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20th Century Philosophy of Science in Focus 聚焦20世纪科学哲学
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1784585
T. Arabatzis
As indicated by its title, this book provides an overview of philosophy of science in the twentieth century. It focuses mostly on post-WWII philosophy of science, but it discusses earlier developme...
正如书名所示,本书概述了二十世纪的科学哲学。它主要集中在二战后的科学哲学,但它讨论了早期的发展。。。
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引用次数: 0
Metaphysical experiments – Physics and the invention of the universe 形而上学的实验-物理学和宇宙的发明
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1767893
T. Grammenos
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引用次数: 1
Editorial Report 2019 2019年编辑报告
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2019.1814040
V. Kindi
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引用次数: 0
The Primacy of the Classical? Saul Kripke Meets Niels Bohr 古典文学的首要地位?索尔·克里普克遇见尼尔斯·玻尔
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1767890
C. Howson
ABSTRACT Kripke's theory of partial truth offers a natural solution of the Liar paradox and an appealing explanation of why the Liar sentence seems to lack definite content. It seems vulnerable, however, to the objection that it cannot state important facts about partial truth. I point out that the same vulnerability infects the quantum logic developed by Garrett Birkhoff and John von Neumann, among others. It is often claimed that the only way to record these facts is within a classical metalanguage, but Kripke showed that the same language can function both as the language of partial truth and also as a classically bivalent language. An explanation of why we need a classical explanation of a non-classical system was advanced in the context of quantum mechanics by Niels Bohr, and it applies also, I argue, to the partial truth situation.
摘要克里普克的部分真理理论为说者悖论提供了一个自然的解决方案,并对为什么说者句子似乎缺乏明确的内容做出了有吸引力的解释。然而,它似乎很容易受到反对,即它不能陈述关于部分真相的重要事实。我指出,同样的漏洞也感染了Garrett Birkhoff和John von Neumann等人开发的量子逻辑。人们经常声称,记录这些事实的唯一方法是在古典元语言中,但克里普克表明,同一种语言既可以作为部分真理的语言,也可以作为经典的二价语言。尼尔斯·玻尔在量子力学的背景下提出了一种解释,解释为什么我们需要对非经典系统进行经典解释,我认为这也适用于部分真理的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Are Pseudosciences Like Seagulls? A Discriminant Metacriterion Facilitates the Solution of the Demarcation Problem 伪科学像海鸥吗?判别元准则有助于划界问题的求解
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1767891
A. Fasce
ABSTRACT In this article, I develop a philosophical framework, or ‘metacriterion’, for the demarcation of pseudoscience. Firstly, ‘gradualist demarcation’ is discussed in depth, considering an approach to the demarcation problem that presupposes the existence of a spectrum between science and pseudoscience; six general problems are found by means of this analysis. Secondly, based on the subsequent discussion of these problems, a discriminant metacriterion composed of four philosophical requirements is proposed. Lastly, it is shown that this metacriterion is able to guide the development of a workable and well-founded demarcation criterion for pseudoscience.
摘要在这篇文章中,我提出了一个哲学框架,或称为“元标准”,用于界定伪科学。首先,深入讨论了“渐进划界”,考虑了一种以科学和伪科学之间存在光谱为前提的划界问题的方法;通过分析发现了六个普遍存在的问题。其次,在随后对这些问题的讨论的基础上,提出了一个由四个哲学要求组成的判别元准则。最后,证明了这种元准则能够指导伪科学的一个可行的、有充分依据的划界准则的发展。
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引用次数: 7
The Selective Confirmation Answer to the Paradox of the Ravens 乌鸦悖论的选择性确认答案
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1768014
William Peden
ABSTRACT Philosophers such as Goodman (1954), Scheffler (1963) and Glymour (1983) aim to answer the Paradox of the Ravens by distinguishing between confirmation simpliciter and selective confirmation. The latter evidential relation occurs when data not only confirms a hypothesis, but also disconfirms one of its ‘rival’ hypotheses. The appearance of paradox is allegedly due to a conflation of valid intuitions about selective confirmation with our intuitions about confirmation simpliciter. Theories of evidence, like the standard Bayesian analysis, should only be understood as explications of confirmation simpliciter; when we disambiguate between selective confirmation and confirmation simpliciter, there is no longer a paradox from these theories. Bandyopadhyay and Brittan (2006) have revived this answer within a sophisticated Bayesian analysis of confirmation and severe testing. I argue that, despite the attractive features of the Selective Confirmation Answer, there is no analysis of this evidential relation that satisfactorily answers the Paradox of the Ravens, and the prospects for any answer along these lines are bleak. We must look elsewhere.
古德曼(1954)、舍弗勒(1963)和格里莫(1983)等哲学家试图通过区分简单确认和选择性确认来回答乌鸦悖论。后一种证据关系发生在数据不仅证实了一个假设,而且也否定了其“竞争”假设之一的情况下。据称,悖论的出现是由于关于选择性确认的有效直觉与我们关于简单确认的直觉的合并。证据理论,就像标准的贝叶斯分析一样,只应该被理解为更简单的确认的解释;当我们在选择性确认和简化确认之间消除歧义时,这些理论不再存在悖论。Bandyopadhyay和Brittan(2006)通过一种复杂的贝叶斯确认分析和严格的测试,重新提出了这个答案。我认为,尽管选择性确认答案具有吸引人的特点,但没有对这种证据关系的分析能令人满意地回答乌鸦悖论,而且沿着这些思路找到任何答案的前景都是黯淡的。我们必须另寻他处。
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引用次数: 1
On the Concept and Conservation of Critical Natural Capital 论关键自然资本的概念与保护
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1788347
C. DesRoches
ABSTRACT Ecological economics is an interdisciplinary science that is primarily concerned with developing interventions to achieve sustainable ecological and economic systems. While ecological economists have, over the last few decades, made various empirical, theoretical, and conceptual advancements, there is one concept in particular that remains subject to confusion: critical natural capital. While critical natural capital denotes parts of the environment that are essential for the continued existence of our species, the meaning of terms commonly associated with this concept, such as ‘non-substitutable’ and ‘impossible to substitute,’ require a clearer formulation then they tend to receive. With the help of equations and graphs, this article develops new definite account of critical natural capital that makes explicit what it means for objective environmental conditions to be essential for continued existence. The second main part of this article turns to the question of formally modelling the priority of conserving critical natural capital. While some ecological economists have maintained that, beyond a certain threshold, critical natural capital possesses absolute infinite value, absolute infinite utility models encounter significant problems. This article shows that a relative infinite utility model provides a better way to model the priority of conserving critical natural capital.
