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Price clustering on cryptocurrency order books at a US-based exchange 美国一家交易所加密货币订单簿上的价格聚类
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100893
SeungOh Han

We investigate the price clustering effect in cryptocurrency limit order books, where traders tend to place orders in round numbers. Analyzing 10-minute snapshots of five USD-denominated cryptocurrencies over 35 weeks (January–August 2020), we find that the frequency of specific cent components (e.g., 00, 50) increases significantly at higher price levels. Subsample analyses reveal that this effect strengthens with larger previous cumulative dollar depth and larger price distance from the best price. Furthermore, near-best-price and far-from-best-price dollar quotes exhibit a weak negative and strong positive price impact, respectively, confirming the informativeness of the clustering effect. These findings remain robust when considering superstitious two digits, cluster undercutting, last digits, excluding stale quotes, and additional price levels.

我们研究了加密货币限价订单簿中的价格聚类效应,交易者倾向于以整数下单。通过分析 35 周(2020 年 1 月至 8 月)内五种以美元计价的加密货币的 10 分钟快照,我们发现在较高的价格水平上,特定美分成分(如 00、50)的出现频率显著增加。子样本分析表明,随着先前累计美元深度的增加和价格与最佳价格距离的拉大,这种效应会增强。此外,接近最优价格和远离最优价格的美元报价分别表现出微弱的负价格影响和强烈的正价格影响,证实了聚类效应的信息量。当考虑到迷信两位数、集群压价、最后一位数、排除陈旧报价和额外的价格水平时,这些发现仍然是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Do people gamble or invest in the cryptocurrency market? Transactional-level evidence from Thailand 人们是在加密货币市场赌博还是投资?泰国交易层面的证据
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100895
Voraprapa Nakavachara , Roongkiat Ratanabanchuen , Kanis Saengchote , Thitiphong Amonthumniyom , Pongsathon Parinyavuttichai , Polpatt Vinaibodee

Should cryptocurrencies be viewed as a gambling tool or a risky investment instrument? While their unpredictable returns resemble gambling, recent studies show their prices having a time-varying correlation with traditional risky assets like the S&P 500. Many institutional investors have, thus, included cryptocurrencies in their portfolios for diversification. This paper examines the behavior of cryptocurrency market participants and investigates whether they behave like gamblers or investors. Literature shows that gamblers often engage in loss-chasing behavior, escalating risk-taking after losses that may go on indefinitely. In contrast, investors typically exhibit risk aversion after losses, though some might increase risk-taking after “paper losses,” a phenomenon called the “realization effect.” Our study found high-risk individuals exhibit gambling-like behavior, chasing both realized and paper losses. In contrast, we found limited evidence that low-risk individuals engage in risk aversion and realization effect, similar to investors. These insights are crucial for policymakers, as loss-chasing can lead to the siutation where people taking on more risk than they can afford, potentially resulting in bankruptcy.

加密货币应被视为赌博工具还是风险投资工具?虽然加密货币难以预测的收益类似于赌博,但最近的研究表明,加密货币的价格与传统风险资产(如 S&P 500 指数)存在时变相关性。因此,许多机构投资者将加密货币纳入其投资组合,以实现多样化。本文研究了加密货币市场参与者的行为,并探讨了他们的行为是像赌徒还是投资者。文献表明,赌徒经常会出现追逐损失的行为,在损失可能无限期地持续下去之后,风险承担会不断升级。与此相反,投资者在损失后通常会表现出风险规避行为,尽管有些人在 "纸面损失 "后可能会增加风险承担,这种现象被称为 "变现效应"。我们的研究发现,高风险个体表现出类似赌博的行为,既追逐已实现的损失,也追逐纸面上的损失。与此相反,我们发现有限的证据表明,低风险个体会出现风险规避和变现效应,与投资者类似。这些见解对政策制定者至关重要,因为追逐损失可能导致人们承担超出自身承受能力的风险,从而可能导致破产。
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引用次数: 0
Intraday herding and attention around the clock 日内羊群效应和全天候关注
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100894
Stefan Scharnowski, Yanghua Shi

This paper analyzes the relationship between investor herding and attention in the decentralized cryptocurrency market with its continuous, around the clock trading and large share of retail investors. Herding behavior is stronger when market returns are positive but is negatively related to both the level and cross-sectional dispersion of investor attention. Moreover, there are pronounced intraday variations: Herding exhibits similar patterns as attention and blockchain activity and is strongest during the overlap of hours when traders in major economic centers are likely awake.

