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Tackling financialization amidst rising labor cost in China 在中国劳动力成本上升的背景下应对金融化问题
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.010

Suppressing corporate financialization exacerbated by rising labor costs is an important micro-level issue for revitalizing the manufacturing industry. This research investigates the interaction mechanism among labor costs and financialization, using panel data of Chinese listed companies from 2007 to 2022 in the context of the disappearance of the demographic dividend. The results of the moderated mediation model show that rising labor costs worsen financialization by reducing corporate profitability and increase financialization through negative earnings manipulation, whereas digitization suppresses both the direct and indirect effect of labor costs. Therefore, measures should be taken to enhance the profitability and accounting transparency of companies undergoing the process of accelerating digitization.

抑制因劳动力成本上升而加剧的企业金融化是振兴制造业的一个重要微观问题。本研究在人口红利消失的背景下,利用 2007 年至 2022 年中国上市公司的面板数据,研究了劳动力成本与金融化之间的互动机制。调节中介模型的结果表明,劳动力成本上升会通过降低企业盈利能力来恶化金融化,并通过负收益操纵来增加金融化,而数字化则会抑制劳动力成本的直接和间接影响。因此,在加速数字化的过程中,应采取措施提高企业的盈利能力和会计透明度。
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引用次数: 0
Is democracy costly? The effect of political turmoil on Kuwait’s stock market 民主代价高昂吗?政治动荡对科威特股市的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.009

This study is the first to analyze the impact of domestic political unrest on Kuwait’s stock market. Our data indicates a daily market decline of 0.16 percent during periods when the parliament is suspended. This translates to a 7.1 percent loss in the value of the Kuwait Stock Exchange for each period of suspension. Our findings suggest that Kuwait, despite having a more democratic political system, experiences greater economic instability than Saudi Arabia. This research highlights the nuanced relationship between the political structure and economic performance, particularly in emerging markets, challenging the notion that more democracy invariably leads to better economic outcomes.

本研究首次分析了国内政治动荡对科威特股市的影响。我们的数据显示,在议会停摆期间,市场日跌幅为 0.16%。这意味着科威特证券交易所的价值在每次停市期间损失 7.1%。我们的研究结果表明,尽管科威特拥有更加民主的政治制度,但其经济不稳定性却高于沙特阿拉伯。这项研究凸显了政治结构与经济表现之间的微妙关系,尤其是在新兴市场,从而对 "更多民主必然带来更好的经济结果 "这一观点提出了质疑。
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引用次数: 0
Asset allocation models for big tech stocks: The importance of lower partial moments and short length windows 大型科技股的资产配置模型:下局部矩和短窗口的重要性
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.006

The group of companies formed by Meta, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon and Alphabet have become a successful investment alternative in the U.S. stock market. In this context, the aim of this research is to provide investment strategies based on these companies to the challenge of how individual investors should allocate their funds in a portfolio and outperform benchmarks such as the SPY ETF or a naïve portfolio. To this end, we developed a total of 20 asset allocation models and constructed portfolios with different rebalancing periods between April 2014 and June 2022. Our overall results reveal that a combination of a short window length for estimating the parameters of the asset allocation models and a procedure that takes downside risk into account, more precisely the Lower Partial Moment approach, significantly outperforms the alternative of investing in the SPY ETF and also the naïve portfolio.

由 Meta、苹果(Apple)、微软(Microsoft)、亚马逊(Amazon)和 Alphabet 组成的公司集团已成为美国股市中成功的投资选择。在此背景下,本研究旨在提供基于这些公司的投资策略,以应对个人投资者应如何在投资组合中分配资金并超越 SPY ETF 或天真投资组合等基准的挑战。为此,我们共开发了 20 个资产配置模型,并构建了 2014 年 4 月至 2022 年 6 月期间不同再平衡期的投资组合。我们的总体结果表明,采用短窗口期估算资产配置模型的参数,并将下行风险考虑在内,更准确地说,采用下偏矩量法,其结果明显优于投资于 SPY ETF 和天真投资组合。
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引用次数: 0
A Pandemic's grip: Volatility spillovers in Asia-Pacific equity markets during the onset of Covid-19 大流行病的影响:Covid-19 爆发期间亚太股票市场的波动溢出效应
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.001

