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Beyond accuracy measures: the effect of diversity, novelty and serendipity in recommender systems on user engagement 超越准确性衡量标准:推荐系统中的多样性、新颖性和偶然性对用户参与的影响
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09813-w
Yanni Ping, Yang Li, Jiaxin Zhu

The quality of recommender systems (RS) is typically measured by their predictive accuracy. There is an emerging understanding that RS must provide not just accuracy, but also usefulness and enhanced user engagement, where diversity, novelty, and serendipity have been identified as the most common quality features to improve the RS beyond accuracy measures. This research investigates how diversity, novelty and serendipity of the recommended items as well as user’s prosumer behavior affect user engagement dynamically. We formulate a dynamic panel data model using the data collected from NetEase Cloud Music, one of China’s largest music streaming platforms. The findings indicate that both novelty and serendipity of the recommended items have positive impact on user engagement while a more diversified recommendation list could hurt user engagement. Our findings also suggest being a prosumer who also creates videos instead of a pure consumer of music videos will make the user more engaged with the platform in the long run. In addition, our findings clarify the relationship between prosumer behavior and the impact of diversity, novelty and serendipity on user engagement. Being a prosumer alters the effect of diversity on user engagement from negative to positive. Also, creators are drawn to unpopular and unexpected videos as they serve as a source of inspiration for their creative endeavors. The findings of this study have substantial implications for music streaming platforms and other social media and e-commerce platforms to leverage long-term customer engagement through the improvement of recommender systems. For example, a targeted 90-2-20 rule can be implemented to balance the diversity, novelty and serendipity of the recommended items, which prioritizes the selection of 90% of recommended items from the user’s top 2 preferred genres, the remaining 10% from unrecommended genres, and includes 20% of unpopular items within each genre. To encourage the users to create contents, various means can be applied by the platforms such as bestowing a creator badge, offering reward cashback and subscription discounts.

推荐系统(RS)的质量通常以其预测准确性来衡量。人们逐渐认识到,推荐系统不仅要提供准确性,还要提供实用性和更高的用户参与度,而多样性、新颖性和偶然性已被确定为最常见的质量特征,可在准确性衡量标准之外提高推荐系统的质量。本研究探讨了推荐项目的多样性、新颖性和偶然性以及用户的消费行为如何动态地影响用户参与度。我们利用从网易云音乐(中国最大的音乐流媒体平台之一)收集的数据建立了一个动态面板数据模型。研究结果表明,推荐项目的新颖性和偶然性会对用户参与度产生积极影响,而更多样化的推荐列表则会损害用户参与度。我们的研究结果还表明,作为一个同时创作视频的专业消费者,而不是一个纯粹的音乐视频消费者,从长远来看,用户会更多地参与到平台中来。此外,我们的研究结果还阐明了专业消费者行为与多样性、新颖性和偶然性对用户参与度的影响之间的关系。作为一名专业消费者,多样性对用户参与度的影响会从负面变为正面。此外,创作者会被不受欢迎和出乎意料的视频所吸引,因为这些视频是他们创作灵感的源泉。本研究的发现对音乐流媒体平台以及其他社交媒体和电子商务平台通过改进推荐系统来提高长期客户参与度具有重要意义。例如,可以实施有针对性的 90-2-20 规则来平衡推荐项目的多样性、新颖性和偶然性,即 90% 的推荐项目优先选择用户最喜欢的 2 个流派,其余 10% 来自非推荐流派,并在每个流派中包含 20% 不受欢迎的项目。为鼓励用户创作内容,平台可采用多种方式,如授予创作者徽章、提供奖励返现和订阅折扣。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of users’ impulse purchase behavior based on data mining for e-commerce live broadcast 基于数据挖掘的电商直播用户冲动购买行为分析
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09820-x
Yumei Wang

Based on e-commerce live broadcast data, this paper, with the support of big data technology, aims to explore the impact of Internet celebrities on consumers' impulse purchase behavior, analyzing the relevant factors. According to big data technology, this paper carries out e-commerce live broadcast big data processing and constructs the Internet celebrity marketing model. This paper, with the support of the model, analyzes the impact of Internet celebrities on consumers' impulse purchase behavior. Through the data collected, this paper, from both positive and negative aspects, analyzes the impact of Internet celebrities on consumers. Judging by the experimental research, the data mining approaches proposed here can play a certain effect in the analysis of the impact of Internet celebrities on consumer impulse purchase behavior. According to the experimental analysis of mathematical statistics, Internet celebrity consumption has become one of the important consumption forms at present.

