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Land revenue and government myopia: Evidence from Chinese cities 土地收入与政府近视:来自中国城市的证据
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105393

While the impact of land revenue has been widely analyzed, there is little empirical research on the impact of land revenue on government planning horizon, especially government myopia. In response, this study investigates the effects of land revenue on local government myopia within the context of the land leasing system in China. Measuring government myopia with textual analysis and machine learning, we empirically test the hypothesis based on a two-way fixed effects model and a series of robustness checks with instrumental variables (IV) in addressing endogeneity. Our results indicate that local governments with larger land revenue tend to be more myopic, and the greater uncertainty of land revenue increases the likelihood of government myopia, with the evidence that local governments prioritize short-term economic growth over long-term investments in social welfare.

虽然土地收入的影响已被广泛分析,但有关土地收入对政府规划视野,尤其是政府近视影响的实证研究却很少。为此,本研究以中国的土地租赁制度为背景,探讨了土地收入对地方政府近视的影响。我们利用文本分析和机器学习对政府近视进行测量,并基于双向固定效应模型和一系列工具变量(IV)进行实证检验,以解决内生性问题。结果表明,土地收入越多的地方政府越近视,而土地收入的不确定性越大,政府近视的可能性就越大。
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引用次数: 0
Resilience to wildfires: Comparative insights of barriers and facilitators for spatial planning in Victoria and Chile 抵御野火的能力:对维多利亚州和智利空间规划的障碍和促进因素的比较认识
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105389

This paper explores the elements influencing and conditioning spatial planning processes for changing their systems based on new wildfire information. The research was approached as an inductive qualitative research, using a multiple case study strategy: the Chilean and the Victorian (Australia) spatial planning systems. The analysis considered the barriers and facilitators for change (willingness, understandings, and capacities), and the stages of processes of knowledge development for changing the spatial planning systems (identification, reframing, and implementation). Based on a cross-case synthesis of the two case studies, analytic generalizations about spatial planning's ability to change its instruments and practices for dealing with wildfires, and elements conditioning this ability, are suggested in the form of theoretical propositions: three overarching propositions, broken down into ten propositions specific to the stages of the process of knowledge development and change. These provide applied understandings of spatial planning mechanisms and processes that hinder or contribute to changing their instruments for dealing with wildfires. Furthermore, they suggest that the success of knowledge development and change processes requires the acceptance and use of the willingness, understanding, and capacity dynamics. Ultimately, this research contributes theoretical and practical insights for promoting wildfire resilience via the planning and governance of cities.

本文探讨了影响和制约空间规划过程的因素,以便根据新的野火信息改变其系统。本研究采用归纳式定性研究方法,采用多案例研究策略:智利和维多利亚(澳大利亚)的空间规划系统。分析考虑了改变的障碍和促进因素(意愿、理解和能力),以及改变空间规划系统的知识发展过程的各个阶段(识别、重构和实施)。在对两个案例研究进行跨案例综合的基础上,以理论命题的形式提出了关于空间规划改变其应对野火的工具和实践的能力以及这种能力的条件要素的分析概括:三个总体命题,细分为针对知识发展和变革过程各阶段的十个命题。这些命题提供了对空间规划机制和过程的应用理解,这些机制和过程阻碍或有助于改变应对野火的手段。此外,他们还提出,知识发展和变革过程的成功需要接受和使用意愿、理解和能力动态。最终,这项研究为通过城市规划和治理促进野火抗御能力提供了理论和实践见解。
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引用次数: 0
Evolutionary game and risk decision-making of four core participants of land finance in China 中国土地财政四位核心参与者的进化博弈与风险决策
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105359

In order to balance the interests of land finance participants and maintain the stability of their capital chain, this paper combines the two levels of local government debt financing and real estate development, incorporates local governments, real estate developers, urban residents and commercial banks into a unified analytical framework, systematically constructs a behavioral game evolution model of the four core participants to analyze the stability of the equilibrium points and the system stability strategies. Meanwhile, the numerical simulation is used to explore the impact of parameter changes on the behavioral game evolution trend and risk profile of each participant. The results show that: (1) The land transfer revenue and other costs of investing in local development have greater impacts on the strategic choices of local governments than the cost of land-transferring, and excessively low land transfer revenue and high costs of investing in local development will trigger a series of financial risks, which is not conducive to the systemic stability. (2) The rise in commercial banks' lending rate will increase the difficulty of real estate developers' capital turnover, so that they have to bear the risks of loan default, delay in construction and so on, however, improving the autonomous repayment rate of real estate developers can alleviate it. (3) The cost of house purchase and the benefits from quality resources acquired by urban residents from purchasing a house have different degrees of influence on the strategic choices of urban residents and work in opposite directions, so the relationship between the two factors should be adequately balanced to help urban residents avoid risks such as increased pressure in life. (4) The probability of commercial banks choosing the “lending to real estate developers” strategy is positively correlated with real estate developers' autonomous repayment rate and commercial banks' lending rate, and the inappropriate value of the two may lead to credit risk. Finally, from the perspective of the game participants, targeted risk decision-making and policy recommendations are put forward.