The emergence of Covid-19 in late 2019 rapidly shattered the Asia-Pacific region (APR), a bastion of economic dynamism, and it became the epicenter of the global health crisis. This unprecedented pandemic not only triggered a public health catastrophe but also unleashed a financial storm, exposing vulnerability within the region's interconnected economies. This study identifies the factors driving volatility spillovers within Asian-Pacific financial markets during the initial wave of the Covid-19 pandemic (January 2020–February 2021). We analyze the interplay of pandemic transmission dynamics, government interventions, central bank policies, and socioeconomic variables. Our findings reveal a robust and persistent association between the rising number of Covid-19 cases per million and volatility spillovers. We introduce three novel determinants—the number of intensive care unit beds, population density, and the proportion of the elderly population—which significantly impact volatility transmission in response to new cases. Stringent government measures, such as travel bans and lockdowns, mitigate volatility spillovers. Conversely, central bank policies increase volatility spillovers. These insights contribute to a deeper understanding of financial market dynamics in the context of global health emergencies. This knowledge equips policy makers in the APR with valuable tools for navigating future crises.

2019 年末,Covid-19 的出现迅速打破了亚太地区这个经济活力的堡垒,使其成为全球健康危机的中心。这场史无前例的大流行病不仅引发了一场公共卫生灾难,还引发了一场金融风暴,暴露了该地区相互关联的经济体内部的脆弱性。本研究确定了在 Covid-19 大流行的第一波(2020 年 1 月至 2021 年 2 月)期间亚太地区金融市场波动溢出效应的驱动因素。我们分析了大流行病传播动态、政府干预、中央银行政策和社会经济变量之间的相互作用。我们的研究结果表明,每百万人中 Covid-19 病例数的上升与波动溢出效应之间存在稳健而持久的联系。我们引入了三个新的决定因素--重症监护病房床位数、人口密度和老年人口比例--这三个因素对新病例的波动传播有显著影响。政府的严厉措施,如旅行禁令和封锁,会减轻波动的溢出效应。相反,中央银行的政策则会增加波动的溢出效应。这些见解有助于加深对全球卫生紧急情况下金融市场动态的理解。这些知识为亚太地区的政策制定者提供了驾驭未来危机的宝贵工具。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the link between female directors’ attributes, ownership concentration, and integrated reporting strategy in Malaysia 揭示马来西亚女性董事特质、所有权集中度和综合报告战略之间的联系
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.012

In response to the reform in the Malaysian market that requires all publicly listed companies (PLCs) to have at least one female director on the board, this study examines how female directors’ attributes (FDAs) shape integrated reporting quality (IRQ) and assesses the potential influence of substantial shareholders on the FDA–IRQ nexus. Using all Malaysian PLCs implementing the integrated reporting from 2017 to 2021, our analysis yields four key findings. First, a positive relationship exists between the presence of a Muslim female director and IRQ. Second, female directors with financial expertise and those with higher education positively impact IRQ. Third, the holding of multiple directorships by female directors is negatively linked to IRQ, and the length of their tenure shows no significant effect. Fourth, the relationship between FDAs and IRQ is more pronounced in contexts with a greater ownership concentration. These results remain robust after rigorous analysis and mitigating for potential biases. Our findings offer valuable insights for policymakers, practitioners, and researchers interested in understanding the implications of gender diversity and IRQ in emerging markets.

为响应马来西亚市场要求所有上市公司(PLC)董事会至少有一名女性董事的改革,本研究探讨了女性董事的特质(FDAs)如何影响综合报告质量(IRQ),并评估了大股东对 FDA-IRQ 关系的潜在影响。通过对 2017 年至 2021 年实施综合报告的所有马来西亚股份公司进行分析,我们得出了四个主要结论。首先,穆斯林女性董事的存在与 IRQ 之间存在正相关关系。其次,具有财务专业知识和受过高等教育的女性董事对 IRQ 有积极影响。第三,女性董事担任多个董事职位与 IRQ 呈负相关,任期长短没有显著影响。第四,在所有权集中度较高的情况下,FDA 与 IRQ 之间的关系更为明显。这些结果在经过严格分析并减少可能的偏差后仍然是稳健的。我们的研究结果为有兴趣了解新兴市场中性别多样性和 IRQ 影响的政策制定者、从业人员和研究人员提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the impact of firm-characteristics on sustainable development goals disclosure: A cross-country study on non-financial companies in Asia 揭示公司特征对可持续发展目标披露的影响:亚洲非金融企业跨国研究
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.003

