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Crash risk and conservatism: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul 崩盘风险与保守主义:伊斯坦布尔证券交易所的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.010
Tuba Toksoz

This study assesses the relationship between the likelihood of future stock price crashes and conservatism—an accounting characteristic that leads to the undervaluation of accounting net assets relative to economic net assets. This undervaluation is achieved by less stringent verification criteria in acknowledging losses compared with gains, resulting in more timely recognition of economic losses. Utilizing a sample of firms traded on Borsa Istanbul from 2009 to 2019, this study reveals that firms with a greater degree of conservatism witness a significant reduction in crash risk after accounting for firm-specific determinants of crash risk along with firm and year fixed effects. This result corroborates the findings in the literature on conservatism, revealing that conservatism diminishes the ability of managers to withhold unfavorable information. In addition, the results are economically meaningful and hold after a set of tests to assess robustness. The findings are particularly relevant for underperforming firms, indicating that an increase in adverse information enhances the motivation for firms to obscure and delay sharing the information. Further analysis demonstrates that accounting conservatism offers advantages by mitigating future crash risk, especially for firms with high intangible intensity.

本研究评估了未来股价暴跌的可能性与保守主义之间的关系--保守主义是一种会计特征,它导致会计净资产相对于经济净资产的价值被低估。这种低估是通过在确认损失时比确认收益时更宽松的验证标准来实现的,从而导致更及时地确认经济损失。本研究利用 2009 年至 2019 年在伊斯坦布尔证券交易所交易的公司样本,在考虑了公司特有的崩盘风险决定因素以及公司和年份固定效应后发现,保守程度较高的公司的崩盘风险显著降低。这一结果与有关保守主义的文献研究结果相吻合,揭示了保守主义削弱了管理者隐瞒不利信息的能力。此外,这些结果具有经济意义,并且在经过一系列稳健性检验后仍然成立。这些发现与业绩不佳的公司尤其相关,表明不利信息的增加会增强公司隐瞒和延迟分享信息的动机。进一步的分析表明,会计保守主义通过降低未来的崩盘风险而带来优势,尤其是对于无形资产密集度高的公司。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the influence of climate risk, carbon allowances, and technological factors on the ESG market in the European union 评估气候风险、碳配额和技术因素对欧盟环境、社会和公司治理市场的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.013
Ugur Korkut Pata , Kamel Si Mohammed , Vanessa Serret , Mustafa Tevfik Kartal

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) is a market for environmental criteria that has recently attracted the attention of policymakers and in particular European Union (EU) countries to improve environmental quality. In the context of the EU Sustainable Development Goals, this study aims to examine the impact of climate risk uncertainties (transitional (TRI) and physical (PRI)), carbon allowances (EU ETS), and technology index (MSCI) on the ESG market. To this end, the study uses a quantile-on-quantile regression and its multivariate version for the period from November 28, 2007, to January 05, 2023. The results show that TRI and PRI increase ESG market development at higher quantiles, while EU ETS and technological progress reduce ESG progress. This shows that the risk of climate change requires the introduction of stricter environmental standards in EU countries, while the EU ETS and technological progress provide environmental benefits that reduce the need for the ESG market.

环境、社会和治理(ESG)是一个环境标准市场,最近引起了政策制定者的关注,特别是欧盟(EU)国家对改善环境质量的关注。在欧盟可持续发展目标的背景下,本研究旨在考察气候风险不确定性(过渡性(TRI)和物理性(PRI))、碳配额(欧盟排放交易计划)和技术指数(MSCI)对环境、社会和治理市场的影响。为此,研究使用了从 2007 年 11 月 28 日到 2023 年 1 月 5 日期间的量化回归及其多元版本。结果显示,TRI 和 PRI 增加了较高量位数的 ESG 市场发展,而 EU ETS 和技术进步则减少了 ESG 进步。这表明,气候变化风险要求欧盟国家引入更严格的环境标准,而欧盟排放交易计划和技术进步提供的环境效益则降低了对环境、社会和公司治理市场的需求。
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引用次数: 0
On the quadratic variation in limit order markets 关于限价订单市场的二次变化
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.004
Sudhanshu Pani PhD

