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Proto-marginalist approach in Russia: Yuli Zhukovsky’s interpretation of Ricardo 俄国的原始边际主义方法:茹科夫斯基对李嘉图的诠释
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-9
A. Galeev
The paper focuses on the interpretation of David Ricardo’s theory of value and distribution suggested by Yuli Zhukovsky, a 19th century Russian economist. In his interpretation, Zhukovsky introduced a two-factor production model characterized by decreasing marginal productivity as well as supply-and-demand price mechanism. Zhukovsky’s interpretation of Ricardo was an attempt to deliver a more rigorous approach to the agrarian issue — the hot topic that marked the public debates in Russia after the abolition of serfdom in 1861. Zhukovsky, an early critic of Marx, outlined a different path in the reception of the classical approach in Russia that preceded later developments in mathematical economics. The paper introduces Zhukovsky’s interpretation as a case of proto-marginalist analysis. It also demonstrates that Zhukovsky treated the mathematical apparatus as an instrument for the practical application of political economy to the issue of economic development.
本文主要对19世纪俄罗斯经济学家茹科夫斯基提出的李嘉图价值与分配理论进行解读。在他的解释中,茹科夫斯基引入了以边际生产率递减为特征的双要素生产模型和供需价格机制。茹科夫斯基对李嘉图的解释是试图对农业问题提出一种更严格的方法——这是1861年废除农奴制后俄罗斯公众辩论的热点话题。马克思的早期批评者茹科夫斯基(Zhukovsky)概述了一条在俄罗斯接受古典方法的不同道路,这条道路先于后来数理经济学的发展。本文将茹科夫斯基的解释作为原始边际主义分析的一个案例进行介绍。它还表明茹科夫斯基将数学仪器作为政治经济学在经济发展问题上实际应用的工具。
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引用次数: 0
The imperative of EU–Russia cooperation in climate policy is preserved 欧盟与俄罗斯在气候政策方面合作的必要性得以保留
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-13
T. Romanova, A. Portanskiy
After February 24, 2022, as a result of the confl ict in Ukraine, the situation in Europe and the world as a whole has undergone signifi cant changes, moving the issues of the climate agenda away from the priority list. But political-military aggravation in Europe does not eliminate climate change problems. The authors summarize the implications of the EU Green Deal for Russia and propose two scenarios for the possible collaboration between two actors: climate partnership and «business as usual». The main parameters of the two scenarios are outlined. Though climate partnership scenario seemed unrealistic by early June 2022, cooperation on the green agenda remains vital for both sides both in terms of dealing with global and regional challenges and for stabilizing Russia-EU interaction as a whole. The authors suggest recommendations to help Moscow and Brussels construct an optimal cooperation on climate in the medium-term perspective. The article is based on a study completed in 2021.
在2022年2月24日之后,由于乌克兰的冲突,欧洲和整个世界的局势发生了重大变化,气候议程的问题不再是优先事项。但是,欧洲政治军事局势的恶化并不能消除气候变化问题。作者总结了欧盟绿色协议对俄罗斯的影响,并提出了两个参与者之间可能合作的两种方案:气候伙伴关系和“一切照旧”。概述了这两种场景的主要参数。尽管到2022年6月初,气候伙伴关系的设想似乎不现实,但就应对全球和地区挑战以及稳定俄欧整体互动而言,双方在绿色议程上的合作仍然至关重要。作者提出了一些建议,以帮助莫斯科和布鲁塞尔从中期角度构建最佳的气候合作。这篇文章是基于2021年完成的一项研究。
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引用次数: 0
Inertia of state paternalism and its consequences 国家家长制的惯性及其后果
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-57-5-11
L. Gudkov
The massive desire to change the state and political system of late socialism in the late 1980s — in the first half of the 1990s led to the emergence of many new public organizations and real competition between the political parties, to freedom of the media, religious associations, everything that forms a “society” as a system of social relations based on mutual interests and solidarity. These processes have given rise to hopes for the country’s exit from a long state of stagnation to democratization, turning it into a “normal country”, the same as other developed countries of the West. But by the end of the 1990s, the negative consequences of protracted and half-hearted institutional reforms turned into mass disillusionment with the ideology of reforms, distrust of democratic parties, the need for stability, craving for conservatism and hopes for a strong leader who could return “order” to the people, a sense of security, predictability of everyday existence, guaranteed prosperity and confidence in tomorrow. Illusions of the transition period were replaced by conservative views and the restoration of state paternalism as ideological residues of Brezhnev’s socialism. Data of sociological research shows, that hopes for the state paternalism over ordinary people are now combined with a pronounced distrust of the social institutions of state, political passivity and refusal to participate in public activities. Trust is limited only to the sphere of private existence. In this regard, “society” in the sociological sense can be considered per se only with a high degree of conditionality.
