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Electoral support for FPÖ in regional and national arenas: Different levels of government, same causality? 在地区和国家层面对FPÖ的选举支持:不同级别的政府,相同的因果关系?
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1928087
Viktoria Jansesberger, Z. Lefkofridi, Armin Mühlböck
ABSTRACT Which factors contribute to the electoral success of Populist Radical Right Parties (PRRPs)? We empirically investigate the relationship between the Austrian Freedom Party/FP (Freiheitliche Partei Österreich/FPÖ)'s electoral shares and the degree of population's socioeconomic polarization based on data for six regional and national elections and 118 municipalities in the state of Salzburg. Regional elections offer an excellent setting for conducting a thorough test of the argument that relative deprivation provides fertile ground for PRRPs. Our longitudinal study provides clear evidence that the more polarized the socio-economic structure in Salzburg's municipalities, the higher the share of FP supporters. This relationship holds over time and across types of elections: regional elections (‘Landtagswahlen’) and national elections (‘Nationalratswahlen’).
摘要:哪些因素促成了民粹主义激进右翼政党(PRRP)的选举成功?基于萨尔茨堡州六次地区和全国选举以及118个市镇的数据,我们实证研究了奥地利自由党/FP(Freiheitliche ParteiÖsterreich/FPÖ)的选举份额与人口社会经济两极分化程度之间的关系。地区选举为彻底检验相对贫困为PRRP提供了肥沃土壤的论点提供了一个极好的环境。我们的纵向研究提供了明确的证据,表明萨尔茨堡市的社会经济结构越两极分化,FP支持者的比例就越高。这种关系随着时间的推移和不同类型的选举而存在:地区选举(“Landtagswahlen”)和全国选举(“Nationalratswahlen)。
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引用次数: 0
Horizontal and vertical spill-over in multilevel electoral systems 多级选举制度中的横向和纵向溢出
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1934455
A. Schakel, Valentyna Romanova
ABSTRACT A multilevel electoral system perspective reveals several ways in which electoral spill-over may occur. Vertical spill-over may be top-down from the national to the regional level or can be bottom-up from the regional to the national electoral arena. Horizontal spill-over happens when developments in one regional electoral arena impact electoral outcomes in another regional electoral arena. The literature on regional elections has mainly focused on vertical top-down spill-over. In this introduction, we discuss two main insights in relation to spill-over between electoral arenas that surface when considering the collection of articles and reports presented in this fourth annual review of regional elections. First, we discuss how horizontal spill-over can be identified and differentiated from diffusion of electoral developments driven by territorial cleavages. Second, we discuss several institutions that impact vertical spill-over. We conclude by considering a wider research agenda for the study of spill-over in multilevel electoral systems.
多层次选举制度的视角揭示了选举溢出可能发生的几种方式。纵向溢出可能是自上而下的,从国家到地区一级,也可能是自下而上的,从地区到国家选举领域。当一个地区选举领域的发展影响到另一个地区选举领域的选举结果时,就会发生横向溢出。关于地区选举的文献主要集中在垂直自上而下的溢出效应上。在这篇引言中,我们讨论了在考虑第四次地区选举年度回顾中提出的文章和报告的收集时,与选举领域之间溢出效应有关的两个主要见解。首先,我们讨论了如何识别和区分横向溢出与由领土分裂驱动的选举发展扩散。其次,我们讨论了影响垂直溢出的几个制度。最后,我们考虑了一个更广泛的研究议程,以研究多层次选举制度的溢出效应。
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引用次数: 4
Inter-regional contacts and voting behaviour in Belgium: What can we learn from the 2019 elections? 比利时的地区间接触和投票行为:我们能从2019年的选举中学到什么?
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-27 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1919096
P. Thijssen, Min Reuchamps, Lieven De Winter, Jérémy Dodeigne, Dave Sinardet
ABSTRACT The 2019 elections in Belgium yielded contrasted results between the two main regions of the country, Flanders and Wallonia. It is often posited that at the core of this regional difference is the intermingled question of identity and state reform preferences. In this context, this article asks the following question: does the presence or absence of inter-regional contacts can explain voting behaviour? To answer this question, we use structural equation modelling in order to compare 2019 voting behaviour in Flanders and in Wallonia. We rely on the 2019 RepResent cross-sectional post-electoral survey that offers a representative sample of the population in both regions, including indicators of their inter-regional contacts and vote choice.