为了平衡土地财政各参与方的利益,维护其资金链的稳定,本文结合地方政府债务融资和房地产开发两个层面,将地方政府、房地产开发商、城镇居民和商业银行纳入统一的分析框架,系统构建了四个核心参与方的行为博弈演化模型,分析其均衡点的稳定性和系统稳定策略。同时,利用数值模拟探讨参数变化对各参与方行为博弈演化趋势和风险状况的影响。结果表明(1)与土地出让成本相比,土地出让收入和投资地方发展的其他成本对地方政府战略选择的影响更大,过低的土地出让收入和过高的投资地方发展成本将引发一系列金融风险,不利于系统稳定。(2)商业银行贷款利率的上升会增加房地产开发商的资金周转难度,使其不得不承担贷款违约、工期延误等风险,但提高房地产开发商的自主还款率可以缓解。(3)城镇居民购房成本与购房所获得的优质资源收益对城镇居民的战略选择具有不同程度的影响,且作用方向相反,因此应充分平衡两个因素之间的关系,帮助城镇居民规避生活压力增大等风险。(4)商业银行选择 "贷款给房地产开发商 "策略的概率与房地产开发商的自主还款率和商业银行的贷款利率正相关,二者取值不当可能导致信贷风险。最后,从博弈参与者的角度,提出有针对性的风险决策和政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change adaptation at the margins. The case of Cairo, Egypt 边缘地区的气候变化适应。埃及开罗的案例
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105390

The duration, frequency and intensity of climate change are increasing. Adaptation to climate change is oftentimes perceived as a local concern. Vulnerable groups at the margins try to find nature-based ways to cope with extreme urban climate change events with diverse direct and indirect adaptive strategies in absence of government interventions. From this study's investigative approach in Cairo, Egypt we draw primarily from interviews with locals and observational walks in three vulnerable areas in the same urban zone. Research revealed that adaptation can be political, demanding that locals sometimes make hard choices, especially during the absence of government intervention. Nevertheless, some of the adaptive strategies observed can be promoted as mainstream sustainable nature-based adaptation. The discussion reflects some social and economic dimensions that affect local adaptation synergies. This study hopefully contributes to the understanding of how the capacity of individual homeowners can help mitigate climate change risk through the implementation of their own physical and psychological adaptive strategies. In addition, it bears relevance not only for countries sharing similar climates, economic conditions or similar social norms, but also for general adaptation strategies that might support ecosystem-based or nature-based adaptation or tailor-made scenarios for locally applicable adaptation to climate change.

气候变化的持续时间、频率和强度都在增加。适应气候变化通常被视为地方性问题。在缺乏政府干预的情况下,处于边缘地带的弱势群体试图找到以自然为基础的方法,通过各种直接和间接的适应策略来应对极端的城市气候变化事件。本研究在埃及开罗的调查方法主要来自于对当地人的访谈以及在同一城市区域内三个脆弱地区的步行观察。研究表明,适应可能是政治性的,要求当地人有时做出艰难的选择,尤其是在没有政府干预的情况下。尽管如此,观察到的一些适应战略仍可作为以自然为基础的主流可持续适应战略加以推广。讨论反映了影响当地适应协同作用的一些社会和经济因素。希望本研究能帮助人们了解个体房主的能力如何通过实施自己的生理和心理适应策略来帮助减轻气候变化风险。此外,这项研究不仅对气候、经济条件或社会规范相似的国家有借鉴意义,而且对可能支持基于生态系统或自然的适应的一般适应战略或为当地适应气候变化量身定制的方案也有借鉴意义。
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引用次数: 0
Repel or attract? Effects of urban digital infrastructure on labor migration: Evidence from urban China 排斥还是吸引?城市数字基础设施对劳动力迁移的影响:来自中国城市的证据
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105386

