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Can ratings mitigate consumer inattention? Evidence from the swedish housing market 评级能减轻消费者的注意力不集中吗?来自瑞典房地产市场的证据
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107349
Petter Berg
I study the effects of ratings designed to capture the financial risk associated with apartment ownership in Sweden. I find a discontinuous impact around rating thresholds on sales prices and real estate agents’ pricing decisions, but only after ratings started being displayed in online listings. This is not driven by changes in the number of bidders in apartment auctions. However, the magnitude of the rating effect is larger for sales administered by high- relative to low-quality real estate agents. My results suggest that ratings conveying financial information to consumers must ensure a high degree of salience to be effective. However, financial intermediaries remain likely to play a role in the transmission of such information.
我研究了旨在捕捉瑞典与公寓所有权相关的金融风险的评级的影响。我发现,评级门槛对销售价格和房地产经纪人的定价决策产生了不连续的影响,但这只是在评级开始在在线列表中显示之后。这并不是由公寓拍卖中竞标者数量的变化造成的。然而,相对于低质量的房地产经纪人,高质量的房地产经纪人所管理的销售,评级效应的幅度更大。我的研究结果表明,向消费者传达金融信息的评级必须确保高度的显著性才能有效。但是,金融中介机构仍然可能在传递这种信息方面发挥作用。
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引用次数: 0
Costly argumentation in bargaining 讨价还价时昂贵的争论
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107353
Emin Karagözoğlu , Kerim Keskin , Deren Çağlayan
We study costly argumentation in two canonical bargaining games, where the proposer needs to justify her offer by providing arguments, because the responder derives disutility from accepting an offer that lacks sufficient justification. Argument provision is costly. Since justifying a less generous offer always requires more arguments, there is a strategic trade-off for the proposer: either invest in argument provision to persuade the responder to accept a lower offer, or refrain from providing arguments in which case the responder expects a more generous offer. Assuming an increasing and convex cost of argumentation, we show that an equilibrium with positive levels of argumentation exists in both models if the cost of argument provision is sufficiently low. Our comparative static analyses further reveal that an increase in one’s aversion to lack of sound arguments can make her worse off in equilibrium, both in terms of agreed pie share and collected utility.
我们在两个典型的议价博弈中研究了昂贵的论证,其中提议者需要通过提供论证来证明她的提议是合理的,因为回应者从接受缺乏充分理由的提议中获得了负效用。论据的提供是昂贵的。因为证明一个不太慷慨的提议总是需要更多的论据,所以对于提议者来说,有一个战略权衡:要么投资于论据的提供,以说服回应者接受一个更低的提议,要么避免提供论据,在这种情况下,回应者期望一个更慷慨的提议。假设论证成本呈增加和凸形,我们证明了如果论证提供成本足够低,在两个模型中都存在正论证水平的均衡。我们的比较静态分析进一步揭示,一个人对缺乏合理论点的厌恶程度的增加,会使她在均衡状态下变得更糟,无论是在商定的蛋糕份额方面,还是在收集的效用方面。
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引用次数: 0
Vulnerability game 漏洞游戏
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107341
Gary Charness , Diana Caporale, Anna Rinaldi
The resilience of communities to natural disasters depends on mitigation actions, which can be undertaken by public institutions, communities, or individual citizens. However, in disaster-prone areas, trust is often lacking—not only in institutions but also among neighbors, hindering the implementation of collective mitigation strategies.
This paper investigates whether trust can be strategically incentivized to support the adoption of group-based mitigation in such contexts. We design a repeated coordination game in which participants first choose the number of players to group with (2, 3, or 4), and then select a mitigation strategy: no action, individual mitigation, or group mitigation. Group mitigation offers the lowest cost but only succeeds if all group members independently choose it; its cost decreases as group size increases. Results reveal a shift in participants' preferences over time, with a progressive transition toward larger groups. Participants increasingly abandon individual strategies in favor of group mitigation. Our findings also show that trust is not a stable trait, but a strategic belief that adapts over time. Players’ choices change dynamically in response to observed payoffs, perceived cooperation probabilities, and perceived disaster risk. The game provides insights into when and why cooperation emerges or collapses, allowing for the pre-testing of institutional interventions before they are implemented in real-world contexts.
