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Circular economy: Extending end-of-life strategies 循环经济:扩展报废战略
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.09.003
Waqas Ahmed , Vanajah Siva , Jenny Bäckstrand , Niklas Sarius , Hans-Åke Sundberg

The transition from linear economy to circular economy (CE) has gained mainstream status in recent times, not only at product and process levels, but also at component level. In order to adopt the CE as common practice, there is a need to reimagine the product end-of-life (EoL) phase to include assessment of individual component health status. Implementation of EoL strategies on products designed based on wear and tear, robustness, and safety concerns is, however, complex. The purpose of this study is to explore the potential of designing for CE by applying a visual health-based analysis (VHA) at the component level at the EoL stage. The application of this diagnostic tool is exemplified in a case at a large Swedish outdoor power product manufacturer by analyzing components for reuse, remanufacture, refurbishment, recycling, and recovery strategies. The VHA results in the calculation of a CE potential at the component-product level based on individual component's cost, complexity, health, and diagnostic approach. This study presents a diagnostic tool for practitioners to understand circularity at the component-level in the effort to identify EoL strategies. Furthermore, in supporting the CE principle of maximizing resource recovery, the study potentially contributes to the EU's CE action plan and the UN-SDGs 8, 9, 12, and 13.

从线性经济到循环经济(CE)的转变近来已成为主流,这不仅体现在产品和工艺层面,也体现在组件层面。为了将循环经济作为普遍做法,有必要重新规划产品的寿命终结(EoL)阶段,以包括对单个组件健康状况的评估。然而,在基于磨损、坚固性和安全考虑而设计的产品上实施 EoL 战略非常复杂。本研究的目的是通过在 EoL 阶段的组件层面应用基于视觉健康的分析 (VHA),探索 CE 设计的潜力。瑞典一家大型户外动力产品制造商通过分析部件的再利用、再制造、翻新、循环利用和回收策略,对这一诊断工具的应用进行了示范。VHA 可以根据单个组件的成本、复杂性、健康状况和诊断方法,计算出组件-产品层面的 CE 潜力。这项研究为从业人员提供了一个诊断工具,帮助他们了解组件层面的循环性,从而确定 EoL 战略。此外,通过支持最大限度地回收资源的循环经济原则,本研究还可能为欧盟的循环经济行动计划和联合国可持续发展目标 8、9、12 和 13 做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Safe and just housing for all–Towards establishing a sustainable consumption corridor for housing 人人享有安全公正的住房--建立可持续的住房消费走廊
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.09.002
Kevin Joseph Dillman , Jukka Heinonen , Brynhildur Davíðsdóttir

This paper introduces a sustainable consumption corridor (SCC) framework designed to define a ‘safe’ and ‘just’ space for housing provisioning, integrating social equity with ecological sustainability in the housing sector. It proposes a comprehensive set of ecological ceilings and social foundations, providing actionable threshold indicators for measuring and guiding sustainable housing practices. Through the SCC, this work addresses the pressing socio-ecological challenges the housing sector faces, especially the need to balance housing expansion with environmental limits. In doing so, this work provides a platform to discuss the consumption-based versus absolute limits for social and ecological thresholds, the need to integrate social and environmental thresholds, and the need to model the provisioning system dynamics which in turn influence the social and environmental performance of housing provisioning systems. This provisioning includes both the physical and political economic factors which influence these outcomes. The study sets the stage for future empirical research and the refinement of indicators that can be adapted across different contexts to ensure relevance and applicability. The ultimate aim promote policies to reconfigure housing provisioning systems to meet human needs within the planetary boundaries.

本文介绍了一个可持续消费走廊(SCC)框架,旨在为住房供给界定一个 "安全 "和 "公正 "的空间,将社会公平与住房领域的生态可持续性结合起来。它提出了一套全面的生态上限和社会基础,为衡量和指导可持续住房实践提供了可行的阈值指标。通过可持续住房委员会,这项工作解决了住房部门面临的紧迫的社会生态挑战,特别是平衡住房扩张与环境限制的需要。在此过程中,这项工作提供了一个平台,以讨论基于消费的社会和生态阈值与绝对阈值之间的关系、整合社会和环境阈值的必要性,以及建立供应系统动态模型的必要性,这些动态模型反过来会影响住房供应系统的社会和环境绩效。这种供应包括影响这些结果的物质和政治经济因素。本研究为未来的实证研究和指标完善奠定了基础,这些指标可适用于不同情况,以确保相关性和适用性。最终目的是推动政策,重新配置住房供应系统,以满足地球范围内的人类需求。
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引用次数: 0
The actionability of household food waste reduction 减少家庭厨余垃圾的可操作性
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.028
Xiaolei Li , Wuyang Hu , Jian Li , Ping Qing

