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Frontmatter 头版头条
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2023-frontmatter1
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引用次数: 0
Production Network and Emission Control Targets-Theoretical Approach 生产网络与排放控制目标理论探讨
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0032
Reza Eslamipoor, Z. Wang, O. Kolade
Abstract By spurring trade, the level of income and consumption and production increase, which consequently causes a more polluted environment. As global economic integration escalates, the possibility of contention becomes more translucent. The foundation of this article is based on the Ricardian model regarding consumption and production pollution function in six scenarios depending on Autarky or trade situation. There is also a difference in the relative labour size of countries. Also, pollution tightness can clarify whether there are any concerns about climate change regarding the production pollution function and consumption pollution function. The theoretical approach proves that unemployment does not occur when we have no concerns about climate change and this tightness of pollution would not impact the level of production and consumption. The emission intensity, relative labour size and tightness of pollution targets are the key elements discussed in both Autarky and trade. The critical point about trade is that it enters specialization, and the home country only produces good 1 and the foreign country only produces good 2. The main finding of this paper, based on a simple theoretical approach, is about the impact of one unit change in relative labour size regarding pollution tightness with respect to the labour force of both home and foreign countries is provided at the end.
通过刺激贸易,收入、消费和生产水平增加,从而导致更严重的环境污染。随着全球经济一体化的升级,争论的可能性变得更加模糊。本文的研究基础是建立在李嘉图模型的基础上的,李嘉图模型是关于消费和生产污染函数的六种情况,取决于自给自足或贸易情况。各国的相对劳动力规模也存在差异。此外,污染封闭性可以澄清生产污染函数和消费污染函数是否存在对气候变化的担忧。理论方法证明,当我们不担心气候变化时,失业不会发生,这种污染的严密性不会影响生产和消费水平。排放强度、相对劳动力规模和污染目标的紧密性是自给自足和贸易中讨论的关键因素。贸易的关键点在于它进入专业化,母国只生产商品1,外国只生产商品2。本文的主要发现,基于一个简单的理论方法,是关于相对劳动力规模的一个单位变化对污染紧张程度对国内外劳动力的影响,并在最后提供。
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引用次数: 1
Sanctions against North Korea: A Descriptive Analysis of their Economic Impact (2000–2020) 对朝制裁:经济影响的描述性分析(2000-2020)
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0042
Simone Zani
Abstract This article examines the economic impact of sanctions on North Korea from 2000 to 2020. More specifically, it analyzes the trend of the main economic indicators—namely, GDP and trade—using statistical data from trading partners and international organizations in an effort to evaluate the overall effectiveness of this policy tool. After providing a brief overview on the evolution of the North Korean nuclear program, the first section frames the different types of sanctions imposed on the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea by the leading senders over the years. The second part focuses entirely on the analysis of the economic impact of these measures. The descriptive evidence suggests that the sanctions remarkably impacted the North Korean economy and trade. However, the ability of North Korea to establish an efficient mechanism of sanctions busting, backed particularly by China and Russia, has undermined the effectiveness of these sanctions.
本文考察了2000年至2020年制裁对朝鲜的经济影响。更具体地说,它利用来自贸易伙伴和国际组织的统计数据,分析主要经济指标(即GDP和贸易)的趋势,以评估这一政策工具的总体有效性。在简要概述了朝鲜核计划的演变之后,第一部分概述了多年来主要派遣国对朝鲜民主主义人民共和国实施的不同类型的制裁。第二部分主要分析了这些措施的经济影响。描述性证据表明,制裁对朝鲜的经济和贸易产生了显著影响。然而,在中国和俄罗斯的支持下,朝鲜建立有效的制裁破坏机制的能力削弱了这些制裁的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Public Support for UN Missions and Attacks on Peacekeepers: Evidence From the Democratic Republic of the Congo 公众支持联合国特派团和袭击维和人员:来自刚果民主共和国的证据
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-11-17 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0028
B. Giray
Abstract UN peacekeepers are often targeted by rebel groups. The violence they experience hinders the functionality of peacekeeping operations, constituting a major problem for the UN. What conditions make these attacks more likely? How does the local support for UN peacekeeping operations affect the violence against peacekeepers? Using an original data set that includes local trust sentiments towards MONUSCO’s peacekeepers in the Democratic Republic of the Congo from October 2014 to December 2020, this study finds that peacekeepers are attacked more often when they lack local support. In the absence of local support, peacekeepers become vulnerable as they can no longer gather intelligence about rebel activities from the locals and the increased distrust for peacekeepers gives propagandist benefits to rebel groups. This study suggests to the UN that it needs to employ strategies in peacekeeping operations that would legitimize the presence of peacekeepers and cultivate more strengthened civil-military relations.
