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Trade union membership and bonus payments: German survey evidence 工会会员资格和奖金支付:德国调查证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107404
Marco Clemens , Laszlo Goerke
This study provides the first comprehensive investigation of the relationship between trade union membership and non-performance-oriented bonuses. We expect a positive impact of union membership because members can benefit from special entitlements, increased bargaining power and informational advantages. Using data from the German Socio-economic Panel (GSOEP), we observe that union members are more likely to receive at least one bonus payment per year, a higher number and amount of bonuses than comparable non-members. We also observe the positive union membership effect for employees covered by collective bargaining or co-determination via works councils. Employing a novel instrumental variable, we find evidence of a positive effect of union membership on the number and level of bonus payments. Furthermore, higher bonuses do not go along with decreases in base wages or other pay components.
本研究首次全面探讨了工会会员资格与非绩效导向奖金之间的关系。我们期待工会会员资格的积极影响,因为会员可以从特殊权利、增加的议价能力和信息优势中受益。根据德国社会经济研究小组(GSOEP)的数据,我们观察到工会成员更有可能每年至少获得一次奖金,奖金的数量和金额高于可比的非会员。我们还观察到,通过劳资委员会进行集体谈判或共同决定的员工加入工会的积极影响。采用一个新的工具变量,我们发现工会成员对奖金支付的数量和水平有积极影响的证据。此外,更高的奖金不会伴随着基本工资或其他薪酬组成部分的降低。
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引用次数: 0
Generative AI adoption in human creative tasks: Experimental evidence 生成人工智能在人类创造性任务中的应用:实验证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107414
Feng Zhu , Wenbo Zou
Generative artificial intelligence (AI) technologies are widely regarded as having the potential to enhance human creativity. In a pre-registered lab experiment, we assigned 302 university students tasks involving the creation of ideas for generating creative pictures, with a randomly selected subset granted access to ChatGPT. The results indicate that access to ChatGPT improves participants’ creative performance. The treatment effect follows an inverted-U relationship with respect to participants’ baseline creative potential, leading to a reduction in the inequality of their creative performances. Comparing the creative performance of human-AI teams to ChatGPT standalone, we find no evidence of complementarity. However, by using measures construed from the human-AI conversations to explain the variations in the observed treatment effects, we find suggestive evidence that collaborative involvement of ChatGPT is associated with more positive effects. Finally, we also observe significant treatment effects on participants’ opinions about AI, their ratings of subjective experiences during the tasks, and their self-reported creative and problem-solving abilities.
生成式人工智能(AI)技术被广泛认为具有增强人类创造力的潜力。在一个预先注册的实验室实验中,我们给302名大学生分配了一些任务,这些任务涉及为生成创意图片而创造想法,随机选择一个子集授予访问ChatGPT的权限。结果表明,使用ChatGPT可以提高参与者的创造性表现。治疗效果与参与者的基线创造潜力呈倒u关系,导致他们的创造性表现的不平等减少。将人工智能团队的创造性表现与ChatGPT独立进行比较,我们没有发现互补性的证据。然而,通过使用从人类-人工智能对话中解释的措施来解释观察到的治疗效果的变化,我们发现了启发性的证据,表明ChatGPT的协作参与与更积极的效果相关。最后,我们还观察到治疗对参与者对人工智能的看法、他们在任务期间的主观体验评分以及他们自我报告的创造力和解决问题能力的显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
A model of moral balancing under motivated reasoning 动机推理下的道德平衡模型
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107393
Daniela Flörchinger
While there is abundant empirical evidence of individuals switching between selfish and prosocial behavior, few economic models formalize these findings. This paper presents a novel model that jointly analyzes three key concepts for understanding prosocial behavior: moral balancing, self-signaling, and motivated reasoning. Individuals maximize material utility under the constraint of maintaining a minimum level of self-image (moral balancing), where self-image depends on signals extracted from past behavior (self-signaling). The processing of these signals is biased toward arriving at a positive self-image (motivated reasoning). The time horizon for which the self-image constraint is active depends on individuals’ intrinsic motivation and their awareness of self-image relevant choices. Selfish behavior tends to be higher when the constraint is only active in the long term and it increases with the tendency toward motivated reasoning. These results are partially consistent with experimental results. The model suggests that voluntary prosocial behavior is unlikely to be sustained and thus calls for adequate policy measures.
