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Spatial and temporal correlations of crime in Detroit: Evidence from spatial dynamic panel data models 底特律犯罪的时空相关性:来自空间动态面板数据模型的证据
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106100
Xu Lin , Jihu Zhang , Shanhe Jiang

Since the infamous riot of 1967, high crime rates and negative media reports have labeled the city of Detroit as one of the most dangerous cities in the United States. Using a Spatial Dynamic Panel Data model with both individual and time fixed effects to capture the unobserved heterogeneity as well as the time varying common factors, we investigate the spatial and temporal interactions of criminal activities among the block groups in Detroit. The results indicate that the crime incidents in a block is correlated with the average crime incidents in neighboring block groups contemporaneously, with an estimated coefficient of 0.4758, and the block crime incidents is also correlated with the average crime incidents in neighboring blocks from the previous year, with an estimated coefficient of 0.1572. And crime incidents in a block are positively correlated with its own crime incidents in the previous year. The findings are robust against different model specifications based on alternative spatial weights matrices. The results for both violent crimes and property crimes also suggest strong spatial and temporal correlations among neighboring blocks, providing suggestive and preliminary evidence for policy implementation.

自1967年臭名昭著的暴乱以来,高犯罪率和负面媒体报道使底特律成为美国最危险的城市之一。利用具有个体效应和时间固定效应的空间动态面板数据模型来捕捉未观察到的异质性以及随时间变化的共同因素,我们研究了底特律街区群体之间犯罪活动的时空相互作用。结果表明,街区内犯罪事件与相邻街区同期平均犯罪事件的相关系数估计为0.4758,街区犯罪事件与相邻街区前一年平均犯罪事件的相关系数估计为0.1572。街区内的犯罪事件与该街区前一年的犯罪事件呈正相关。研究结果对基于替代空间权重矩阵的不同模型规范具有鲁棒性。暴力犯罪和财产犯罪的研究结果也表明,相邻街区之间存在很强的时空相关性,为政策实施提供了初步证据。
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引用次数: 0
Do women drive corporate social responsibility? Evidence from gender diversity reforms around the world 女性是否推动了企业的社会责任?来自世界各地性别多样性改革的证据
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106097
Rong Ding , Tinghua Duan , Wenxuan Hou , Xianda Liu , Ziwei Xu

In this study we investigate the effect of female director on corporate social responsibility (CSR) by taking the advantage of the introduction of legal gender quota that led to the exogenous change in the female representation in corporate board around the world. We find that the “gender quote” reforms effectively increase gender diversity and improve CSR performance. When comparing the legislation-based regulations with governance code-based regulations, we find that the former brings stronger effects on CSR performance. Finally, the effects are more pronounced in countries with higher gender equality or common law legal systems.

在本研究中,我们利用法律性别配额的引入导致世界各地公司董事会中女性代表的外生变化的优势,调查了女性董事对企业社会责任(CSR)的影响。我们发现,“性别报价”改革有效地增加了性别多样性,提高了企业社会责任绩效。通过比较立法规制与治理规范规制对企业社会责任绩效的影响,我们发现立法规制对企业社会责任绩效的影响更大。最后,在性别平等程度较高或普通法法律体系的国家,这种影响更为明显。
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引用次数: 2
Time to resolve insolvency and political elections 是时候解决破产和政治选举了
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106104
Nicolae Stef , Sami Ben Jabeur , Robert F. Scherer

Theories on electoral accountability argue that politicians have strong incentives to avoid punishment from voters for poor administrative abilities. As their chances of reelection can be harmed by failure of businesses, politicians may encourage the speed up of insolvency proceedings to mitigate the voters’ punishment before the elections. Using a sample of 82 countries covering the period 2005–2017, we examined how legislative and presidential elections affect the time required to resolve corporate insolvency. Surprisingly, panel estimates reveal that the length of time to resolve insolvency tends to actually increase during periods of legislative elections and one year prior to such elections in the case of rehabilitation procedures. As the political agenda of the new government can affect the efficiency of restructuring plans, the uncertainty of legislative election outcomes can incentivize debtor and creditors to prolong the resolution of a firm’s reorganization to adjust the plan and/or adopt the most suitable plan. Additionally, our econometric approach reports no significant association between the duration of insolvency procedures and the cycle of presidential elections.