摘要2019年比利时的选举结果与该国两个主要地区佛兰德斯和瓦隆尼亚的选举结果形成对比。人们经常认为,这种地区差异的核心是身份认同和国家改革偏好的混合问题。在这种情况下,本文提出了以下问题:区域间接触的存在或不存在是否可以解释投票行为?为了回答这个问题,我们使用结构方程模型来比较2019年佛兰德斯和瓦隆尼亚的投票行为。我们依赖2019年RepResent选举后横断面调查,该调查提供了两个地区人口的代表性样本,包括他们的地区间联系和选票选择指标。
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引用次数: 1
Direct democracy, political support and populism–attitudinal patterns in the German Bundesländer 直接民主、政治支持和民粹主义——德国联邦的态度模式
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-11 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1919876
Kathrin Ackermann, D. Braun, Matthias Fatke, N. Fawzi
ABSTRACT Empirical insights on the attitudinal correlates of direct democracy are inconclusive. On the one hand, direct democracy bears a conceptual resemblance with populist ideas. On the other hand, participatory democrats advocate the use of direct democracy precisely on grounds that it promises to educate citizens. This paper complements tests of arguments positing an educative potential of direct democracy with tests of its populist potential. We make use of original survey data collected in the German Bundesländer, which present a relatively underappreciated, yet interesting and representative case for studying direct democracy. Multilevel models indicate that political attitudes are neither more populist nor more supportive of the political system among citizens in direct democratic contexts. The story is more complicated though as the relationship between direct democracy and populist attitudes is conditional on the ideological orientation of a citizen.
关于直接民主的态度相关性的经验见解是不确定的。一方面,直接民主在概念上与民粹主义思想相似。另一方面,参与式民主人士主张使用直接民主,正是因为它承诺教育公民。本文用对直接民主的民粹主义潜力的测试来补充对直接民主教育潜力的论点的测试。我们利用了在德国联邦州收集的原始调查数据,这些数据为研究直接民主提供了一个相对未被重视但有趣且具有代表性的案例。多层次模型表明,在直接民主背景下,公民的政治态度既不更民粹主义,也不更支持政治制度。然而,故事更为复杂,因为直接民主和民粹主义态度之间的关系取决于公民的意识形态取向。
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引用次数: 3
Entrapped in a failing course of action: Explaining the territorial crisis in 2017 Catalonia 陷入失败的行动:解释2017年加泰罗尼亚的领土危机
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-11 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1907570
Carles Ferreira
ABSTRACT Why did the territorial conflict between the governments of Catalonia and Spain escalate to the point of extreme institutional disruption in October 2017? The present article explains this crisis – a declaration of independence followed by the imposition of direct rule – as the outcome of an Escalation of Commitment behaviour. By examining the iterative relationship between both governments, the article shows that they were trapped in a failing course of action, unable to withdraw from their early political decisions. Despite facing increasingly negative outcomes from their choices, both sides had already invested too much political capital to quit. Expectations and self-justification attitudes account for the escalation behaviour, together with a radicalized decision environment. The findings have broader implications for the study of nationalist politics: they show that the commitment to early decisions mediated by the existence of strong political incentives against compromise may lead to the escalation of territorial conflicts.
摘要2017年10月,加泰罗尼亚和西班牙政府之间的领土冲突为何升级到制度极度混乱的地步?本文将这场危机——宣布独立后实施直接统治——解释为承诺行为升级的结果。通过研究两国政府之间的反复关系,这篇文章表明,他们陷入了一个失败的行动过程,无法退出早期的政治决策。尽管他们的选择带来了越来越负面的结果,但双方都已经投入了太多的政治资本,无法退出。期望和自我辩护态度是升级行为的原因,同时也是激进的决策环境。这些发现对民族主义政治的研究有着更广泛的意义:它们表明,在存在反对妥协的强大政治动机的情况下,对早期决策的承诺可能会导致领土冲突的升级。
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引用次数: 8
Multilevel strategies of political inclusion: The contestation of voting rights for foreign residents by regional assemblies in Europe 政治包容的多层面策略:欧洲地区议会对外国居民投票权的争夺
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-11 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1921742
Lorenzo Piccoli
ABSTRACT Over the last fifty years, eighteen regional assemblies in Europe have debated the extension of voting rights to foreign residents. Yet only Scotland and the Swiss cantons of Neuchâtel and Jura have adopted such legislation. What explains this variation? Through a comparison of debates that have taken place in Italy and Switzerland, I show that multilevel governance expands access to policymaking, but also multiplies veto points in the system. As a result, attempts by regional assemblies to directly give voting rights to foreign residents are generally doomed to fail. At the same time, multilevel governance can be used as a strategy to indirectly shape the political inclusion of different groups. Even if they are unsuccessful in giving the right to vote to foreign residents, these discussions can lead to broader reforms of political rights at the national level.
