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Economic journals of Russia, their characteristics and network analysis 俄罗斯经济期刊的特点与网络分析
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-50-2-9
F. Aleskerov, A. Kazachinskaya, Daniel Karabekyan, A. S. Semina, V. Yakuba
We study economic journals published in Russia and indexed in the Russian Index of Science Citation (RISC). We analyze citations of 466 journals for 2016–2020 and compare these journals using several metrics: total citation count, Hirsch index, Impact factor RISC, and Science Index RISC. We also use network analysis for citation graphs and compare journals by centrality indices: Copeland index and two new indices: Bundle and Pivotal. We found that “Voprosy Ekonomiki” is the only journal that is among the top-5 journals for all metrics. Other top journals differ for different metrics. We noticed that some top journals have a questionable reputation and the reason why they are among the top journals is a high number of publications, which makes classical journals less influential with respect to the metrics.
我们研究在俄罗斯出版并被俄罗斯科学引文索引(RISC)收录的经济期刊。我们分析了2016-2020年466种期刊的引用,并使用几个指标对这些期刊进行了比较:总引用数、Hirsch指数、影响因子RISC和科学指数RISC。我们还对引文图进行了网络分析,并通过中心性指数(Copeland指数)和两个新指数(Bundle和Pivotal)对期刊进行了比较。我们发现《Voprosy Ekonomiki》是唯一一本在所有指标上都排在前5位的期刊。其他顶级期刊的衡量标准也不尽相同。我们注意到,一些顶级期刊的声誉存在问题,它们之所以跻身顶级期刊之列,是因为它们发表了大量论文,这使得经典期刊在指标方面的影响力较低。
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引用次数: 1
New technologies and regional development in the modern period 近代新技术与区域发展
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-51-3-9
Stepan Zemtsov
The article describes the possible impact of modern technological changes (disruptive technologies, digitalization, and automation) on regional development in Russia based on the patterns of geography of innovations and previous trends. The rates of non-resource growth over the past twenty years have been higher in those regions where inventive activity, intensity of R&D expenditures, share of researchers and employees with higher education were higher, but the same relationship cannot be traced with the intensity of the use of advanced production technologies (automation) and the availability of the Internet. During the declared pandemic in Russia in 2020, patent activity in the vast majority of regions decreased, the processes of production automation slowed down, but digitalization accelerated in terms of internet access and the development of online commerce. The creation of disruptive technologies is still concentrated in large cities and super-regions due to agglomeration effects, knowledge spillovers and concentration of human capital. But the effects of their introduction and distribution can be differentiated. In the leading regions with high proportion of creative professionals and entrepreneurs, development may accelerate, in old industrial regions, automation will increase the risks of temporary unemployment and inequality. For the least developed territories, the lack of digitalization potential and lack of highly qualified personnel may further worsen the situation.
本文根据创新的地理模式和以前的趋势,描述了现代技术变革(颠覆性技术、数字化和自动化)对俄罗斯区域发展的可能影响。在过去20年中,在创新活动、研发支出强度、研究人员和受过高等教育的员工所占比例较高的地区,非资源增长率较高,但与先进生产技术(自动化)的使用强度和互联网的可用性之间的关系并不相同。在俄罗斯宣布的2020年大流行期间,绝大多数地区的专利活动减少,生产自动化进程放缓,但在互联网接入和在线商务发展方面,数字化进程加快。由于集聚效应、知识溢出和人力资本集中,颠覆性技术的创造仍然集中在大城市和超级地区。但它们的引进和发行的效果是可以区分的。在创意专业人士和企业家比例较高的领先地区,发展可能会加速,在老工业区,自动化将增加临时失业和不平等的风险。对于最不发达地区来说,缺乏数字化潜力和高素质人才的缺乏可能会使情况进一步恶化。
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引用次数: 1
Empirical pension indicators: Cross-country comparisons and methodology for Russia 实证养老金指标:俄罗斯的跨国比较和方法
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-52-4-5
Y. Gorlin, A. Salmina, V. Lyashok
The article proposes a system of empirical indicators for Russia, taking into account the analysis of foreign and Russian approaches to assessing the adequacy of the level of pension provision. One group of the indicators, designed for crosscountry comparisons, is based on the methodology of the European Commission. The results of calculations of the proposed indicators on Russian data are presented, which made it possible to compare the level of pensions in Russia and European Union countries. The article defines the limitations of indicators for cross-country comparisons in terms of assessing the level of pension payments within the Russian system of compulsory pension insurance. For more adequate assessment of the adequacy of payments, the second group of indicators was developed that take into account the particularities of the Russian pension system. A distinctive feature of the proposed approach to the assessment of empirical indicators is that they are focused primarily on assessing the adequacy of the actual pension payments in terms of fulfilling the functions assigned to them - protection from poverty, compensation (replacement) of wages and ensuring the balance of income. The authors propose to evaluate these indicators not only on the data of population surveys, as is most common in foreign practice, but also on the administrative data of the Pension Fund of the Russian Federation.
