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Imagining land-use reforms: Can mixing reduce long distance travel? 想象一下土地使用改革:混合能减少长途旅行吗?
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106720
Charles QC Li , Arianna Salazar-Miranda
Long-distance travel is a major contributor to urban CO2 emissions. This paper uses Generative AI to simulate zoning reforms and explore their potential associations with travel distances. We combine nationwide parcel-level land-use data with GPS mobility records from over 400 U.S. cities, and train a generative adversarial network (GAN) to predict the relationship between land-use mixing and the share of trips taken within a 15-minute walk. On average, simulated reforms that increase land-use mix by 20% are associated with a 7% relative increase in short-distance trips—but in one-quarter of cities, the same increase in land use mix produces gains up to three times larger. We also find that targeting low-density or single-use neighborhoods are associated with improvements comparable to citywide reforms. These results highlight new opportunities for planners to explore where zoning strategies may reduce travel distances.
长途旅行是城市二氧化碳排放的主要来源。本文使用生成式人工智能模拟分区改革,并探索其与旅行距离的潜在关联。我们将美国400多个城市的全国包裹级土地利用数据与GPS移动记录相结合,并训练生成对抗网络(GAN)来预测土地利用混合与15分钟步行内的出行比例之间的关系。平均而言,模拟改革将土地利用组合增加20%与短途旅行相对增加7%相关,但在四分之一的城市,土地利用组合的相同增加产生的收益高达三倍。我们还发现,针对低密度或单一用途社区的改善与全市范围的改革相当。这些结果突出了规划者探索分区策略可能减少旅行距离的新机会。
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引用次数: 0
The synergistic effect between highway traffic flow and potential economic connectivity under network space in the megacity region 特大城市区域网络空间下公路交通流与潜在经济连通性的协同效应
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106761
Qionghuan Liu , Renzhong Guo , Zhengdong Huang , Ding Ma , Biao He , Cunjin Wang , Xiaoming Li
This study quantifies the synergistic relationship between transport flow and economic activity, as conventional methods like road accessibility and GDP are insufficient for highly mobile megacities. Synergy measures connections in complex systems, with flow data capturing the interplay between transport and economic elements. The study proposes a framework based on flow data and synergy effect theory to analyze this relationship in network space. Specifically, using highway traffic flow data and network analysis, we constructed the synergetic effects model to analyze the interplay between highway traffic flow and economy in the Greater Bay Area (GBA). The results showed that highway traffic flow exhibited significant spatial discrepancy, and primary highway traffic flow was located in the GBA in Shenzhen–Dongguan and Guangzhou–Foshan. The higher comprehensive economic indices were located on the Guangzhou–Foshan–Macao and Guangzhou–Shenzhen–Hong Kong. The potential economic connectivity strength of Guangzhou, Foshan and Shenzhen was significantly higher than that of other cities. The synergistic effect between highway traffic flow and potential economic connectivity in the GBA was highly related to the strength of highway traffic flow, and it was significantly higher in Guangzhou-Dongguan-Shenzhen than in other regions. This study can support sustained economic development and the implementation of optimized transportation layouts.
该研究量化了交通流量与经济活动之间的协同关系,因为道路可达性和GDP等传统方法不足以用于高度流动的特大城市。协同测量复杂系统中的连接,流量数据捕捉运输和经济要素之间的相互作用。本研究提出了一个基于流量数据和协同效应理论的框架来分析网络空间中的这种关系。具体而言,利用高速公路交通流数据和网络分析,构建了协同效应模型,分析了大湾区高速公路交通流与经济的相互作用。结果表明:高速公路交通流存在显著的空间差异,高速公路交通流主要分布在大湾区内的深莞和广佛;综合经济指数较高的区域为广佛澳和广深港。广州、佛山和深圳的潜在经济连通性显著高于其他城市。大湾区内高速公路交通流与潜在经济连通性的协同效应与高速公路交通流强度高度相关,且高速公路交通流强度显著高于其他区域。该研究可为经济持续发展和交通优化布局的实施提供支持。
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引用次数: 0
How do parents' subjective perceptions about the built and social environments relate to objective indicators of the built environment? Investigating direct associations between major context factors of children's mobility 父母对建筑环境和社会环境的主观看法与建筑环境的客观指标有何关系?调查影响儿童活动能力的主要环境因素之间的直接联系
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106749
David J. Hoelzel , Joachim Scheiner
Built and social environments and parents' perceptions of these environments are major influences of children's practices. Thus, many studies consider these influences in understanding independent mobility, physical activity or mode choice. Given this importance, it is surprising that only few studies touch upon direct interconnections between built environments and parental perceptions, independent from children's practices. The present study aims to provide insights on how objectively measured built environments are associated with parental perceptions of built and social environments, with a particular focus on the role of residential environments. Furthermore, as conceptual models of children's mobility understand parental perceptions mainly as mediators of built environments, the study considers factors unrelated to built environments to assess potential limits to planning intervention. Overall, we find rather weak associations between built environments and parental perceptions. While ANOVA results show that parental perceptions of built and social environments partly vary with the residential environment families live in, variables related to school routes exhibit stronger associations than variables representing residential environments in regression analyses. Foreign citizenship emerged as a surprisingly influential factor and should be considered in future research and practice.
