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Beyond George Floyd: Assessing sentiments on police fund reallocation and its intersection with race and racial resentment 超越乔治-弗洛伊德:评估对警察资金重新分配的看法及其与种族和种族怨恨的交集
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102320
Marshae Capers , Jillian Chamberlain , Jordan Cline , Christi Metcalfe , Akili Murphy
In the context of several controversial police-involved deaths over the past several years, discussion has mounted about the reallocation of funds from policing to other crime prevention services. Given the racialized nature of public opinion, we drew upon conflict theory and theories of racial animus/resentment to explore the relationship between racial identity, racial resentment, and support for reallocation, as well as concerns if funding were reallocated. Relying on survey data from a national sample of US adults in the summer immediately following George Floyd's murder, we found that Black respondents were less supportive of reallocating funds than White respondents and expressed concerns about increases in crime and increases in riots if funds were reallocated. These sentiments seemed to be tied to fear of crime. Also, respondents reporting more racial animus were less supportive of reallocating funds, as well as expressed concerns with access to services and increased crime and riots. The findings suggested that attitudes around police funding are racialized, as well as provided support for the overpolicing-underpolicing paradox. A policy of reallocation of funds would need to address concerns around public safety.
在过去几年发生的几起警察涉案死亡事件引发争议的背景下,关于将警务资金重新分配给其他犯罪预防服务的讨论愈演愈烈。鉴于公众舆论的种族化性质,我们借鉴了冲突理论和种族敌意/怨恨理论来探讨种族认同、种族怨恨、对重新分配资金的支持以及对重新分配资金的担忧之间的关系。根据乔治-弗洛伊德谋杀案发生后不久的夏天对美国成年人进行的全国抽样调查数据,我们发现黑人受访者比白人受访者更不支持重新分配资金,并对重新分配资金后犯罪率上升和骚乱增加表示担忧。这些情绪似乎与对犯罪的恐惧有关。此外,报告种族敌意较多的受访者对重新分配资金的支持度较低,并对获得服务以及犯罪和骚乱的增加表示担忧。研究结果表明,对警察经费的态度是种族化的,同时也为 "警力过剩-警力不足 "的悖论提供了支持。重新分配资金的政策需要解决对公共安全的担忧。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond urban centers: Investigating general strain theory and opioid use among rural adolescents 超越城市中心:调查一般应变理论与农村青少年使用阿片类药物的情况
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102307
Jennifer L. Steele , Keith F. Durkin
The opioid epidemic has devastated rural America, including adolescents that reside in these regions, yet studies on that focus on this population remain scarce. This study examined the relationship between various strains and substance use among rural adolescents in the United States, focusing on opioid use during the early stages of the opioid epidemic. Drawing on general strain theory (GST), the research examines the influence of different forms of victimization, homelessness, and poor health status on adolescent opioid use. Data were collected from 4529 adolescents in 27 different states who underwent evaluation for substance abuse treatment in non-metropolitan areas (population less than 250,000). Logistic regression analyses revealed significant associations between several forms of strain and opioid use, with physical victimization, anticipated victimization, emotional victimization, homelessness, and poor health emerging as predictors of opioid use. Additionally, depression and anxiety were found to mediate the relationship between certain strains and substance use. This research contributes to our understanding of the challenges faced by rural adolescents amidst the ongoing opioid crisis and highlight the need for targeted intervention.
阿片类药物的流行给美国农村地区,包括居住在这些地区的青少年造成了严重破坏,但针对这一人群的研究仍然很少。本研究探讨了各种应变与美国农村青少年使用药物之间的关系,重点关注阿片类药物流行初期的阿片类药物使用情况。研究以一般应变理论(GST)为基础,探讨了不同形式的受害、无家可归和健康状况不良对青少年使用阿片类药物的影响。研究收集了来自 27 个不同州的 4529 名青少年的数据,这些青少年在非大都市地区(人口少于 25 万)接受了药物滥用治疗评估。逻辑回归分析表明,几种形式的压力与阿片类药物的使用之间存在显著关联,其中身体受害、预期受害、情感受害、无家可归和健康状况不佳是阿片类药物使用的预测因素。此外,研究还发现抑郁和焦虑对某些压力与药物使用之间的关系起到了中介作用。这项研究有助于我们了解农村青少年在持续的阿片类药物危机中面临的挑战,并强调了有针对性干预的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Economic correlates of crime: An empirical test in Houston 犯罪的经济相关性:休斯顿的实证检验
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102306
Howard Henderson , Jennifer Wyatt Bourgeois , Sven Smith , Christopher J. Ferguson

Background

As economic inequality grows, there are rising concerns about connections between disadvantage and crime rates in America's cities.