本文提出了一套俄罗斯的经验指标体系,考虑到对外国和俄罗斯评估养老金提供水平是否充足的方法的分析。其中一组指标是根据欧盟委员会(European Commission)的方法设计的,用于跨国比较。本文提出了关于俄罗斯数据的拟议指标的计算结果,从而可以比较俄罗斯和欧洲联盟国家的养恤金水平。这篇文章界定了在评估俄罗斯强制性养恤金保险制度内的养恤金支付水平方面进行跨国比较的指标的局限性。为了更充分地评估付款的适当性,制定了第二组指标,其中考虑到俄罗斯养恤金制度的特殊性。评估经验性指标的拟议办法的一个显著特点是,它们主要侧重于评估实际养恤金支付在履行赋予它们的职能方面是否足够- -保护它们免于贫穷、补偿(替代)工资和确保收入平衡。作者建议不仅按照国外惯例最常见的人口调查数据来评价这些指标,而且还要根据俄罗斯联邦养恤基金的行政数据来评价这些指标。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of trade intensity of the Russian Far East: Structural approach 俄罗斯远东地区贸易强度评估:结构方法
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-52-4-6
D. Izotov
Based on complied statistical data, the scale of trade of the Russia’s Far Eastern regions with the local, macro-regional, domestic and foreign markets is determined. The assessment of the trade intensity in the Russia’s Far Eastern regions was carried out by comparing the results obtained within the framework of log-linear and multiplicative forms of gravity model. The estimation shows a deviation in the trade intensity of the Russia’s Far Eastern regions in favor of the national market as compared to the foreign one. Comparisons of the obtained values showed that the loglinear form, relative to the multiplicative one, significantly overestimated the impact of transportation costs on trade and the contiguity; while at the same time underestimating the values of intensity for trade interaction of Russian Far East with the domestic and foreign markets. The estimates obtained using multiplicative form, suggest a suppression of the comparative intensity of trade of the Russia’s Far Eastern regions with the macro-regional, domestic and foreign markets in dynamics, which can be explained not only by the costs of such interactions but also, by the concentration of trade relations within the Russia’s Far Eastern regions as a result of trade deviation in favor of the local markets.
