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Out-Party Cues and Factual Beliefs in an Era of Negative Partisanship 消极党派时代的党外线索与事实信念
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1939570
Suhwoo Ahn, D. Bergan, Dustin Carnahan, R. Barry, Ezgi Ulusoy
Abstract The rise of negative partisanship raises the possibility that perceptions of what the partisan out-group believes on a factual matter could serve as a cue for one’s own factual beliefs. In the current paper, we present the results of an online experiment using a sample of self-identified conservatives and liberals on Amazon’s Mechanical Turk platform. Across several statements on various political issues, participants were randomly assigned to receive a corrective message, polling information about the factual beliefs of members from the partisan out-group, or both. We find that while the corrective message improved belief accuracy, information about the out-group did not influence belief accuracy either directly or by moderating the influence of corrections – even among those with the strongest antipathy toward the out-party. We discuss the implications of the results for the role of negative partisanship for misinformation and corrective messages.
消极党派关系的兴起提出了一种可能性,即党派外群体对事实问题的看法可以作为一个人自己的事实信念的线索。在本文中,我们展示了一项在线实验的结果,该实验使用了亚马逊土耳其机械平台上自我认同的保守派和自由派样本。在对各种政治问题的陈述中,参与者被随机分配接收纠正信息,或对党派外群体成员的事实信念进行民意调查,或两者兼而有之。我们发现,虽然纠正信息提高了信念的准确性,但关于外群体的信息并没有直接影响信念的准确性,也没有通过调节纠正的影响来影响信念的准确性——即使在那些对外群体最反感的人身上也是如此。我们讨论了负面党派关系对错误信息和纠正信息的作用的影响。
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引用次数: 1
Democratic Norms, Social Projection, and False Consensus in the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election 2020年美国总统大选中的民主规范、社会投射和虚假共识
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1939568
Aaron C. Weinschenk, Costas Panagopoulos, S. van der Linden
Abstract We examine individuals’ views about democratic norm violations related to the peaceful transfer of power and acceptance of election results and the link between those views and broader perceptions about support for social election norms in the American public. Using data from an original national survey fielded after the 2020 presidential election, a number of important findings emerge. First, sizable majorities of Americans personally support the peaceful transfer of power (89%) and accept the 2020 presidential election results (74%). Second, individuals perceive these social norms to be widely held by the public. Respondents believe that 67% of Americans support a peaceful transfer of power and that 63% of Americans will accept the results of the 2020 election. Third, there is a strong link between personal views about these election norms and social perceptions about election norms. Consistent with research in psychology on the false consensus bias, people expect the public at large to share their views about election norms. Finally, we demonstrate that political ideology moderates the relationship between personal views about election norms and public perceptions about these norms. Among conservatives who do not support the election outcome, the perception is that only a small portion of the general public supports the election. On the other hand, among conservatives who do support election norms, the perception is that a large share of the public shares their views.
摘要我们研究了个人对与和平移交权力和接受选举结果有关的违反民主规范的看法,以及这些看法与美国公众对支持社会选举规范的更广泛看法之间的联系。利用2020年总统大选后进行的一项原始全国调查的数据,出现了一些重要的发现。首先,相当多的美国人个人支持和平移交权力(89%),并接受2020年总统选举结果(74%)。其次,个人认为这些社会规范被公众广泛持有。受访者认为,67%的美国人支持和平移交权力,63%的美国人会接受2020年大选的结果。第三,个人对这些选举规范的看法与社会对选举规范的认知之间存在着强烈的联系。与心理学对虚假共识偏见的研究一致,人们希望广大公众分享他们对选举规范的看法。最后,我们证明了政治意识形态调节了个人对选举规范的看法与公众对这些规范的看法之间的关系。在不支持选举结果的保守派中,人们认为只有一小部分公众支持选举。另一方面,在支持选举规范的保守派中,人们认为很大一部分公众认同他们的观点。
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引用次数: 7
Exploring the Political Co-Brand Image & Positioning from External Stakeholder’s Perspective in Pakistan 外部利益相关者视角下巴基斯坦政治联合品牌形象与定位探析
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1930328
Maria Shahid, Waseem Hassan, Lubaba Sadaf
This qualitative study responds to explicit calls for further research and explores the political co-brand management, positioning and negative image transference between the co-brand and the corpo...
本质性研究回应了进一步研究的明确要求,并探讨了政治联合品牌管理、联合品牌与公司之间的定位和负面形象转移。
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引用次数: 2
Getting out the Black Vote in Washington DC: A Field Experiment 在华盛顿特区获得黑人选票:一个实地实验
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1939571
Jamil Scott, Melissa R. Michelson, Stephanie L. DeMora
Abstract Scholars and practitioners have long understood the importance of mobilization for increasing voter turnout, particularly the power of personal contact to increase voter participation in low-propensity communities of color. Compared to research focused on other communities, however, less is known about how Black voters respond to encouragements to vote. This lacuna in the literature can be attributed both to the political capture of Black voters by the Democratic Party and also to rational reluctance by many in the Black community to cooperate with outside researchers seeking to experiment on their communities. Seeking to add to this literature, in the weeks leading up to the 2018 midterm elections we conducted a set of focus groups that informed a subsequent get-out-the-vote (GOTV) effort in two majority-Black wards of Washington DC. The focus group conversations generated valuable insights into the way Black residents think about politics and voting; the GOTV effort yielded negligible effects.