Aims

The purpose of this paper was to perform a correlational analysis of economic factors and crime rates across zip codes in Houston, TX.

Methods

Regression analyses were conducted, followed by examination of effects within a multivariate model. Population-specific methods were applied to calculate the unique predictive validity of unemployment, poverty, income, and academic achievement on violent and property crimes.

Results

Statistically significant predictive effects were observed between unemployment and violent crimes, and between poverty, population density, and counterintuitively, academic achievement, on property crimes.

Conclusions

A criminogenic factors analysis indicated possible real-world effects of targeted interventions - improving economic and educational opportunities in under-resourced neighborhoods may reduce propensity for crime.
背景随着经济不平等的加剧,人们越来越关注美国城市中的不利条件与犯罪率之间的联系。本文旨在对德克萨斯州休斯顿各邮政编码的经济因素和犯罪率进行相关分析。结果在失业和暴力犯罪之间,以及在贫困、人口密度和与直觉相反的学业成绩之间,观察到了统计学上显著的预测效果。结论犯罪因素分析表明,有针对性的干预措施可能会在现实世界中产生效果--改善资源不足社区的经济和教育机会可能会降低犯罪倾向。
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引用次数: 0
Sociohistorical context and post-prison life course 社会历史背景和入狱后的生活历程
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102312
Riku Laine , Mikko Aaltonen , Mikko Myrskylä , Pekka Martikainen
Life-course criminology has recently begun to focus on sociohistorical context, with the use of multi-cohort studies. However, those studies have mostly concentrated on aggregate crime rates. Desistance research, in turn, has largely overlooked the impact of the broader sociohistorical context. Based on recent work on the effect of sociohistorical context on crime rates, we propose that context may shape desistance and social reintegration in a nuanced way.
We examined employment, housing, and marriages among Finnish first-time prisoners released between 1995 and 2014 (N = 23,350) until 2019. We quantified the link between selected macro-level indicators and these outcomes using age-period-cohort models.
The results showed that the outcomes evolved in separate ways post-release. Employment and marriage became more common over time, but only employment showed distinct periodical changes. The probability of living in housing remained stable. A higher level of national unemployment was associated with all outcomes. The association between prisoner characteristics and the outcomes changed depending on release year.
Post-prison societal integration should not be assessed by one measure alone. Desistance studies should address societal context when comparing different times or countries. Early studies may require replication if the associations between demographic factors and desistance outcomes are subject to change.