This paper explores the quadratic variation (QV) as an alternative measure to the bid-ask spread in limit order markets when observed at high resolution. Although the spread cannot be precisely estimated because of microstructure noise, the QV of the price series, consisting of the transaction prices and midquotes (an expanded filtration of transaction prices), in limit order markets is an important property of high-frequency datasets. An empirical examination of a sample of stocks from the NASDAQ 100 is used to estimate and examine the QV. The examination is done at high resolution (subsecond timescale). The QV of our sample best fits a log-normal distribution with higher skewness. The QV of trades (29.73E–05) is distant from the QV measured with pretrade and posttrade price series, as they are characterized by a high range in QV. Similarly, the QV is generally lower with pretrades than posttrades. Using a high resolution, the revealed state of the limit order book presents a solution that reduced the impact cost of trading. The QV is higher with the limit order book (68.5E–05) than with trades. A measure called the limit-to-market order signal shows a consistent pattern of decline in stocks with increasing activity. The limit-to-market signal ranged from an average of 3.55 in the first quartile of stocks based on messages to 1.84 in the third quartile. This signal decreases because of a relatively larger decline in uncertainty in QV using the limit order book.

本文探讨了在高分辨率下观察限价订单市场时,将二次变差(QV)作为买卖价差的替代衡量指标。虽然由于微观结构噪声的影响,价差无法精确估算,但限价订单市场中由交易价格和中间报价(交易价格的扩展过滤)组成的价格序列的 QV 是高频数据集的一个重要属性。对纳斯达克 100 指数样本股的实证检验用于估计和检验 QV。检验以高分辨率(亚秒级)进行。我们样本的 QV 最符合偏度较高的对数正态分布。交易的 QV 值(29.73E-05)与交易前和交易后价格序列测得的 QV 值相差甚远,因为它们的特点是 QV 值范围较大。同样,交易前的 QV 值一般低于交易后的 QV 值。使用高分辨率,限价订单簿的揭示状态提供了一种降低交易影响成本的解决方案。限价订单簿的 QV(68.5E-05)高于交易。一种名为 "限价盘到市场订单信号 "的测量方法显示,随着交易活动的增加,股票的跌幅也在不断扩大。限价盘到市场信号从第一四分位数股票的平均 3.55 到第三四分位数的 1.84 不等。这一信号的下降是由于使用限价盘的 QV 不确定性下降幅度相对较大。
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引用次数: 0
Uncertainty in banking and trade credit of firms 银行和企业贸易信贷的不确定性
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.014
Japan Huynh

This paper uses data from commercial banks and nonfinancial listed firms in Vietnam from 2007 to 2022 to address the effect of banking uncertainty on firms’ trade credit. We find that trade credit increases with heightened uncertainty in the banking sector, which is more conspicuous in nonstate-owned firms and when the macro economy experiences shocks, such as those caused by the global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. We also determine that banking uncertainty is associated with lower bank debt in firms, indicating a substitution effect between bank credit and trade credit when uncertainty rises. A further mechanism test shows that the uncertainty effect on trade credit works through strategic and financing motives. Finally, we find that trade credit expansion may hurt corporate performance; this effect is amplified during periods of banking uncertainty.

本文利用 2007 年至 2022 年越南商业银行和非金融上市企业的数据,探讨了银行业不确定性对企业贸易信贷的影响。我们发现,贸易信贷会随着银行业不确定性的增加而增加,这在非国有企业和宏观经济遭遇冲击(如全球金融危机和 COVID-19 大流行病造成的冲击)时更为明显。我们还确定,银行业的不确定性与企业较低的银行债务有关,这表明当不确定性上升时,银行信贷与贸易信贷之间存在替代效应。进一步的机制测试表明,不确定性对贸易信贷的影响是通过战略和融资动机产生的。最后,我们发现贸易信贷扩张可能会损害企业业绩;在银行业不确定时期,这种效应会被放大。
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引用次数: 0
Performance assessment of participation banks based on Maqasid al-Shari'ah framework: Evidence from Türkiye 基于 Maqasid al-Shari'ah 框架的参与银行绩效评估:土耳其的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.011
H. Şaduman Okumuş