本文基于电商直播数据,在大数据技术的支持下,旨在探讨网络红人对消费者冲动购买行为的影响,分析相关因素。根据大数据技术,本文进行了电商直播大数据处理,构建了网络红人营销模型。本文在该模型的支持下,分析了网络红人对消费者冲动购买行为的影响。通过收集到的数据,本文从正反两个方面分析了网络红人对消费者的影响。从实验研究来看,本文提出的数据挖掘方法在分析网络红人对消费者冲动购买行为的影响方面能起到一定的效果。根据数理统计的实验分析,网络红人消费已经成为当前重要的消费形式之一。
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引用次数: 0
Egotistic or altruistic? An experimental investigation of referral rewards in social e-commerce from the perspective of relationship norms 利己还是利他?从关系规范的角度对社交电子商务中的推荐奖励进行实验研究
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09819-4
Jie Su, Dan Ke, Xin Luo, Xue Bai

In the contemporary arena of e-commerce strategies, companies are increasingly drawn to the use of referral program incentives to prompt existing customers to recruit new ones. However, the existing knowledge falls short of unraveling the intricate dynamics governing the sharing of diverse rewards in company-consumer and consumer-consumer relationships. This study bridges this gap by unveiling a nuanced connection between the effectiveness of referral rewards and the interplay of both the recipient’s propensity to refer during the referral stage and the recipient’s inclination to accept during the acceptance stage. Through three scenario-based experiments, we explore the influence of the consumer-company relationship on individuals’ willingness to engage in referrals during the referral stage, identifying two pivotal psychological mechanisms: economic and social motivation. Our findings underscore those selfish incentives, primarily benefiting the sender, outperform prosocial incentives, particularly within exchange norms, yet reveal the reputational advantages associated with prosocial referral rewards in communal norms. Shifting the focus to the acceptance stage, we scrutinize the relationship between the referrer and the recipient, discovering that sender-benefiting rewards may undermine a recipient’s acceptance due to negative motivational inferences, yet this effect can be moderated by relationship norms. Our findings offer a comprehensive understanding of the multifaceted role played by referral rewards in shaping consumer behavior within social e-commerce, providing valuable guidance for companies seeking to optimize their referral strategies by aligning rewards with relationship norms to enhance overall effectiveness.

在当代电子商务战略领域,企业越来越倾向于使用推荐计划激励措施来促使现有客户招募新客户。然而,现有的知识还不足以揭示在公司-消费者和消费者-消费者关系中分享各种奖励的复杂动态。本研究填补了这一空白,揭示了推荐奖励的有效性与接受者在推荐阶段的推荐倾向和接受阶段的接受倾向之间的微妙联系。通过三个基于情景的实验,我们探索了消费者与公司之间的关系对个人在推荐阶段参与推荐意愿的影响,确定了两个关键的心理机制:经济动机和社会动机。我们的研究结果表明,主要使发送者受益的自私激励优于亲社会激励,尤其是在交换规范中,但也揭示了在公共规范中与亲社会推荐奖励相关的声誉优势。我们将重点转移到接受阶段,仔细研究了推荐人和接受人之间的关系,发现发送人获益的奖励可能会由于消极的动机推断而削弱接受人的接受度,但这种影响可以被关系规范所调节。我们的研究结果让人们全面了解了推荐奖励在社交电子商务中影响消费者行为的多方面作用,为企业优化推荐策略提供了宝贵的指导,使奖励与关系规范相一致,从而提高整体效益。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer reactions to technology in retail: choice uncertainty and reduced perceived control in decisions assisted by recommendation agents 消费者对零售业技术的反应:在推荐代理协助下做出决策时的选择不确定性和感知控制力下降
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09808-7

Abstract

The emergence of artificial intelligence technologies, such as recommendation agents, presents new challenges and opportunities for marketing. Recommendation agents assist consumers in their online grocery shopping decisions by analyzing data on preferences and behaviors. This research highlights that while recommendation agents can reduce choice overload and make purchase decisions easier for consumers, they are also associated with higher uncertainty in decision-making. Three experimental studies confirmed that purchases aided by recommendation agents are perceived as more uncertain and reduced perceptions of control over the choices explain this outcome. Furthermore, lower choice satisfaction and purchase intentions are confirmed as consequences of perceived uncertainty. Personal characteristics such as risk aversion and maximization tendencies are considered boundary conditions for these effects.

