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AUKUS: When naval procurement sets grand strategy AUKUS:当海军采购制定大战略时
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231195269
Jonathan D. Caverley
Traditionally, a grand strategy lays out the trade-offs a state must make in pursuit of security, thereby setting all aspects of foreign policy, from trade deals to defence budgets. This essay argues that the trade-offs embodied in a deal as complex, expensive, and long-lasting as AUKUS will manifest themselves in Australia's grand strategy for decades to come. Going forward, Australia's naval procurement decisions will shape its grand strategy, rather than vice versa. The essay makes three related points. First, Australia's costly reneging on France in favour of the US is the most important aspect of the deal to date. Even if these nuclear submarines are never built (a not entirely remote possibility), this shift in investment will determine Australia's approach to the world for a generation. Second, understanding this approach requires acknowledging that arms deals, even between allies, are tough, zero-sum negotiations requiring all parties to give up something of value. Given this, the essay makes the final point that Australia, and any other country entering AUKUS in the future, will pay in autonomy as much as in dollars.
传统上,一项大战略规定了一个国家在追求安全时必须做出的权衡,从而制定外交政策的各个方面,从贸易协议到国防预算。本文认为,像AUKUS这样复杂、昂贵和持久的交易所体现的权衡将在澳大利亚未来几十年的大战略中体现出来。展望未来,澳大利亚的海军采购决策将决定其大战略,而不是相反。这篇文章提出了三个相关的观点。首先,澳大利亚代价高昂地背弃法国,转而支持美国,这是该协议迄今为止最重要的方面。即使这些核潜艇从未建造过(这并非完全是遥远的可能性),这种投资转变也将决定澳大利亚在一代人的时间里对世界的态度。其次,理解这种方法需要承认,即使是盟友之间的武器交易,也是艰难的零和谈判,要求各方放弃一些有价值的东西。鉴于此,本文最后指出,澳大利亚和未来任何其他进入AUKUS的国家,都将以美元的形式支付自主权费用。
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引用次数: 0
The Challenge of Africa 非洲的挑战
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.2307/40198944
K. Busia
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引用次数: 30
Local Government in West Africa 西非的地方政府
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.2307/40200176
R. Wraith
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引用次数: 7
Editors’ Introduction 编辑的介绍
4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231180062
Asa McKercher, W. Andy Knight
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引用次数: 0
Hastening the inevitable: American intervention in the Canadian elections of 1962–1963 加速不可避免的事情:美国对1962-1963年加拿大大选的干预
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231175683
Marshall Palmer
In recent years, there has been much research on foreign electoral intervention (FEI). However, it is an open question as to whether successful interventions “work” for the intervener. Does the newly elected government adopt the policies that motivated the intervener to intervene in the first place? This paper makes a first step toward addressing that question. It argues that FEIs work when the elected government can overcome veto players in legislatures, be they parliaments, national assemblies, or congresses. For minority governments or cohabitational presidencies, overcoming these veto players is no easy task and may necessitate further interventions by the intervening power. American interventions in the Canadian elections of 1962 and 1963 serve as an illustrative case. The findings suggest that governments with large majorities or control over congressional/legislative branches are more likely to cooperate with intervening governments. These findings have implications for how we assess the vulnerability of democracies to FEI.
