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Group composition of income types and the absolute-relative framing of public good contributions 收入类型的群体构成与公益捐助的绝对相对框架
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.03.001
Li Yutong , Wang Xianghong , Dai Zhixin

This paper examines the effect of absolute-relative framing on contributions to a public good. Group members have high and low endowments and the number of high-income members in each group varies between treatments. They make contributions without and with a minimum contribution level. We express the contribution metric either in absolute amount or as a relative proportion of a member's initial endowment. We propose that these institutional designs affect contribution behavior through shifting reference points in decisions. First, as the number of high-type members increases, the average contribution increases, especially among the low-type members in absolute framing. Second, relative framing makes the contribution proportions between high and low types move closer than in absolute framing. Third, the difference in contributions between absolute and relative conditions mostly disappears when the minimum contribution level is introduced. We show that the effects of group members’ endowments, relative framing, and the MCL policy represent the internal, external and the institutional reference point respectively with increasing strength.

本文研究了绝对相对框架对公共产品捐款的影响。小组成员的禀赋有高有低,每组中高收入成员的数量在不同的处理中有所不同。他们在没有最低捐款额和有最低捐款额的情况下都会捐款。我们用绝对数额或成员初始禀赋的相对比例来表示贡献指标。我们认为,这些制度设计通过改变决策参考点来影响缴费行为。首先,随着高类型成员数量的增加,平均捐款额也会增加,尤其是在绝对框架下的低类型成员中。其次,与绝对框架相比,相对框架使得高类型和低类型之间的贡献比例更加接近。第三,当引入最低贡献水平时,绝对条件和相对条件下的贡献差异大多会消失。我们的研究表明,群体成员的禀赋、相对框架和最低贡献水平政策分别代表了内部、外部和制度参照点,其影响强度不断增加。
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引用次数: 0
Social Status Inequality and Populism 社会地位不平等与民粹主义
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.02.001
Mark Gradstein

Elites’ resentment and populist sentiments have been growing in recent years. This research argues that one reason for this is growing income inequality and limited intergenerational mobility, particularly associated with persistent inequality in social status. The presented model uses mechanisms of accordance of social status to generate inequality persistence which, in turn, generates divergence in preferred policies between poor masses and rich elites. This induces the poor majority to mistrust the informed policy making by the elites and to make own, less well informed policy choices. The model generates insights that are consistent with documented empirical regularities. Additionally, our framework enables exploring mechanisms that can potentially empower the poor thereby alleviating resentment against the elites.

近年来,精英阶层的不满情绪和民粹主义情绪日益高涨。本研究认为,造成这种情况的原因之一是收入日益不平等和代际流动性有限,特别是与社会地位持续不平等有关。本文提出的模型利用社会地位不平等持续存在的机制,反过来又导致贫困大众与富裕精英在偏好政策上的分歧。这促使大多数穷人不信任精英们的知情决策,并做出自己的、不那么知情的政策选择。该模型得出的见解与文献记载的经验规律性一致。此外,我们的框架还有助于探索有可能增强穷人能力的机制,从而减轻对精英阶层的不满。
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引用次数: 0
Growing up amid armed conflict: Women's attitudes toward domestic violence 在武装冲突中成长:妇女对家庭暴力的态度
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.04.002
Giulia La Mattina , Olga N. Shemyakina

This paper examines the relationship between growing up amid armed conflict and acceptance of violent behavior later in life. With this aim, we match data from 48 Demographic and Health Surveys in 23 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa with records of all conflict events in the region post-WWII. Our empirical strategy exploits within-country variation in conflict exposure across survey clusters and over birth years. We find that attitudes toward domestic violence vary with past exposure to a high-intensity conflict (war) during childhood, but the estimated association is small in magnitude. Estimates from a model with survey cluster fixed effects show that acceptance of domestic violence by women exposed to war before age 20 is about three percent of a standard deviation higher than acceptance by women who live in the same community and experience a war later in life or were born after the war ended. The association is the largest for women first exposed to war early in childhood but remains small (five percent of a standard deviation).