摘要 推荐代理等人工智能技术的出现为市场营销带来了新的挑战和机遇。推荐代理通过分析消费者的偏好和行为数据,帮助他们做出在线杂货购物决策。这项研究强调,虽然推荐代理可以减轻选择负担,使消费者更容易做出购买决策,但它们也与决策中更高的不确定性相关。三项实验研究证实,在推荐代理帮助下进行的购买行为被认为更具不确定性,而对选择的控制感降低则是造成这种结果的原因。此外,较低的选择满意度和购买意向也被证实是感知不确定性的后果。风险厌恶和最大化倾向等个人特征被认为是这些影响的边界条件。
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引用次数: 0
Moderating effect of consumers’ opinion leader acceptance: Exploring the relationship between livestreaming shopping and online shopping safety satisfaction 消费者意见领袖接受度的调节作用:探索直播购物与网购安全满意度之间的关系
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09809-6
Yi Yang, Jiawei Gao, Jiayin Qi

The recent developments in forms of online shopping have been shaped by emerging information technologies, and the sources of online shopping safety have been accompanied by numerous changes. Based on the database of the 2022 Chinese Internet Safety Satisfaction Survey, this paper explored the relationship between consumers’ livestreaming shopping usage frequency and their online shopping safety satisfaction, then focusing on the moderating effect of consumers’ opinion leader acceptance, finally providing a further analysis based on the cultural theory of risk. The study finds that: (1) Consumers’ livestreaming shopping usage frequency positively affects consumers’ online shopping safety satisfaction. (2) Consumers’ opinion leader acceptance plays a significant positive moderating role in the relationship between consumers’ livestreaming shopping usage frequency and their online shopping safety satisfaction. (3) Based on the cultural theory of risk, the moderating effect of consumers’ opinion leader acceptance becomes stronger for consumers whose educational level is lower (technical school and junior college) or occupational status is less relevant to livestreaming shopping (non-employed by the livestreaming shopping industry such as students, doctors, jobless, etc.).

近年来,新兴信息技术塑造了网络购物的发展形态,网络购物安全的来源也随之发生了诸多变化。本文基于 2022 年中国互联网安全满意度调查数据库,探讨了消费者直播购物使用频率与网购安全满意度之间的关系,然后关注了消费者意见领袖接受度的调节作用,最后基于风险文化理论做了进一步分析。研究发现(1) 消费者的直播购物使用频率正向影响消费者的网购安全满意度。(2)消费者的意见领袖接受度在消费者的直播购物使用频率与消费者的网购安全满意度之间起着显著的正向调节作用。(3)基于风险文化理论,对于教育程度较低(技校、中专)或职业身份与直播购物相关性较低(非直播购物行业从业者,如学生、医生、无业人员等)的消费者,意见领袖接受度的调节作用会更强。
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引用次数: 0
E-commerce food choice in the west: comparing business-to-consumer, online-to-offline food delivery service, and click and collect 西方的电子商务食品选择:比较企业对消费者、线上对线下食品配送服务和点击取货服务
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09806-9
Ou Wang, Federico J. A. Perez-Cueto, Frank Scrimgeour

This study aims to explore the significant factors driving food consumption through three e-commerce modes: Business-to-Consumer, Online-to-Offline Food Delivery Service, and Click & Collect in developed Western 98countries. A total of 1,461 samples were collected through online surveys in New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and Denmark. Descriptive analysis and ordered logistic regression were employed for data analyses. Overall, consumers’ food consumption frequencies with e-commerce were found to be significantly influenced by several socio-demographics, e-commerce food choice motives, innovation-adoption characteristics and e-service quality attributes.

