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Labor market hardships and preferences for public sector employment and employers: Evidence from Russia 劳动力市场困境和对公共部门就业和雇主的偏好:来自俄罗斯的证据
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2022.12.003
Olivia Jin , William Pyle

A growing literature connects labor market hardships to stronger preferences for government welfare and redistribution programs. Potential preference shifts with respect to other types of state involvement in the economy, however, have gone unexplored. We draw on both longitudinal and pseudo-panel data from Russia to explore how labor market hardships relate to preferences for public sector employment and employers. In fixed effects specifications, we demonstrate that recent feelings of job insecurity, experiences with wage arrears, and spells of unemployment all increase the attractiveness of work in the public sector. Pseudo-panel data provide evidence that labor market hardships, particularly when experienced at times of economic crisis and social upheaval, can shape preferences over the longer run.

越来越多的文献将劳动力市场的困难与对政府福利和再分配计划的更强烈偏好联系起来。然而,相对于其他类型的国家参与经济,潜在的偏好转变尚未被探索。我们利用俄罗斯的纵向和伪面板数据,探讨劳动力市场的困难与公共部门就业和雇主的偏好之间的关系。在固定效应规范中,我们证明,最近的工作不安全感、拖欠工资的经历和失业期都增加了公共部门工作的吸引力。伪面板数据提供了证据,证明劳动力市场的困难,特别是在经济危机和社会动荡时期,可以长期影响偏好。
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引用次数: 0
Street-level responsiveness of city governments in China, Germany, and the United States 中国、德国和美国城市政府的基层响应能力
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.01.001
Ekkehard Köhler , John G. Matsusaka , Yanhui Wu

This paper presents evidence from parallel field experiments in China, Germany, and the United States. We contacted the mayor's office in over 6,000 cities asking for information about starting a new business. Chinese and German cities responded to 36–37 percent of requests while American cities responded only to 22 percent of requests. American and German cities were more responsive to requests from citizens than foreigners; Chinese cities were more responsive to requests from men than women. Chinese cities were more responsive to requests about starting a construction than a green business, and when the mayor was up for promotion. These results shed light on bureaucratic responsiveness in autocracies and democracies and for top-down versus bottom-up policy making.

本文提供了来自中国、德国和美国的平行现场实验的证据。我们联系了6000多个城市的市长办公室,询问有关开办新企业的信息。中国和德国城市回应了36%至37%的请求,而美国城市只回应了22%的请求。与外国人相比,美国和德国城市对公民的要求反应更积极;与女性相比,中国城市对男性的要求反应更积极。与绿色企业相比,中国城市对启动建设的要求以及市长晋升的时间反应更为积极。这些结果揭示了独裁国家和民主国家的官僚反应,以及自上而下与自下而上的政策制定。
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引用次数: 0
Do wages grow with experience? Deciphering the Russian puzzle 工资会随着经验增长吗?破解俄罗斯谜题
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.01.005
Eugenia Chernina , Vladimir Gimpelson

In all available cross-sectional data, the trajectory of the observed wage–experience profile of Russian workers is flat, peaks early, and declines sharply afterwards. This shape looks puzzling since it differs starkly from that observed in both developed and developing countries. We show that a proper interpretation of the wage–experience profile is hindered by the age-period-cohort problem, when the effects of time, cohort, and experience on the wage growth are mixed. Our study uses survey data from Russia covering the years 2000–2019. Relying on human capital theory, we disentangle the experience, period and cohort effects. With certain assumptions concerning human capital depreciation due to aging, our results show that Russian wages do grow monotonically with experience. However, this growth after mid-career is offset by the cohort effect that proceeds in the opposite direction, thus reflecting massive obsolescence of the human capital of workers from older cohorts. Meanwhile, the time effect mirrors the general GDP path as well as all booms and busts over the period.

