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Relationship between monetary policy and financial asset returns in Türkiye: Time, frequency, and quantile-based effects 土耳其货币政策与金融资产回报率之间的关系:时间、频率和量化效应
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.005
Mustafa Tevfik Kartal , Ugur Korkut Pata , Dilvin Taşkın , Talat Ulussever

This study analyzes the effect of monetary policy, which are proxied by weighted average cost of funding (WACF) and Borsa Istanbul repurchase interest rate (REPO), on the returns of the main financial assets of monetary policy in Türkiye. Using daily data between January 4, 2011 and August 31, 2023, the study applies novel nonlinear time-series methods, such as wavelet coherence (WC) and quantile-on-quantile regression (QQ) as baseline methods and quantile regression (QR) for robustness. The findings demonstrate that (i) monetary policy has a stronger effect on financial asset returns at middle and higher frequencies across different periods; (ii) monetary policy has mainly declines (increases) effect on financial asset returns at lower and middle (higher) quantiles; (iii) the robustness of the outcomes is confirmed. Thus, the outcomes show that monetary policy has a significant effect on financial asset returns, and the effects vary across times, across frequencies, quantiles, and financial assets.

本研究分析了货币政策(以加权平均融资成本 (WACF) 和伊斯坦布尔证券交易所回购利率 (REPO) 为指标)对土耳其主要货币政策金融资产回报率的影响。该研究使用 2011 年 1 月 4 日至 2023 年 8 月 31 日期间的每日数据,采用了新颖的非线性时间序列方法,如作为基准方法的小波相干性(WC)和量化回归(QQ),以及作为稳健性方法的量化回归(QR)。研究结果表明:(i) 货币政策在不同时期对中高频率的金融资产收益率有更强的影响;(ii) 货币政策对低位和中位(高位)量化值的金融资产收益率的影响主要是下降(上升);(iii) 结果的稳健性得到了证实。因此,研究结果表明,货币政策对金融资产收益率有显著影响,且不同时期、不同频率、不同数量级和不同金融资产的货币政策对金融资产收益率的影响各不相同。
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引用次数: 0
Does ESG performance indicate corporate economic sustainability? Evidence based on the sustainable growth rate 环境、社会和公司治理绩效是否表明企业经济的可持续性?基于可持续增长率的证据
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.010
Zihao Lin

Based on a sample of Chinese listed companies from 2009 to 2021, this study finds that environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance has a positive impact on having a sustainable growth rate (SGR). Our heterogeneity analysis reveals that ESG performance leads to higher SGR, particularly among firms with lower SGR or non-state-owned enterprises. The mechanism analysis suggests that ESG performance enhances SGR by stimulating patent applications, reducing agency costs, and mitigating corporate risk. Further analysis indicates that the environmental score has a negative influence on SGR, whereas social and governance scores have a positive impact. Ultimately, this research emphasizes that ESG performance can enhance financial performance by driving SGR.

本研究以 2009 年至 2021 年的中国上市公司为样本,发现环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效对可持续增长率(SGR)有积极影响。我们的异质性分析表明,环境、社会和治理绩效会导致更高的可持续增长率,尤其是在可持续增长率较低的企业或非国有企业中。机制分析表明,环境、社会和治理绩效通过刺激专利申请、降低代理成本和减轻企业风险来提高可持续增长率。进一步的分析表明,环境得分对 SGR 有负面影响,而社会和治理得分则有正面影响。最终,这项研究强调,环境、社会和治理绩效可以通过推动 SGR 来提高财务绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Digital inclusive finance and corporate environmental performance: Insights from Chinese micro, small- and medium-sized manufacturing enterprises 数字普惠金融与企业环境绩效:中国中小微制造企业的启示
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.009
Boqiang Lin, Chongchong Xu

Extensive research has discussed digital inclusive finance’s (DIF) rapid growth in financial services and its vital economic role; however, limited research addresses its potential to mitigate micro, small- and medium-sized enterprise (MSME) financing constraints and generate environmental benefits. This study empirically investigates the effects of DIF on Chinese MSMEs’ environmental performance using a substantial manufacturer sample. The findings indicate that DIF significantly reduces the wastewater discharge intensity of MSMEs. Furthermore, DIF has a more pronounced environmental effect on non-state-owned firms, SMEs, firms in areas with more significant emission reduction pressure, and those in the eastern region. Further mechanism analysis reveals that DIF can ease the financing constraints of MSMEs. Moreover, strengthening terminal treatment, optimizing the energy consumption structure, and increasing investment in research and development are significant pathways through which DIF affects corporate environmental performance. Finally, this study proposes some policy implications to promote the green transformation of MSMEs.