摘要在过去的五十年里,欧洲十八个地区议会就将投票权扩大到外国居民展开了辩论。然而,只有苏格兰和瑞士的纽沙特尔州和尤拉州通过了此类立法。是什么解释了这种变化?通过比较意大利和瑞士的辩论,我发现多级治理扩大了决策的机会,但也增加了系统中的否决点。因此,地区议会直接赋予外国居民投票权的尝试通常注定会失败。同时,多层次治理可以作为一种策略,间接塑造不同群体的政治包容性。即使他们未能将投票权交给外国居民,这些讨论也可能导致国家层面更广泛的政治权利改革。
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引用次数: 6
The conditions and potentials of federalizing trade policy: Comparing Canada and the United States 贸易政策联邦化的条件与潜力——加拿大与美国的比较
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-07 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1919875
C. Freudlsperger
ABSTRACT Whereas some federations reacted to the expanding international trade agenda by ‘federalizing’ trade policy-making and allowing sub-federal governments a substantial involvement, others did not. Comparing Canada and the United States, this paper investigates the conditions and potentials of federalization on the case of public procurement liberalization. The first section argues that the institutionalization of intergovernmental relations depends on the incontestability of sub-federal claims to authority and the absence of cheaper alternatives. In the US, the availability of federal pre-emption and the possibility to exclude sub-federal competencies from international agreements acted as a brake on state involvement. In Canada, ‘watertight’ provincial competencies and a non-representative second chamber enabled a gradual federalization. The second section argues that federalization holds the potential to increase constituent units’ openness to procurement liberalization. While their deficient involvement has constrained US states’ openness, federalization was instrumental in Canadian provinces’ recently growing openness for international suppliers.
摘要尽管一些联合会对不断扩大的国际贸易议程做出了反应,将贸易政策制定“联邦化”,并允许下级联邦政府大量参与,但其他联合会则没有。本文通过对加拿大和美国的比较,考察了在公共采购自由化的情况下联邦化的条件和潜力。第一节认为,政府间关系的制度化取决于下级联邦对权力的主张是无可争辩的,以及缺乏更便宜的替代方案。在美国,联邦优先权的可用性以及将次联邦权限排除在国际协议之外的可能性阻碍了国家的参与。在加拿大,“滴水不漏”的省级权限和不具代表性的第二议院使联邦制得以逐步实现。第二节认为,联邦制有可能提高组成单位对采购自由化的开放程度。虽然他们的参与不足限制了美国各州的开放,但联邦制对加拿大各省最近对国际供应商日益开放起到了重要作用。
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引用次数: 4
Squaring the circle: The consolidation of incumbency advantage in the Argentine provincial elections of 2019 圆的平方:在2019年阿根廷省级选举中巩固现任优势
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-02 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1919873
Julieta Suárez-Cao
ABSTRACT The Argentine provincial elections in 2019 consolidated the control governors had over their own territories. Despite a profound economic crisis, provincial politics reinforced patterns of continuity rather than change. This was possible thanks to a series of institutional reforms enacted since the 1980s designed to protect governors and their parties, and whose lock-in effects are still in force. In some districts, power-concentrating reforms such as removing gubernatorial term limits and electoral laws with majoritarian effects solidified governors’ powers. In other provinces, power-sharing reforms that established term limits and enacted proportional representation electoral systems provide fertile ground for the emergence of new political parties. In both districts, the strategic use of the prerogative of choosing the date of provincial elections helped create provincial safe-havens. This article delves into the foundations of provincial incumbency advantage and sheds light on the institutional mechanisms that set it in motion.
