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Leveraging connected-vehicle data to identify and analyze park service areas 利用联网车辆数据识别和分析公园服务区
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106665
Xiaofeng Li , Hyunsoo Noh , Adrian Cottam , Qinzheng Wang
Access to urban parks is essential for promoting public health, social equity, and sustainability in cities. Most park planning guidelines only provide a pre-defined service area, failing to reflect the actual service area. Although a few recent studies have used mobile signal data to calculate the origin-park distance to identify park service areas, the limitations in data and methods could yield biased results, and an investigation of car-based park users is missing. Therefore, this study proposes a data-driven framework that leverages emerging connected-vehicle data to identify park service areas specifically for car-based users. The connected-vehicle data is first processed to identify trips between users' origin locations and parks, and their travel distances to parks are extracted. Furthermore, the mixture models, Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) and Lognormal Mixture Model (LMM), are applied to fit the travel distance data and determine the optimal models. The evaluation results show that the LMM outperforms other models, and two distributions are sufficient to accurately fit the travel distance distribution. The proposed methods were implemented in Pima County as a case study to demonstrate their applicability. The results show that most municipal parks have service areas ranging from 8 km to 20 km, while county parks have slightly larger service areas. Furthermore, three federal parks have service areas ranging from 20 km to 30 km. All urban parks can be clustered into two groups using the K-Prototypes clustering method. The clustering results show that parks with smaller areas and a diversity of athletic facilities tend to have relatively small service areas, while parks with larger sizes and outdoor recreational facilities tend to have relatively large service areas.
进入城市公园对于促进城市的公共卫生、社会公平和可持续性至关重要。大多数公园规划指南只提供了预先定义的服务区域,未能反映实际的服务区域。尽管最近的一些研究使用移动信号数据来计算起点到公园的距离来确定公园服务区域,但数据和方法的局限性可能会产生有偏差的结果,并且缺少对以汽车为基础的停车场用户的调查。因此,本研究提出了一个数据驱动的框架,利用新兴的联网车辆数据来确定专门为汽车用户提供的公园服务区。首先对联网车辆数据进行处理,以确定用户出发地和公园之间的行程,并提取他们到公园的旅行距离。利用高斯混合模型(GMM)和对数正态混合模型(LMM)对行程距离数据进行拟合,确定最优模型。评价结果表明,LMM模型优于其他模型,两个分布足以准确拟合出行距离分布。以皮马县为例,对所提出方法的适用性进行了实证研究。结果表明:大多数市属公园的服务区域在8 ~ 20 km之间,而县属公园的服务区域略大。此外,三个联邦公园的服务区从20公里到30公里不等。利用k - prototype聚类方法,可以将所有城市公园聚为两类。聚类结果表明,面积较小、运动设施种类较多的公园服务区面积相对较小,而面积较大、室外娱乐设施较多的公园服务区面积相对较大。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring hidden qualities of public spaces that contribute to shaping urban nightlife in a Metropolis 探索公共空间的隐藏品质,有助于塑造大都市的城市夜生活
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106678
Mostafa Khazaei , Ehsan Ranjbar , Mohammad Reza Pourjafar
The increasing demand for leisure time, along with thermal comfort challenges, has led to a growing use of public spaces at night. However, research on nightlife on the micro-scale of public spaces remains in its early stages. This gap is emphasized as most studies focus on developed countries, overlooking the cultural and climatic differences of developing regions. Although mainstream urban design has a well-established tradition of studying the components that contribute to the quality of public spaces, it has not seriously addressed night-time public spaces.
This study aims to identify the qualities that shape public spaces at night, focusing on Tehran, a city known for its vibrant yet underexplored nightlife. Field observations were conducted in 64 public spaces across different areas of Tehran, using filming and photography, complemented by qualitative content analysis from in-depth participant interviews in 4 selected places.
The results identified six types of permanent night-time public spaces. Findings reveal that all participants preferred night-time public spaces over daytime ones, highlighting qualities such as thermal comfort, leisure, mental relaxation, sense of action freedom, unique mental image, and unique visual experiences. There is a strong inclination toward natural or semi-natural public spaces that allow for walking (exercise) in a calm and open environment. Participants seek expansive areas that offer mobility, play opportunities, and various activities rather than small, enclosed, single-function public spaces with limited amenities.
