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Hedge Funds, Short Sales, and the 52-week High 对冲基金,卖空和52周高点
IF 4.7 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101083
Yixuan Rui, Robert B. Durand
Hedge funds tend to significantly reduce their shareholdings when a firm’s short interest is high and its share price is close to its 52-week high. In addition, hedge funds in general are more likely to increase their holdings when the share price is falling away from its 52-week high and the short interest is low. Mutual funds, pension funds, and other institutional investors typically do not engage in such specialized trading strategies. The trading behavior of hedge funds demonstrates that they follow a contrarian strategy and use short interest to exploit the near-term reversal of price movements.
当一家公司的空头头寸很高,且股价接近52周高点时,对冲基金往往会大幅减持。此外,对冲基金通常更有可能在股价从52周高点回落、空头兴趣较低时增持。共同基金、养老基金和其他机构投资者通常不参与这种专门的交易策略。对冲基金的交易行为表明,他们遵循逆向策略,利用短期利益利用价格走势的短期逆转。
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引用次数: 0
Are credit scores gender-neutral? Evidence of mis-calibration from alternative and traditional borrowing data 信用评分是中性的吗?来自替代和传统借阅数据的错误校准证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101081
Zilong Liu, Hongyan Liang
This study investigates whether credit scoring systems inherently disadvantage women within the subprime borrowing context, where alternative credit data is frequently used. While recent advancements in machine learning and alternative data usage promise greater fairness and accuracy in lending, our findings highlight systemic biases embedded within current credit scoring models. Using a comprehensive sample of alternative borrowers, our analysis reveals that women consistently receive lower credit scores than men, despite exhibiting lower default rates and controlling for extensive credit risk variables. Furthermore, credit scores demonstrate systematically reduced predictive accuracy for women compared to men, underscoring gender biases embedded within these scoring systems. These findings emphasize the urgent need to recalibrate credit scoring models to enhance fairness, accuracy, and financial inclusivity.
本研究调查信用评分系统是否固有的不利妇女在次级贷款的背景下,其中替代信贷数据经常被使用。虽然机器学习和替代数据使用的最新进展有望提高贷款的公平性和准确性,但我们的研究结果突出了当前信用评分模型中嵌入的系统性偏见。通过对其他借款人的全面抽样,我们的分析显示,尽管女性的违约率较低,并控制了广泛的信用风险变量,但女性的信用评分始终低于男性。此外,与男性相比,信用评分系统地显示女性的预测准确性降低,强调了这些评分系统中嵌入的性别偏见。这些发现强调,迫切需要重新校准信用评分模型,以提高公平性、准确性和金融包容性。
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引用次数: 0
Cybersecurity risk and bank risk-taking 网络安全风险与银行风险承担
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101080
Zunaidah Sulong , Md. Habibur Rahman Fuszder , Mohammad Abdullah , Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah
This paper investigates the influence of cybersecurity risk on banks’ risk-taking behavior. Utilizing data from U.S. banks spanning 1998–2018, we find that heightened cybersecurity risk is associated with increased risk-taking by banks. These findings remain robust across various alternative proxies and persist even after addressing endogeneity issues. Further analysis indicates that this positive relationship is more pronounced among banks facing greater competitive pressure, higher IT investment, increased deposit withdrawals, and more negative disclosure sentiment. Conversely, the relationship is attenuated in banks with substantial goodwill and a more positive disclosure tone. Sub-sample analyses show that the effect is particularly strong for smaller banks and those with elevated financial vulnerability. These findings have important implications for the digital transformation of the banking sector.
本文研究了网络安全风险对银行风险承担行为的影响。利用1998年至2018年美国银行的数据,我们发现网络安全风险的加剧与银行承担风险的增加有关。这些发现在各种替代代理中仍然很强大,即使在解决了内生性问题之后仍然存在。进一步的分析表明,在面临更大的竞争压力、更高的IT投资、更多的存款取款和更多的负面披露情绪的银行中,这种正相关关系更为明显。相反,在拥有大量商誉和更积极的披露基调的银行中,这种关系减弱。子样本分析显示,这种影响对规模较小的银行和金融脆弱性较高的银行尤为明显。这些发现对银行业的数字化转型具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Why do females display lower financial risk propensity than males? Evidence from structural MRI and resting-state fMRI 为什么女性比男性表现出更低的金融风险倾向?来自结构MRI和静息状态fMRI的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101079
Han Ren , Shiwei Sun , Zhengqiang Zhong , Song Wang
Understanding why females and males differ in financial risk-taking is important for both theory and practice. This study integrates neuroscience and behavioral data to examine how sex differences in brain structure-indexed by gray matter volume (GMV)-and brain function-indexed by resting-state functional connectivity (RSFC)-relate to financial risk propensity (FRP) among full-time employees (N = 144; 72 females, 72 males). We found that the association between FRP and GMV in the left superior parietal lobule (SPL), a region involved in emotion regulation and numerical processing, was positive in females but negative in males. Additionally, only in females was lower FRP linked to stronger RSFC between the left SPL and the right hippocampus, a region critical for future-oriented thinking and memory. We also found a significant indirect effect of FRP on the relationship between RSFC and willingness to take risks in investment and career domains for females, but not for males. These findings suggest that in females, greater neural integration of emotional control, numerical reasoning, and prospection may support more cautious financial decisions. This research offers new insights into the neural basis of sex differences in financial decision-making and carries important theoretical and practical implications.
