Concerns have been raised over the possible link between the growing political polarisation and fears of autocratisation in Slovenia. Faced with a lack of empirical data, we seek to answer two questions. First, how has political polarisation developed in Slovenia? We show that Slovenia has experienced massive increases in both ideological and affective polarisation on the levels of the citizenry and political parties. Second, what has been the effect of political polarisation on liberal democracy in Slovenia? A GLS (generalised least squares) model for the period 1992 to 2022 confirms negative effects only for affective, but not ideological polarisation regarding V-Dem’s liberal democracy and judicial constraints on the executive indices. Keywords: Slovenia, affective polarisation, ideological polarisation, autocratisation, SJM
{"title":"POLITICAL POLARISATION IN SLOVENIA AND ITS EFFECTS ON LIBERAL DEMOCRACY","authors":"Matevž Malčič","doi":"10.51936/tip.60.1.24","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.60.1.24","url":null,"abstract":"Concerns have been raised over the possible link between the growing political polarisation and fears of autocratisation in Slovenia. Faced with a lack of empirical data, we seek to answer two questions. First, how has political polarisation developed in Slovenia? We show that Slovenia has experienced massive increases in both ideological and affective polarisation on the levels of the citizenry and political parties. Second, what has been the effect of political polarisation on liberal democracy in Slovenia? A GLS (generalised least squares) model for the period 1992 to 2022 confirms negative effects only for affective, but not ideological polarisation regarding V-Dem’s liberal democracy and judicial constraints on the executive indices. Keywords: Slovenia, affective polarisation, ideological polarisation, autocratisation, SJM","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45845188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The article examines agenda-setting factors in Kosovo concerning the war in Ukraine. Due to the complex situation in the Western Balkans and the context of the tensions between Kosovo and Serbia, the presented research explains the role played by television in the hybrid media environment as the most important source of information in the crisis. The research looks at how television has impacted how the public views the war in Ukraine, and how it has covered the situation both before and after the invasion. A mixed methodology consisting of a questionnaire, television monitoring, content analysis, and desk research was thus adopted on the empirical level. On this level, 716 news stories were analysed between 1 February and 31 March 2022 and a survey with 1,312 respondents from Kosovo was conducted in April and May 2022 to identify different agents in the agenda setting and how that works with respect to the war in Ukraine. The research results show that the war in Ukraine has dominated the agenda of television stations in Kosovo, while the effects of their reporting vary according to the audience’s demographic characteristics. Keywords: agenda setting, framing, Kosovo, public opinion, Ukraine, war
{"title":"AGENDA SETTING ABOUT THE WAR IN UKRAINE: THE IMPACT OF TELEVISION IN KOSOVO","authors":"Arben Fetoshi, D. Gërguri","doi":"10.51936/tip.60.1.68","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.60.1.68","url":null,"abstract":"The article examines agenda-setting factors in Kosovo concerning the war in Ukraine. Due to the complex situation in the Western Balkans and the context of the tensions between Kosovo and Serbia, the presented research explains the role played by television in the hybrid media environment as the most important source of information in the crisis. The research looks at how television has impacted how the public views the war in Ukraine, and how it has covered the situation both before and after the invasion. A mixed methodology consisting of a questionnaire, television monitoring, content analysis, and desk research was thus adopted on the empirical level. On this level, 716 news stories were analysed between 1 February and 31 March 2022 and a survey with 1,312 respondents from Kosovo was conducted in April and May 2022 to identify different agents in the agenda setting and how that works with respect to the war in Ukraine. The research results show that the war in Ukraine has dominated the agenda of television stations in Kosovo, while the effects of their reporting vary according to the audience’s demographic characteristics. Keywords: agenda setting, framing, Kosovo, public opinion, Ukraine, war","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45256891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
