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Flow-based fractal dimensions of urban road networks: Insights from 135 global cities 基于流量的城市道路网络分形维度:来自全球135个城市的见解
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106820
Ying Gao , Tao Pei , Sihui Guo , Xi Wang , Mingbo Wu , Xiaorui Yan , Xiao Chen , Xiaohan Liu , Zidong Fang , Ci Song , Jie Chen
The efficiency of urban road networks is a critical determinant of traffic congestion levels. This efficiency depends not only on high road density but also on strong connectivity between regions. Conventional approaches to measuring this efficiency often adopt a density-based perspective, typically using planar fractal dimension to assess the extent to which a road network covers urban space—a metric referred to as the space-filling degree. Nevertheless, such methods tend to overlook connectivity, which may lead to an overestimation of space-filling degree in networks with high detour ratios or limited accessibility, thereby failing to reflect actual efficiency of road system. To address this limitation, we propose a flow-based box-counting fractal dimension from an origin-destination (OD) perspective, which evaluates how well a road network spatially supports real travel flows between OD pairs. We apply this method to assess the space-filling degree of major road networks in 135 cities worldwide and use multiple linear regression models to compare the explanatory power of the proposed flow-based fractal dimension against traditional planar fractal dimensions in relation to urban traffic congestion. The results demonstrate that our approach can capture the spatial structure of urban road networks. Moreover, the flow-based fractal dimension outperforms traditional metrics in explaining traffic congestion, showing a stronger negative correlation with congestion levels and greater model explanatory power than both planar fractal dimension and road density.
城市道路网络的效率是交通拥堵程度的关键决定因素。这种效率不仅取决于高道路密度,还取决于区域之间的强连通性。衡量这种效率的传统方法通常采用基于密度的视角,通常使用平面分形维数来评估道路网络覆盖城市空间的程度,这一度量被称为空间填充度。然而,这种方法往往忽略了连通性,这可能导致对高绕行率或可达性有限的网络空间填充程度的高估,从而无法反映道路系统的实际效率。为了解决这一限制,我们从起点-目的地(OD)的角度提出了一个基于流的盒计数分形维数,它评估了道路网络在空间上对OD对之间真实旅行流的支持程度。我们将该方法应用于全球135个城市主要道路网络的空间填充程度评估,并使用多元线性回归模型比较了基于流量的分形维数与传统平面分形维数对城市交通拥堵的解释能力。结果表明,该方法能较好地捕捉城市道路网络的空间结构。此外,基于流量的分形维数在解释交通拥堵方面优于传统的指标,与拥堵程度呈更强的负相关,且模型解释力高于平面分形维数和道路密度。
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引用次数: 0
Where the station ends and surroundings begin: A holistic gender perspective on perceived safety in public transport 车站的终点和周围环境的起点:公共交通安全感知的整体性别视角
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106873
Gülin Göksu Başaran, Jesper Bláfoss Ingvardson, Otto Anker Nielsen
Women and gender non-conforming individuals (GNC) often feel less safe at and around public transport (PT) stations, compared to men. The built environment (BE) plays a well-documented role in shaping perceived safety, yet it remains unclear which specific features are most responsive to the safety concerns of women and GNC. Using data from a tailor-made online survey (N = 3101) from 232 train stations in East Denmark, we investigate BE features explaining each gender group’s perceived safety at the home-end and activity-end travel environments. A structural equation model with multi-group analysis (SEM-MGA) shows that well-lit travel environments and clear wayfinding improve perceived safety for all groups, whereas isolated areas, parking lots, and closed facades around stations particularly harm women’s and GNC travellers’ perceived safety. There are also slight differences between trip ends: shops, urban life, and trees have a stronger positive impact at the home end, while closed facades and isolated areas more strongly reduce perceived safety at the activity end. Towards reducing the gender gap in perceived safety, and achieving a more inclusive PT system, policymakers should prioritise gender-sensitive approaches when designing stations and their urban surroundings.