理解为什么女性和男性在金融冒险方面存在差异对理论和实践都很重要。本研究整合了神经科学和行为数据,以检验全职员工中脑结构(以灰质体积(GMV)为指标)和脑功能(以静息状态功能连接(RSFC)为指标)的性别差异如何与金融风险倾向(FRP)相关(N = 144;72名女性,72名男性)。我们发现,在参与情绪调节和数值处理的左顶叶上小叶(SPL)中,FRP和GMV之间的关联在女性中呈正相关,而在男性中呈负相关。此外,只有在女性中,较低的FRP与较强的左SPL和右海马体之间的RSFC有关,这是一个对面向未来的思考和记忆至关重要的区域。我们还发现FRP对女性的RSFC与投资和职业领域的风险承担意愿之间的关系有显著的间接影响,但对男性没有影响。这些发现表明,在女性中,更大的情绪控制、数字推理和前景的神经整合可能支持更谨慎的财务决策。本研究为金融决策中性别差异的神经基础提供了新的见解,具有重要的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Reasoning with financial regulatory texts via Large Language Models 通过大型语言模型对金融监管文本进行推理
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101067
Bledar Fazlija , Meriton Ibraimi , Aynaz Forouzandeh , Arber Fazlija
Interpreting complex financial regulatory texts, such as the Basel III Accords, can be challenging even for human experts. In this paper, we explore the potential of Large Language Models (LLMs) to perform such tasks. Specifically, we evaluate reasoning strategies, namely Chain-of-Thought (CoT) and Tree-of-Thought (ToT), in their ability to assign accurate risk weights to test cases based on the Basel III Standardized Approach (SA) for Credit Risk. Moreover, we propose and test a guided learning-based few-shot variant of CoT and ToT using human expert input. By evaluating 6,501 test cases, comprised of diverse exposure scenarios, our results demonstrate that few-shot prompting with CoT as well as ToT significantly enhances the LLMs’ accuracy in inferring risk weights. For one-shot CoT, we observe gains of almost 13 percentage points in accuracy with GPT-4o, whereas Claude 3 Sonnet shows gains of more than 10 percentage points. Albeit smaller in magnitude, one-shot ToT improvements are around 9 percentage points.
解释复杂的金融监管文本,如《巴塞尔协议III》,即使对人类专家来说也是一项挑战。在本文中,我们探索了大型语言模型(llm)执行此类任务的潜力。具体来说,我们评估了推理策略,即思维链(CoT)和思维树(ToT),根据巴塞尔协议III信用风险标准化方法(SA)为测试用例分配准确风险权重的能力。此外,我们提出并测试了基于人工专家输入的基于引导学习的CoT和ToT的少镜头变体。通过评估6,501个测试用例,包括不同的暴露场景,我们的结果表明,使用CoT和ToT的少量提示显著提高了llm推断风险权重的准确性。对于一次性CoT,我们观察到gpt - 40的准确性提高了近13个百分点,而Claude 3 Sonnet的准确性提高了10个百分点以上。虽然幅度较小,但一次性的ToT改进约为9个百分点。
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引用次数: 0
The effectiveness of female chief financial officers in managing working capital: Evidence from US-listed firms 女性首席财务官管理营运资金的有效性:来自美国上市公司的证据
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101078
Augustine Tarkom , Leiza Nochebuena-Evans , Haibo Wang
This paper examines how female Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) influence working capital management in U.S. public firms, documenting that female CFOs are associated with significantly lower working capital days compared to their male counterparts. Our analysis reveals several important conditions that enhance female CFOs’ effectiveness. We find that their effectiveness strengthens with greater board gender diversity, diverse international representation, and formal business education, suggesting complementary effects between female executive leadership and board composition. The effectiveness of female CFOs is more pronounced in firms with higher compensation levels and in environments characterized by lower market concentration, higher competitive threats, and broader firm scope. These effects are further amplified under stronger network connectivity, higher managerial ability, and co-opted boards, but independent of the specific committee or board roles held. Our findings remain robust to multiple endogeneity tests, including system GMM estimation, propensity score matching, entropy balancing, copula approaches. Our study contributes to the literature on gender in corporate finance by identifying working capital management as an important channel through which female executives enhance operational efficiency, while also highlighting the organizational and market conditions that amplify their effectiveness. Offering a business case for maintaining and strengthening diversity initiatives even in the face of social anti-activism pressures.