社区对自然灾害的复原力取决于可由公共机构、社区或公民个人采取的缓解行动。然而,在灾害易发地区,不仅在机构之间,而且在邻居之间,往往缺乏信任,阻碍了集体减灾战略的实施。本文研究了信任是否可以在战略上激励,以支持在这种情况下采用基于群体的缓解。我们设计了一个重复协调博弈,参与者首先选择与(2、3或4)人分组的人数,然后选择一种缓解策略:不采取行动、个人缓解或群体缓解。群体缓解提供的成本最低,但只有在所有群体成员独立选择时才会成功;其成本随着集团规模的增加而降低。结果显示,随着时间的推移,参与者的偏好发生了变化,并逐渐向更大的群体过渡。参与者越来越多地放弃个人策略,转而支持群体缓解策略。我们的研究结果还表明,信任不是一种稳定的特质,而是一种随着时间的推移而适应的战略信念。玩家的选择会随着观察到的收益、感知到的合作概率和感知到的灾难风险而动态变化。该游戏提供了关于合作何时以及为何出现或崩溃的见解,允许在实际环境中实施制度干预之前对其进行预测试。
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引用次数: 0
Delayed school entry increases internal locus of control 延迟入学增加了内在控制点
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107317
Dániel Horn , Hubert János Kiss , Ágnes Szabó-Morvai
Internal locus of control (LoC) is positively associated with numerous life outcomes, yet our understanding of how to enhance it remains limited. Leveraging statutory school enrollment cutoff dates as a source of plausibly exogenous variation, we provide the first causal evidence that delayed school entry increases internal LoC. Specifically, we estimate a policy effect of approximately 0.08 standard deviation among 8th-grade students, corresponding to an approximately 0.15 standard deviations effect among compliers. While these effects are likely relative rather than absolute, we find that the impact is significantly larger among children from financially distressed families. These heterogeneous effects highlight the potential for delayed school entry to strengthen internal LoC, particularly for students from lower-income backgrounds, though trade-offs such as increased childcare costs and delayed workforce entry should be considered.
内部控制点(LoC)与许多生活结果呈正相关,但我们对如何增强它的理解仍然有限。利用法定入学截止日期作为似是而非的外生变化的来源,我们提供了第一个因果证据,证明延迟入学增加了内部LoC。具体来说,我们估计政策效应在八年级学生中约为0.08标准差,对应于在编纂者中约为0.15标准差的效应。虽然这些影响可能是相对的,而不是绝对的,但我们发现,经济困难家庭的孩子受到的影响要大得多。这些异质性效应凸显了推迟入学对加强内部LoC的潜力,特别是对于来自低收入背景的学生而言,尽管应考虑到诸如增加托儿费用和推迟进入劳动力市场等权衡。
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引用次数: 0
Healthy self-interest? Health dependent preferences for fairer health care 健康的利益呢?健康依赖于更公平的医疗保健的偏好
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107337
Marcello Antonini , Joan Costa-Font
Health status can alter individuals' social preferences, including individuals' preferences regarding a fair financing of health care. If individuals follow a healthy self-interested rationale, health improvements can weaken individuals' support for fairer health care financing, insofar as they perceive a reduced need for healthcare. Conversely, healthier people might anticipate facing greater opportunity costs if their health declines in an unfairly funded system, and hence may endorse fairer financing in anticipation of future health challenges—which we label as the 'unhealthy self-interest' hypothesis. We draw on a dataset of 73,452 individuals across 22 countries and a novel instrumental variable strategy that exploits variation in health status resulting from cross-country and cohort-specific exposure to the national childhood Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) vaccination schedules. We document causal evidence consistent with the unhealthy self-interest hypothesis, namely that better (worst) health increases (reduces) preferences for a fairer health care system. We estimate that a one-unit increase in self-reported health increases support for fair health care access by 11 % and the willingness to support fair financing by 8 %. Our findings suggest that improving population health may give rise to stronger support for interventions to improve equitable health system access and financing.