与男性相比,女性和性别不符合者(GNC)在公共交通车站及其周围往往感到不安全。建筑环境(BE)在塑造感知安全方面发挥着充分的作用,但目前尚不清楚哪些具体特征对妇女和GNC的安全问题最敏感。利用来自东丹麦232个火车站的定制在线调查数据(N = 3101),我们调查了解释每个性别群体在家庭端和活动端旅行环境中的感知安全性的BE特征。基于多群体分析(SEM-MGA)的结构方程模型显示,光线充足的出行环境和清晰的路标可以提高所有人群的感知安全性,而车站周围的孤立区域、停车场和封闭立面尤其会损害女性和GNC旅客的感知安全性。在旅行端之间也存在细微的差异:商店、城市生活和树木对家庭端有更强的积极影响,而封闭的立面和孤立的区域更强烈地降低了活动端的感知安全性。为了减少感知安全性方面的性别差距,实现更具包容性的公交系统,决策者在设计车站及其城市环境时应优先考虑性别敏感的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Privatization of play: Opening gated playgrounds improves access but deepens inequalities 游戏的私营化:开放封闭的游乐场可以改善进入的机会,但也加深了不平等
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106839
Yunjeong Song
Play environments are crucial for children's healthy development and growth. Childhood physical activities often occur in local environments, such as parks, schoolyards, and playgrounds, emphasizing the need for well-designed, accessible play spaces that consider children's age and physical conditions. However, the prevalence of gated communities in South Korea has led to the privatization of playgrounds, resulting in unequal play opportunities based on socioeconomic status. This study explores the relationship between regional socioeconomic deprivation and playground accessibility and diversity, critical factors for fostering children's physical activity. It also examines the impact of opening playgrounds in residential complexes for public use on regional play opportunities. Spatial and regression analyses were conducted across 250 administrative units in South Korea, including a total of 76,476 playgrounds across the country. Our finding indicated that higher socioeconomic deprivation correlates with poorer playground accessibility and diversity. While opening residential playgrounds improved overall accessibility, it also intensified regional disparities, as private playgrounds amplify inequalities in physical activity opportunities. These findings underline the need to address inequality by establishing public playgrounds with diverse designs in marginalized areas, ensuring universal welfare in children's play environments. Delegating children's play opportunities to the private sector has deepened social inequalities, even though these opportunities should ideally be universally accessible. Therefore, public initiatives to establish playgrounds with diverse spatial designs in marginalized areas are essential to mitigate inequities. These findings underscore the need for balanced policy measures that address both public and private responsibilities in providing equitable play facilities.
游戏环境对儿童的健康发展和成长至关重要。儿童体育活动通常在当地环境中进行,如公园、校园和操场,强调需要考虑到儿童的年龄和身体状况,设计良好、无障碍的游戏空间。然而,在韩国,封闭式社区的盛行导致了游乐场的私有化,导致了基于社会经济地位的不平等的游戏机会。本研究探讨区域社会经济剥夺与儿童运动场地可达性和多样性的关系,这是促进儿童体育活动的关键因素。它还研究了在住宅区开放游乐场供公众使用对区域游戏机会的影响。对韩国250个行政单位进行了空间和回归分析,其中包括全国共有76476个游乐场。我们的发现表明,较高的社会经济剥夺与较差的游乐场可达性和多样性相关。虽然开放住宅操场改善了总体可达性,但也加剧了地区差异,因为私人操场扩大了体育活动机会的不平等。这些发现强调,需要通过在边缘化地区建立设计多样的公共游乐场来解决不平等问题,确保儿童游戏环境的普遍福利。将儿童游戏机会委托给私营部门加深了社会不平等,尽管这些机会在理想情况下应该是普遍可及的。因此,在边缘地区建立具有多样化空间设计的游乐场的公共倡议对于缓解不平等至关重要。这些发现强调了平衡政策措施的必要性,以解决公共和私人在提供公平游戏设施方面的责任。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of proximity to amenities on housing affordability: Insights from Mediterranean 15-minute cities 靠近便利设施对住房负担能力的影响:来自地中海15分钟城市的见解
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106859
Pablo Villar-Abeijón , Carme Miralles-Guasch , Oriol Marquet
Research on the 15-minute city has greatly expanded over the last decade, yet little has been studied about how this urban model affects access to affordable housing. This paper examines the relationship between proximity to everyday amenities and rental prices in four Spanish cities (Barcelona, Valencia, Palma, and Granada) that already meet the requirements of a 15-minute city. Spatial analysis and segmented regressions are employed to account for non-homogeneity and non-linearity in this relationship. Our findings yield three main insights. First, the relationship between proximity and rental prices is non-linear: prices rise in the most accessible areas, fall in moderately accessible areas, and rise slightly again in the least accessible areas. Second, education and care amenities deviate from this pattern; closer proximity to these services is consistently associated with lower rental prices. Third, these relationships are spatially heterogeneous and differ markedly between monocentric and polycentric cities. Together, these results offer policymakers a deeper understanding of how the 15-minute city framework shapes housing affordability, and therefore the social composition of the city.