本文分析了去中心化加密货币市场中投资者羊群行为与注意力之间的关系,该市场具有持续、全天候交易的特点,散户投资者占很大比例。当市场回报为正时,羊群行为更强,但与投资者注意力的水平和横截面离散度呈负相关。此外,日内变化也很明显:羊群行为表现出与注意力和区块链活动类似的模式,并且在主要经济中心的交易者可能清醒的时段重叠时最为强烈。
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引用次数: 0
Tail risk connectedness in G7 stock markets: Understanding the impact of COVID-19 and related variants 七国集团股票市场的尾部风险关联性:了解 COVID-19 和相关变体的影响
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100889
Chunlin Lang , Yang Hu , Shaen Corbet , Yang (Greg) Hou

This study uses a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) approach to examine the transmission of tail risk among G7 stock markets from January 2000 to September 2022, focusing on major financial episodes like the dot-com collapse, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, and the European debt crisis, as well as the COVID-19 pandemic and its variants. Our analysis shows fluctuating tail risk connectedness across G7 markets during the pandemic, influenced by lockdowns, supply chain issues, interventions, and investor sentiment. Notably, the UK and Italy were major tail risk transmitters, whereas Japan predominantly absorbed risk, highlighting its distinct vulnerability. The findings stress the need for a comprehensive understanding of tail risk dynamics to inform decisions by investors, governments, and regulators, ensuring financial system resilience during heightened economic stress.

本研究采用时变参数向量自回归(TVP-VAR)方法研究了 2000 年 1 月至 2022 年 9 月期间七国集团股票市场之间的尾部风险传递,重点关注网络公司倒闭、2008 年全球金融危机和欧洲债务危机等重大金融事件,以及 COVID-19 大流行病及其变种。我们的分析表明,在大流行病期间,受封锁、供应链问题、干预措施和投资者情绪的影响,七国集团市场的尾部风险关联性出现波动。值得注意的是,英国和意大利是尾部风险的主要传播者,而日本则主要吸收风险,这凸显了其独特的脆弱性。研究结果表明,有必要全面了解尾部风险动态,为投资者、政府和监管机构的决策提供依据,确保金融系统在经济压力增大时的抗风险能力。
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引用次数: 0
The role of job titles in online peer-to-peer lending: An empirical investigation on skilled borrowers 职称在网络点对点借贷中的作用:对熟练借款人的实证调查
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100890
Zagdbazar Davaadorj, Bolortuya Enkhtaivan, Wenling Lu

We examine the role of borrowers' job titles in the online peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. Using the U.S. Occupational Information Network database, we define skilled borrowers as the borrowers with their job titles in Job Zone 5, a group of occupations requiring individuals with the most extensive skill, knowledge, education and related experience. Analyzing data from Lending Club, one of the largest P2P platforms in the US, we find evidence that skilled borrowers are perceived as trustworthy and receive lower loan interest rate and default less frequently than do their non-skilled peers. Consistent with the signaling framework, our empirical results suggest that borrowers with certain job titles send effective signals and trustworthy job titles affect lending decisions and performance. This study sheds new light on the importance of borrowers' job titles in P2P lending.