大量研究讨论了数字普惠金融(DIF)在金融服务领域的快速发展及其重要的经济作用;然而,有关其缓解中小微企业(MSME)融资限制并产生环境效益的潜力的研究却十分有限。本研究利用大量制造商样本,实证调查了 DIF 对中国中小微企业环境绩效的影响。研究结果表明,DIF 明显降低了中小微企业的废水排放强度。此外,DIF 对非国有企业、中小企业、减排压力较大地区的企业以及东部地区的企业的环境影响更为明显。进一步的机制分析表明,DIF 可以缓解中小微企业的融资约束。此外,加强末端治理、优化能源消费结构、增加研发投入也是 DIF 影响企业环境绩效的重要途径。最后,本研究提出了一些促进中小微企业绿色转型的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Working capital management and firm performance: A comparative analysis of developed and emerging economies 营运资本管理与公司业绩:发达经济体与新兴经济体的比较分析
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.004
Halil Kiymaz , Samina Haque , Ahmed Abir Choudhury

The literature on working capital management (WCM) provides mixed evidence on the effect of working capital on firm profitability and performance. We use firms from developed and emerging economies to explore how working capital and its components relate to firms' performance while controlling for firm-specific and macroeconomic factors. The findings show that the cash conversion cycle (CCC) is inversely related to firm performance in developed and emerging economies—however, there are differences in the CCC's components. While firms in developed economies exhibit higher firm performance with longer days' inventory on hand, firms in emerging economies have lower firm performance with longer days' inventory on hand, extended collection periods, and longer payable periods. Company-specific factors, such as firm size, growth, profitability, and leverage, influence the efficiency of WCM. We also find that country-specific variables such as gross domestic product (GDP), interest rate, and inflation have varying impacts on a firm's WCM.

关于营运资本管理(WCM)的文献就营运资本对企业盈利能力和绩效的影响提供了好坏参半的证据。我们利用发达经济体和新兴经济体的企业来探讨营运资本及其组成部分与企业绩效之间的关系,同时控制企业的具体因素和宏观经济因素。研究结果表明,在发达经济体和新兴经济体中,现金转换周期(CCC)与公司业绩成反比,但 CCC 的构成要素存在差异。发达经济体的企业库存天数越长,企业绩效越高,而新兴经济体的企业库存天数越长、收款期越长、应付期越长,企业绩效越低。公司的具体因素,如公司规模、成长性、盈利能力和杠杆作用等,都会影响到世界海关总署的效率。我们还发现,国内生产总值(GDP)、利率和通货膨胀率等国别变量对企业的 WCM 有不同的影响。
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引用次数: 0
How do loan officer-borrower gender-driven behavioural differences impact on the microfinance lending market? 贷款官与借款人之间的性别差异如何影响小额贷款市场?
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.004
A. Blanco-Oliver , A. Samaniego , M.J. Palacin-Sanchez

This paper analyses the impact of the gender of the loan officer-borrower pair on the loan-size, credit availability and time spent in managing the credit application. By using 3,020 lending transactions from Ecuador during 2016–2019, we document that the loan officer-borrower pair gender drives differences in the microcredit portfolio management. We find that female loan officers grant smaller microcredits to both male and female borrowers. However, the loan-size increases when matching the loan officer-borrower gender. We also demonstrate that female loan officers have greater loan approval rates, mainly in the segment of higher loan-sizes granted to male clients. Finally, our results show that the microcredits that have the fastest evaluation process are those that have a lower loan-size and are granted by female loan officers to female borrowers. Our findings have practical implications for the analysis of the credit availability for entrepreneurs as well as the loan portfolio management.

本文分析了贷款人员-借款人配对的性别对贷款规模、信贷可用性和管理信贷申请所花费时间的影响。通过对厄瓜多尔 2016-2019 年间 3020 笔贷款交易的抽样调查,我们发现贷款人员与借款人的性别差异会导致小额信贷组合管理的差异。我们发现,女性贷款官向男性和女性借款人发放的小额贷款规模都较小。然而,当贷款人员与借款人性别匹配时,贷款规模会增加。我们还证明,女性贷款人员的贷款批准率更高,主要是在向男性客户发放较高贷款额的部分。最后,我们的结果表明,评估过程最快的小额贷款是那些贷款额度较低、由女性贷款人员发放给女性借款人的贷款。我们的研究结果对分析创业者的信贷可用性以及贷款组合管理具有实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Lottery factor and stock returns: Evidence from India 彩票因素与股票回报:来自印度的证据
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.006
Sanjay Sehgal , Vibhuti Vasishth , Florent Deisting

This study examines important aspects of lottery behavior in India using data from December 2001 to March 2021. We experiment with a new measure of lottery along with well-established measures. Our lottery measure focusing on more recent information is found to be appropriate for India. MAX has a unique role in predicting returns that is not subsumed by other risk measures. We find MAX, skewness, tail risk, and idiosyncratic volatility as relevant characteristics of lottery stocks. Using these, we construct a lottery factor representing investors’ risk-seeking behavior. This behavior is an outcome of mis-weighing probability of extreme gains or losses and leads to overreaction to attention-catching events. We augment the Fama-French five-factor model with our lottery factor. Our six-factor behavioral asset pricing framework is found to be an appropriate performance benchmark. Lottery behavior is mainly the result of retail investor actions and is linked to several behavioral biases.