在过去十年中,对“15分钟城市”的研究得到了极大的扩展,但很少有人研究这种城市模式如何影响人们获得经济适用房。本文研究了四个西班牙城市(巴塞罗那、瓦伦西亚、帕尔马和格拉纳达)与日常设施的接近程度和租金价格之间的关系,这四个城市已经满足了15分钟城市的要求。采用空间分析和分段回归来解释这种关系的非同质性和非线性。我们的发现产生了三个主要见解。首先,邻近性与租金价格之间的关系是非线性的:最可达的地区价格上涨,中等可达的地区价格下跌,最不可达的地区价格再次小幅上涨。其次,教育和护理设施偏离了这一模式;离这些服务越近,租金就越低。第三,这些关系具有空间异质性,在单中心和多中心城市之间存在显著差异。总之,这些结果为政策制定者提供了一个更深入的理解,即15分钟城市框架如何塑造住房负担能力,从而塑造城市的社会构成。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of the impact of the urban environment on the health of school-age children and adolescents: Current landscape and future directions 城市环境对学龄儿童和青少年健康影响的系统综述:现状和未来方向
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106863
Tianmin Tao , Fan Yuan , Man Chen , Mingze Chen , Ye Liu
Health is an important human resource, and the healthy development of a person during school-age children and adolescents is fundamental to well-being throughout the life course. However, gaps and inequalities between health goals and health-promoting behaviors among school-age children and adolescents persist. This paper constructs a systematic review of the impact of urban environment on the health of school-age children and adolescents using the PRISMA methodology, analyzing 136 relevant studies published globally as of December 2024, examining associations between urban environment and the health of school-age children and adolescents. Our findings indicate that 263 health associations were identified from 24 urban environment independent variables and 18 health impact dependent variables. The urban environment mainly includes physical environment, environmental perception, environmental pollution, and food environment, and the health impacts mainly include health behavior, physical health, mental health, and cognitive health. By synthesizing the global distribution of existing studies, the distribution of research hotspots, and the characterization of variable associations, this paper proposes a framework for promoting the well-being of school-age children and adolescents and urban sustainability, offering guidance for future city planning and adolescent health promotion.
健康是一项重要的人力资源,一个人在学龄儿童和青少年时期的健康发展对其一生的福祉至关重要。然而,学龄儿童和青少年的健康目标与健康促进行为之间的差距和不平等仍然存在。本文采用PRISMA方法对城市环境对学龄儿童和青少年健康的影响进行了系统综述,分析了截至2024年12月全球发表的136项相关研究,考察了城市环境与学龄儿童和青少年健康之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,从24个城市环境自变量和18个健康影响因变量中确定了263个健康关联。城市环境主要包括物理环境、环境感知、环境污染和食品环境,健康影响主要包括健康行为、身体健康、心理健康和认知健康。通过综合现有研究的全球分布、研究热点分布以及变量关联特征,本文提出了促进学龄儿童青少年福祉与城市可持续性的框架,为未来的城市规划和青少年健康促进提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
Co-evolution of skill structure and labor market processes in US regions, 2003–2023 2003-2023年美国地区技能结构与劳动力市场过程的共同演化
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106830
Jihan Park , Donghyun Kim
This study explores the co-evolution of regional skill structures and labor market processes across US metropolitan statistical areas. Using median occupational wages from the Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, we distinguished low-, middle-, and high-wage jobs and typified labor markets based on changes in their employment shares. We calculated skill relatedness from occupational skill indicators in the Occupational Information Network and constructed a skill network. Community detection identified distinct skill domains, which were then used to compute regional skill relatedness densities. We identified regional labor market dynamics as upgrading, downgrading, middling, and polarizing, with upgrading dominating in 2013–2023. Further, we grouped skills into social–cognitive and sensory–physical domains, with regions focusing on specific skill activities. However, there was no generalizable association between regional skill activities and labor market restructuring. The results indicated that labor market evolution is not shaped by deterministic skill structures but by the shifting dynamics of relatedness. In examining the co-evolution of technological change and labor markets, the evolutionary lens may provide a useful complement to deterministic perspectives. The temporal, multidimensional, and regionally contingent patterns of labor market evolution highlight the need for place-based workforce development strategies and time-sensitive policy interventions.
