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The domino effect of silicon valley Bank's bankruptcy and the role of FED's monetary policy 硅谷银行破产的多米诺骨牌效应与美国联邦储备委员会货币政策的作用
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.002
Elif Erer , Deniz Erer

This paper examines the spillover effects of bankruptcy by important tech industry banks—Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), Silvergate Bank, and Signature Bank—on the top 10 institutions in the MSCI Bank Index and the role that monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve (the Fed) played in this contagion, using Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Exponentional Generalized Autoregressive (DCC-EGARCH) and time-varying Granger-causality models. Our findings show that the dynamic conditional correlations among the banks were higher during the period of the SVB crisis, implying the presence of financial contagion from the bank's bankruptcy due to uncertainty triggered by its collapse. Financial contagion emerges between SVB and the top 10 banks, and the degree of contagion rises during the crisis period. Moreover, the Fed's monetary policy plays a significant role in contagion due to bank failures. The deepening of financial contagion followed the Fed's increases in the federal funds rate to combat inflation.

本文利用动态条件相关性-外差广义自回归(DCC-EGARCH)和时变格兰杰因果关系模型,研究了重要科技行业银行--硅谷银行(SVB)、银门银行(Silvergate Bank)和签名银行(Signature Bank)的破产对摩根士丹利资本国际银行指数(MSCI Bank Index)前十大机构的溢出效应,以及美国联邦储备委员会(美联储)的货币政策在这种传染中发挥的作用。我们的研究结果表明,在 SVB 危机期间,银行间的动态条件相关性较高,这意味着银行倒闭引发的不确定性导致了银行破产的金融传染。SVB 与排名前 10 的银行之间出现了金融传染,且传染程度在危机期间上升。此外,美联储的货币政策在银行倒闭导致的传染中发挥了重要作用。在美联储提高联邦基金利率以对抗通胀之后,金融传染加深。
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引用次数: 0
Reverse technological spillovers from outward FDI on home countries’ total factor productivity: Does the mode of investment matter? 对外直接投资对母国全要素生产率的反向技术溢出效应:投资模式是否重要?
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.006
Ayesha Ashraf , Federico Carril-Caccia , Nadia Doytch

We examine the effect of outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) on total factor productivity (TFP) of home (source of FDI) countries in a global sample of 85 economies, distinguishing between outward greenfield FDI (OGFDI) and outward cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) purchases. The goal of the study is to test for reverse technological spillovers to the FDI source country. The hypothesis is that OGFDI and M&As have different capabilities of carrying out reverse technological spillovers, which would affect the TFP of home countries differently. We apply a two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) to deal with possible endogeneity and find the following results. First, total OFDI has no effect on the home country's TFP. Second, disentangling OFDI by mode of investment reveals both positive and negative reverse spillovers from FDI to TFP. While OGFDI produces negative reverse spillovers on the TFP of an MNE's home country due to displacement of production and reduced competition at home, M&A purchases produce positive reverse spillovers on the TFP of an MNE's home country due to their potential to acquire high-value knowledge assets. Third, home countries' human capital development positively moderates the impact of OGFDI and M&A purchases on TFP, while trade openness positively moderates only the M&A impact on TFP. Our findings imply that policies that seek to promote OFDI can be beneficial once countries have reached a certain degree of human capital development and participation in international trade.

我们以全球 85 个经济体为样本,研究了对外直接投资(OFDI)对母国(FDI 来源国)全要素生产率(TFP)的影响,并区分了对外绿地直接投资(OGFDI)和对外跨境并购(M&A)。研究的目的是对外国直接投资来源国进行检验。我们的假设是,OGFDI 和并购具有不同的执行能力,会对母国的全要素生产率产生不同的影响。我们采用两步系统广义矩法(GMM)来处理可能存在的内生性,结果如下。对外直接投资总额对母国的全要素生产率没有影响。将对外直接投资与投资模式分离后,发现外国直接投资对全要素生产率既有正向影响,也有负向影响。外商直接投资对跨国企业母国的全要素生产率产生影响的原因是生产转移和母国竞争的减少,而并购对跨国企业母国的全要素生产率产生影响的原因是并购有可能获得高价值的知识资产。此外,母国的人力资本发展水平正向调节了对外直接投资和并购对全要素生产率的影响,而贸易开放度只正向调节了并购对全要素生产率的影响。我们的研究结果表明,一旦国家的人力资本发展和国际贸易参与度达到一定程度,旨在促进对外直接投资的政策就会带来益处。
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引用次数: 0
Board gender diversity and debt utilization: Evidence from the global microfinance industry 董事会性别多样性与债务利用:来自全球小额信贷行业的证据
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.012
Arpita Sharma , Swati Chauhan , Md Aslam Mia , Sunil Sangwan , Shoaib Alam Siddiqui , Sanjeev Kumar