建筑和社会环境以及父母对这些环境的看法是儿童行为的主要影响因素。因此,许多研究在理解独立行动、身体活动或模式选择时考虑了这些影响。考虑到这种重要性,令人惊讶的是,只有很少的研究触及建筑环境和父母观念之间的直接联系,独立于儿童的实践。本研究旨在提供客观测量的建筑环境如何与父母对建筑环境和社会环境的看法相关联的见解,特别关注居住环境的作用。此外,由于儿童流动性的概念模型主要将父母的感知理解为建筑环境的中介,因此本研究考虑了与建筑环境无关的因素来评估规划干预的潜在限制。总的来说,我们发现建筑环境和父母观念之间的联系相当微弱。虽然方差分析结果显示,父母对建筑环境和社会环境的看法在一定程度上随家庭居住环境的变化而变化,但在回归分析中,与学校路线相关的变量比代表居住环境的变量表现出更强的相关性。外国国籍成为一个令人惊讶的影响因素,应该在未来的研究和实践中加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Vacant Housing in Tehran: Speculation, capitalization, and policy failures in a global context 德黑兰的空置住房:全球背景下的投机、资本化和政策失败
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106791
Safar Ghaedrahmati , Mohamad Rezapour
Vacant housing in Iran represents a significant economic and social challenge, exacerbating housing speculation and deepening market instability. This study investigates the structural and institutional drivers behind vacant homes in Tehran using Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA). We triangulate 30 expert interviews (2013−2023) with national housing policy documents and empirical literature, employing Braun and Clarke's thematic analysis. Our findings identify five key drivers: (1) state-market collusion, particularly through military-affiliated banks; (2) failed enforcement of vacancy-related tax laws; (3) speculative accumulation and land banking; (4) weak inter-agency coordination; and (5) inadequate regulatory oversight. Theoretically, the study advances Harvey's circuits of capital by introducing Tehran's military-financialization nexus. Empirically, it informs urban housing policies in Global South cities dealing with similar institutional vacancy traps.
伊朗的空置住房是一个重大的经济和社会挑战,加剧了住房投机,加深了市场不稳定。本研究使用批评性话语分析(CDA)调查了德黑兰空置房屋背后的结构性和制度性驱动因素。我们采用Braun和Clarke的主题分析方法,对30位专家访谈(2013 - 2023年)与国家住房政策文件和实证文献进行三角测量。我们的研究结果确定了五个关键驱动因素:(1)国家-市场勾结,特别是通过军方附属银行;(2)未执行与空缺相关的税法;(三)投机性积累和土地储备;(4)机构间协调不力;(5)监管不足。从理论上讲,该研究通过引入德黑兰的军事-金融化联系,推进了哈维的资本循环。从经验上看,它为全球南方城市处理类似机构空置陷阱的城市住房政策提供了信息。
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引用次数: 0
Preferences for MaaS bundles considering shared mobility users 考虑共享移动用户的MaaS捆绑包的首选项
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106747
Ognjen Bobičić , Willy Kriswardhana , Domokos Esztergár-Kiss
The rise of shared transportation options emphasizes the importance of Mobility as a Service (MaaS) in promoting sustainable urban mobility. While earlier studies show that several aspects, such as intermodality, technology preference, and lifestyle diversity, positively influence MaaS adoption, a few research works explicitly link travelers' views on MaaS to their willingness to purchase mobility bundles. The current study explores how individual viewpoints on advanced mobility solutions affect the willingness to adopt MaaS bundles, particularly among the users of shared mobility services. By using a stated choice experiment survey with a representative sample from Hungary, this research applies mixed logit, integrated choice, and latent variable models to analyze the preferences for MaaS bundles. The results reveal strong preferences for those bundles that combine public transport with bike-sharing, while options featuring car-sharing and e-scooter-sharing are less appealing. The latent variable analysis highlights ease of use as a critical determinant in adopting MaaS bundles. While the overall attitudes vary, young respondents are optimistic about the potential benefits of new mobility solutions, yet they have concern about the complexity of the system. The findings suggest enhancing user-friendliness in MaaS applications, strengthening the integration between transport modes, and adopting hybrid pricing strategies to facilitate MaaS adoption.