虽然有大量的经验证据表明个体在自私行为和亲社会行为之间转换,但很少有经济模型将这些发现形式化。本文提出了一个新的模型,该模型联合分析了理解亲社会行为的三个关键概念:道德平衡、自我信号和动机推理。个体在保持最低水平的自我形象(道德平衡)的约束下最大化物质效用,其中自我形象依赖于从过去行为中提取的信号(自我信号)。这些信号的处理偏向于达到积极的自我形象(动机推理)。自我形象约束作用的时间范围取决于个体的内在动机和对自我形象相关选择的认识。当约束只在长期内有效时,自私行为倾向于更高,并且随着动机推理的倾向而增加。这些结果与实验结果部分吻合。该模型表明,自愿的亲社会行为不太可能持续,因此需要适当的政策措施。
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引用次数: 0
(Mis)use of power in the ivory tower: Evidence from deans in Chinese universities 象牙塔中的权力滥用:来自中国大学院长的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107419
Yuyu Chen , Ming Fang , Xuan Wang
In a hierarchical academic system, power can distort the allocation of research resources and output ownership. We study the role of power in intellectual property acquisition. Using biographical information on deans in elite universities in China, we find that holding a deanship increases patent applications by 15.2%. Further analysis suggests that the deanship effect is driven by misuse of power rather than ability or research resources. We provide causal evidence by showing that an anti-corruption campaign, which increases the cost of misusing power, substantially reduces the deanship effect. Finally, we find that misusing power distorts resource allocation. Our results highlight the importance of an improved institutional environment in allocating resources toward productive innovation.
在等级制的学术体系中,权力会扭曲研究资源和产出所有权的分配。我们研究了权力在知识产权获取中的作用。利用中国精英大学院长的简历信息,我们发现拥有院长职位会使专利申请增加15.2%。进一步的分析表明,院长效应是由滥用权力而不是能力或研究资源驱动的。我们提供了因果证据,表明反腐败运动增加了滥用权力的成本,大大降低了院长效应。最后,我们发现权力滥用扭曲了资源配置。我们的研究结果强调了改善制度环境在为生产创新配置资源方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Tail risk and expectations 尾部风险和预期
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107411
Yeow Hwee Chua , Zu Yao Hong
This paper examines how beliefs of tail risk events influence macroeconomic expectations in a Bayesian learning model with noisy signals. Relative to a Gaussian model, we show theoretically and quantitatively that the misperception of tail risk results in overreaction to first and second-moment shocks. First-moment shocks generate excessive optimism and pessimism in individuals as they provide valuable information about tail risk. Second-moment shocks, which are countercyclical, give rise to more pessimistic forecasts during downturns as higher uncertainty is linked to an increased likelihood of recessions. Our findings shed light on factors driving overreaction in expectations and highlight the importance of uncertainty shocks in propagating macroeconomic stability.
本文研究了尾部风险事件的信念如何影响带有噪声信号的贝叶斯学习模型中的宏观经济预期。相对于高斯模型,我们从理论上和定量上表明,对尾部风险的误解会导致对第一和第二时刻冲击的过度反应。第一时间的冲击会让个人产生过度的乐观和悲观情绪,因为它们提供了有关尾部风险的宝贵信息。第二时刻冲击是反周期的,在经济低迷时期会引发更悲观的预测,因为更高的不确定性与衰退的可能性增加有关。我们的研究结果揭示了导致预期过度反应的因素,并强调了不确定性冲击在传播宏观经济稳定方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring the output reduction due to incentive ratcheting in the field 衡量由于激励棘轮在该领域的产量减少
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107412
Raicho Bojilov , Francisco Brahm , Joaquin Poblete
Quantitative evidence from the field on the output loss due to incentive ratcheting is mixed. One possible explanation is that the output response to ratcheting varies with the level of ratcheting. This paper estimates how the output cost of ratcheting varies with the level of ratcheting using rich data from the restructuring of the salesforce of a large Chilean producer and distributor of beverages. We show that in response to reducing ratcheting by one standard deviation, the salespersons at this firm increase sales by an average of 19%. The output response is non-linear in ratcheting: Output reduction is greatest when workers move from low or no ratcheting to some ratcheting. We execute additional analysis to verify the causal nature of our result.
来自该领域的定量证据表明,由于激励棘轮而造成的产量损失好坏参半。一种可能的解释是棘轮的输出响应随棘轮的水平而变化。本文估计了棘轮的产出成本如何随棘轮水平的变化而变化,使用了来自智利一家大型饮料生产商和分销商的销售队伍重组的丰富数据。我们表明,在棘轮减少一个标准差的情况下,该公司的销售人员平均增加了19%的销售额。在棘轮中,输出响应是非线性的:当工人从低棘轮或没有棘轮移动到一些棘轮时,输出减少最大。我们执行额外的分析来验证结果的因果性质。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial introduction to the JEBO special issue on immigration, health, and well-being JEBO关于移民、健康和福祉特刊的社论导言
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107359
Joan Madia , Catia Nicodemo , Cristina Tealdi
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引用次数: 0
Supporters or hinderances? Intergenerational coresidence and household finance under patriarchy 支持者还是阻碍?父权制下的代际同居与家庭财务
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107409
He Huang , Ruipeng Tan , Zhiming Yang
This paper investigates the impact of intergenerational coresidence on household financial outcomes in patriarchal societies. Using data from the China Household Finance Survey, we find that coresiding parents significantly increase the likelihood of their biological child assuming household headship, a result that remains robust after a series of robustness checks. Intergenerational coresidence positively affects households’ financial market participation, portfolio diversification, and asset returns. Parents’ consistent support and adherence to traditional gender norms play crucial roles and the effects of intergenerational coresidence is unidirectional. Moreover, we find that a negative shock to community-level gender equality dampens the positive influence of intergenerational coresidence on financial behavior, highlighting the intricate interplay between household structure and financial decision-making. These findings offer valuable insights into how family dynamics and social gender norms shape economic outcomes, with implications for policies aimed at enhancing financial inclusion and intergenerational well-being.
