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“Get rich quick,” scheme or script? The effect of cryptoculture on the susceptibility of fraud victimization among cryptocurrency purchasers "快速致富",阴谋还是剧本?加密文化对加密货币购买者遭受欺诈的易感性的影响
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102273
Brandon Christopher Dulisse , Nathan Connealy , Matthew William Logan

Purpose

Despite the precipitous rise of cryptocurrency in recent years, little is known regarding the utility and legitimacy of such fiat currencies. This research assesses whether or not a “cryptoculture” exists, and if so, its influence on fraud and/or cryptocurrency loss.

Methods

Logistic Regression was used to examine the relationship between cryptoculture and cryptocurrency loss or fraud in a sample of 919 survey respondents who previously purchased cryptocurrency.

Results

Results support the existence of a cryptoculture. Respondents who reported higher levels of confidence in cryptocurrency were significantly more likely to also report fraud or loss. This was despite also admitting to feeling more vulnerable when purchasing cryptocurrency. These seemingly conflicting results may actually point to a false sense of confidence by cryptopurchasers driven by cryptoculture, which encourages purchasing decisions to outweigh initial skepticism or distrust.

Conclusions

Underlying mechanisms of cryptocurrency purchasing decisions (like cryptoculture) should continue to be examined in greater depth. Over one-third of cryptocurrency purchasers reported that at least some of their cryptocurrency portfolio is missing, yet many remain confident in their ability to navigate the market. This study provides a nuanced analysis of the factors influencing how victims of fraud may be influenced to participate in risky purchases.

目的尽管近年来加密货币急剧崛起,但人们对这种法定货币的实用性和合法性却知之甚少。本研究评估了 "加密文化 "是否存在,如果存在,它对欺诈和/或加密货币损失的影响。方法采用逻辑回归法,对 919 名曾购买过加密货币的调查对象进行抽样调查,研究加密文化与加密货币损失或欺诈之间的关系。结果结果支持加密文化的存在。报告对加密货币有较高信心的受访者也更有可能报告欺诈或损失。尽管受访者也承认在购买加密货币时感觉更容易受到伤害。这些看似相互矛盾的结果实际上可能表明,加密货币购买者在加密文化的驱使下产生了一种虚假的信任感,这种信任感鼓励他们做出购买决定,以超越最初的怀疑或不信任。超过三分之一的加密货币购买者表示,他们的加密货币投资组合中至少有一部分丢失了,但许多人仍然对自己驾驭市场的能力充满信心。本研究对影响欺诈受害者参与高风险购买的因素进行了细致入微的分析。
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引用次数: 0
Drug treatment courts and community-level crime 戒毒治疗法庭和社区一级的犯罪
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102267
Patrick F. Hibbard, Jason E. Chapman

Research has recognized Adult Drug Treatment Courts (DTCs) as benefitting participants, with a wide body of research demonstrating lower levels of recidivism and drug use. A budding community-level body of research, however, has returned mixed results, some studies showing increases in arrests and crime relative to DTC initiation. Since DTCs cover over three-fourths of the US population, results showing such unintended consequences must be validated and rectified if held. This study estimated effects for DTCs for community-level crime effects from 1990 to 2018 using a stacked event study identification strategy. Most results indicated no significant effects. However, for population groups between 10,000 and 50,000, DTCs were associated with reductions in some crime categories. Violent index offenses offered the most robust results, and there was a small increase in non-index crimes in communities with populations between 50,000 and 100,000.