生命历程犯罪学最近开始关注社会历史背景,采用多队列研究。然而,这些研究大多集中于总体犯罪率。反过来,对逃亡的研究在很大程度上忽视了更广泛的社会历史背景的影响。基于最近关于社会历史背景对犯罪率影响的研究,我们提出,社会历史背景可能会以一种细致入微的方式影响脱罪和重新融入社会的情况。我们研究了芬兰1995年至2014年间首次获释的囚犯(N = 23,350)直至2019年的就业、住房和婚姻情况。我们使用年龄-时期-队列模型量化了选定的宏观指标与这些结果之间的联系。随着时间的推移,就业和婚姻变得更加普遍,但只有就业出现了明显的周期性变化。住房概率保持稳定。较高的全国失业率与所有结果都有关联。囚犯特征与结果之间的关联因释放年份的不同而变化。在比较不同时期或不同国家的情况时,脱管研究应考虑到社会背景。如果人口统计因素与逃亡结果之间的关联会发生变化,则可能需要重复早期研究。
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引用次数: 0
Who is fatigued? A repeated cross-sectional survey of officer attitudes towards people who use opioids, naloxone, and their role in responding to opioid overdoses 谁在疲劳?关于官员对阿片类药物使用者、纳洛酮及其在应对阿片类药物过量中的作用的态度的重复横断面调查
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102308
Seth Watts , Michael D. White , Dina Perrone , Aili Malm
Many police departments have equipped their officers with naloxone as a promising response to the opioid crisis. Though research suggests police can effectively administer naloxone, recent studies suggest that officers may develop negative attitudes over time as they continually respond to overdoses. This has been described as a “compassion fatigue” effect. We investigate the compassion fatigue hypothesis with a repeated cross-sectional survey of officers in the Tempe, Arizona Police Department. We focus on three outcomes (1) perceptions of officers' role in responding to overdoses, (2) perceptions of naloxone related risk-compensation beliefs, and (3) stigmatizing perceptions of people who use opioids (PWUOs). We run one-way fixed effects regression models to assess if officer attitudes have changed over the study period. Then we run multivariate regression models to test whether officers' opioid overdose response frequency is associated with any of the three outcomes. The findings suggest officers have become more supportive of responding to overdoses but have developed more stigmatizing views of PWUOs over time. This warrants further research attention. However, opioid overdose response frequency was not associated with any of the outcomes. We conclude with a discussion of these findings and their implications for police involvement in the opioid overdose crisis.
许多警察部门为警员配备了纳洛酮,以此作为应对阿片类药物危机的有效措施。虽然研究表明警察可以有效地使用纳洛酮,但最近的研究表明,随着时间的推移,警察在不断应对吸毒过量时可能会产生消极态度。这被称为 "同情疲劳 "效应。我们通过对亚利桑那州坦佩市警察局的警官进行重复横截面调查,对同情疲劳假说进行了研究。我们将重点放在三个结果上:(1)对警官在应对吸毒过量时所扮演角色的看法;(2)对纳洛酮相关风险补偿信念的看法;(3)对阿片类药物使用者(PWUOs)的污名化看法。我们运行单向固定效应回归模型来评估警官的态度在研究期间是否发生了变化。然后,我们运行多元回归模型来检验警官对阿片类药物过量的反应频率是否与这三个结果中的任何一个相关。研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,警官们越来越支持对过量用药做出反应,但对吸毒成瘾者的看法却越来越污名化。这值得进一步研究关注。不过,阿片类药物过量反应频率与任何结果都无关。最后,我们将讨论这些发现及其对警察参与阿片类药物过量危机的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The use of restrictive housing with incarcerated persons with mental illness: Variation in placement disparities by restrictive housing type 对被监禁的精神病患者使用限制性住房:按限制性住房类型划分的安置差异
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102311
Sonja E. Siennick, Daniel P. Mears, Alyssa Spies