摘要生态经济学是一门跨学科的科学,主要关注制定干预措施,以实现可持续的生态和经济系统。尽管生态经济学家在过去几十年中取得了各种实证、理论和概念上的进步,但有一个概念仍然存在困惑:关键自然资本。虽然关键自然资本指的是环境中对我们物种的持续生存至关重要的部分,但通常与这一概念相关的术语的含义,如“不可替代的”和“不可能替代的”,需要比它们通常接受的更清晰的表述。借助方程和图表,本文对临界自然资本进行了新的明确解释,明确了客观环境条件对持续存在的必要性。本文的第二个主要部分转向对保护关键自然资本的优先顺序进行正式建模的问题。尽管一些生态经济学家认为,超过一定阈值,临界自然资本具有绝对无限价值,但绝对无限效用模型遇到了重大问题。本文表明,相对无限效用模型提供了一种更好的方法来建模保护关键自然资本的优先级。
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引用次数: 4
An Epistemic Puzzle About Knowledge and Rational Credence 关于知识与理性信任的认知困惑
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2019.1704615
Manuel Pérez Otero
ABSTRACT I present some puzzling cases regarding knowledge and its relation to rational credence. They seem to entail a failure of an apparently correct principle: (a) if S knows P, then the epistemic justification S has for believing Not-P is not greater than her epistemic justification for believing P. The cases at issue involve the following two conflicting facts, relative to a given subject S and a proposition P in a determinate context. Firstly, some people have a very strong intuition that: (b) S has perceptual knowledge of P. Secondly, all of us, when reflecting on the relevant data, have a very strong intuition for this other thesis: (c) the epistemic justification S has for believing Not-P is much greater than her epistemic justification for believing P. The cases seem to be instances of the base-rate fallacy, so that—apparently—the subject would be irrational if she believed proposition P. My main aim here is to present the puzzle. But, I also provide a solution for it that preserves thesis (b) without renouncing Bayesian epistemology, which is the basis for thesis (c).
我提出了一些关于知识及其与理性信任的关系的令人困惑的案例。它们似乎导致了一个表面上正确的原则的失败:(a)如果S知道P,那么S相信非P的认识论论证并不大于她相信P的认识论论证。争论的案例涉及以下两个相互冲突的事实,它们与给定的主体S和特定语境中的命题P有关。首先,有些人有一种非常强烈的直觉,即:(b) S对p有感性认识。其次,我们所有人在反思相关数据时,对这另一个论点有一种非常强烈的直觉:(c) S相信非p的认识论理由比她相信p的认识论理由要大得多。这些案例似乎是基本率谬论的实例,因此,很明显,如果主体相信命题p,那么她就是非理性的。但是,我也提供了一个解决方案,它保留了论点(b),而不放弃贝叶斯认识论,这是论点(c)的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Hume’s Problem Solved: The Optimality of Meta-Induction 休谟问题的解决:元归纳法的最优化
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2020.1767892
Tomoji Shogenji
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引用次数: 30
Climate Models: How to Assess Their Reliability 气候模型:如何评估其可靠性
IF 0.8 2区 哲学 Q2 HISTORY & PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/02698595.2019.1644722
M. Carrier, J. Lenhard
ABSTRACT The paper discusses modelling uncertainties in climate models and how they can be addressed based on physical principles as well as based on how the models perform in light of empirical data. We argue that the reliability of climate models can be judged by three kinds of standards: striking confirmation, supplementing independent causal arguments, and judging the causal core of models by establishing model robustness. We also use model robustness for delimiting confirmational holism. We survey recent results of climate modelling and identify salient results that fulfil each of the three standards. Our conclusion is that climate models can be considered reliable for some qualitative gross features and some long-term tendencies of the climate system as well as for quantitative aspects of some smaller-scale mechanisms. The adequacy of climate models for other purposes is less convincing. Among the latter are probability estimates, in particular, those concerning rare events. On the whole, climate models suffer from important deficits and are difficult to verify, but are still better confirmed and more reliable than parts of the methodological literature suggest.
摘要本文讨论了气候模型中的建模不确定性,以及如何根据物理原理以及模型如何根据经验数据进行处理。我们认为,气候模型的可靠性可以通过三种标准来判断:引人注目的确认、补充独立的因果论据,以及通过建立模型稳健性来判断模型的因果核心。我们还使用模型鲁棒性来界定确认整体性。我们调查了最近的气候建模结果,并确定了符合三个标准的显著结果。我们的结论是,对于气候系统的一些定性总体特征和一些长期趋势,以及一些较小规模机制的定量方面,气候模型可以被认为是可靠的。气候模型用于其他目的的充分性就不那么令人信服了。后者包括概率估计,特别是关于罕见事件的概率估计。总的来说,气候模型存在重大缺陷,难以验证,但仍比部分方法论文献所表明的得到更好的证实和更可靠。
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引用次数: 7
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International Studies in the Philosophy of Science
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