研究表明,成人戒毒法庭(DTCs)对参与者大有裨益,大量研究表明,成人戒毒法庭的累犯率和吸毒率都有所下降。然而,新近开展的社区层面的研究结果喜忧参半,一些研究显示,与戒毒治疗中心的启动相比,逮捕率和犯罪率有所上升。由于 DTC 覆盖了超过四分之三的美国人口,因此必须对显示出这种意外后果的结果进行验证和纠正。本研究采用叠加事件研究识别策略,估算了 1990 年至 2018 年 DTC 对社区层面犯罪的影响。大多数结果表明没有明显影响。然而,对于 10,000 到 50,000 之间的人口群体,DTC 与某些犯罪类别的减少有关。暴力指数犯罪提供了最有力的结果,而在人口在 5 万到 10 万之间的社区,非指数犯罪有小幅增加。
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引用次数: 0
The association between depression and crime outcomes: A Swedish population-based study 抑郁症与犯罪结果之间的关系:一项基于瑞典人口的研究
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102271
Nilo Tayebi , Anneli Andersson , Shichun Ling , Brittany Evans , Henrik Larsson , Catherine Tuvblad

Background

Research on the association between depression and crime is limited regarding different types of crime and severity of crime.

Aim

Using Swedish national register data, we explored the association between depression and various crime outcomes and the severity of crime.

Methods

We identified 72,057 individuals with an outpatient depression diagnosis between 2001 and 2013. Individuals with depression were age-, sex-, and socioeconomic status (SES)-matched to undiagnosed population controls (n = 1,080,855). Logistic regression models estimated odds of any, violent, property, drug-related and non-violent crime, as well as the severity of crime.

Results

In fully adjusted models, individuals with depression had significantly higher odds of any conviction (adjusted OR [adjOR] 1.66 [95 % CI 1.60–1.71]). This pattern persisted across all crime types (violent, property, drug-related, non-violent), and for crime severity, including increased odds for longer sentences and multiple convictions.

Conclusions

Individuals with depression had an increased risk for convictions across all crime types and more severe crimes. Our results emphasize the importance of early identification of risk factors and targeted treatments, and the necessity for clarification of the underlying mechanisms of our findings.

背景关于抑郁症与犯罪之间的关系,针对不同犯罪类型和犯罪严重程度的研究十分有限。目的我们利用瑞典全国登记数据,探讨了抑郁症与各种犯罪结果和犯罪严重程度之间的关系。抑郁症患者的年龄、性别和社会经济地位(SES)与未确诊人群对照组(n = 1,080,855)相匹配。逻辑回归模型估算了任何犯罪、暴力犯罪、财产犯罪、毒品相关犯罪和非暴力犯罪的几率以及犯罪的严重程度。结果在完全调整模型中,抑郁症患者被定罪的几率明显更高(调整 OR [adjOR] 1.66 [95 % CI 1.60-1.71])。这种模式在所有犯罪类型(暴力、财产、毒品相关、非暴力)和犯罪严重程度中都持续存在,包括刑期更长和多次定罪的几率增加。结论在所有犯罪类型和更严重的犯罪中,抑郁症患者的定罪风险都会增加。我们的研究结果强调了早期识别风险因素和有针对性治疗的重要性,同时也强调了阐明研究结果内在机制的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence for intergenerational transmission of biological risk for antisocial behavior: Low resting heart rate in fathers predicts elevated criminality in sons 反社会行为生物风险代际传递的证据:父亲静息心率低可预测儿子犯罪率升高
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102258
Bridget M. Bertoldi , Sofi Oskarsson , Anneli Andersson , Joseph A. Schwartz , Antti Latvala , Henrik Larsson , Adrian Raine , Catherine Tuvblad , Christopher J. Patrick

Purpose

Parental history of criminal offending is a major risk factor for later criminal behavior in children. Extensive research has also shown low resting heart rate (RHR), a moderately heritable biological variable, to be prospectively predictive of criminal behavior. Despite its status as a replicable risk factor, limited research exists on RHR's role in the intergenerational transmission of crime. Specifically, it remains unclear whether parent-child resemblance for biological characteristics such as RHR might play a role in intergenerational crime transmission.

Method

The current study was undertaken to clarify the role of RHR in the intergenerational transmission of crime, and test for moderating effects of socioeconomic status (SES) on its role, in a large Swedish population-based sample of fathers and their sons combined (N ∼ 266,000).