This study examines the practices of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in Asian countries with special reference to listed firms in China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, and Saudi Arabia. Further, it evaluates the impact of firms’ specific factors on SDGs practices. The original sample consists of 1462 companies for the 2018–2021 financial years. Data are extracted from the Refinitiv Eikon Database. One-way ANOVA and regression analysis are used to estimate the data. Results reveal that there is a significant difference in SDGs practices among the elected countries. Moreover, results reveal that Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE), market value added, leverage, and current ratio have a negative and significant impact on SDGs practices, while the Earnings per Share (EPS) has a positive and significant impact on SDGs practices. This research contributes to the existing literature by making a comparison among the Asian largest economies regarding the achievement of UN sustainable development goals.

本研究探讨了联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)在亚洲国家的实践情况,特别是中国、印度、印度尼西亚、日本、马来西亚、新加坡和沙特阿拉伯的上市公司。此外,它还评估了企业的特定因素对可持续发展目标实践的影响。原始样本包括 2018-2021 财年的 1462 家公司。数据提取自 Refinitiv Eikon 数据库。采用单因素方差分析和回归分析对数据进行估计。结果显示,当选国家在可持续发展目标实践方面存在显著差异。此外,结果还显示,资产回报率(ROA)、股本回报率(ROE)、市场附加值、杠杆率和流动比率对可持续发展目标实践有显著的负面影响,而每股收益(EPS)对可持续发展目标实践有显著的正面影响。本研究通过比较亚洲最大经济体在实现联合国可持续发展目标方面的情况,为现有文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Market- and future-level sentiment and futures returns in Chinese agricultural futures markets 中国农产品期货市场的市场情绪和期货收益
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.03.008

This study examines market and future-level sentiment in the Chinese agricultural futures market, distinguishing between contagious and idiosyncratic sentiment. Our analysis reveals that agricultural future-level sentiment is significantly affected by market-level sentiment and domestic stock market sentiment, particularly during bullish market conditions, while global stock market sentiment has minimal impact. Furthermore, we find that both market and future-level sentiment strongly and positively influence futures returns, with contagious and idiosyncratic sentiment exerting favorable influences, particularly in bullish markets. Our findings provide clear evidence of sentiment's impact on agricultural futures returns, offering valuable insights for regulators to identify potential market bubbles and implement effective sentiment regulation measures.

本研究考察了中国农产品期货市场的市场情绪和未来情绪,并区分了传染性情绪和特异性情绪。我们的分析表明,农产品期货市场情绪受市场情绪和国内股市情绪的影响很大,尤其是在市场看涨的情况下,而全球股市情绪的影响则很小。此外,我们还发现,市场和未来层面的情绪都会对期货收益产生强烈而积极的影响,传染性情绪和特异性情绪会产生有利的影响,尤其是在看涨的市场中。我们的研究结果为情绪对农产品期货收益的影响提供了明确的证据,为监管机构识别潜在的市场泡沫和实施有效的情绪监管措施提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Financial literacy among Chinese rural households and its impact on stock-market participation 中国农村家庭的金融知识及其对股市参与的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.011

This study explores financial literacy (FL) and its influence on market participation among rural residents in China. Using the 2017 China Household Finance Survey, we find that rural residents have low FL and answer only 33% of basic and 20.8% of advanced questions on average. The findings indicate a substantial disparity in their FL skills. The ordinary least squares regression results reveal that advanced FL is statistically positively related to market participation. To mitigate endogeneity concerns, we adopt the instrument variable estimator within the generalized method of moment (IV-GMM). The IV-GMM results indicate that FL positively affects the market participation of Chinese rural households. The probability of market participation increases by over 7% with every unit increase in advanced FL scores. Additionally, the robustness tests confirm the positive correlation between advanced FL and market participation. Furthermore, the impact of FL on stock-market participation is more pronounced among rural residents in economically developed regions and those with greater financial assets.

