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Issue importance amplifies the effect of gaze on voting decisions 议题的重要性放大了凝视对投票决定的影响。
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106376
Xiaozhi Yang , Elizabeth E. Riggs , Jason C. Coronel , Ian Krajbich
There are many factors that can influence a voter’s decision in the ballot booth but not all of them are policy related. One non-policy factor that may influence voters is the tendency to choose options that attract attention. Here, we investigate this possibility in two proof-of-concept laboratory studies with people choosing between proposed laws. We find that people are slower to vote when their party is split over an issue, and that they tend to vote for laws that they look at more. Moreover, this gaze effect is stronger for more important issues. We also find that we can increase the probability that someone will vote for one of two laws by getting them to look at that option first. Our work harnesses the power of sequential sampling models to explain the relationship between gaze and vote choice. We find support for a goal-based model where overt attention amplifies information supporting a particular law. This model explains why gaze has a stronger effect on choice for more important issues. Our findings indicate that some voting decisions are not predetermined and instead rely on an on-the-spot evaluation. As a result, these decisions can be swayed by attentional manipulations. Thus, visual attention may serve as a unifying framework for understanding different biases that occur in the voting booth, such as ballot-order and candidate-name-familiarity effects.
有许多因素可以影响选民在投票站的决定,但并非所有因素都与政策有关。一个可能影响选民的非政策因素是倾向于选择吸引注意力的选项。在这里,我们在两个概念验证实验室研究中调查了这种可能性,人们在拟议的法律之间进行选择。我们发现,当他们的政党在一个问题上出现分歧时,人们投票的速度会变慢,他们倾向于投票给他们更关注的法律。此外,这种凝视效应在更重要的问题上更强。我们还发现,我们可以通过让人们先看一下那个选项来增加他们投票支持两个法律中的一个的可能性。我们的工作利用顺序抽样模型的力量来解释凝视和投票选择之间的关系。我们发现了一个基于目标的模型的支持,在这个模型中,显性注意力放大了支持特定规律的信息。这个模型解释了为什么凝视对更重要问题的选择有更大的影响。我们的研究结果表明,一些投票决定不是预先确定的,而是依赖于现场评估。因此,这些决定可能会受到注意力操纵的影响。因此,视觉注意可以作为一个统一的框架来理解在投票站发生的不同偏见,比如投票顺序和候选人名字熟悉度效应。
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引用次数: 0
Moral language and Moore’s Paradox: Challenging moral expressivism 道德语言与摩尔悖论:挑战道德表现主义。
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106337
Pascale Willemsen, Lucien Baumgartner
Moore’s Paradox—e.g., “It’s raining but I don’t think it’s raining”—is widely considered infelicitous despite being logically consistent. In this paper, we extend Moore’s Paradox to moral discourse and test whether moral statements like “Murder is wrong but I don’t disapprove of it” elicit similar intuitions. Rooted in moral expressivism, the Parity Thesis predicts that moral assertions express non-cognitive attitudes (e.g., approval/disapproval) in a manner analogous to how descriptive statements express beliefs. In a pre-registered study with 1200 participants, we empirically test this thesis using a mixed design that manipulates moral term type (thick vs thin), evaluative polarity (positive vs negative), perspective (first vs third person), and attitude (belief vs disapproval). The results of our main study and one qualitative follow-up study suggest that while moral statements resemble Moorean Paradoxes in important ways, participants find it largely acceptable to call an action wrong without disapproving of it. As the infelicity of such statements is a core ingredient of Moorean Paradoxes and, as we suggest, the Parity Thesis, we conclude that moral language does not express approval and disapproval like declarative language expresses beliefs.