本研究探讨了美国大都市统计区的区域技能结构和劳动力市场过程的共同演变。我们利用《职业就业与工资统计》中的职业工资中位数,区分了低、中、高工资岗位,并根据其就业份额的变化对劳动力市场进行了分类。利用职业信息网中的职业技能指标计算技能关联度,构建技能网络。社区检测识别出不同的技能域,然后用它来计算区域技能相关密度。2013-2023年,区域劳动力市场动态呈现升级、降级、中等和极化趋势,其中升级趋势占主导地位。此外,我们将技能分为社会认知和感觉物理领域,并将区域集中在特定的技能活动上。然而,区域技能活动和劳动力市场结构调整之间没有普遍的联系。结果表明,劳动力市场的演变不是由确定性的技能结构决定的,而是由相关性的动态变化决定的。在研究技术变革和劳动力市场的共同进化时,进化视角可以为确定性视角提供有用的补充。劳动力市场演变的时间、多维和区域偶发模式突出了基于地点的劳动力发展战略和具有时效性的政策干预的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
“I was a loser before, and now I'm a winner!”: Perceptions and lived experience of Low Traffic Neighbourhoods “我以前是一个失败者,现在我是一个赢家!”:对低交通街区的看法和生活经验
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106862
Tim Jones , Nurgül Yardim Meriçliler , Micaela Mancini
A recent policy intervention being implemented across UK cities is Low Traffic Neighbourhoods (LTNs). The purpose of LTNs is to remove through-traffic from residential streets by strategically placing bollards and planters at key locations to block passage of motor cars while allowing cyclists and other micromobilities to pass through. LTNs are intended to bring proposed benefits including improved road safety for walking and cycling, a better-quality environment and improved public health. There has been much debate about the likely ‘winners’ and ‘losers’ of LTN interventions and reactions from the public have been divided. This article reports a study that investigated the perceptions and lived experience of residents who lived in, and along the boundary of, LTNs in the east of Oxford city, UK.
Our starting premise is that LTNs reconfigure everyday lives, not just through infrastructure, but through emotion, identity, and contested claims to space, and that they are never merely infrastructural, but are political, affective, and shape, and are shaped by, how people move. To investigate this we used a combination of interviews and mobile ‘go-long’ interviews with residents who self-identified as ‘supporters’ or ‘opponents’ of the LTNs. This allowed us to reveal the complexity and nuance of opinion of LTNs based on personal and household circumstances. We highlight the disruption that such interventions can make, both positively and negatively, to a sense of belonging and point to the importance of citizen participation in the development of well-intentioned city policies that inevitably create both ‘winners’ and ‘losers’.
