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Multidimensional heterogeneity and matching in a frictional labor market — An application to polarization 摩擦性劳动力市场中的多维异质性和匹配--对两极分化的应用
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102604

This paper examines the role that changes in production technology, namely computerization, have played on labor market inequality in the US from the late 1980s to the 2010s. It also demonstrates that such technological change is consistent with the timing of labor market polarization in the US, including the end of the decline in 50/10 wage percentile ratio and the slowdown of employment growth in high-wage jobs from the 2000s. The paper does so using a model with two key ingredients: 1) directed search and 2) two-sided multidimensional heterogeneity. Calibration results show that the complementarity between a workers’ cognitive skills and the cognitive task intensity of jobs increased while that between manual skill and tasks did not. The full model can fully account for the rise and fall of the 90/50 and 50/10 wage percentile ratios respectively. It also generates 72.6 percent of the rise in employment share of high-paying jobs relative to middling jobs and 69 percent of the fall in employment share of middling jobs relative to low-paying jobs. The paper suggests that the end of the decline in the 50/10 wage ratio may be due to rank-switching between workers across the wage distribution from the 2000s, while the slowdown of employment growth in high-wage jobs may result from the trade-off between the returns to applying for high-wage jobs and the likelihood of being hired.

本文探讨了 20 世纪 80 年代末至 2010 年代生产技术(即计算机化)的变化对美国劳动力市场不平等现象的影响。本文还证明,这种技术变革与美国劳动力市场两极分化的时间一致,包括 50/10 工资百分位数比率下降的结束以及 2000 年代以来高薪工作就业增长的放缓。本文使用了一个包含两个关键要素的模型:1) 定向搜索;2) 双面多维异质性。校准结果表明,工人的认知技能与工作的认知任务强度之间的互补性增加了,而手工技能与任务之间的互补性没有增加。完整模型可以完全解释 90/50 和 50/10 工资百分位比的上升和下降。它还能解释 72.6%的高薪工作相对于中等工作的就业比例上升,以及 69%的中等工作相对于低薪工作的就业比例下降。本文认为,50/10 工资比率下降的结束可能是由于 2000 年代以来工人在工资分布中的等级转换,而高薪工作就业增长的放缓可能是由于申请高薪工作的回报与被雇用的可能性之间的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Does scarcity of female instructors create demand for diversity among students? Evidence from an M-Turk experiment 女教师的稀缺是否会在学生中产生对多样性的需求?来自 M-Turk 实验的证据
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102606

Scarcity of female scholars has been well documented for math-intensive or STEM fields. We investigate whether a lack of female instructors creates a demand for gender diversity on the student side. In an incentivized instructor-choice experiment on MTurk, we experimentally vary the gender balancedness of the instructor pool and ask participants to choose one additional instructor among one male and one female. We find that participants value gender diversity when female instructors are scarce. The effect is statistically significant for women but not for men. We also test for the effect of male scarcity in the instructor pool and find that both, men and women, show a demand for gender diversity.

在数学密集型或 STEM 领域,女性学者的稀缺性已得到充分证明。我们研究了女性讲师的缺乏是否会在学生方面产生对性别多样性的需求。在 MTurk 上的一个激励性讲师选择实验中,我们试验性地改变了讲师库的性别均衡性,并要求参与者在一男一女中选择一名额外的讲师。我们发现,当女性讲师稀缺时,参与者会重视性别多样性。这种影响对女性有显著的统计学意义,但对男性则没有。我们还检验了教员库中男性稀缺的影响,发现男性和女性都表现出对性别多样性的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Overeducation in the EU: Gender and regional dimension 欧盟的过度教育:性别和地区因素
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102603

The paper investigates factors associated with the overeducation risk in the EU, with a specific focus on gender and regional variables. The study tests Frank's theory of differential overqualification, which suggests that women are more likely to be overeducated than men, especially in small local labour markets. Although women's overeducation rates usually exceed those of men, the study's results show limited validity of Frank's model due to a nuanced relationship by which gender is linked to overeducation. They suggest that gender differentiates the overeducation risk in combination with care responsibilities, whilst easier access to childcare facilities is associated with a lower risk of overeducation among women in households with young children. Moreover, migrant women are found to be more at risk of overeducation, compared to both migrant men and non-migrants. Contrary to Frank's theory, the degree of urbanisation is found irrelevant for overeducation. Furthermore, the study shows the evidence of growing incidence of overeducation in the EU in 2011–2018.

