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Does Nepal’s inflation converge with India’s inflation? 尼泊尔的通货膨胀是否与印度的通货膨胀趋同?
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102099
Birendra B. Budha
This paper investigates whether Nepal’s inflation converges with India’s inflation and examines the effect of India’s prices on Nepal’s price level using monthly data for the period 1974–2024. The paper finds that Nepal’s inflation converges with India’s inflation, and the effect of India’s CPI persists up to 10 months on Nepal’s CPI, and up to 22 months on Nepal’s food CPI. The mechanisms of inflation convergence include high trade integration, high labor mobility and wage convergence, and the peg of the Nepalese Rupee with the Indian Rupee. The paper also finds the convergence in wage growth between Nepal and India. These findings imply that the current exchange rate peg is working well as a nominal anchor of Nepal’s monetary policy in maintaining monetary stability.
本文研究了尼泊尔的通货膨胀是否与印度的通货膨胀趋同,并使用1974-2024年期间的月度数据检验了印度价格对尼泊尔价格水平的影响。本文发现,尼泊尔的通货膨胀与印度的通货膨胀趋同,印度CPI对尼泊尔CPI的影响持续长达10个月,对尼泊尔食品CPI的影响持续长达22个月。通货膨胀趋同的机制包括贸易高度一体化、劳动力高流动性和工资趋同以及尼泊尔卢比与印度卢比的挂钩。本文还发现尼泊尔和印度的工资增长趋同。这些发现意味着,目前的汇率挂钩作为尼泊尔货币政策的名义锚,在维持货币稳定方面发挥了很好的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Climate policy uncertainty, environmental risk aversion, and import structure adjustment 气候政策不确定性、环境风险规避与进口结构调整
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102096
Xiaosong Wang , Siyuan Tian , Yuding Zhou , Le Li
Against the backdrop of an increasingly severe global climate crisis, climate change and climate governance have emerged as critical factors shaping the global economic landscape. As nations increasingly adopt climate policies to address climate change, the uncertainty surrounding policy formulation, implementation, and potential adjustments poses new challenges to firm’s production and trade practices. This study investigates the impact of uncertainty stemming from climate policy volatility on regional import structures. Utilizing a climate policy uncertainty index constructed through deep learning models, our mathematical modeling and empirical analysis reveal that increases in climate policy uncertainty significantly raise intermediate goods imports in high-pollution industries, as reflected in both extensive and intensive margins. Multiple robustness checks confirm the reliability of the findings. Heterogeneity analysis indicates more pronounced effects in samples with higher contract intensity and more concentrated import markets. Mechanism test suggests that climate policy uncertainty drives firms toward import substitution strategies to mitigate environmental risks by increasing local production costs and reducing investment incentives. Further analysis shows that climate policy uncertainty also significantly reduces export competitiveness in high-pollution industries. Amid growing global concerns over environmental protection and climate issues, this research not only provides insights into the complex interactions between climate policies and international trade, but also offers policy implications for climate and trade policy.
在全球气候危机日益严重的背景下,气候变化和气候治理已成为影响全球经济格局的关键因素。随着各国越来越多地采取气候政策来应对气候变化,围绕政策制定、实施和潜在调整的不确定性给企业的生产和贸易实践带来了新的挑战。本研究探讨了气候政策波动带来的不确定性对区域进口结构的影响。利用深度学习模型构建的气候政策不确定性指数,我们的数学建模和实证分析表明,气候政策不确定性的增加显著提高了高污染行业的中间产品进口,这反映在粗放型和集约型利润上。多重稳健性检查证实了研究结果的可靠性。异质性分析表明,契约强度越高、进口市场越集中的样本,其效应越显著。机制检验表明,气候政策的不确定性促使企业采取进口替代策略,通过提高本地生产成本和降低投资激励来降低环境风险。进一步分析表明,气候政策的不确定性也显著降低了高污染行业的出口竞争力。在全球对环境保护和气候问题日益关注的背景下,本研究不仅为气候政策与国际贸易之间复杂的相互作用提供了深刻的见解,而且为气候和贸易政策提供了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of Vocational Skills Training of Public Employment Services on off-farm employment: Evidence from rural China 公共就业服务机构职业技能培训对非农就业的影响:来自中国农村的证据
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102095
Xuanye Zeng , Yunli Bai , Jiaojiao Wu , Yutong Qiu , Linxiu Zhang
The Chinese government has implemented Vocational Skills Training through Public Employment Services (VST-PES) to facilitate rural labor’s off-farm employment participation and quality. However, the empirical evidence on the effectiveness of these initiatives remains limited. This study investigates the implementation of VST-PES in rural China and assesses its impact on rural labor’s off-farm employment participation rate and quality. Using the 2023 data of 4447 rural labor from a national representative sample across 100 villages in 5 provinces, we employ Probit/OLS regression, Propensity Score Matching method, and Heckman two-step model. The results consistently reveal that VST-PES implementation in rural China suffered from limited coverage, short duration, inadequate incentives, and supply-demand mismatches. While VST-PES significantly increased off-farm employment participation rate, particularly for females and middle-aged rural labor, it had no significant impact on off-farm employment quality. These findings suggest that the Chinese government should enhance the implementation of VST-PES in rural areas to increase the inclusiveness of labor market and pay high attention to improve its effects on off-farm employment quality among rural labor.