While technically feasible, completely avoiding certain waste in real-life may be challenging. We construct the concept of actionability to classify six causes for household food waste based on the difficulty of action to address them. Using data from an online survey of 1746 consumers from China, we show that the actionability-adjusted food waste is 2.4 to 10.6 percentage points lower than the traditional measure, translating to up to 7.2 million tons or $26.5 billion in reduced waste in 2019. The main causes of food waste are similar in total food and four main specific categories of food. Our statistical models show that consumer demographic characteristics also interact with the levels of actionability among different types of food. Our findings can advance the measurement of and the creation of more realistic and effective policies to reduce household food waste.

虽然技术上可行,但在现实生活中完全避免某些浪费可能具有挑战性。我们构建了 "可操作性 "的概念,根据解决这些问题的难度,对造成家庭食物浪费的六种原因进行了分类。通过对中国 1746 名消费者的在线调查数据,我们发现,经过可操作性调整后的食物浪费比传统衡量标准低 2.4 到 10.6 个百分点,即在 2019 年可减少高达 720 万吨或 265 亿美元的食物浪费。造成食物浪费的主要原因在总食物和四大特定食物类别中相似。我们的统计模型显示,消费者的人口特征也与不同类型食品的可操作性水平相互影响。我们的研究结果可以推动对减少家庭食物浪费的测量,并制定更现实、更有效的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the application and decision optimization of climate-smart agriculture within land-energy-food-waste nexus 探索气候智能型农业在土地-能源-粮食-废物关系中的应用和决策优化
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.019
Bo Yu , Xuehao Bi , Xueqing Liu , Hua Sun , Jeroen Buysse

The escalating threat of climate change from greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions increasingly threatens the stability of agricultural systems, emphasizing the pressing necessity to transition towards sustainable, low-carbon practices. Climate-smart agriculture (CSA) is an evolving approach to balance heightened crop productivity, reduced GHG emissions, and enhanced resource adaptability to climate change. A comprehensive model was developed to facilitate the sustainable and coordinated development of land, energy, food, and waste nexus systems. This study seeks to tackle the pressing necessity by incorporating advanced modeling techniques to enhance resource allocation and decision-making in agricultural systems, aiming for a triple win in reducing GHG emissions, enhancing food security, and promoting economic sustainability. An integrated approach harnessing life cycle assessment, system dynamics model, and multi-objective optimization methodologies was employed to evaluate the effects, trade-offs, and synergies of resource allocation in the context of CSA practices. In Jiangxi Province, China, a case study demonstrated notable reductions in overall carbon footprints, ranging from 6.02 % to 12.03 %. Additionally, applying the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II optimization algorithm to the model led to significant enhancements, such as an 11.24 % increase in grain nutrient availability, a 20.99 % boost in economic returns, and a 19.36 % decrease in GHG emissions. The findings underscore the efficacy of optimizing resource allocation to attain economic, environmental, and social advantages and curb carbon emissions. Moreover, pivotal policy recommendations encompass land use transformation, optimal food production allocation, and bioenergy production restructuring. Enforcing the practices of CSA and integrating them with carbon market transactions are crucial for sustainable agricultural development. This innovative framework provides a sustainable global agricultural management model with a low-carbon footprint, which is particularly beneficial in resource-scarce regions with competing policy objectives.