本研究利用 2001 年 12 月至 2021 年 3 月的数据,对印度彩票行为的重要方面进行了研究。我们尝试了一种新的彩票测量方法,同时也采用了成熟的测量方法。研究发现,我们的彩票衡量标准侧重于最新信息,适合印度的情况。MAX 在预测收益方面具有独特的作用,是其他风险度量指标所无法取代的。我们发现 MAX、偏度、尾部风险和特异波动性是彩票股票的相关特征。利用这些特征,我们构建了一个代表投资者风险寻求行为的彩票因子。这种行为是错误权衡极端收益或损失概率的结果,并导致对吸引眼球的事件做出过度反应。我们用彩票因子扩充了法玛-弗伦奇五因子模型。我们发现,我们的六要素行为资产定价框架是一个合适的业绩基准。彩票行为主要是散户投资者行为的结果,与多种行为偏差有关。
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引用次数: 0
Confluence of COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine conflict: Effects on agricultural commodity prices and food security COVID-19 与俄罗斯-乌克兰冲突的汇合:对农产品价格和粮食安全的影响
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.008
Faruk Urak , Abdulbaki Bilgic , Wojciech J. Florkowski , Gürkan Bozma

The study investigates the effects of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the COVID-19 pandemic, and exchange rate fluctuations on the average return, contagion dynamics, and persistence of risks associated with three staples in Türkiye: wheat, sunflower oil, and corn. The pandemic and the war disrupted the grain, oil seed, and fertilizer supply from Russia and Ukraine to Türkiye and several Middle Eastern and African countries, risking food insecurity. The specified VECM-Asymmetric BEKK-MGARCH model estimation uses data from January 2010 to May 2023. Results show that over time, short-term deviations move towards long-term equilibrium. The presence of reciprocal causality among wheat, corn, and sunflower oil prices underscores their mutual influence. The volatility pass-through between wheat, sunflower oil, and corn shows asymmetric transmission. Long-term uncertainty stemming from one market exacerbates that market's uncertainty but mitigates risks affecting other markets. The volatility can be reduced through domestic production expansion through comprehensive policies enhancing rural area development, assuring farmer access to inputs, and implementing market risk mitigating measures. Results also show that the effects of the pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war have been amplified by exchange rate fluctuations. Market risk mitigation could involve the agricultural exchange to support an expanded number of licensed grain warehouses. In a broader scholarly context, this study stresses the interaction between global shocks, market uncertainty, and safeguarding the nation's food security.

本研究调查了俄乌战争、COVID-19 大流行病和汇率波动对土耳其三种主食(小麦、葵花籽油和玉米)的平均收益、传染动态和风险持续性的影响。大流行病和战争扰乱了俄罗斯和乌克兰向土耳其以及一些中东和非洲国家的粮食、油料种子和化肥供应,造成粮食不安全的风险。指定的 VECM-Asymmetric BEKK-MGARCH 模型估计使用了 2010 年 1 月至 2023 年 5 月的数据。结果表明,随着时间的推移,短期偏差会趋向长期均衡。小麦、玉米和葵花籽油价格之间存在相互因果关系,凸显了它们之间的相互影响。小麦、葵花籽油和玉米之间的波动传递显示出非对称传递。一个市场的长期不确定性加剧了该市场的不确定性,但却减轻了影响其他市场的风险。可以通过加强农村地区发展、确保农民获得投入和实施市场风险缓解措施等综合政策来扩大国内生产,从而减少波动。结果还显示,大流行病和俄乌战争的影响因汇率波动而扩大。市场风险缓解措施可包括农业交易所支持扩大许可粮食仓库的数量。在更广泛的学术背景下,本研究强调了全球冲击、市场不确定性和保障国家粮食安全之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Do manager networks affect the efficiency of capital markets? Empirical research based on social network theory 经理人网络会影响资本市场的效率吗?基于社会网络理论的实证研究
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.02.011
Yifan Wang, Chongyan Cao

Managers generally possess complex social networks and occupy central positions within their networks. We investigate the influence of managers’ social network relationships on capital market pricing efficiency by specifically analysing the relationship between top management team network centrality and stock price synchronicity. Using stock price synchronicity as a proxy for information efficiency, we examine data from Chinese A-share listed companies over a period of ten years (2013–2022). Based on the social network perspective, we empirically test the relationship between top management team network centrality and stock price synchronicity. Our results reveal that top management team network centrality promotes stock price synchronicity, which is more significant for non-state-owned enterprises. Mechanism testing indicates that analyst attention plays a partial mediating role between top management team network centrality and stock price synchronicity based on herd behaviour and social network theory. Additionally, institutional investors’ shareholding ratios weaken the impact of top management team network centrality, whereas analyst herding strengthens the promotion of stock price synchronicity. After excluding the endogenous effects these main findings remain robust. Overall, the results support the idea that executive networks promote stock price synchronicity.

