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Determination of rates of occurrence for hydroplaning events with naturalistic driving data 利用自然驾驶数据确定水滑事件的发生率
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.018
Christina Witcher , Daniel Christ , Jeremy Sudweeks , Charles Layman , Miguel Perez
Introduction: The degree to which hydroplaning occurs in real-world conditions is not entirely known. Naturalistic driving data can be helpful in addressing some of the limitations of existing data sources related to the incidence of hydroplaning. Method: Data from the Second Strategic Highway Research Program Naturalistic Driving Study were leveraged to estimate the incidence of hydroplaning. Two hydroplaning detection algorithms were used for candidate hydroplaning event generation. Hard braking events were also identified and analyzed as normative comparisons to the hydroplaning events. Results: A total of 1,141 hydroplaning events were found in the naturalistic driving data and utilized for analysis, including 650 hydroplaning events that were unnoticeable by the driver based on lack of observable reactions, 13 events that were deemed to be of “critical” severity, and only 3 events that resulted in crash events during more than 30 million miles of driving. Hard braking events occurred nearly four times more often, and at comparatively lower speeds, than hydroplaning events. Observable driver reactions also differed between event types. For example, more drivers changed their posture after a hydroplaning event than after a hard braking event and drivers maintained both hands on the wheel at higher rates after experiencing a hydroplaning event than after a hard braking event. Suspension of secondary tasks during hard braking and hydroplaning events was also observed. Conclusions: Overall, these findings suggest that drivers perceive hydroplaning events as more harmful than hard braking events, despite the large discrepancy and incompatibility in how often these driving situations lead to vehicular crashes. Practical application: The findings of this research will provide vehicle and tire designers with empirical data that quantifies the important tradeoffs they must make in balancing vehicle and tire performance in wet and dry environments, and in tradeoffs related to tire wear performance and grip.
导言:在真实世界条件下发生水浸的程度尚不完全清楚。自然驾驶数据有助于解决现有数据源在水浸发生率方面的一些局限性。方法:利用第二次公路战略研究计划自然驾驶研究的数据来估算水浸发生率。使用两种水浸检测算法生成候选水浸事件。此外,还确定并分析了硬制动事件,作为与水浸事件的标准对比。结果:在自然驾驶数据中发现并用于分析的水浸事件共有 1,141 起,其中包括 650 起驾驶员因缺乏可观察到的反应而无法察觉的水浸事件、13 起被视为 "严重 "的水浸事件,以及在超过 3,000 万英里的驾驶里程中仅有 3 起导致碰撞事件的水浸事件。与水滑事故相比,急刹车事故的发生率要高出近四倍,而且车速相对较低。可观察到的驾驶员反应也因事件类型而异。例如,与急刹车相比,更多的驾驶员在发生水滑事故后会改变姿势;与急刹车相比,驾驶员在发生水滑事故后将双手放在方向盘上的比例更高。此外,还观察到驾驶员在急刹车和侧滑事件中暂停了次要任务。结论:总体而言,这些研究结果表明,驾驶员认为侧滑事件比急刹车事件更有害,尽管在这些驾驶情况导致车辆碰撞的频率上存在巨大差异和不一致性。实际应用:这项研究的结果将为车辆和轮胎设计师提供经验数据,量化他们在干湿环境中平衡车辆和轮胎性能时必须做出的重要权衡,以及与轮胎磨损性能和抓地力相关的权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Applying the Health Belief Model to mobile device distracted driving 将健康信念模型应用于移动设备分心驾驶
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.014
Aimee E. Cox, Jessica B. Cicchino, Ian J. Reagan, David S. Zuby
Introduction: The advancement of mobile devices has resulted in constant connectivity, but at the expense of traffic safety. The goal of this study was to apply the Health Belief Model to understand the barriers preventing drivers from driving without manipulating their devices, and what they perceived would motivate them to stop driving distracted. Methods: We conducted a nationwide survey of 2,013 U.S. licensed drivers. Participants indicated how much they agreed with or supported 63 statements and concepts pertaining to the Health Belief Model constructs of threats, barriers, benefits, and cues to action related to manipulating devices while driving. Heath Belief Model constructs were compared between distracted drivers, or those who regularly did (during most or all drives in the previous 30 days) one