健康状况可以改变个人的社会偏好,包括个人对公平筹资保健的偏好。如果个人遵循健康的自利理论,健康改善就会削弱个人对更公平的卫生保健筹资的支持,因为他们认为对卫生保健的需求减少了。相反,如果健康的人在一个不公平的资助系统中健康状况下降,他们可能会面临更大的机会成本,因此可能会支持更公平的融资,以应对未来的健康挑战——我们将其称为“不健康的自利”假设。我们利用了来自22个国家的73,452个人的数据集和一种新的工具变量策略,该策略利用了由于国家儿童卡介苗疫苗接种计划的跨国和队列特异性暴露而导致的健康状况差异。我们记录了与不健康的自利假设相一致的因果证据,即更好(最差)的健康会增加(减少)对更公平的医疗保健系统的偏好。我们估计,自我报告的健康状况每增加一个单位,对公平获得医疗保健的支持就会增加11%,支持公平融资的意愿就会增加8%。我们的研究结果表明,改善人口健康可能会对干预措施产生更强的支持,以改善卫生系统的公平获取和融资。
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引用次数: 0
Dishonesty: The role of planning, temptation, and self-control 不诚实:计划、诱惑和自我控制的角色
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107323
Daniele Caliari , Ivan Soraperra
Accumulated evidence shows that, when people face the opportunity to cheat, they often take it. However, it remains unclear whether this behavior reflects a genuine preference for dishonesty or a lack of self-control in the face of temptation. To address this question, we apply the temptation and self-control framework of Gul and Pesendorfer (2001) to cheating opportunities and experimentally test its predictions for the first time. We find that (i) only 5 % of participants are willing to pay to avoid a cheating opportunity and (ii) 90 % exhibit consistent planning. Specifically, those who deliberately seek out cheating opportunities exploit them (50 %), and those who do not seek out remain honest when confronted with them (40 %). This evidence suggests that temptation plays a limited role while ruling out both naivete and uncertainty about future behavior.
越来越多的证据表明,当人们面临作弊的机会时,他们往往会抓住它。然而,尚不清楚这种行为是否反映了对不诚实的真正偏好,还是在面对诱惑时缺乏自制力。为了解决这个问题,我们将Gul和Pesendorfer(2001)的诱惑和自我控制框架应用于作弊机会,并首次对其预测进行实验测试。我们发现(i)只有5%的参与者愿意为避免作弊机会而付费,(ii) 90%的参与者表现出一致的计划。具体来说,那些故意寻找作弊机会的人利用了这些机会(50%),而那些不寻找的人在面对作弊机会时保持诚实(40%)。这一证据表明,在排除了天真和对未来行为的不确定性之后,诱惑的作用是有限的。
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引用次数: 0
Looks and gaming: Who and why? 长相和游戏:谁?为什么?
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107340
Andy Chung , Daniel S. Hamermesh , Carl Singleton , Zhengxin Wang , Junsen Zhang
Americans spend 2.5 percent of their waking hours video-gaming. Using the American Add Health Study, we show that adults who are better-looking have more close friends. Gaming being costlier for them, they engage in less of it. Physically attractive teens are less likely than others to game at all. Attractive adults are less likely than others to spend any time gaming; if they do, they spend less time on it than other gamers. The reverse is true among teens and adults for some other non-market activities—sports and hobby groups. Using the longitudinal nature of the Study, we find that these relationships may be causal for adults: good looks decrease gaming time, not vice-versa. The results provide new evidence on how looks affect non-market time use and perhaps indicate the role that they play in personal development.
美国人在醒着的时间里花2.5%的时间玩电子游戏。通过美国健康研究,我们发现长得好看的成年人有更多的亲密朋友。游戏对他们来说成本更高,所以他们投入的时间更少。长得好看的青少年比其他人更不可能玩游戏。有吸引力的成年人比其他人更不愿意花时间玩游戏;如果他们这么做了,他们花在游戏上的时间就比其他玩家少。青少年和成年人的情况则相反,他们参加其他一些非市场活动——体育和爱好团体。利用该研究的纵向性质,我们发现这些关系对成年人来说可能是因果关系:长得好看会减少玩游戏的时间,反之亦然。研究结果为长相如何影响非市场时间利用提供了新的证据,或许还表明长相在个人发展中所起的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Political responsiveness and transparency in defense policymaking 国防决策的政治响应和透明度
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107346
Yukari Iwanami , Ryosuke Okazawa
We develop a political agency model, which takes into account the asymmetry in information revelation across policy outcomes, and explore how the policymaker’s reputational concerns and transparency in actions influence her defense policy choice and its consequences. We demonstrate that the policymaker’s reputational concerns may have perverse effects as her fear of losing reputation by failing to deter a threat or her incentive to posture may lead her to enact defense policies that are suboptimal for citizens. We also find that policy transparency has mixed effects on citizens’ welfare: whereas transparency makes the incompetent policymaker less inclined to overallocate resources to national defense and reduces inefficient arms buildups (the positive effect), it also prompts her to choose insufficient military preparedness and increases the risk of deterrence failure (the negative effect). Our results suggest that when the policymaker has access to sufficiently accurate information, enhancing policy transparency may improve the welfare of citizens.