摩尔的Paradox-e.g。“它在下雨,但我不认为它在下雨”——尽管在逻辑上是一致的,但被广泛认为是不吉利的。在本文中,我们将摩尔悖论扩展到道德话语,并测试像“谋杀是错误的,但我不反对它”这样的道德陈述是否会引起类似的直觉。基于道德表现主义,奇偶命题预测道德断言表达非认知态度(例如,赞同/不赞成)的方式类似于描述性陈述表达信仰的方式。在一项有1200名参与者的预注册研究中,我们使用混合设计对这篇论文进行了实证检验,该设计操纵了道德术语类型(厚与薄)、评价极性(积极与消极)、视角(第一人称与第三人称)和态度(信仰与反对)。我们的主要研究和一项定性后续研究的结果表明,尽管道德陈述在重要方面与摩尔悖论相似,但参与者发现,在不反对的情况下,认为一种行为是错误的,在很大程度上是可以接受的。由于这些陈述的不真实性是摩尔悖论的核心成分,正如我们所建议的,奇偶命题,我们得出结论,道德语言不像陈述性语言表达信仰那样表达赞成和反对。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical learning and individual differences in language abilities: A structural equation modelling study on the mediating roles of perceptual speed, working memory, and cognitive control 统计学习与语言能力的个体差异:知觉速度、工作记忆和认知控制中介作用的结构方程模型研究。
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106356
Ágnes Lukács , Bálint József Ugrin , Krisztina Sára Lukics
Language acquisition and processing rely on a dynamic network of cognitive abilities, where various mechanisms interact to support the recognition, integration, and application of linguistic patterns. Previous research has largely focused on the dual relationships between statistical learning and language abilities, or between core cognitive functions (perceptual speed, working memory, cognitive control) and linguistic abilities, leaving their combined interaction underexplored. To address this gap, this study investigates how statistical learning—a process that enables individuals to detect patterns in language—relates to linguistic abilities and the extent to which core cognitive functions contribute to this relationship. We assessed a large sample of 608 Hungarian speakers (ages 14 to 92) on multiple tasks measuring statistical learning (speech segmentation, artificial grammar learning), linguistic performance (grammatical sensitivity, pragmatic comprehension, semantic prediction, violation processing, and reading efficiency), and core cognitive abilities (perceptual speed, working memory, cognitive control). Structural equation modelling revealed significant small to moderate relationships between statistical learning and language abilities, with offline statistical learning tasks predicting linguistic performance better than online measures (which assess statistical learning in real time). Importantly, core cognitive abilities, especially perceptual speed and working memory, consistently mediated the relationship between statistical learning and language processing, revealing the interconnected dynamics between these functions. These results support the notion that while statistical learning contributes to individual differences in language abilities, its effect is partially explained by core cognitive mechanisms implicated in both statistical learning and language processing. The findings highlight the complexity of language acquisition and processing, and underscore the need for further investigation into the mediating role of other cognitive factors.
语言习得和加工依赖于一个动态的认知能力网络,在这个网络中,各种机制相互作用以支持语言模式的识别、整合和应用。以前的研究主要集中在统计学习和语言能力之间的双重关系,或者核心认知功能(知觉速度、工作记忆、认知控制)和语言能力之间的双重关系,而没有对它们的综合相互作用进行充分的探索。为了解决这一差距,本研究调查了统计学习(一种使个人能够检测语言模式的过程)与语言能力的关系,以及核心认知功能在多大程度上促成了这种关系。我们对608名匈牙利语使用者(14岁至92岁)进行了多项测试,包括统计学习(语音分割、人工语法学习)、语言表现(语法敏感性、语用理解、语义预测、违例处理和阅读效率)和核心认知能力(感知速度、工作记忆、认知控制)。结构方程模型揭示了统计学习和语言能力之间存在显著的小到中等的关系,离线统计学习任务比在线测量(实时评估统计学习)更能预测语言表现。重要的是,核心认知能力,特别是知觉速度和工作记忆,始终介导了统计学习和语言处理之间的关系,揭示了这些功能之间的相互关联动态。这些结果支持这样一种观点,即虽然统计学习有助于语言能力的个体差异,但其影响部分可以通过涉及统计学习和语言处理的核心认知机制来解释。这些发现突出了语言习得和加工的复杂性,并强调了进一步研究其他认知因素的中介作用的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Mind over bias: How is cognitive control related to politically motivated reasoning? 心智战胜偏见:认知控制如何与政治动机推理相关?
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106373
Olaf Borghi , Ben M. Tappin , Kaat Smets , Manos Tsakiris
People often favour information aligned with their ideological motives. Can our tendency for directional motivated reasoning be overcome with cognitive control? It remains contested whether cognitive control processes, such as cognitive reflection and inhibitory control, are linked to a greater tendency to engage in politically motivated reasoning, as proposed by the “motivated reflection” hypothesis, or can help people overcome it, as suggested by cognitive science research. In this pre-registered study (N = 504 UK participants rating n = 4963 news messages), we first provide evidence for motivated reasoning on multiple political and non-political topics. We then investigated the associations of the two cognitive control variables cognitive reflection and inhibitory control with motivated reasoning. We find that associations between cognitive control processes and motivated reasoning are likely small. On political topics specifically, we find that a negative association with cognitive reflection is more likely than a positive association. This finding is contrary to predictions from the popular motivated reflection hypothesis. Results for inhibitory control are inconclusive. We discuss how these findings relate to interdisciplinary literature from cognitive and political psychology.