近年来,对外国选举干预的研究越来越多。然而,成功的干预措施是否对干预者“有效”,这是一个悬而未决的问题。新当选的政府是否采取了最初促使干预者进行干预的政策?本文为解决这个问题迈出了第一步。它认为,当民选政府能够克服立法机构(无论是议会、国民议会还是国会)中的否决者时,外国投资机构就能发挥作用。对于少数党政府或同居总统来说,克服这些否决者并非易事,可能需要干预力量的进一步干预。美国对1962年和1963年加拿大选举的干预就是一个很好的例子。研究结果表明,拥有多数或控制国会/立法部门的政府更有可能与干预政府合作。这些发现对我们如何评估民主国家对自由贸易的脆弱性具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: China’s Asymmetric Statecraft: Alignments, Competitors, and Regional Diplomacy 书评:中国不对称的治国方略:结盟、竞争对手与区域外交
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231180113
Brantly Womack
Situated amidst a complex international neighborhood, China’s regional relationships are asymmetric, notwithstanding the country’s relations with the Soviet Union and with Japan before 1945. International Relations theories, with their concentration on the statecraft of Western great powers, historically have paid little attention to such dynamics. However, based on exhaustive research in various national archives, Yuxing Huang analyzes and explains China’s regional statecraft in three important arenas of the Cold War era. Huang argues that China’s regional statecraft depends on the nature and number of its global competitors. Facing one competitor, China’s regional politics are more uniform, while with multiple competitors, China is more diverse and selective in its relationships. Uniformity has the advantage of consistency when facing a single opponent, while using selective policies can target the interstices of multiple rivals. His cases—East Asia (1955–1965), South Asia (1955–1963), and Indochina (1962– 1975)—include examples of China’s diplomacy toward both aligned and non-aligned neighbors, comprising both uniform and selective policies of accommodation, coercion, and status quo maintenance. Huang demonstrates a broad command of Western and Chinese IR theory and scholarship, and an even more impressive depth of research into Chinese and Western diplomatic archives. Huang’s analysis of China’s East Asian diplomacy concentrates on Taiwan and Japan. He argues that from 1955 to 1958, China pursued a uniform strategy of accommodation. For example, in May 1956, Zhou Enlai proposed that Chiang Kai-shek could keep his armed forces if he agreed to unification. However, with the
尽管1945年前中国与苏联和日本有关系,但中国地处复杂的国际环境中,其地区关系是不对称的。国际关系理论专注于西方大国的治国方略,历史上很少关注这种动态。然而,基于对各种国家档案的详尽研究,黄宇星分析并解释了冷战时期中国在三个重要领域的区域治国方略。黄认为,中国的地区战略取决于其全球竞争对手的性质和数量。面对一个竞争对手,中国的地区政治更加统一,而面对多个竞争对手时,中国的关系更加多样化和选择性。当面对单个对手时,一致性具有一致性的优势,而使用选择性策略可以针对多个对手的空隙。他的案例——东亚(1955–1965)、南亚(1955–1963)和中印(1962–1975)——包括中国对结盟和非结盟邻国的外交,包括统一和选择性的通融、胁迫和维持现状政策。黄对中西外交关系理论和学术有着广泛的掌握,对中西外交档案的研究也有着更为深刻的深度。黄对中国东亚外交的分析主要集中在台湾和日本。他认为,从1955年到1958年,中国奉行统一的通融战略。例如,1956年5月,周恩来提出,如果蒋介石同意统一,他可以保留军队。然而
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: Distant Stage: Quebec, Brazil, and the Making of Canada’s Cultural Diplomacy 书评:《遥远的舞台:魁北克、巴西与加拿大文化外交的形成》
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231180121
Asa McKercher
containing diversity works, it also shows how Canada’s colonial roots still impact its immigration policy. For this reason, Abu-Laban, Tungohan, and Gabriel make a significant contribution to the contemporary literature on immigration in Canada. Echoing Abu-Laban and Gabriel’s earlier arguments in Selling Diversity, this latest book illustrates the paradox between Canada’s mechanisms of exclusion and its efforts to embrace diversity through liberal discourse on openness, multiculturalism policies, and public support for immigration. In this sense, Canada is far from being an “exception” in the twenty-first century immigration landscape. The use of an ethics-of-care perspective combined with critical political economy opens new avenues to rethink immigration in Canada, instead of seeing migrants as numbers or quantifiable objects that would contribute to certain neo-liberal objectives. One of the most exciting contributions to the immigration literature in the last few years, Containing Diversity is a valuable resource not only for migration scholars, but also for policy analysts, as well as immigrants themselves who wish to learn about Canadian immigration policies.
包含多样性是有效的,它也显示了加拿大的殖民根源如何影响其移民政策。因此,阿布-拉班、通古汉和加布里埃尔对加拿大当代移民文学做出了重要贡献。这本新书呼应了阿布-拉班和加布里埃尔早前在《出售多样性》一书中的观点,说明了加拿大的排斥机制与它通过开放、多元文化政策和公众支持移民等自由话语拥抱多样性的努力之间的悖论。从这个意义上说,在21世纪的移民格局中,加拿大远不是一个“例外”。将关怀伦理的观点与批判的政治经济学相结合,为重新思考加拿大的移民开辟了新的途径,而不是将移民视为数字或可量化的对象,这将有助于实现某些新自由主义目标。《包含多样性》是近年来移民文献中最令人兴奋的贡献之一,它不仅是移民学者的宝贵资源,也是政策分析师以及希望了解加拿大移民政策的移民本身的宝贵资源。
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引用次数: 0
How Canada's Indo-Pacific strategy conflicts with ASEAN's outlook on the Indo-Pacific 加拿大的印太战略与东盟的印太前景如何冲突
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231175876
Shaun Narine
Despite giving lip service to the importance of respecting the “centrality” of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), Canada's Indo-Pacific strategy (CIPS) conflicts with the ASEAN Outlook on the Indo-Pacific (AOIP). Instead, Canada defines its position in the Indo-Pacific through the lens of American priorities and perspectives. For its part, the AOIP expresses an ASEAN consensus position but fails to capture the highly complex and varied views of different ASEAN states toward the US and China. The ASEAN states are status-quo powers navigating a region that is undergoing profound strategic and economic changes. By allying itself so firmly with the US, Canada participates in sowing tension in the Indo-Pacific and may face potential consequences in the longer term. CIPS allows little room for the complex regional relations that the ASEAN states are trying to balance.