or more mobile device tasks, and non-distracted drivers. Logistic regression evaluated the relationship between Health Belief Model constructs and distracted driver designation. Results: Those who agreed more with threats (odds ratio [OR], 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27, 2.04) and disagreed more with barriers to stopping (OR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.31, 0.41) were more likely to not drive distracted. We identified distracted drivers’ top barriers to avoiding cellphone distractions, as well as barrier categories that were significantly greater for distracted drivers than non-distracted drivers. Distracted drivers felt most strongly that intrapersonal, interpersonal, and policy cues would motivate behavior termination, and more support of technological countermeasures was associated with regularly driving distracted after controlling for support for policy and organizational countermeasures. Conclusions: Simultaneously increasing threat perceptions, targeting the top barriers identified, and implementing policy-, interpersonal-, and technological-based countermeasures may encourage device-free driving. Practical Applications: When designing interventions or programs, state highway safety offices should find new ways to increase threat perceptions and offer solutions to the barriers most cited by distracted drivers.
简介移动设备的进步带来了持续的连接性,但却牺牲了交通安全。本研究的目的是应用健康信念模型来了解阻碍驾驶员在不操作设备的情况下开车的障碍,以及他们认为哪些因素会促使他们停止分心驾驶。研究方法我们在全国范围内对 2,013 名美国持证驾驶员进行了调查。受访者表示了他们对 63 项陈述和概念的同意或支持程度,这些陈述和概念涉及健康信念模型的威胁、障碍、益处和行动提示,与驾驶时操作设备有关。对分心驾驶者或经常(在过去 30 天的大部分或全部驾驶过程中)执行一项或多项移动设备任务的驾驶者与非分心驾驶者之间的健康信念模式构建进行了比较。Logistic 回归评估了健康信念模型构建与分心驾驶者指定之间的关系。结果显示更同意威胁(几率比 [OR],1.61;95% 置信区间 [CI],1.27, 2.04)和更不同意停车障碍(OR,0.36;95% 置信区间 [CI],0.31, 0.41)的人更有可能不分心驾驶。我们确定了分心驾驶者避免手机分心的最大障碍,以及分心驾驶者明显大于非分心驾驶者的障碍类别。分心驾驶者最强烈地感受到人际、人际关系和政策线索会促使其行为终止,在控制了对政策和组织对策的支持后,对技术对策的更多支持与经常分心驾驶有关。最后得出结论:同时提高威胁感知、针对所发现的主要障碍以及实施基于政策、人际和技术的对策,可能会鼓励无设备驾驶。实际应用:各州公路安全办公室在设计干预措施或项目时,应寻找新的方法来提高威胁感知,并针对分心驾驶者提到最多的障碍提供解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Fatalities in electrical occupations, unionization, and associated factors 电气职业的死亡人数、工会化及相关因素
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.008
Oscar Rodriguez-Franco , Majed Zreiqat , Jan K. Wachter , Christopher Janicak
Objective: To evaluate the association between worker unionization and risk factors linked to fatalities in electrical trades due to contact with electricity. Methods: Layered cross-tabulation was used to assess the association between electrical fatalities and selected accident factors grouped by union status using inspection data from the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) between 1998 and 2018. Analyses were examined by the Pearson chi-square test of independence and the Phi correlation coefficient. Results: The odds of electrical fatalities in organizations with representation for electrical workers were significantly less than in non-unionized environments. Electrical fatalities were significantly less probable in unionized environments for both electricians and electrical power installers/repairers. Accident factors such as electrical event, fatality cause, and accident location were negatively correlated with electrical fatalities in unionized environments. Conclusions: Worker representation displays a statistically significant association with a reduction in electrical fatalities. Practical applications: Electrical unions should continue to promote safer working conditions, compliance with safety regulations, and comprehensive training in electrical safety emphasizing the identification of electrical hazards, including the risks of contact with overhead power lines and energized equipment, as well as accident prevention practices that comprise strict adherence to minimum approaching distances, lockout-tagout procedures, and the proper execution of de-energizing, testing, grounding, tagging, and flagging procedures.