摘要2019年阿根廷省级选举巩固了省长对本国领土的控制权。尽管发生了严重的经济危机,但省级政治强化了连续性而非变革模式。这要归功于自20世纪80年代以来颁布的一系列旨在保护州长及其政党的制度改革,这些改革的锁定效应仍然有效。在一些地区,权力集中的改革,如取消州长任期限制和具有多数派影响的选举法,巩固了州长的权力。在其他省份,制定任期限制和制定比例代表制选举制度的权力分享改革为新政党的出现提供了肥沃的土壤。在这两个地区,战略性地利用选择省级选举日期的特权有助于建立省级安全避难所。本文深入探讨了省级在职优势的基础,并揭示了推动省级在职优势发展的体制机制。
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引用次数: 3
When governors go abroad: Incentives for paradiplomacy in recentralised Russia 当州长出国:重新中央集权的俄罗斯的辅助外交的动机
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-05-02 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1919095
D. Stremoukhov
ABSTRACT Due to the successful centralization efforts of the beginning of the 2000s, Russian governors almost lost their domestic as well as international agency. However, there is still a considerable variation in their international activity levels that remains unexplained. Employing an original dataset on the international activity of Russian governors from 2005 to 2015, the article investigates what effect regional political regime, ethnicity and other factors have on the level of gubernatorial participation in paradiplomacy. The level of regional democracy, the absence of ties between governors and regional elites, and the ethnic distinctiveness of a region are all positively associated with the engagement in international activity. The article demonstrates that regional authorities turn to paradiplomacy when faced with pressures for resource attraction and ethnic identity construction, even under the conditions of a relatively centralized authoritarian state.
摘要由于21世纪初成功的中央集权,俄罗斯州长几乎失去了国内和国际机构。然而,它们的国际活动水平仍有相当大的差异,这仍然是无法解释的。文章利用2005年至2015年俄罗斯州长国际活动的原始数据集,调查了地区政治制度、种族和其他因素对州长参与准外交水平的影响。地区民主程度、州长与地区精英之间缺乏联系以及一个地区的种族特色都与参与国际活动呈正相关。文章表明,即使在相对集中的威权国家的条件下,当面临资源吸引和种族认同建设的压力时,地区当局也会转向准外交。
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引用次数: 4
Mexican sub-federal governments and trade politics: Variation on supportive conditions and institutional resources 墨西哥次联邦政府与贸易政治:支持条件和制度资源的变化
IF 1.4 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-04-28 DOI: 10.1080/13597566.2021.1919871
M. López-Vallejo
ABSTRACT Mexico has one of the largest networks of trade and investment agreements in the world. However, the legal architecture in Mexico does not allow sub-federal governments (SGFs) to participate in free trade negotiations. While this explains the rather weak role of Mexican sub-federal units in trade politics, this case study shows that the states are not absent from trade. They utilize semi-formal and informal resources which account for variation in trade engagement. Permissive secondary legislation, cooperation agreements and projects, and intergovernmental bargaining are all institutional resources used by Mexican SFGs to engage in trade politics. These resources function under supportive conditions that facilitate trade, such as interest identification, institutional capacities, and learning processes. A variation of such conditions sets the basis for the use of certain resources. This article presents empirical evidence of SFGs differentiated engagement in the United States-Mexico-Canada agreement (USMCA) and the revamped Mexico-European Union trade agreement (MEX-EU).
墨西哥拥有世界上最大的贸易和投资协议网络之一。然而,墨西哥的法律架构不允许次联邦政府(sgf)参与自由贸易谈判。虽然这解释了墨西哥次级联邦单位在贸易政治中的作用相当薄弱,但本案例研究表明,各州并非缺席贸易。他们利用半正式和非正式资源,这说明了贸易参与的变化。允许的二级立法、合作协议和项目以及政府间谈判都是墨西哥SFGs用于参与贸易政治的制度资源。这些资源在促进贸易的支持性条件下发挥作用,例如利益识别、机构能力和学习过程。这些条件的变化为某些资源的使用奠定了基础。本文提出了SFGs在美国-墨西哥-加拿大协定(USMCA)和修订后的墨西哥-欧盟贸易协定(MEX-EU)中差异化参与的经验证据。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Regional and Federal Studies
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