根据编制的统计数据,确定了俄罗斯远东地区与地方、宏观区域、国内和国外市场的贸易规模。对俄罗斯远东地区贸易强度的评估是通过比较在对数线性和乘法重力模型框架内获得的结果来进行的。这一估计表明,俄罗斯远东地区的贸易强度与国外市场相比,更有利于国内市场。结果表明,相对于乘法模型,对数模型明显高估了运输成本对贸易和邻近性的影响;同时低估了俄罗斯远东地区与国内外市场贸易互动强度的价值。使用乘法形式获得的估计表明,俄罗斯远东地区与宏观区域、国内和国外市场的贸易比较强度受到抑制,这不仅可以通过这种相互作用的成本来解释,而且可以通过俄罗斯远东地区内部贸易关系的集中来解释,因为贸易偏离有利于当地市场。
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引用次数: 0
Banks behavior patterns as a response to the population financial activity in the macroeconomic shocks in Russia 银行行为模式作为对俄罗斯人口金融活动在宏观经济冲击下的反应
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-50-2-4
Y. Evlakhova, E. Alifanova, A. Tregubova
This paper finds out the behavior patterns of the Russian banking sector and systemically important banks in response to changes in the population financial activity under the economic shocks. The results show that the Russian banking sector has a behavior pattern that includes the sequence of actions: the outflow of deposits — vulnerability to non-repayment of loans — deposit bubble — credit bubble. We find no consistent evidence that systemically important banks show the same sequence of actions during the crises. We also find that the banking sector behavior and systemically important banks’ behavior varied in 2008–2009, but became the same in the crisis of 2014–2015. The coincidence of behavior patterns of the banking sector and systemically important banks increases the systemic risk. Research on intragroup differences between systemically important banks will allow finding solutions to reduce the risk.
本文研究了俄罗斯银行业和系统重要性银行在经济冲击下应对人口金融活动变化的行为模式。结果表明,俄罗斯银行业具有一个行为模式,包括一系列的行动:存款外流-贷款无法偿还的脆弱性-存款泡沫-信贷泡沫。我们没有发现一致的证据表明,具有系统重要性的银行在危机期间表现出相同的行动顺序。我们还发现,银行业行为和系统重要性银行的行为在2008-2009年期间有所不同,但在2014-2015年危机期间趋于一致。银行部门和系统重要性银行行为模式的重合增加了系统性风险。研究具有系统重要性的银行之间的内部差异,将有助于找到降低风险的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Correlation between economic complexity and economic development in different types of Russian regions 俄罗斯不同类型地区经济复杂性与经济发展的相关性
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-51-3-7
I. Shubin
Economic complexity, according to the results of various studies at the country level, can be used as an indicator of economic development: more developed countries usually have a higher level of economic complexity. For Russian regions, the relationship between economic complexity, the level of innovative development and investment attractiveness is also revealed. This paper identifies the correlation between the complexity of export and the level of economic development for Russian regions and their separated more homogeneous groups. The results obtained by the author for regions of Russia contradict the rule identified for countries. For all Russian regions, there is a slight inverse correlation between the complexity of export and the value of per capita GRP. A slight positive correlation was found only for regions with a low export-to-GRP ratio and a high level of economic complexity. Such results are explained by the simple structure of Russian export, because of this the main recipients of export income are regions with a lower level of economic complexity — mainly oil and gas producing regions, as well as capitals that act as intermediaries.
经济复杂性,根据国家层面的各种研究结果,可以作为经济发展的一个指标:越发达的国家通常具有较高的经济复杂性水平。对于俄罗斯地区,经济复杂性、创新发展水平和投资吸引力之间的关系也得到了揭示。本文确定了出口复杂性与俄罗斯地区及其分离的更同质群体的经济发展水平之间的相关性。作者对俄罗斯各地区所得到的结果与对国家所确定的规则相矛盾。对俄罗斯所有地区来说,出口复杂性与人均国内生产总值之间存在轻微的负相关关系。只有出口占国内生产总值比率低、经济复杂程度高的地区才存在轻微的正相关。这样的结果可以用俄罗斯出口的简单结构来解释,因为出口收入的主要接受者是经济复杂程度较低的地区-主要是石油和天然气产区,以及充当中介的资本。
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引用次数: 1
Tax evasion and R&D subsidy in a mixed market 混合市场中的逃税与研发补贴
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-51-3-2
N. V. Bogoroditskaya
In this paper I consider a mixed duopoly where a private firm competes with a public one. The private firm maximizes its profit and the public firm maximizes social welfare. R&D investments of firms are subsidized by the government, profits of both firms are taxed and the private firm might evade taxes. It is shown that tax evasion (decision not to declare part of profit) directly affects a rate of the optimal R&D subsidy and makes it dependent on a profit tax rate. While making a choice on the rate of the R&D subsidy the government takes into account both positive and negative effects of the subsidy on social welfare. On the one hand the R&D subsidy results in a decrease in total production costs because an allocation of total output between two firms is improved; on the other hand it results in an increase in social costs of tax evasion. The optimal R&D subsidy decreases with an increase in a profit tax rate and increases with an increase in tax evasion costs. An equilibrium allocation is not efficient, but an increase in tax evasion costs leads to the reduction of difference between efficient and equilibrium welfare levels.