温室气体(GHG)排放造成的气候变化威胁不断升级,日益威胁着农业系统的稳定,这凸显了向可持续、低碳做法过渡的迫切需要。气候智能型农业(CSA)是一种不断发展的方法,可在提高作物生产率、减少温室气体排放和增强资源对气候变化的适应性之间取得平衡。为促进土地、能源、粮食和废物关系系统的可持续协调发展,开发了一个综合模型。这项研究旨在通过采用先进的建模技术来加强农业系统的资源分配和决策,从而实现减少温室气体排放、加强粮食安全和促进经济可持续发展的三赢目标。研究采用了生命周期评估、系统动力学模型和多目标优化方法等综合方法,以评估 CSA 实践中资源配置的效果、权衡和协同作用。在中国江西省进行的一项案例研究表明,总体碳足迹显著减少,幅度从 6.02% 到 12.03%。此外,在模型中应用非优势排序遗传算法 II 优化算法后,效果显著增强,例如谷物养分可用性提高了 11.24%,经济收益提高了 20.99%,温室气体排放量减少了 19.36%。研究结果凸显了优化资源配置以实现经济、环境和社会优势以及遏制碳排放的功效。此外,关键的政策建议包括土地利用转型、优化粮食生产分配和生物能源生产结构调整。实施 CSA 实践并将其与碳市场交易相结合,对于可持续农业发展至关重要。这一创新框架提供了一种低碳足迹的可持续全球农业管理模式,对于资源稀缺、政策目标相互竞争的地区尤为有益。
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引用次数: 0
Review and framework for the engineering of Business Models for Sustainability: A System of Systems perspective 可持续发展商业模式工程的回顾与框架:系统之系统的视角
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.030
Christopher Dormeier , Nadja Mindt , Jan Felix Niemeyer , Reza Asghari , Mark Mennenga

Scarce resources and climate change require more sustainable production and consumption. Business Models for Sustainability (BMfS) can be crucial in achieving extended life cycles and a more conscious use of materials. Due to the high interdependence and interconnectedness of different BMfS compared with traditional business models, the application of conventional approaches for the design of BMfS is limited. Therefore, we show that a systemic perspective is required to achieve absolute sustainability that transcends the boundaries of a focal company. We then conduct a two-part systematic literature review focusing on existing approaches to support a systemic perspective in the design and analysis of BMfS first and modeling approaches second. Based on this review, we identify seven general approaches to achieve a more systemic perspective and six types of approaches to modeling BMfS. We further derive ten key findings and 36 requirements for a framework for the engineering of BMfS. Based on this, we introduce a System of Systems (SoS) perspective on BMfS to enable the required systemic perspective and propose a framework for the engineering of a system of BMfS (SoBMfS) providing a systematic multi-perspective, multi-level approach bridging micro-, meso-, and macro-level. Scholars and practitioners can use this framework to develop and integrate future tools and methods to support the development of BMfS.

资源稀缺和气候变化要求更具可持续性的生产和消费。可持续发展商业模式(BMfS)对于延长产品生命周期和更有意识地使用材料至关重要。与传统商业模式相比,不同的可持续商业模式之间具有高度的相互依存性和相互关联性,因此在设计可持续商业模式时,传统方法的应用受到了限制。因此,我们表明,要实现超越重点公司界限的绝对可持续发展,就必须从系统的角度出发。然后,我们分两部分进行了系统的文献综述,首先侧重于在设计和分析 BMfS 时支持系统视角的现有方法,其次是建模方法。在这一回顾的基础上,我们确定了实现更系统视角的七种一般方法和六种 BMfS 建模方法。我们还进一步得出了 10 项主要发现和 36 项要求,以建立一个 BMfS 工程框架。在此基础上,我们引入了系统的系统(SoS)视角,以实现所需的系统性视角,并提出了建筑智能化系统工程(SoBMfS)框架,提供了一种系统的多视角、多层次方法,在微观、中观和宏观层面之间架起了桥梁。学者和从业人员可以利用这一框架来开发和整合未来的工具和方法,以支持 BMfS 的发展。
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引用次数: 0
“High incidence of false biodegradability claims related to single-use plastic utensils sold in Brazil” by Beatriz Barbosa Moreno et al., Sustainable Production and Consumption Vol. 41 (2023) 1-8 Beatriz Barbosa Moreno 等人撰写的 "巴西销售的一次性塑料餐具虚假生物可降解性声明的高发率",《可持续生产与消费》第 41 卷(2023 年),1-8 页。
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.024
Telmo F. Ojeda , Radu Baciu