人们往往偏爱与他们的意识形态动机一致的信息。我们的定向动机推理倾向可以通过认知控制来克服吗?认知控制过程,如认知反射和抑制控制,是否像“动机反射”假说所提出的那样,与更大的参与政治动机推理的倾向有关,或者像认知科学研究所建议的那样,可以帮助人们克服政治动机推理,仍然存在争议。在这项预先注册的研究中(N = 504名英国参与者对N = 4963条新闻消息进行评分),我们首先为多个政治和非政治话题的动机推理提供了证据。然后,我们研究了两个认知控制变量认知反射和抑制控制与动机推理的关系。我们发现认知控制过程和动机推理之间的联系可能很小。特别是在政治话题上,我们发现认知反思的负面关联比正面关联更有可能。这一发现与流行的动机反射假说的预测相反。抑制控制的结果尚无定论。我们将讨论这些发现如何与认知心理学和政治心理学的跨学科文献联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Temporal dynamics of integration and individuation: Insights from temporal averaging and crowding 整合和个性化的时间动态:来自时间平均和拥挤的见解
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106374
Ilanit Hochmitz , Yaffa Yeshurun , Amit Yashar
Individuating a single item presented within a continuous sequence of items requires segregating its signal from that of the other items. In contrast, representing a global aspect of the sequence, such as its average orientation, involves integration of information across time. Individuation and integration allow us to focus on individual events while maintaining an overall perception of our environment. To examine the relations between temporal averaging and individuation, we measured orientation averaging over short and long timescales using the same stimuli and orientation-estimation procedure previously used to measure individuation. Participants reported the average orientation of a sequence of three oriented items separated by either short (SOAs<150 ms) or long intervals (SOAs>150 ms). Analysis of the error distribution and mixture-modeling revealed distinct patterns of results for the different tasks and timescales, but also some similarities, particularly for the short timescale. In this timescale, the relative contribution of each individual item to the final response was similar across tasks, indicating the involvement of low-level factors operating regardless of the task. With the long timescale, the two tasks showed dissociable pattern across all performance aspects, except guessing rate, indicating that long-scale individuation and averaging engage mainly higher-level, task-related processes. Importantly, regardless of timescale, estimation errors in these tasks were best described by different models: in integration they primarily reflected unequal weighting of the averaged items, whereas in individuation they reflected imprecise target encoding with occasional misreports of distractors. Together, the findings reveal dissociable dynamics for integration and individuation.
在连续的项目序列中单独呈现一个项目需要将其信号从其他项目中分离出来。相比之下,表示序列的全局方面,例如其平均方向,涉及跨时间的信息集成。个性化和整合使我们能够专注于个人事件,同时保持对环境的整体感知。为了研究时间平均和个性化之间的关系,我们使用之前用于测量个性化的相同刺激和取向估计程序,在短时间尺度和长时间尺度上测量了取向平均。参与者报告了由三个定向项目组成的序列的平均定向,这些序列被短间隔(150毫秒)或长间隔(150毫秒)分开。对误差分布和混合建模的分析揭示了不同任务和时间尺度的不同结果模式,但也有一些相似之处,特别是在短时间尺度上。在这个时间尺度中,每个单独项目对最终反应的相对贡献在不同的任务中是相似的,这表明低级因素的参与与任务无关。在长时间尺度下,除了猜测率外,这两个任务在所有表现方面都表现出可分离的模式,这表明长时间尺度个性化和平均主要涉及更高层次的任务相关过程。重要的是,无论时间尺度如何,这些任务中的估计误差最好用不同的模型来描述:在整合中,它们主要反映了平均项目的不平等权重,而在个性化中,它们反映了不精确的目标编码,偶尔会出现干扰因素的错误报告。总之,这些发现揭示了整合和个性化的可分离动力。
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引用次数: 0
The roles of switching and inhibition in adult counterintuitive scientific thinking 转换和抑制在成人反直觉科学思维中的作用
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106377
Michelle R. Ellefson , Rui Wang , Aaron Britton , Harriet Godfrey , Aidan Feeney
Learning science often appears to involve replacement of naïve, intuitive ideas with correct, counterintuitive ones. Recent studies indicate that the old naïve, intuitive ideas are not actually replaced but exist alongside the correct but often counterintuitive ones. On this account, newer knowledge for scientific thinking might involve inhibition of the old idea. However, instead of merely inhibiting old ideas, it is possible that switching is necessary to select between new and old scientific ideas. In this study, we explored the direct and indirect contributions of behavioural inhibition, cognitive inhibition and switching to intuitive and counterintuitive science reasoning in adults (N = 167). After replicating the commonly observed processing costs of counterintuitive items relative to intuitive ones, we find that individual differences in switching rather than in inhibition are most strongly associated with variation in the accuracy and speed of adult intuitive and counterintuitive science reasoning. These results suggest that adults switch between older and newer ideas when reasoning about science rather than suppressing one in favour of the other.