本文调查了与欧盟过度教育风险相关的因素,特别关注性别和地区变量。该研究检验了弗兰克的 "差异化过度教育 "理论,该理论认为女性比男性更有可能受到过度教育,尤其是在小型地方劳动力市场。虽然女性的过度教育率通常超过男性,但研究结果表明,由于性别与过度教育之间存在细微的关系,弗兰克模型的有效性有限。他们认为,性别与照料责任相结合会导致过度教育风险的不同,而在有年幼子女的家庭中,更容易获得托儿设施与较低的过度教育风险相关。此外,与移民男子和非移民男子相比,移民妇女面临的过度教育风险更大。与弗兰克的理论相反,城市化程度与过度教育无关。此外,研究还显示,2011-2018 年欧盟教育过度的发生率不断上升。
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引用次数: 0
Migration barrier relaxation and entrepreneurship: Evidence from the hukou reform in China 移民障碍的放松与创业:来自中国户口改革的证据
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102605

We study the impact of relaxing internal migration barriers on entrepreneurship by exploiting China’s 2014 nationwide hukou reform and the administrative firm registry. Our difference-in-differences estimation finds that reformed counties experience sizable increases in entrepreneurial activities compared to control counties. The reform induces the creation of firms with a smaller scale and a lower likelihood of survival, indicating moderate expansions in labor demand. Migrant workers’ wages decline and entrepreneurial activities improve most in labor-intensive industries, implying that increased labor supply serves as one underlying mechanism. Our findings highlight the important role that removing domestic labor market frictions plays in promoting entrepreneurship.

我们利用中国 2014 年在全国范围内进行的户籍改革和企业行政登记,研究了放宽国内移民壁垒对创业的影响。我们的差分估计发现,与对照县相比,改革县的创业活动大幅增加。改革促使创建的企业规模较小,存活可能性较低,表明劳动力需求适度扩张。在劳动密集型产业中,农民工工资的下降和创业活动的改善最为明显,这意味着劳动力供给的增加是一个潜在的机制。我们的研究结果凸显了消除国内劳动力市场摩擦对促进创业的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
The intergenerational correlation of employment: Mothers as role models? 就业的代际相关性:母亲是榜样?
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102596

Linking data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 (NLSY79) and the NLSY79 Children and Young Adults, we document a substantial positive correlation of employment status between mothers and their offspring in the United States. After controlling for ability, education, fertility and wealth, offspring of permanently employed mothers have an 11 percentage-point higher probability to be employed in each given year than those of never employed mothers. The intergenerational transmission of maternal employment is stronger to daughters but significant also to sons. Investigating potential mechanisms, we provide suggestive evidence for a role model channel, through which labor force participation may be transmitted. Offspring seem to emulate the example of their mother when they observe her working. By contrast, we are able to rule out alternative candidate explanations such as network effects, occupation-specific human capital and local conditions of the labor market.