在所有可用的横截面数据中,观察到的俄罗斯工人的工资-经验分布轨迹是平坦的,早期达到峰值,之后急剧下降。这种形状看起来令人费解,因为它与发达国家和发展中国家的情况截然不同。我们发现,当时间、队列和经验对工资增长的影响是混合的时,年龄段队列问题阻碍了对工资-经验剖面的正确解释。我们的研究使用了俄罗斯2000-2009年的调查数据。以人力资本理论为基础,对人力资本的经验效应、时期效应和群体效应进行了梳理。在对老龄化导致的人力资本贬值进行某些假设的情况下,我们的研究结果表明,俄罗斯的工资确实随着经验的增长而单调增长。然而,职业生涯中期后的这种增长被朝着相反方向发展的群体效应所抵消,从而反映出老年群体工人的人力资本大幅过时。同时,时间效应反映了GDP的总体路径以及这一时期的所有繁荣和萧条。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of South Korean Protestantism on human capital and female empowerment, 1930–2010 韩国新教对人力资本和女性赋权的影响,1930-2010
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.01.006
Yutaro Izumi , Sangyoon Park , Hyunjoo Yang

We examine the short- and long-run effects of historical Protestant churches on human capital and female empowerment in South Korea by combining historical data on religious facilities and contemporary population census and social survey data. In the short run, we find a positive and significant effect of Protestant churches on women’s literacy and employment, but not on men’s. After almost a century, we find no strong relationship between historical Protestant churches and women’s educational attainment or economic and political empowerment.

我们结合宗教设施的历史数据、当代人口普查和社会调查数据,研究了历史新教教会对韩国人力资本和女性赋权的短期和长期影响。从短期来看,我们发现新教教会对女性的识字和就业产生了积极而显著的影响,但对男性没有影响。近一个世纪后,我们发现历史上的新教教会与妇女的教育程度或经济和政治赋权之间没有牢固的关系。
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引用次数: 0
State formation and market integration: Germany, 1780–1830 国家形成与市场整合:德国,1780-1830
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.01.007
Hakon Albers , Ulrich Pfister

The rise of modern states is an important factor for economic development. We test the effects of territorial consolidation and the increase in legal capacity on market integration. The political transformation of Germany in the wake of the Napoleonic Wars, which reduced territorial fragmentation and transformed former semi-autonomous estates to sovereign polities, serves as a natural experiment. We apply a difference-in-differences framework to a new dataset of grain prices and show that territorial consolidation reduced trade costs conditional on trade reforms that replaced heterogenous internal duties by a unified system of external tariffs. The effect was equivalent to a reduction of price gaps by 31 percent. Cities that were part of Prussia both before and after the Wars and experienced trade reform saw a reduction in price gaps of similar magnitude. By contrast, there was no market integration in late-reformer states such as Hanover and Saxony. Trade reforms were the main channel through which territorial consolidation fostered market integration.

现代国家的崛起是经济发展的重要因素。我们测试了领土巩固和法律能力提高对市场一体化的影响。拿破仑战争后德国的政治转型减少了领土分裂,将以前的半自治庄园转变为主权政体,这是一次自然的实验。我们将差异中的差异框架应用于一个新的粮食价格数据集,并表明领土整合降低了贸易成本,条件是贸易改革用统一的外部关税制度取代了异质的内部关税。其效果相当于将价格差距缩小了31%。战争前后都是普鲁士的一部分,经历过贸易改革的城市,价格差距也缩小了。相比之下,在汉诺威和萨克森等后期改革家国家没有市场整合。贸易改革是领土巩固促进市场一体化的主要渠道。
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引用次数: 0
When the message hurts: The unintended impacts of nudges on saving 当信息受到伤害:轻推对储蓄的意外影响
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.01.002
Alin Marius Andrieş , Sarah Walker

We implement a field experiment in Romania to elucidate how informational nudges and goal setting impact saving. We find no evidence that text message reminders, either in the form of a general reminder or information about the saving goals of peers, encourage saving. Further, both types of messages discourage saving for participants who set a goal, particularly among high goal setters. We posit that informational nudges unintentionally increase the salience of unrealistic goals and engender boomerang effects that discourage high goal setters from saving. Among participants who received no messages, those who set goals save more, suggesting a tradeoff between commitment devices and informational nudges in this context.

