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Modified J-Curve Theory, Iran’s Socio-Economic Bottlenecks and the 1979 Fall of the Pahlavi Monarchy 修正j曲线理论、伊朗社会经济瓶颈与1979年巴列维君主制倒台
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2023.2168381
G. Vatandoust, M. Sheipari
Abstract No one disputes the authenticity of the Islamic Revolution of 1979 that led to the overthrow of the Pahlavi regime and left its footprint in the region and the world at large. This research is an attempt to revisit the Islamic Revolution from an entirely new perspective, looking at the fall of the Pahlavi regime from a combined modified J-Curve Theory of James Davis and Abraham Maslow’s theory of human needs. These combined theories are applied to the socio-economic conditions that lead to the fall of the Pahlavi regime in 1979. The article aims to determine the socioeconomic variants within the general framework and limitations of the J-Curve and to modify the theory to further explain the more ambiguous aspects that fall beyond the socioeconomic components, those defined as the ‘self-actualization needs,’ in what Maslow describes as the basic self-fulfillment aspirations of human beings. The study has several major objectives. Foremost it concentrates on a review of the socioeconomic bottlenecks during the last fifteen years prior to the Islamic Revolution of 1979. Observers regard these as the years of economic and social growth and prosperity. However, these years also led the country to the brink of collapse and revolution. The study seeks to analyze the socio-economic boom and bust in Iran’s development and the rapid decline during the final years prior to the fall of the Pahlavi regime. The attempt is to try and understand the reasons behind the bottlenecks and failures of many of the policies adopted by the regime and to test the validity of the J-Curve theory. The study also looks beyond Davies’ theory of revolution and argues that the J-Curve cannot respond to higher levels of human needs, particularly the self-actualization needs proposed by Maslow. To resolve this issue, we expand the J-Curve theory to include other paradigms as it became necessary to modify the J-Curve to suit the case. Evidence shows that the Shah promised more than he delivered, which led to his ultimate fall because his promise of a ‘Great Civilization’ could not be realized.
1979年的伊斯兰革命推翻了巴列维政权,并在该地区乃至全世界留下了印记,没有人质疑这场革命的真实性。这项研究试图从一个全新的角度重新审视伊斯兰革命,从詹姆斯·戴维斯的j曲线理论和亚伯拉罕·马斯洛的人类需求理论的组合修改来看待巴列维政权的垮台。这些综合理论被应用于导致1979年巴列维政权垮台的社会经济条件。本文旨在确定j曲线的总体框架和局限性内的社会经济变量,并修改理论以进一步解释社会经济成分之外的更模糊的方面,这些方面被定义为“自我实现需求”,马斯洛将其描述为人类基本的自我实现愿望。这项研究有几个主要目标。首先,它集中回顾了1979年伊斯兰革命前15年的社会经济瓶颈。观察人士认为,这是经济和社会增长和繁荣的年份。然而,这些年也把这个国家带到了崩溃和革命的边缘。这项研究旨在分析伊朗在巴列维政权垮台前最后几年的社会经济繁荣和衰退。其目的是试图理解该政权所采取的许多政策的瓶颈和失败背后的原因,并检验j曲线理论的有效性。这项研究也超越了戴维斯的革命理论,认为j曲线不能回应更高层次的人类需求,特别是马斯洛提出的自我实现需求。为了解决这个问题,我们扩展了j曲线理论,以包括其他范式,因为有必要修改j曲线以适应这种情况。有证据表明,国王的承诺比他所做的要多,这导致了他最终的垮台,因为他对“伟大文明”的承诺无法实现。
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引用次数: 1
On the Receiving End of Diaspora Engagement Policies: Evidence from the Turkish Diaspora in Sweden 论侨民接触政策的接收端:来自瑞典土耳其侨民的证据
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2132194
Arne F Wackenhut
Abstract: While many states directly engage their non-resident populations to rally support for domestic political agendas, extract remittances, or to further foreign policy objectives, few countries have been more active in this space than Turkey under the Justice and Development Party (AKP). By the early 2020s, researchers and scholars had obtained a fairly good understanding of the ways in which the Turkish government seeks to (selectively) engage or cooperate with, but also to suppress some members of what it perceives as its diaspora. These efforts are specified in official diaspora engagement policies and implemented through, for instance, governmental institutions like the ‘Presidency for Turks Abroad and Related Communities’ (YTB), or cultural institutions like the ‘Yunus Emre Institutes.’ However, even though scholars have learned a fair bit about the supply side of Turkish diaspora engagement, we know comparatively little about the demand side of and for such efforts. To begin filling this gap, this article switches perspectives from the supplier to the consumer/recipient and seeks to understand better the ways in which diasporans perceive, relate to, and engage with such efforts. By building on primary and secondary sources as well as semi-structured interviews with members of the Turkish diaspora in Sweden, this article seeks to contribute to an understanding of the varied ways in which diasporans relate and react to different forms of state-led diaspora engagement.