人们对休闲时间的需求不断增长,以及对热舒适的挑战,导致人们越来越多地在夜间使用公共空间。然而,对微观公共空间的夜生活研究仍处于起步阶段。由于大多数研究集中在发达国家,忽视了发展中地区的文化和气候差异,因此强调了这一差距。虽然主流的城市设计有着研究公共空间质量的组成部分的悠久传统,但它并没有认真对待夜间公共空间。这项研究旨在确定塑造夜间公共空间的品质,重点关注德黑兰,这座城市以其充满活力但未被充分开发的夜生活而闻名。实地观察在德黑兰不同地区的64个公共场所进行,使用拍摄和摄影,并辅以从4个选定地点的深入参与者访谈中进行的定性内容分析。研究结果确定了六种永久性夜间公共空间。研究结果显示,所有参与者都更喜欢夜间的公共空间,而不是白天的公共空间,突出了热舒适、休闲、精神放松、行动自由、独特的心理形象和独特的视觉体验等品质。有强烈倾向于自然或半自然的公共空间,允许在平静和开放的环境中散步(锻炼)。参与者寻求提供流动性、游戏机会和各种活动的广阔区域,而不是小的、封闭的、功能单一的公共空间。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the interactive effects of internal and external factors on residents' daily lives: Perspective of commercial gentrification in historic districts 探索内外因素对居民日常生活的互动影响:历史街区商业高档化的视角
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106679
Jiarui Zhu , Kojiro Sho , Yunmi Park , Yulan Yuan , Shichen Zhao
Commercial gentrification has led to the widespread replacement of traditional shops with high-end boutiques and large chain enterprises, a phenomenon particularly prevalent in historic districts. However, existing research predominantly focuses on the effect of such changes on tourism while largely neglecting the daily lives of residents within historic districts. To address this gap, this study compares historic districts with commercial and non-commercial gentrification in China to examine the effects of internal and external factors and their interaction effect on residents' daily lives. The findings indicate that in commercially gentrified historic districts, high-income and highly educated groups use neighborhood facilities more frequently. This demonstrates that the improved external environment becomes a key driver of residents' daily lives. However, the benefits are disproportionately concentrated among middle- and high-income groups, exacerbating inequalities in resource accessibility for low-income residents. In contrast, in non-commercial gentrified historic districts, the interaction effect between socioeconomic attributes and the residential environment is more pronounced, highlighting the advantages of traditional commercial environments in fostering socioeconomic diversity and resource inclusivity. This study provides empirical evidence for understanding the effect of commercial gentrification on residents' lives and offers policy recommendations for urban planning, indicating that achieving sustainable and inclusive development is essential for balancing environmental improvements with social equity. This study contributes to the literature by shifting the focus from tourism effects to the lived experiences of residents, offering new insights into how different commercial environments shape daily life dynamics.
商业高档化导致传统商店被高端精品店和大型连锁企业广泛取代,这种现象在历史街区尤为普遍。然而,现有的研究主要集中在这些变化对旅游业的影响上,而在很大程度上忽视了历史街区内居民的日常生活。为了解决这一差距,本研究将中国的历史街区与商业和非商业高档化进行比较,以考察内部和外部因素的影响及其对居民日常生活的相互作用。研究结果表明,在商业高档化的历史街区,高收入和高学历群体更频繁地使用社区设施。这表明,外部环境的改善成为居民日常生活的关键驱动力。然而,这些好处不成比例地集中在中高收入群体中,加剧了低收入居民在获取资源方面的不平等。相比之下,在非商业性的士绅化历史街区,社会经济属性与居住环境的互动效应更为明显,凸显了传统商业环境在促进社会经济多样性和资源包容性方面的优势。本研究为理解商业高绅化对居民生活的影响提供了经验证据,并为城市规划提供了政策建议,表明实现可持续和包容性发展对于平衡环境改善与社会公平至关重要。本研究将焦点从旅游效应转移到居民的生活体验,为研究不同的商业环境如何塑造日常生活动态提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Pop-up urbanism in post-industrial landscapes within the European capital of culture program: Can it foster processes of creative placemaking? 欧洲文化之都项目中的后工业景观中的弹出式城市主义:它能促进创造性的场所创造过程吗?