Results

Beyond replicating prior work documenting paternal crime history and RHR as predictors of later offspring crime, we show that father–son resemblance for RHR accounts in part for father-to-son crime transmission, and that familial SES does not moderate this transmission.

Conclusions

Our findings have important implications for understanding the role of biological and environmental influences in the intergenerational transmission of crime.

目的 父母的犯罪史是儿童日后犯罪行为的主要风险因素。大量研究还表明,低静息心率(RHR)这一适度遗传的生物变量可预测犯罪行为。尽管静息心率是一个可复制的风险因素,但有关它在犯罪代际传递中的作用的研究却十分有限。本研究以瑞典人口为基础,对父子二人进行了大规模的抽样调查(样本数为 266,000 人),旨在明确 RHR 在犯罪代际传递中的作用,并检验社会经济地位(SES)对其作用的调节作用。结论我们的发现对于理解犯罪代际传递中生物和环境影响因素的作用具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Anger, fear, and frozenness: Exploring the emotive aspect of anti-police sentiment 愤怒、恐惧和冻僵:探索反警察情绪的情感因素
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102269
Katelyn Davenport-Klunder, Kelly Hine, Nadine McKillop

Anti-police sentiment has emerged as a growing phenomenon in recent years, characterised by intense negative attitudes towards police. Despite increasing scholarly interest, the lack of a clear definition of anti-police sentiment hinders conceptualisation, measurement, and comparison of findings across jurisdictions. This study aims to provide conceptual clarity by employing sentiment analysis to systematically and objectively explore the emotions underlying anti-police sentiment. Analysis of the negative discourse across 1140 comments on Reddit about police, found that anti-police sentiment is associated with the emotions anger, fear, and frozenness, and potentially may trigger fight, flight, freeze responses in citizens encountering the police. Further, analysis of frequent terms highlights key social issues driving anti-police sentiment, such as police responses to domestic violence and police misconduct. The study contributes to the understanding of anti-police sentiment by identifying the underlying emotions and their potential behavioural outcomes, providing a foundation for future research and policy interventions.

反警察情绪是近年来出现的一种日益严重的现象,其特点是对警察持强烈的负面态度。尽管学者们对反警察情绪的关注与日俱增,但由于缺乏明确的定义,反警察情绪的概念化、测量和跨辖区研究结果的比较都受到了阻碍。本研究旨在通过采用情感分析方法,系统、客观地探讨反警察情绪的基本情感,从而澄清概念。对 Reddit 上 1140 条关于警察的负面评论进行分析后发现,反警察情绪与愤怒、恐惧和冷冻等情绪相关联,并有可能引发公民遇到警察时的战斗、逃跑和冷冻反应。此外,对常用术语的分析突出了驱动反警情绪的关键社会问题,如警察对家庭暴力的反应和警察的不当行为。这项研究通过确定潜在的情绪及其潜在的行为结果,为今后的研究和政策干预奠定了基础,从而有助于人们对反警察情绪的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Does the public support anti-gang policies and practices and can opinions be swayed? Experimental evidence from a National Survey of Americans 公众是否支持反黑帮政策和做法?来自美国全国调查的实验证据
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102265
David C. Pyrooz , James A. Densley , Jose Antonio Sanchez

Purpose

For the last five decades, gangs have been a criminal justice priority, commanding the attention of police, courts, and corrections. Legislative bodies and local, state, and federal agencies have adapted or engineered policies and practices to combat the influence of gangs. While these efforts have been subject to inquiry by researchers and media, they have largely been uninformed by public opinion.

Methods

We surveyed 1000 adults in the United States to understand public support for five common yet controversial responses to gangs spearheaded by the criminal justice system.

Results

There was a widespread consensus of support for police gang databases, civil gang injunctions, Racketeering Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO), and sentencing enhancements, but not solitary confinement. Respondents were not swayed by the experimental presentation of evidence of racial disparities in gang databases or the psychological impacts of solitary confinement; support for civil gang injunctions fell when learning of potential constitutional violations but not violence reduction; support for RICO fell when learning of the organizational structure of street gangs and the potential for guilt-by-association; and sentencing enhancements were no longer supported upon learning the financial cost.

