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The Three Conditions: Solving Complex Problems through Self-Governing Agreements 三个条件:通过自治协议解决复杂问题
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-03 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10034
Volker C. Franke, Erich Wolterstorff, Cody W. Wehlan
Grounded in peacebuilding and negotiation literature, we propose a Three Conditions Model that promotes collaborative engagement and can help advance sustainable solutions to complex problems – domestic and international – through self-governing agreements based on the following three conditions: (1) inclusion of, (2) common understanding among, and (3) trust between all prime actors. Collectively, these conditions make the management of complex problems, and of the conflicts arising from them, more effective and sustainable. Using the coronavirus pandemic as an example, we briefly illustrate the nature of complex problems and self-governing agreements, address the inclusion-trust dilemma that mars many negotiations and assess the utility of each condition to address the coronavirus response in the United States more effectively.
基于建设和平和谈判文献,我们提出了一个三条件模型,该模型促进合作参与,并有助于通过基于以下三个条件的自治协议推动复杂问题的可持续解决方案——国内和国际问题:(1)包容、(2)所有主要行为者之间的共识和(3)所有主要参与者之间的信任。总的来说,这些条件使对复杂问题及其引发的冲突的管理更加有效和可持续。以冠状病毒大流行为例,我们简要说明了复杂问题和自治协议的性质,解决了阻碍许多谈判的包容-信任困境,并评估了每种条件对更有效地解决美国冠状病毒应对措施的效用。
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引用次数: 4
The Israel-PLO Mutual Recognition Agreement 以色列-巴解组织相互承认协定
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-06-03 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10026
J. Singer
From the perspective of a practitioner who was deeply engaged in the negotiations, this article describes how the Israeli-Palestinian Mutual Recognition Agreement was conceived and negotiated. It explains the process of convincing Israeli and Palestinian leaders to accept mutual recognition, overcoming their initial objections. While not nearly as publicized as the 1993 Declaration of Principles agreed at Oslo, this Agreement became the bedrock for all the Oslo Accords, and set the stage for subsequent negotiations.
本文从一个深入参与谈判的实践者的角度,描述了以色列-巴勒斯坦相互承认协议是如何构思和谈判的。它解释了说服以色列和巴勒斯坦领导人克服最初的反对,接受相互承认的过程。虽然不像1993年在奥斯陆达成的《原则宣言》那样公开,但该协议成为所有《奥斯陆协议》的基石,并为随后的谈判奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Persuading the Giant? Explaining Eastern Partnership States’ (Unexpected) Negotiation Success in Relations with the European Union 说服巨人?解释东方伙伴关系国家在与欧盟关系中(出乎意料)的谈判成功
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-05-28 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10032
G. Bosse, Moritz Höpner, A. Vieira
In bilateral relations and negotiations with the European Union (EU), smaller and economically weaker states are often unable to express their national preferences. Despite their limited bargaining power, however, some Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries obtained significant concessions from the EU. This article analyzes the factors that explain EaP states’ unexpected negotiation success in the context of the Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) with Ukraine, the Comprehensive and Enhanced Partnership Agreement (CEPA) with Armenia, and enhanced economic partnership with Belarus. We identify negotiation strategies that are crucial to understanding of the puzzle.
在与欧盟(EU)的双边关系和谈判中,小国和经济较弱的国家往往无法表达自己的民族偏好。然而,尽管它们的议价能力有限,一些东部伙伴关系(EaP)国家从欧盟获得了重大让步。本文分析了在与乌克兰签订全面深入自由贸易协定(DCFTA)、与亚美尼亚签署全面加强伙伴关系协定(CEPA)以及与白俄罗斯加强经济伙伴关系的背景下,EaP国家谈判取得意外成功的原因。我们确定了对理解这个难题至关重要的谈判策略。
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引用次数: 3
Regional-Based Conflict and Confidence-Building Strategies: The Case of the Union for the Mediterranean 基于区域的冲突和建立信任战略:以地中海联盟为例
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-05-07 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10033
Larry Crump
This study considers the challenge of operating a regional association that includes combatants and adversaries as members, and the response to such challenges. Conflict type, defined by intensity and duration, is located on the vertical axis, and engagement level (international, regional and bilateral) is fixed along the horizontal axis, to distinguish the conditions supporting confidence-building (one of many peacebuilding approaches). The utility of this framework is examined by applying it to the Union for the Mediterranean – a 42-member association operating in a region where conflict is prevalent (Syrian war, Arab – Israeli conflict, Greece – Turkey conflict, and Algeria – Morocco conflict). The study concludes that confidence-building has relevance to hot and cold intractable conflict but not to contemporary war. Curiously, the intractable conflict literature rarely discusses confidence-building and the Euromed literature does not characterize EU behavior in a confidence-building context. The study builds a research agenda to further examine the confidence-building framework.