中国政府实施公共就业服务职业技能培训,促进农村劳动力非农就业参与率和就业质量提高。然而,关于这些举措有效性的经验证据仍然有限。本研究考察了VST-PES在中国农村的实施情况,并评估了其对农村劳动力非农就业参与率和质量的影响。本文采用Probit/OLS回归、倾向得分匹配法和Heckman两步模型,对中国5个省100个村的4447名农村劳动力的2023年数据进行分析。结果一致表明,VST-PES在中国农村的实施存在覆盖范围有限、持续时间短、激励机制不足和供需不匹配等问题。虽然VST-PES显著提高了非农就业参与率,尤其是女性和农村中年劳动力的非农就业参与率,但对非农就业质量没有显著影响。这些研究结果表明,中国政府应加强在农村地区实施VST-PES,以增加劳动力市场的包容性,并高度重视提高其对农村劳动力非农就业质量的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Economic policy uncertainty and ESG performance 经济政策不确定性与ESG绩效
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102083
Qiaochu Li, Yuehan Liu, Qinghe Yang, Jianhui Jian, Tao Li
This study examines how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) affects Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance. The results demonstrate that EPU reduces overall ESG scores, specifically weakening governance (G) but enhancing social (S) performance, indicating that firms tend to prioritize social initiatives over governance under uncertainty. The effects are moderated by firms’ life cycle, ownership, and cash holdings. Mechanism analyses suggest that EPU reduces ESG performance through heightening investor pessimism, whereas it enhances ESG performance through R&D investments. In addition, stronger ESG lowers stock price crash risk during EPU but slightly reduces firm value. Overall, our findings highlight EPU’s influence on corporate sustainability strategies.
本研究探讨经济政策不确定性(EPU)如何影响环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效。结果表明,EPU降低了整体ESG得分,特别是削弱了治理(G)绩效,但提高了社会(S)绩效,这表明在不确定性下,企业倾向于优先考虑社会主动性而不是治理。这种影响被公司的生命周期、所有权和现金持有量所缓和。机制分析表明,EPU通过加剧投资者悲观情绪来降低ESG绩效,而EPU通过研发投资来提高ESG绩效。此外,更强的ESG降低了EPU期间股价崩溃的风险,但略微降低了公司价值。总体而言,我们的研究结果突出了EPU对企业可持续发展战略的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the gap: How cultural interventions boost rural educational expenditure 弥合差距:文化干预如何促进农村教育支出
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102085
Jing Li , Huilin Mao , Zhongyu Sun , YunZhong Li
This paper explores the effect of cultural policy interventions on rural education investment using a difference-in-difference (DID) approach and household microdata. We found that the Change Social Practices and Customs (CSPC) policy significantly increased educational investment in rural children, with educational spending in pilot areas being 62.7 % higher than in non-pilot areas. This effect is more pronounced for boys, multi-child families, and in areas with a stronger clan culture. Our findings indicate that the policy can reduce the pressure of bride price payments and, by decreasing competitive saving within households, enhance the education premium in the marriage market, thereby increasing educational expenditures for children. This research offers new insights into the cultural dynamics influencing rural educational investment and its implications for narrowing the educational disparities between rural and urban areas, thereby supporting educational equity.
