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Vive le Tour!? Estimating the place-based benefits of hosting the Tour de France 旅行万岁!估计主办环法自行车赛的基于地点的好处
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-06 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12658
Teemu Makkonen, Timo Mitze

The Tour de France (TdF) is one of the biggest and most recognized annual sporting events in the world. Cities and regions participate actively by hosting a stage start and/or finish, but it is unclear if there are place-based benefits from such local engagements. We estimate the direct and spatially indirect immediate regional benefits of hosting a TdF stage using monthly tourism data for French départements during 2011–2020. Our static and dynamic panel regressions indicate that hosting a TdF stage leads to significant increases in tourist arrivals and nights spent vis-à-vis similar départements not hosting a stage at the same time. Results are found to be robust when we run placebo tests, matching-based estimation to deal with regional heterogeneity and associated treatment endogeneity as well as spatially augmented estimations to account for interregional spillovers to départements not directly hosting a stage start/finish, for example, to those located along the route of a TdF stage. We use the obtained treatment estimates to discuss the regional economic impact of the TdF and their ramifications for tourism-based regional development and event management.

环法自行车赛(TdF)是世界上规模最大、最受认可的年度体育赛事之一。城市和地区通过主办舞台开始和/或结束来积极参与,但目前尚不清楚这种地方参与是否会带来基于地点的好处。我们利用2011-2020年期间法国各省的月度旅游数据估算了举办TdF阶段的直接和空间间接直接区域效益。我们的静态和动态面板回归表明,举办TdF阶段导致游客到达人数和过夜时间显著增加,而-à-vis类似的渡假期没有同时举办。当我们进行安慰剂测试、基于匹配的估计(用于处理区域异质性和相关治疗内质性)以及空间增强估计(用于解释对不直接举办阶段开始/结束的国家的区域间溢出效应,例如,对位于TdF阶段路线沿线的国家的溢出效应)时,发现结果是稳健的。我们使用获得的处理估计来讨论TdF的区域经济影响及其对以旅游为基础的区域发展和事件管理的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to Employment opportunities, wages and interregional migration in Sweden 1970–1989 修正1970-1989年瑞典的就业机会、工资和区域间移徙
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12657

Westerlund O. (1997) Employment opportunities, wages and interregional migration in Sweden 1970–1989. Journal of Regional Science, 37(1):55–73. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/0022-4146.00043

In article title, word “International” is incorrect and the correct title should read:

Employment opportunities, wages and interregional migration in Sweden 1970–1989

We apologize for this error.

(1997)瑞典1970-1989年的就业机会、工资和区域间移民。区域科学,37(1):55-73。https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/0022-4146.00043In文章标题中,“国际”一词不正确,正确的标题应为:瑞典1970 - 1989年的就业机会、工资和地区间移民。
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引用次数: 0
Crime in the era of COVID-19: Evidence from England 新冠肺炎时代的犯罪:来自英国的证据
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-22 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12656
Kyriakos C. Neanidis, Maria P. Rana

This paper examines the effects of COVID-19-induced lockdowns on recorded crime in England. The enforcement of lockdowns at both the national and local levels allows unveiling the impact on criminal activities by type of shutdown policy. Using official crime data across the universe of local authorities, we find that unlike local lockdowns national lockdowns significantly change the shape of recorded criminal activity, with the first nationally-imposed lockdown having the strongest impact. Findings also reveal that police operations play a prominent role in explaining changes in reported crimes. Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that lockdowns reduced the economic costs of crime by £4.2 billion.

本文研究了新冠肺炎引发的封锁对英格兰有记录犯罪的影响。在国家和地方层面实施封锁,可以揭示关闭政策类型对犯罪活动的影响。利用地方当局的官方犯罪数据,我们发现,与地方封锁不同,全国封锁显著改变了记录在案的犯罪活动的形式,第一次全国实施的封锁影响最大。调查结果还显示,警察行动在解释所报告犯罪的变化方面发挥着重要作用。粗略计算表明,封锁减少了42亿英镑的犯罪经济成本。
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引用次数: 0
Business dynamism, educational attainment, and residential location choice 商业活力、教育程度和居住地点选择
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12653
Sydney Schreiner Wertz

Using individual-level, geocode data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth's 1997 cohort, I ask whether business dynamism in local labor markets, defined as the rates of job creation and establishment entry, affects the location decisions of labor force participants, and I examine how effects differ for highly and less educated labor force participants. I find that a one standard deviation increase in business dynamism is associated with a 2%–4% increase in the probability a college graduate chooses a metropolitan statistical area and an 8%–15% decrease for high school graduates with no college experience. These results support recent findings documenting a decrease in responsiveness to local labor market conditions and suggest that incentivizing job creation in local labor markets may not be enough to offset the trend of declining internal migration in the United States.