这项研究考虑了运营一个包括战斗人员和对手作为成员的区域联盟的挑战,以及应对这些挑战的措施。冲突类型由强度和持续时间定义,位于纵轴上,参与程度(国际、区域和双边)沿横轴固定,以区分支持建立信任的条件(许多建设和平方法之一)。通过将该框架应用于地中海联盟来考察其效用。地中海联盟是一个由42个成员国组成的联盟,在冲突盛行的地区开展活动(叙利亚战争、阿拉伯-以色列冲突、希腊-土耳其冲突和阿尔及利亚-摩洛哥冲突)。该研究得出结论,建立信任与冷热棘手的冲突有关,但与当代战争无关。奇怪的是,棘手的冲突文献很少讨论建立信任,欧洲医学会文献也没有在建立信任的背景下描述欧盟的行为。该研究建立了一个研究议程,以进一步审查建立信任框架。
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引用次数: 0
Negotiating with a So-called ‘Non-Partner’: Lessons from Palestinian-Israel Negotiation Practices (2000–2020) 与所谓的“非合作伙伴”谈判:巴以谈判实践的经验教训(2000-2002)
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-05-07 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10037
Yuval Benziman
There are conflicts in which the opposing sides perceive and define their adversary as a “non-partner” with whom they are unable or unwilling to negotiate. However, notwithstanding this reciprocal mistrust, negotiate they do. This research fills a theoretical gap in the study of negotiations by mapping five distinct practices of negotiations with a so-called non-partner: firstly, negotiate while claiming that no negotiations are taking place; secondly, use third parties as mediators or what I term “mediators+”; thirdly, negotiate agreements “over the head” of the so-called non-partner; fourthly, act unilaterally; and fifthly, negotiate relatively minor issues. Two alternative negotiation practices are also discussed: one is to negotiate agreements in non-related conflicts that may eventually influence the conflict actually on the table, and the other is to negotiate within the ingroup on the nature of negotiations should they take place. This study uses the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as a test case.
在一些冲突中,对立双方认为并将其对手定义为他们无法或不愿与之谈判的“非伙伴”。然而,尽管存在这种相互不信任,他们还是会进行谈判。这项研究通过绘制与所谓的非合作伙伴谈判的五种不同做法来填补谈判研究中的理论空白:首先,在声称没有谈判的情况下进行谈判;第二,使用第三方作为调解人或我所说的“调解人+”;第三,“越过”所谓的非合作伙伴谈判协议;第四,单方面行动;第五,谈判相对较小的问题。还讨论了两种可供选择的谈判做法:一种是在非相关冲突中谈判协议,这些协议最终可能会影响实际谈判桌上的冲突;另一种是如果谈判发生,在内部集团内就谈判的性质进行谈判。本研究以以巴冲突为测试案例。
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引用次数: 1
Not All Ceasefires Are Created Equal: The Role of Third Party Manipulation in Sudan’s Major Ceasefire Agreements 并非所有停火都是平等的:第三方操纵在苏丹主要停火协议中的作用
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-05-07 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10024
Allard Duursma
Past research has found that third party pressure makes the signing of a ceasefire more likely, but also more likely to break down. What explains this variation? I argue that third party pressure is more likely to lead to a durable ceasefire if pressure is applied to persuade the conflict parties to continue to negotiate and produce a detailed ceasefire document, whereas pressure solely aimed at making the conflict parties sign a ceasefire document undermines the durability of the ceasefire. A comparison of four ceasefires concluded in Sudan supports this argument. Third party pressure that led to the Nuba Mountains Ceasefire and the Agreement on Security Arrangements helped move the negotiations on security arrangements forward. By contrast, the N’Djamena Ceasefire Agreement and the Darfur Peace Agreement were imposed on the parties without regard for political and technical aspects of the ceasefire. This explains why violence soon resumed.