本文研究了父权社会中代际同居对家庭财务结果的影响。使用中国家庭金融调查的数据,我们发现共同居住的父母显著增加其亲生子女担任家庭户主的可能性,这一结果在一系列稳健性检验后仍然是稳健的。代际共居正向影响家庭金融市场参与、投资组合多元化和资产收益。父母对传统性别规范的一贯支持和坚持起着至关重要的作用,代际共居的影响是单向的。此外,我们发现,对社区层面性别平等的负面冲击抑制了代际共居对金融行为的积极影响,凸显了家庭结构与金融决策之间错综复杂的相互作用。这些发现为了解家庭动态和社会性别规范如何影响经济结果提供了有价值的见解,并对旨在加强金融包容性和代际福祉的政策产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of birth order on children’s time use 出生顺序对儿童时间利用的影响
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107418
Nicole Black , Danusha Jayawardana , Gawain Heckley
Recent research shows that birth order affects human capital outcomes, yet there is limited empirical evidence on the underlying mechanisms. This study examines the effect of birth order on children’s time use across activities that are important for human capital development. Using detailed time-use diaries of Australian children aged 2–15, we find that within families with two or three children, later-born children spend less time on enrichment activities and more on digital media, compared to first-born children. We obtain the same findings when we repeat the analysis using detailed time-use diaries of US children. Further investigation reveals that part of the birth order effect is driven by parents spending less time with later-born children compared to first-borns. However, later-borns also independently devote less of their own time to enrichment activities, suggesting that personal time use may be an important mechanism behind the well-documented impact of birth order on human capital development. We find evidence that later-born children experience more lenient parenting, which may help explain this pattern of own time use.
最近的研究表明,出生顺序会影响人力资本结果,但关于其潜在机制的实证证据有限。本研究考察了出生顺序对儿童时间利用的影响,这些活动对人力资本发展至关重要。通过对2-15岁澳大利亚儿童的详细时间使用日记,我们发现,在有两个或三个孩子的家庭中,与头胎孩子相比,晚出生的孩子花在丰富活动上的时间更少,而花在数字媒体上的时间更多。当我们对美国儿童详细的时间使用日记进行重复分析时,我们得到了同样的发现。进一步的调查显示,出生顺序效应的部分原因是父母与后生孩子在一起的时间少于与头生孩子在一起的时间。然而,较晚出生的孩子在丰富活动中独立投入的时间也较少,这表明个人时间利用可能是出生顺序对人力资本发展影响背后的重要机制。我们发现有证据表明,晚出生的孩子经历了更宽松的养育,这可能有助于解释这种自己的时间利用模式。
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引用次数: 0
Curtailed ambition: Endogenous power shift and preventive war 抑制野心:内生权力转移和预防性战争
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107413
Lu Dong , Lingbo Huang
Preventive war arises from fears of future power shifts threatening the status quo. However, critics argue that since power shifts can be influenced by states’ strategic decisions, preventive war can always be avoided. Using a lab experiment and a representative survey, this paper investigates how states’ endogenous decisions affect the likelihood of conflict. We focus on two strategies: a containment policy, where rising states halt their own growth to prevent a power shift, and a commitment policy, where they make binding future offers without altering the power shift trajectory. Our findings show that while both policies reduce the likelihood of preventive war, containment is much less preferred than commitment. Additionally, declining states often resort to costly coercive containment measures rather than trusting the self-containment of rising states. In the representative survey, we pose conceptually similar questions to understand broader public opinions regarding international politics and find patterns that are consistent with the experimental results.
预防性战争源于对未来权力转移威胁现状的担忧。然而,批评者认为,由于权力转移可能受到国家战略决策的影响,预防性战争总是可以避免的。本文采用实验室实验和代表性调查的方法,研究了国家的内生决策如何影响冲突的可能性。我们重点关注两种战略:遏制政策,即新兴国家停止自身增长以防止权力转移;承诺政策,即它们在不改变权力转移轨迹的情况下,提出具有约束力的未来提议。我们的研究结果表明,虽然这两项政策都降低了预防性战争的可能性,但遏制远不如承诺更受欢迎。此外,衰落国家往往采取代价高昂的强制性遏制措施,而不是相信崛起国家的自我遏制。在代表性调查中,我们提出了概念上类似的问题,以了解有关国际政治的更广泛的公众意见,并找到与实验结果一致的模式。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
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