在20世纪80年代末和90年代上半叶,改变晚期社会主义的国家和政治制度的巨大愿望导致了许多新的公共组织的出现和政党之间的真正竞争,媒体自由,宗教协会,以及构成“社会”的一切,作为一个基于共同利益和团结的社会关系系统。这些进程使人们对该国从长期停滞状态走向民主化,使其成为与西方其他发达国家一样的“正常国家”抱有希望。但到20世纪90年代末,旷日持久、半心半意的体制改革的负面后果变成了对改革意识形态的普遍幻灭,对民主党派的不信任,对稳定的需求,对保守主义的渴望,以及对一个能够将“秩序”交还给人民、安全感、日常生活的可预测性、有保障的繁荣和对明天的信心的强大领导人的希望。作为勃列日涅夫社会主义思想残余的保守观点和国家家长制的复辟取代了对过渡时期的幻想。社会学研究数据显示,对国家对普通民众实行家长式管理的希望,现在与对国家社会机构的明显不信任、政治被动和拒绝参与公共活动结合在一起。信任只局限于私人生活的领域。在这方面,社会学意义上的“社会”本身只能具有高度的条件性。
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引用次数: 1
Volatility spillover between the Russia–India–China triad and the United States: A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity analysis 俄罗斯-印度-中国三位一体与美国之间的波动溢出:一个多元广义自回归条件异方差分析
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-54-2-6
E. Vlasova, D. Luo
This study is concerned with the identification of the economic links and volatility spillover effects between the United States and the Russia–India–China triad from 2010 to 2019. This decade is characterized by a lack of major global financial crises in the economy, although the liberalization of the Chinese stock market and the reciprocal sanctions between Russia and developed countries, followed by the trade wars between the United States and China changed the relationship between stock markets. This study tests three hypotheses. The first hypothesis is associated with the post‑2014 change of interconnection between the Chinese and the Russian and the Indian stock markets. The second hypothesis tests the fact that the Russian market has become less dependent on the US market. The third hypothesis: the trade war between the United States and China increased the volatility spillover effects between financial markets. The multivariate GARCH BEKK model was used for calculations. The research results presented herein can be used to draw conclusions about the general current situation in the world stock markets and their future development trends, as well as for a more complete understanding of the mechanisms of interaction and mutual influence of financial markets for possible diversification of the investment portfolio.
本研究关注2010 - 2019年美国与俄罗斯-印度-中国三位一体之间的经济联系和波动溢出效应的识别。这十年的特点是经济上没有出现重大的全球金融危机,尽管中国股市的自由化和俄罗斯与发达国家的相互制裁,以及随后的中美贸易战改变了股市之间的关系。这项研究检验了三个假设。第一个假设与2014年后中国、俄罗斯和印度股票市场互联互通的变化有关。第二个假设检验的事实是,俄罗斯市场对美国市场的依赖程度已有所下降。假设三:中美贸易战加剧了金融市场之间的波动溢出效应。采用多元GARCH BEKK模型进行计算。本文的研究结果可以用来总结世界股票市场的总体现状和未来的发展趋势,也可以更全面地了解金融市场的相互作用和相互影响的机制,从而实现投资组合的多元化。
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引用次数: 1
Industry effects of monetary policy in Russia: Econometric analysis 俄罗斯货币政策的产业效应:计量经济学分析
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-3
E. Dobronravova
This paper presents the econometric analysis of the heterogenous effects of monetary policy on industrial output and producer prices in manufacturing sector in Russia. The estimation of the differences in the impulce responses to the interest rate shock is conducted using structural VAR-models, the analysis of key industrial characteristics, explaining differences through monetary transmission channes, is based on principal components and correlations. Our findings reveal the strongest response to monetary policy in such industries as manufacture of rubber and plastic products, manufacture of non-metallic mineral products, manufacture of pulp and paper, manufacture of machinery nd equipment, manufacture of electrical, electronic and optical equipment and manufacture of motor vehicles and equipment. Besides, in these industries the response is usually deffered to 2–3 months after the shock. Our findings also show that the impact of monetary shocks on output is particulary strong in industries producing capital goods and supplies for construction but particularly weak in industries with high concentration and high profits. That means that differences in industrial responses to monetary policy can be described by two key channels of monetary transmission — interest rate channel (due to high demand sensitivity to interest rate changes) and bank lending channel (due to important role of bank loans in fi rms’ financing).