我们将 1979 年全国青年纵向调查(NLSY79)和 NLSY79 儿童与青少年调查(NLSY79 Children and Young Adults)的数据联系起来,发现在美国,母亲及其后代之间的就业状况存在很大的正相关性。在控制了能力、教育、生育率和财富之后,长期就业母亲的后代每年就业的概率比从未就业母亲的后代高出 11 个百分点。母亲就业的代际传递对女儿的影响更大,但对儿子的影响也很大。在对潜在机制的研究中,我们提供了榜样渠道的提示性证据,劳动力参与可能就是通过这一渠道传递的。当后代观察到母亲工作时,他们似乎会模仿母亲的榜样。相比之下,我们能够排除其他候选解释,如网络效应、特定职业的人力资本和劳动力市场的当地条件。
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引用次数: 0
Can leagues mitigate the demoralization effect of rank feedback? A randomized controlled trial 联赛能否减轻排名反馈对士气的打击?随机对照试验
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102602

In a randomized controlled trial involving hundreds of university students, we provide relative performance feedback specifically designed to reduce low performers’ demoralization, by dynamically assigning students to small leaderboard groups that share a similar score in a semester-long online assignment. Treated students appear 2.6% more likely to go beyond the call-of-duty on their assignment by mid-semester. For low performers, this translates in 0.27 SDs higher exam grades, more stress, increased effort and lower procrastination. High performers are happier, procrastinate less and overachieve in the assignment on which they are ranked, but ultimately also score 0.25 SDs lower exam grades.

在一项涉及数百名大学生的随机对照试验中,我们通过将学生动态分配到在一学期的在线作业中得分相近的小排行榜小组,提供了专门设计的相对成绩反馈,以减少成绩差的学生士气低落的情况。到学期中旬,经过处理的学生超出作业要求的可能性提高了 2.6%。对于成绩差的学生来说,这意味着考试成绩高出 0.27 个标准差,压力更大,努力程度更高,拖延症更少。成绩优秀的学生更快乐,拖延时间更少,在他们排名靠前的作业中超额完成,但最终考试成绩也低 0.25 个标准差。
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引用次数: 0
Is private education worth it? Evidence from school-to-work transitions in Chile 私立教育值得吗?智利从学校到工作过渡的证据
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102598

Using comprehensive longitudinal data from Chile, we examine the impact of attending a private high school on labor market outcomes. The empirical strategy exploits conditional independence assumptions and leverages the effects of self-selection based on ability. We establish that private high schools boost average adult earnings by 99–144 dollars a month (relative to public schools), equivalent to a 15%–22% premium. We then explore potential channels behind these effects. Both academic and non-academic factors emerge as mediators. Our findings highlight the importance of financial resources, as education investments have long-term impacts on private high school students, while yielding negligible effects for those attending public and voucher schools. Finally, we document the prominent role of firms as mediators of the private school advantages during the school-to-work transition. Our analysis provides new insights into the association between school choice and income disparities, even after controlling for pre-labor market academic performance.

我们利用智利的综合纵向数据,研究了就读私立高中对劳动力市场结果的影响。实证策略利用了条件独立性假设,并充分利用了基于能力的自我选择效应。我们发现,与公立学校相比,私立高中每月可将成人平均收入提高 99-144 美元,相当于 15%-22%的溢价。然后,我们探讨了这些效应背后的潜在渠道。学术因素和非学术因素都是中介因素。我们的研究结果凸显了财政资源的重要性,因为教育投资对私立高中学生产生了长期影响,而对公立学校和受助学校学生的影响则微乎其微。最后,我们记录了在从学校到工作的过渡期间,企业作为私立学校优势的中介所发挥的突出作用。我们的分析为学校选择与收入差距之间的关联提供了新的见解,即使在控制了劳动力市场之前的学业成绩之后也是如此。
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引用次数: 0
Job ladders and labour market assimilation of immigrants 移民的职业阶梯和劳动力市场同化
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102594
Andrei Gorshkov

Using Danish linked employer–employee data, this study examines the importance of access to higher-paying firms in the wage assimilation process among immigrants during their 25-year tenure in Denmark. Upon their arrival, immigrant workers in Denmark earn substantially lower wages than their native counterparts. However, this wage gap diminishes rapidly within the first 5–10 years, particularly among more disadvantaged immigrant groups (non-OECD and female immigrants). Immigrants who enter the labour market early have higher earnings capacity than those who enter later, but this trend reverses after 15 years. The transition to higher-paying firms constitutes a crucial factor in wage assimilation during the initial 5 years, yet it does not account for wage growth beyond this period. Additionally, this study offers suggestive evidence that Danish firms’ wage policies vary based on the duration since migration, and these differences significantly contribute to the wage assimilation process.