我使用1997年全国青年纵向调查的个人层面的地理编码数据,询问当地劳动力市场的商业活力(定义为创造就业机会和进入机构的比率)是否会影响劳动力参与者的位置决策,并研究受教育程度高和受教育程度低的劳动力参与者的影响有何不同。我发现,商业活力的一个标准差增加与大学毕业生选择大都市统计区的概率增加2%-4%有关,而没有大学经验的高中毕业生则减少8%-15%。这些结果支持了最近的研究结果,记录了对当地劳动力市场条件的反应性下降,并表明激励当地劳动力市场创造就业机会可能不足以抵消美国国内移民下降的趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of demolitions on neighboring property values in Detroit 拆迁对底特律周边房产价值的影响
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-07 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12654
Camila Alvayay Torrejón, Dusan Paredes, Mark Skidmore

Urban blight is a complex problem that has been challenging for cities in the United States “Rust Belt” region for many decades. However, in the wake of the real estate and financial crisis, it is also a growing challenge for urban communities in many states such as California, Arizona, Nevada, and Texas. Detroit was particularly hit hard, where more than 40,000 blighted structures were identified in 2014. To curb blight, the city mobilized the most extensive demolition program in the country. Funded through the Federal Hardest Hit Fund (HHF), the Detroit Demolition Program began in 2014 and has demolished more than 20,800 properties at the cost of over $250 million. Furthermore, during 2009–2015, the city demolished 11,400 structures with hazardous materials such as asbestos. In this article, we assess the impacts of demolitions on the value of neighboring properties using a Repeat Sales (RS) regression approach. Specifically, we use housing sales price information from 2009 through 2019 to construct real estate price indices. We also rely on information from the 2009 Detroit Residential Survey to differentiate by dilapidation and blight levels before the start of the program. On average, blight removal through the demolition program does not appear to have been capitalized into the residential property prices. However, when considering the effect of ex-ante program property characteristics, we find a modest positive effect of demolitions on property prices in areas with a low level of blight before the demolitions. Given the magnitude of the observed effect and the high costs associated with the demolition program, our results highlight the need for further research on alternative blight removal strategies that might provide a more cost-effective solution to this urban challenge.

城市枯萎是一个复杂的问题,几十年来一直困扰着美国“锈带”地区的城市。然而,在房地产和金融危机之后,这对加州、亚利桑那州、内华达州和德克萨斯州等许多州的城市社区来说也是一个日益严峻的挑战。底特律受到的打击尤其严重,2014年发现了4万多座受损建筑。为了遏制枯萎病,该市动员了全国范围最广的拆迁计划。由联邦重灾区基金(HHF)资助的底特律拆迁计划于2014年开始,耗资超过2.5亿美元,拆除了20,800多处房产。此外,在2009年至2015年期间,该市拆除了11,400座含有石棉等有害物质的建筑物。在本文中,我们使用重复销售(RS)回归方法评估拆除对邻近物业价值的影响。具体而言,我们使用2009年至2019年的住房销售价格信息构建房地产价格指数。我们还依靠2009年底特律住宅调查的信息,在项目开始之前区分破旧和枯萎程度。平均而言,通过拆迁计划清除的枯萎病似乎没有被计入住宅房地产价格。然而,当考虑到事前计划财产特征的影响时,我们发现拆迁对拆迁前低枯萎程度地区的房地产价格有适度的积极影响。考虑到观察到的影响的大小和与拆除计划相关的高成本,我们的研究结果强调了进一步研究替代枯萎病清除策略的必要性,这些策略可能为这一城市挑战提供更具成本效益的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of open space maintenance spending on house prices 开放空间维护支出对房价的影响
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12655
David M. Brasington