我们在罗马尼亚进行了一项实地实验,以阐明信息推动和目标设定如何影响节约。我们没有发现任何证据表明短信提醒,无论是以一般提醒的形式,还是关于同龄人储蓄目标的信息,都会鼓励储蓄。此外,这两种类型的信息都不鼓励为设定目标的参与者储蓄,尤其是在高目标制定者中。我们认为,信息推送无意中增加了不切实际目标的显著性,并产生了回旋镖效应,阻碍了高目标制定者储蓄。在没有收到信息的参与者中,那些设定目标的人节省了更多,这表明在这种情况下,承诺手段和信息推送之间存在权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Youth responses to political populism: Education abroad as a step toward emigration 青年对政治民粹主义的反应:海外教育是迈向移民的一步
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2023.01.003
Murat Demirci

Populism is on the rise, and democratic rights are deteriorating in many countries as a result of authoritarian policies adopted by populist leaders. This study analyzes how rising political populism in developing countries affects whether their citizens pursue higher education abroad. Applying the Synthetic Control Method, student migration patterns from Hungary, Ukraine, Venezuela, and Indonesia are explored as cases constituting early examples of authoritarian populism. The estimates show that the rise of authoritarianism after the closely contested elections that result in favor of the populist leaders in these countries increases the number of citizens who attend universities in foreign countries. Finding limited evidence for worsening higher education options in the origin countries suggests that more students start pursuing foreign education to increase their chances of living abroad after graduation. Emigration of skilled citizens from developing countries as a consequence of political populism is likely to constitute a threat to the economic performance of these countries in the long-term.

民粹主义正在上升,由于民粹主义领导人采取的独裁政策,许多国家的民主权利正在恶化。本研究分析了发展中国家日益高涨的政治民粹主义如何影响其公民是否在国外接受高等教育。应用综合控制方法,研究了匈牙利、乌克兰、委内瑞拉和印度尼西亚的学生移民模式,作为威权民粹主义的早期例子。据估计,在这些国家竞争激烈的选举中,有利于民粹主义领导人之后,威权主义的兴起增加了在外国上大学的公民人数。发现原籍国高等教育选择恶化的有限证据表明,越来越多的学生开始接受外国教育,以增加毕业后在国外生活的机会。由于政治民粹主义,发展中国家技术公民的移民很可能对这些国家的长期经济表现构成威胁。
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引用次数: 0
Perception of political instability in election periods: Evidence from African firms 选举期间对政治不稳定的看法:来自非洲公司的证据
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2022.09.003
Antoine Cazals , Florian Léon

Political instability is a major obstacle to firms' investment and development. This article investigates how elections affect the perception of political instability of African firms. We use a survey-based dataset of approximately 21,500 firms in 33 African countries which we cross with 237 elections between 2004 and 2020. Our econometric strategy allows a detailed identification of election periods and the associated effects. We provide robust evidence of a pre-election increase in the perception of political instability by firms, but no, or limited post-election effects. The perception of political instability by firms is stronger for firms oriented towards foreign markets, in countries with non-democratic institutions or a high risk of conflict.