To support the continued expansion of their operations, microfinance institutions (MFIs) worldwide rely heavily on debt, which exposes them to bankruptcy risk. This underscores the need for prudent selection of debt instruments by MFIs. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the possible influence of board gender diversity on the choice of debt instruments utilized by MFIs. Data from unique 1670 MFIs in 93 countries, spanning the period of 2010–2018, were collected from the World Bank and analyzed using various econometric methods, including Random Effects Model (REM), Fixed Effects Model (FEM), Pooled Ordinary Least Squares (POLS), Generalized Least Squares (GLS), and endogeneity-corrected techniques such as the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). The study revealed that gender-diverse boards tend to utilize fewer debt instruments, reflecting the risk-averse nature of the female board members, as observed in the existing literature. However, the statistical significance of these outcomes varies depending on the specific debt, proxies, sub-sample, and econometric methods considered in the analysis.

为了支持其业务的持续扩张,世界各地的小额金融机构(MFIs)严重依赖债务,这使其面临破产风险。这凸显了小额金融机构审慎选择债务工具的必要性。因此,本研究旨在调查董事会性别多样性对小额贷款机构选择债务工具的可能影响。本研究从世界银行收集了 2010-2018 年期间 93 个国家 1670 家小额贷款机构的数据,并采用多种计量经济学方法进行了分析,包括随机效应模型(REM)、固定效应模型(FEM)、集合普通最小二乘法(POLS)、广义最小二乘法(GLS)以及广义矩法(GMM)等内生性校正技术。研究结果表明,性别多元化的董事会倾向于使用较少的债务工具,这反映了女性董事会成员的风险规避性质,正如现有文献所观察到的那样。不过,这些结果的统计意义因分析中考虑的具体债务、代用指标、子样本和计量经济学方法而异。
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引用次数: 0
Antigambling interventions and corporate financialization: Evidence from China 反赌博干预与企业金融化:来自中国的证据
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.003
Xun Hu , Zhineng Long , Cheng Xue , Yanyu Zhang , Xiangfang Zhao

This study investigates the impact of local antigambling interventions (AGIs) on corporate financialization. From the perspective of formal institutions’ influence on culture, our findings suggest that firms located in regions with more effective AGIs exhibit lower levels of financialization. Mechanism tests show that AGIs reduce local risk preferences, subsequently influencing corporate financialization. Heterogeneity tests reveal that the main results are more pronounced when government trust is stronger, cultural transmission efficiency is higher, local firm interactions are more extensive, and community attention to antigambling initiatives is greater. This study enhances the understanding of the influence of the institutional environment on corporate investment decisions.

本研究探讨了地方反赌博干预措施(AGIs)对企业金融化的影响。从正规机构对文化的影响角度来看,我们的研究结果表明,在反赌博干预措施更有效的地区,企业的金融化水平较低。机制测试表明,AGIs 会降低当地的风险偏好,进而影响企业金融化。异质性检验表明,当政府信任度较高、文化传播效率较高、当地企业互动较广泛以及社区对反赌博倡议的关注度较高时,主要结果更为明显。这项研究加深了人们对制度环境对企业投资决策影响的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Term premium in Turkish lira interest rates: The role of foreign investors’ share 土耳其里拉利率的期限溢价:外国投资者份额的作用
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.01.005
Halil İbrahim Aydın , Özgür Özel

In this paper we decompose Turkish Lira interest rates into expected short rate and term premium components, using two well-established methods. Then we focus on the impact of the share of foreign investors on bond yields by instrumenting that share with VIX and Merry Lynch option volatility estimate (Move) indices while controlling for other macroeconomic determinants of term premium. We find that a one-percentage-point increase in the foreign investors’ share in the bond market reduces the 5-year term premium by 55 basis points, which could be attributed to the impact of yield-seeking foreign investors in emerging markets.

在本文中,我们使用两种行之有效的方法将土耳其里拉利率分解为预期短期利率和期限溢价部分。然后,我们在控制期限溢价的其他宏观经济决定因素的同时,利用 VIX 和 Move 指数作为工具,重点研究外国投资者份额对债券收益率的影响。我们发现,外国投资者在债券市场所占份额每增加一个百分点,5 年期期限溢价就会降低 55 个基点,这可能是由于新兴市场中追求收益的外国投资者的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of women's empowerment and access to finance on greenhouse gas emissions: A framework for securing environmental tranquility 妇女赋权和获得资金对温室气体排放的影响:确保环境安宁的框架
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.01.008
Juan Li , Jianying Li , Abdelmohsen A. Nassani , Imran Naseem , Khalid Zaman