最近在英国各城市实施的一项政策干预措施是低交通街区(ltn)。ltn的目的是通过战略性地在关键位置放置护柱和植物,以阻止机动车通行,同时允许骑自行车和其他微型交通工具通过,从而减少住宅街道上的通行交通。ltn旨在带来拟议的好处,包括改善步行和骑自行车的道路安全、改善环境质量和改善公共卫生。关于LTN干预可能的“赢家”和“输家”一直存在很多争论,公众的反应也存在分歧。本文报告了一项研究,调查了居住在英国牛津市东部ltn及其边界的居民的看法和生活经验。我们的出发点是ltn重新配置日常生活,不仅仅是通过基础设施,还通过情感、身份和对空间的有争议的主张,它们绝不仅仅是基础设施,而是政治的、情感的、塑造的,并被人们的移动方式塑造。为了调查这一点,我们结合了访谈和对自认为是ltn的“支持者”或“反对者”的居民的移动“长期”访谈。这使我们能够揭示基于个人和家庭环境的ltn意见的复杂性和细微差别。我们强调了这种干预可以对归属感产生积极和消极的破坏,并指出公民参与制定善意的城市政策的重要性,这些政策不可避免地会产生“赢家”和“输家”。
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引用次数: 0
The politics of urban climate adaptation: informality, institutional action, and resilience in Ghana's cities 城市气候适应的政治:加纳城市的非正式性、制度性行动和复原力
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106832
Michael Osei Asibey , Francisca Agyei , Mildred Nkansah Okrah , Daniel Kwame Blija
As urban poor communities face increased vulnerability to climate risks, understanding their response mechanisms and the role of local institutions in fostering resilience is critical for effective climate adaptation strategies. This study, adopting the exploratory sequential mixed-methods approach—secondary data analysis, key informant interviews, and household surveys—examines residents' and institutional' awareness and action towards identified risks. Findings reveal that while residents are largely aware of climate risks, their understanding is often limited to rainfall patterns and droughts, with religious and cultural beliefs influencing their perceptions. Despite this awareness, adaptation measures are predominantly reactive, ad-hoc, and unsustainable, hindered by resource constraints, weak enforcement of urban planning regulations, and limited political will. Institutional efforts to promote proactive adaptation, such as early warning systems, are intentional but often ineffective. The study underscores the need for integrated, participatory adaptation planning that incorporates the knowledge and needs of vulnerable communities. We contribute to the growing body of knowledge on climate resilience in informal urban settings and offer policy recommendations to enhance the adaptive capacities of marginalised populations in the face of climate change.
随着城市贫困社区越来越容易受到气候风险的影响,了解其应对机制以及地方机构在增强抵御能力方面的作用对于有效的气候适应战略至关重要。本研究采用探索性顺序混合方法——二手数据分析、关键信息提供者访谈和入户调查——考察了居民和机构对已识别风险的认识和行动。调查结果显示,虽然居民在很大程度上意识到了气候风险,但他们的理解往往仅限于降雨模式和干旱,宗教和文化信仰影响了他们的看法。尽管认识到这一点,但适应措施主要是被动的、临时的和不可持续的,受到资源限制、城市规划法规执行不力和政治意愿有限的阻碍。促进主动适应的机构努力,例如早期预警系统,是有意的,但往往是无效的。该研究强调需要制定综合的、参与性的适应规划,将脆弱社区的知识和需求纳入其中。我们为非正式城市环境中气候适应能力的知识体系不断增长做出贡献,并提供政策建议,以增强边缘化人群面对气候变化的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Using agent-based models to simulate the electric vehicle driving behaviours in Great Britain 使用基于主体的模型模拟英国的电动汽车驾驶行为
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106864
Zixin Feng, Qunshan Zhao, Alison Heppenstall
With the growing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and the green transition of transport sectors, understanding the behaviours and charging demand of EV drivers has become increasingly important, particularly for the efficient deployment of public charging infrastructure. While previous studies have used Agent-Based Models (ABMs) to explore these patterns, many studies rely on hypothetical networks or city-scale road systems. This limits their ability to capture long-distance, inter-city travel, which has been a key concern given EV's range limitations and limited charging infrastructure. Additionally, there is limited consideration from previous models about the behavioural heterogeneity of drivers and missing validation against real-world data. This paper presents a validated ABM that simulates the driving and charging behaviours of private EV drivers across Great Britain, incorporating diverse psychological and financial preferences, and covering both inner- and inter-city trips. The results indicate that, despite concerns about the limited driving range of EVs, enroute charging is less necessary for drivers with short to medium distance trips, resulting in limited demand for more enroute public chargers. The presence of range anxiety among EV drivers often prompts them to charge their vehicles while parked at destinations and can further reduce the need for enroute charging. However, future expansion of the EV charging network is still necessary to accommodate the high charging demand from EV drivers undertaking long-distance trips. The simulation results can improve our understanding of EV driver behaviours and their charging demand distribution, providing insights for the future development of charging infrastructures.