过去的研究发现,第三方的压力使签署停火协议的可能性更大,但也更有可能破裂。是什么解释了这种变化?我认为,如果施加压力说服冲突各方继续谈判并制定详细的停火文件,第三方的压力更有可能导致持久停火,而仅仅旨在让冲突各方签署停火文件的压力会破坏停火的持久性。对苏丹四次停火的比较支持了这一论点。导致努巴山区停火和《安全安排协定》的第三方压力有助于推动安全安排谈判。相比之下,《恩贾梅纳停火协定》和《达尔富尔和平协定》是在不考虑停火的政治和技术方面的情况下强加给各方的。这就解释了为什么暴力很快又重新发生了。
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引用次数: 1
The Challenge of Forging Consent to UN Mediation in Internationalized Civil Wars: The Case of Syria 国际内战中对联合国调解达成一致的挑战:以叙利亚为例
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-04-26 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10013
S. Hellmüller
This article analyzes how the internationalization of civil wars influences conflict parties’ consent to UN mediation processes. Illustrated by the UN mediation in Syria, I argue that internationalization influences consent directly by obstructing the advent of a costly stalemate and the parties’ perception of mediation as a ‘way out,’ and indirectly by reducing mediators’ leverage and perceived impartiality thereby limiting their tools to foster consent. The article makes three contributions. First, it presents a novel conceptual framework to understand the impact of internationalization on conflict parties’ consent. Second, it provides a long-term analysis of UN mediation in Syria from 2012–2020. Third, it contributes to a broader discussion about how civil wars end. This is of particular relevance as the prioritization of a political over a military end to civil wars, which was dominant in the early post-Cold War period, is no longer unquestioned.
本文分析了内战国际化如何影响冲突各方对联合国调解进程的同意。以联合国在叙利亚的调解为例,我认为,通过阻止代价高昂的僵局的出现和各方将调解视为“出路”的看法,国际化直接影响了共识,并间接影响了调解人的影响力和公正性,从而限制了他们促进共识的工具。这篇文章有三点贡献。首先,它提出了一个新的概念框架来理解国际化对冲突各方同意的影响。第二,对2012-2020年联合国在叙利亚的斡旋进行了长期分析。第三,它有助于更广泛地讨论内战是如何结束的。这是特别重要的,因为在冷战后初期占主导地位的以政治方式结束内战而不是以军事方式结束内战已不再是毫无疑问的。
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引用次数: 9
Review of Article 27.3(b) and the Patenting of Life Forms: Hitting a BRIC Wall in the WTO? 审查第27.3(b)条和生命形式的专利权:在世贸组织碰壁金砖四国?
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-04-05 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10018
J. Plahe, Nitesh Kukreja, S. Ponnamperuma
Under Article 27.3(b) of the Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) Agreement of the World Trade Organization (WTO), all members are required to extend private property rights to life forms. Using official WTO documents, this article analyzes the negotiating positions of WTO members on life patents during a review of Article 27.3(b) which commenced in 1999 and is currently ongoing. Initially, developing countries raised serious ethical concerns regarding life patents, creating a clear North-South divide. However, over time the position of Brazil and India moved away from the ethics of life patents to the prevention of bio-piracy, a position supported by China. Russia too is supportive of life patents. A group of small developing countries have, however, continued to question the morality of life patents despite this “BRIC wall,” changing the dynamics of the negotiations from a North-South divide to one which now includes a South-South divide.