As a key feature of digital economy, digital infrastructure plays a prominent role in influencing labor migration across regions. To examine the impact of urban digital infrastructure development on labor migration in China, we first propose the theoretical mechanism of urban digital infrastructure affecting labor migration. Using the conditional logit model, we further analyze the impact based on the data of 165,866 individual data from 2013 to 2018 and the data of 240 prefecture-level cities in China. Empirical results indicate that urban digital infrastructure development has a significant inverted U-shaped effect on labor migration. The individual heterogeneity of the inverted U-shaped effect is significant in the labor migrants. Urban digital infrastructure development is more attractive to labor migrants with low education levels, labor migrants with the rural hukou, as well as female and new-generation individuals. Further research shows that the mechanisms that the inverted U-shaped effect depends on the comprehensive effects of mediating effects including the employment creation, the productivity, the employment substitution, and moderating effects as employment quality. Our findings are helpful to guide the orderly labor migration in the context of the accelerated development of digital infrastructure.

作为数字经济的重要特征,数字基础设施在影响劳动力跨区域迁移方面发挥着突出作用。为研究中国城市数字基础设施发展对劳动力迁移的影响,我们首先提出了城市数字基础设施影响劳动力迁移的理论机制。利用条件logit模型,我们基于2013年至2018年的165866个个体数据和中国240个地级市的数据,进一步分析了其影响。实证结果表明,城市数字基础设施建设对劳动力迁移具有显著的倒 U 型影响。在劳动力迁移者中,倒U型效应的个体异质性显著。城市数字基础设施建设对低教育水平的劳动力迁移者、拥有农村户口的劳动力迁移者以及女性和新生代个体更具吸引力。进一步的研究表明,倒 U 型效应的产生机制取决于包括就业创造、生产率、就业替代以及就业质量等调节效应在内的中介效应的综合影响。我们的研究结果有助于指导数字基础设施加速发展背景下的有序劳动力迁移。
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引用次数: 0
Women in public spaces: Perceptions and initiatives to promote gender equality 公共场所的妇女:促进性别平等的观念和举措
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105346

Despite the abundant scientific literature on gender equality, there is a ‘gap’ in women's representativeness in public spaces. This gap is addressed in this article, which investigates how the perception and use of public spaces by their female users should influence their planning, design, management, and uses. The objectives are, thus, to: identify the main characteristics of public spaces; analyse the differences in their perception and use according to gender; and propose measures to render them more inclusive. A dashboard that includes a set of indicators enables the demographic, economic, social and cultural characterization of users, and how they perceive and use these spaces. Portal da Amazónia provides a framework to promote the achievement of gender equality objectives. The data collected and its monitoring should support the implementation of the set of measures proposed, aimed at: participation as a form of belonging; autonomy, diversity and integration; vitality of the surroundings; safety and citizenship; and language and symbolic representation. It is also proposed the implementation of a digital user registration system to monitor use and satisfaction with public spaces (once these measures have been put into practice - which can be generalised to other public spaces in different locations and urban realities.

尽管有大量关于性别平等的科学文献,但女性在公共空间中的代表性仍存在 "差距"。本文针对这一差距,研究了女性用户对公共空间的认知和使用应如何影响公共空间的规划、设计、管理和使用。因此,本文的目标是:确定公共空间的主要特征;分析不同性别在感知和使用公共空间方面的差异;并提出使公共空间更具包容性的措施。包括一系列指标在内的仪表板可以对用户的人口、经济、社会和文化特征进行分析,并了解他们如何看待和使用这些空间。亚马逊门户网站提供了一个促进实现性别平等目标的框架。所收集的数据及其监测应有助于实施所建议的一系列措施,这些措施旨在:作为一种归属形式的参与;自治、多样性和融合;周围环境的活力;安全和公民身份;以及语言和象征性代表。此外,还建议实施数字用户注册系统,以监测公共空间的使用情况和满意度(一旦这些措施付诸实施--可推广到不同地点和城市现实中的其他公共空间)。
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引用次数: 0
Betwixt and between in an ‘unreadable city’: Chinese students' urban citizenship and belonging in pandemic-era Amsterdam 在 "读不懂的城市 "中徘徊:大流行时期阿姆斯特丹中国留学生的城市公民身份与归属感
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105388