目的评估工人工会化与电气行业触电死亡事故相关风险因素之间的联系。方法利用职业安全与健康管理局(OSHA)在 1998 年至 2018 年间的检查数据,采用分层交叉表法评估电气死亡事故与按工会状况分组的选定事故因素之间的关联。分析采用皮尔逊卡方检验和皮氏相关系数进行检验。结果显示在有电气工人代表的组织中,电气事故死亡的几率明显低于非工会环境。在有工会组织的环境中,电工和电力安装工/维修工发生电气死亡事故的概率明显较低。在有工会组织的环境中,电气事故、死亡原因和事故地点等事故因素与电气死亡事故呈负相关。结论:工人代表与电气事故死亡人数的减少在统计学上有显著关联。实际应用:电气工会应继续推广更安全的工作条件、遵守安全法规和全面的电气安全培训,强调识别电气危险,包括接触架空电线和通电设备的风险,以及事故预防措施,包括严格遵守最小接近距离、锁定-标记程序,以及正确执行断电、测试、接地、标记和标志程序。
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引用次数: 0
An exploration of e-scooter injuries and severity: Impact of restriction policies in Helsinki, Finland 对电动摩托车伤害和严重程度的探讨:芬兰赫尔辛基限制政策的影响
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.006
Samira Dibaj , Shaghayegh Vosough , Khashayar Kazemzadeh , Steve O’Hern , Miloš N. Mladenović
Introduction: The emergence of shared electric scooter (e-scooter) services has introduced a new mobility option in numerous urban areas worldwide. Safety concerns surrounding e-scooter riding have prompted some cities to impose bans or restrictions on shared e-scooters. This study aims to assess the impact of e-scooter restriction policies, on the spatiotemporal distribution of e-scooter injuries and factors influencing injury severity in Helsinki, Finland, in 2021 and 2022. These restrictions include banning shared e-scooter use from midnight to 5 a.m. on weekends and reducing speeds during certain hours. Method: This study employed an ordered logit model, heatmap analysis of crash locations, and temporal analysis across different time frames to achieve these objectives. Results: The findings indicate a 64% reduction in the number of e-scooter injuries after the restrictions. However, the severity of injuries experienced only a slight decrease. Notably, the trend of injury severity appeared smoother in 2022 compared to 2021, with spikes occurring from Friday to Sunday. The spatial distribution of crashes revealed that, in 2021, most crashes were concentrated in the city center, while in 2022, the crash locations were more scattered, partly due to the increased area serviced by e-scooters. The results also underscored the substantial impact of alcohol intoxication, as it significantly increased the probability of more severe injuries. Furthermore, higher age groups and people using e-scooters from 4 p.m. to 9 p.m. are more likely to experience higher injury severity after the restrictions were implemented. These research outcomes offer valuable insights for other cities, providing lessons on how to tailor policies to effectively reduce the number of e-scooter-related injuries.