We study the effect on housing values of cutting funding for the maintenance of local parks and recreational areas. It is the first study we find on house prices and park maintenance spending, and only the second open space study we find that uses regression discontinuity. We study tax votes with exogenous timing for renewing current expense spending on parks and recreation, adding to the vibrant literature on house price capitalization of environmental amenities. We find that otherwise similar communities that barely vote to cut taxes suffer an 11% drop in house prices, compared to communities that barely vote to renew tax funding. The capitalization discount grows to 13% and 16% in later periods. Voting against spending saves $70 a year for a typical house but cuts house values by over $30,000. We find stronger effects for large tax levies and more expensive houses.

我们研究削减当地公园和娱乐场所的维护资金对房屋价值的影响。这是我们发现的第一个关于房价和公园维护支出的研究,也是我们发现的第二个使用回归不连续的开放空间研究。我们研究了外生时间的税收投票,以更新公园和娱乐方面的当前支出,增加了关于环境设施房价资本化的充满活力的文献。我们发现,在其他方面相似的社区,与那些几乎没有投票支持减税的社区相比,房价下跌了11%。资本化折扣率在后期增长到13%和16%。投票反对支出每年为一所普通房屋节省70美元,但使房屋价值减少3万多美元。我们发现,高税收和高房价的影响更大。
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引用次数: 0
Inter- and intraregional inequality in a spatial economy 空间经济中的区域间和区域内不平等
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12646
Juan Carlos Lopez, Tadashi Morita

In this paper, we develop a three-region economic geography model with workers of heterogeneous skills and mobility rates to consider how first-nature, regional differences impact both inter- and intraregional inequality. In our model, the skill premium within a region summarizes both the degree of intraregional inequality between mobile, skilled workers and immobile, unskilled workers and the interregional inequality through differences in the welfare of unskilled workers across regions. Regions with the highest skill premium have the greatest degree of intraregional inequality and provide the lowest level of welfare to unskilled workers, relative to other regions. We find that the skill premium will be higher in regions with a greater supply of unskilled labor, lower supply of housing, or are more remote. An increase in a region's housing supply or centrality will lower intraregional inequality and raise the welfare of the local, unskilled workforce. However, the magnitude of these changes are declining in the initial number of skilled workers in the region. The model is extended to consider imperfectly elastic housing supply. The larger the price elasticity of housing, the larger the range of values, such that more populated regions will host a disproportionate share of skilled workers, have lower levels of intraregional inequality, and provide higher levels of welfare for unskilled workers.

在本文中,我们建立了一个具有不同技能和流动性的工人的三区域经济地理模型,以考虑第一性质的区域差异如何影响区域间和区域内的不平等。在我们的模型中,区域内的技能溢价既总结了流动的熟练工人与不流动的非技术工人之间的区域内不平等程度,也通过不同地区的非技术工人福利差异总结了区域间的不平等。相对于其他地区而言,技能溢价最高的地区具有最大程度的区域内不平等,并为非熟练工人提供最低水平的福利。我们发现,在非熟练劳动力供应较多、住房供应较低或更偏远的地区,技能溢价会更高。一个地区的住房供应或中心地位的增加将降低地区内的不平等,提高当地非熟练劳动力的福利。然而,这些变化的幅度在该地区熟练工人的初始数量上正在下降。将该模型推广到考虑非完全弹性住房供应的情况。住房的价格弹性越大,价值范围就越大,因此人口越多的地区将拥有不成比例的技术工人,区域内不平等水平较低,并为非技术工人提供更高水平的福利。
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引用次数: 0
Mafia doesn't live here anymore: Antimafia policies and housing prices 黑手党不再住在这里:扫黑政策和房价
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12647
Francesca M. Calamunci, Livio Ferrante, Rossana Scebba, Gianpiero Torrisi

It is well known that the value of a house depends both on the physical characteristics and on some features of the neighborhood in which it is located. If so, organized-crime activities can significantly affect urban real estate values. Antimafia policies, in turn, can be intended as a tool to influence those external features. This paper compares the effects on real estate values of the two main antimafia policies implemented in Italy since the 1990s at the municipal level. While we do not find any significant effect of dismissal policies on house prices, we find a statistically significant effect of reassignment policies depending on the specific destination of confiscated property.