我们研究了借款人职称在网络点对点借贷(P2P)市场中的作用。利用美国职业信息网络数据库,我们将有技能的借款人定义为其职称在第 5 工作区的借款人,第 5 工作区是一组需要个人具备最广泛技能、知识、教育和相关经验的职业。通过分析美国最大的 P2P 平台之一 Lending Club(借贷俱乐部)的数据,我们发现有证据表明,有技能的借款人被认为是值得信赖的,与没有技能的借款人相比,他们获得的贷款利率更低,违约的频率也更低。与信号传递框架相一致,我们的实证结果表明,拥有特定职称的借款人会发出有效信号,值得信赖的职称会影响借贷决策和绩效。本研究揭示了借款人职称在 P2P 网络借贷中的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Does parenting daughters increase corporate cash dividends? Evidence from Chinese family firms 养育女儿会增加企业现金分红吗?来自中国家族企业的证据
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100892
Xixiong Xu, Cuiliang Lin, Maochuan Wang

Research in the social sciences has shown that interactions with biological daughters are potent catalysts for instilling and nourishing parents' social values, preferences, and behaviors. Drawn on the female socialization hypothesis, we investigate the impact of ultimate controlling owners’ offspring gender on corporate dividend policy. Based on data from Chinese family-owned listed companies, our empirical results document a “daughter effect” in cash dividends. That is, ultimate controlling owners shaped by daughters are more altruistic and less likely to exploit the interests of minority shareholders, which leads to more dividend activities. The results remain robust when considering endogeneity. Moreover, the “daughter effect” is more pronounced when the ultimate controlling owner is male, has a higher education background, and has been influenced by the daughter for a longer time. This paper contributes to the growing literature on female socialization and the determinants of dividend payments.

社会科学研究表明,与亲生女儿的互动是灌输和滋养父母社会价值观、偏好和行为的有效催化剂。根据女性社会化假说,我们研究了最终控股人的后代性别对企业分红政策的影响。基于中国家族上市公司的数据,我们的实证结果证明了现金分红中的 "女儿效应"。也就是说,由女儿塑造的最终控股人更利他主义,更少剥削小股东的利益,从而导致更多的分红活动。考虑到内生性,结果依然稳健。此外,当最终控股所有者为男性、具有较高教育背景且受女儿影响的时间较长时,"女儿效应 "更为明显。本文为有关女性社会化和股息支付决定因素的文献的不断发展做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Take the aTrain. Introducing an interface for the Accessible Transcription of Interviews 搭乘 aTrain。访谈无障碍转录界面介绍
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100891
Armin Haberl , Jürgen Fleiß , Dominik Kowald , Stefan Thalmann

Research in behavioral and experimental finance becomes more multifaceted and the analysis of data from speech interactions more important. This raises the need for technical support for researchers using qualitative data generated from speech interactions. aTrain serves this need and is an open-source, offline transcription tool with a graphical interface for audio data in multiple languages. It requires no programming skills, runs on most computers, operates without internet, and ensures data is not uploaded to external servers. aTrain combines OpenAI’s Whisper transcription models with speaker recognition and provides output that integrates with MAXQDA and ATLAS.ti. Available on the Microsoft Store for easy installation, its source code is also accessible on GitHub. aTrain, designed for speed on local computers, transcribes audio files at 2-3 times the audio duration on mobile CPUs using the highest-accuracy Whisper transcription models. With an entry-level graphics card, this speed improves to 30% of the audio duration.

行为和实验金融学研究变得越来越多面化,对语音交互数据的分析也变得越来越重要。aTrain 满足了这一需求,它是一款开源的离线转录工具,带有图形界面,可转录多种语言的音频数据。aTrain 将 OpenAI 的 Whisper 转录模型与说话者识别相结合,并提供可与 MAXQDA 和 ATLAS.ti 集成的输出。aTrain 专为在本地计算机上快速运行而设计,使用最高精度的 Whisper 转录模型,在移动 CPU 上以 2-3 倍于音频时长的速度转录音频文件。如果使用入门级显卡,速度可提高到 30 倍。
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引用次数: 0
Managerial myopia and corporate social responsibility:Evidence from the textual analysis of chinese earnings communication conferences 管理者近视与企业社会责任:来自中国盈利沟通会文本分析的证据
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100886
Hui Ding, Fuwei Jiang, Shan Zhang, Zhining Zhang

Corporate social responsibility (CSR) plays an important role in developing countries achieving sustainable goals. Using the textual analysis of Chinese earnings communication conferences, we investigate whether the managers' time horizons influence CSR performance. We find that the level of managerial myopia is negatively related to CSR scores. This deleterious impact manifests asymmetrically under diverse expectations. Furthermore, guided by the CSR pyramid theory, our findings suggest that managerial myopia undermines both financial and legal responsibilities, subsequently exerting an influence on the commitment to social responsibility. Compensation incentives can effectively mitigate the deleterious impacts associated with myopia. Nevertheless, heightened external pressures originating from capital and product markets may impose constraints on managers' time horizons, thereby amplifying the adverse repercussions of myopia.