摘要:尽管许多国家直接让非居民参与进来,以争取对国内政治议程的支持、提取汇款或促进外交政策目标,但很少有国家在这一领域比正义与发展党领导下的土耳其更积极。到20世纪20年代初,研究人员和学者已经对土耳其政府寻求(选择性地)参与或合作的方式有了相当好的了解,但也压制了一些被其视为散居国外的成员。这些努力在官方的海外侨民参与政策中有具体规定,并通过“海外土耳其人和相关社区主席团”(YTB)等政府机构或“尤努斯埃姆雷研究所”等文化机构实施然而,尽管学者们已经对土耳其侨民参与的供应方面了解了不少,但我们对这种努力的需求方面知之甚少。为了开始填补这一空白,本文将视角从供应商切换到消费者/接受者,并试图更好地理解散居者感知、联系和参与这些努力的方式。本文以主要和次要来源以及对瑞典土耳其侨民成员的半结构化采访为基础,试图有助于理解侨民与国家领导的不同形式的侨民接触的联系和反应方式。
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引用次数: 0
Home and Host Country Policy Interaction in the Making of Turkey’s Diasporas 土耳其侨民形成过程中的母国与东道国政策互动
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2135364
Gözde Böcü
Abstract: Recent accounts in diaspora studies have advanced our understanding of various political, social and economic transnational phenomena and processes that take place between the home state and the diaspora. However, there is a growing trend in the literature that focuses on home-state diaspora relations at the expense of the core tenant of the transnationalism framework, namely the assumption that immigrant transborder politics and connections span various dynamics that involve both the home and the host country. In this article, I argue that we must revisit calls for simultaneity and turn to the interaction of policies between the home and host state when analyzing diaspora making and shaping processes. To demonstrate my argument, I analyze historical policy interactions between Turkey’s diaspora policy and Germany’s immigration and integration policy and show how interactive dynamics between the home and host country have simultaneously shaped politics in Turkey’s diasporas over time.
摘要:最近对侨民研究的研究促进了我们对发生在母国和侨民之间的各种政治、社会和经济跨国现象和过程的理解。然而,文献中有一种日益增长的趋势,即以牺牲跨国主义框架的核心租户为代价,关注家庭-国家侨民关系,即移民跨境政治和联系跨越涉及母国和东道国的各种动态的假设。在本文中,我认为,在分析侨民的形成和形成过程时,我们必须重新审视对同时性的呼吁,并转向母国和东道国之间政策的相互作用。为了证明我的论点,我分析了土耳其侨民政策与德国移民和融合政策之间的历史政策互动,并展示了母国和东道国之间的互动动态如何随着时间的推移同时塑造了土耳其侨民的政治。
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引用次数: 0
From Exit to Voice: Reflections on Exile through the Accounts of Turkey’s Intelligentsia 从出口到发声:通过土耳其知识分子的叙述对流亡的反思
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2132193
Bahar Başer, A. Ozturk
Abstract: The authoritarian turn in Turkey compelled many citizens to change life trajectories which included extreme measures such as migration and exile. Thousands of people left Turkey in the last decade, this recent wave constituting one of the largest Turkish migrations to Europe and beyond. The profile of the migrants included those who were comfortable with and/or opposed the current regime’s political and social policies, members of oppressed minority groups, Gülen movement members who are accused of orchestrating the failed 2016 coup attempt as well as white collar and secular Turkish citizens who made lifestyle migration choices because of the political and economic developments in the country. The article focuses on the narratives of a specific group within this new wave, those whom we refer to as Turkey’s intelligentsia in exile, and who decided to leave Turkey following the Gezi protests in 2013. The findings are based on 25 interviews conducted in 2021 with former academics, activists, artists, journalists and politicians who migrated to a variety of locations as a result of pending trials or arrest warrants against them, dehumanization discourse that pro-regime politicians directed toward them, as well as lack of freedom of speech and assembly.