Purpose

Concerns have been raised about mental illness (MI)-linked disparities in restrictive housing (RH) placements, but research has not compared disparities across multiple types of RH. Differences by MI status in prison adjustment or repeated misconduct could create larger disparities for long-term and highly restrictive types of RH; conversely, more stringent procedures governing their use could lead to smaller disparities for those types.

Methods

Using data on six types of RH in a large southern prison system and logistic multivariate multilevel models, we compared the associations of MI with multiple RH types. Mediation models examined whether infractions, violence, and victimization accounted for any associations.

Results

Disparities were present for all examined types of RH. The largest proportional disparities were found for the rarer long-term solitary confinement placements. Although disparities were smaller for short-term types of RH, those affected more people. The mediators appeared to be better explanations of short-term rather than long-term RH placements among persons with MI.

Conclusions

RH placement disparities by MI are largest for types that are of long duration and involve severe restrictions on privileges and activities. In addition, the disparities in those RH types may be less accounted for by commonly examined behavioral factors.
目的人们对限制性住房(RH)安置中与精神疾病(MI)相关的差异表示担忧,但研究并未对多种类型限制性住房的差异进行比较。方法利用南方一个大型监狱系统中六种限制性监禁类型的数据和逻辑多变量多层次模型,我们比较了精神疾病与多种限制性监禁类型之间的关联。中介模型检验了违规行为、暴力和受害情况是否与之相关。较罕见的长期单独监禁的比例差异最大。虽然短期监禁类型的差异较小,但受影响的人数较多。在患有心智障碍的人群中,调解因素似乎更能解释短期而非长期的监禁安置。此外,这些住宿安置类型中的差异可能较少由通常检查的行为因素所解释。
{"title":"The use of restrictive housing with incarcerated persons with mental illness: Variation in placement disparities by restrictive housing type","authors":"Sonja E. Siennick,&nbsp;Daniel P. Mears,&nbsp;Alyssa Spies","doi":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102311","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102311","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Purpose</h3><div>Concerns have been raised about mental illness (MI)-linked disparities in restrictive housing (RH) placements, but research has not compared disparities across multiple types of RH. Differences by MI status in prison adjustment or repeated misconduct could create larger disparities for long-term and highly restrictive types of RH; conversely, more stringent procedures governing their use could lead to smaller disparities for those types.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Using data on six types of RH in a large southern prison system and logistic multivariate multilevel models, we compared the associations of MI with multiple RH types. Mediation models examined whether infractions, violence, and victimization accounted for any associations.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Disparities were present for all examined types of RH. The largest proportional disparities were found for the rarer long-term solitary confinement placements. Although disparities were smaller for short-term types of RH, those affected more people. The mediators appeared to be better explanations of short-term rather than long-term RH placements among persons with MI.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>RH placement disparities by MI are largest for types that are of long duration and involve severe restrictions on privileges and activities. In addition, the disparities in those RH types may be less accounted for by commonly examined behavioral factors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48272,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Criminal Justice","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102311"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142532097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Comparing the Static-99R and the Child Pornography Offender Risk Tool (CPORT) in two Canadian samples adjudicated of child sexual exploitation material offenses 比较 Static-99R 和儿童色情犯罪风险工具 (CPORT) 在两个加拿大儿童性剥削材料犯罪判定样本中的使用情况
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102303
Angela W. Eke , Kelly M. Babchishin , Sarah Paquette , Shelby B. Scott , Mirna Batinic , Francis Fortin , Michael C. Seto
Static-99R is a widely used, extensively researched, and validated risk assessment measure for sexual recidivism among men. However, individuals who have committed child sexual exploitation material (CSEM) offenses but who have not produced CSEM or directly offended against a victim do not meet the scoring criteria. In a combined sample of 484 men convicted of CSEM offenses in two provinces (Ontario and Québec) in Canada, the discrimination and calibration of the Static-99R was examined. We also examined the convergent validity of the Static-99R with the more recently developed, purpose built, Child Pornography Offender Risk Tool (CPORT). Static-99R and CPORT total scores were moderately and positively correlated (r = 0.63). Static-99R predicted sexual, CSEM, and violent recidivism for both the full sample, as well as those who met Static-99R scoring criteria. Static-99R did not predict sexual or violent recidivism in CSEM cases that did not meet Static-99R scoring criteria. CPORT was a better predictor of any sexual recidivism and CSEM recidivism compared to the Static-99R. Calibration analyses suggested the Static-99R underestimated the number of sexual recidivists observed in our sample. The current study suggests that Static-99R can be valid for some men with CSEM offenses, however, caution is recommended for using the sexual recidivism norms for CSEM offending men because they may underestimate their actual sexual reoffending rate.
Static-99R 是一种广泛使用、经过大量研究和验证的男性性犯罪累犯风险评估方法。然而,曾犯有儿童性剥削材料(CSEM)罪行但未制作 CSEM 或直接侵害受害人的个人并不符合评分标准。在对加拿大两个省(安大略省和魁北克省)484名被判犯有CSEM罪行的男性进行的综合抽样调查中,我们检验了Static-99R的区分度和校准性。我们还考察了 Static-99R 与最近专门开发的儿童色情犯罪者风险工具 (CPORT) 的收敛有效性。Static-99R 和 CPORT 的总分呈中度正相关(r = 0.63)。Static-99R 预测了全部样本以及符合 Static-99R 评分标准的样本的性、CSEM 和暴力再犯情况。在不符合 Static-99R 评分标准的 CSEM 案例中,Static-99R 无法预测性犯罪或暴力再犯。与Static-99R相比,CPORT能更好地预测任何性犯罪累犯和CSEM累犯。校准分析表明,Static-99R 低估了我们样本中观察到的性累犯人数。目前的研究表明,Static-99R 对一些有 CSEM 罪行的男性是有效的,但是建议对 CSEM 罪行的男性谨慎使用性再犯标准,因为它们可能低估了他们的实际性再犯率。
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引用次数: 0
A theoretical critique of deterrence-based policy 对威慑政策的理论批判
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102305
Daniel P. Mears, Mark C. Stafford