The current debate on the crisis of democracy needs firm epistemological premises for the interpretation of election results and the manifestation of power as consent. In the article, a biopsychosocial model of hegemony is presented as a tool for the manifestation of power in the human mind. Hegemony as conceptualised by Gramsci is developed with the concept of power as both repression or spontaneous generation, as proposed by Foucault. The concept is developed with the paradigm of the embodied mind and insights from psychology and neuroscience about memory formation and meaning creation, stressing the role played by emotions in the process. Keywords: hegemony, morality, emotions, elections, biopsychosocial model, mental representations, embodied mind
{"title":"HEGEMONY, MORALITY AND EMOTIONS: POWER IN THE NEURAL ARCHITECTURE OF THE HUMAN MIND","authors":"Sebastjan Jeretič","doi":"10.51936/tip.60.1.48","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.60.1.48","url":null,"abstract":"The current debate on the crisis of democracy needs firm epistemological premises for the interpretation of election results and the manifestation of power as consent. In the article, a biopsychosocial model of hegemony is presented as a tool for the manifestation of power in the human mind. Hegemony as conceptualised by Gramsci is developed with the concept of power as both repression or spontaneous generation, as proposed by Foucault. The concept is developed with the paradigm of the embodied mind and insights from psychology and neuroscience about memory formation and meaning creation, stressing the role played by emotions in the process. Keywords: hegemony, morality, emotions, elections, biopsychosocial model, mental representations, embodied mind","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45347744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Notions of the power associated with the European Union’s foreign policy and its role in international relations are mostly liberal in origin. This explains the EU’s special role in the Cold War era and that it has since emerged more as a moral, ethical and normative power. The EU’s lack of military capability has probably been the main cause that prevents it from acting as a great or superpower. The distinction between materialistic and immaterial elements of power has been a crucial point of contention between realists and liberal thinkers. In international relations, we are also witnessing the trend of the EU increasingly using the geopolitical approach (such as in the Ukrainian crisis) besides the normative one. In the article, different concepts of EU foreign policy regarding power in the light of realism and liberalism are compared where, alongside the descriptive method, a SWOT analysis is performed. Keywords: realism, liberalism, power, European Union, Ukraine, foreign policy, international relations
{"title":"HAS THE LIBERAL INTERNATIONALIST CONCEPTION OF THE EU’S FOREIGN POLICY MADE IT INCAPABLE OF ACTING IN INTERNATIONAL CONFLICTS?","authors":"M. Durnik","doi":"10.51936/tip.60.1.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.60.1.5","url":null,"abstract":"Notions of the power associated with the European Union’s foreign policy and its role in international relations are mostly liberal in origin. This explains the EU’s special role in the Cold War era and that it has since emerged more as a moral, ethical and normative power. The EU’s lack of military capability has probably been the main cause that prevents it from acting as a great or superpower. The distinction between materialistic and immaterial elements of power has been a crucial point of contention between realists and liberal thinkers. In international relations, we are also witnessing the trend of the EU increasingly using the geopolitical approach (such as in the Ukrainian crisis) besides the normative one. In the article, different concepts of EU foreign policy regarding power in the light of realism and liberalism are compared where, alongside the descriptive method, a SWOT analysis is performed. Keywords: realism, liberalism, power, European Union, Ukraine, foreign policy, international relations","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46743898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
While considering a two-level approach, in the article we discuss systemic issues related to occupational safety and health (OSH) data. On the individual level, we focus on OSH incidents that indicate the status of occupational health. On the company level, we examine OSH management data that reveal the monitoring system. Our analysis shows that the Slovenian OSH data collection system depends on employers’ reporting rather than on professionals monitoring workers’ health. The OSH system is oriented to legal compliance more than the regular monitoring of OSH activities. The introduction of systemic measures that integrate the various OSH stakeholders and reintegrate occupational medicine into the health system is recommended. Keywords: occupational medicine, occupational health, occupational safety, occupational diseases, occupational injuries, Slovenia