This study explores corporate environmental responsibility, which is an integral aspect of corporate social responsibility, through the lens of women's empowerment and their role in shaping eco-friendly policies. Examining 74 nations, the study reveals that women's influence significantly reduces greenhouse gas emissions within an empowerment index of 67.5–75. However, we observe a decline in corporate environmental quality beyond the 82.5 threshold. In particular, loans and money supply exacerbate emissions, indicating that financial activities have an influence on environmental quality. Considering different financial indicators, the study underscores that women's empowerment is distinctly correlated with lowering emissions within the $3.77 million to $14.71 million range. This financial range signifies a critical zone in which women's impact is most pronounced. Environmental quality also improves above $31.59 million. This study emphasises the critical importance of integrating women into corporate environmental initiatives, showcasing the potential for advancing long-term benefits and a greener corporate image.

本研究通过妇女赋权及其在制定生态友好型政策中的作用这一视角,探讨了作为企业社会责任组成部分的企业环境责任。在对 74 个国家的研究中,我们发现,在 67.5-75 的赋权指数范围内,妇女的影响力能显著减少温室气体排放。然而,超过 82.5 临界值后,我们发现企业环境质量有所下降。尤其是贷款和货币供应加剧了排放,表明金融活动对环境质量有影响。考虑到不同的财务指标,本研究强调,在 377 万美元至 1 471 万美元的范围内,妇女赋权与降低排放量明显相关。这一财务范围是妇女影响最明显的关键区域。超过 3159 万美元,环境质量也会改善。这项研究强调了将妇女纳入企业环境倡议的极端重要性,展示了促进长期利益和更环保的企业形象的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Justice and finance: Does judicial efficiency contribute to financial system efficiency? 司法与金融:司法效率是否有助于提高金融系统的效率?
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2023.12.013
Muhammad Atif Khan , Muhammad Asif Khan , Mohammed Arshad Khan , Shahid Hussain , Veronika Fenyves

Efficient financial systems play a crucial role in promoting economic growth and development. This study explores the impact of judicial efficiency (JE) on financial system efficiency (FSE) and its components, financial institutions efficiency (FIE) and financial markets efficiency (FME), across 108 countries over the period from 2004 to 2020. Utilizing a fixed effect regression for our baseline analysis and a two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression to address endogeneity, we find robust evidence that JE has a positive and significant effect on FSE and its components, FIE and FME. Moreover, we find that JE's positive impact on FSE and its components holds across different levels of per capita income, including high-income, low-income, and emerging market economies. Our findings, which are confirmed by several robustness checks, highlight the universal importance of a well-functioning, efficient judicial system in driving FSE regardless of a country's economic context. The results show that countries should prioritize reforms to strengthen judicial institutions and enhance efficient contract enforcement. An efficient legal framework and judicial process are conducive to creating an environment in which an efficient financial system can develop, paving the way for sustainable economic growth.

高效的金融体系在促进经济增长和发展方面发挥着至关重要的作用。本研究探讨了 2004-2020 年间 108 个国家的司法效率(JE)对金融体系效率(FSE)及其组成部分--金融机构效率(FIE)和金融市场效率(FME)的影响。利用固定效应回归进行基线分析,并利用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)回归解决内生性问题,我们发现了有力的证据,证明 JE 对 FSE 及其组成部分 FIE 和 FME 有积极而显著的影响。此外,我们还发现,在不同的人均收入水平下,包括高收入、低收入和新兴市场经济体,JE 对 FSE 及其组成部分的积极影响都是成立的。我们的研究结果得到了几项稳健性检验的证实,这些结果凸显了一个运作良好、高效的司法体系在推动 FSE 方面的普遍重要性,无论一个国家的经济背景如何。结果表明,各国应优先进行改革,加强司法机构,提高合同执行效率。高效的法律框架和司法程序有利于创造一个高效的金融体系发展环境,为可持续经济增长铺平道路。
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引用次数: 0
From Brown to green: Exploring asymmetric nexus between green finance and carbon footprint in BRICS+6 alliance 从棕色到绿色:探索金砖五国+6 联盟中绿色金融与碳足迹之间的不对称关系
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.01.010
Zheng Gong , Liuji Gong , Zeeshan Rasool

Green finance is the beacon of hope in a world striving for sustainability, where financial growth and environmental responsibility go hand in hand. The BRICS, containing five emerging economies (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), recently announced Iran, Egypt, Argentina, Ethiopia, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE as six potential new members. This expansion offers promising prospects for advancing environmental sustainability through green finance, which can be an excellent tool. In this respect, this research examines how green finance affects the carbon footprint in BRICS+6 economies. Earlier studies used panel data techniques to probe the association between these variables but overlooked that certain countries still needed to possess such a link separately. Hence, this research adopts the Quantile-on-Quantile approach, which provides a holistic universal view and customized findings for each country. The outcomes display that green finance improves environmental quality by diminishing carbon footprint at distinct quantiles of data distribution.