导 言共享电动滑板车(e-scooter)服务的出现为全球许多城市地区带来了一种新的出行选择。人们对电动滑板车骑行安全的担忧促使一些城市对共享电动滑板车实施禁令或限制。本研究旨在评估 2021 年和 2022 年芬兰赫尔辛基的电动滑板车限制政策对电动滑板车伤害时空分布的影响以及影响伤害严重程度的因素。这些限制政策包括在周末午夜至凌晨 5 点禁止共用电动摩托车,并在某些时段降低车速。研究方法为实现上述目标,本研究采用了有序对数模型、碰撞地点热图分析以及不同时间段的时间分析。结果研究结果表明,限制措施实施后,电动摩托车受伤人数减少了 64%。但是,受伤的严重程度仅略有下降。值得注意的是,与 2021 年相比,2022 年的受伤严重程度趋势更为平稳,但周五至周日会出现高峰。撞车事故的空间分布显示,2021 年,大多数撞车事故都集中在市中心,而 2022 年,撞车事故的地点更加分散,部分原因是电动滑板车的服务范围扩大了。结果还强调了酒精中毒的重大影响,因为酒精中毒大大增加了更严重伤害的概率。此外,在限制措施实施后,高年龄组和在下午 4 点至晚上 9 点使用电动滑板车的人更有可能受到更严重的伤害。这些研究成果为其他城市提供了宝贵的启示,为如何调整政策以有效减少与电动滑板车相关的伤害事故提供了经验。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of safety effect estimates from propensity scores-potential outcomes framework and empirical Bayes before-after method: Case study of adaptive traffic signal control 比较倾向分数-潜在结果框架和经验贝叶斯前后法的安全效果估计值:自适应交通信号控制案例研究
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.011
Pengxiang Zhang, Asif Mahmud, Vikash V. Gayah, Eric T. Donnell
Introduction: The main objective of this paper is to compare the safety effectiveness estimates obtained using the empirical Bayes (EB) before-after and propensity scores-potential outcomes (PSPO) methods. Method: The dataset employed in this study consisted of 338 intersections where adaptive traffic signal control (ATSC) technology was deployed in Pennsylvania. Results: The results revealed that the EB and PSPO methods produce Crash Modification Factors (CMFs) that are not statistically different from each other, which suggests that the two methods provide consistent results in the present study. Nevertheless, there are still some minor differences between the CMF values obtained from the EB method and the CMF values obtained using PSPO. These differences may be attributed to the different statistical basis and different methodological focus between the methods. Overall, the CMF values indicate a slightly higher expected crash frequency of various injury severity levels and for different intersection types (3-leg vs. 4-leg) associated with the implementation of ATSC; however, some of these changes were not statistically significant.
简介本文的主要目的是比较使用经验贝叶斯(EB)前后法和倾向分数-潜在结果(PSPO)法得出的安全有效性估计值。方法:本研究采用的数据集包括宾夕法尼亚州部署了自适应交通信号控制(ATSC)技术的 338 个交叉路口。结果结果显示,EB 和 PSPO 方法产生的碰撞修正系数(CMF)在统计上没有差异,这表明这两种方法在本研究中提供的结果是一致的。然而,采用 EB 方法得出的碰撞修正系数值与采用 PSPO 方法得出的碰撞修正系数值之间仍存在一些细微差别。这些差异可能是由于两种方法的统计基础和方法重点不同造成的。总体而言,CMF 值表明,在实施 ATSC 后,不同伤害严重程度和不同交叉路口类型(3 行与 4 行)的预期碰撞频率略有增加;但其中一些变化在统计上并不显著。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering the genome of leading indicators from lagging indicators and normative documents: A proof-of-concept study 从滞后指标和规范性文件中发现领先指标的基因组:概念验证研究
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.08.015
Aya Bayramova , David J. Edwards , Chris Roberts , Iain Rillie

Introduction: This research implements the steps of developing or identifying leading indicators (LIs) delineated in a previously published conceptual model to test its practicality on case study data. Concomitant objectives are (a) to systematically review extant literature of ‘LIs development and identification’ to develop an analytical framework for identifying LIs; and to identify LIs from case study incident reports and normative documents using the framework. Method: To empirically validate the conceptual model, a two staged data analysis process was adopted: (1) a theoretical work stage, where pertinent literature was studied through systematic literature review using Scopus and Web of Science databases and a detailed framework analysis; and (2) practical work stage, where an inductively developed analytical framework and insights gained from the theoretical work stage were applied to real-life case study data and their apposite normative documents. Random sampling was used to select 12 different case studies of accidents from a private database of 97 case studies. In total, 2,423 LIs were identified from extant literature and through framework analysis using the bespoke analytical framework generated, a total of 484 LIs were identified from a combination of selected case study materials and their relevant normative documents. All these 484 newly developed LIs were contrasted with a compilation of the previously published 2,423 LIs in the literature. Results: Consequently, a total of 232 LIs out of 484 were recognized as entirely new and novel. These LIs were then thematically grouped into 19 clusters for brevity. A novel analytical framework for identifying new LIs was inductively developed. The framework enables identification of LIs from a qualitative dataset and classify them into eight types of LIs. Practical Applications: This novel research constitutes the first attempt to identify and validate LIs via the use of an analytical framework and real-life case study data.