长期以来,学者和实践者都理解动员对提高选民投票率的重要性,特别是在低倾向的有色人种社区中,个人接触对提高选民参与度的作用。然而,与关注其他社区的研究相比,人们对黑人选民对鼓励投票的反应知之甚少。文献中的这一空白既可以归因于民主党对黑人选民的政治控制,也可以归因于黑人社区中许多人理性地不愿与寻求在其社区进行实验的外部研究人员合作。为了补充这一文献,在2018年中期选举前的几周,我们进行了一系列焦点小组讨论,为随后在华盛顿特区两个黑人占多数的选区开展的投票动员(GOTV)活动提供了信息。焦点小组对话对黑人居民思考政治和投票的方式产生了宝贵的见解;GOTV的效果可以忽略不计。
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引用次数: 2
Disclosures of Character: Formal Aspects of Presidential Campaign Announcement Speeches 性格的披露:总统竞选公告演讲的正式方面
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1939579
Michael Cornfield
Abstract The presidential candidacy announcement or declaration speech represents a major political marketing effort. Much goes into its staging, text, and performance. Campaigns rely on this debut to stake out a strategic position with respect to their declared and expected competitors, one that will yield a prevailing share of votes from a coalition of voters the campaigns will try to assemble out of the eligible population. In this study I examine the rhetorical composition of these heralding events based on a quasi-literary analysis of speeches and debut alternatives (such as a video) by 37 major candidates who announced their candidacies in 2015 (for the 2016 nominations and election) and 2019 (for 2020). I review the historical development of the declaration speech and set out ten of its formal elements. I show how a rich sense of a candidate’s character –political orientation, style, and comparative strengths and weaknesses– can be discerned in these addresses. I contend that the choices behind and the qualities of the declaration speech reveal much about the aptness of a candidate for the office of president.
摘要总统候选人的宣布或宣言演讲代表着一项重大的政治营销活动。它在舞台、文本和表演方面都有很大的投入。竞选活动依靠这一首次亮相来确定其相对于已宣布和预期竞争对手的战略地位,这将从竞选活动试图从符合条件的人群中聚集的选民联盟中获得占主导地位的选票。在这项研究中,我基于对37位主要候选人在2015年(2016年提名和选举)和2019年(2020年)宣布参选的演讲和首次亮相备选方案(如视频)的准文学分析,研究了这些预示性事件的修辞成分。我回顾了宣言演讲的历史发展,并阐述了它的十个形式要素。我展示了如何在这些演讲中辨别出候选人的丰富性格——政治取向、风格以及相对优势和劣势。我认为,宣言演讲背后的选择和品质在很大程度上揭示了总统候选人的适应力。
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引用次数: 0
Sleepy Joe? Recalling and Considering Donald Trump’s Strategic Use of Nicknames 沉睡的乔?回顾和思考唐纳德·特朗普对绰号的策略性使用
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-15 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1939572
Tyler Johnson
Abstract From the beginning of his first presidential run in 2015, Donald Trump regularly used nicknames to deride his opponents’ appearances, demeanors, beliefs, or personal histories. Employing such nicknames defied norms of campaigning and captured media attention, but little is known about how these monikers penetrated public awareness, were perceived by the public, and shaped evaluations of those targeted. Examining Trump’s effort to label Joe Biden as “Sleepy Joe” offers a window through which to begin to answer such questions. Findings from an August 2020 survey experiment reveal that those who participate in politics are likely to contemporaneously know the nicknames Trump is using during the campaign. Perceptions of nickname accuracy were shaped by political beliefs. Amongst a random subset of survey participants asked to consider the use and intent of “Sleepy Joe” more deeply, those who knew it going in and also approved of how the President did his job were the only ones to look significantly more negatively upon Biden. Subsequent findings also reveal the extent to which Americans have forgotten Trump’s nicknames of past rivals, calling into question whether such a strategy leaves lasting legacies.