本文采用差异中差异(DID)方法和农户微观数据,探讨了文化政策干预对农村教育投资的影响。我们发现,改变社会习俗和习俗政策显著增加了对农村儿童的教育投入,试点地区的教育支出比非试点地区高62.7% %。这种影响在男孩、多子女家庭和宗族文化较强的地区更为明显。我们的研究结果表明,该政策可以减少彩礼支付的压力,并通过减少家庭内部的竞争性储蓄,提高婚姻市场上的教育溢价,从而增加儿童的教育支出。本研究对影响农村教育投资的文化动力及其对缩小城乡教育差距、促进教育公平的启示提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Rising housing rents and migrants' marriage formation: Evidence from China 房租上涨与农民工婚姻形成:来自中国的证据
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102088
Le Wen , Abdelrahman Ali , Zhipeng Zhou
This study investigates the impact of rising housing rents on marriage formation among migrants in urban China, a pressing issue in the context of the country's rapid urbanization and escalating housing market pressures. Using data from the multi-year China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS), we adopt an instrumental variable (IV) approach to address potential endogeneity and mainly assess how increasing rental costs affect the timing of marriage and spouse selection among migrants. Our empirical findings reveal that rising housing rents significantly delay migrants' marriages and decrease their likelihood of marrying a native spouse. Specifically, a 10 % increase in housing rents postpones marriage by approximately half a year and decreases the likelihood of marrying a native spouse by 5.837 percentage points. These effects are more pronounced among lower-income and inter-provincial migrants. Besides, the delaying effect of rising rents is stronger for male migrants and for those who eventually marry native spouses. Moreover, rising rents significantly lower the overall likelihood of marriage entry among migrants. The study highlights the need to improve housing affordability and implement targeted support measures for vulnerable migrant populations to alleviate these impacts and promote more inclusive urban development.
本研究探讨了房租上涨对中国城市外来人口婚姻形成的影响,这是中国快速城市化和住房市场压力不断上升的背景下的一个紧迫问题。利用多年中国流动人口动态调查(CMDS)的数据,我们采用工具变量(IV)方法来解决潜在的内生性问题,并主要评估租金成本增加如何影响流动人口的结婚时间和配偶选择。我们的实证研究结果表明,住房租金上涨显著推迟了移民的婚姻,降低了他们与本地配偶结婚的可能性。具体来说,住房租金每上涨10% %,结婚时间就会推迟大约半年,与本地配偶结婚的可能性也会降低5.837个百分点。这些影响在低收入和跨省流动人口中更为明显。此外,房租上涨的延迟效应对男性移民和那些最终与本地配偶结婚的人来说更强。此外,房租上涨显著降低了移民结婚的总体可能性。该研究强调,需要提高住房负担能力,并对弱势流动人口实施有针对性的支持措施,以减轻这些影响,促进更具包容性的城市发展。
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引用次数: 0
Judicial independence and firms’ labor share: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China 司法独立与企业劳动份额:来自中国准自然实验的证据
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102087
Huilong Liu , Yifei Wang , Jing Xie , Jun Yin
Leveraging a judicial reform in China as a quasi-natural experiment, this study employs a staggered difference-in-differences (DiD) design to investigate the causal effect of judicial independence on firm-level labor share. The results indicate that enhanced judicial independence increases labor share by 7.65 % relative to the standard deviation. This effect is driven primarily by improved labor rights protection rather than changes in labor demand. Heterogeneity analyses reveal stronger impacts in regions with weaker legal environments, labor-intensive industries, non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), firms with higher proportions of low-skilled employees, and reform implementation with greater intensity. The reform also reduces intra-firm wage gaps and inter-firm labor share disparities. These findings underscore the importance of judicial independence as a critical institutional mechanism for promoting more equitable income distribution.
本研究以中国的司法改革为准自然实验,采用交错差中差(DiD)设计来考察司法独立对企业层面劳动份额的因果影响。结果表明,司法独立程度的提高使劳动收入占比相对于标准差提高了7.65 %。这种效应主要是由于劳工权利保护的改善,而不是劳动力需求的变化。异质性分析表明,在法律环境较弱、劳动密集型产业、非国有企业、低技能员工比例较高的企业和改革实施力度较大的地区,影响更大。改革还减少了企业内部的工资差距和企业间的劳动份额差距。这些调查结果强调了司法独立作为促进更公平收入分配的关键体制机制的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Product market competition and corporate human capital upgrading: Evidence from China’s Anti-Monopoly Law 产品市场竞争与企业人力资本升级:来自中国反垄断法的证据
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102086
Jiaxuan Li , Shuzhen Liang , Yongwei Ye , Changjian Chen
Although extant studies have explored the determinants of corporate human capital upgrading based on multiple perspectives, it is unclear whether and how market competition affects corporate human capital upgrading. We conduct a difference-in-difference regression by employing the enactment of China’s Anti-Monopoly Law (AML) in 2008 as a quasi-natural experiment that exposes monopolies to increased market competition. The results show that high-monopolistic firms hire more highly skilled employees after the enactment of the AML, particularly for state-owned firms, firms operating in regions with high market segmentation, firms with low R&D intensity. Further evidence suggests that the possible channel behind this positive effect is that the heightened market competition led by the AML, incentivizes monopoly firms to increase the investment in human capital and the demand for employees with high skills. In addition, we further find that the enactment of the AML increases firms’ labor income share, labor productivity, total factor productivity, and profitability. Our study highlights the crucial role of the AML in promoting corporate human capital upgrading.