导言:本研究实施了之前发布的概念模型中规定的开发或识别先行指标(LIs)的步骤,以测试其在案例研究数据中的实用性。研究的共同目标是:(a)系统回顾 "先行指标开发与识别 "方面的现有文献,以制定识别先行指标的分析框架;以及使用该框架从案例研究事件报告和规范性文件中识别先行指标。方法:为了对概念模型进行实证验证,采用了两个阶段的数据分析过程:(1) 理论工作阶段,通过使用 Scopus 和 Web of Science 数据库进行系统的文献综述和详细的框架分析来研究相关文献;(2) 实践工作阶段,将归纳开发的分析框架和从理论工作阶段获得的见解应用于现实生活中的案例研究数据及其相应的规范性文件。我们采用随机抽样的方法,从一个包含 97 个案例研究的私人数据库中选取了 12 个不同的事故案例研究。通过使用定制的分析框架进行框架分析,从所选案例研究资料及其相关规范性文件中总共确定了 484 个 LI。将所有这 484 个新开发的 LI 与之前发表的 2,423 个文献 LI 进行了对比。结果:结果:在 484 条信息语言中,共有 232 条被认定为全新的信息语言。为了简洁起见,这些新词被按主题分成了 19 个群组。我们归纳出了一个新的分析框架,用于识别新的个人信息。该框架能够从定性数据集中识别 LI,并将其分为八种类型的 LI。实际应用:这项新颖的研究是通过使用分析框架和真实案例研究数据来识别和验证 LI 的首次尝试。
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引用次数: 0
The influence of high energy absorbing passive safe poles in run-off-road crash severity 高能量吸收被动安全杆对失控道路碰撞严重程度的影响
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.013
Carlos Roque , João Lourenço Cardoso , Heike Martensen , Quentin Lequeux

Introduction: This study investigates the mitigating effect of passive safe poles on the severity of run-off-road crashes in Belgium. Method: Run-off-road (ROR) crash data were collected from 2015 to 2020 on sections of roads in Flanders, and multinomial and mixed logit models were estimated using the driver injury and the most severely injured occupant as outcome variables. Results: Our results align with previous findings reported in the literature on ROR crash severity in several distinct settings. Most importantly, findings from this study provide evidence that High Energy absorbing passive safe poles (CEN 12767 HE compliant) contribute towards minor injuries in ROR crashes. The study also indicates the importance of protecting errant vehicles from traditional poles, which are linked to severe injuries. Conclusions: Our findings offer relevant insights for road safety agencies to enhance roadside design policies and implement forgiving roadsides. Practical Applications: Our results support the current Flemish policy concerning the installation of lighting columns and the “forgiving roadside” concept to mitigate ROR crash severity on Belgian roads. Further developments in road inventory systems should provide additional and enhanced data on roadside characteristics and crashes. These data will create the basis for further research, leading to more accurate recommendations on increasing roadside safety most effectively.