本研究探讨了中国农村居民的金融素养(FL)及其对市场参与的影响。利用 2017 年中国家庭金融调查,我们发现农村居民的金融知识水平较低,平均仅能回答 33% 的基础问题和 20.8% 的高级问题。调查结果表明,农村居民的FL技能存在很大差距。普通最小二乘法回归结果显示,高级财务自由与市场参与在统计上呈正相关。为了减少内生性问题,我们采用了广义矩法(IV-GMM)中的工具变量估计法。IV-GMM 结果表明,FL 对中国农村家庭的市场参与度有积极影响。FL 高级得分每增加一个单位,市场参与概率就会增加 7%以上。此外,稳健性检验也证实了高级 FL 与市场参与之间的正相关性。此外,FL 对股票市场参与度的影响在经济发达地区和拥有较多金融资产的农村居民中更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Shareholding control, ownership concentration, and the value of the Brazilian firm 股权控制、所有权集中度和巴西企业的价值
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.05.008

The study analyzes whether the type of shareholding control (dispersed, shared, or dominant) affects agency conflicts by investigating the relationship between shareholding control, ownership concentration, and firm value. The sample is a panel data comprising 1977 firm-year observations from 167 Brazilian firms in the period 2010–2022. Our results show that shared control creates value, whereas dominant control destroys firm value. Voting rights concentration and cash-flow rights reduce the value of firms with dispersed and shared control. However, at firms with dominant control, these firm characteristics increase firm value. Excess voting rights, in turn, destroy the value of firms with shared and dominant control. Our evidence shows that the type of shareholding control influences the nature and magnitude of agency conflicts and the relationship between ownership concentration and firm value. Thus, within an institutional environment, agency conflicts may differ among firms, depending on the type of shareholding control.

本研究通过调查股权控制、所有权集中度和公司价值之间的关系,分析股权控制类型(分散、共享或主导)是否会影响代理冲突。样本是由 2010-2022 年间 167 家巴西公司的 1977 个公司年观测数据组成的面板数据。我们的研究结果表明,共同控制创造价值,而主导控制破坏公司价值。表决权集中和现金流权降低了拥有分散和共享控制权的公司的价值。然而,在拥有主导控制权的公司,这些公司特征会增加公司价值。反过来,过多的投票权又会破坏共享控制权和主导控制权企业的价值。我们的证据表明,股权控制类型会影响代理冲突的性质和规模,以及所有权集中度与公司价值之间的关系。因此,在制度环境中,不同公司的代理冲突可能会因股权控制类型的不同而不同。
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引用次数: 0
The crowding-out effect of government debt: A loan financing-based perspective 政府债务的挤出效应:基于贷款融资的视角
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.bir.2024.06.002

In recent years, economic research has increasingly focused on the increase in local government debt, attracting the attention of government regulators. Using data from 2006 to 2022, this study empirically examines how local government debt affects financing activities. The results reveal local government debt’ s crowding-out effect on financing, particularly for non-state-owned enterprises. Further analysis reveals that this negative impact is driven by ‘passive crowding-out’ rather than ‘active choice’ for enterprises. Local governments can directly influence commercial banks, and commercial banks prefer holding local government debt. Moreover, while new local government debt initially boosts economic growth, the continuous accumulation of debt stock exacerbates the crowding-out effect, impacting overall output. These findings provide insights into the micro-level implications of local government fiscal policies and offer guidance for advancing debt system reforms.

近年来,经济研究越来越关注地方政府债务的增加,引起了政府监管部门的重视。本研究利用 2006 年至 2022 年的数据,对地方政府债务如何影响融资活动进行了实证研究。研究结果表明,地方政府债务对融资具有挤出效应,尤其是对非国有企业。进一步的分析表明,这种负面影响是由 "被动挤出 "而非企业的 "主动选择 "造成的。地方政府可以直接影响商业银行,而商业银行更倾向于持有地方政府债务。此外,虽然新的地方政府债务最初会促进经济增长,但债务存量的持续积累会加剧挤出效应,影响整体产出。这些发现深入揭示了地方政府财政政策的微观影响,为推进债务制度改革提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
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Borsa Istanbul Review
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