共享交通选择的兴起强调了移动即服务(MaaS)在促进可持续城市交通方面的重要性。虽然早期的研究表明,多式联运、技术偏好和生活方式多样性等几个方面对MaaS的采用有积极影响,但也有一些研究明确地将旅行者对MaaS的看法与他们购买出行套餐的意愿联系起来。目前的研究探讨了个人对先进移动解决方案的看法如何影响采用MaaS捆绑服务的意愿,特别是在共享移动服务的用户中。通过对匈牙利代表性样本的陈述选择实验调查,本研究应用混合logit、综合选择和潜在变量模型来分析MaaS捆绑包的偏好。结果显示,人们对那些将公共交通与共享单车结合起来的捆绑服务有强烈的偏好,而汽车共享和电动滑板车共享的选择则不那么有吸引力。潜在变量分析强调了易用性是采用MaaS包的关键决定因素。尽管整体态度各不相同,但年轻受访者对新的出行解决方案的潜在好处持乐观态度,但他们也担心系统的复杂性。研究结果建议提高MaaS应用的用户友好性,加强运输方式之间的整合,并采用混合定价策略来促进MaaS的采用。
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引用次数: 0
Social entrepreneurship as a driver for social inclusion and sustainable tourism: The case of Herculaneum, Italy 社会企业家精神作为社会包容和可持续旅游的驱动力:以意大利赫库兰尼姆为例
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106759
Salvatore Monaco, Antón Freire Varela, Ciro Prospero, Fabio Corbisiero
Social enterprises are increasingly recognized for their potential to foster social inclusion and sustainable tourism by embedding economic activities within local communities. While existing literature often focuses on the measurable impacts of these initiatives, less attention has been paid to how social enterprises construct and narrate their own roles within complex territorial contexts. This study adopts an interpretive approach to study how the social enterprise Variabile K, based in Herculaneum, Italy, frames its mission and practices as tools for transforming the city's tourism model. Through a thematic analysis of qualitative interviews with enterprise members, the paper identifies five key dimensions: the contradictions of Herculaneum's landscape, the dual nature of tourism, the enterprise's commitment to community-based tourism, the role of collaborative networks, and future opportunities and challenges.
Findings indicate that Variabile K challenges the dominant “hit-and-run” tourism model by promoting experiential, relational, and locally embedded activities. Through partnerships with schools, local businesses, and third-sector organizations, it fosters a participatory tourism model that enhances social cohesion and expands economic opportunities for residents. Nevertheless, structural limitations—such as weak institutional support, inadequate infrastructure, and exclusion from mainstream tourism circuits—continue to hinder its development.
While social entrepreneurship offers a promising alternative for sustainable tourism, its consolidation requires greater policy recognition, institutional alignment, and long-term investment. The case of Variabile K contributes to broader debates on social innovation in tourism, emphasizing the importance of locally grounded, inclusive strategies for urban regeneration and cultural valorization.
