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Presidential Delegation to Foreign Ministries: A Study of Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico (1946–2015) 总统外交部代表团:对阿根廷、巴西和墨西哥的研究(1946–2015)
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20944184
Octavio Amorim Neto, A. Malamud
When do presidents delegate policy-making authority to their foreign ministries? And is foreign policy unique in this respect? We posit that six international, national, and personal factors determine the opportunity and motivation of presidents to delegate, and then analyse the cases of Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico in 1946–2015. By applying fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis, we find that four combinations of factors are sufficient paths to delegation: (1) international stability and elite consensus on foreign policy; (2) international stability, right-wing president, and low diplomatic professionalisation; (3) international stability, right-wing president, and low presidential expertise on foreign policy; or (4) absence of authoritarianism combined with elite consensus on foreign policy and right-wing president. Our study of foreign ministries reinforces some of the main findings of the scholarly literature on other ministries, thus challenging the view of foreign policy-making as different from domestic policy areas.
总统什么时候将决策权下放给外交部?外交政策在这方面是独特的吗?我们假设,六个国际、国家和个人因素决定了总统授权的机会和动机,然后分析了1946年至2015年阿根廷、巴西和墨西哥的案例。运用模糊集定性比较分析,我们发现四种因素组合是授权的充分途径:(1)国际稳定和精英外交政策共识;(2) 国际稳定、右翼总统和外交专业化程度低;(3) 国际稳定、右翼总统和总统在外交政策方面的专业知识不足;或(4)没有威权主义,加上精英在外交政策上的共识和右翼总统。我们对外交部的研究强化了学术文献中关于其他部的一些主要发现,从而挑战了外交政策制定与国内政策领域不同的观点。
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引用次数: 4
List Experiments, Political Sophistication, and Vote Buying: Experimental Evidence from Mexico 清单实验、政治复杂性和贿选:来自墨西哥的实验证据
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-08-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20937713
Rodrigo Castro Cornejo, Ulises Beltrán
This research conducted list experiments to estimate the percentage of respondents who received electoral gifts during the 2015 legislative and the 2015 and 2017 subnational campaigns in Mexico. Consistent with recent studies on sensitive survey techniques, our research finds that list experiments seem to methodologically work better among more sophisticated voters (e.g. those with higher levels of education). Such findings suggest that previous studies that rely on list experiments tend to underestimate the percentage of voters who receive electoral gifts since this technique tends to work better among respondents who are, in fact, least likely to be targeted by clientelistic strategies. Given levels of education in the region, we suggest that research solely relying on list experiments approach its empirical findings with caution.
这项研究进行了列表实验,以估计在墨西哥2015年立法以及2015年和2017年国家以下各级竞选期间收到选举礼物的受访者的百分比。与最近对敏感调查技术的研究一致,我们的研究发现,在更老练的选民(例如教育水平较高的选民)中,列表实验似乎在方法上更有效。这些发现表明,以前依靠名单实验的研究往往低估了收到选举礼物的选民的百分比,因为这种技术往往在事实上最不可能成为客户主义策略目标的受访者中效果更好。考虑到该地区的教育水平,我们建议仅依靠列表实验的研究谨慎对待其实证结果。
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引用次数: 2
Corrigendum to Digital Activism and Indignation Nets in Brazil: The Pressure Groups 巴西数位行动主义与愤怒网:压力团体的更正
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-05-29 DOI: 10.1177/1866802x20923507
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引用次数: 0
Reassessing Downs: Testing the Influence of Voters’ Characteristics in a Chilean Presidential Election 重新评估劣势:检验智利总统选举中选民特征的影响
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20913886
Andrés Santana, J. R. Montero, José Rama
This article puts Down’s instrumental voter model (IVM) to a formal test using data of the 2017 Chilean national elections. It aims at two novel exercises in the research in the calculus of voting. Using a brand-new questionnaire with indicators on instrumental and consumption motivations for voting, we reassess the voting equation in Santiago de Chile. Furthermore, we analyse whether instrumental and consumption motivations have distinctive effects for individuals with different socio-demographic characteristics. Our results show that they do: women, younger, lower educated, and unmarried citizens are more responsive to both instrumental and consumption motivations. Moreover, the factors of the IVM travel better to Santiago de Chile than those of the consumption model.
本文使用2017年智利全国选举的数据对唐的工具选民模型(IVM)进行了正式测试。它针对投票演算研究中的两个新颖练习。使用一份全新的问卷,其中包含投票的工具和消费动机指标,我们重新评估了智利圣地亚哥的投票等式。此外,我们还分析了工具动机和消费动机对具有不同社会人口特征的个人是否具有不同的影响。我们的研究结果表明:女性、年轻人、受教育程度较低的未婚公民对工具和消费动机的反应更强烈。此外,IVM前往智利圣地亚哥的因素比消费模式的因素要好。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Law Enforcement Centralisation and Professionalisation on Public Opinion of the Mexican Police 执法集中化和专业化对墨西哥警察舆论的影响
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20919550
Diego Esparza, Antonio Ugues
Pandemic violence and criminality are anathema to a democratic society. And yet, in Latin America, both operate side by side. Illicit activity has propagated precisely because the democratic states of the region have been ineffective at establishing and maintaining the rule of law via public security mechanisms like the police. This ineffectiveness has significant consequences for public support of police forces. Hence, an important question for students of state-building and democratisation is: What factors explain public perceptions of the police? We argue that police forces that are local and unprofessional will be less trusted and viewed as less effective than their more centralised and professional counterparts of state and federal police. In short, we find that centralisation and professionalisation mitigate the impact of crime victimisation and police corruption on the public opinion of the police in Mexico. These findings are drawn from an analysis of the National Survey of Victimisation and Perceptions of Public Security (ENVIPE) in Mexico for 2012 and 2018.