本文对货币政策对俄罗斯制造业工业产出和生产者价格的异质效应进行了计量经济学分析。对利率冲击脉冲响应差异的估计是使用结构性var模型进行的,对关键产业特征的分析,通过货币传导渠道解释差异,是基于主成分和相关性。我们的研究结果显示,在橡胶和塑料制品制造业、非金属矿产品制造业、纸浆和造纸制造业、机械和设备制造业、电气、电子和光学设备制造业以及汽车和设备制造业等行业,对货币政策的反应最为强烈。此外,在这些行业中,反应通常要推迟到冲击后的2-3个月。我们的研究结果还表明,货币冲击对产出的影响在生产资本品和建筑用品的行业尤为强烈,但在高集中度和高利润的行业尤为微弱。这意味着,产业对货币政策的反应差异可以用两个关键的货币传导渠道来描述——利率渠道(由于需求对利率变化的高度敏感性)和银行贷款渠道(由于银行贷款在企业融资中的重要作用)。
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引用次数: 1
The failures of society: How to understand them? 社会的失败:如何理解它们?
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-57-5-12
Горячая тема, Журнал Нэа
The article deals with the concept of the failures of society. First of all, attention is drawn to the value nature of this concept. What, from the point of view of an external observer, can be interpreted as a failure, for an insider will be a normal state. Moreover, the latter, perhaps, will not want to change life in the traditional environment familiar to him, which constitutes his social identity, for something else, which seems preferable for an external observer. The failures of society are described as far from reality lexicographical preferences. The most typical example is religious fundamentalism. With its dominance, the failures of society are inevitable. However, modern social dogmas, which have become widespread and strongly influencial in the West in the framework of the so-called new ethics, may well be interpreted as failures of society. As a result, the world has lost its orientation and authoritarian (neo-totalitarian) practices do not experience strong opposition. Assessing global processes, it is quite possible to state the failure of the Earth’s civilization as a whole due to the loss of an ideal image of the future. Constructivist solutions are not able to correct the state of affairs. The world will either heal itself through spontaneous institutional change or prolong its state of decline.
这篇文章讨论了社会失败的概念。首先,要注意这个概念的价值本质。什么,从一个外部观察者的角度来看,可以解释为失败,对于一个内部将是一个正常的状态。此外,后者也许不想改变他所熟悉的传统环境中的生活,这构成了他的社会身份,而换一种对外部观察者来说似乎更可取的东西。社会的失败被描述为词典编纂的偏好与现实相去甚远。最典型的例子就是宗教原教旨主义。由于它的主导地位,社会的失败是不可避免的。然而,在所谓的新伦理框架下,在西方广泛传播并产生强烈影响的现代社会教条,很可能被解释为社会的失败。结果,世界失去了方向,威权主义(新极权主义)的做法没有受到强烈反对。在评估全球进程时,很有可能会说,地球文明作为一个整体的失败,是由于对未来理想形象的丧失。建构主义的解决方案无法纠正事态。世界要么通过自发的制度变革自我治愈,要么延长其衰落状态。
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引用次数: 0
Once again about where to go: Toward a development strategy in isolation from the West 再一次关于走向何方:走向与西方隔绝的发展战略
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-55-3-17
V. Polterovich
It is shown that the program of institutional changes, outlined in a number of articles of the author, is even more relevant in the current context of sanctions and needs to be further elaborated. Due to restrictions on import and export flows, the need to form long chains of added value within the country is increasing. Business cannot cope with this task on its own. To solve it the institutions of catching-up development are needed, including the system of indicative planning headed by the general development agency and the national innovation system aimed at borrowing of technologies with a gradual increase of own innovative developments. It is advisable to conduct the reform of economic governance as a continuation of the reform of project activities carried out in 2018–2019. New institutions must ensure economic growth by forming a set of mega-projects and programs, coordinated with each other and with the budget, based on the coordination of efforts of the state, business and society at the federal, regional and municipal levels. The increased necessity of differentiated progressive income tax introduction is underlined. The expediency of forming consortiums, expanding the system of sector research institutes and increasing investment in education are noted.