本文研究了女性首席财务官(cfo)如何影响美国上市公司的营运资金管理,并记录了与男性首席财务官相比,女性首席财务官的营运资金天数显着减少。我们的分析揭示了提高女性首席财务官效率的几个重要条件。我们发现,董事会性别多样性、国际代表性和正规商业教育程度越高,其有效性就越强,这表明女性高管领导与董事会构成之间存在互补效应。在薪酬水平较高的企业和市场集中度较低、竞争威胁较高、企业范围较广的环境中,女性cfo的有效性更为明显。在更强的网络连通性、更高的管理能力和增选董事会的情况下,这些影响会进一步放大,但与具体的委员会或董事会角色无关。我们的研究结果对多重内生性检验保持稳健,包括系统GMM估计、倾向评分匹配、熵平衡、copula方法。我们的研究通过确定营运资金管理是女性高管提高运营效率的重要渠道,同时也强调了放大其有效性的组织和市场条件,为企业融资中的性别问题文献做出了贡献。即使面对社会反激进主义的压力,也为维持和加强多样性倡议提供了一个商业案例。
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引用次数: 0
Misguided mortgage choices: Financial literacy, inflation expectations, and borrowing decisions 误入歧途的抵押贷款选择:金融知识、通胀预期和借贷决策
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101077
Mordechai Ilan , Yevgeny Mugerman
This study examines how financial literacy influences mortgage selection, particularly the decision to link mortgages to the consumer price index (CPI). Using household-level data, we investigate the role of expected inflation, which should guide optimal mortgage choices. However, we find that low socioeconomic status (SES) borrowers disproportionately rely on current (easily available) inflation rather than inflation expectations. In contrast, financially literate borrowers—from higher SES groups—are better equipped to overcome cognitive biases and base their decisions on expected inflation. This divergence leads low-SES borrowers to systematically anchor their choices to current inflation, often resulting in suboptimal mortgage selection. A unique aspect of our setting is the absence of financial advisors, ensuring that observed decisions reflect borrowers’ own financial literacy and cognitive processing. Our findings emphasize the role of financial literacy in mitigating cognitive biases and promoting better financial decision-making. Expanding financial education initiatives could help low-SES borrowers make more informed mortgage choices, reducing costly selection errors and improving long-term financial stability.
本研究考察了金融知识如何影响抵押贷款选择,特别是将抵押贷款与消费者价格指数(CPI)联系起来的决定。使用家庭层面的数据,我们调查了预期通货膨胀的作用,这应该指导最佳抵押贷款选择。然而,我们发现低社会经济地位(SES)借款人不成比例地依赖于当前(容易获得的)通胀,而不是通胀预期。相比之下,财务知识丰富的借款人——来自较高的社会经济地位群体——更有能力克服认知偏见,并根据预期的通货膨胀做出决定。这种差异导致低ses借款人系统地将他们的选择与当前的通货膨胀挂钩,往往导致次优抵押贷款选择。我们设置的一个独特方面是没有财务顾问,确保观察到的决定反映借款人自己的金融知识和认知过程。我们的研究结果强调了财务素养在减轻认知偏见和促进更好的财务决策中的作用。扩大金融教育计划可以帮助低ses借款人做出更明智的抵押贷款选择,减少代价高昂的选择错误,改善长期金融稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Impression management by Indian female entrepreneurs: Mitigating investor bias in early-stage funding 印度女企业家的印象管理:减轻早期融资中的投资者偏见
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101064
Ashish Vazirani , Soumya Sarkar , Mayank Jyotsna Soni , Titas Bhattacharjee , Mousumi Singha Mahapatra
Despite growing recognition of female entrepreneurship, gender bias from investors continues to impede access to early-stage funding. As a countermeasure, female entrepreneurs often employ impression management (IM) techniques to shape investor perceptions and improve the prospects of funding. Yet, empirical investigations into the efficacy of such strategies remains nascent. This study examines the influence of IM on investor decision-making in the context of Indian female entrepreneurs. Employing an experimental design, 234 participants evaluated investment proposals online, yielding 694 notional investment decisions. Results from t-tests reveal a statistically significant bias against women entrepreneurs. However, findings also demonstrate IM strategies can attenuate this bias, particularly when coupled with favorable combinations of risk coverage and return potential. The study contributes to the literature on entrepreneurial finance and gender by offering evidence-based insights into the conditions under which IM may be most effective for females.
