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UNDERSTANDING THE DEMAND FOR CARSHARING: LESSONS FROM ITALIAN CASE STUDIES 了解汽车共享的需求:来自意大利案例研究的教训
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2014-11-01 DOI: 10.1400/228409
R. Danielis, Lucia Rotaris, Andrea Rusich, E. Valeri
The aim of this paper is to estimate the potential demand for carsharing, to this aim a model which calculates the total generalized cost for a given mobility pattern and transport mode mix is developed. The model considers : a) that a person sometimes travels with friends and family, and therefore shares the travel expenses and/or satisfies several travel needs, and b) that uses in given time period more than one mode of transport. The parameters of the model are derived by detailed, face-to-face, computer-assisted interviews. A limited number of interviews have been so far completed. However, they hint to some very interesting empirical evidence. It is found that car ownership is currently very high in the Italian families and that the car is used extensively both for workstudy and, especially, for other-than-workstudy trip purposes. Offering a carsharing service (CS) would enhance the mode choice and could, in some cases, lower the total mobility costs. The respondents assign quite a large value to the pleasure of owning a car, much more so than the pleasure of being carsharing users, both for workers and for students. Consequently, the respondents would dislike not owing a private car, while having the choice between the private and the carsharing car is preferred especially by the students. The mobility cost indicators reflect, but not perfectly, the preference-based choices of the sample. Three individual case studies are further analyzed. They have been defined as : a low, a medium and a high mobility case study. The low mobility case study shows that these persons would largely benefit from the existence of a CS service, they would use it occasionally and they would probably be willing to forgo the private car. The medium mobility case study shows that the variables parking time, access time and CS fare can easily switch the balance between convenience and inconvenience of using CS. The higher mobility case study in a small town setting demonstrates that in such circumstances the prospects for a viable CS service are rather bleak.
本文的目的是估计汽车共享的潜在需求,为此,建立了一个模型来计算给定的移动模式和运输模式组合的总广义成本。该模型考虑:a)一个人有时与朋友和家人一起旅行,因此分担旅行费用和/或满足几种旅行需求;b)在给定时间段内使用多种交通方式。模型的参数是通过详细的、面对面的、计算机辅助的访谈得来的。到目前为止,已经完成了数量有限的采访。然而,它们暗示了一些非常有趣的经验证据。研究发现,目前意大利家庭的汽车拥有率非常高,汽车被广泛用于工作/学习,特别是用于工作/学习以外的旅行目的。提供汽车共享服务(CS)可以增加出行方式的选择,在某些情况下,还可以降低总出行成本。受访者认为拥有一辆车的乐趣非常重要,远远高于成为共享汽车用户的乐趣,无论是对上班族还是学生来说都是如此。因此,受访者不喜欢没有私家车,而能够在私家车和共享汽车之间做出选择,尤其是学生。流动成本指标反映了样本基于偏好的选择,但并不完美。进一步分析了三个单独的案例研究。它们被定义为:低、中、高流动性案例研究。低机动性的案例研究表明,这些人将在很大程度上受益于CS服务的存在,他们会偶尔使用它,他们可能愿意放弃私家车。中等出行案例研究表明,停车时间、通行时间和公交费用等变量可以很容易地在公交使用的便利性和不便性之间进行平衡切换。在小城镇环境中进行的高流动性案例研究表明,在这种情况下,可行的CS服务的前景相当黯淡。
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引用次数: 4
DETERMINANTS OF CONTAINER PORTS THROUGHPUT CONVERGENCE.A BUSINESS CYCLE SYNCHRONICITY ANALYSIS 集装箱港口吞吐量收敛的决定因素。商业周期同步性分析
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2014-06-01 DOI: 10.1400/222676
Thomas K. Vitsounis, Persa Paflioti, Ioannis Tsamourgelis
The recent economic recession of 2009 had a significant ‘knock-on’ effect on container shipping causing a remarkable decline of TEU’s handled in seaports on a world scale. This is primarily attributed to the slump in the global economy. The fortunes of the container shipping sector (and hence ports) coincide almost directly with global trade developments. Empirical studies aiming to interpret the relationship of container ports throughput, macroeconomic and, shipping developments remain quite limited. The present study builds on the well-established theory of business cycle synchronicity, which takes into account the macroeconomic co-movements of the contemporary globalized economic environment. This study strives to generate knowledge on the extent that major macroeconomic (such as GDP, industrial production, bilateral trade and financial openness) and shipping (fleet development and transportation cost) variables, affect container ports throughput. In addition the study employs a panel data analysis and uses dynamic Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) techniques to reach meaningful conclusions. The sample covers a period of sixteen years (1995- 2010) and includes 36 ports from 25 countries. Moreover, typical market structures were isolated and tested in detail.