{"title":"OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH IN SLOVENIA","authors":"H. Kovačič","doi":"10.51936/tip.60.1.136","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.60.1.136","url":null,"abstract":"While considering a two-level approach, in the article we discuss systemic issues related to occupational safety and health (OSH) data. On the individual level, we focus on OSH incidents that indicate the status of occupational health. On the company level, we examine OSH management data that reveal the monitoring system. Our analysis shows that the Slovenian OSH data collection system depends on employers’ reporting rather than on professionals monitoring workers’ health. The OSH system is oriented to legal compliance more than the regular monitoring of OSH activities. The introduction of systemic measures that integrate the various OSH stakeholders and reintegrate occupational medicine into the health system is recommended. Keywords: occupational medicine, occupational health, occupational safety, occupational diseases, occupational injuries, Slovenia","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43955389","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Article examines the impact of digitalisation and intangible capital investment on the non-financial performance of firms in Slovenia. Article examines the relationship between: (1) digitalisation and firms’ nonfinancial performance; (2) digitalisation and firms’ attitude to digitalisation; (3) investments in intangible capital and firms’ non-financial performance; where we (4) also expect differences by industry and between firms operating in global value chains. Considering survey data, the SEM approach shows that, digitalisation and intangible investment both have positive effects on non-financial performance. Level of digitalisation depends on the importance attributed to digitalisation, whereas the importance of digitalisation depends on the expected long-term benefits of digitalisation for the firm. Level of digitalisation is dependent on the anticipated long-term benefits of digitalisation. These have a positive, yet non-significant impact on a firm’s level of digitalisation. Despite business agility having an impact on the importance of digitalisation for businesses that is less than the expected benefits, it is still highly significant. Other results were not statistically significant. Keywords: intangible capital, digitalisation, firm performance
{"title":"IMPACT OF DIGITALISATION AND INVESTMENTS IN INTANGIBLE CAPITAL ON THE NON-FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF FIRMS IN SLOVENIA","authors":"Eva Erjavec, Tjaša Redek","doi":"10.51936/tip.60.1.109","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.60.1.109","url":null,"abstract":"Article examines the impact of digitalisation and intangible capital investment on the non-financial performance of firms in Slovenia. Article examines the relationship between: (1) digitalisation and firms’ nonfinancial performance; (2) digitalisation and firms’ attitude to digitalisation; (3) investments in intangible capital and firms’ non-financial performance; where we (4) also expect differences by industry and between firms operating in global value chains. Considering survey data, the SEM approach shows that, digitalisation and intangible investment both have positive effects on non-financial performance. Level of digitalisation depends on the importance attributed to digitalisation, whereas the importance of digitalisation depends on the expected long-term benefits of digitalisation for the firm. Level of digitalisation is dependent on the anticipated long-term benefits of digitalisation. These have a positive, yet non-significant impact on a firm’s level of digitalisation. Despite business agility having an impact on the importance of digitalisation for businesses that is less than the expected benefits, it is still highly significant. Other results were not statistically significant. Keywords: intangible capital, digitalisation, firm performance","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2023-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48387161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-29DOI: 10.51936/tip.59.4.892-906
Jure Spruk
Članek obravnava vprašanje racionalnosti moderne politike. Avtor oponira predstavi o politiki, ki jo bolj kot razum determinirajo strasti. Glavni namen je prikazati razumsko razsežnost političnega, s kate-ro je na pot pospremljena moderna politična znanost. Ker političnost predpostavlja oblastne odnose med vladajočimi in vladanimi, je potrebno razumsko plat politike prikazati z obeh zornih kotov. Medtem ko je Machiavelli v 16. stoletju razumsko plat politike skušal prikazati knezu, se je Hobbes v 17. stoletju v iskanju zrna razuma obrnil k sleherniku. Oba pionirja moder-ne politične znanosti potrdita, da se v jedru političnosti nahaja razum, ki mora za namene političnega delova-nja obvladati strasti.Ključni pojmi: politika, politična znanost, razum, Niccolò Machiavelli, Thomas Hobbes