As newcomers to Amsterdam, Chinese international students arriving during 2020 – 2021 had to navigate a peculiar urban landscape shaped by the Covid-19 pandemic. Rather than the pandemic's direct impacts, we highlight the unique spatiotemporal context it mediated – a period characterized by its liminality, or in-betweenness, further marked by ambiguity and uncertainty. The study draws on narrative interviews to investigate the students' urban experiences and socio-spatial engagement, focusing on their sense of belonging and urban citizenship. Citizenship is conceptualized as a ‘lived’ that is practiced and contested, making it affective and contextual. We argue that citizenship is inextricably linked to belonging and center feeling belongingness and familiarity as proxies claiming urban citizenship. The interplay of individual subjectivities, socio-spatial practices, and transnational identities helped produce reflexive spaces of home and recontextualized Chinese dynamics in Amsterdam, demonstrating the transcendent nature of the ‘urban’ beyond physical boundaries. We find that interlocutors often attached meanings to micro-spaces rather than the city as a whole. Experiencing liminal transience and racialized (micro)aggressions impacted, to varying degrees, the participants' desire and ability to become familiar with their urban environments and build citizenship.

作为阿姆斯特丹的新移民,2020 年至 2021 年期间抵达阿姆斯特丹的中国留学生必须在 "Covid-19 "大流行所塑造的奇特城市景观中穿行。与大流行病的直接影响相比,我们强调的是它所中介的独特时空背景--这一时期的特点是边缘性或介于两者之间,并进一步以模糊性和不确定性为特征。本研究利用叙述性访谈调查学生的城市经历和社会空间参与,重点关注他们的归属感和城市公民意识。公民身份被概念化为一种 "生活",它是实践的、有争议的,因此具有情感性和情境性。我们认为,公民身份与归属感密不可分,归属感和熟悉感是城市公民身份的代名词。个人主体性、社会空间实践和跨国身份的相互作用,有助于在阿姆斯特丹形成反思性的家园空间和重新语境化的华人动态,展示了 "城市 "超越物理边界的超越性。我们发现,对话者往往将意义附加在微观空间而非整个城市上。体验边缘化的短暂性和种族化的(微)侵略在不同程度上影响了参与者熟悉城市环境和建立公民意识的愿望和能力。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling inequality: A deep dive into racial and gender disparities in US court case closures 揭开不平等的面纱:深入探究美国法院结案中的种族和性别差异
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105398

This study uses generative AI and public datasets to examine racial and gender disparities in US court case closures from 2019 to 2024. It finds significant disparities using ANOVA, Chi-Square, and Fisher's method, with an increasing trend over time. Gender disparity, though less significant in 2024, persists. Further research is needed to identify root causes and develop targeted interventions. Continuous monitoring is essential to evaluate their effectiveness. Promoting transparency, investing in research, and implementing robust monitoring systems are crucial steps towards a fairer justice system for all.

本研究使用生成式人工智能和公共数据集来研究 2019 年至 2024 年美国法院结案的种族和性别差异。研究使用方差分析、奇偶校验和费雪方法发现了明显的差异,并且随着时间的推移呈上升趋势。性别差异虽然在 2024 年不那么明显,但依然存在。需要进一步开展研究,找出根本原因,制定有针对性的干预措施。持续监测对评估干预措施的效果至关重要。提高透明度、投资于研究、实施强有力的监测系统,是实现人人享有更公平的司法系统的关键步骤。
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引用次数: 0
Towards coordination of spatial relations: Understanding Chinese mega-regionalization from a secondary city perspective 实现空间关系的协调:从二级城市视角理解中国的超大区域化
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105375

Mega-regional planning in China is expected to tackle intra-regional unevenness, namely the development gap between regional core cities and the surrounding secondary cities. However, mega-regionalization processes seem to further increase the centrality of cores and push secondary cities towards greater polarization and peripheralization, as they lose socioeconomic vitality, industrial capacity, and political voice. To reflect on why mega-regions are not fulfilling their role of rebalancing regional urban systems, we conceptualize mega-regionalization as a mechanism to coordinate spatial relations within a territory and build a novel framework to analyze the relations between core and secondary cities. First, we show that visions of mega-regional planning regarding core-secondary relations pursue goals of morphological polycentricity, flow multi-directionality, and functional complementarity. Then, we use thematic analysis to evaluate the policy orientations of mega-regional planning to achieve these goals and extract three policy themes governing core-secondary spatial relations - coexistence, connectivity, and cooperation. These can systematically redefine mega-regional planning mechanisms by giving a central role to the spatial relations between core and secondary cities. Emphasizing spatial relations to conceptualize mega-regional governance allows a novel reflection on the challenges of unevenness grounded in the perspective of secondary cities. This deepens our understanding of governance mismatches that keep ideal visions and policy orientations misaligned when seen from secondary cities. Place, priority, and actor mismatches limit the potential of mega-regionalization to respond to their challenges. This research provides a relational understanding of mega-regions, calling for more attention to secondary cities, and the development of more balanced and sustainable mega-regions.