摘要从2015年第一次竞选总统开始,唐纳德·特朗普就经常使用昵称来嘲笑对手的外表、举止、信仰或个人历史。使用这样的绰号违反了竞选规范,吸引了媒体的关注,但人们对这些绰号是如何渗透公众意识、被公众感知并影响对目标人群的评价知之甚少。审视特朗普给乔·拜登贴上“瞌睡虫乔”标签的努力,提供了一个开始回答这些问题的窗口。2020年8月的一项调查实验结果显示,那些参与政治的人很可能同时知道特朗普在竞选期间使用的昵称。对昵称准确性的认知是由政治信仰决定的。在一组被要求更深入地考虑“瞌睡虫乔”的使用和意图的随机调查参与者中,那些知道“瞌睡虫”的使用并认可总统工作方式的人是唯一对拜登持更负面看法的人。随后的调查结果还揭示了美国人对特朗普过去竞争对手的昵称的遗忘程度,这让人怀疑这种策略是否会留下持久的遗产。
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引用次数: 3
Small Donor Contributions in Response to Email Outreach by a Political Campaign 小额捐助者对政治竞选活动的电子邮件宣传的回应
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-05 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1910611
S. Gaynor, J. Gimpel
This research examines variation in response to mass email communications by a large and sophisticated political campaign over the course of the 2018 election cycle. Computational text analysis is ...
这项研究考察了2018年选举周期内,一场大型而复杂的政治竞选活动对大规模电子邮件通信的反应变化。计算文本分析是。。。
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引用次数: 4
What Drive Marketization and Professionalization of Campaigning of Political Parties in the Emerging Democracy? Evidence from Indonesia in the Post-Soeharto New Order 新兴民主政治中政党竞选市场化与职业化的动因?来自印尼后苏哈托新秩序的证据
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-08 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2021.1910610
Nyarwi Ahmad
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引用次数: 3
The Message Matters: The Influence of Fact-Checking on Evaluations of Political Messages 信息的重要性:事实核查对政治信息评价的影响
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-03 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2018.1457591
Amanda Wintersieck, K. Fridkin, P. Kenney
Fact-checks have become prolific in U.S. campaigns over the last ten years. As a result, fact-checks have become one of the easiest ways for individuals to analyze the truthfulness of politicians’ statements. The increase in both fact-checking and its accessibility to voters led us to ask whether fact-checks influence individuals’ attitudes and evaluations of political candidates and campaign messages. To examine the impact of fact-checking, we conduct two original experiments using the 2012 Ohio Senate race between Republican challenger Josh Mandel and Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown. The first experiment utilized a sample of over 300 students during the fall of 2013. The second experiment is a crowdsourced Amazon Mechanical Turk Sample in the fall of 2014. We find the content of fact-check messages are influential in altering assessments of candidates’ advertisements. We also find the source of the fact-check only modestly impacts assessments. The findings illustrate the potential power of fact-checks to influence the effectiveness of candidates’ messages and reaffirm the important role the news media plays in validating candidate claims and arguments during political campaigns.
在过去的十年里,事实核查在美国的竞选活动中越来越多。因此,事实核查已成为个人分析政客言论真实性的最简单方法之一。事实核查的增加及其对选民的可及性让我们不禁要问,事实核查是否会影响个人对政治候选人和竞选信息的态度和评价。为了检验事实核查的影响,我们使用2012年俄亥俄州共和党挑战者乔什·曼德尔和民主党现任参议员谢罗德·布朗之间的参议院竞选进行了两项原始实验。第一个实验在2013年秋季使用了300多名学生的样本。第二个实验是2014年秋季众包的亚马逊机械土耳其样品。我们发现事实核查信息的内容对改变候选人广告的评估有影响。我们还发现,事实核查的来源只是适度的影响评估。调查结果表明,事实核查有可能影响候选人信息的有效性,并重申新闻媒体在政治竞选中验证候选人的说法和论点方面发挥的重要作用。
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引用次数: 29
Russia’s Public Diplomacy: From Soft Power to Strategic Communication 俄罗斯的公共外交:从软实力到战略沟通
IF 1.2 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-03-29 DOI: 10.1080/15377857.2020.1869845
N. Tsvetkova, Dmitry Rushchin
Abstract Russian public diplomacy has recently minimized its traditional approach of soft power and cultural diplomacy in favor of strategic communication involving political marketing and sharp power. This article discusses the theoretical implications of soft power, political marketing, and strategic communication for public diplomacy and reviews Russia’s conspicuous projects of public diplomacy in the domains of traditional and digital communication. It shows that Russia’s public diplomacy has recently exploited strategic communication and political marketing more often than soft power, dialogue, and engagement. As a consequence, despite new reforms and financial support from the government, Russia’s public diplomacy can neither win over target audiences nor improve its brand via foreign aid.
俄罗斯公共外交近年来减少了传统的软实力和文化外交方式,转而采用包括政治营销和锐实力在内的战略传播方式。本文讨论了软实力、政治营销和战略传播对公共外交的理论意义,并回顾了俄罗斯在传统传播和数字传播领域引人注目的公共外交项目。这表明,俄罗斯的公共外交最近更多地利用了战略沟通和政治营销,而不是软实力、对话和接触。因此,尽管有新的改革和政府的财政支持,俄罗斯的公共外交既无法赢得目标受众,也无法通过外援提升其品牌。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Journal of Political Marketing
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