{"title":"RACIONALNOST MODERNE POLITIKE: K RAZUMEVANJU JEDRA POLITIČNOSTI","authors":"Jure Spruk","doi":"10.51936/tip.59.4.892-906","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.59.4.892-906","url":null,"abstract":"Članek obravnava vprašanje racionalnosti moderne politike. Avtor oponira predstavi o politiki, ki jo bolj kot razum determinirajo strasti. Glavni namen je prikazati razumsko razsežnost političnega, s kate-ro je na pot pospremljena moderna politična znanost. Ker političnost predpostavlja oblastne odnose med vladajočimi in vladanimi, je potrebno razumsko plat politike prikazati z obeh zornih kotov. Medtem ko je Machiavelli v 16. stoletju razumsko plat politike skušal prikazati knezu, se je Hobbes v 17. stoletju v iskanju zrna razuma obrnil k sleherniku. Oba pionirja moder-ne politične znanosti potrdita, da se v jedru političnosti nahaja razum, ki mora za namene političnega delova-nja obvladati strasti.Ključni pojmi: politika, politična znanost, razum, Niccolò Machiavelli, Thomas Hobbes","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2022-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43408223","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-29DOI: 10.51936/tip.59.4.969-988
Boško Picula, Đana Luša
The war in Ukraine is the most significant threat to the peace of the Euro-Atlantic area in decades. After 4 years of Trump’s weakening of transatlantic relations, Biden’s presumed foreign policy doctrine includes their quick renewal, or re-Atlantisation. The article problematises the ‘new’ strategy of containment given Russia’s aggression, the state of transatlantic relations, and the current global order’s configuration, whereby the transatlantic bond is being strengthened and the formation of Biden’s foreign policy doctrine is being followed by a ‘grand-strategic’ shift. Four different models of transatlantic relations (mutual autonomy, strategic autonomy, strategic partnership, situational partnership) are discussed where variables include the approach taken by the USA to transatlantic relations, and the approach of Europe’s EU and NATO members to transatlantic relations are addressed. The main argument is that transatlantic relations during Biden’s mandate have constantly oscillated between a stra-tegic partnership, especially related to common goals of democracy promotion and containment and situ-ational partnership. Situations like the war in Ukraine have simultaneously acted to strengthen the American–European partnership based on the shared security and political interests.Keywords: transatlantic relations, reatlantisation, USA, Europe, Biden doctrine, war in Ukraine, strategic part-nership, situational partnership
{"title":"THE BIDEN DOCTRINE AND THE WAR IN UKRAINE: RENEWED TRANSATLANTIC RELATIONS OR REATLANTISATION BETWEEN A STRATEGIC AND ASITUATIONAL PARTNERSHIP","authors":"Boško Picula, Đana Luša","doi":"10.51936/tip.59.4.969-988","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.59.4.969-988","url":null,"abstract":"The war in Ukraine is the most significant threat to the peace of the Euro-Atlantic area in decades. After 4 years of Trump’s weakening of transatlantic relations, Biden’s presumed foreign policy doctrine includes their quick renewal, or re-Atlantisation. The article problematises the ‘new’ strategy of containment given Russia’s aggression, the state of transatlantic relations, and the current global order’s configuration, whereby the transatlantic bond is being strengthened and the formation of Biden’s foreign policy doctrine is being followed by a ‘grand-strategic’ shift. Four different models of transatlantic relations (mutual autonomy, strategic autonomy, strategic partnership, situational partnership) are discussed where variables include the approach taken by the USA to transatlantic relations, and the approach of Europe’s EU and NATO members to transatlantic relations are addressed. The main argument is that transatlantic relations during Biden’s mandate have constantly oscillated between a stra-tegic partnership, especially related to common goals of democracy promotion and containment and situ-ational partnership. Situations like the war in Ukraine have simultaneously acted to strengthen the American–European partnership based on the shared security and political interests.Keywords: transatlantic relations, reatlantisation, USA, Europe, Biden doctrine, war in Ukraine, strategic part-nership, situational partnership","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2022-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49450457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-29DOI: 10.51936/tip.59.4.928-944