In a dual banking system, participation banks (PBs) are expected to follow Islamic principles, morals, and ethical norms, all of which ultimately align with Maqasid al-Sharia'ah (MS). This study aimed to assess performance of PBs in Türkiye beyond traditional yardsticks to accentuate their ethical, social, and financial roles compliant with the axioms of MS. A mixed method deploying qualitative and quantitative inquiry was used. The first stage used text mining, and the second stage developed the MS Performance Index (MSPI) by adopting entropy weights based on the Ghazalian perspective. The datasets were derived from 18 reports for 2019–2021. Türkiye Finans appeared to have the highest score, whereas Ziraat received the lowest on MSPI scores. PBs achieved the highest scores for the wealth objective component and the lowest score for the intellect component because they became market-oriented and thus their disclosures did not support and promote MS.

在双重银行体系中,参与银行(PBs)应遵循伊斯兰原则、道德和伦理规范,所有这些最终都与伊斯兰教法(Maqasid al-Sharia'ah,MS)相一致。本研究旨在超越传统标准,评估土耳其银行的绩效,以突出其符合伊斯兰教义的道德、社会和金融作用。研究采用了定性和定量调查相结合的方法。第一阶段采用文本挖掘法,第二阶段根据加扎利安的观点,采用熵权法制定了 MS 业绩指数 (MSPI)。数据集来自 2019-2021 年的 18 份报告。Türkiye Finans 的得分似乎最高,而 Ziraat 的 MSPI 得分最低。公共银行在财富目标部分得分最高,而在智力部分得分最低,因为它们变得以市场为导向,因此其披露的信息并不支持和促进MS。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the impact of eco-friendly bonds on economic growth and environmental sustainability 分析生态友好型债券对经济增长和环境可持续性的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.003
Ujkan Q. Bajra , Niklas Wagner

In recent decades, a noticeable uptick has been seen in the issuing of eco-friendly bonds across green, social, and sustainable categories. The study examines their intersection with economic expansion and sustainability using panel data from 82 countries analyzed through robust fixed-effects estimators. The results reveal a significant positive correlation between the issuing of eco-friendly bonds and economic growth. Interestingly, a negative relationship emerges between bond performance and growth, suggesting that the mere issuing of bonds may not be enough to ensure sustainable economic expansion. The importance of refined valuation methods for these bonds is emphasized, along with the risk of economic imbalance caused by the uneven distribution of bond investments across sectors, akin to the "Dutch disease." The need to align investment strategies with both economic and environmental objectives to address challenges like persistent carbon emissions is also stressed. The authors advocate the integrating of considerations of bond issuance and performance into long-term sustainability strategies. Despite holding potential for positive environmental impact, eco-friendly bonds may not consistently drive economic growth as initially anticipated, particularly when balancing the development and carbon-reduction objectives.

近几十年来,发行绿色、社会和可持续类别的生态友好型债券明显增加。本研究使用来自 82 个国家的面板数据,通过稳健的固定效应估算器进行分析,研究了这些债券与经济扩张和可持续性之间的相互关系。研究结果表明,发行生态友好型债券与经济增长之间存在明显的正相关关系。有趣的是,债券表现与经济增长之间出现了负相关,这表明仅仅发行债券可能不足以确保经济的可持续发展。我们强调了对这些债券采用精细化估值方法的重要性,以及债券投资在各行业分布不均所导致的经济失衡风险,类似于 "荷兰病"。作者还强调,投资战略必须与经济和环境目标保持一致,以应对持续的碳排放等挑战。作者主张将债券发行和表现纳入长期可持续发展战略。尽管生态友好型债券具有对环境产生积极影响的潜力,但它可能无法像最初预期的那样持续推动经济增长,尤其是在平衡发展和碳减排目标时。
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引用次数: 0
Does digital technology enhance the global value chain position? 数字技术能否提升全球价值链地位?
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.016
Zhenghui Li , Qinyang Lai , Jiajia He