Objectives

Deterrence-based policies are central to criminal justice, assumed greater prominence in recent decades, and have assumed that more and tougher punishment necessarily deters crime. This paper provides a theoretical critique of deterrence to identify the limits and possibilities of effective deterrence-based criminal justice policy.

Methods

We build on prior work and recent advances in scholarship to develop a theoretical critique and a theoretical basis for improving deterrence-based policy.

Results

The critique identifies fundamental problems with classical deterrence theory that undermine the likely effectiveness of extant deterrence-based policies. We identify theoretical dimensions that address these problems and that can guide policies in ways that increase the likelihood of appreciable deterrent effects on crime.

Conclusions

Deterrence-based policies based on classical deterrence theory, and variants of it, are unlikely to be appreciably effective and are not consistent with an evidence-based approach to policy. If deterrence policies are to be used, designing them around a coherent and systematic conceptualization of deterrence holds greater potential for reducing crime and would highlight the role that rewards for prosocial behavior can play in deterring crime.
目标以威慑为基础的政策是刑事司法的核心,在最近几十年中占据了更加突出的地位,并假定更多和更严厉的惩罚必然会遏制犯罪。本文对威慑进行了理论批判,以确定有效的威慑型刑事司法政策的局限性和可能性。方法我们在以往工作和最新学术进展的基础上,对威慑进行了理论批判,并为改进威慑型政策提供了理论基础。我们确定了解决这些问题的理论维度,这些维度可以指导政策提高对犯罪产生明显威慑效果的可能性。结论基于经典威慑理论及其变体的威慑政策不可能产生明显效果,也不符合以证据为基础的政策方法。如果要使用威慑政策,那么围绕连贯、系统的威慑概念来设计这些政策更有可能减少犯罪,并突出奖励亲社会行为在威慑犯罪方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Resting heart rate as a risk and protective factor for intrapersonal violence: A population-based study 静息心率是人际暴力的风险和保护因素:一项基于人口的研究
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102300
Shichun Ling , Sofi Oskarsson , Anneli Andersson , Catherine Tuvblad , Henrik Larsson
Low resting heart rate (RHR) is a well-replicated biological correlate of interpersonal violence (i.e., violence against others). However, there is limited research examining the relationship between RHR and intrapersonal violence (i.e., violence against oneself). Using Swedish population-based data, this study examined the relationship between RHR and suicide, an extreme form of intrapersonal violence, among individuals with no convictions (n = 458,785), violent convictions only (n = 8,694), non-violent convictions only (n = 187,138), and both violent and non-violent convictions (n = 37,745). Cox regression analyses indicated that low RHR lowered the risk of suicide by 22% among non-convicted individuals. High RHR increased the risk of suicide by 25% among individuals with non-violent convictions. RHR was not associated with the risk of suicide among individuals with violent convictions only or both violent and non-violent convictions. Research into shared and distinct etiological mechanisms and risk/protective factors for interpersonal and intrapersonal violence may provide valuable insights for treatment and prevention efforts.
低静息心率(RHR)是人际暴力(即针对他人的暴力)的一个已被证实的生物学相关因素。然而,有关静息心率与人际暴力(即针对自身的暴力)之间关系的研究却很有限。本研究利用瑞典的人口数据,研究了未定罪者(n = 458,785 人)、仅有暴力犯罪记录者(n = 8,694 人)、仅有非暴力犯罪记录者(n = 187,138 人)以及既有暴力犯罪记录又有非暴力犯罪记录者(n = 37,745 人)的 RHR 与自杀(一种极端形式的人际暴力)之间的关系。Cox 回归分析表明,在未被定罪的个人中,RHR 低可将自杀风险降低 22%。在有非暴力前科的人群中,高RHR会使自杀风险增加25%。RHR与仅有暴力犯罪前科者或既有暴力犯罪前科又有非暴力犯罪前科者的自杀风险无关。对人际暴力和人内暴力的共同和不同病因机制以及风险/保护因素进行研究,可为治疗和预防工作提供有价值的见解。
{"title":"Resting heart rate as a risk and protective factor for intrapersonal violence: A population-based study","authors":"Shichun Ling ,&nbsp;Sofi Oskarsson ,&nbsp;Anneli Andersson ,&nbsp;Catherine Tuvblad ,&nbsp;Henrik Larsson","doi":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102300","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102300","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Low resting heart rate (RHR) is a well-replicated biological correlate of interpersonal violence (i.e., violence against others). However, there is limited research examining the relationship between RHR and intrapersonal violence (i.e., violence against oneself). Using Swedish population-based data, this study examined the relationship between RHR and suicide, an extreme form of intrapersonal violence, among individuals with no convictions (<em>n</em> = 458,785), violent convictions only (<em>n</em> = 8,694), non-violent convictions only (<em>n</em> = 187,138), and both violent and non-violent convictions (<em>n</em> = 37,745). Cox regression analyses indicated that low RHR lowered the risk of suicide by 22% among non-convicted individuals. High RHR increased the risk of suicide by 25% among individuals with non-violent convictions. RHR was not associated with the risk of suicide among individuals with violent convictions only or both violent and non-violent convictions. Research into shared and distinct etiological mechanisms and risk/protective factors for interpersonal and intrapersonal violence may provide valuable insights for treatment and prevention efforts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48272,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Criminal Justice","volume":"95 ","pages":"Article 102300"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142532151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new college campus and crime: Focusing on crime opportunity and gentrification in downtown Orlando, Florida 新大学校园与犯罪:聚焦佛罗里达州奥兰多市中心的犯罪机会与城市化
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102302
Sungil Han , Jordan R. Riddell