导言:本研究调查了被动安全杆对减轻比利时失控道路碰撞事故严重程度的影响。研究方法收集了 2015 年至 2020 年佛兰德斯地区各路段的径向道路 (ROR) 碰撞数据,并以驾驶员受伤情况和受伤最严重的乘员为结果变量,估算了多项式和混合 logit 模型。结果我们的研究结果与以往文献中报道的几种不同情况下的 ROR 碰撞严重程度的研究结果一致。最重要的是,这项研究的结果提供了证据,证明高能量吸收被动安全杆(符合 CEN 12767 HE 标准)有助于在 ROR 碰撞中造成轻伤。这项研究还表明了保护失控车辆不受传统电线杆伤害的重要性,因为传统电线杆会造成严重伤害。结论:我们的研究结果为道路安全机构加强路边设计政策和实施宽容路边提供了相关见解。实际应用:我们的研究结果支持佛兰德关于安装照明灯柱的现行政策和 "宽容路边 "的概念,以减轻比利时道路上道路交通碰撞事故的严重程度。道路清查系统的进一步发展将提供更多有关路边特征和碰撞事故的强化数据。这些数据将为进一步的研究奠定基础,从而就如何最有效地提高路边安全提出更准确的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating motorcycle crashes pre- and post-COVID-19 pandemic along Kentucky’s urban roadway segments 调查肯塔基州城市路段 COVID-19 流行前后的摩托车碰撞事故
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.002
Bharat Kumar Pathivada, Arunabha Banerjee, Kirolos Haleem
Introduction: This study developed safety performance functions (SPFs) for motorcycle-related crashes along Kentucky’s urban roadway segment facilities (separately along both two-lane undivided and multilane road segments) for each of the pre-COVID-19 pandemic (2015–2019) and post-pandemic (2020–2022) periods. A total of 2,963 motorcycle crashes over eight years (2015 through 2022) across 2,642 urban roadway segments and several road-specific features (e.g., shoulder width and annual average daily traffic “AADT”) were used. Method: The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) model and heterogeneous Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (HTCMP) model “that accounts for unobserved heterogeneity” were applied and compared. Results: For both urban two-lane undivided and multilane segment facilities, the HTCMP models outperformed their CMP counterparts pre- and post-pandemic, based on various goodness-of-fit measures (e.g., Akaike information criterion “AIC” and pseudo R2) and prediction performance (e.g., mean absolute deviance “MAD” and mean square prediction error “MSPE”). From the fitted SPFs, higher AADT and presence of horizontal curve were significantly associated with increased motorcycle crash frequency, while the presence of roadside steel strong-post W-beam guardrail was significantly associated with reduced motorcycle crash frequency along all urban segments, both pre- and post-pandemic. Furthermore, posted speed limits (≥55 mph) were significantly associated with reduced motorcycle crashes along urban multilane segments, while collector and local road types were significantly associated with reduced motorcycle crashes along urban two-lane segments. Practical Applications: Countermeasures were then proposed to improve motorcyclists’ safety along urban roadways (e.g., installing advance warning signs and/or chevrons along urban roadway segments with sharp horizontal curves).