本研究旨在探讨通过三种电子商务模式促进食品消费的重要因素:企业对消费者、线上对线下食品配送服务以及点击付款(Click & Collect)三种电子商务模式。在新西兰、英国和丹麦进行的在线调查共收集了 1,461 个样本。数据分析采用了描述性分析和有序逻辑回归法。总体而言,消费者使用电子商务进行食品消费的频率受到社会人口统计学、电子商务食品选择动机、创新采用特征和电子服务质量属性的显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Is Bitcoin ready to be a widespread payment method? Using price volatility and setting strategies for merchants 比特币准备好成为一种广泛使用的支付方式了吗?利用价格波动为商家制定策略
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-024-09812-x
Simona-Vasilica Oprea, Irina Alexandra Georgescu, Adela Bâra

Bitcoin has gradually gained acceptance as a payment method that, unlike electronic payments in dollars or euros, passes through the international trading system with zero or lower fees. Moreover, Bitcoin and e-commerce have become increasingly intertwined in recent years as cryptocurrencies gain mainstream acceptance. In this paper, we analyze Bitcoin price evolution from September 2014 until July 2023, factors that influence price volatility and assess its future volatility using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models that predict the volatility of financial returns to conceive strategies for merchants that accept Bitcoin as a payment option. The Generalized ARCH model (GARCH) extends the model to capture more persistent volatility patterns. Further, we estimate symmetric and asymmetric GARCH (1,1)-type models with normal and non-normal innovations. The best proved to be EGARCH (1,1) with t-distribution innovation. To assist merchants in making decisions regarding Bitcoin adoption, two concepts are relevant: the EGARCH model and VaR. EGARCH model is used to forecast the volatility of the financial asset, while VaR is a widely used risk management tool that estimates the potential loss in value of a portfolio over a defined period. For a merchant holding Bitcoin, VaR assists in understanding the maximum expected loss over a certain time frame with a certain level of confidence (like 95% or 99%). The results show that a VaR coverage of 0.044 at a 5% probability level suggests that there is 95% confidence that the maximum loss will not exceed 4.4% of the investment value.

比特币作为一种支付方式已逐渐被人们接受,与美元或欧元的电子支付不同,比特币通过国际贸易系统支付的费用为零或更低。此外,随着加密货币获得主流认可,比特币和电子商务近年来也日益交织在一起。在本文中,我们利用预测金融收益波动的自回归条件异方差(ARCH)模型,分析了从 2014 年 9 月到 2023 年 7 月的比特币价格演变、影响价格波动的因素,并评估了其未来的波动性,从而为接受比特币作为支付选项的商家构思策略。广义 ARCH 模型(GARCH)扩展了该模型,以捕捉更持久的波动模式。此外,我们还估算了具有正态和非正态创新的对称和非对称 GARCH (1,1)型模型。事实证明,最佳模型是具有 t 分布创新的 EGARCH (1,1)。为了帮助商家做出采用比特币的决策,有两个概念是相关的:EGARCH 模型和风险价值。EGARCH 模型用于预测金融资产的波动性,而 VaR 是一种广泛使用的风险管理工具,用于估算投资组合在规定期限内的潜在价值损失。对于持有 Bitcoin 的商家来说,VaR 有助于了解在一定置信度(如 95% 或 99%)下一定时间段内的最大预期损失。结果显示,在 5%的概率水平下,风险价值覆盖率为 0.044,这表明有 95% 的把握最大损失不会超过投资价值的 4.4%。
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引用次数: 0
What is my privacy score? Measuring users’ privacy on social networking websites 我的隐私得分是多少?衡量用户在社交网站上的隐私情况
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-023-09796-0
Amit Kumar Srivastava, Rajhans Mishra

Social networking websites usage is becoming popular these days among individuals and organizations. Several organizations and researchers started investigating how social networking websites can be used as a potential tool to innovate and improve the sales of products. However, in the hustle of using social networking sites, the users knowingly or unknowingly expose their personal data to unintended users. The literature identifies the need for privacy scores of a social networking website so that the users can easily identify the level of disclosure of their personal information on the website. Quantifying privacy on social networking websites is a new and trending area of research. We propose a novel approach to calculate the privacy score of a user on a social networking website. The calculated privacy score of the user takes into account the user’s personal profile attributes and settings along with the network characteristics of the social network.