最近的2009年经济衰退对集装箱运输产生了显著的“连锁”效应,导致世界范围内海港处理的TEU显著下降。这主要是由于全球经济的衰退。集装箱航运业(以及港口)的命运几乎与全球贸易发展直接相关。旨在解释集装箱港口吞吐量、宏观经济和航运发展之间关系的实证研究仍然相当有限。本研究建立在商业周期同步性理论的基础上,该理论考虑了当代全球化经济环境的宏观经济协同运动。本研究力求了解主要宏观经济(如GDP、工业生产、双边贸易和金融开放)和航运(船队发展和运输成本)变量对集装箱港口吞吐量的影响程度。此外,该研究采用面板数据分析,并使用动态广义矩法(GMM)技术来得出有意义的结论。样本涵盖了16年(1995- 2010),包括来自25个国家的36个港口。此外,对典型的市场结构进行了详细的分离和测试。
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引用次数: 2
Making headway towards a better understanding of service frequency valuations : a study of how the relative valuation of train service frequency and in-vehicle time vary with traveller characteristics 在更好地理解服务频率估值方面取得进展:研究列车服务频率和车内时间的相对估值如何随旅客特征而变化
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2014-03-01 DOI: 10.1400/220029
J. Holmgren, Pernilla Ivehammar
On-going urbanization has led to greater distances between homes and workplaces and more long-distance commuting, increasing the need for efficient inter-urban transport infrastructure. For sustainability, trains are preferred to private cars. Two key variables affecting door-to-door train travel time are in-vehicle time (IVT) and headway ; however, there is often a trade-off between speed and frequency in a system. If different categories of travellers value IVT and headway differently, their proportions on a route should affect traffic planning. Optimal system design might differ between routes carrying many commuters and routes carrying mainly passengers on single private or business trips. Knowledge of differences in relative valuations of headway versus IVT should therefore affect railway system design. We investigate whether the relative values of headway versus IVT differ between inter- urban commuting by train and single inter-urban trips by train, whilst also examining differences between socioeconomic groups. Stated choice (SC) data from 580 Swedish respondents are used in estimation. Individuals actually commuting and individuals not commuting but imagining that they are when answering the SC questions are asked about their preferences for headway versus IVT. Commuters are estimated to value increased headway 19 percentage points more than do non-commuters. Young people (under age 21 years) value headway more than do older people while people with children value headway less than do the childless.
持续的城市化导致家庭和工作场所之间的距离更远,以及更多的长途通勤,增加了对高效城市间交通基础设施的需求。为了可持续发展,火车比私家车更受欢迎。影响门到门列车行驶时间的两个关键变量是车内时间(IVT)和车头距;然而,在系统中,速度和频率之间往往存在权衡。如果不同类别的旅客对IVT和车头时距的评价不同,他们在一条路线上的比例就会影响交通规划。最优的系统设计可能在运载许多通勤者的路线和运载主要乘客的单一私人或商务旅行路线之间有所不同。因此,了解车头距与IVT相对估值的差异应该影响铁路系统的设计。我们调查了城市间火车通勤和单次城市间火车旅行之间车头距与IVT的相对值是否存在差异,同时也研究了社会经济群体之间的差异。来自580名瑞典受访者的陈述选择(SC)数据用于估计。在回答SC问题时,实际通勤的人和想象自己不通勤的人被问及他们对车头行驶和IVT的偏好。据估计,通勤者比不通勤者更看重车头时距增加19个百分点。年轻人(21岁以下)比老年人更重视进步,而有孩子的人比没有孩子的人更重视进步。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring Physical Productivity Growth and Biased Technological Change in Chinese Airports 中国机场物理生产率增长与技术偏差的测度
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2014-03-01 DOI: 10.1400/220027
Yu-Chun Chang, Ming‐Miin Yu
This paper measures the physical productivity changes for 41 Chinese airports over the 2000-2008 period. The productivity changes link the consideration of environmental factors in decomposed components to a set of indices using the Malmquist productivity approach. The findings suggest that some Chinese airports experienced productivity regress, and should improve their efficiency both in terms of management and scale. By identifying the individual airports that experienced a bias in the production of the relative output of passengers and cargo, this research found that some airports are suitable for developing passenger services, while others might be more suitable for cargo. The empirical results also show that 22 airports experienced runway-using and terminal-saving input bias, 15 airports experienced runway-saving/ terminal-using input bias, and 4 airports experienced neutral technological change.