本研究利用丹麦雇主-雇员关联数据,探讨了移民在丹麦 25 年的工资同化过程中,进入高薪企业的重要性。初到丹麦的移民工人的工资远远低于本地工人。然而,这种工资差距在最初的 5-10 年内迅速缩小,尤其是在弱势移民群体(非经合组织国家移民和女性移民)中。较早进入劳动力市场的移民的收入能力高于较晚进入劳动力市场的移民,但这一趋势在 15 年后发生逆转。在最初的 5 年中,向高薪企业的过渡是工资同化的关键因素,但这并不能解释这一时期之后的工资增长。此外,本研究还提供了提示性证据,表明丹麦企业的工资政策因移民时间长短而异,而这些差异在很大程度上促进了工资同化过程。
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引用次数: 0
A cycle or a tunnel? A study on unemployment and low-pay dynamics in Italy 循环还是隧道?意大利失业和低薪动态研究
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102597
Michele Bavaro , Federico Tullio

We study the extent of persistence in unemployment and low-pay employment in Italy in the period 2014-2017, using the Italian component of the EU-SILC survey merged with administrative data. We model persistence in unemployment and low-pay employment using different dynamic random-effects models accounting for observed and latent individual heterogeneity as well as endogeneity of the initial conditions. We find evidence of true state dependence in place for both unemployment and low-pay employment. Moreover, past unemployment spells increase the probability of being low-paid, conditional on being employed, while the opposite effect is limited. For both processes the degree of reliance on the previous state is considerably greater than the magnitude of cross-effects. Thus, evidence is presented that these processes shape almost independent no-pay/low-pay tunnels leading individuals into two different traps, rather than a cycle between the two states.

我们利用欧盟-SILC 调查的意大利部分与行政数据合并,研究了 2014-2017 年期间意大利失业和低薪就业的持续程度。我们使用不同的动态随机效应模型对失业和低薪就业的持续性进行建模,这些模型考虑了观察到的和潜在的个体异质性以及初始条件的内生性。我们发现了失业和低薪就业的真实状态依赖性证据。此外,在就业的条件下,过去的失业经历会增加低薪就业的概率,而相反的影响则是有限的。在这两个过程中,对先前状态的依赖程度要比交叉效应的程度大得多。因此,有证据表明,这些过程形成了几乎独立的无薪/低薪隧道,将个人带入两个不同的陷阱,而不是在两种状态之间循环。
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引用次数: 0
Community colleges and careers: Evidence from nursing school lotteries 社区学院与职业生涯:护士学校抽签的证据
IF 2.2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2024.102590

I estimate the effect of attending an associate degree in nursing program on nursing licensure. I use student-level academic data for all California community college students, matched to public records on all nursing licenses earned in the state. I produce causal estimates using random variation from admissions lotteries at a large nursing program. Enrolling in the program increases the probability of having an active nursing license by 59 percentage points within three years. By seven years the effect is smaller and not statistically significant. I estimate the value of a nursing license as approximately $5000-$6000 per year.

我估算了就读护理副学士学位课程对护士执照的影响。我使用了加州所有社区学院学生的学生水平学术数据,并与该州所有护士执照的公共记录进行了匹配。我利用一个大型护理专业录取抽签的随机变化得出了因果关系估计值。就读该专业可在三年内将拥有有效护士执照的概率提高 59 个百分点。到七年后,这种影响就变小了,在统计上也不显著。我估计护士执照的价值约为每年 5000-6000 美元。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Labour Economics
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