报告显示,在作者的若干条款中概述的体制改革方案在目前的制裁情况下更为重要,需要进一步加以阐述。由于进出口流动受到限制,在国内形成长链附加值的需求正在增加。企业无法独自完成这项任务。为了解决这一问题,需要建立赶超式发展制度,包括由总发展机构领导的指示性规划制度和旨在借用技术并逐步增加自身创新发展的国家创新制度。将经济治理改革作为2018-2019年项目活动改革的延续是明智的。新的机构必须通过形成一系列大型项目和计划来确保经济增长,这些项目和计划相互协调,并与预算协调,以国家、企业和社会在联邦、地区和市政层面的协调努力为基础。强调了越来越有必要实行差别化累进所得税。有人指出,组建财团、扩大部门研究机构体系、增加教育投资等都是权宜之计。
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引用次数: 5
Decrease in differentiation of electric power supply in regions and sustainable development of the Russian economy 减少地区电力供应差别化与俄罗斯经济可持续发展
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-56-4-6
S. Nekrasov
Differentiation in (per capita) electricity consumption (”PC) between developed and developing countries is decreasing in the world. However, the difference between Russian regions in terms of this indicator in 1990–2020 increased. It is shown that an increase in differentiation in the electric power supply leads to an increase in imbalances in socio-economic development. The relationship between the low profi tability of goods and services in the regions and low EPC was revealed. Unlike developing countries, where electricity consumption is limited by the possibilities of electricity production, in the Russian regions the limiting factor is the underdevelopment of electricity consumers. Under conditions of underdeveloped industry and low power supply, higher losses in power networks are characteristic, which causes a signifi cant increase in electricity prices for local industrial and agricultural consumers. Prerequisites are created for the transfer of industrial and agricultural production to regions with lower electricity supply costs. The mechanism aimed at preventing this negative trend is considered. As a result of its implementation, the modernization of production processes at electricity consumers will be initiated and conditions will be created for the emergence of new points of growth in these currently subsidized regions.
世界上发达国家和发展中国家之间的(人均)用电量(PC)差距正在缩小。然而,在1990-2020年期间,俄罗斯各地区在这一指标方面的差异有所增加。研究表明,电力供应分化的加剧导致社会经济发展不平衡的加剧。揭示了区域商品和服务的低利润率与低EPC之间的关系。与电力消费受电力生产可能性限制的发展中国家不同,俄罗斯区域的限制因素是电力消费者的不发达。在工业欠发达、电力供应不足的情况下,电网损耗较大是其特点,这导致当地工农业消费者电价上涨幅度较大。为工农业生产向电力供应成本较低的地区转移创造了先决条件。审议了旨在防止这种消极趋势的机制。由于该方案的实施,将开始电力消费者生产过程的现代化,并将为在这些目前得到补贴的区域出现新的增长点创造条件。
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引用次数: 0
Technological entrepreneurship as a development factor of Russia 科技创业作为俄罗斯的发展因素
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-11
Stepan Zemtsov
Technological entrepreneurship is a potential driver of Russia’s socio-economic development. But an optimal combination of environment and business networks (entrepreneurial ecosystem) to be formed is very rare and depends on many factors. The article discusses the potential role of technology start-ups in diversification, economic and employment growth, and adaptation to technological changes. The number of start-ups in Russia had decreased since 2015, and there is a low entrepreneurial activity in comparison with other countries. In general, the change in the industry structure of startups in Russia is consistent with the global trends; the role of knowledge-intensive business services and ICT is high and growing, the share of manufacturing is declining. We revealed the determining role of socio-cultural factors, human capital and universities, business climate and access to foreign markets in the creation and success of technology companies, as well as the contradictory impact of state support. Significant and increasing role of immigrants and diaspora abroad is underestimated for Russia. We noted the inability of the widespread development of successful technology companies (“gazelles”, “unicorns”); identified regional and sectoral priorities for public policy. We examined the main elements and models of national entrepreneurial ecosystems, limitations and prospects for their application in Russia.