本文研究了在武装冲突中成长与日后接受暴力行为之间的关系。为此,我们将撒哈拉以南非洲 23 个国家的 48 项人口与健康调查数据与该地区二战后所有冲突事件的记录进行了比对。我们的实证策略利用了不同调查群组和不同出生年份的国内冲突暴露差异。我们发现,人们对家庭暴力的态度会随着童年时期所经历的高强度冲突(战争)而变化,但估计的关联程度较小。调查群组固定效应模型的估算结果显示,20 岁前经历过战争的女性对家庭暴力的接受程度比生活在同一社区、晚些时候经历过战争或在战争结束后出生的女性对家庭暴力的接受程度高出约 3% 的标准差。童年早期首次接触战争的妇女的相关性最大,但仍然很小(一个标准差的 5%)。
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引用次数: 0
Voting from abroad: Assessing the impact of local turnout on migrants’ voting behavior 从国外投票:评估当地投票率对移民投票行为的影响
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.05.001

Over 150 countries have laws allowing expatriate citizens to vote in their country of origin. Yet, little is known about their voting behavior and how this is affected by their host countries. Using unique micro-data on Chilean expatriates living in Europe and exploiting increases in the cost of voting caused by rainfall during the 2014 European Parliament election day in districts where Chileans reside, we show that 1 percentage point increase in the host-country local turnout decreases expatriates’ electoral participation in their home-country elections by nearly 1 percentage point. The result is driven by expatriates who were better integrated in the host-country societies. Evidence from surveys shows that higher host turnout promotes expatriates’ participation in host-country organizations and less in home-country organizations. Overall, our results suggest that in communities with high-political participation, migrants engage more with the local politics at the expense of their home-country politics.

150 多个国家的法律允许外籍公民在原籍国投票。然而,人们对他们的投票行为及其如何受到东道国的影响却知之甚少。利用生活在欧洲的智利外籍人士的独特微观数据,并利用 2014 年欧洲议会选举日期间智利人居住地区降雨造成的投票成本增加,我们表明,东道国当地投票率每增加 1 个百分点,外籍人士在本国选举中的参与率就会减少近 1 个百分点。这一结果是由更好地融入东道国社会的外籍人士造成的。调查证据显示,东道国投票率越高,外籍人士参与东道国组织的程度越高,参与母国组织的程度越低。总之,我们的研究结果表明,在政治参与度高的社区,移民更多地参与当地政治,而牺牲了对本国政治的参与。
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引用次数: 0
Citizen empowerment through land reform 通过土地改革赋予公民权力
IF 2.8 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2024.04.003

This paper empirically investigates the interplay between de jure political institutions and de facto elite-versus-citizen political power in determining the likelihood of the adoption of pro-citizen or aggregate welfare-enhancing economic institutions. Our key innovation is to measure the elite vs. citizens’ de facto power by the stock of land reforms that have taken place up to a given year in a country during the period 1900 to 2010. Our empirical analysis documents that, controlling for permanent country differences, common time shocks and country-specific time trends, and addressing the biases owing to initial differences in land distribution and time-varying omitted variables, democratization correlates with a relatively more likely movement towards aggregate welfare-maximizing policies in countries where adequate citizen power has been built (elite power has been adequately destroyed) over time. In addition, each land reform, which is an incremental destruction of the elite power, is associated with a relatively more likely movement towards aggregate welfare-enhancing policies in countries under democratic regimes, compared to autocracies.