It is greenwashing to affix to a product a label claiming biodegradability if the product is not biodegradable, but Moreno et al. had not taken the fundamental step, to determine whether the products were biodegradable or not. A polyethylene (PE) or polypropylene (PP) product properly made with a reputable oxo-biodegradable masterbatch will fully biodegrade much more quickly than ordinary plastic in the open environment, without leaving microplastics or harmful residues. No special conditions are necessary. Oxo-biodegradable plastics, oxo-degradable plastics, and plastics marketed as “compostable” are completely different technologies and should not be confused. Samples of oxo-biodegradable plastic should not be tested in conditions unlikely to be experienced by plastic litter in the open environment, and should not be so heavily stabilised as to be unlikely to degrade in any realistic timescale.

如果产品不可生物降解,在产品上贴上声称可生物降解的标签是一种 "洗绿 "行为,但莫雷诺等人并没有采取最基本的措施来确定产品是否可生物降解。使用信誉良好的氧化生物降解母料生产的聚乙烯(PE)或聚丙烯(PP)产品在开放环境中的生物降解速度比普通塑料快得多,不会留下微塑料或有害残留物。无需特殊条件。氧化生物降解塑料、氧化降解塑料和市场上标榜的 "可堆肥 "塑料是完全不同的技术,不应混为一谈。氧化生物降解塑料样品不应该在开放环境中的塑料垃圾不可能经历的条件下进行测试,也不应该被严重稳定化,以至于不可能在任何现实的时间范围内降解。
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引用次数: 0
“High incidence of false biodegradability claims related to single-use plastic utensils sold in Brazil” by Barbosa Moreno et al., (Sustainable Production and Consumption Vol.41 (2023) 1–8) Barbosa Moreno 等人撰写的 "巴西销售的一次性塑料餐具虚假生物可降解性声明的高发率",(《可持续生产与消费》第 41 卷(2023 年)1-8)。
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.025
Beatriz Barbosa Moreno, Paula Christine Jimenez, Ítalo Braga de Castro

The Comment by Ojeda and Baciu (2024) on the work by Moreno et al. (2023) lacks scientific premise and is mostly not supported by peer-reviewed literature. They argue that our study neglected fundamental scientific steps, although it is widely known that greenwashing practices can be assessed using frameworks based on product-label analyses. In addition, the Comment presents a lot of wrong or scientifically unsupported information regarding the supposed biodegradability of oxo-plastics, overall, in defense of d2w masterbatch. Here, it is necessary to point out that such materials have been banned in the European Union. Thus, in the ‘post-truth’ era, intangible statements like those presented by Ojeda and Baciu, can undermine evidence-based decisions. Therefore, the global governance of oxo(bio)degradable plastics must be evidence-based.

Ojeda 和 Baciu(2024 年)对 Moreno 等人(2023 年)工作的评论缺乏科学前提,大多没有得到同行评审文献的支持。他们认为,我们的研究忽略了基本的科学步骤,尽管众所周知,可以使用基于产品标签分析的框架来评估 "洗绿 "行为。此外,评论中还提出了许多关于氧化塑料的所谓生物降解性的错误信息或缺乏科学依据的信息,总体上是在为 d2w 母粒辩护。在此有必要指出,欧盟已禁止使用此类材料。因此,在 "后真相 "时代,像奥赫达和巴丘这样的无形言论会破坏以证据为基础的决策。因此,氧化(生物)可降解塑料的全球治理必须以证据为基础。
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引用次数: 0
Towards consistent life cycle assessment modelling of circular economy strategies for electric vehicle batteries 为电动汽车电池的循环经济战略建立一致的生命周期评估模型
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.09.001
Jana Husmann , Antoine Beylot , Fabien Perdu , Marie Pinochet , Felipe Cerdas , Christoph Herrmann