社会企业通过将经济活动融入当地社区,日益认识到其促进社会包容和可持续旅游业的潜力。虽然现有文献经常关注这些举措的可衡量影响,但很少关注社会企业如何在复杂的地域背景下构建和叙述自己的角色。本研究采用解释性的方法来研究意大利赫库兰尼姆的社会企业可变K如何将其使命和实践作为转变城市旅游模式的工具。通过对企业成员进行定性访谈的专题分析,本文确定了五个关键维度:赫库兰尼姆景观的矛盾、旅游业的双重性质、企业对社区旅游的承诺、协作网络的作用以及未来的机遇和挑战。研究结果表明,变量K通过促进体验、关系和本地嵌入活动,挑战了主导的“肇事逃逸”旅游模式。通过与学校、当地企业和第三部门组织的合作,它培育了一种参与式旅游模式,增强了社会凝聚力,扩大了居民的经济机会。然而,结构性限制,如薄弱的制度支持,基础设施不足,被排除在主流旅游线路之外,继续阻碍着它的发展。虽然社会企业家精神为可持续旅游业提供了一个有前途的选择,但它的巩固需要更多的政策认可、制度协调和长期投资。变量K的案例促进了关于旅游业社会创新的更广泛讨论,强调了基于当地的包容性战略对城市再生和文化增值的重要性。
{"title":"Social entrepreneurship as a driver for social inclusion and sustainable tourism: The case of Herculaneum, Italy","authors":"Salvatore Monaco,&nbsp;Antón Freire Varela,&nbsp;Ciro Prospero,&nbsp;Fabio Corbisiero","doi":"10.1016/j.cities.2025.106759","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cities.2025.106759","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social enterprises are increasingly recognized for their potential to foster social inclusion and sustainable tourism by embedding economic activities within local communities. While existing literature often focuses on the measurable impacts of these initiatives, less attention has been paid to how social enterprises construct and narrate their own roles within complex territorial contexts. This study adopts an interpretive approach to study how the social enterprise Variabile K, based in Herculaneum, Italy, frames its mission and practices as tools for transforming the city's tourism model. Through a thematic analysis of qualitative interviews with enterprise members, the paper identifies five key dimensions: the contradictions of Herculaneum's landscape, the dual nature of tourism, the enterprise's commitment to community-based tourism, the role of collaborative networks, and future opportunities and challenges.</div><div>Findings indicate that Variabile K challenges the dominant “hit-and-run” tourism model by promoting experiential, relational, and locally embedded activities. Through partnerships with schools, local businesses, and third-sector organizations, it fosters a participatory tourism model that enhances social cohesion and expands economic opportunities for residents. Nevertheless, structural limitations—such as weak institutional support, inadequate infrastructure, and exclusion from mainstream tourism circuits—continue to hinder its development.</div><div>While social entrepreneurship offers a promising alternative for sustainable tourism, its consolidation requires greater policy recognition, institutional alignment, and long-term investment. The case of Variabile K contributes to broader debates on social innovation in tourism, emphasizing the importance of locally grounded, inclusive strategies for urban regeneration and cultural valorization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48405,"journal":{"name":"Cities","volume":"171 ","pages":"Article 106759"},"PeriodicalIF":6.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145939230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do zero waste pledges and goals increase municipal waste diversion rates? 零废物承诺和目标是否会提高城市废物的分流率?
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2025.106757
Ashpreet Kaur , Mary Alice Haddad
Why are some municipalities diverting nearly 80 % of their municipal solid waste while others are putting everything into landfills? This article seeks to investigate the factors that explain variation in municipal solid waste diversion rates among cities that have publicly committed to ambitious climate action goals. It finds that cities that make a public commitment to reducing emissions, such as joining Cities Race to Zero, Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy, ICLEI, or C40, commonly have zero waste plans and goals. Many of these cities are also home to universities and are often located in states with beverage container and food waste laws. However, none of these factors had a measurable influence on the extent to which cities diverted their waste from landfills. Using an original dataset of the 132 cities in the United States that had signed the Cities Race to Zero challenge (a global initiative in which participating municipalities pledge to reach net zero emissions by 2040 or sooner), we used OLS regressions to test which factors affected a city's waste diversion rates. We found that having a higher per capita income, proximity to the ocean, and being in California were the only factors that had a statistically significant effect on increasing a municipality's waste diversion rate.