选举问责理论认为,政治家有强烈的动机避免因行政能力差而受到选民的惩罚。由于企业破产会影响他们连任的机会,政客们可能会鼓励加快破产程序,以减轻选举前选民的惩罚。我们使用2005-2017年期间82个国家的样本,研究了立法和总统选举如何影响解决公司破产所需的时间。令人惊讶的是,小组的估计数显示,在立法选举期间,解决破产的时间实际上往往会增加,而在恢复程序方面,在选举前一年往往会增加。由于新政府的政治议程会影响重组计划的效率,立法选举结果的不确定性会激励债务人和债权人延长企业重组的决议,以调整计划和/或采取最合适的计划。此外,我们的计量经济学方法报告称,破产程序的持续时间与总统选举的周期之间没有显著关联。
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引用次数: 1
Borrowers’ discouragement and creditor information 借款人的气馁和债权人的信息
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106098
Jérémie Bertrand, Paolo Mazza

Bank discouragement is one of the most important factors preventing firms from accessing credit. This discouragement stems from strong information asymmetry between firm and bank. To reduce this asymmetry, the latter can either gather information from the firm or access public information on the firm through credit databases. We argue that the presence of credit bureaus, set up by the regulator, which reduces information asymmetry, helps reduce banking discouragement. More specifically, this study is the first to use credit registries to capture the occurrence of screening errors. Our results clearly suggest that the probability of being discouraged decreases when creditor information is available. This phenomenon is even more obvious in regard to more opaque structures, such as risky firms or small and medium-sized firms. In contrast, relationship lending reduces the importance of external creditor information in determining the extent to which borrowers are discouraged. Our results are consistent with previous research on information asymmetry in financial intermediation and show the importance of the legal environment in which firms operate for their financial decisions.

银行的不信任感是阻碍企业获得信贷的最重要因素之一。这种沮丧源于企业和银行之间强烈的信息不对称。为了减少这种不对称,后者要么从企业收集信息,要么通过信用数据库获取企业的公开信息。我们认为,由监管机构设立的征信机构的存在,减少了信息不对称,有助于减少银行业的气馁情绪。更具体地说,这项研究是第一次使用信用登记来捕捉筛选错误的发生。我们的研究结果清楚地表明,当债权人信息可用时,气馁的可能性会降低。这种现象在结构不透明的公司中更为明显,比如高风险公司或中小型公司。相反,关系贷款降低了外部债权人信息在确定借款人受挫程度方面的重要性。我们的研究结果与之前关于金融中介中信息不对称的研究结果一致,并显示了企业经营的法律环境对其财务决策的重要性。
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引用次数: 1
ON THE DECLINE IN STATE POPULATION DISTRIBUTION: A COASEAN ROLE FOR SECTION 111 OF THE AUSTRALIAN CONSTITUTION? 论各州人口分布的下降:澳大利亚宪法第111条的协调作用?
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106092
Benjamen Franklen Gussen

Since Federation,2 the ratio of people living outside capital cities to those living within these cities have been declining in all six States. Historically, Australia opted for a regulatory approach that favoured in favouring satellite towns around state capitals, such as Newcastle and the Gold Coast, over the alternative of decentralised regional urban centres, such as Wagga Wagga or Townsville. The latest phase of this planning paradigm envisages integrating these satellites and their capital cities into mega-metropolises. Notwithstanding the benefits from agglomeration, rectifying the observed imbalance assumes an urgency not only through a national security imperative but also through social equity. To analyse the cause of this population decline, I use a theoretical model to explain how sub-national state political accountability distorts incentives when it comes to the provision of public goods. The equilibrium provision is not Pareto optimal given the observed population distribution externality. The inefficient provision of public goods is causing more people to choose to live in the capital city, which in turn creates a vicious circle of worsening population distribution. The model suggests that breaking this circle requires Coasean bargaining so that eliminating the externality is assigned to the Australian jurisdiction that can do so at the lowest cost. Surrender and acceptance agreements under section 111 of the Australian Constitution furnish a modality for the envisaged bargaining to the end of transforming regional Australia into a national jurisdiction. Whether this efficiency can be realised remains a question of transaction costs and income effects flowing from such jurisdictional reassignment.