学习科学似乎经常涉及用正确的、反直觉的想法代替naïve、直觉的想法。最近的研究表明,古老的naïve、直觉的想法实际上并没有被取代,而是与正确但往往违反直觉的想法并存。因此,科学思维的新知识可能涉及对旧观念的抑制。然而,不只是抑制旧思想,有可能需要转换,以便在新旧科学思想之间进行选择。在这项研究中,我们探讨了成人行为抑制、认知抑制以及转向直觉和反直觉科学推理的直接和间接贡献(N = 167)。在复制了通常观察到的反直觉项目相对于直觉项目的加工成本后,我们发现,与成人直觉和反直觉科学推理的准确性和速度差异最密切相关的是转换而不是抑制的个体差异。这些结果表明,成年人在推理科学时,会在新旧观念之间切换,而不是为了支持其中一种而压制另一种。
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引用次数: 0
Switching-back versus switching-out: Language context reveals a novel aging deficit in proactive bilingual language control 转换与转换:语言语境揭示了主动双语语言控制中的一种新的老化缺陷。
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106385
Dalia L. Garcia , Tamar H. Gollan
The present study examined how bilinguals switch languages under conditions of varying contextual support for each language. Bilinguals were cued to name pictures in two contextually biased blocks, one biasing the dominant-language by cuing its use on 88 % of trials, another biasing the nondominant-language, and a third no-bias block (in which each language was used 50 % of the time). Experiment 1 tested 70 young Spanish-English bilinguals, while Experiment 2 compared a proficiency-matched subset of the young bilinguals to 40 older bilinguals tested on the same tasks. In the no-bias block, young but not older bilinguals exhibited reversed language dominance, replicating a previously reported aging deficit in global inhibition of the dominant language. In biased-language contexts, young, but not older, bilinguals switched-back to the biased language faster than they switched-out, and switching-back was not easier than switching-out, if anything, switching back was more costly (for young bilinguals in Experiment 1, and for older bilinguals in Experiment 2). Surprisingly, older bilinguals exhibited larger switch-back, but not switch-out, costs than younger bilinguals. To explain these results, we hypothesize that young bilinguals engage multiple forms of proactive control to switch languages, including inhibition of the dominant language, and proactive activation of a selected language, which they maintain even while temporarily switching out of it to facilitate imminent switches back. By contrast, older bilinguals rely primarily on reactive control to switch languages, and without proactive selection, bottom-up activation of the contextually supported language collapses upon switching out of it.