简介:本研究针对肯塔基州城市路段设施(分别为双车道不分隔路段和多车道路段)在 COVID-19 大流行前(2015-2019 年)和大流行后(2020-2022 年)的每一时期与摩托车相关的碰撞事故制定了安全性能函数 (SPF)。在八年时间里(2015 年至 2022 年),共有 2,963 起摩托车碰撞事故发生在 2,642 个城市路段上,并使用了一些特定的道路特征(如路肩宽度和年平均日交通流量 "AADT")。方法:采用康威-麦克斯韦-泊松(CMP)模型和 "考虑了未观察到的异质性 "的异质性康威-麦克斯韦-泊松(HTCMP)模型,并进行比较。结果:根据各种拟合优度指标(如 Akaike 信息准则 "AIC "和伪 R2)和预测性能(如平均绝对偏差 "MAD "和均方预测误差 "MSPE"),对于城市双车道不分隔设施和多车道分段设施,HTCMP 模型在大流行前后均优于 CMP 模型。从拟合的 SPFs 来看,较高的 AADT 和水平曲线的存在与摩托车碰撞频率的增加显著相关,而在大流行前后的所有城市路段,路边钢质强柱 W 型梁护栏的存在与摩托车碰撞频率的降低显著相关。此外,张贴的限速(≥55 mph)与城市多车道路段摩托车碰撞事故的减少有显著关系,而集散路和地方道路类型与城市双车道路段摩托车碰撞事故的减少有显著关系。实际应用:随后提出了改善城市道路摩托车驾驶员安全的对策(例如,在水平急弯的城市道路上安装预告标志和/或楔形标志)。
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引用次数: 0
Purchasing choices of older drivers on advanced vehicle technologies: A discrete choice experiment 老司机对先进汽车技术的购买选择:离散选择实验
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.003
Helen Nguyen , Kristy Coxon , Julie Brown , Gian Luca di Tanna , Blake Angell , Lisa Keay

Introduction: Advanced vehicle technologies (AVTs) can reduce the risk of crashing and serious injuries however their uptake remains low amongst older drivers. A discrete choice experiment (DCE) was used to investigate what vehicle features, including AVTs, are preferred in vehicle purchasing decision in older drivers. Methods: Older drivers (≥65 years) completed a DCE containing 12 choice sets, with 2 vehicles to choose from, described by 4 attributes: Access, Fuel Efficiency, Cost, and AVTs. Conditional logistic models adjusting for age and sex, and then expanded to include a priori interactive terms for socio economic status, self-rated mobility limitations and anxiety/depression, and sex were run in R v4.2.2 with odds ratio (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (Cls) reported. Marginal willingness to pay for more AVTs was estimated. Results: 133 participants (mean age: 73.6 years; 66% males) completed the survey. Participants significantly preferred vehicles with better “Fuel efficiency” (OR 1.57, 95%Cl 1.44–1.71) and AVT inclusions (OR 1.29, 95%Cl 1.20–1.40), and were less likely to choose more expensive vehicles (per $5000 increase; OR 0.91, 95%Cl 0.86–0.99). “Access” did not influence choice between the two vehicle options. Those on a pension were price sensitive: twice as likely to choose a vehicle with better “fuel efficiency” and approximately 40 % less likely to choose a more expensive vehicle. Participants were willing to pay at most $1,604.17 (95%Cl $337.60-$3,174.50) extra for a car with AVTs that otherwise would cost $30,000. Conclusion: Despite showing interest in AVTs, older adults place more importance on price and fuel efficiency, and therefore would only pay a modest amount to get a car with more technological features. Practical applications: These results can help road safety professionals, industry and policy makers better communicate the value of AVTs to older drivers and help promote the uptake of AVTs and safety amongst older drivers.