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106670
Alexandra-Camelia Marian-Potra , Anita Denisa Caizer , Nicolae Popa , Amelia Laura Ile , Cătălina Ancuța
The transformation of brownfield sites, regarded as unsightly features of the urban landscape, is currently a challenge in urban regeneration. One way in which this can be achieved is through temporary cultural interventions and adaptive reuse. This study investigates the European Capital of Culture 2023 cultural program as a temporary intervention within post-socialist former industrial areas of Timisoara, Romania, to highlight the creative placemaking processes facilitated through it. The dynamics of events during and after ECoC 2023 were investigated, and this information was supplemented with pre-event data from longitudinal studies and interviews. We applied data triangulation in four cluster locations in three urban areas representative of collective memory. The netnographic analysis entailed the centralization and coding of 819 events, 70 spaces, and 1053 Google Maps reviews, together with interviews (n = 13), which were subjected to directed analysis and thematic coding. These methods were complemented by direct observations. The results show that the impact of ECoC TM2023 in acting as a catalyst in reconfiguring the post-industrial landscape and improving marginalized spaces varies as a function of the maturity of cultural initiatives. Areas with strong cultural infrastructures exhibit stable models, while those with fragile networks have seen development stimulated and demonstrate growth potential. We propose a three structural dimensions framework for the identified creative placemaking models-emergent, collaborative, and institutional-that explains their processes in post-industrial contexts. Our research emphasizes the central role of local artists in the initiation and enabling of creative placemaking processes, supported by collaborative institutional, independent, and community structures.
棕地的改造被认为是城市景观中不雅观的特征,是目前城市更新的一个挑战。实现这一目标的一种方法是通过临时文化干预和适应性再利用。本研究调查了欧洲文化之都2023文化项目,作为罗马尼亚蒂米什瓦拉后社会主义前工业区的临时干预,以突出通过它促进的创造性场所制作过程。调查了ECoC 2023期间和之后的事件动态,并辅以纵向研究和访谈的事件前数据。我们在三个具有集体记忆代表性的城市地区的四个集群位置应用了数据三角测量。网络分析需要对819个事件、70个空间和1053个谷歌地图评论进行集中和编码,以及采访(n = 13),这些都要进行定向分析和主题编码。这些方法得到了直接观察的补充。结果表明,ECoC TM2023在重新配置后工业景观和改善边缘空间方面的催化剂作用随着文化活动的成熟度而变化。文化基础设施较强的地区模式稳定,文化基础设施薄弱的地区发展势头强劲,增长潜力明显。我们提出了一个三个结构维度的框架,用于确定创造性的场所创造模式——新兴的、协作的和机构的——来解释它们在后工业背景下的过程。我们的研究强调了当地艺术家在发起和实现创造性场所创造过程中的核心作用,并得到合作机构、独立机构和社区结构的支持。
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引用次数: 0
From industrial heartland to urban tourism destination: Balancing growth and community well-being in Amsterdam Noord 从工业中心到城市旅游目的地:阿姆斯特丹北部平衡发展和社区福祉
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106680
Eva Nieuwkoop , Álvaro Dias
This study explores the dynamics of urban tourism development in Amsterdam Noord, a district undergoing a significant transformation from an overlooked area to a vibrant hub, with particular attention to how sustainability concerns and community well-being are negotiated in this process. The study aims to develop an empirically grounded theoretical framework explaining the processes through which tourism development in Amsterdam Noord influences community dynamics and sustainability outcomes. Using a Grounded Theory methodology, including desk research, interviews, and observations, the research investigates the benefits and challenges posed by the increasing tourist influx, proposing a holistic model to urban development. The findings reveal that while tourism, as a part of a broader development strategy, has stimulated economic growth and urban regeneration, it has also exacerbated gentrification and social inequalities. The study emphasizes the need for balanced tourism policies that prioritize community well-being and sustainable development. The research highlights the complexity of managing urban tourism in a way that preserves the unique character of local neighbourhoods.