中国的超大区域规划有望解决区域内的不均衡问题,即区域核心城市与周边二级城市之间的发展差距。然而,特大区域化进程似乎进一步增强了核心城市的中心地位,并将二级城市推向更严重的两极分化和边缘化,因为它们失去了社会经济活力、产业能力和政治话语权。为了反思为什么特大区域没有发挥其重新平衡区域城市体系的作用,我们将特大区域化概念化为一种协调区域内空间关系的机制,并建立了一个新的框架来分析核心城市和次级城市之间的关系。首先,我们展示了超大型区域规划关于核心与次级关系的愿景,追求形态多中心化、流向多方向性和功能互补性的目标。然后,我们利用主题分析法来评估特大型区域规划为实现这些目标所采取的政策导向,并从中提炼出三个关于核心-次级空间关系的政策主题--共存、连通与合作。这些政策主题可以系统地重新定义特大型区域规划机制,将核心城市与次级城市之间的空间关系置于核心地位。通过强调空间关系来构思特大区域治理,可以从二级城市的视角出发,对不均衡性带来的挑战进行新的思考。这加深了我们对治理错配的理解,从二线城市的视角来看,治理错配导致理想愿景和政策导向不一致。地点、优先权和参与者的不匹配限制了特大区域化应对挑战的潜力。这项研究提供了对特大区域的关系理解,呼吁更多地关注二级城市,发展更加平衡和可持续的特大区域。
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引用次数: 0
Boundary effects on road network vulnerability in cities 边界效应对城市路网脆弱性的影响
IF 6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105321

Road networks are typically connected at the national scale, thus investigating a city's road network vulnerability requires defining an urban boundary. However, the choice of boundary varies widely in research, resulting in divergent and at times contradictory findings. Moreover, analyzing larger cities' road networks with expanding boundaries helps to predict road network vulnerability patterns in smaller, similarly structured cities. Guided by these two objectives, this study investigates the gaps in road network vulnerabilities by comparing 1452 road networks from 363 cities in Mainland China across four distinct boundary types. The findings indicate a significant change in road network vulnerability across different boundaries, with the largest gap ranging between 0.5449 and 0.8743. The study further finds these vulnerability gaps correlate with the difference in the structural characteristics of those urban road networks and the urban population covered by different boundaries, with correlation coefficients ranging from 0.362 to 0.755. Notably, the cities' vulnerability rankings show relatively slight variations when adopting different boundaries, with Spearman's correlation coefficients between 0.442 and 0.879. This research offers valuable insights into the influence of urban expansion on road network vulnerability, particularly relevant in the context of rapid urbanization and the expansion of road networks.

道路网络通常在全国范围内连接,因此调查一个城市的道路网络脆弱性需要确定一个城市边界。然而,研究中对边界的选择差异很大,导致研究结果各不相同,有时甚至相互矛盾。此外,分析边界不断扩大的较大城市的道路网络,有助于预测结构类似的较小城市的道路网络脆弱性模式。在这两个目标的指导下,本研究通过比较中国大陆 363 个城市跨越四种不同边界类型的 1452 个道路网络,调查了道路网络脆弱性的差距。研究结果表明,路网脆弱性在不同边界之间存在显著变化,最大差距介于 0.5449 和 0.8743 之间。研究进一步发现,这些脆弱性差距与这些城市路网的结构特征差异以及不同边界所覆盖的城市人口有关,相关系数在 0.362 至 0.755 之间。值得注意的是,在采用不同边界时,城市的脆弱性排名显示出相对轻微的变化,斯皮尔曼相关系数在 0.442 和 0.879 之间。这项研究为城市扩张对道路网络脆弱性的影响提供了宝贵的见解,尤其是在快速城市化和道路网络扩张的背景下。
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引用次数: 0
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