为什么有些城市将近80%的城市固体废物转移,而另一些城市则将所有垃圾都填埋?本文旨在调查解释在公开承诺雄心勃勃的气候行动目标的城市之间城市固体废物转移率变化的因素。报告发现,公开承诺减排的城市,如加入“城市零排放竞赛”、“全球市长气候与能源公约”、“ICLEI”或“C40”等,通常都有零废物计划和目标。其中许多城市也是大学所在地,而且通常位于有饮料容器和食物垃圾法的州。然而,这些因素都没有对城市从垃圾填埋场转移废物的程度产生可测量的影响。使用美国132个签署了“城市零排放竞赛”挑战(一项全球倡议,参与的城市承诺到2040年或更早达到净零排放)的城市的原始数据集,我们使用OLS回归来测试哪些因素影响城市的废物转移率。我们发现,人均收入较高、靠近海洋和在加州是对提高城市废物转移率有统计学显著影响的唯一因素。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the dynamics: Tracing rural settlements evolution in urban-rural transition zones 揭示动态:城乡转轨区乡村聚落演变轨迹
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106772
Libang Ma , Shoucun Zhao , Xiang Wang , Cui Cao , Qing Zhu
As the frontier zone affected by urbanization, the spatio-temporal evolution of rural settlements (RSs) in urban-rural transition zones (URTZs) serves as a crucial entry point for understanding urban-rural interactions. However, targeted research in this area remains insufficient. To this end, this study innovatively constructs a reverse-tracking analytical framework that traces causes from effects. Integrating methods such as landscape pattern analysis, spatial expansion measurement, and interface effect response, it systematically reveals the evolutionary patterns of RS in URTZs in Gansu Province. This study indicates that the landscape patterns of RSs exhibit trends towards scaling, complexity and spatial clustering; the rate of RSs expansion continues to slow, with expansion directions demonstrating high adaptability to the geographical environment, while differentiated expansion behaviors further drive landscape pattern formation; The response of RSs to the interface effects of URTZs directly influences their expansion dynamics and survival status, thereby feeding back into the evolution of landscape patterns. This study offers a fresh perspective on understanding the complexities of human-land relationships in URTZs, while also providing precise spatio-temporal information support for land management in these areas.
城乡过渡带乡村聚落作为受城市化影响的前沿地带,其时空演变是理解城乡相互作用的重要切入点。然而,在这方面的针对性研究仍然不足。为此,本研究创新性地构建了从结果追溯原因的反向跟踪分析框架。综合景观格局分析、空间扩展测量、界面效应响应等方法,系统揭示了甘肃省城市交通集散区RS的演化规律。研究结果表明:RSs景观格局呈现出尺度化、复杂性和空间聚类化的趋势;RSs扩展速度持续放缓,扩展方向对地理环境表现出较高的适应性,而差异化的扩展行为进一步驱动景观格局的形成;RSs对urtz界面效应的响应直接影响它们的扩展动态和生存状态,从而反馈到景观格局的演变中。该研究提供了一个全新的视角来理解utz地区人地关系的复杂性,同时也为这些地区的土地管理提供了精确的时空信息支持。
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引用次数: 0
Crowdsourced reviews reveal substantial disparities in public perceptions of parking 众包评论揭示了公众对停车的看法存在巨大差异
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106866
Lingyao Li , Songhua Hu , Ly Dinh , Libby Hemphill
Due to increased reliance on private vehicles and growing travel demand, parking remains a longstanding urban challenge globally. Quantifying parking perceptions is paramount as it enables decision-makers to identify problematic areas and make informed decisions on parking management. This study introduces a cost-effective and widely accessible data source, crowdsourced online reviews, to investigate public perceptions of parking across the U.S. Specifically, we examine 4,987,483 parking-related reviews for 1,129,460 points of interest (POIs) across 911 core-based statistical areas (CBSAs) sourced from Google Maps. We employ the Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model to classify the parking sentiment and conduct regression analyses to explore its relationships with socio-spatial factors. Findings reveal significant variations in parking sentiment across POI types and CBSAs, with Restaurants showing the most negative. Regression results further indicate that denser urban areas with higher proportions of African Americans and Hispanics and lower socioeconomic status are more likely to exhibit negative parking sentiment. Interestingly, an opposite relationship between parking supply and sentiment is observed, indicating that increasing supply is not always associated with improved parking experiences. Finally, our textual analysis identifies keywords associated with positive or negative sentiments and highlights disparities between urban and rural areas. Overall, this study demonstrates the potential of a novel data source and methodological framework in measuring parking sentiment, offering valuable insights that help identify hyperlocal parking issues and guide targeted parking management strategies.