Mirt Komel
Članek obravnava motiv »kuge« v izbra-nih literarnih besedilih: kuga v grškem taboru iz prvega speva Homerjeve Iliade; uvodni nagovor iz Boccaccievega Dekamerona; in Camusev roman Kuga. Posebna pozornost velja vzrokom za kugo in sredstvom za njeno odpravo, ki se seveda spreminjajo tako glede na literarna izrazna sredstva (poezija, proza, roman) kot tudi glede na zgodovinski kontekst (antični polite-izem, srednjeveški monoteizem, moderni ateizem). Na koncu je na tej podlagi podan poskus interpretacije sodobne globalne pandemije.Ključni pojmi: Homer, Iliada, Boccaccio, Dekameron, Camus, Kuga
{"title":"LITERATURA KUGE V PANDEMIČNI DOBI: HOMERJEVA ILIADA, BOCCACCIEV DEKAMERON, CAMUSEVA KUGA","authors":"Mirt Komel","doi":"10.51936/tip.59.4.928-944","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.59.4.928-944","url":null,"abstract":"Članek obravnava motiv »kuge« v izbra-nih literarnih besedilih: kuga v grškem taboru iz prvega speva Homerjeve Iliade; uvodni nagovor iz Boccaccievega Dekamerona; in Camusev roman Kuga. Posebna pozornost velja vzrokom za kugo in sredstvom za njeno odpravo, ki se seveda spreminjajo tako glede na literarna izrazna sredstva (poezija, proza, roman) kot tudi glede na zgodovinski kontekst (antični polite-izem, srednjeveški monoteizem, moderni ateizem). Na koncu je na tej podlagi podan poskus interpretacije sodobne globalne pandemije.Ključni pojmi: Homer, Iliada, Boccaccio, Dekameron, Camus, Kuga","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2022-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42040188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-29DOI: 10.51936/tip.59.4.989-1009
J. Damijan, Črt Kosevc
nternational tobacco smuggling remains an important concern for governments, tobacco manufactur-ers and health experts alike. While often linked to other forms of illegal activities, it also directly impacts govern-ment tax and health policies. Knowledge of factors that contribute to illicit tobacco trade and the existence of smug-gling routes is strongly hampered by the lack of reliable data on bilateral flows of illicit tobacco. Therefore, recon-structing the trafficking routes and estimating the size of cross-border illicit flows are crucial steps for gaining bet-ter understanding of these crimes and enforcing actions aimed at countering them. This study is the first to use grav-ity estimation techniques to decompose aggregate illicit cig-arette inflows for which data are available into their bilat-eral components. Our approach is a simple and effective method that can serve as a complement to other methods of pinpointing international trafficking flows such as empty discarded pack data or network analysis to help in the fight against illicit tobacco flows. Policymakers, customs officials as well as law enforcement can employ the presented meth-ods as an additional tool in the fight against illicit trade. Keywords: bilateral illicit cigarette trade, gravity model, predictive estimation
{"title":"THE GRAVITY OF TOBACCO SMUGGLING. PREDICTING BILATERAL ILLICIT CIGARETTE FLOWS FROM AGGREGATE DATA","authors":"J. Damijan, Črt Kosevc","doi":"10.51936/tip.59.4.989-1009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.51936/tip.59.4.989-1009","url":null,"abstract":"nternational tobacco smuggling remains an important concern for governments, tobacco manufactur-ers and health experts alike. While often linked to other forms of illegal activities, it also directly impacts govern-ment tax and health policies. Knowledge of factors that contribute to illicit tobacco trade and the existence of smug-gling routes is strongly hampered by the lack of reliable data on bilateral flows of illicit tobacco. Therefore, recon-structing the trafficking routes and estimating the size of cross-border illicit flows are crucial steps for gaining bet-ter understanding of these crimes and enforcing actions aimed at countering them. This study is the first to use grav-ity estimation techniques to decompose aggregate illicit cig-arette inflows for which data are available into their bilat-eral components. Our approach is a simple and effective method that can serve as a complement to other methods of pinpointing international trafficking flows such as empty discarded pack data or network analysis to help in the fight against illicit tobacco flows. Policymakers, customs officials as well as law enforcement can employ the presented meth-ods as an additional tool in the fight against illicit trade. Keywords: bilateral illicit cigarette trade, gravity model, predictive estimation","PeriodicalId":44389,"journal":{"name":"TEORIJA IN PRAKSA","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2022-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44879368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
扫码关注我们
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：