本文通过实证研究,探讨了法律上的政治体制与事实上的精英与公民政治权力之间的相互作用,以确定采用有利于公民或总体福利提升的经济体制的可能性。我们的主要创新之处在于,通过 1900 年至 2010 年期间一个国家截至特定年份的土地改革存量来衡量精英与公民的实际权力。我们的实证分析表明,在控制永久性国家差异、共同的时间冲击和特定国家的时间趋势,并解决由于土地分配的初始差异和时变遗漏变量造成的偏差的情况下,在那些随着时间的推移建立了足够的公民权力(精英权力被充分摧毁)的国家,民主化与相对更有可能走向总体福利最大化的政策相关。此外,每次土地改革都是对精英权力的逐步摧毁,与专制制度相比,民主制度下的国家更有可能转向总体福利增强政策。
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引用次数: 0
Risk-sharing and entrepreneurship 风险分担和创业精神
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.12.002
Matilda Kilström , Paula Roth

This study examines the impact of risk-sharing on entrepreneurship-driven innovation in an occupational choice model, where entrepreneurs exert effort to innovate. Risk-sharing may increase the number of individuals who become entrepreneurs by limiting the downside risk. The effort of entrepreneurs may, however, be hampered by high risk-sharing if this limits the returns faced by successful entrepreneurs relative to unsuccessful entrepreneurs. We construct a simple theoretical model where risk-sharing may be either private or provided through the welfare state by means of taxation. We show that, in addition to the occupational and effort choice dimensions, the level of public risk-sharing also matters for the characteristics of entrepreneurs.

本研究在一个职业选择模型中探讨了风险分担对创业驱动创新的影响。风险分担可以通过限制负面风险来增加成为企业家的人数。然而,如果高风险分担限制了成功创业者相对于不成功创业者所面临的回报,那么创业者的努力可能会受到高风险分担的阻碍。我们构建了一个简单的理论模型,在这个模型中,风险分担既可以是私人分担,也可以通过税收的方式由福利国家提供。我们的研究表明,除了职业和努力选择维度外,公共风险分担水平也会影响创业者的特征。
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引用次数: 0
Conservative Talk Radio and political persuasion in the US,1950–1970 1950-1970 年美国的保守派谈话广播和政治劝说
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.12.004
Oliver Engist , Paul Matzko , Erik Merkus

Conservative Talk Radio continues to shape US politics in the 21st century, but it has a deeper history. Using newly digitized archival records, we provide new evidence on the electoral effects of Conservative Talk Radio in the historically consequential period from 1950 to 1970. Conservative radio hosts like Clarence Manion, Billy James Hargis, and Carl McIntire rapidly expanded their network during the early 1960s before the Kennedy administration took regulatory steps to dismantle their business model. We find that in counties where these shows aired on local stations, the Republican vote share increased following their introduction. Anticipatory effects are small and insignificant, which supports a causal interpretation of this effect.

保守派谈话电台在 21 世纪继续影响着美国政治,但它有着更深远的历史。利用新数字化的档案记录,我们提供了新的证据,说明保守派谈话电台在 1950 年至 1970 年这一具有历史意义的时期对选举产生的影响。在肯尼迪政府采取监管措施瓦解其商业模式之前的 20 世纪 60 年代初,克拉伦斯-马尼恩(Clarence Manion)、比利-詹姆斯-哈吉斯(Billy James Hargis)和卡尔-麦金太尔(Carl McIntire)等保守派电台主持人迅速扩大了他们的网络。我们发现,在这些节目在当地电台播出的县,共和党的得票率在节目播出后有所上升。预期效应很小且不显著,这支持了对这一效应的因果解释。
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引用次数: 0
Epidemics, disease control, and China’s long-term development 流行病、疾病控制与中国的长远发展
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.12.001
Jun Wang , James B. Ang

This study examines the impact of historical disease burden on the development of contemporary China. Using historical records spanning nearly six centuries, we construct a county-level dataset for the distribution of epidemics in China. Our results indicate that historical disease pressure has a positive impact on long-term economic development. This positive association withstands rigorous testing through a series of robustness checks. Furthermore, we find that earlier institutional development in disease control and the improvement in human capital are effective channels. The establishment of disease prevention centers facilitated the early adoption of modern disease control systems, which, in turn, enhanced public health, education, and productive activities.