导言:先进汽车技术(AVT)可以降低撞车和严重受伤的风险,但在老年驾驶者中的使用率仍然很低。本研究采用离散选择实验(DCE)来调查老年驾驶者在做出购车决定时更倾向于选择哪些汽车功能,包括先进汽车技术。实验方法老年驾驶者(≥65 岁)完成了一项包含 12 个选择集的离散选择实验,共有 2 种车辆可供选择,分别由 4 个属性描述:交通、燃油效率、成本和 AVTs。在 R v4.2.2 中运行了条件逻辑模型,对年龄和性别进行了调整,然后将社会经济状况、自我评定的行动受限和焦虑/抑郁以及性别等先验交互项进行了扩展,并报告了几率比(OR)和 95% 置信区间(Cls)。对支付更多 AVT 的边际意愿进行了估算。结果:133 名参与者(平均年龄:73.6 岁;66% 为男性)完成了调查。参与者明显偏好 "燃油效率 "更高的车辆(OR 1.57,95%Cl 1.44-1.71)和包含 AVT 的车辆(OR 1.29,95%Cl 1.20-1.40),并且不太可能选择更昂贵的车辆(每增加 5000 美元;OR 0.91,95%Cl 0.86-0.99)。"交通 "并不影响对两种汽车的选择。领取养老金的人对价格比较敏感:选择 "燃油效率 "更高的车辆的几率是选择 "燃油效率 "更高的车辆的几率的两倍,而选择价格更高的车辆的几率则降低了约 40%。参加者最多愿意多支付 1,604.17 美元(95%Cl 为 337.60 美元-3,174.50 美元)来购买一辆带有 AVT 的汽车,而如果没有 AVT 则需要 30,000 美元。结论:尽管老年人对反车辆地雷装置很感兴趣,但他们更看重价格和燃油效率,因此只愿意支付少量的钱来购买具有更多技术功能的汽车。实际应用:这些结果可以帮助道路安全专业人员、行业和政策制定者更好地向老年驾驶者宣传反车辆地雷技术的价值,并有助于促进老年驾驶者对反车辆地雷技术的使用和安全。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating near midair collision reporting systems using aircraft surveillance data: A case study at a university airport 利用飞机监控数据评估近距离空中碰撞报告系统:大学机场案例研究
IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2024.09.004
Luigi Raphael I. Dy, John H. Mott

Introduction: A near midair collision (NMAC) is defined by the Federal Aviation Administration as an event in which the crew of an aircraft perceives a situation that could lead to a midair collision or an event in which the separation between two aircraft is less than 500 feet (Federal Aviation Administration, 2018). NMAC reports collected by safety reporting systems have long been used to study and mitigate midair collision risk. However, reports submitted are subjective and require the reporter to voluntarily provide this information. With the implementation of Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast, aircraft temporal and positional data are easily collectible. Method: Using internal safety system, NASA Aviation Safety Reporting System, and FAA Near Midair Collision System reports together with ADS-B data, the effectiveness of different safety reporting systems to collect NMAC data around a towered university airport were compared over a six-month period. Unreported events were identified by utilizing ADS-B data to calculate aircraft separation events of less than 500 feet. Results: While 10 events were reported to the internal safety system, only one was reported to the NASA ASRS, and none to the FAA NMACS within the study’s scope. Sixteen events in which aircraft were within 500 feet of each other were found using ADS-B data, with none of these events having been reported to any safety reporting system. Conclusions: The findings of this study highlight the need for increased sharing in aviation safety data and show the potential of ADS-B data as a tool in studying near midair collisions and midair collision risk. Practical Applications: NMAC safety reporting systems may be less effective than expected. The addition of other sources of data such as ADS-B may be necessary to identify and investigate NMACs and other relevant near miss safety events.

导言:根据美国联邦航空管理局的定义,近空中相撞(NMAC)是指飞机机组人员察觉到可能导致空中相撞的情况或两架飞机之间的间隔小于 500 英尺的事件(联邦航空管理局,2018 年)。长期以来,安全报告系统收集的 NMAC 报告一直用于研究和降低空中碰撞风险。然而,提交的报告是主观的,需要报告者自愿提供这些信息。随着自动监视广播的实施,飞机的时间和位置数据很容易收集。方法:利用内部安全系统、NASA 航空安全报告系统和 FAA 近空中碰撞系统报告以及 ADS-B 数据,比较了不同安全报告系统在 6 个月内收集塔式大学机场周围近空中碰撞数据的有效性。通过利用 ADS-B 数据计算小于 500 英尺的飞机分离事件,确定了未报告的事件。结果:在研究范围内,向内部安全系统报告的事件有 10 起,向 NASA ASRS 报告的事件只有一起,向 FAA NMACS 报告的事件没有一起。使用 ADS-B 数据发现了 16 起飞机相距在 500 英尺以内的事件,这些事件均未向任何安全报告系统报告。结论:本研究的结果强调了加强航空安全数据共享的必要性,并显示了 ADS-B 数据作为研究近距离空中碰撞和空中碰撞风险工具的潜力。实际应用:NMAC 安全报告系统可能不如预期有效。可能需要增加 ADS-B 等其他数据源,以识别和调查 NMAC 和其他相关的险情安全事件。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Safety Research
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