本研究考察了双语者是如何在不同语境支持下转换语言的。双语者被提示在两个情境偏差块中命名图片,一个通过在88%的试验中提示其使用而使主导语言产生偏差,另一个通过提示非主导语言产生偏差,第三个无偏差块(每种语言使用50%的时间)。实验1测试了70名年轻的西班牙语-英语双语者,而实验2比较了40名熟练程度匹配的年轻双语者和40名年长双语者在相同任务上的测试。在无偏见组中,年轻的双语者而不是年长的双语者表现出相反的语言优势,重复了先前报道的对主导语言的整体抑制的衰老缺陷。在偏倚语言环境中,年轻双语者,而不是年长双语者,转换回偏倚语言的速度比转换出偏倚语言的速度快,并且转换回偏倚语言并不比转换出偏倚语言容易,如果有的话,转换回偏倚语言的代价更高(实验1中的年轻双语者和实验2中的年长双语者)。令人惊讶的是,年长的双语者比年轻的双语者表现出更大的转换成本,而不是转换成本。为了解释这些结果,我们假设年轻的双语者参与多种形式的主动控制来切换语言,包括对主导语言的抑制,以及对所选语言的主动激活,即使在暂时切换语言以促进即将切换回语言时,他们也会保持这种状态。相比之下,年长的双语者主要依靠反应性控制来切换语言,如果没有主动选择,自下而上的上下文支持语言激活在切换语言时就会崩溃。
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引用次数: 0
People can find their true selves outside moral pursuits 人们可以在道德追求之外找到真正的自我。
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106325
Jordan Wylie , Matthew Lindauer , Ana Gantman
Pursuing a life of moral excellence is often seen as allowing a person not only to live by good and just principles but also to live an authentic life that brings them closest to their true self. This view is taken to reflect the priority that people should place on moral pursuits or “moral primacy.” The results of four preregistered studies (N = 2909) suggest that people do not always hold this view and highlight a tension within it: how can morality both constrain human behavior and afford the freedom to be one's truest self? We find that people resolve this conflict with ‘value pluralism,’ preferring a balance of life pursuits across several value domains, where aesthetic pursuits are viewed as affording freedom from rules and conventions. We then adapt a personal change paradigm from prior work and develop a novel paradigm to examine whether people's intuitions about the true self also reveal that a broader set of values—not just moral ones—inform judgments of the true self. We find no differences in true self judgments following the loss of an aesthetic versus moral quality. However, when directly comparing life paths, the pursuit of aesthetic excellence is sometimes viewed as offering greater access to one's true self compared with moral excellence, in part because aesthetic pursuits are seen as less rule bound. These findings offer insights into the myriad paths a person can take in life while pursuing autonomy, authenticity, and closeness to their true self.
追求道德卓越的生活通常被视为不仅允许一个人以善良和公正的原则生活,而且还允许一个人过一种真实的生活,使他们最接近真实的自我。这种观点反映了人们应该优先考虑道德追求或“道德至上”。四项预先登记的研究(N = 2909)的结果表明,人们并不总是持有这种观点,并突出了其中的紧张关系:道德如何既约束人类行为,又能提供做最真实自我的自由?我们发现,人们用“价值多元化”来解决这种冲突,他们更喜欢在几个价值领域中平衡生活追求,在这些领域中,审美追求被视为从规则和习俗中获得自由。然后,我们从之前的工作中调整了个人变化范式,并开发了一个新的范式来研究人们对真实自我的直觉是否也揭示了一套更广泛的价值观——不仅仅是道德价值观——会影响对真实自我的判断。我们发现,在失去审美品质和道德品质之后,真正的自我判断并没有什么不同。然而,当直接比较人生道路时,与道德卓越相比,追求审美卓越有时被视为更容易接近一个人的真实自我,部分原因是审美追求被视为较少受规则约束。这些发现揭示了一个人在追求自主、真实和接近真实自我的过程中可以选择的无数条道路。
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引用次数: 0
Intuitions of mathematical curves in young children's drawings 幼儿绘画中数学曲线的直觉
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106359
Lorenzo Ciccione , Marie Lubineau , Théo Morfoisse , Stanislas Dehaene
How sophisticated is young children's comprehension of geometric lines, curves and patterns, and how can we probe it? We investigated early proto-mathematical intuitions by asking kindergarteners (N = 39, 25 girls, 66 months) and first-graders (N = 42, 20 girls, 76 months) to draw the prolongation of mathematical patterns. Children's drawings revealed an early yet partial understanding of key mathematical properties such as linearity, curvature, periodicity, and compositionality. These abilities were confirmed in a second task, where participants were asked to select the correct prolongation among six options, ruling out motor entrainment as an explanation for the drawing task. These findings highlight children's emerging intuitions of proto-mathematical concepts and underscore the potential of drawing as a powerful and concrete tool for assessing early mathematical reasoning.