虽然已有研究从多个角度探讨了企业人力资本升级的决定因素,但市场竞争是否影响企业人力资本升级以及如何影响企业人力资本升级尚不清楚。我们采用2008年颁布的中国反垄断法(AML)作为准自然实验,将垄断企业暴露于日益激烈的市场竞争中,从而进行了差分回归。结果表明,反垄断法实施后,高垄断企业雇佣了更多的高技能员工,特别是国有企业、市场分割程度高的地区企业和研发强度低的企业。进一步的证据表明,这种积极效应背后的可能渠道是反垄断法导致的市场竞争加剧,激励垄断企业增加人力资本投资和对高技能员工的需求。此外,我们进一步发现反垄断法的颁布提高了企业的劳动收入份额、劳动生产率、全要素生产率和盈利能力。我们的研究强调了反洗钱在促进企业人力资本升级中的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental governance and CSR: Dilemma or plausibility? 环境治理与企业社会责任:两难还是合理?
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102084
Angela C. Chao, Jiayi Tao, Jichi Tian
In pursuit of sustainable development, it is essential for firms to integrate environmental social responsibility into their core strategies. This study investigates the impact mechanism of environmental corporate social responsibility on firm growth in an oligopolistic market under regulatory pressure, based on three corporate environmental governance strategies: front-end prevention, end-of-pipe control, and comprehensive governance. The findings indicate that firms without environmental governance practices may face greater market risks and more likely to be eliminated compared to those actively engaged in such practices. This insight provides valuable guidance for firms to deepen understand social responsibility and make informed environmental governance decisions, and for policymakers to develop more effective environmental governance strategies.
企业要实现可持续发展,就必须将环境社会责任纳入企业的核心战略。本文基于三种公司环境治理策略:前端预防、末端控制和综合治理,研究了监管压力下寡占市场环境下企业社会责任对企业成长的影响机制。研究结果表明,与积极实施环境治理的企业相比,缺乏环境治理实践的企业可能面临更大的市场风险,更有可能被淘汰。这一见解为企业加深对社会责任的理解、做出明智的环境治理决策以及决策者制定更有效的环境治理战略提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking green capital: Financial constraints and environmental investments in China 释放绿色资本:中国的金融约束与环境投资
IF 3.4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2025.102075
Liang Chang , Bingyan Zheng , Na Tan , Haobin Zheng
This study investigates how financial constraints affect firms’ environmental decisions and how costly the resulting social externalities are in emerging economies. Using a novel text-based index of financial constraints and data on Chinese listed firms from 2000 to 2020, we find that greater financial constraints significantly reduce firms’ environmental investment. The impact is more pronounced for non-SOEs and manifests more strongly in regions with lower public environmental concern and stricter regulation intensity. Exploiting the policy shock of China’s Property Rights Law in 2007, we find that firms affected by the law have a higher degree of financial constraint mitigation and increase their environmental investments by about 24 % on average. This investment increase potentially reduces the probability of environmental penalties by 3 % and penalty amounts by 0.07–0.22 million yuan per firm, while potentially increasing the firm’s market value by 0.96–1.92 billion yuan and avoiding social losses of 3.1–9.5 million yuan.
本研究探讨了金融约束如何影响企业的环境决策,以及由此产生的社会外部性在新兴经济体中的成本。利用基于文本的财务约束指数和2000 - 2020年中国上市公司的数据,我们发现,更大的财务约束显著降低了企业的环境投资。这种影响在非国有企业中更为明显,在公众环境关注度较低、监管力度较严的地区表现得更为强烈。利用2007年中国《物权法》的政策冲击,我们发现受法律影响的企业有更高程度的财务约束缓解,其环境投资平均增加约24% %。这一投资的增加可能使每家企业受到环境处罚的概率降低3 %,罚款金额降低0.07-0.22 万元,同时可能使企业市值增加0.96 - 19.2亿元,避免社会损失310 - 9.5 万元。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Asian Economics
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