我们建立了一个政治代理模型,该模型考虑了政策结果中信息披露的不对称性,并探讨了政策制定者的声誉关注和行动透明度如何影响其国防政策选择及其后果。我们证明了政策制定者对声誉的担忧可能会产生反常的影响,因为她害怕因未能阻止威胁而失去声誉,或者她对姿态的激励可能会导致她制定对公民来说不是最优的国防政策。我们还发现,政策透明度对公民福利的影响是混合的:一方面,透明度使不称职的政策制定者不太倾向于将资源过度分配给国防,减少低效的军备积累(积极影响),另一方面,它也促使她选择不充分的军事准备,增加威慑失败的风险(消极影响)。我们的研究结果表明,当决策者能够获得足够准确的信息时,提高政策透明度可能会改善公民的福利。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of financial support to firms during crises: The case of Covid aid in the EU 危机期间金融支持对企业的影响:以欧盟新冠疫情援助为例
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107339
Giulia Canzian , Elena Crivellaro , Tomaso Duso , Antonella Rita Ferrara , Alessandro Sasso , Stefano Verzillo
The Covid-19 pandemic caused a global economic crisis, leading governments to provide substantial State aid to support firms. This paper examines the effectiveness of Covid-related financial support in Spain and Italy, focusing on its impact on firm recovery. Using a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach combined with propensity score weighting, it compares outcomes of similar firms receiving aid to those without. The results show significant benefits for micro-firms, including mitigated turnover declines and increased investments in both tangible and intangible assets. The findings highlight the critical role of government support in business survival and recovery, especially for SMEs, during the pandemic.
2019冠状病毒病大流行引发了全球经济危机,导致各国政府为支持企业提供了大量国家援助。本文考察了西班牙和意大利与新冠肺炎相关的金融支持的有效性,重点关注其对企业复苏的影响。使用差分法(DiD)结合倾向得分加权,它比较了接受援助的类似公司和没有接受援助的公司的结果。结果显示,微型公司有显著的好处,包括减少营业额下降和增加有形和无形资产的投资。调查结果强调了政府支持在大流行期间对企业生存和复苏的关键作用,特别是对中小企业。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting the Rubinstein-Wolinsky model of middlemen 重新审视鲁宾斯坦-沃林斯基的中间商模型
IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107345
Grace Xun Gong , Ziqi Qiao , Randall Wright
Rubinstein and Wolinsky’s classic “Middlemen” paper introduced search theoretic models of intermediation. While this inspired much research, existing analysis of the model is incomplete. Rubinstein and Wolinsky show in equilibrium middlemen intermediate (buy from sellers and sell to buyers) when the rate at which they meet buyers exceeds the rate at which sellers meet buyers – but these rates should be endogenous. We characterize equilibrium in terms of fundamentals, not endogenous variables, providing novel existence, uniqueness and comparative static results. Also, being explicit about meeting technologies shows middlemen may intermediate even if their meeting technology is fundamentally inferior to sellers’ technology.
鲁宾斯坦和沃林斯基的经典论文《中间人》介绍了中介的搜索理论模型。虽然这激发了许多研究,但现有的模型分析是不完整的。鲁宾斯坦(Rubinstein)和沃林斯基(Wolinsky)指出,在均衡状态下,当中间商遇到买家的速度超过卖家遇到买家的速度时,中间商(从卖家那里买东西,再卖给买家)就会出现——但这些速度应该是内生的。我们描述均衡的基本因素,而不是内生变量,提供新颖的存在,唯一性和比较静态结果。此外,对会议技术的明确表明,即使中间人的会议技术从根本上劣于卖方的技术,他们也可能进行中介。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
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