本研究探讨了阿姆斯特丹北部城市旅游发展的动态,该地区正在经历从一个被忽视的地区到一个充满活力的中心的重大转变,特别关注在这个过程中如何协调可持续性问题和社区福祉。本研究旨在建立一个以实证为基础的理论框架,解释阿姆斯特丹北部旅游发展影响社区动态和可持续性结果的过程。本研究采用扎根理论方法,包括案头研究、访谈和观察,调查了不断增加的游客涌入带来的好处和挑战,提出了一个城市发展的整体模型。研究结果表明,虽然旅游业作为更广泛发展战略的一部分,刺激了经济增长和城市更新,但它也加剧了士绅化和社会不平等。该研究强调需要制定平衡的旅游政策,优先考虑社区福祉和可持续发展。该研究强调了在保留当地社区独特特征的情况下管理城市旅游的复杂性。
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引用次数: 0
A monument to socialist industrialisation or a tool for creating urban development? Rehabilitation of former industrial tram lines (FITL) in Central-Eastern Europe after socialist industrialisation in the context of transit oriented development 是社会主义工业化的纪念碑,还是创造城市发展的工具?社会主义工业化后在交通导向发展的背景下修复中欧-东欧原工业有轨电车线路
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106673
Jakub Taczanowski, Arkadiusz Kołoś, Łukasz Fiedeń
The purpose of the paper is to answer the question whether and how former industrial tram lines (FITL) can be useful in the context of urban development and whether their transformation can be compatible with the TOD concept. FITL are tram lines constructed in order to transport large numbers of workers to enormous industrial plants which were characteristic for socialist urban planning in Central-Eastern Europe (CEE). Among 21 FITL identified in four CEE countries (Poland, Czechia, Slovakia and Hungary), 14 % have witnessed a large scale functional transformation in their neighbourhoods with a total termination of industrial activity, accompanied by revitalisation of the tram infrastructure. In the case of another 43 % at least a partial neighbourhood revitalisation has taken place while the remaining lines are still waiting for new functions. We argue that under the influence of specific factors FITL can be transformed into modern urban solutions which under favourable circumstances can be compatible with the concept of Transit Oriented Development (TOD). The most important of these factors include ease adaptability of the area for new functions, good accessibility and lack of too negative image of the postindustrial area as well as polyfunctional character of the city and its high position in the settlement hierarchy, accompanied by coherent transport and spatial policy promoting mixed urban development and public transport. For TOD to happen it is crucial that the tram line has an active role in the functional transformation process, being modernised and adjusted to a new role. It cannot be overstated that appropriate approach to urban and transport planning is a crucial success factor here.
本文的目的是回答以下问题:前工业有轨电车线路(FITL)在城市发展的背景下是否有用以及如何有用,以及它们的改造是否可以与TOD概念兼容。FITL是为了将大量工人运送到巨大的工业工厂而建造的有轨电车线路,这是中东欧社会主义城市规划的特征。在四个中东欧国家(波兰、捷克、斯洛伐克和匈牙利)确定的21个城市中,14%的城市见证了其社区的大规模功能转变,工业活动完全终止,伴随着有轨电车基础设施的复兴。在另外43%的案例中,至少已经进行了部分社区振兴,而其余的线路仍在等待新的功能。我们认为,在特定因素的影响下,FITL可以转化为现代城市解决方案,在有利的情况下,可以与交通导向发展(TOD)的概念兼容。其中最重要的因素包括该地区易于适应新功能,良好的可达性和缺乏过于负面的后工业地区形象,以及城市的多功能特征及其在聚落层次中的高位置,伴随着连贯的交通和空间政策,促进城市发展和公共交通的混合。为了实现TOD,关键是有轨电车在功能转变过程中发挥积极作用,实现现代化并调整到新的角色。适当的城市和交通规划方法是这里取得成功的关键因素,这一点怎么强调都不为过。
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking food access at the household level under the 15-min city framework 重新思考15分钟城市框架下家庭层面的粮食获取
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106657
Mengya Xu , Kayla de la Haye , Beau MacDonald , John P. Wilson
This study uses a GIS-based method to measure food access at the household level across Los Angeles County (LAC). It analyzes over 3.7 million households within their respective 15-min neighborhoods and identifies households with poor food access who live in socioeconomically disadvantaged communities. Our approach is contrasted with traditional U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) food access measures, highlighting both overlaps and differences compared to conventional census tract-based food desert measures. Additionally, we extend our analysis to compare food access in LAC with other global regions and countries. This study exposes the limitations of existing datasets and traditional methods and addresses the challenges in spatially measuring food environments at meaningful scales. Our findings provide new insights into the granularity of food access disparities, informing targeted urban planning and policymaking to improve food security and accessibility.