Conclusions

Public opinion maintains a significant role in criminal justice policy and practice on gangs that criminologists should subject to research and evaluation. This research underscores the importance of evidence-based policy formulation and the need for ongoing dialogue between the public, researchers, and policymakers to address challenges as complex and inexorable as gangs and gang violence in communities.

目的在过去的五十年里,帮派一直是刑事司法的重点,引起了警方、法院和惩教机构的关注。立法机构、地方、州和联邦机构纷纷调整或制定政策和措施,以打击帮派的影响。我们对美国 1000 名成年人进行了调查,以了解公众对刑事司法系统主导的五种常见但有争议的帮派应对措施的支持情况。结果受访者普遍支持警方帮派数据库、民事帮派禁令、勒索影响和腐败组织(RICO)以及量刑加重,但不支持单独监禁。受访者不会因为实验性地展示帮派数据库中的种族差异证据或单独监禁的心理影响而动摇;当了解到潜在的违反宪法行为而非减少暴力时,对民事帮派禁令的支持率下降;当了解到街头帮派的组织结构和连坐的可能性时,对 RICO 的支持率下降;当了解到经济成本时,对量刑加重的支持率不再上升。这项研究强调了以证据为基础制定政策的重要性,以及公众、研究人员和政策制定者之间持续对话的必要性,以应对社区中像帮派和帮派暴力这样复杂而不可阻挡的挑战。
{"title":"Does the public support anti-gang policies and practices and can opinions be swayed? Experimental evidence from a National Survey of Americans","authors":"David C. Pyrooz ,&nbsp;James A. Densley ,&nbsp;Jose Antonio Sanchez","doi":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102265","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102265","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><p>For the last five decades, gangs have been a criminal justice priority, commanding the attention of police, courts, and corrections. Legislative bodies and local, state, and federal agencies have adapted or engineered policies and practices to combat the influence of gangs. While these efforts have been subject to inquiry by researchers and media, they have largely been uninformed by public opinion.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We surveyed 1000 adults in the United States to understand public support for five common yet controversial responses to gangs spearheaded by the criminal justice system.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>There was a widespread consensus of support for police gang databases, civil gang injunctions, Racketeering Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO), and sentencing enhancements, but not solitary confinement. Respondents were not swayed by the experimental presentation of evidence of racial disparities in gang databases or the psychological impacts of solitary confinement; support for civil gang injunctions fell when learning of potential constitutional violations but not violence reduction; support for RICO fell when learning of the organizational structure of street gangs and the potential for guilt-by-association; and sentencing enhancements were no longer supported upon learning the financial cost.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>Public opinion maintains a significant role in criminal justice policy and practice on gangs that criminologists should subject to research and evaluation. This research underscores the importance of evidence-based policy formulation and the need for ongoing dialogue between the public, researchers, and policymakers to address challenges as complex and inexorable as gangs and gang violence in communities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48272,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Criminal Justice","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102265"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142048376","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine learning analysis of a national sample of U.S. case law involving mental health evidence 对涉及精神健康证据的美国全国判例法样本进行机器学习分析
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102266
Mia A. Thomaidou, Alisha Patel, Sandy S. Xie, Colleen M. Berryessa

Purpose

Sentencing practices in cases involving defendants with mental disorders are often opaque, as data on case facts and sentencing decisions are not easily accessible.

Methods

This paper reports findings from a national U.S. sample of appellate court cases across 46 states (n = 710) that involved mental health evidence. We collected detailed data on judge and defendant characteristics, type and severity of mental disorders, state sociopolitical ideologies, and legal factors such as offense and plea type and criminal history. We used a mixed quantitative approach, including machine learning, to examine how these intricate factors influence sentencing outcomes.