企业社会责任(CSR)在发展中国家实现可持续发展目标方面发挥着重要作用。通过对中国财报沟通会的文本分析,我们研究了管理者的时间视角是否会影响企业社会责任的表现。我们发现,管理者的近视程度与企业社会责任得分呈负相关。这种有害影响在不同的预期下表现得不对称。此外,在企业社会责任金字塔理论的指导下,我们的研究结果表明,管理者的近视会削弱财务和法律责任,进而影响对社会责任的承诺。薪酬激励可以有效缓解近视带来的有害影响。然而,来自资本市场和产品市场的更大外部压力可能会对管理者的时间跨度造成限制,从而扩大近视的负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable risk preferences on asset allocation: a higher order optimal portfolio study 资产配置的可持续风险偏好:高阶最优投资组合研究
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100887
Antonio Díaz, Ana Escribano, Carlos Esparcia

This paper empirically investigates the financial performance of asset allocation strategies under “sustainable” risk preferences and conventional risk preferences. We assume that traditional investors and ESG investors behave differently in their investment decisions. The optimal portfolio choice is developed including dynamic higher order conditional co-moments and time-varying risk aversion. From an out-of-sample empirical experiment, we observe that this optimization technique provides much more stable optimal weights for the sustainable portfolio than for the traditional one. Based on both classical and downside-risk performance measures, active management in both portfolios outperforms the global market index. In this context, the non-inclusion of skewness and kurtosis leads to an underestimation of actual risk exposure. Finally, we provide empirical evidence that the sustainable portfolio largely outperformances the traditional investment.

本文对 "可持续 "风险偏好和传统风险偏好下资产配置策略的财务绩效进行了实证研究。我们假设传统投资者和 ESG 投资者的投资决策行为不同。最优投资组合选择包括动态高阶条件共矩和时变风险规避。通过样本外实证实验,我们发现这种优化技术为可持续投资组合提供了比传统投资组合更稳定的最优权重。根据传统和下行风险绩效衡量标准,这两种投资组合的主动管理绩效都优于全球市场指数。在这种情况下,不纳入偏度和峰度会导致低估实际风险敞口。最后,我们提供的经验证据表明,可持续投资组合的表现在很大程度上优于传统投资。
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引用次数: 0
Societal secrecy and ADR IPOs underpricing 社会保密与 ADR IPO 定价过低
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2024-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2024.100888
Axel Grossmann , Thanh Ngo , Marc W. Simpson

This study examines 350 Level III ADR IPOs from 35 countries between 1990 and 2020 to explore the link between societal secrecy and IPO underpricing. Focusing on ADR IPOs, we hypothesize that firms from higher secrecy countries, compared to firms from low secrecy countries, benefit more from public offerings in a low secrecy country. U.S. investors might value these firms relatively more due to the reduction in information asymmetry and higher expected diversification benefits. The results support our hypothesis, showing that ADR IPO underpricing is lower for ADRs from high secrecy countries. These findings hold true across various measures and controls, ensuring robustness.

本研究对 1990 年至 2020 年间 35 个国家的 350 家三级 ADR IPO 进行了研究,以探讨社会保密与 IPO 定价偏低之间的联系。以 ADR IPO 为重点,我们假设,与低保密性国家的公司相比,来自高保密性国家的公司从低保密性国家的公开发行中获益更多。由于信息不对称的减少和更高的预期多样化收益,美国投资者可能会相对更看重这些公司。结果支持了我们的假设,显示来自高保密性国家的 ADR IPO 定价较低。这些发现在不同的衡量标准和控制措施下都是正确的,从而确保了稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
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