随着电动汽车的普及和交通运输行业的绿色转型,了解电动汽车司机的行为和充电需求变得越来越重要,特别是对于有效部署公共充电基础设施。虽然以前的研究使用基于主体的模型(ABMs)来探索这些模式,但许多研究依赖于假设的网络或城市规模的道路系统。这限制了它们捕捉长途城际旅行的能力,考虑到电动汽车的续航里程限制和充电基础设施有限,这一直是一个关键问题。此外,以前的模型对驾驶员行为异质性的考虑有限,缺乏对现实世界数据的验证。本文提出了一个经过验证的ABM,该ABM模拟了英国私人电动汽车司机的驾驶和充电行为,结合了不同的心理和经济偏好,涵盖了市内和城际旅行。结果表明,尽管人们担心电动汽车的续驶里程有限,但对于中短途出行的司机来说,途中充电的必要性较低,导致对更多途中公共充电器的需求有限。电动汽车司机的里程焦虑通常会促使他们在目的地停车时充电,这可以进一步减少途中充电的需求。然而,未来电动汽车充电网络的扩展仍然是必要的,以适应电动汽车司机长途旅行的高充电需求。仿真结果可以提高我们对电动汽车驾驶员行为及其充电需求分布的理解,为未来充电基础设施的发展提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
A novel approach to commercial district life-cycle analysis using web crawling: An application of chasm theory 基于网络抓取的商业区生命周期分析新方法:鸿沟理论的应用
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106856
Hyebin Kim , Minkyu Kim , Sugie Lee
Commercial districts exhibit a cyclical pattern of growth and decline, with key changes in commercial districts based on consumer attraction. The growth of a commercial district is achieved when consumers' and suppliers' mutual demand and supply align. However, previous studies had a limitation of incorporating the demand perspective. Therefore, this study focuses on the typology of the temporal curves of supply and demand and ‘Chasm’ between supply and demand, which can limit growth of a commercial district. This study aims to define the life-cycle of commercial districts in Seoul by adopting a novel data-driven quantitative framework. This study utilized business count data and major web services' search traffic data by web crawling techniques from 2006 to 2022. Our findings revealed a persistent mismatch between supply and demand across districts, underscoring the structural asymmetries between physical commercial infrastructure and transient consumer behavior. Also, we empirically identified four distinct clusters of commercial districts which captured the presence of Chasm. Notably, this study introduces a generalizable methodology using open-source tools and universally accessible data for diagnosing commercial district transformations. The results of this study indicate that both supply and demand must be considered for selecting commercial district locations and understanding their life-cycles. Furthermore, the study offers a structured approach to analyzing urban commercial change that is both quantitative and replicable.
商业街区呈现出周期性的增长和下降模式,商业街区的主要变化基于消费者吸引力。当消费者和供应商的相互需求和供应一致时,商业区的增长就会实现。然而,以往的研究在纳入需求视角方面存在局限性。因此,本研究的重点是供应和需求的时间曲线的类型和供需之间的“鸿沟”,这可能会限制商业区的增长。本研究旨在通过采用新颖的数据驱动的定量框架来定义首尔商业区的生命周期。本研究利用了2006年至2022年的商业统计数据和主要网络服务的搜索流量数据。我们的研究结果揭示了地区间供需之间持续的不匹配,强调了实体商业基础设施与短暂消费者行为之间的结构性不对称。此外,我们通过经验确定了四个不同的商业区集群,这些集群捕捉到了裂谷的存在。值得注意的是,本研究引入了一种通用的方法,使用开源工具和普遍可访问的数据来诊断商业区的变化。研究结果表明,在商业区位选择和商业生命周期研究中,必须同时考虑供给和需求。此外,该研究还提供了一种结构化的方法来分析定量和可复制的城市商业变化。
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引用次数: 0
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