绿色金融是世界努力实现可持续发展的希望灯塔,在这个世界里,金融增长与环境责任齐头并进。包含五个新兴经济体(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)的金砖国家最近宣布伊朗、埃及、阿根廷、埃塞俄比亚、沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋为六个潜在新成员。这一扩展为通过绿色金融推进环境可持续发展提供了广阔的前景,而绿色金融可以成为一种绝佳的工具。为此,本研究探讨了绿色金融如何影响 "金砖+6 "经济体的碳足迹。先前的研究使用面板数据技术来探究这些变量之间的关联,但忽略了某些国家仍需单独拥有这种关联。因此,本研究采用了 "量化对量化"(Quantile-on-Quantile)方法,既提供了整体的普遍视角,又为每个国家提供了定制的研究结果。研究结果表明,绿色金融通过减少数据分布中不同数量级的碳足迹来改善环境质量。
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引用次数: 0
Russian Currency's external shocks and domestic policy effectiveness amid geopolitical tensions 地缘政治紧张局势下俄罗斯货币的外部冲击和国内政策的有效性
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.002
Anna Gainetdinova , Kazi Sohag , Nahla Samargandi

This study examines the dynamics of the Russian currency against the US dollar, exploring its responses to geopolitical risk, domestic policies, and oil and gas price shocks. Based on our quantile and time-frequency analyses from January 1998 to July 2022, focused on a subsample that covers the Russia-Ukraine conflict (January–July 2022), our research reveals that the Russian currency has significant vulnerability to geopolitical risk. Domestic policies have a moderate impact on currency valuation, whereas oil prices play a pivotal role, exceeding the impact of domestic policies. Our findings offer strategic insights for hedging, identifying safe-haven assets, and diversification strategies based on Russian-foreign currency dynamics, oil, and gas prices. These considerations are especially relevant amid geopolitical tensions and uncertainty, across various time periods and quantile levels.

本研究考察了俄罗斯货币兑美元的动态,探讨了其对地缘政治风险、国内政策以及石油和天然气价格冲击的反应。我们的研究基于 1998 年 1 月至 2022 年 7 月的量化分析和时频分析,重点关注涵盖俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突(2022 年 1 月至 7 月)的子样本,结果表明俄罗斯货币对地缘政治风险具有显著的脆弱性。国内政策对货币估值的影响不大,而石油价格则起着关键作用,超过了国内政策的影响。我们的研究结果为套期保值、确定避险资产以及基于俄罗斯-外国货币动态、石油和天然气价格的多元化战略提供了战略启示。在地缘政治紧张局势和不确定性的情况下,这些考虑因素在不同时期和量子水平上尤为重要。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate ESG investments and Firm's value under the real-option framework: Evidence from two world-leading economies 实际期权框架下的企业环境、社会和公司治理投资与公司价值:来自两个世界领先经济体的证据
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.01.002
Tanveer Bagh , Jiang Fuwei , Muhammad Asif Khan

Under the UN sustainable development goals (SDGs), the United States (US) and China have ambitious environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investment plans. However, dichotomy is found in the literature about how rising ESG practices affect firm value (FV). This study examines the linear and nonlinear effect of ESG practices on FV and how growth-option value (GV) moderates this connection in the real-option framework. We use data on 5220 listed US and Chinese firms from 2018 to 2022 with a generalized method of moments model. The empirical results confirm that ESG practices nonlinearly affect FV, implying that ESG practices turn FV trajectory from positive to negative, and the degree of this effect varies across the sample but is more pronounced at Chinese firms than US firms. We also find that GV negatively moderates the nexus between ESG practices and FV across the sample. Our endogeneity-adjusted results pass robustness tests and have important policy implications.

根据联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs),美国和中国都制定了雄心勃勃的环境、社会和治理(ESG)投资计划。然而,在有关环境、社会和治理实践如何影响公司价值(FV)的文献中却发现了两极分化的现象。本研究探讨了 ESG 实践对公司价值的线性和非线性影响,以及在实际期权框架下,增长期权价值(GV)如何调节这种联系。我们使用 2018 年至 2022 年 5220 家美国和中国上市公司的数据,并采用广义矩方法模型。实证结果证实,ESG实践会非线性地影响FV,这意味着ESG实践会使FV轨迹由正转负,这种影响的程度在样本中各不相同,但在中国企业中比在美国企业中更为明显。我们还发现,在整个样本中,GV 对 ESG 实践与 FV 之间的关系起负调节作用。我们的内生性调整结果通过了稳健性检验,并具有重要的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
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Borsa Istanbul Review
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