大流行病的暴力和犯罪是民主社会的诅咒。然而,在拉丁美洲,两者并行不悖。非法活动之所以猖獗,正是因为该地区的民主国家在通过警察等公共安全机制建立和维护法治方面效率低下。这种无效性对公众对警察部队的支持产生了重大影响。因此,对于国家建设和民主化的学生来说,一个重要的问题是:什么因素可以解释公众对警察的看法?我们认为,与更集中、更专业的州和联邦警察相比,地方和不专业的警察部队将不那么受信任,也不那么有效。简言之,我们发现集中化和专业化减轻了犯罪受害和警察腐败对墨西哥警察舆论的影响。这些发现来自对2012年和2018年墨西哥全国公共安全受害和感知调查(ENVIPE)的分析。
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引用次数: 6
Insurgent Vigilantism and Drug War in Mexico 墨西哥的叛乱警戒与毒品战争
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20915477
M. Wolff
The proliferation of armed, anti-crime self-defence groups (autodefensas) in Mexico since 2013 has sparked renewed scholarly interest in vigilantism and the politics of collective violence more generally. Whilst most of this recent scholarship attempts to explain where and why such groups emerge in the first place, very little attention has been paid to the micro-foundations of vigilante organisation and behaviour. Drawing on ethnographic research conducted in Mexico in 2018, and incorporating theoretical insights from the social movements, civil war, and organised crime literatures, this paper examines the political strategies and collection action regimes of contemporary vigilante mobilisation. I argue that vigilante groups in Mexico employ the tactics of popular insurgency both as a negotiating tool to influence government behaviour or policy, and as a primary mechanism to overcome collection action problems in high-risk environments.
自2013年以来,武装反犯罪自卫团体(autodefenas)在墨西哥的扩散,引发了对治安维持主义和更普遍的集体暴力政治的新一轮学术兴趣。虽然最近的大部分学术研究都试图解释这些团体最初出现的地点和原因,但很少有人关注治安维持者组织和行为的微观基础。借鉴2018年在墨西哥进行的民族志研究,并结合社会运动、内战和有组织犯罪文献的理论见解,本文探讨了当代义务警员动员的政治策略和收集行动制度。我认为,墨西哥的治安维持团体采用民众暴动的策略,既是一种影响政府行为或政策的谈判工具,也是一种克服高风险环境中收集行动问题的主要机制。
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引用次数: 6
Welfare Stereotypes and Conditional Cash Transfer Programmes: Evidence from Brazil’s Bolsa Família 福利陈规定型观念和有条件现金转移方案:来自巴西Bolsa Família的证据
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20914429
Matthew L. Layton
Some observers claim that conditional cash transfer programmes limit the stigma of taking welfare and thereby promote social inclusion for beneficiaries. This article uses data from the 2014 AmericasBarometer to test these claims in relation to Brazil’s Bolsa Família programme (BFP). The results show that, despite the programme’s innovative design, beneficiaries encounter the stigmatisation and negative self-stereotypes that characterise more traditional anti-poverty programmes. Many Brazilians, recipient and non-recipient alike, endorse explicitly negative stereotypes of Bolsa Família assistance recipients. Moreover, the level to which respondents endorse these stereotypes strongly predicts their level of support for the BFP. These results highlight the pervasive nature of negative stereotypes towards the poor, even in the context of the developing world, and are consistent with the predictions of social psychological theories of system justification.