联合国维和人员经常成为反叛组织的目标。他们所经历的暴力阻碍了维和行动的运作,这对联合国来说是一个重大问题。是什么条件使这些袭击更有可能发生?当地对联合国维和行动的支持如何影响针对维和人员的暴力行为?这项研究使用了一组原始数据,其中包括2014年10月至2020年12月当地对联刚稳定团驻刚果民主共和国维和人员的信任情绪,发现维和人员在缺乏当地支持时更容易受到攻击。在缺乏当地支持的情况下,维和人员变得脆弱,因为他们无法再从当地收集有关反叛活动的情报,对维和人员的不信任加剧,给反叛组织带来了宣传利益。这项研究向联合国表明,联合国需要在维和行动中采用战略,使维和人员的存在合法化,并培养更加加强的军民关系。
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引用次数: 1
Is It Right to Fight? Evidence from Russia and Ukraine 战斗对吗?来自俄罗斯和乌克兰的证据
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-13 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0011
M. Farzanegan, S. Fischer
Abstract We study the acceptability of war under certain conditions across individuals from Russia and Ukraine on the basis of World Values Survey in 2011. The period of analysis is before the beginning of military confrontations between the two countries (which started with the annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation in 2014). We discuss which socio-economic, political and individual characteristics shape the justification of war under certain conditions. Overall, the acceptance of war is relatively low in both countries. Using logistic regressions, we found that there are characteristics that significantly reduce the justification of war in both countries, such as gender and level of happiness. Support in both countries is also significantly larger among respondents who are interested in politics and are married. Additionally, there are conditions which produce different results between the countries, such as religiosity, country aims, employment, confidence in the government, concern over possible war and political orientation.
本文以2011年世界价值观调查为基础,研究了俄罗斯和乌克兰个体在特定条件下对战争的可接受性。分析期是在两国之间的军事对抗开始之前(始于2014年俄罗斯联邦吞并克里米亚)。我们讨论在某些条件下,哪些社会经济、政治和个人特征决定了战争的正当性。总体而言,两国对战争的接受度相对较低。使用逻辑回归,我们发现在这两个国家都有显著降低战争正当性的特征,如性别和幸福水平。在这两个国家,对政治感兴趣且已婚的受访者中,支持率也明显更高。此外,还有一些条件会在国家之间产生不同的结果,例如宗教信仰,国家目标,就业,对政府的信心,对可能发生的战争和政治取向的关注。
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引用次数: 3
Conflict or Cooperation: A Survival Analysis of the Relationship between Regional Trade Agreements and Military Conflict 冲突还是合作:区域贸易协定与军事冲突关系的生存分析
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0012
Teresa L. Cyrus
Abstract This paper examines the timing behind the decision of countries to enter into regional trade agreements or interstate military conflicts, considering these two potential actions as substitute strategies. Using bilateral data from 1950 to 2014, I employ survival analysis to examine the factors that determine the likelihood of two countries entering into a regional trade agreement or a military conflict at any point in time. Historical or recent wars are posited to raise the gains from trade and therefore increase the likelihood that two countries choose to join the same trade agreement. On the other side, the existence of a strong trade relationship may raise the opportunity cost of entering into a conflict; bilateral trade flows and common membership in a regional trade agreement are posited to impact the likelihood of conflict. Other explanatory variables that affect the likelihood of either a common trade agreement or a military conflict include economic size, measured as the product of and the difference in the two countries’ GDPs; level of development, measured as the product of and the difference in the two countries’ per-capita GDPs; geography, measured by distance, contiguity, landlocked status, and island status; institutional linkages, represented by a common language, a colonial relationship, or a common legal origin; and political variables, including WTO membership, democracy, military alliances, and being a major oil producer. Results show that economic, geographic, institutional, and political variables all influence the probability that two countries enter into a conflict or join the same regional trade agreement.