由于对私家车的依赖日益增加和出行需求的增长,停车仍然是全球城市长期面临的挑战。量化停车感知是至关重要的,因为它使决策者能够识别问题区域,并在停车管理方面做出明智的决定。本研究引入了一种具有成本效益且可广泛获取的数据来源——众包在线评论,以调查美国公众对停车的看法。具体而言,我们研究了来自谷歌Maps的911个基于核心的统计区域(cbsa)的1,129,460个兴趣点(poi)的4,987,483条与停车相关的评论。本文采用BERT模型对停车情绪进行分类,并进行回归分析,探讨停车情绪与社会空间因素的关系。调查结果显示,不同POI类型和cbsa的停车情绪存在显著差异,其中餐馆表现出最负面的情绪。回归结果进一步表明,非裔美国人和西班牙裔美国人比例较高、社会经济地位较低的密集城市地区更有可能表现出消极的停车情绪。有趣的是,停车供应和情绪之间的关系是相反的,这表明停车供应的增加并不总是与停车体验的改善有关。最后,我们的文本分析确定了与积极或消极情绪相关的关键词,并突出了城市和农村地区之间的差异。总的来说,本研究展示了一种新的数据来源和方法框架在测量停车情绪方面的潜力,为帮助识别超局部停车问题和指导有针对性的停车管理策略提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Dissimilarities in the COVID-19 pandemic reshaping of time use and travel in metropolitan and nonmetropolitan resident behavior from 2019 to 2023 2019 - 2023年COVID-19大流行对大都市和非大都市居民时间使用和旅行行为重塑的差异
IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 URBAN STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2026.106808
Hui Shi , Zhen You , Konstadinos G. Goulias
Research has shown that COVID-19 has impacted both short- and long-term aspects of individuals' daily schedules, yet its effects on metropolitan versus nonmetropolitan residents remain underexplored. Leveraging American Time Use Survey data from 2019 to 2023, this study applies diversity indices, sequence analysis, and statistical methods to investigate the pandemic's differential influence on metropolitan and nonmetropolitan daily routines, focusing on time allocation and travel behaviors. The results reveal a significant reduction in out-of-home activities and travel during the pandemic in both metropolitan and nonmetropolitan areas, followed by a partial recovery after vaccination; however, out-of-home activity levels remained below pre-pandemic levels, with this gap being more pronounced in metropolitan regions. Although the total number of road users declined, traffic congestion did not necessarily ease, as the travel population became less evenly distributed during a day by 2023 in both regions. In metropolitan areas, morning and midday peak hours dispersed, while evening travel remained substantially high. Moreover, seven distinct daily time allocation patterns including travel were identified over the past five years, with their frequency in the population evolving differently between metropolitan and nonmetropolitan residents. Approximately 10 million metropolitan residents transitioned to working from home in 2023. These findings underscore the importance of policies supporting electromobility and decentralized energy production. Continued trend analysis with larger samples is needed, as post-vaccination behaviors have yet to reach stability.
研究表明,COVID-19影响了个人日常安排的短期和长期方面,但其对大都市居民和非大都市居民的影响仍未得到充分探讨。本研究利用2019 - 2023年美国人时间使用调查数据,运用多样性指数、序列分析和统计学方法,研究疫情对大都市和非大都市日常生活的差异影响,重点研究时间分配和出行行为。结果显示,在大流行期间,大都市和非大都市地区的户外活动和旅行显著减少,然后在接种疫苗后部分恢复;然而,户外活动水平仍然低于大流行前的水平,这一差距在大都市地区更为明显。尽管道路使用者总数有所下降,但交通拥堵并不一定会缓解,因为到2023年,这两个地区每天的出行人口分布不那么均匀。在大都市地区,上午和中午的高峰时间分散,而晚上的旅行仍然相当高。此外,在过去的五年中,我们发现了七种不同的日常时间分配模式,包括旅行,它们在人口中的频率在大都市和非大都市居民之间的演变不同。2023年,大约有1000万大都市居民过渡到在家工作。这些发现强调了支持电动汽车和分散能源生产的政策的重要性。由于疫苗接种后的行为尚未达到稳定,因此需要对更大样本进行持续的趋势分析。
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