本文测量了2000-2008年间中国41个机场的物质生产力变化。生产率变化将分解组件中环境因素的考虑与使用Malmquist生产率方法的一组指标联系起来。研究结果表明,我国部分机场存在生产力倒退现象,应从管理和规模两方面提高效率。通过识别在客货相对产出方面存在偏差的个别机场,本研究发现一些机场适合发展客运服务,而另一些机场可能更适合发展货运服务。实证结果还显示,22个机场出现了使用跑道和节省终端的投入偏差,15个机场出现了节省跑道/使用终端的投入偏差,4个机场出现了中性的技术变革。
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引用次数: 5
Productivity Changes in Canadian Airports and Technological Change Analysis 加拿大机场的生产力变化和技术变革分析
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2014-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2018909
C. Barros, L. Botti, N. Peypoch
This article reports on a study of the productivity changes in Canadian airports from 2004 to 2010. The authors analyze productivity scores, with a focus on the nature of technological change. They explore the potential of the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method as in instrument that combines operational and financial data as a way to assess technical efficiency. The authors begin with a lengthy literature review in this area, then describe their methodology, which is based on the Luenberger Productivity Indicator. Their dataset includes 22 airports, for the 7 year period. Data was collected on four outputs (cargo, passengers, aircraft, area) and three inputs (total costs, capital assets, and runway area). Only ten airports demonstrated gains in productivity in the time period under consideration. The authors conclude with a discussion of the impact of technological change and its impact on productivity, highlighting the paradox that technological change is positive for some airports and negative for others. They hypothesize that value-added services (such as free Internet wi-fi access) provided by airports may be seen by passengers as benefits of flying through a particular airport and thus may indirectly influence productivity of that airport.
本文报告了2004年至2010年加拿大机场生产力变化的研究。作者分析了生产率得分,重点关注技术变革的本质。他们探索数据包络分析(DEA)方法的潜力,将业务和财务数据结合起来,作为评估技术效率的一种方法。作者首先在这一领域进行了冗长的文献综述,然后描述了他们的方法,这是基于Luenberger生产力指标。他们的数据集包括22个机场,历时7年。数据收集了四个输出(货物、乘客、飞机、面积)和三个输入(总成本、资本资产和跑道面积)。在本报告所述期间,只有10个机场的生产率有所提高。作者最后讨论了技术变革的影响及其对生产力的影响,强调了技术变革对一些机场有利而对另一些机场不利的悖论。他们假设,机场提供的增值服务(如免费的互联网wi-fi接入)可能被乘客视为飞越特定机场的好处,从而可能间接影响该机场的生产力。
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引用次数: 2
Inter-regional spillovers of seaports: The case of North-West Europe 海港的区域间溢出效应:以西北欧为例
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2013-01-01 DOI: 10.1400/216759
Olaf M. Merk, W. Manshanden, M. Dröes
Ports are essential for global trade, but there are growing concerns about their impacts on the local economy. Insight in these local economic impacts of ports and inter-regional spillovers is crucial for future investment decisions and local acceptance of port development. Inter-regional spillovers from port activities are commonly assumed in the academic literature on port economics, but rarely ever quantified. This article fills this gap by quantifying the backward linkages of four large ports in North- West Europe : Rotterdam, Antwerp, Hamburg and Le Havre. To assess the extent and distribution of inter-regional economic spillovers, we disaggregate national input/outputtables to the level of the functional port area and calculate the relevant Leontief multipliers. The results in this paper suggest a wide range of Leontief multipliers with different inter-regional patterns. The ports of Rotterdam and Antwerp have smaller overall multipliers but relatively large impacts on their own regional economies, in particular on the petro-chemical sector. In contrast, the ports of Hamburg and Le Havre have higher overall multipliers and show relatively high impacts on regions further away from the port, such as Bavaria and Ile-de-France. The policy implications of these results are discussed.