管理者通常拥有复杂的社会网络,并在其网络中占据中心位置。我们通过具体分析高层管理团队网络中心性与股价同步性之间的关系,研究管理者的社会网络关系对资本市场定价效率的影响。以股价同步性作为信息效率的替代指标,我们考察了中国 A 股上市公司十年间(2013-2022 年)的数据。基于社会网络视角,我们实证检验了高层管理团队网络中心性与股价同步性之间的关系。结果表明,高层管理团队网络中心性对股价同步性有促进作用,这一点在非国有企业中更为显著。机制检验表明,基于羊群行为和社会网络理论,分析师注意力在高层管理团队网络中心性和股价同步性之间发挥了部分中介作用。此外,机构投资者的持股比例削弱了高层管理团队网络中心性的影响,而分析师的羊群行为则加强了对股价同步性的促进作用。在剔除内生效应后,这些主要发现依然稳健。总体而言,研究结果支持高管网络促进股价同步性的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate environmental, social, and governance activities and financial reporting quality: An international investigation 企业环境、社会和治理活动与财务报告质量:一项国际调查
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.001
Gökhan Özer , Nagihan Aktaş , İlhan Çam

This paper examines the impact of firms' environmental, social, and governance (ESG) activities on financial reporting quality (FRQ). The study uses 45,877 firm-year observations from 65 countries between 2003 and 2021. In the research model, firm characteristics and macroeconomic and institutional structure characteristics of the countries are controlled for. This study finds that firms with higher ESG scores have higher FRQ. Additionally, our mediation analysis indicates that financial distress costs serve as a crucial mechanism through which ESG influences FRQ. Our findings are robust after accounting for alternative measures of FRQ, different sampling scenarios, endogeneity issues, and simultaneity bias.

本文研究了企业的环境、社会和治理(ESG)活动对财务报告质量(FRQ)的影响。研究使用了 2003 年至 2021 年间 65 个国家的 45,877 个公司年度观测数据。在研究模型中,企业特征和各国的宏观经济及制度结构特征均受到控制。本研究发现,ESG 分数越高的公司 FRQ 越高。此外,我们的中介分析表明,财务困境成本是 ESG 影响 FRQ 的重要机制。在考虑了其他 FRQ 测量方法、不同的抽样方案、内生性问题和同时性偏差后,我们的研究结果是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Intellectual capital and asset quality: A nonlinear investigation in the Turkish Banking sector 智力资本与资产质量:土耳其银行业的非线性调查
IF 5.2 2区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.005
Nasif Ozkan, Emin Zeytinoglu

This study aims to investigate the intricate relationship between intellectual capital and asset quality within the context of the Turkish banking sector to determine the optimal level of intellectual capital investment that can enhance the asset quality of deposit banks. The study relies on panel data regression analysis to explore this complex relationship, and its dataset encompasses 22 deposit banks over 17 years, from 2005 to 2021. The study provides compelling evidence of a nonlinear relationship between intellectual capital and asset quality. It pinpoints an optimal threshold for intellectual capital investments, beyond which further increases can erode asset quality. Furthermore, the study identifies specific intellectual capital components that impact the asset quality of state-owned, privately owned, and foreign deposit banks differently. The findings indicate that optimizing human capital efficiency and capital employed efficiency is critical for enhancing the asset quality of deposit banks. In contrast, the significance of structural and relational capital efficiency may vary, demanding a careful balance of investment strategies.

本研究旨在调查土耳其银行业知识资本与资产质量之间的复杂关系,以确定能够提高存款银行资产质量的最佳知识资本投资水平。本研究采用面板数据回归分析法来探讨这一复杂关系,其数据集涵盖 2005 年至 2021 年 17 年间的 22 家存款银行。研究提供了令人信服的证据,证明智力资本与资产质量之间存在非线性关系。研究指出了智力资本投资的最佳阈值,超过这一阈值,进一步增加智力资本投资就会侵蚀资产质量。此外,研究还确定了对国有、私营和外资存款银行的资产质量产生不同影响的特定知识资本组成部分。研究结果表明,优化人力资本效率和资本使用效率对于提高存款银行的资产质量至关重要。相比之下,结构资本效率和关系资本效率的重要性可能有所不同,需要谨慎平衡投资策略。
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引用次数: 0
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Borsa Istanbul Review
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