自联邦成立以来2,在所有六个州,居住在首都城市以外的人口与居住在这些城市内的人口的比例一直在下降。从历史上看,澳大利亚选择了一种监管方式,倾向于支持州首府周围的卫星城,如纽卡斯尔和黄金海岸,而不是分散的区域城市中心,如沃加沃加或汤斯维尔。这一规划范式的最新阶段设想将这些卫星国及其首都城市整合为超级大都市。尽管集聚带来了好处,但纠正这种观察到的不平衡不仅是国家安全的需要,也是社会公平的需要。为了分析这种人口下降的原因,我使用了一个理论模型来解释次国家的政治问责制是如何扭曲公共产品提供方面的激励的。考虑到观察到的人口分布外部性,均衡供给不是帕累托最优的。公共产品供给的低效导致更多的人选择居住在首都,这反过来又造成了人口分布恶化的恶性循环。该模型表明,打破这一循环需要科斯讨价还价,以便将消除外部性的任务分配给能够以最低成本做到这一点的澳大利亚司法管辖区。《澳大利亚宪法》第111条规定的移交和接受协议为设想的谈判提供了一种方式,最终将澳大利亚的区域管辖权转变为国家管辖权。这种效率能否实现,仍然是交易成本和这种管辖权重新分配带来的收入效应的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Seemingly irrelevant information? The impact of legal team size on third party perceptions 看似无关的信息?法律团队规模对第三方看法的影响
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106068
Gilles Grolleau , Murat C. Mungan , Naoufel Mzoughi

People often appear to use irrelevant information in forming judgments about others. Using survey experiments, we show that seemingly irrelevant facts may actually be informative of actors’ choices, which third parties can use to update their beliefs. Specifically, we show that subjects’ perceived severity and recommended punishment for offenses are significantly increasing in the number of lawyers representing defendants. However, once subjects are informed that the defendant was randomly assigned a specific number of lawyers, the significant relationship between the perceived seriousness of the offense and the number of lawyers largely vanishes. Thus, third parties in our benchmark analysis may be using the defendant’s legal team size as a proxy to update their beliefs regarding the nature of the offense committed, as opposed to being affected by irrelevant factors in forming judgments. This is because randomization makes it impossible for third parties to draw inferences regarding the nature of the offense committed by the defendant based on the number of lawyers. However, for some offenses, we find that increasing the number of lawyers raises third parties’ recommended sanctions even when the number of lawyers is randomly determined, which is consistent with a psychological phenomenon called ‘luck envy’.

人们似乎经常使用不相关的信息来形成对他人的判断。通过调查实验,我们发现看似无关的事实实际上可能是行动者选择的信息,第三方可以利用这些信息来更新他们的信念。具体而言,我们表明,在代表被告的律师数量中,受试者对犯罪的感知严重性和建议惩罚显着增加。然而,一旦受试者被告知被告被随机分配了特定数量的律师,那么感知到的犯罪严重性与律师数量之间的显著关系在很大程度上消失了。因此,在我们的基准分析中,第三方可能会使用被告的法律团队规模作为代理来更新他们对所犯罪行性质的信念,而不是在形成判断时受到无关因素的影响。这是因为随机化使得第三方无法根据律师的数量推断被告所犯罪行的性质。然而,对于某些违法行为,我们发现,即使律师的数量是随机确定的,律师数量的增加也会提高第三方的建议制裁,这与一种被称为“运气嫉妒”的心理现象是一致的。
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引用次数: 1
Using experimental evidence to improve delegated enforcement 利用实验证据改进授权执法
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106079
Lenka Fiala , Martin Husovec