在本文中,我考虑了一个混合双寡头垄断,其中一个私营公司与一个公共公司竞争。私人企业追求利润最大化,公共企业追求社会福利最大化。企业的研发投资由政府补贴,两家企业的利润都要纳税,私营企业可能会逃税。研究表明,逃税(决定不申报部分利润)直接影响最优研发补贴的税率,并使其依赖于利润税税率。政府在选择研发补贴比例时,考虑了补贴对社会福利的积极和消极影响。一方面,研发补贴改善了两家企业之间的总产出分配,从而降低了总生产成本;另一方面,它导致逃税的社会成本增加。最优研发补贴随着利润税税率的增加而减少,随着逃税成本的增加而增加。均衡分配不具有效率,但偷税漏税成本的增加会导致有效福利水平与均衡福利水平之差的缩小。
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引用次数: 0
Startups in Russia: Ownership and performance 俄罗斯的创业公司:所有权和绩效
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-52-4-3
O. A. Guseva, A. Stepanova
During two decades the Russian government has invested heavily in support of high-tech startups. However, considering high level of information opacity of startups, we focus on equity as the primary source of their financing, and on owners as the main source of support for such firms. This paper examines how ownership characteristics affect the performance of high-tech performance of startups in nuclear and space industries. We focus on how different types of owners (founders, state, and venture capital) contribute to performance of startups in nuclear and space industries. Using an unbalanced panel of startups from Skolkovo, the largest Russian innovation cluster, from 2010 to 2016, we found evidence of a negative relationship between a support from government-related organizations and chosen indicators of startup performance. Our findings confirmed the significant impact of private venture capital on startup performance, however the effect is industry-specific. While family equity contributions were not found to have a significant impact on startup performance, we identified a positive relationship between owner or CEO change and future startup performance. We discuss potential interpretations of the findings and provide strategic management insights for startup owners and investors.
二十年来,俄罗斯政府投入巨资支持高科技初创企业。然而,考虑到创业公司的信息高度不透明,我们将重点放在股权作为其融资的主要来源,以及所有者作为这些公司的主要支持来源。本文考察了股权特征对核工业和航天工业初创企业高科技绩效的影响。我们关注不同类型的所有者(创始人、政府和风险资本)如何对核能和航天行业的初创企业的业绩做出贡献。通过对俄罗斯最大的创新集群斯科尔科沃(Skolkovo) 2010年至2016年的创业公司进行不平衡调查,我们发现了政府相关组织的支持与创业公司绩效指标之间存在负相关关系的证据。我们的研究结果证实了私人风险资本对创业公司绩效的显著影响,但这种影响是特定行业的。虽然家族股权贡献并未对创业公司绩效产生显著影响,但我们发现了所有者或CEO变更与未来创业公司绩效之间的正相关关系。我们讨论了对研究结果的潜在解释,并为初创企业所有者和投资者提供了战略管理见解。
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic COVID-19大流行的宏观经济后果
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-52-4-12
N. Akindinova, D. A. Avdeyeva, N. Kondrashov, S. Misikhina, S. Smirnov
The article puts forward the thesis that the COVID-19 recession has already passed, which makes it possible to make some other conclusions . It is emphasized that the recession was triggered mainly by temporary restrictions on social contacts and mobility that were “external” to the economy. For Russia, it was aggravated by discords among the OPEC+ members. It is established that the 2020 drop of economic activity turned out to be unprecedentedly deep and unprecedentedly short, in some cases even less than one quarter. Compared to other countries, Russia passed the crisis quite successfully, although the size of the Russian stimulus package was much smaller than in the most developed countries. It is noticed that around the world quite fast recovery began immediately after the mitigation of lockdowns. Relatively recent data allowed us to conclude that by mid–2021, most emerging economies, including Russia, had reached pre-pandemic levels. It is shown that most forecasts agree that in 2021 (and partly in 2022) there will be an accelerated recovery and then the main macroeconomic indicators will return to pre-recession trajectories. At the same time, the changes in consumer preferences and business models triggered by the pandemic can lead to sustainable shifts in the sectoral structure of economies.