技术创业是俄罗斯社会经济发展的潜在驱动力。但环境与商业网络(创业生态系统)的最优组合是非常罕见的,并且取决于许多因素。本文讨论了技术初创企业在多样化、经济和就业增长以及适应技术变革方面的潜在作用。自2015年以来,俄罗斯的初创企业数量有所减少,与其他国家相比,创业活动较低。总体而言,俄罗斯初创企业的产业结构变化与全球趋势一致;知识密集型商业服务和信息通信技术的作用越来越大,制造业的份额正在下降。我们揭示了社会文化因素、人力资本和大学、商业环境和进入国外市场对科技公司的创建和成功的决定性作用,以及国家支持的相互矛盾的影响。对俄罗斯来说,移民和海外侨民的重要和日益增长的作用被低估了。我们注意到成功的科技公司(“瞪羚”、“独角兽”)无法广泛发展;确定公共政策的区域和部门优先事项。我们研究了国家创业生态系统的主要要素和模式,以及它们在俄罗斯应用的局限性和前景。
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引用次数: 4
The nature of humanism and materialism of Marx’s concept of man 马克思人观的人本主义本质与唯物主义本质
IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.31737/2221-2264-2022-53-1-9
M. Sushentsova, I. Chaplygina
This paper is devoted to clarification of Marx’s view of man in terms of his special humanism and materialism. The authors argue that Marx’s works contain normative elements and the basic value for him is free human self-realization. But this self-realization doesn’t serve as a mean for embodiment of certain human ideals; it is the end in itself. So, the authors qualify Marx’s position in comparison with other kinds of humanism as non-directed anthropocentrism. Marx rejects the autonomy of abstract ethics, as well as any abstract categories, and raises the significance of human practice as the process of life’s actualization. In this context, the historical materialism of Marx appears closely related to his conception of man as an active agent of history and creator of material world: significant part of material world is interpreted by Marx as the estranged and objectified human subjectivity; nature and man are perceived as the dialectical unity, and the first one acquires its significance only as the living space of the second. This allowed the authors to propose the term “subjective materialism” for defining Marx’s approach. Even in Marx’s later works, the historical task of developing productive forces appears to be permeated with the general humanistic goal of full human liberation and recovery its primacy in relation to the external world. And this task appears to be the key trend of the history in the Marx’s conception.
本文试图从马克思特有的人本主义和唯物主义的角度来阐明马克思的人观。作者认为,马克思的著作包含着规范的要素,马克思的基本价值是自由的人的自我实现。但这种自我实现并不是某种人类理想具体化的手段;它本身就是目的。因此,作者将马克思的立场与其他类型的人文主义相比较,称为非定向人类中心主义。马克思反对抽象伦理的自主性,也反对任何抽象范畴,提出人的实践作为生命实现过程的意义。在此背景下,马克思的唯物史观与他的人作为历史的积极推动者和物质世界的创造者的观念密切相关:马克思把物质世界的很大一部分解释为异化的、客观化的人的主体性;人与自然是辩证的统一,人与自然只有作为人的生存空间才有意义。这使得作者提出了“主观唯物主义”一词来定义马克思的方法。即使在马克思的后期著作中,发展生产力的历史任务似乎也渗透着人类充分解放和恢复其对外部世界的首要地位的一般人文主义目标。而这一任务在马克思的观念中似乎是历史的关键趋势。
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引用次数: 0
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Zhurnal Novaya Ekonomicheskaya Assotsiatsiya-Journal of the New Economic Association
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