尽管越来越多的人认识到女性创业,但投资者的性别偏见仍然阻碍着获得早期融资。作为对策,女性企业家经常采用印象管理(IM)技术来塑造投资者的看法和改善融资前景。然而,对这些策略有效性的实证调查仍处于起步阶段。本研究考察了在印度女性企业家的背景下,IM对投资者决策的影响。采用实验设计,234名参与者在线评估投资建议,产生694个名义投资决策。t检验的结果显示,统计上对女性企业家存在显著的偏见。然而,研究结果也表明,即时投资策略可以减轻这种偏见,特别是在风险覆盖和回报潜力的有利组合下。该研究通过提供基于证据的见解来了解IM可能对女性最有效的条件,从而对创业融资和性别的文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Autistic adults, financial risk preference, and economic outcomes 自闭症成人,财务风险偏好和经济结果
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101065
Monica Galizzi , Ashleigh Hillier , David Schena II
Autistic adults lead challenging economic lives. We explore a sample composed of both autistic and non-autistic individuals to evaluate determinants of financial risk tolerance in the two groups, and whether risk attitudes are associated with selected economic outcomes. We measure risk preference through different tools: an assessment of participants’ decisions when faced with hypothetical scenarios, two psychometric measures of individuals’ self-assessment of their risk tolerance, and one measure of observed actual risky behavior. Results indicate that autistic individuals are more risk averse across most financial risk preference measures even when we control for other co-existing conditions such as psychological disorders and learning disabilities. They lack understanding of the concept of risk diversification. Although autistic individuals are less likely to be employed or to make financial investments, higher-risk propensities increase the likelihood of such and other economic outcomes across both groups of individuals. Financial and economic curricula addressing financial risk must be tailored for individuals with developmental disabilities.
自闭症成年人的经济生活充满挑战。我们研究了一个由自闭症和非自闭症个体组成的样本,以评估两组中金融风险承受能力的决定因素,以及风险态度是否与选定的经济结果相关。我们通过不同的工具来衡量风险偏好:一种是对参与者在面对假设情景时的决策的评估,两种是对个体风险容忍度自我评估的心理测量,一种是对观察到的实际风险行为的测量。结果表明,即使我们控制了其他共存的条件,如心理障碍和学习障碍,自闭症个体在大多数财务风险偏好指标中也更倾向于风险厌恶。他们缺乏对风险分散概念的理解。尽管自闭症患者就业或进行金融投资的可能性较低,但高风险倾向增加了两组个体获得此类和其他经济结果的可能性。涉及金融风险的金融和经济课程必须为有发育障碍的个人量身定制。
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引用次数: 0
Negative peer disclosures, crash risk, and strategic change 负面的同行披露、崩溃风险和战略变化
IF 4.3 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2025.101063
Scott Below , Oneil Harris , Charmaine Linton , Thanh Ngo
By analyzing negative peer disclosures (NPDs) on Twitter, we provide evidence that crash risk decreases after tweeted firms are the subject of adverse peer tweets. NPDs also act as catalysts for companies to implement strategic changes, suggesting that managers are motivated to turn things around in response to negative tweets from their peers. Managers also take less risk and reduce financial statement opaqueness as a result. In scale and importance, the strategic change channel appears to be the main mechanism by which NPDs reduce stock price crashes. Moreover, in response to strategic shifts, auditors increase audit fees and analysts issue less optimistic earnings forecasts when they cover tweeted firms. Overall, our study illustrates the transformative effects of social media on product rivalry and market outcomes, and highlights NPDs as powerful tools for firm competition that hold managers accountable.
通过分析推特上的负面同行披露(npd),我们提供了证据,证明推特公司成为负面同行推文的主题后,崩溃风险降低。npd还起到了公司实施战略变革的催化剂作用,这表明管理者在回应同行的负面推文时,有动力扭转局面。管理者承担的风险也更小,从而降低了财务报表的不透明性。在规模和重要性上,战略变革渠道似乎是npd减少股价崩溃的主要机制。此外,作为对战略转变的回应,审计师增加了审计费用,分析师在报道推特公司时发布的盈利预测也不那么乐观。总体而言,我们的研究说明了社交媒体对产品竞争和市场结果的变革性影响,并强调npd是企业竞争的有力工具,使管理者承担责任。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
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