摘要:土耳其的独裁转变迫使许多公民改变生活轨迹,其中包括移民和流亡等极端措施。在过去十年中,成千上万的人离开了土耳其,这是土耳其向欧洲及其他地区最大的移民潮之一。移民的概况包括那些对现政权的政治和社会政策感到满意和/或反对的人、受压迫的少数群体成员、,被指控策划2016年未遂政变的葛兰运动成员,以及因该国政治和经济发展而选择生活方式移民的白领和世俗土耳其公民。这篇文章聚焦于这股新浪潮中一个特定群体的叙述,我们称他们为流亡的土耳其知识分子,他们在2013年格兹抗议活动后决定离开土耳其。这些发现是基于2021年对前学者、活动家、艺术家、记者和政治家进行的25次采访得出的,这些人因对他们的未决审判或逮捕令、亲政权政客针对他们的非人化言论以及缺乏言论和集会自由而迁移到不同的地方。
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引用次数: 0
Home-State Politics Vis-à-Vis Turkish Emigrants: Instrumentalizing Emigrants 本土国家政治与-à-Vis土耳其移民:工具化移民
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2135362
Ayhan Kaya
Abstract: This article scrutinizes the ways in which Turkish state actors have shaped the social ecosophy of emigrants and their descendants residing in Europe. Describing the Turkish state’s perspectives toward emigrants reveals that Turkish state actors always have instrumentalized emigrants since the beginning of the migratory processes in the 1960s. The focus will be on the current Turkish government’s acts and policies, which are likely to contribute to the Muslimization of Turkey-origin emigrants in diaspora, or in other words, to their labeling simply as ‘Muslims’. Based on a thorough analysis of secondary literature, discourse analyses of contemporary Turkish political leaders’ speeches aimed at Turkish emigrants and their descendants as well as my earlier and ongoing field research findings, I argue that it is the indifference of some European state actors who have not offered political opportunity structures for devout Muslims with Turkish background to be incorporated into the public/political space at the expense of pushing them into the Turkish state actors’ hands that offer alternative political opportunity structures. Hence, the article elaborates the ways in which receiving states’ policies and practices toward migrant-origin people impact diaspora politics of the migrant-sending states. The emphasis is on German and Turkish state actors.