本研究使用基于gis的方法来测量洛杉矶县(LAC)家庭层面的食物获取情况。它分析了各自15分钟社区内的370多万户家庭,并确定了生活在社会经济弱势社区的食物获取困难的家庭。我们的方法与传统的美国农业部(USDA)食品获取措施进行了对比,与传统的基于人口普查区的食品沙漠措施相比,突出了重叠和差异。此外,我们还扩展了我们的分析,将拉丁美洲和加勒比地区的粮食获取情况与全球其他地区和国家进行比较。本研究揭示了现有数据集和传统方法的局限性,并解决了在有意义的尺度上对食物环境进行空间测量的挑战。我们的研究结果为了解粮食获取差距的粒度提供了新的见解,为有针对性的城市规划和政策制定提供了信息,以改善粮食安全和可及性。
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引用次数: 0
The power of place-based Future Visioning: Centring climate justice in urban adaptation 基于地点的未来愿景的力量:以城市适应为中心的气候正义
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106614
Thaisa Comelli , Anika Samm-A , Dilli Prasad Poudel , Jamal Dabbeek , Johanna Nalau , Jonathan Ensor , Karim Aljawhari , Mark Pelling , Max Hope , Mohammed Moniruzzaman Khan , Rita Thakuri , Samah Saleh , Tatu Mtwangi-Limbumba , Wilbard Kombe
Future Visioning (FV) is emerging as a critical area for climate adaptation science, policy, and practice. Yet, experiences tend to be led by government institutions or powerful stakeholders, leaving out relevant voices for climate justice. This article highlights the importance of incorporating diverse perspectives in shaping future visions for risk-informed planning and adaptation in cities. The paper examines data from normative FV engagements conducted in four contexts in Tanzania, Palestine, Nepal, and Bangladesh. The analysis reveals various logics used to express place-based injustices and the extent to which these inform visions for resilient future urban environments. By adopting a comparative approach, the research analyses results both within cities - focusing on narratives and scenarios emerging from different social groups - and across cities, exploring emerging global narratives on desired urban development in a context of rapid urbanisation, multi hazard risks and climate change. Our findings highlight the complex nature of visions, which intersect universalistic values with situated experiences and lived injustices. Further research on this topic should explore how intersectional future thinking can drive specific planning trade-offs, as well as its tangible influence on urban planning paradigm shifts and processes amidst rapid urban change.
未来展望(FV)正在成为气候适应科学、政策和实践的一个关键领域。然而,经验往往是由政府机构或强大的利益相关者主导的,而忽略了气候正义的相关声音。本文强调了在塑造城市风险知情规划和适应的未来愿景时纳入不同观点的重要性。本文考察了在坦桑尼亚、巴勒斯坦、尼泊尔和孟加拉国四国开展的规范性FV活动的数据。分析揭示了用于表达基于地点的不公正的各种逻辑,以及这些逻辑在多大程度上为未来弹性城市环境的愿景提供了信息。通过采用比较方法,本研究分析了城市内部的结果——重点关注不同社会群体出现的叙述和情景——以及城市之间的结果,探索了在快速城市化、多灾害风险和气候变化背景下关于理想城市发展的新兴全球叙述。我们的研究结果强调了愿景的复杂性,它将普世主义价值观与情境经历和生活不公交织在一起。对这一主题的进一步研究应该探索交叉未来思维如何推动具体的规划权衡,以及它对快速城市变化中的城市规划范式转变和过程的切实影响。
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引用次数: 0
The spatial dynamics of urban experimentation: a novel framework for recontextualisation across places 城市实验的空间动态:跨地方重新语境化的新框架
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106682
Wikke Novalia , Rob Raven , Megan Farrelly
Globally, cities are confronted with multifaceted climate mitigation and adaptation challenges, requiring experimentation with new socio-technical systems to accelerate sustainability transitions and enhance resilience. An emerging urban governance approach centred on experimentation—employed to test socio-technical innovations and promote learning—has gained traction in scholarship and practice. Research has shown that generalising and aggregating insights from urban experiments play important roles in facilitating their transfer. Utilising geographical lenses, increasing attention has been paid to the significant influence of place on urban experimentation, as well as their diffusion. However, current research lacks an integrated perspective on the relationships between the transfer of experiments and their recontextualisation in new settings. Noting a critical gap in understanding the diverse types of work involved in recontextualising experiments, we propose a heuristic framework based on geography and transitions literature. We explore the utility of this framework by employing original data from multiple case studies of urban sustainability experiments across water and energy domains in Australian cities. Replication, reconfiguration, translocal adaptation, and assemblage are identified as distinct but interrelated recontextualisation work in transferring and adapting experiments across places. Applying the heuristic helps establish that more complex experiments and dissimilar environments entail greater difficulties in transfer. The results provide a deeper understanding of the nuanced mechanisms in standardising and recontextualising experiments with different degrees of sophistication and place-based requirements. The Australian cases contribute a novel body of evidence that broadens the scope of contemporary sustainability experiments research, traditionally rooted in European contexts.