众所周知,一所房子的价值既取决于它的物理特性,也取决于它所在社区的一些特征。如果是这样,有组织犯罪活动可以显著影响城市房地产价值。反贪政策反过来又可以作为影响这些外部特征的工具。本文比较了意大利自20世纪90年代以来在市级实施的两项主要反黑手党政策对房地产价值的影响。虽然我们没有发现解雇政策对房价有任何显著影响,但我们发现,根据没收财产的具体目的地,重新分配政策在统计上有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
The role of aviation networks for urban development 航空网络在城市发展中的作用
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-10 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12645
Anca D. Cristea

City officials are continuously working to attract airlines willing to fly to new destinations. The inherent expectation is that a more extensive aviation network stimulates economic growth. This paper investigates empirically the causal implication of this hypothesis. Using data on nonstop flights by origin and destination over the period 1984–2013, we propose a new measure for a metropolitan area's connectivity to the national aviation network. We then use this measure to investigate its contribution to local economic development, as captured by the growth in population, in total employment, in per-capita income, and new firm entry. To ensure causality, we use instrumental variable methods that exploit geography and destination airports growth as a way to capture the exogenous variation in the likelihood to add new travel routes. Our results suggest that a metropolitan area's air connectivity, resulting from an expansive local aviation network, has a positive effect on population, on employment and on the number of businesses established in that location.

市政府官员正在不断努力吸引愿意飞往新目的地的航空公司。固有的期望是,更广泛的航空网络将刺激经济增长。本文实证研究了这一假说的因果含义。利用1984-2001年期间按始发地和目的地划分的直达航班数据,我们提出了一种衡量城市与国家航空网络连通性的新方法。然后,我们使用这一指标来调查其对当地经济发展的贡献,如人口、总就业、人均收入和新公司进入的增长所反映的那样。为了确保因果关系,我们使用工具变量方法,利用目的地城市的地理和天气模式来捕捉增加新旅行路线的可能性的外生变化。我们的研究结果表明,一个城市的航空连通性,由广泛的当地航空网络产生,对人口规模、就业水平和在该地区建立的企业数量都有积极影响。JEL:O18,R1,R4
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引用次数: 2
Wildfire risk, salience, and housing development in the wildland–urban interface 野火风险、显著性和荒野-城市界面的住房开发
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-30 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12644
Katie Jo Black, Nicholas B. Irwin, Shawn J. McCoy

As wildfires increase in both severity and frequency, understanding the role of risk saliency on human behaviors in the face of fire risks becomes paramount. While research has shown that homebuyers capitalize wildfire risk following a fire, studies of the role that risk saliency plays on residential development is limited. This paper aims to fill this gap by studying the link between wildfire risk saliency and the rate of residential development in wildfire-prone areas, by treating recent wildfires as conditionally exogenous shocks to saliency. Using geospatial data on residential development in Colorado, we show that saliency shocks due to wildfire lead to statistically significant reductions in the rate of new development in wildfire risk zones that last upwards of 5 years, a result that is robust to a number of alternative explanations. We explore the policy implications of these findings, noting that education on fire risks may curtail some but not all of the development in these high wildfire-risk areas due to the rapid growth of development in these regions.

随着野火的严重程度和频率的增加,了解风险显著性在面对火灾风险时对人类行为的作用变得至关重要。虽然有研究表明,购房者会在火灾后利用野火风险,但对风险显著性在住宅开发中所起作用的研究却很有限。本文旨在通过研究野火风险显著性与野火易发地区住宅开发速度之间的联系来填补这一空白,将最近的野火视为对显著性的有条件外生冲击。利用科罗拉多州住宅开发的地理空间数据,我们表明,由于野火引起的显著冲击导致野火危险区新开发速度的统计显着降低,持续5年以上,这一结果对许多其他解释都是稳健的。我们探讨了这些发现的政策含义,并指出,由于这些地区的快速发展,火灾风险教育可能会限制这些高野火风险地区的部分发展,但不是全部发展。
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引用次数: 2
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Journal of Regional Science
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