一些观察家声称,有条件的现金转移方案限制了领取福利的耻辱感,从而促进了受益人的社会包容。本文使用2014年美国晴雨表的数据来测试这些与巴西Bolsa Família计划(BFP)有关的说法。结果表明,尽管该方案设计新颖,但受益者仍会遇到更传统的反贫困方案所特有的污名化和负面的自我刻板印象。许多巴西人,无论是受援者还是非受援者,都明确支持对Bolsa Família援助受援者的负面刻板印象。此外,受访者对这些刻板印象的认可程度有力地预测了他们对BFP的支持程度。这些结果突出了对穷人的负面刻板印象的普遍性,即使在发展中国家也是如此,并且与系统正当性的社会心理学理论的预测一致。
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引用次数: 5
Authoritarian Recall: Mexico’s Drug War and Subnational Patterns of Opposition to Democracy 威权主义者的回忆:墨西哥的毒品战争和反对民主的亚国家模式
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2020-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X20913287
J. Hiskey, M. Malone, Alejandro Díaz-Domínguez
In times of crisis, citizens’ support for democracy can depend on how well they think their democracy can address that crisis compared to authoritarian alternatives. Mexico is in the midst of just such a crisis, as its war on drug trafficking organisations has brought an unprecedented rise in violence and, in some areas, posed a direct challenge to the state’s capacity to govern. At the same time, its subnational political landscape ranges from vibrant, multi-party states to those with continued connections to a dominant one-party past. We leverage these variations in subnational political context and levels of drug-related violence to examine how the subnational political context mediates the relationship between a crisis and support for non-democratic alternatives. When faced with a violent shock to the system, public attitudes towards democracy depend in part on one’s experiences with non-democratic alternatives and whether these authoritarian options appear to solve the crisis at hand more effectively.
在危机时期,公民对民主的支持取决于他们认为自己的民主与威权替代方案相比能够在多大程度上解决危机。墨西哥正处于这样一场危机之中,因为其打击贩毒组织的战争带来了前所未有的暴力上升,在某些地区,对该州的治理能力构成了直接挑战。与此同时,其国家以下的政治格局从充满活力的多党制国家到与过去占主导地位的一党制国家有着持续联系的国家。我们利用国家以下政治背景和毒品相关暴力水平的这些变化,来研究国家以下政治环境如何调节危机与支持非民主替代方案之间的关系。当面临体制的暴力冲击时,公众对民主的态度在一定程度上取决于一个人在非民主选择方面的经历,以及这些威权选择是否能更有效地解决眼前的危机。
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引用次数: 4
Inclusion and Political Representation in Peace Negotiations: The Case of the Colombian Victims’ Delegations 和平谈判中的包容性和政治代表性:哥伦比亚受害者代表团的案例
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X19889756
I. Mendes
This article discusses the issue of inclusion in peace negotiations, in particular the Colombian peace process with the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionárias de Colombia, with special emphasis to a perceived tension between “direct” and “indirect” inclusive initiatives. It argues that, as currently discussed by the Peace and Conflict literature, inclusion tends to be seen as neutral and benign, which leaves little room for critical discussions about the political contention behind peace negotiations deemed “inclusive.” It thus proposes to discuss inclusion through the theoretical lens of political representation and apply such reflections to the specific case of the Colombian victims’ delegations that travelled to Havana in 2014 in order to take part in the table’s discussions on the victims and transitional justice topic. Ultimately, I will argue there was simultaneous utilisation and rejection of the language of representation.
本文讨论了和平谈判的包容性问题,特别是哥伦比亚与哥伦比亚武装力量Revolucionárias的和平进程,特别强调了“直接”和“间接”包容性倡议之间的紧张关系。它认为,正如目前和平与冲突文献所讨论的那样,包容性往往被视为中立和良性的,这使得对被视为“包容性”的和平谈判背后的政治争论进行批判性讨论的空间很小。因此,委员会建议通过政治代表性的理论视角讨论包容问题,并将这种思考应用于哥伦比亚受害者代表团的具体案例,这些代表团于2014年前往哈瓦那,参加圆桌关于受害者和过渡时期司法主题的讨论。最后,我将论证对表征语言的利用和拒绝是同时存在的。
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引用次数: 9
Corruption Scandals and Anti-Corruption Policies in Argentina 阿根廷的腐败丑闻与反腐败政策
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/1866802X19894791
Sebastián Pereyra
The 1990s witnessed the spread of anti-corruption scandals in Latin American countries as well as a decade in which international transparency standards were developed. These two processes were closely related but they followed different local and global political dynamics. Transparency policies were perceived everywhere as a good response to the growing of corruption scandals. But, at the end of the day, the effectiveness of these policies was far from optimal. This article discusses the link between these two main aspects of the corruption as a public problem in Argentina. It reconstructs the dynamics of corruption scandals and state responses in Argentina during the 1990s, and asks how effective and efficient those responses were given the type of accusations and corruption cases exposed to the public through scandals. The hypothesis is that scandals, on the one hand, and public policy responses, on the other, refer to different aspects of the same problem and that the latter have failed to deal effectively with the demands and claims expressed through the scandals.
20世纪90年代见证了拉丁美洲国家反腐败丑闻的蔓延,以及制定国际透明度标准的十年。这两个进程密切相关,但它们遵循不同的地方和全球政治动态。各地都认为透明政策是对日益增多的腐败丑闻的良好回应。但是,归根结底,这些政策的有效性远非最佳。本文讨论了腐败作为阿根廷公共问题的这两个主要方面之间的联系。它重建了20世纪90年代阿根廷腐败丑闻和国家应对措施的动态,并询问考虑到通过丑闻暴露在公众面前的指控和腐败案件类型,这些应对措施的有效性和效率如何。假设是,丑闻和公共政策回应一方面涉及同一问题的不同方面,后者未能有效处理通过丑闻表达的要求和主张。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Journal of Politics in Latin America
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