Results

A combination of linear regressions and supervised learning techniques reveals important differences in sentencing outcomes based on the type of mental disorder as well as the majority political ideology of states. We additionally show that, as compared to arguing no mental health evidence, having a mental disorder generally did not yield significant differences in sentencing.

Conclusions

Both a potential lack of scientific comprehension and the influence of sociopolitical ideology may help explain why certain mental disorders are aggravating in punishment contexts. We also discuss the advantages and limitations of supervised learning and classification trees for studying judicial decisions.

本文报告了美国 46 个州(n = 710)涉及精神健康证据的上诉法院案件的全国抽样调查结果。我们收集了有关法官和被告的特征、精神障碍的类型和严重程度、各州的社会政治意识形态以及犯罪和认罪类型、犯罪史等法律因素的详细数据。我们采用了包括机器学习在内的混合定量方法来研究这些错综复杂的因素是如何影响量刑结果的。结果线性回归和监督学习技术的结合揭示了基于精神障碍类型以及各州主要政治意识形态的量刑结果的重要差异。我们还表明,与没有精神健康证据的论证相比,患有精神障碍一般不会导致量刑上的显著差异。结论潜在的科学理解能力不足和社会政治意识形态的影响可能有助于解释为什么某些精神障碍会加重处罚。我们还讨论了监督学习和分类树在研究司法判决方面的优势和局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the feasibility and performance of risk assessment instruments for early intervention and prevention services in Juvenile Justice 评估少年司法早期干预和预防服务风险评估工具的可行性和性能
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102262
Keller G. Sheppard , Alyssa R. Talaugon , Jorge L. Hernandez

Juvenile justice systems routinely utilize risk assessment instruments (RAIs) to guide the provision of services and custody decisions to optimize youth treatment and system resources. While research has evaluated the validity of RAIs in predicting recidivism risk for justice-involved youth, it has yet to assess the feasibility of using RAIs in a prevention context. The early age and lack of formal delinquency history among this population pose considerable challenges to RAI effectiveness. Drawing data from the Florida Department of Juvenile Justice, analyses explored a sample of 11,472 Prevention Assessment Tool (PAT) assessments administered to youth aged 10 to 16 who had no prior system contact. Off-the-shelf scoring and optimized scoring developed through multivariate and machine learning techniques were employed to validate a prevention risk assessment instrument that predicts the risk of juvenile justice contact until age 18. The results indicate exemplary RAI performance among all optimized statistical techniques across various validation metrics. While performance was consistent across demographic subgroups, there were indications that predictive validity varied across age groups. These findings support the use of RAIs in early intervention and prevention services.

青少年司法系统通常利用风险评估工具(RAIs)来指导服务的提供和监护决定,以优化青少年治疗和系统资源。虽然已有研究评估了风险评估工具在预测涉案青少年累犯风险方面的有效性,但尚未评估在预防背景下使用风险评估工具的可行性。这一人群年龄较小,缺乏正式的犯罪史,这给 RAI 的有效性带来了相当大的挑战。利用佛罗里达州少年司法部的数据,我们对 11,472 份预防评估工具 (PAT) 评估样本进行了分析,这些样本的施测对象是年龄在 10 到 16 岁之间、之前未与系统有过接触的青少年。采用现成的评分方法以及通过多元和机器学习技术开发的优化评分方法来验证预防风险评估工具,该工具可预测 18 岁前接触少年司法的风险。结果表明,在各种验证指标中,所有优化统计技术的 RAI 性能都堪称典范。虽然不同人口亚群的表现一致,但有迹象表明不同年龄组的预测有效性存在差异。这些研究结果支持在早期干预和预防服务中使用 RAI。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of police reform on overall police misconduct and misconduct that involves the use of force 警察改革对警察总体不当行为和涉及使用武力的不当行为的影响
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102263
Peter P. Cassino , Mustafa Demir

Purpose

This study investigates whether the Police Reform Bill significantly reduced overall incidents of police misconduct, including those involving the use of force, in Massachusetts.