本文提出了新冠肺炎衰退已经过去的论点,这使得可以得出一些其他结论。有人强调,经济衰退主要是由于对社会接触和流动的暂时限制造成的,而这些限制是经济“外部”的。对俄罗斯来说,欧佩克+成员国之间的不和加剧了这种局面。可以确定的是,2020年经济活动的下滑幅度空前之大,持续时间也空前之短,在某些情况下甚至不到四分之一。与其他国家相比,俄罗斯相当成功地度过了危机,尽管其刺激方案的规模远小于大多数发达国家。值得注意的是,在全球范围内,封锁解除后立即开始了相当快的复苏。最近的数据使我们得出结论,到2021年年中,包括俄罗斯在内的大多数新兴经济体已达到大流行前的水平。研究表明,大多数预测都认为,到2021年(部分在2022年),经济将加速复苏,然后主要宏观经济指标将回到衰退前的轨迹。与此同时,大流行引发的消费者偏好和商业模式的变化可能导致经济部门结构的可持续转变。
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引用次数: 4
Interregional migration and life strategies of the Russian youth 区域间移民与俄罗斯青年的生活策略
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2021-52-4-7
M. Kartseva, N.V. Mkrtchуan, Y. Florinskaya
There is lack of studies associating youth migration with a life course in Russia. The article aims to reveal the effect of interregional migration on the life course of young adults (23–34 y.o.) using the data from the nationally representative survey “Person, Family, Society” undertaken by RANEPA in 2020 and data from indepth interviews with young people who moved to Moscow, St. Petersburg, Tomsk, Voronezh to get higher education. In the study interregional migrants are defined as people for whom current region of residence differs from the region where they completed secondary education. Our results suggest that migration is a strong factor of personal growth for youth. The comparison of young migrants with non-migrants demonstrates that the interregional migration have a distinct positive effect on career success, income level and promote greater independence and relying on your own resources, solving housing issues among them. The comparison of young migrants and non-migrants demonstrates that the interregional migration has a distinct positive effect on career success, income level and promote greater independence and selfreliance including resolving the housing problems. At the same time migration moderately affects marriage strategies but it contributes to the postponement of childbearing.
在俄罗斯,缺乏将青年移民与生命历程联系起来的研究。本文旨在利用RANEPA在2020年开展的全国代表性调查“人、家庭、社会”的数据,以及对移居莫斯科、圣彼得堡、托木斯克、沃罗涅日接受高等教育的年轻人的深度访谈数据,揭示区域间移民对年轻人(23-34岁)生命历程的影响。在这项研究中,区域间移民被定义为目前居住的地区与他们完成中学教育的地区不同的人。我们的研究结果表明,移民是年轻人个人成长的一个重要因素。青年移民与非移民的比较表明,区域间移民对职业成功、收入水平、促进更大的独立性和依靠自己的资源、解决其中的住房问题有明显的积极影响。青年移民和非移民的比较表明,区域间移民对职业成功、收入水平和促进更大的独立和自力更生有明显的积极影响,包括解决住房问题。与此同时,移民对婚姻策略的影响适度,但它有助于推迟生育。
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引用次数: 2
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