Digital content today is governed by online providers like Facebook or YouTube. Increasingly, these providers are expected to enforce the law by removing illegal content, such as copyright infringement or hate speech. Typically, once they are notified of its existence, they have to assess it and, if infringing, remove it. Otherwise, they face liability. This system of content moderation is a form of delegation of the state’s tasks to private parties. In literature, it is empirically established that some schemes of delegated enforcement can trigger substantial false positives, mostly due to over-compliance by providers and under-assertion of rights by affected content creators. This results in a phenomenon known as over-blocking: collateral removal of lawful content. We conduct a laboratory experiment to test a possible solution to this issue, as proposed by Husovec (2016). Our results show that an external dispute resolution mechanism subject to a particular fee structure can significantly reduce over-compliance by providers and improve the accuracy of their decisions, largely thanks to the content creators taking initiative. It does so by re-calibrating the typical asymmetry of incentives under the delegated enforcement schemes. The principles behind the solution have the potential to improve also other schemes of delegated enforcement where providers have weak incentives to properly execute delegated tasks in the public interest.

今天的数字内容由Facebook或YouTube等在线提供商管理。越来越多的人期望这些提供商通过删除非法内容(如侵犯版权或仇恨言论)来执行法律。通常情况下,一旦他们被告知其存在,他们必须对其进行评估,如果侵权,则将其删除。否则,他们将面临责任。这种内容审核系统是将国家任务委托给私人团体的一种形式。在文献中,经验证明,一些授权执行方案可能引发大量误报,主要是由于提供商过度遵守和受影响的内容创作者权利主张不足。这导致了一种被称为过度屏蔽的现象:合法内容的附带删除。我们进行了一个实验室实验来测试这个问题的可能解决方案,由Husovec(2016)提出。我们的研究结果表明,受特定费用结构约束的外部争议解决机制可以显著减少提供商的过度遵守,并提高其决策的准确性,这在很大程度上要归功于内容创作者的主动行动。它通过重新调整授权执行计划下典型的不对称激励来做到这一点。解决方案背后的原则也有可能改善其他授权执行计划,在这些计划中,提供者没有足够的动力来正确执行符合公共利益的授权任务。
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引用次数: 0
Lost in election. How different electoral systems translate the voting gender gap into gender representation bias 在选举中失败。不同的选举制度如何将投票性别差距转化为性别代表偏见
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106082
Matteo Migheli

The voting gender gap characterises several countries and is likely to translate into the composition of elected assemblies and governments. Starting from the given preferences of the electors, different electoral rules may translate this gap into different outcomes in terms of parliament composition. To amplify or attenuate this gap results in generating a sort of gender representation bias. This paper investigates if and to what extent different electoral rules generate gender representation bias when translating votes into seats. It proposes a theoretical framework to capture the potential of an electoral system to amplify or attenuate the voting gender gap. Then, using survey data and different indices of representativeness and governability, this paper provides empirical tests for the theoretical framework. Both the theory and the simulations indicate that majority systems magnify the gender gap while proportional rules are likely to reproduce it with minimal distortions.

投票性别差距是几个国家的特点,并可能转化为民选议会和政府的组成。从选民的既定偏好出发,不同的选举规则可能会将这种差距转化为议会组成方面的不同结果。放大或缩小这种差距会产生一种性别代表偏见。本文研究了不同的选举规则在将选票转换为席位时是否以及在多大程度上产生性别代表偏见。它提出了一个理论框架,以捕捉选举制度扩大或缩小投票性别差距的潜力。然后,利用调查数据和不同的代表性和可治理性指标,对理论框架进行实证检验。理论和模拟都表明,多数制度扩大了性别差距,而比例规则可能以最小的扭曲再现性别差距。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal standards of proof in antitrust 反垄断举证的最佳标准
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106083
Murat C. Mungan, Joshua Wright