摘要:本文考察了土耳其国家行为体如何塑造了居住在欧洲的移民及其后代的社会生态。描述土耳其国家对移民的观点表明,自20世纪60年代移民过程开始以来,土耳其国家行为者总是将移民工具化。重点将放在当前土耳其政府的行为和政策上,这些行为和政策可能会导致土耳其移民的穆斯林化,或者换句话说,他们被简单地贴上“穆斯林”的标签。基于对二手文献的深入分析,对当代土耳其政治领导人针对土耳其移民及其后代的演讲的话语分析,以及我早期和正在进行的实地研究成果,我认为,这是一些欧洲国家行为者的冷漠,他们没有为具有土耳其背景的虔诚穆斯林提供政治机会结构,使他们融入公共/政治空间,而代价是将他们推向土耳其国家行为者的手中,这提供了另一种政治机会结构。因此,本文阐述了接受国对移民原籍人的政策和做法如何影响移民输出国的侨民政治。重点是德国和土耳其的政府行为体。
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引用次数: 0
Guest Editors’ Introduction: Turkey’s Diaspora Governance Policies from the Past to the Present 客座编辑简介:土耳其从过去到现在的侨民治理政策
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2129339
A. Ozturk, Hakkı Taş, Bahar Başer
Diasporas have become a topic of academic and political discussion and interest since 2000. Until recently, most diaspora research has focused on the ways the states in the Global North ‘ receive ’ outsiders but has devoted limited scrutiny to the role of sending states in shaping opportunity structures abroad. 1 The recently growing literature on diaspora politics draw our attention to the rise of state-led diaspora engagement initiatives which aim at cultivating, (re)building, (re)shaping and (de/re)mobilizing diasporas. Currently, more than one hundred states have established forms of diaspora engagement policies and institutions, with a variety of motivations. 2 Scholars try to understand the development of diaspora-engagement policies cultivated by political actors in the homeland from various disciplines including international relations, political science and sociology. 3 How these policies are cultivated and transformed through time 4 and their
自2000年以来,海外侨民已成为学术和政治讨论和关注的话题。直到最近,大多数海外侨民研究都集中在全球北方国家“接纳”外来者的方式上,但对派遣国在塑造海外机会结构方面的作用却进行了有限的审查。1最近越来越多的关于侨民政治的文献提请我们注意国家领导的侨民参与倡议的兴起,这些倡议旨在培养、(重建)、(重塑)和(去/去)动员侨民。目前,100多个州建立了各种形式的侨民参与政策和机构,动机多种多样。2学者们试图从国际关系、政治学和社会学等多个学科了解国内政治行为者培养的侨民参与政策的发展。3这些政策是如何随着时间的推移而形成和转变的4及其
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引用次数: 0
The Impresario State: Rituals of Diaspora Governance and Constructing Regime-Friendly Publics beyond Turkey’s Borders 印象深刻的国家:侨民治理仪式与土耳其境外建立政权友好的公众
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2132192
Banu Senay
Abstract: Since the early 2000s, under successive Justice and Development Party (AKP) governments, Turkey has developed more systematic ‘engagement’ policies with its extra-territorial communities, including citizens abroad, kin and ‘relatives’, and non-Turkish international students sponsored to study in Turkey. This article examines the governmental techniques taken up by the ruling AKP elites to mobilize these constituencies as a source of what Félix Krawatzek and Lea Müller-Funk call ‘political remittance.’ To achieve this goal, the Turkish state has configured itself as an ‘impresario.’ It utilizes public pedagogy and political spectacle as key devices through which to generate desired remittances from extra-territorial communities, as well as to cast and craft its future leaders, friends, and allies.
摘要:自21世纪初以来,在历届正义与发展党(AKP)政府的领导下,土耳其制定了更系统的“接触”政策,包括与海外公民、亲属和“亲戚”以及资助在土耳其学习的非土耳其国际学生的“接触”。本文考察了执政的正义与发展党(AKP)精英们采取的政府手段,将这些选民动员起来,作为fsamlix Krawatzek和Lea mller - funk所说的“政治汇款”的来源。为了实现这一目标,土耳其政府将自己定位为“管理者”。它利用公共教育和政治景观作为关键手段,通过这些手段从域外社区获得所需的汇款,并塑造和塑造其未来的领导人、朋友和盟友。
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引用次数: 0
Collective Identity Change under Exogenous Shocks: The Gülen Movement and Its Diasporization 外来冲击下的集体身份变迁:葛兰运动及其异化
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2135363
Hakkı Taş
Abstract: Diasporas do not arise from fixed connections to objective circumstances such as dispersion or relation to a homeland, but instead constantly are negotiated and re-constituted. Ranging from internal gradual change to sudden exogenous change, the re-making of a diaspora can take diverse forms. Despite the prevalence of constructivist and processual approaches, however, research on diaspora identity change has been limited. This paper takes a comparative historical perspective to the post-2016 diasporization of the Gülen Movement (GM) and discusses how the GM responded differently to sudden exogenous shocks in 1997, 2007, and 2016. In both historical institutionalism and rational choice theories, the sudden exogenous shocks do the heavy lifting to explain change; however, it is rather the endogenous parameters that account for the variation in the GM’s responses to those shocks.