如今,社交网站的使用在个人和组织中越来越流行。一些组织和研究人员开始研究如何将社交网站用作创新和提高产品销量的潜在工具。然而,在匆忙使用社交网站的过程中,用户会有意无意地将自己的个人数据暴露给无意的用户。有文献指出,有必要对社交网站进行隐私评分,这样用户就能很容易地识别其个人信息在网站上的披露程度。量化社交网站上的隐私是一个新的研究领域,也是一个趋势。我们提出了一种计算用户在社交网站上隐私得分的新方法。计算出的用户隐私得分考虑了用户的个人档案属性和设置以及社交网络的网络特征。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the cryptocurrency market using social media metrics and search trends during COVID-19 在 COVID-19 期间利用社交媒体指标和搜索趋势预测加密货币市场
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-01-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-023-09801-6
Jian Mou, Wenting Liu, Chong Guan, J. Christopher Westland, Jongki Kim

Bitcoin is one of the most well-known cryptocurrencies worldwide. Recently, as the COVID-19 pandemic raged globally, a new wave of price volatility and interest in Bitcoin was witnessed. Identifying the roles played by different information sources in the emergence and diffusion of content through Internet resources can reveal the influential factors affecting cryptocurrencies’ value. This study aims to reveal the forces behind cryptocurrencies’ monetary value—the market price movements on major exchanges before, during, and post the March 2020, COVID-19 market crash. The daily prices of the two largest cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, were obtained from CoinDesk. By integrating Google Trends data, we found that Google searches increase when the number of tweets on COVID-19 soars, with a one-period lag (one day). Furthermore, search trends have a significant impact on cryptocurrencies’ future returns such that increased (decreased) searches for a negative event indicate lower (higher) future cryptocurrency prices.

比特币是全球最知名的加密货币之一。最近,随着 COVID-19 大流行病在全球肆虐,比特币的价格出现了新一轮波动,人们对比特币的兴趣也随之高涨。确定不同信息源在互联网资源内容的出现和传播中所扮演的角色,可以揭示影响加密货币价值的影响因素。本研究旨在揭示加密货币货币价值背后的力量--2020 年 3 月 COVID-19 市场崩溃之前、期间和之后主要交易所的市场价格走势。比特币和以太币这两种最大的加密货币的每日价格均来自 CoinDesk。通过整合谷歌趋势(Google Trends)数据,我们发现,当 COVID-19 的推文数量飙升时,谷歌搜索量也会增加,而且会滞后一个周期(一天)。此外,搜索趋势对加密货币的未来收益也有重大影响,例如,负面事件搜索量的增加(减少)预示着未来加密货币价格的降低(升高)。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing e-grocery order fulfillment: improving product availability, cost, and emissions in last-mile delivery 加强电子杂货订单的履行:改善最后一英里配送中的产品可用性、成本和排放量
IF 3.9 4区 管理学 Q2 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-01-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10660-023-09799-x
Banu Y. Ekren, Sara Perotti, Laura Foresti, Lorenzo Prataviera

This paper studies e-grocery order fulfillment policies by leveraging both customer and e-grocery-based data. Through the utilization of historical purchase data, product popularity trends, and delivery patterns, allocation strategies are informed to optimize performance metrics such as fill rate, carbon emissions, and cost per order. The study aims to conduct a sensitivity analysis to identify key drivers influencing these performance metrics. The results highlight that fulfillment policies optimized with the utilization of the mentioned data metrics demonstrate superior performance compared to policies not informed by data. These findings underscore the critical role of integrating data-driven models in e-grocery order fulfillment. Based on the outcomes, a grocery allocation policy, considering both proximity and product availability, emerges as promising for simultaneous improvements in several performance metrics. The study recommends that e-grocery companies leverage customer data to design and optimize delivery-oriented policies and strategies. To ensure adaptability to new trends or changes in delivery patterns, continual evaluation and improvement of e-grocery fulfillment policies are emphasized.

本文利用客户数据和电子杂货数据研究电子杂货订单履行政策。通过利用历史购买数据、产品流行趋势和交付模式,为分配策略提供信息,以优化填充率、碳排放量和单笔订单成本等性能指标。本研究旨在进行敏感性分析,以确定影响这些性能指标的关键驱动因素。研究结果表明,利用上述数据指标优化的履约政策与未利用数据的政策相比,表现出更优越的性能。这些发现强调了数据驱动模型在电子杂货订单执行中的关键作用。根据研究结果,考虑到邻近性和产品可用性的杂货分配政策有望同时改善多个性能指标。研究建议电子杂货公司利用客户数据来设计和优化以交付为导向的政策和战略。为确保适应新趋势或配送模式的变化,应强调对电子杂货履行政策的持续评估和改进。
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引用次数: 0
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Electronic Commerce Research
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