港口对全球贸易至关重要,但人们越来越担心港口对当地经济的影响。了解港口对当地经济的影响和区域间溢出效应,对于未来的投资决策和当地对港口发展的接受程度至关重要。港口经济的学术文献通常假设港口活动的区域间溢出效应,但很少量化。本文通过量化西欧北部四个大型港口:鹿特丹、安特卫普、汉堡和勒阿弗尔的后向联系来填补这一空白。为了评估区域间经济溢出的程度和分布,我们将国家投入产出分解到功能港区的层面,并计算相关的莱昂提夫乘数。研究结果表明,列昂蒂夫乘数分布范围广,且具有不同的区域间格局。鹿特丹和安特卫普港口的总体乘数较小,但对其区域经济的影响相对较大,特别是对石油化工部门的影响。相比之下,汉堡港和勒阿弗尔港的总体乘数更高,对远离港口的地区(如巴伐利亚和法兰西岛)的影响也相对较大。讨论了这些结果的政策含义。
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引用次数: 14
Success Factors and Pitfalls of Regional Rail Franchising in Germany 德国区域铁路特许经营的成功因素与陷阱
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2011-06-01 DOI: 10.1400/168954
H. Link, R. Merkert
Since 1996 regional rail passenger services in Germany have been subject to franchising. The franchising framework is characterised by a strong decentralisation of responsibilities, a considerable degree of freedom for the responsible authorities regarding contract design, a sound financial basis for awarding contracts, and the free choice of authorities between tendering procedures and direct awarding of franchise contracts. This paper analyses the key outcomes of this franchising approach. We conclude that regionalization of responsibilities and franchising positively impacts on service provision, patronage, customer satisfaction, service quality and costs, in particular through better targeting of services. However, these positive outcomes could have been even greater if the failures in the institutional set-up, foremost the vertical integration of the DB group and insufficient regulation, were resolved. Overall, competitive tendering appears to bear further potential for additional cost savings and quality improvements, although for already competitively awarded contracts the improvements will not be as great as those from the first round.
自1996年以来,德国的区域铁路客运服务一直受到特许经营的约束。特许经营框架的特点是责任高度分散,负责部门在合同设计方面有相当大的自由度,授予合同的财务基础健全,以及在招标程序和直接授予特许经营合同之间自由选择主管部门。本文分析了这种特许经营方式的主要成果。我们得出结论,责任区域化和特许经营对服务提供、惠民、客户满意度、服务质量和成本产生积极影响,特别是通过更好地定位服务。然而,如果机构设置上的失败(主要是德意志银行集团的垂直整合和监管不足)得到解决,这些积极成果可能会更大。总的来说,竞争性招标似乎具有进一步节省成本和提高质量的潜力,尽管对于已经竞争性授予的合同,改进将不如第一轮那么大。
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引用次数: 3
Lessons from the Tendering of Railway Services in Sweden : Are Some Contracts Better Than Others? 瑞典铁路服务招标的经验教训:有些合同比其他合同好吗?
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2011-02-01 DOI: 10.1400/159665
J. Nilsson, Lina Jonsson
Provision of non-commercial railway services in Sweden is the responsibility of regional Public Transport Authorities. In spite of substantial real increases in fares, patronage of subsidised railway services has increased by 4.6 percent per year over the last 20 years. To provide an understanding of this development the paper addresses the way in which the responsibility for public transport is organised. One feature of the organization is that the design of tendering processes and contracting formats are not streamlined but differ across PTAs. Data about the particular contracts in use are however patchy and partly incomparable, making it difficult to establish whether one or the other contract design contributes better to sector performance. It is therefore not feasible to base an understanding of how traffic growth has been affected by sector internal performance on a rigorous analysis. It is argued that voluntary or forced implementation of a system for performance assessment is necessary in order to reduce waste.
在瑞典,提供非商业铁路服务是地区公共交通当局的责任。尽管票价实际大幅上涨,但在过去20年里,乘坐补贴铁路服务的乘客每年增加4.6%。为了提供对这一发展的理解,本文阐述了公共交通责任的组织方式。该组织的一个特点是,招标过程和合同格式的设计不是精简的,而是在pta之间有所不同。然而,关于正在使用的特定合同的数据是不完整的,而且在一定程度上是不可比较的,因此很难确定哪种合同设计对行业绩效的贡献更大。因此,将交通增长如何受到部门内部绩效影响的理解建立在严格分析的基础上是不可行的。有人认为,为了减少浪费,必须自愿或强制执行一种业绩评估制度。
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引用次数: 5
CAR OWNERSHIP AND URBAN TRANSPORT DEMAND IN SINGAPORE 新加坡的汽车保有量和城市交通需求
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2011-02-01 DOI: 10.1400/159664
Michael Z. F. Li, D. C. B. Lau, D. W. M. Seah
Based on a household survey, this study investigates the income effect of car ownership decisions and studies key variables that influence working trip decision in the Singapore context. A binary logit model reveals that the income elasticity for car ownership is 0.5944, meaning that car owners tend to treat cars as necessity for commuting purposes. The low income elasticity implies that the Singapore government can lower the annual vehicle population growth rate from currently 3% to a range of 1 to 2%, which is more sustainable in the long run. A discrete choice model between public transport and private transport indicates that the income elasticity for public transport and private transport is given by -0.257 and 1.385 respectively. The cost elasticity of the private transport and public transport is given by -0.888 and -0.020, respectively, implying that changes in usage costs have big influence on car owners on decision of driving to work and the public transport users remain to be captive users. The cross travel-time elasticity of private transport for public transport is 1.157, which implies that substantial reduction in the travel time by public transport will attract more car users to public transport. To achieve this, the government should expand the bus priority lanes during the peak times and encourage bus operators to offer express services. Finally, the implied value of travel time savings (VTTS) during peak hours for private transport is S$22.76, about 102% of the gross average wage rate of car owners, which is an important parameter for congestion pricing scheme.