在全球范围内,城市面临着多方面的气候减缓和适应挑战,需要试验新的社会技术系统,以加速可持续性转型并增强抵御能力。一种新兴的以实验为中心的城市治理方法——用于测试社会技术创新和促进学习——已经在学术和实践中获得了吸引力。研究表明,从城市实验中归纳和汇总见解在促进其转移方面发挥着重要作用。利用地理视角,越来越多地关注地点对城市实验及其传播的重要影响。然而,目前的研究缺乏对实验转移及其在新环境中重新情境化之间关系的综合观点。注意到在理解重新语境化实验中涉及的不同类型的工作方面存在关键差距,我们提出了一个基于地理和过渡文献的启发式框架。我们通过使用来自澳大利亚城市水和能源领域的城市可持续发展实验的多个案例研究的原始数据来探索这一框架的效用。复制、重新配置、跨地区适应和组合被认为是跨地区转移和适应实验的不同但相互关联的重新情境化工作。应用启发式有助于确定,更复杂的实验和不同的环境需要更大的困难转移。这些结果提供了对具有不同复杂程度和基于地点的需求的标准化和重新情境化实验的微妙机制的更深入的理解。澳大利亚的案例提供了新的证据,拓宽了传统上植根于欧洲背景的当代可持续性实验研究的范围。
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引用次数: 0
From neighborhoods to streetscapes: Pandemic-era shifts in built-environment effects on pedestrian mobility 从社区到街景:大流行时代建筑环境对行人移动性的影响
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106685
Xiaoran Huang , Li Zeng , Yidan Wang , Hanxiong Liang , Xiaowen Xu , Marcus White
Understanding how pedestrian behavior responds to disruptions is essential for not only for enhancing urban resilience and risk preparedness, but also for informing effective urban regeneration strategies. Addressing existing limitations in pedestrian mobility research, particularly regarding feature selection, data precision, and spatial scale, this study develops a pedestrian flow prediction framework driven by neighborhood-level, street-level, and temporal-weather datasets within Melbourne's Central Business District. By examining interactions and evolutionary trends between pedestrian mobility and the built environment across pre-pandemic, pandemic, and post-pandemic periods, our analysis highlights three key findings: (1) Deep neural networks demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy among seven tested machine learning models, particularly under unstable travel conditions. (2) A notable shift was observed in pedestrian mobility's reliance on built environment features, evolving from a pre-pandemic emphasis on neighborhood-scale attributes to a post-pandemic predominance of street-scale characteristics, accompanied by intensified cross-scale feature interactions. (3) The pandemic induced enduring changes in pedestrian mobility patterns and preferences, including reduced dependence on public transportation and heightened preference for greener, open, and walkable spaces. By integrating urban analytics, spatial adaptation, behavioral resilience, and mobility justice, this research provide empirical insights to advance more inclusive and future-oriented urban planning, resilient and spatial renewal strategies.
了解行人行为对干扰的反应不仅对增强城市韧性和风险准备至关重要,而且对有效的城市更新战略也至关重要。为了解决现有行人流动性研究的局限性,特别是在特征选择、数据精度和空间尺度方面,本研究开发了一个由墨尔本中央商务区的社区级、街道级和时间天气数据集驱动的行人流量预测框架。通过研究大流行前、大流行和大流行后时期行人机动性与建筑环境之间的相互作用和进化趋势,我们的分析突出了三个关键发现:(1)深度神经网络在七个测试的机器学习模型中显示出最高的预测准确性,特别是在不稳定的旅行条件下。(2)行人流动性对建成环境特征的依赖发生了显著变化,从大流行前对社区尺度属性的重视演变为大流行后对街道尺度特征的重视,并伴有跨尺度特征相互作用的加剧。(3)大流行导致行人流动模式和偏好发生持久变化,包括减少对公共交通的依赖,提高对更绿色、开放和可步行空间的偏好。通过整合城市分析、空间适应性、行为弹性和流动性正义,本研究为推进更具包容性和面向未来的城市规划、弹性和空间更新策略提供了实证见解。
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引用次数: 0
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