Economic analyses of antitrust institutions have thus far focused predominantly on optimal penalties and the design of substantive legal rules, and have largely ignored the standard of proof used in trials as a policy tool in shaping behavior. This neglected tool can play a unique role in the antitrust context, where a given firm may have the choice to engage in exceptional anticompetitive or procompetitive behavior, or simply follow more conventional business practices. The standard of proof used in determining the legality of a firm’s conduct affects not only whether the firm chooses to engage in pro- versus anticompetitive behavior, but also whether it chooses to remain passive. We introduce a model to investigate the effects of this additional tradeoff on the optimal standard of proof. The nature of these effects depends upon the relationship between the beneficial impact of procompetitive behavior versus the harmful impacts of anticompetitive behavior, since this relationship is what determines the costs associated with Type I and Type II error. Adopting Judge Easterbrook’s presumption that preventing procompetitive behavior is more harmful than allowing anticompetitive behavior, we show that the standard of proof facing plaintiffs in antitrust cases ought to be stronger than preponderance of the evidence.

迄今为止,对反垄断机构的经济分析主要集中在最优惩罚和实体法律规则的设计上,而在很大程度上忽略了在审判中作为塑造行为的政策工具使用的证据标准。这个被忽视的工具可以在反垄断的背景下发挥独特的作用,在这种情况下,给定的公司可以选择从事特殊的反竞争或促进竞争的行为,或者只是遵循更传统的商业惯例。用于确定企业行为合法性的证明标准不仅影响企业是否选择从事有利于还是反竞争的行为,还影响企业是否选择保持被动。我们引入了一个模型来研究这种额外权衡对最佳证明标准的影响。这些影响的性质取决于亲竞争行为的有益影响与反竞争行为的有害影响之间的关系,因为这种关系决定了与第一类和第二类错误相关的成本。采用伊斯特布鲁克法官的假设,即防止有利竞争行为比允许反竞争行为更有害,我们表明,在反垄断案件中,原告面临的证据标准应该强于证据优势。
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引用次数: 0
The performance of corporate legal insider trading in the Korean market 法人合法内幕交易在韩国市场的表现
IF 1.1 3区 社会学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.irle.2022.106076
Paolo Mazza , Benjamin Ruh

In this paper, we investigate the performance of corporate legal insiders in the Korean market from January 2010 to December 2020. This market has received very little attention from the academic community, while being one of the leading emerging economies. As per prior studies, we consider mainly buy transactions in order to draw robust conclusions as to insiders’ performance, since sales transactions do not necessarily represent a strong signal from insiders, as different reasons could push an investor to close her position. Our three-level analysis allows us to conclude that corporate insiders in the Korean market do possess market timing skills that enable them to consistently outperform random, outside investors over time. However, we note that this market timing ability is, to a large extent, linked to the hierarchical level of the insider in question, and consequently to its access to more crucial information. This brings us to the conclusion that information asymmetry is not only important between corporate insiders and outsiders, but even within organizations.

本文对2010年1月至2020年12月韩国市场的法人内部人绩效进行了研究。作为领先的新兴经济体之一,这个市场很少受到学术界的关注。根据之前的研究,我们主要考虑购买交易,以便得出关于内部人员业绩的可靠结论,因为销售交易不一定代表内部人员的强烈信号,因为不同的原因可能促使投资者平仓。我们的三层分析使我们得出结论,韩国市场的企业内部人士确实拥有市场时机把握技能,使他们能够长期持续优于随机的外部投资者。然而,我们注意到,这种市场择时能力在很大程度上与所讨论的内幕人士的等级水平有关,因此也与其获得更关键信息的途径有关。这让我们得出结论,信息不对称不仅在公司内部和外部很重要,甚至在组织内部也很重要。
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引用次数: 1
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International Review of Law and Economics
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