Embedding new technology creates opportunities and challenges for the global value chain (GVC). Using country-level panel data from 59 economies in 2007–2018, we construct a fixed-effects model to investigate the relationship between digital technology and the GVC position. Moreover, we examine how digital technology affects the GVC position with a mediating model and consider the heterogeneity of this impact on GVC status. The main findings reveal a U-shaped relationship between digital technology and the GVC position, which means that, during the catch-up stage of digital technology, negative effects on input demand chains lead to a decline in GVC status, whereas, at a mature phase of technological development, positive effects on output supply chains enhance the GVC position. The impact of digital technology on the ascent in GVC status is mediated by productivity. Moreover, we analyze the different impacts of trade openness and economic development levels. Our findings suggest that countries with lower levels of economic development and high trade openness reach a U-shaped inflection point, accelerating their progression in the global value chain.

新技术的嵌入为全球价值链(GVC)带来了机遇和挑战。利用 2007-2018 年 59 个经济体的国家级面板数据,我们构建了一个固定效应模型来研究数字技术与全球价值链地位之间的关系。此外,我们还利用中介模型研究了数字技术如何影响全球价值链地位,并考虑了数字技术对全球价值链地位影响的异质性。主要研究结果表明,数字技术与全球价值链地位之间呈 "U "型关系,即在数字技术的追赶阶段,对投入需求链的负面影响会导致全球价值链地位的下降;而在技术发展的成熟阶段,对产出供应链的正面影响则会提升全球价值链地位。数字技术对全球价值链地位上升的影响是以生产率为中介的。此外,我们还分析了贸易开放度和经济发展水平的不同影响。我们的研究结果表明,经济发展水平较低、贸易开放度较高的国家会出现 U 型拐点,从而加速其在全球价值链中的地位提升。
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引用次数: 0
Idiosyncratic risk and market volatility: Threat or opportunity for returns? A study of Borsa Istanbul stocks 非同步风险和市场波动:收益的威胁还是机遇?伊斯坦布尔证券交易所股票研究
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.001
Salih Çam , Önder Uzkaralar , Metin Borak

This study investigates the relationship between idiosyncratic risk, market volatility, and stock returns for companies traded on the Borsa Istanbul. The analysis calculates idiosyncratic risk and market volatility and estimates the coefficients using cross-sectional and panel data approaches. The GARCH and EGARCH models are used to calculate market volatility, while idiosyncratic risk is measured using the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and three-factor, four-factor, and five-factor models. We run the Fama-MacBeth regression to investigate the cross-sectional relationship between idiosyncratic risk, market volatility, and stock returns and the Arellano-Bover/Blundell-Bond panel regression technique to unveil firm-specific effects. The estimated coefficients demonstrate a positive relationship between idiosyncratic risk and stock returns and a negative relationship between market volatility and stock returns. Furthermore, the findings suggest that larger firm size, higher trading volume, higher market returns, and higher book-to-market ratios have positive effects, while beta and corporate governance indices have negative effects on returns.

本研究调查了在伊斯坦布尔证券交易所(Borsa Istanbul)交易的公司的特异性风险、市场波动性和股票回报率之间的关系。分析计算了特异性风险和市场波动性,并使用横截面和面板数据方法估计了系数。GARCH 和 EGARCH 模型用于计算市场波动率,而特异性风险则使用资本资产定价模型以及三因子、四因子和五因子模型来衡量。我们使用 Fama-MacBeth 回归法来研究特质风险、市场波动性和股票回报率之间的横截面关系,并使用 Arellano-Bover/Blundell-Bond 面板回归技术来揭示公司的特定效应。估计系数表明,特质风险与股票回报率之间存在正相关关系,而市场波动与股票回报率之间存在负相关关系。此外,研究结果表明,较大的公司规模、较高的交易量、较高的市场回报率和较高的账面市值比会产生积极影响,而贝塔系数和公司治理指数则会对回报率产生消极影响。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of corporate social responsibility and social values on bank performance: A global study 企业社会责任和社会价值观对银行绩效的影响:全球研究
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.012
Antonios Persakis , Ra'fat T. Al-Jallad