根据世界贸易组织(世贸组织)《与贸易有关的知识产权协定》第27.3(b)条,所有成员都必须将私人产权扩展到生命形式。本文利用世贸组织的官方文件,分析了世贸组织成员在1999年开始并目前正在进行的对第27.3(b)条的审查中对终身专利的谈判立场。最初,发展中国家对生命专利提出了严重的伦理问题,造成了明显的南北分歧。然而,随着时间的推移,巴西和印度的立场从生命专利的伦理转向了防止生物盗版,这一立场得到了中国的支持。俄罗斯也支持终身专利。然而,尽管有“金砖四国墙”,一些小型发展中国家仍继续质疑生命专利的道德性,将谈判的动态从南北分歧转变为现在包括南南分歧的分歧。
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引用次数: 0
Conditioning Constructs: A Psychological Theory of International Negotiated Cooperation 条件结构:国际谈判合作的心理学理论
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-04-05 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10025
Rachel Xian
Political psychology and social constructivism exist in an “ideational alliance” against realism; however, both have overlooked behavioral conditioning, the basis of animal learning. Through six stages situated in international negotiation behaviors, the theory of Conditioning Constructs shows how behavioral conditioning can take parties from specific to diffuse reciprocity, rationalist to constructivist cooperation, and crisis to durable peace. In stages 1, 2 and 3, parties use negotiated agreements to exit prisoner’s dilemmas, continuously reinforce cooperation during agreement implementation, and satiate to rewards as initial implementation finalizes. In stages 4, 5 and 6, parties receive fresh rewards with new negotiations, undergo intermittent reinforcement with periodic agreements thereafter, and finally attribute cooperative behavior to actor constructs. Conditioning Constructs demonstrates that agency is possible in socially constructed structures through willful participation in conditioning through negotiation; and that, while Anatol Rapoport’s tit-for-tat strategy is suited to initial cooperation, intermittent reinforcement better preserves late-stage cooperation.
政治心理学和社会建构主义存在于一个反对现实主义的“概念联盟”中;然而,两者都忽视了行为条件反射,这是动物学习的基础。制约结构理论通过国际谈判行为的六个阶段,展示了行为制约如何使各方从特定到分散互惠、从理性主义到建构主义合作、从危机到持久和平。在第1、2和3阶段,各方利用谈判达成的协议来摆脱囚犯的困境,在协议执行过程中不断加强合作,并在初步执行结束时满足于奖励。在第4、第5和第6阶段,各方通过新的谈判获得新的回报,此后通过定期协议进行间歇性强化,并最终将合作行为归因于行动者结构。条件制约结构表明,通过协商故意参与条件制约,代理在社会结构中是可能的;而且,虽然Anatol Rapport的针锋相对策略适合于初期合作,但间歇性强化更好地保留了后期合作。
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引用次数: 0
Does the Distribution of Ethnic Kin-Groups Explain Mediation in Territorial Conflicts? 族群分布是否解释了领土冲突中的调解?
IF 0.5 Q3 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.1163/15718069-BJA10029
Ayal Feinberg, J. Greig
The literature on ethnic kin-groups primarily focuses on their role in perpetuating conflict. Less attention has been devoted to how ethnic kin-groups might encourage mediation in disputes affecting their kin in other nations. We argue that transborder kin-groups’ collective concern for the welfare of their fellow members in other states can motivate interstate mediation efforts. Utilizing the Ethnic Power Relations and the Issue Correlates of War datasets, we examine how transborder kin-group connections shape the likelihood of mediation, as well as who provides it. Our findings suggest that the deeper the network of transborder kin-group connections among target states of territorial disputes, the more likely mediation is to occur. Alternatively, challenger transborder kin-group connections reduce the likelihood of mediation. While transborder kin-group connections help explain the likelihood of mediation, mediation is often not provided by the connected third-party state. Instead, these connections promote mediation from international organizations, particularly regional organizations.
关于族裔亲属群体的文献主要集中在他们在冲突持续中的作用上。对于少数民族亲属团体如何鼓励调解影响其他国家亲属的争端,人们的关注较少。我们认为,跨境亲属团体对其他州其他成员福利的集体关注可以激励州际调解努力。利用民族权力关系和战争问题相关性数据集,我们研究了跨境亲属群体关系如何影响调解的可能性,以及谁提供调解。我们的研究结果表明,领土争端目标国之间的跨境亲属群体联系网络越深,调解的可能性就越大。或者,挑战者跨国界亲属群体的联系降低了调解的可能性。虽然跨境亲属群体关系有助于解释调解的可能性,但调解通常不是由相关的第三方国家提供的。相反,这些联系促进了国际组织,特别是区域组织的调解。
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引用次数: 0
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International Negotiation-A Journal of Theory and Practice
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