摘要本文考察了各国决定签订区域贸易协定或州际军事冲突的时机,并将这两种潜在行动视为替代战略。利用1950年至2014年的双边数据,我采用生存分析来研究决定两国在任何时候签订区域贸易协议或军事冲突可能性的因素。历史或最近的战争被认为是为了提高贸易收益,从而增加两国选择加入同一贸易协议的可能性。另一方面,强有力的贸易关系的存在可能会增加陷入冲突的机会成本;双边贸易流动和区域贸易协定的共同成员资格被认为会影响冲突的可能性。影响共同贸易协议或军事冲突可能性的其他解释变量包括经济规模,以两国GDP的乘积和差异衡量;发展水平,以两国人均国内生产总值的乘积和差异来衡量;地理,以距离、毗连性、内陆地位和岛屿地位衡量;以共同语言、殖民关系或共同法律渊源为代表的制度联系;以及政治变量,包括加入世贸组织、民主、军事联盟以及成为主要石油生产国。结果表明,经济、地理、制度和政治变量都会影响两国陷入冲突或加入同一区域贸易协定的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Temperature Variability and Trust in Vietnamese Rural Households 越南农村家庭的温度变化与信任
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0020
A. Baronchelli
Abstract This paper investigates the impact of climate variability on trust in Vietnamese rural households. I contribute to the existing literature, mainly focused on natural disasters, by studying the impact on trust of smooth climate changes. Climate variations are measured using deviations of the minimum temperature in June from the average. I argue that increases in this variable are relevant for the rice, which is the staple food in Viet Nam. Increases in minimum temperatures may reduce rice yields and this, in turn, may affect individuals’ propensity to cooperate. Trust is measured using VARHS survey conducted from 2008 to 2014. Estimation of a linear probability model reveals a significantly positive association between the two variables of interest, which is robust after controlling for several checks.
摘要本文调查了气候变化对越南农村家庭信任的影响。我通过研究平稳的气候变化对信任的影响,为现有文献做出了贡献,这些文献主要关注自然灾害。气候变化是通过6月最低气温与平均气温的偏差来测量的。我认为,这一变量的增加与大米有关,大米是越南的主食。最低气温的升高可能会降低水稻产量,而这反过来又可能影响个人的合作倾向。信任是通过2008年至2014年进行的VARHS调查来衡量的。线性概率模型的估计揭示了两个感兴趣的变量之间的显著正关联,这在控制了几个检查之后是稳健的。
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引用次数: 2
Militarization and Income Inequality in European Countries (2000–2017) 欧洲国家军事化与收入不平等(2000-2017)
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0026
Raul Caruso, Antonella Biscione
Abstract This paper investigates the impact of militarization on income inequality. The analysis is conducted on a panel of 40 European countries over the period 2000–2017. The degree of militarization of a country is captured by means of the Global Militarization Index (GMI) and we employ the Gini index as a measure of inequality. The main findings show that militarization and inequality are positively associated. The findings appear to be robust. We also consider control variables related to military commitment, namely (i) conscription; (ii) NATO membership; (iii) involvement in an armed conflict. Interestingly conscription appears to be negatively associated with income inequality whereas an armed conflict and NATO membership show the opposite sign. For sake of robustness, we undertake the same estimations on alternative samples of countries and results are confirmed. Eventually, to deal with the issue of endogeneity, we apply the Lewbel, IV–GMM approach and results are confirmed.
摘要本文研究军事化对收入不平等的影响。该分析是在2000年至2017年期间对40个欧洲国家进行的。一个国家的军事化程度是通过全球军事化指数(GMI)来衡量的,我们使用基尼指数来衡量不平等。主要研究结果表明,军事化与不平等呈正相关。这些发现似乎是有力的。我们还考虑了与军事承诺相关的控制变量,即(i)征兵;北约成员;(三)卷入武装冲突。有趣的是,征兵似乎与收入不平等呈负相关,而武装冲突和北约成员国则表现出相反的迹象。为了保证稳健性,我们对各国的备选样本进行了相同的估计,并对结果进行了确认。最后,为了处理内生性问题,我们应用了lebel, IV-GMM方法,并对结果进行了验证。
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引用次数: 1
The Role of Institutional Quality in Military Spending and Unemployment Nexus in Nigeria 机构质量在尼日利亚军费开支和失业关系中的作用
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-0006
I. Raifu, E. O. Obijole, O. Nnadozie
Abstract This paper adopts the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimation method to investigate the moderating role of institutional quality in military spending and the unemployment rate nexus in Nigeria for the period from 1984 to 2019. It also tests the direction of causality between military spending and unemployment using the Toda-Yamamoto Granger non-causality method. The causality results show that the direction of causality depends on the measure of military spending used. The main results indicate that military spending only reduces unemployment in the short run and worsens unemployment in the long run. The results further show that institutional quality does not play any significant moderating role in the relationship between military spending and unemployment. Based on our findings, we advocate that the government should allocate its expenditure properly, especially to the most productive sectors of the economy instead of increasing military spending that has no long-run effect on unemployment. Besides, the government needs to strengthen the institutional apparatuses in the country.