本研究以家庭调查为基础,探讨收入对拥有汽车决策的影响,并研究新加坡背景下影响工作出行决策的关键变量。二元logit模型显示,拥有汽车的收入弹性为0.5944,这意味着车主倾向于将汽车作为通勤的必需品。较低的收入弹性意味着新加坡政府可以将每年的车辆人口增长率从目前的3%降低到1 - 2%的范围,这从长远来看更具可持续性。公共交通和私人交通的离散选择模型表明,公共交通和私人交通的收入弹性分别为-0.257和1.385。私人交通和公共交通的成本弹性分别为-0.888和-0.020,这意味着使用成本的变化对车主的驾车上班决策影响较大,公共交通用户仍然是被俘虏的用户。私人交通相对于公共交通的交叉出行时间弹性为1.157,这意味着公共交通出行时间的大幅减少将吸引更多的私家车用户选择公共交通。为了实现这一目标,政府应该在高峰时段扩大公交优先车道,并鼓励公交运营商提供快速服务。最后,私人交通工具在高峰时段的旅行时间节省(VTTS)的隐含价值为22.76新元,约为车主总平均工资率的102%,这是拥堵收费方案的重要参数。
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引用次数: 11
A New Approach in Benchmarking Seaport Efficiency and Technological Change 港口效率标杆管理与技术变革的新途径
IF 0.6 4区 工程技术 Q4 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2010-02-01 DOI: 10.1400/133651
H. Haralambides, Mohamed Hussain, C. Barros, N. Peypoch
Export-led strategies and the globalization of production, transport and distribution have intensified competition among ports, turning it into competition among global supply chains. Seaport efficiency and productivity have thus become issues of essence for most ports, particularly in the lucrative business of container handling. The paper uses the innovative Luenberger indicator to analyze seaport efficiency and productivity growth in a sample of 16 Middle East and East African seaports in the period 2005-2007. Measurements of both technical efficiency change (managerial efficacy) and technological change (investment) are presented. Although results are rather mixed among ports, the paper finds a general decline in port productivity, with a possible subsequent decline in skills and management efficiency. With a few notable exceptions, ports in the region demonstrate a worrying decline in technical efficiency, often in spite of positive developments in the adoption of new technology. Regional governments are advised to assign the requisite political priorities, and any necessary budgets, to the development of their port sectors in the clear understanding that ports constitute the most important component of global supply chains which, in their turn, are the sole facilitators of export led growth and integration of developing countries in the global economy.
出口主导型战略和生产、运输、流通的全球化,加剧了港口之间的竞争,使之成为全球供应链的竞争。因此,海港的效率和生产力已成为大多数港口的本质问题,特别是在利润丰厚的集装箱装卸业务中。本文采用创新的Luenberger指标分析了2005-2007年期间16个中东和东非海港的港口效率和生产率增长。提出了技术效率变化(管理效能)和技术变化(投资)的测量方法。尽管各港口的结果参差不齐,但本文发现港口生产率普遍下降,随之而来的可能是技能和管理效率的下降。除了少数明显的例外,该区域的港口显示出令人担忧的技术效率下降,尽管往往在采用新技术方面有积极的发展。建议地区政府将必要的政治优先事项和任何必要的预算分配给其港口部门的发展,并明确认识到港口是全球供应链的最重要组成部分,而全球供应链又是出口导向型增长和发展中国家在全球经济中一体化的唯一促进者。
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引用次数: 38
期刊
International Journal of Transport Economics
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