Methods

The current study employed a monthly interrupted time series (ITS) design using data on overall incidents of police misconduct and incidents involving the use of force, collected from the 438 law enforcement agencies in Massachusetts. The Police Reform Bill was introduced in December 2020. The monthly data covers the period from January 1989 through December, 2023 (N = 420), with January 1989 through December 2021 serving as the period before the implementation of the Police Reform Bill (N = 384) and January 2022 through December, 2023 as the period following the implementation of the Police Reform Bill (N = 36).

Results

The results of the monthly interrupted time series analyses showed that, compared to before the implementation of the Police Reform Bill, the trend in the overall number of police misconduct incidents and the number of misconduct incidents involving the use of force significantly declined after the implementation of the Police Reform Bill.

Conclusions

The findings suggest that the Police Reform Bill is effective in reducing police misconduct and misconduct incidents involving the use of force.

本研究采用月度间断时间序列(ITS)设计,使用从马萨诸塞州 438 个执法机构收集的警察不当行为总体事件和涉及使用武力事件的数据。警察改革法案》于 2020 年 12 月出台。月度数据涵盖 1989 年 1 月至 2023 年 12 月(N = 420),其中 1989 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月为《警察改革法案》实施前(N = 384),2022 年 1 月至 2023 年 12 月为《警察改革法案》实施后(N = 36)。结果月度间断时间序列分析结果显示,与《警务改革法案》实施前相比,《警务改革法案》实施后,警察不当行为事件总数和涉及使用武力的不当行为事件总数的趋势明显下降。
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引用次数: 0
Homicidality risk prediction based on ecological systems theory in an early adolescent cohort using machine learning 利用机器学习,基于生态系统论预测青少年群体的躁狂症风险
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102261
Min Li , Ting Tang , Yuheng He , Yingying Tong , Mengyuan Yuan , Yonghan Li , Xueying Zhang , Gengfu Wang , Puyu Su

Purpose

Identifying high-risk adolescents prone to homicidality, linked to serious criminal activities and homicide, offers vital avenues for homicide prevention.

Methods

This study analyzed data from 1596, 1596, and 1526 students at baseline, one-year, and two-year follow-ups, respectively, drawn from the Chinese Early Adolescent Cohort study. Based on Bronfenbrenner's ecological systems theory, predictors of adolescent homicidality were categorized into individual, family, and school and peer levels. Five machine learning methods were utilized to construct prediction models for homicidality risk and to pinpoint predictive factors.

Results

Logistic regression models using only significant features effectively predicted adolescent homicidality and new onsets in the short term, as well as homicidal trajectories throughout early adolescence. Key factors identified included suicidal ideation, emotional abuse, life satisfaction, physical violence, and verbal violence, with suicidal ideation and emotional abuse emerging as the most critical predictors.

Conclusions

This study successfully developed risk-predictive models for adolescent homicidality using machine learning, emphasizing suicidal ideation and emotional abuse as primary predictors. These findings highlight the importance of targeted interventions focused on these key variables for the early prevention of adolescent homicide.

本研究分析了来自中国青少年队列研究的 1596 名、1596 名和 1526 名学生在基线、一年和两年随访中的数据。根据布朗芬布伦纳的生态系统论,青少年犯罪倾向的预测因素分为个人、家庭、学校和同伴三个层面。结果仅使用重要特征的逻辑回归模型就能有效预测青少年短期内的嗜凶行为和新的嗜凶行为,以及整个青春期早期的嗜凶行为轨迹。确定的关键因素包括自杀意念、情感虐待、生活满意度、身体暴力和语言暴力,其中自杀意念和情感虐待是最关键的预测因素。 结论 本研究利用机器学习成功开发了青少年杀人倾向风险预测模型,强调自杀意念和情感虐待是主要预测因素。这些发现凸显了针对这些关键变量进行有针对性干预对于早期预防青少年杀人的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Criminal Justice
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