摘要本文采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)估计方法,研究了1984 - 2019年尼日利亚制度质量对军费开支和失业率关系的调节作用。运用Toda-Yamamoto Granger非因果关系方法检验了军费支出与失业之间的因果关系方向。因果关系结果表明,因果关系的方向取决于所使用的军费开支的度量。主要结果表明,军费开支只在短期内减少失业,在长期内加剧失业。结果进一步表明,制度质量在军费支出与失业的关系中没有显著的调节作用。根据我们的研究结果,我们主张政府应该合理分配其支出,特别是分配给经济中最具生产力的部门,而不是增加对失业没有长期影响的军事开支。此外,政府需要加强国家的制度机构。
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引用次数: 4
PEPS has Gained Further Attention PEPS获得进一步关注
IF 1 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-05-01 DOI: 10.1515/peps-2022-9017
R. Caruso
Nowadays, it seems that investigating peace and conflict is more crucial than before. The recrudescence of armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine reminded scholars that much remains to be done not only to understand determinants and consequences of wars but also to provide policy-makers with workable solutions to build a long-lasting peace. Albeit apparently novel, the importance of investigating peace andwar is not a novelty for peace economists and peace scientists. In particular, PEPS also has played and keeps playing a role in this field of research. PEPS has been founded byWalter Isard in 1993 with the aim to create a novel outlet for peace scientists and peace economists. In particular, PEPSwas designed to attract contributions from an interdisciplinary community of scholars from awide variety of disciplines such as economics and political science, as well as regional science, geography and mathematics. Moreover, PEPS was intended to combine both positive and normative studies alongside policy-oriented papers. As said above, much remains to be done. First, we are not still fully aware of economic determinants of political violence. In this respect, it is still worth citing some lines in the preface of North et al. (2009) [...] The absence of a workable integrated theory of economics and politics reflects the lack of systematic thinking about the central problem of violence in human societies. How societies solve the ubiquitous threat of violence shapes and constraints the forms that human interaction can take [...]’. Secondly, we also do not have an adequate knowledge of the wide set of costs emerging in the presence of actual and potential violence. On the one hand, we are now aware that the costs of wars in many cases do constitute a life-long burden for polities, societies and people. In this respect, in the latest years as peace scholars we have departed from the accounting approach to armed conflict to take into consideration a broader approach involving long-term economic and political aspects as well as long-term psychological and societal consequences. Such general considerations are only the backbone of a literature
如今,调查和平与冲突似乎比以前更加重要。俄罗斯和乌克兰之间武装冲突的再次爆发提醒学者们,不仅要了解战争的决定因素和后果,还要为决策者提供建立持久和平的可行解决方案,还有很多工作要做。尽管研究和平与战争的重要性显然很新颖,但对于和平经济学家和和平科学家来说,这并不是什么新鲜事。特别是政治公众人物系统在这一研究领域也一直发挥着作用。PEPS由Walter Isard于1993年创立,旨在为和平科学家和和平经济学家创造一个新颖的渠道。特别是,PEPSwa旨在吸引来自经济学和政治学以及区域科学、地理和数学等多学科的跨学科学者群体的贡献。此外,政治公众人物计划旨在将积极研究和规范性研究与面向政策的论文结合起来。如上所述,还有许多工作要做。首先,我们仍然没有充分认识到政治暴力的经济决定因素。在这方面,仍然值得引用North等人序言中的一些话。(2009)[…]缺乏可行的经济学和政治学综合理论,反映出对人类社会暴力这一核心问题缺乏系统的思考。社会如何解决无处不在的暴力威胁,塑造并限制了人类互动的形式[…]。其次,我们也不充分了解实际和潜在暴力所产生的广泛成本。一方面,我们现在意识到,在许多情况下,战争的代价确实构成了政治、社会和人民的终身负担。在这方面,最近几年,作为和平学者,我们已经偏离了对武装冲突的核算方法,转而考虑更广泛的方法,涉及长期的经济和政治方面以及长期的心理和社会后果。这种一般性的考虑只是文学的支柱
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Peace Economics Peace Science and Public Policy
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