This study responds to the need for deeper empirical investigation into the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and financial performance in the banking industry. Specifically, it investigates whether and how CSR performance and social values influence bank performance. Furthermore, it explores the moderating role of social values on the CSR and bank performance relationship. To address these research questions, we use the generalized method of moments estimator technique described by Arellano and Bover (1995) and analyze a sample of 3139 banks worldwide over the period 2010–2020. Dividing the countries into two groups based on their income level, that is, middle- and high-income countries, we show a positive association between CSR and bank performance. Furthermore, we illustrate that all dimensions of national culture have a positive impact on bank performance. The results on the moderating role of social values in the relationship between CSR and bank performance indicate that, in societies with higher indulgence, uncertainty avoidance, and a long-term orientation, increasing CSR performance has a positive impact on bank performance. However, the relationship between CSR and bank performance is stronger in countries that are low in individualism, masculinity, and power distance than in countries that are high in individualism, masculinity, and power distance. These results vary widely across levels of country income in terms of the significance, sign, and size of the effect. Nonetheless, our findings have important implications for regulators, managers, and scholars that highlight the influence of social values on the effectiveness of legal settings and regulations on financial performance. Specifically, this research is particularly useful for scholars and practitioners in finance and CSR, suggesting that customizing CSR strategies to align with local social values can enhance financial performance.

本研究回应了对银行业企业社会责任(CSR)与财务业绩之间关系进行更深入实证调查的需求。具体而言,本研究探讨了企业社会责任绩效和社会价值观是否以及如何影响银行绩效。此外,它还探讨了社会价值观对企业社会责任和银行绩效关系的调节作用。为了解决这些研究问题,我们使用了 Arellano 和 Bover(1995 年)描述的广义矩估计法技术,分析了 2010-2020 年间全球 3139 家银行的样本。根据收入水平将国家分为两组,即中等收入国家和高收入国家,我们发现企业社会责任与银行绩效之间存在正相关关系。此外,我们还表明,国家文化的所有维度都对银行绩效有积极影响。社会价值观在企业社会责任与银行绩效关系中的调节作用结果表明,在溺爱、避免不确定性和长期取向较高的社会中,提高企业社会责任绩效会对银行绩效产生积极影响。然而,在个人主义、大男子主义和权力距离较低的国家,企业社会责任与银行绩效之间的关系要强于个人主义、大男子主义和权力距离较高的国家。在影响的显著性、符号和大小方面,这些结果在不同国家的收入水平上有很大差异。尽管如此,我们的研究结果对监管者、管理者和学者都有重要的启发意义,它们强调了社会价值观对法律环境和法规对财务绩效的影响。具体而言,这项研究对金融和企业社会责任领域的学者和从业人员尤其有用,它表明,定制符合当地社会价值观的企业社会责任战略可以提高财务绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate ESG performance and trade credit financing: Moderating effect of life cycle 企业环境、社会和公司治理绩效与贸易信贷融资:生命周期的调节作用
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.012
Liyue Wang , Liuyong Yang

This study examines the influence of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance on corporate trade credit financing based on Chinese A-share listed companies' data from 2018 to 2022. The empirical results revealed that enterprises with better ESG performance receive more trade credit from suppliers. This study found that ESG performance has a significant effect on trade credit in customer industries, polluting industries, and enterprises with high supplier concentration and low government grants. The Mechanism analysis indicated that ESG performance minimizes information and agency risks, thereby affecting trade credit. Further examination indicated that a firm's degree of maturity weakens the beneficial influence of ESG performance on trade credit and that a substitution relationship exists between corporate maturity and ESG performance in trade credit financing.

本研究基于2018年至2022年中国A股上市公司数据,研究环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效对企业贸易信贷融资的影响。实证结果显示,ESG绩效较好的企业从供应商处获得的贸易信贷更多。本研究发现,ESG绩效对客户行业、污染行业、供应商集中度高且政府补助少的企业的贸易信贷有显著影响。机制分析表明,环境、社会和公司治理绩效能最大限度地降低信息风险和代理风险,从而影响贸易信贷。进一步的研究表明,企业的成熟度削弱了环境、社会和治理绩效对贸易信贷的有利影响,企业成熟度与环境、社会和治理绩效在贸易信贷融资中存在替代关系。
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引用次数: 0
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Borsa Istanbul Review
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