的国际和地区形象和立场产生了积极影响。波兰已经能够成为该倡议的领导人之一。在国内,参与防扩散安全倡议有助于加强处理防扩散问题的不同国家机构和机构之间的协调。
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引用次数: 1
Climate change as a human-security threat or a developmental issue? Implementing a catch-all concept 气候变化是人类安全威胁还是发展问题?实现包罗万象的概念
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903526342
U. Wissenbach
Abstract This essay is a contribution to the discussion on human and non-traditional security (NTS) versus development by looking at the threat of climate change. There is overwhelming evidence that mankind's survival is at stake if collective action does not stop global warming. The UN Security Council (UNSC) discussed this threat in 2007. There are many ways in which climate change is threatening human security. However, the possible impacts are so varied and causal links to conflict are so difficult to establish that it is not logical to define climate change as an NTS on the basis of the nature of the threat only. A focus on the plausible sequence of threats and the means to deal with them at various points in time provides a more appropriate framework to understand that climate change is both a development issue and a human security threat. Climate change is an example of the development–security nexus and underlines the importance of using, in a coherent fashion and at various points in time, differ...
本文着眼于气候变化的威胁,对人类和非传统安全(NTS)与发展的讨论做出了贡献。大量证据表明,如果不采取集体行动阻止全球变暖,人类的生存将受到威胁。联合国安理会(UNSC)在2007年讨论了这一威胁。气候变化威胁人类安全的方式有很多。然而,可能的影响是如此多样,与冲突的因果关系是如此难以确定,因此仅根据威胁的性质将气候变化定义为NTS是不合逻辑的。关注威胁的可能顺序以及在不同时间点应对这些威胁的手段,为理解气候变化既是一个发展问题也是一个人类安全威胁提供了一个更合适的框架。气候变化是发展与安全联系的一个例子,它强调了在不同的时间点以连贯的方式使用差异的重要性。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Korean Journal of Defense Analysis
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