摘要:散居者并不是由于与客观环境的固定联系而产生的,比如分散或与祖国的关系,而是不断地经过谈判和重组。从内部的渐进变化到外部的突然变化,侨民的重新融入可以采取多种形式。然而,尽管建构主义和过程主义方法盛行,但对散居者身份变化的研究却很有限。本文从比较历史的角度看待葛兰运动(GM)2016年后的流散,并讨论了GM如何对1997年、2007年和2016年的突发外部冲击做出不同的反应。在历史制度主义和理性选择理论中,突如其来的外生冲击都起到了解释变化的重任;然而,正是内生参数解释了全球机制对这些冲击反应的变化。
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引用次数: 1
Diaspora Engagement Policies as Transnational Social Engineering: Rise and Failure of Turkey’s Diaspora Policies 作为跨国社会工程的侨民参与政策:土耳其侨民政策的兴起与失败
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2127631
Damla Aksel
Abstract: In examining the transformations in statecraft, the existing scholarship on Turkish diaspora policies largely adopts Foucault’s governmentality perspective and suggests that the shifting policies reflect the home states’ attempt to assert control over citizens, not through coercion but rather through consent. While this framing has proved workable, it provides limited room for students of diaspora studies to incorporate the overall conceptualization on the resistance in which the non-resident citizens and countries of residence engage vis-à-vis home country politics and the potential failures of these policies. I propose to follow James Scott’s legibility framework to emphasize that the home states’ evolving policies to engage with non-resident citizens is a social engineering project, aiming to facilitate the state’s ability to monitor and mold the behavior of mobile populations in the context of neoliberal globalization. I argue that the legibility framework allows us to analyze not only the standardization processes, but also the resistance against it both from the migrants and from their countries of residence. To make my argument, I employ the framework to the case of Turkey, which has received considerable attention since the mid-2010s. This article is based on archival research of Turkish state documents on emigration, empirical research conducted between 2013 and 2014 involving nearly 100 interviewees including Turkish state officials in Turkey and with migrant representatives in France and the United States, and further examination of secondary resources, including informal talks with policy makers and diaspora representatives in the post-2016 period.
摘要:在考察治国方略的转变时,现有的关于土耳其侨民政策的研究在很大程度上采用了福柯的治理视角,并表明这些转变的政策反映了母国试图通过同意而不是胁迫来控制公民。虽然这一框架已被证明是可行的,但它为散居海外研究的学生提供了有限的空间,使他们能够将非居民公民和居住国对本国政治的抵制以及这些政策的潜在失败纳入整体概念。我建议遵循詹姆斯·斯科特的易读性框架,强调母国与非居民公民接触的政策是一个社会工程项目,旨在促进国家在新自由主义全球化背景下监测和塑造流动人口行为的能力。我认为,易读性框架使我们不仅可以分析标准化过程,还可以分析移民及其居住国对标准化的抵制。为了提出我的论点,我将该框架用于土耳其的案件,该案件自2010年代中期以来受到了相当大的关注。本文基于对土耳其国家移民文件的档案研究,2013年至2014年间进行的实证研究,涉及近100名受访者,包括土耳其国家官员以及法国和美国的移民代表,并进一步考察了二级资源,包括在2016年后与政策制定者和侨民代表进行非正式会谈。
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引用次数: 0
Editor’s Note Editor’s音符
IF 1.6 3区 社会学 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-07-27 DOI: 10.1080/19436149.2022.2102563
Eric Hooglund
Published in Middle East Critique (Vol. 31, No. 3, 2022)
发表于《中东批判》(2022年第31卷第3期)
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引用次数: 0
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Middle East Critique
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