Purpose

The current study assesses the potential crime-related impact of the University of Central Florida building a new college campus (UCF-Downtown) as part of a larger plan to revitalize the traditionally disadvantaged downtown Orlando, FL area.

Methods

Orlando Police Department crime incident data were used to track homicide, robbery, assault, burglary, motor vehicle theft, larceny, and drug crime, and information about census block group gentrification related conditions were sourced from the American Community Survey. Weekly time-series analyses using data from January 2010 through December 2020 were conducted, and a spatial panel regression model using yearly data (2013–2019) included a gentrification measure to predict crime outcomes.

Results

Models detected a slight, and temporary, upward trend in assault and drug crime in the area within a 1-mile radius of UCF-Downtown during its construction. There was also some evidence of an increase in burglaries in the UCF-Downtown campus area during the construction period, with all other analyses indicating there was no change in crime related to the new campus or gentrification.

Conclusions

There was no widespread association between improvements made in downtown Orlando and crime, which suggests building the new campus was limited to temporary increases in assault, drug violations, and burglary during construction. Findings provide little support for the ability of a community reinvestment initiative in the form of a new college campus to reduce crime in the short term, and there may be temporary increases in crime opportunities during the construction of a new campus.
目的本研究评估了中佛罗里达大学新建大学校园(UCF-Downtown)对犯罪的潜在影响,该校园是振兴佛罗里达州奥兰多市中心传统弱势地区的更大计划的一部分。方法使用奥兰多警察局的犯罪事件数据来追踪凶杀、抢劫、袭击、入室盗窃、机动车盗窃、盗窃和毒品犯罪,并从美国社区调查中获取人口普查区块组绅化相关条件的信息。我们使用 2010 年 1 月至 2020 年 12 月的数据进行了每周时间序列分析,并使用年度数据(2013-2019 年)建立了空间面板回归模型,其中包含了预测犯罪结果的绅士化措施。结论奥兰多市中心的改善与犯罪之间没有广泛的联系,这表明新校区的建设仅限于施工期间袭击、毒品犯罪和入室盗窃的暂时增加。研究结果几乎没有支持以新大学校园为形式的社区再投资计划在短期内减少犯罪的能力,在新校园建设期间,犯罪机会可能会暂时增加。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Criminal Justice
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