尽管口头上强调尊重东南亚国家联盟(东盟)“中心地位”的重要性,但加拿大的印太战略(CIPS)与《东盟印太展望》(AOIP)相冲突。相反,加拿大通过美国的优先事项和观点来确定其在印太地区的地位。就AOIP而言,它表达了东盟的共识立场,但未能捕捉到东盟不同国家对美国和中国的高度复杂和多样的看法。东盟国家是在一个正在经历深刻战略和经济变革的地区航行的现状大国。通过与美国如此坚定地结盟,加拿大参与了在印太地区制造紧张局势的行动,并可能面临长期的潜在后果。CIPS几乎没有为东盟国家试图平衡的复杂地区关系留出空间。
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引用次数: 0
In search of a Canadian Middle East policy: A look at past approaches 寻找加拿大的中东政策:回顾过去的做法
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231175684
Susan Khazaeli
Public debate about Canada's role in the Middle East is divided between two camps. One camp contends that Canadian foreign policy should return to its Pearsonian roots, in which Canada plays the role of a dispassionate but honest broker. The other holds that Canada's foreign policy should be defined by high-minded principles. The disagreement is over norms, not interests. This paper refers to two former Prime Ministers who roughly embody the two schools of thought on Canada's foreign and defense policy in the Middle East: Lester B. Pearson and Stephen Harper. Contrary to conventional wisdom that Harper was a realist and Pearson, a Pearsonian, the paper demonstrates that Pearson pursued a realist foreign policy that advances Canada's national security interests whereas Harper was guided by a values-based neo-conservative ideology.
关于加拿大在中东的作用的公开辩论分为两个阵营。一个阵营认为,加拿大的外交政策应该回归其皮尔森主义根源,在皮尔森主义中,加拿大扮演着冷静但诚实的中间人的角色。另一种观点认为,加拿大的外交政策应该以高尚的原则来定义。分歧在于规范,而非利益。本文所指的两位前总理大致体现了加拿大在中东外交和国防政策上的两个学派:莱斯特·皮尔逊和斯蒂芬·哈珀。与哈珀是现实主义者、皮尔逊是皮尔逊主义者的传统观点相反,本文表明皮尔逊奉行的是促进加拿大国家安全利益的现实主义外交政策,而哈珀则受到基于价值观的新保守主义意识形态的指导。
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引用次数: 0
George Ignatieff: A feisty disarmament diplomat in the Cold War era 乔治·伊格纳蒂夫:冷战时期活跃的裁军外交家
IF 2.2 4区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00207020231178924
Paul Meyer
George Ignatieff had a long and distinguished diplomatic career, but only his last posting to the Conference of the Committee on Disarmament in Geneva (1969–1972) enabled him to focus on the existential threat posed by weapons of mass destruction and what could be done through arms control and disarmament to avoid a nuclear Armageddon. He was adept at maneuvering within the limits available to middle powers during the Cold War. Ignatieff was ahead of his time in proposing a professionalization of the policy development process for Canada, and in suggesting means to bridge the gap between bureaucratic and political institutions in defining security policy. Several of his ideas would be realized only years afterwards. Throughout his life he was “indefatigable in his work for peace and international security,” and his contribution to disarmament diplomacy merits renewed attention as the world enters another period of nuclear threats.
乔治·伊格纳蒂夫有着漫长而杰出的外交生涯,但直到他最后一次在日内瓦裁军谈判委员会会议任职(1969年至1972年)时,他才得以专注于大规模毁灭性武器构成的生存威胁,以及通过军备控制和裁军可以做些什么来避免核世界末日。他善于在冷战时期中等大国所能承受的限度内进行操纵。伊格纳蒂夫提出了加拿大政策制定过程的专业化,并提出了在确定安全政策时弥合官僚机构和政治机构之间差距的方法,这是他所处时代的先驱者。他的一些想法在几年后才得以实现。在他的一生中,他“不知疲倦地为和平与国际安全工作”,在世界进入另一个核威胁时期之际,他对裁军外交的贡献值得再次关注。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal
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