政治不稳定是企业投资和发展的主要障碍。本文调查了选举如何影响非洲企业对政治不稳定的看法。我们使用了一个基于调查的数据集,该数据集涵盖了33个非洲国家的约21500家公司,并与2004年至2020年间的237次选举进行了交叉。我们的计量经济策略允许详细确定选举期间及其相关影响。我们提供了强有力的证据,证明公司在选举前对政治不稳定的看法有所增加,但没有,或者选举后的影响有限。在非民主体制或冲突风险高的国家,面向外国市场的公司对政治不稳定的看法更强烈。
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引用次数: 2
Institutional-cultural coherence and economic development: The case of the Spanish regions 制度文化一致性与经济发展:以西班牙地区为例
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2022.08.002
David Soto-Oñate , Gustavo Torrens

We explore how cultural traits coherent with liberal institutions affect economic performance. The matching between cultural traits and institutions is what we refer to as cultural-institutional coherence. We study how cultural-institutional coherence influenced the paths followed by Spanish regions after Spain's liberal reforms in the 19th century. We argue that these liberal reforms brought important changes to Spain's institutions and contributed to inducing a major rearrangement in the distribution of economic development across the country's regions. This process favored regions with cultural traits that were more coherent with liberal institutions. We address endogeneity issues using the disparate political paths that the regions followed in their distant pasts. We characterize political paths in terms of Municipal autonomy in the Middle Ages, as well as Constraints on the executive in the early modern period which, we argue, are good instruments for these cultural traits.

我们探讨了与自由制度相一致的文化特征如何影响经济表现。文化特征和制度之间的匹配就是我们所说的文化制度连贯性。我们研究了19世纪西班牙自由主义改革后,文化制度一致性如何影响西班牙各地区所走的道路。我们认为,这些自由主义改革给西班牙的体制带来了重要变化,并促成了该国各地区经济发展分配的重大调整。这一过程有利于具有与自由制度更加一致的文化特征的地区。我们使用这些地区在遥远的过去所遵循的不同政治道路来解决内生性问题。我们描述了中世纪市政自治的政治道路,以及现代早期对行政部门的限制,我们认为,这些都是这些文化特征的良好工具。
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引用次数: 0
Immigrant religious practices and criminality: The case of Ramadan 移民的宗教习俗和犯罪:斋月的案例
IF 2.7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2022.10.003
Carlo Birkholz , David Gomtsyan

Ramadan has attracted negative publicity and criticism in Western countries with large Muslim immigrant populations. Are these attitudes justified? Does the behavior of Muslim immigrants negatively affect host populations during this period? This paper investigates one important dimension of immigrant behavior that is a source of concern: criminal activity. Using the universe of criminal offenses registered by the Swiss police authorities, the paper documents that during Ramadan, crimes committed by Muslim migrants decline by 11%. The mechanism behind this reduction most consistent with the empirical results, is one of changes in beliefs and values of immigrants. Other explanations, such as time spent on community events and declining physical ability play only a minor role.

斋月在穆斯林移民人口众多的西方国家引起了负面宣传和批评。这些态度是否合理?在此期间,穆斯林移民的行为是否会对收容人口产生负面影响?本文调查了移民行为的一个重要方面,即犯罪活动。该报利用瑞士警方登记的刑事犯罪记录,记录了斋月期间穆斯林移民的犯罪率下降了11%。这种减少背后的机制与实证结果最为一致,是移民信仰和价值观的变化。其他解释,如花在社区活动上的时间和体能下降,只起到了很小的作用。
{"title":"Immigrant religious practices and criminality: The case of Ramadan","authors":"Carlo Birkholz ,&nbsp;David Gomtsyan","doi":"10.1016/j.jce.2022.10.003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2022.10.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Ramadan has attracted negative publicity and criticism in Western countries with large Muslim immigrant populations. Are these attitudes justified? Does the behavior of Muslim immigrants negatively affect host populations during this period? This paper investigates one important dimension of immigrant behavior that is a source of concern: criminal activity. Using the universe of criminal offenses registered by the Swiss police authorities, the paper documents that during Ramadan, crimes committed by Muslim migrants decline by 11%. The mechanism behind this reduction most consistent with the empirical results, is one of changes in beliefs and values of immigrants. Other explanations, such as time spent on community events and declining physical ability play only a minor role.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48183,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Comparative Economics","volume":"51 1","pages":"Pages 90-104"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2023-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49756516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Comparative Economics
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