本研究探讨了历史疾病负担对当代中国发展的影响。利用近六个世纪的历史记录,我们构建了中国县级流行病分布数据集。我们的研究结果表明,历史疾病压力对长期经济发展具有积极影响。通过一系列稳健性检验,这种正相关关系经受住了严格的考验。此外,我们还发现,早期疾病控制机构的发展和人力资本的提高是有效的渠道。疾病预防中心的建立促进了现代疾病控制体系的早期采用,反过来又加强了公共卫生、教育和生产活动。
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引用次数: 0
Picking winners? Government subsidies and firm productivity in China 挑选赢家?中国政府补贴与企业生产力
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.06.004
Lee G. Branstetter , Guangwei Li , Mengjia Ren

Are Chinese government subsidies making the targeted Chinese firms more productive? Alternatively, are efforts to promote productivity undercut by efforts to maintain or expand employment in less productive enterprises? In this paper, we attempt to shed light on these questions through the analysis of previously underutilized microdata on direct government subsidies provided to China's publicly traded firms. We estimate total-factor productivity (TFP) for Chinese listed firms and investigate the relationship between these estimates of TFP and the allocation of government subsidies. We find little evidence that the Chinese government consistently “picks winners”. Firms’ ex-ante productivity is negatively correlated with subsidies received by firms, and subsidies appear to have a negative impact on firms’ ex-post productivity growth throughout our data window, 2007 – 2018. Neither subsidies given out under the name of R&D and innovation promotion nor industrial and equipment upgrading positively affect firms’ productivity growth. On the other hand, we find a positive impact of subsidy on current year employment. These findings suggest that China's rising wave of government subsidies may have generated limited effects in promoting productivity.

中国政府的补贴是否提高了目标中国企业的生产力?或者说,提高生产率的努力是否被维持或扩大生产率较低企业的就业所削弱?在本文中,我们试图通过分析以往未得到充分利用的有关政府向中国上市公司提供直接补贴的微观数据来揭示这些问题。我们估算了中国上市公司的全要素生产率(TFP),并研究了这些估算的全要素生产率与政府补贴分配之间的关系。我们几乎没有发现中国政府一贯 "挑选赢家 "的证据。企业的事前生产率与企业获得的补贴呈负相关,而在我们的数据窗口(2007-2018 年)中,补贴似乎对企业的事后生产率增长产生了负面影响。无论是以研发和创新促进为名发放的补贴,还是以产业和设备升级为名发放的补贴,都不会对企业的生产率增长产生积极影响。另一方面,我们发现补贴对当年就业有积极影响。这些研究结果表明,中国日益高涨的政府补贴浪潮对生产力的促进作用可能有限。
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引用次数: 0
Labor markets during war time: Evidence from online job advertisements 战争时期的劳动力市场:来自在线招聘广告的证据
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.06.002
Tho Pham , Oleksandr Talavera , Zhuangchen Wu

This study examines the short- and medium-term impacts of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war on the labor market for Ukrainian workers. Using a unique dataset of 5.4 million online job advertisements for Ukrainian job seekers in Poland and Ukraine over the 2021–2022 period, we show a short-term surge in demand for Ukrainians to work in Poland, while the number of jobs available in Ukraine is relatively stable. Since February 2022, the demand for soft and analytical skills in Ukraine has increased, while the demand for such skills in Poland has remained the same. Moreover, the increase in Polish jobs available to Ukrainian workers is largest for medium/high-skilled jobs and female-oriented jobs. Further analysis suggests a persistent shift (to the left) in wage distribution driven by both the decline of wages within job titles and the change in the composition of jobs across Poland.

本研究探讨了俄乌战争对乌克兰工人劳动力市场的短期和中期影响。利用 2021-2022 年期间波兰和乌克兰为乌克兰求职者发布的 540 万份在线招聘广告的独特数据集,我们发现乌克兰人在波兰工作的需求短期内激增,而乌克兰的工作岗位数量相对稳定。自 2022 年 2 月起,乌克兰对软技能和分析技能的需求增加,而波兰对此类技能的需求保持不变。此外,乌克兰工人可获得的波兰工作岗位中,中/高技能岗位和面向女性的岗位增幅最大。进一步的分析表明,在职称工资下降和波兰各地工作构成变化的双重驱动下,工资分配持续(向左)移动。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Comparative Economics
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