幼儿对几何线条、曲线和图案的理解有多复杂,我们如何探究?我们通过调查幼儿园儿童(N = 39, 25名女孩,66个月)和一年级儿童(N = 42, 20名女孩,76个月)的早期原始数学直觉来研究数学模式的延长。孩子们的绘画揭示了对关键数学性质的早期但部分的理解,如线性、曲率、周期性和组合性。这些能力在第二个任务中得到了证实,参与者被要求在六个选项中选择正确的延长,排除了运动干扰作为绘画任务的解释。这些发现强调了儿童对原始数学概念的直觉,并强调了绘画作为评估早期数学推理的强大而具体的工具的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Low-certainty modals not future tenses cause increased psychological discounting in English relative to Dutch 相对于荷兰语,低确定性情态而非将来时在英语中引起更多的心理折扣。
IF 2.8 1区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.cognition.2025.106338
Cole Robertson , Seán G. Roberts , Asifa Majid , Tammy Lu , Philip Wolff , Robin I.M. Dunbar
Speaking a language that obliges the future tense for linguistic Future Time Reference (FTR) may cause speakers to devalue future outcomes. Evidence suggests such grammars make speakers less “future-oriented”: less likely, for example, to invest, eat healthily, or support costly climate change mitigation efforts. This has been explained using the notion that the future tense (e.g., will) encodes temporal notions of distance and/or precision; its obligatory use is therefore hypothesized to cause speakers to perceive delayed outcomes as less valuable. We argue that this causal account is not supported by extant evidence. Rather, we hypothesize the obligation to use low-certainty modal verbs (e.g., may) causes speakers to construe delayed outcomes as risky and therefore less valuable. We tested this in speakers of Dutch (which does not oblige FTR marking) and English (which does). English speakers used more low-certainty modal verbs, which in turn caused them to place a relatively lower value on future outcomes; at the same time, future tense had no effect, in terms of either distance or precision, on reward value construals (Study 1). When bilinguals were tested in English and Dutch, increased relative use of low-certainty modals again caused English speakers to devalue future outcomes, addressing possible cultural confounds (Study 2). English and Dutch speakers were tested on a non-linguistic probability estimation task; higher modal verb use in English caused lower probability estimates relative to Dutch speakers on matched visual stimuli—supporting the modal account that the obligation to use low-certainty language impacts judgments about probability (Study 3). Relative to matched US nationals, corporate executives from countries which speak languages that, like Dutch, do not oblige future statements to be grammatically marked, used fewer low-certainty modal verbs and more present tense FTR statements, while there was no difference in future tense use (Study 4)—broadly supporting the modal account by suggesting the modal differences characteristic of English and Dutch are widespread. Together, these results indicate that, relative to Dutch, English FTR requires speakers to use more low-certainty modals, and that this negatively biases construals of probability, which in turn leads to increased discounting (Studies 1–3), and that this cross-linguistic contrast may be general (Study 4). The studies provide evidence for linguistic relativity by identifying cross-linguistic effects of FTR grammar on discounting via low-certainty modals. However, the hypothesis that obligatory tenses impacted discounting via temporal notions was not supported, suggesting numerous reported results should be re-evaluated using the causal framework we propose.
使用一种要求将来时作为语言未来时间参考(FTR)的语言可能会导致说话者贬低未来结果。有证据表明,这样的语法使说话者不那么“面向未来”:例如,不太可能投资、健康饮食或支持代价高昂的减缓气候变化努力。这可以用将来时(例如,will)编码距离和/或精度的时间概念的概念来解释;因此,它的强制性使用被假设为导致说话者认为延迟的结果不那么有价值。我们认为这种因果关系没有现有证据的支持。相反,我们假设使用低确定性情态动词(例如,可能)的义务会导致说话者将延迟的结果解释为有风险,因此不那么有价值。我们在说荷兰语(荷兰语不要求FTR标记)和英语(荷兰语要求FTR标记)的人群中进行了测试。说英语的人更多地使用低确定性情态动词,这反过来又导致他们对未来结果的重视程度相对较低;同时,将来时对奖励价值解释的距离和准确性没有影响(研究1)。当双语者用英语和荷兰语进行测试时,低确定性情态的相对使用增加再次导致英语使用者贬低未来结果,解决可能的文化混淆(研究2)。对说英语和荷兰语的人进行了一项非语言概率估计任务的测试;在匹配的视觉刺激下,与荷兰语使用者相比,英语使用者情态动词的使用频率较高,导致对概率的估计较低,这支持了情态解释,即使用低确定性语言的义务影响了对概率的判断(研究3)。与匹配的美国国民相比,来自荷兰语等语言国家的公司高管使用的低确定性情态动词较少,使用的现在时FTR语句较多,而将来时的使用没有差异(研究4)——通过表明英语和荷兰语的情态差异特征普遍存在,从而广泛支持了情态说法。总之,这些结果表明,相对于荷兰语,英语FTR要求说话者使用更多的低确定性情态,这对概率解释产生了负面偏见,从而导致了折扣的增加(研究1-3),并且这种跨语言对比可能是普遍的(研究4)。这些研究通过识别FTR语法对低确定性情态折扣的跨语言影响,为语言相关性提供了证据。然而,强制性时态通过时间概念影响折扣的假设不被支持,这表明许多报告的结果应该使用我们提出的因果框架重新评估。
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