Circular economy strategies for electric vehicle (EV) batteries are gaining importance to reduce dependence on primary raw materials for the energy and mobility transition. Modelling circular economy strategies in the Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) of EV batteries comes with a number of key challenges to ensure sound support to decision-making, including i) solving multifunctionality, whether regarding End-of-Life, processes of secondary raw materials production or product level, ii) capturing material quality aspects and iii) using adequate resource indicators. This study provides a review of LCA guidelines and scientific literature relative to EV batteries. The objective is two-fold: i) identifying key gaps in the guidelines regarding these modelling challenges, and ii) discussing how to fill them based on the state-of-the-art research. The analysis shows that the handling of multifunctionality is addressed in all analysed guidelines but is treated very differently. Major efforts are expected in terms of standardisation and harmonisation, building on the existing state-of-the-art research. A guiding question for standardisation is whether multifunctionality shall be always treated in the same way or whether special rules are appropriate. Instead, material quality and indicators of mineral resource losses are not at all, or to a very limited extent, addressed by existing guidelines. For material quality and mineral resource dissipation and accessibility-based indicators, research developments shall be pursued. Associated research outcomes are ultimately expected to be fed back into the guideline development in a more mid to long-term. The approach for handling these modelling challenges could and should be consistent between different products and sectors of the energy and mobility transition, to avoid double counting and burden shifting.

电动汽车(EV)电池的循环经济战略对于减少能源和交通转型对初级原材料的依赖越来越重要。在电动汽车电池的生命周期评估(LCA)中建立循环经济战略模型面临着一系列关键挑战,以确保为决策提供可靠支持,包括 i) 解决多功能性问题,无论是生命末期、二次原材料生产过程还是产品层面;ii) 捕获材料质量方面的问题;iii) 使用适当的资源指标。本研究综述了与电动汽车电池相关的生命周期评估指南和科学文献。目的有两个:i) 找出指南中与这些建模挑战有关的主要差距;ii) 讨论如何根据最新研究填补这些差距。分析表明,所有分析过的指南都涉及了多功能性的处理,但处理方式却大相径庭。在现有最新研究的基础上,预计将在标准化和协调方面做出重大努力。标准化的一个指导性问题是,是否应始终以同样的方式处理多功能性,还是应适当制定特殊规则。在现有的准则中,材料质量和矿产资源损耗指标根本没有涉及,或者涉及的程度非常有限。对于材料质量和矿产资源损耗以及以可获取性为基础的指标,应继续开展研究。相关研究成果最终有望在中长期内反馈到准则制定工作中。处理这些建模挑战的方法可以而且应该在能源和流动性转型的不同产品和部门之间保持一致,以避免重复计算和负担转移。
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引用次数: 0
Does the electric vehicle promotion policy drive Thailand's passenger transport towards environmental sustainability? 电动汽车推广政策是否推动泰国客运走向环境可持续性?
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.029
Vitoon Chotanapund , Shabbir H. Gheewala , Vladimir Strezov , Nazmul Huda , Ekbordin Winijkul , Anthony Halog , Jitti Mungkalasiri , Trakarn Prapaspongsa

Electric vehicles (EVs) are considered an alternative to internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) for promoting sustainable transport, with environmental benefits depending on many local factors. This study performed a comprehensive life cycle assessment of passenger transport in major urban areas of Thailand, encompassing on-road, metro trains, and inland water transport, to determine the benefits of EV deployment. The findings showed that the vehicle life cycle (manufacture, maintenance, and disposal) was a significant contributor to human health and ecosystem quality impacts when comparing across transport life cycle phases in both ICEVs and EVs. Among private vehicles, with the current electricity mix, EVs had impacts on human health and ecosystem quality comparable to small-size ICEVs. At the projected 2037 electricity mix, the EVs will have lower impacts on human health, ecosystem quality and resource scarcity in comparison with the ICEVs. In scenario analysis, when considering only on-site emissions, it was found that private EV promotion had an environmental cost by about 16–43 % lower than the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, depending on the rate of EV adoption, while shifting to public electric buses or metro trains had a lower environmental cost by 21 % and 23 % compared to BAU, respectively. If assessing the full transport life cycle, shifting to public electric buses or metro trains had a lower environmental cost (22–23 %) than the promotion of EVs with current electricity mix (14 %). The effectiveness of environmental impact mitigation through deployment of private EVs might increase to a comparable level with public electric bus or metro train shifts when Thailand achieves the electricity mix target with 34 % of renewable energy in 2037.

电动汽车(EV)被认为是内燃机汽车(ICEV)的替代品,可促进可持续交通,其环境效益取决于许多当地因素。本研究对泰国主要城市地区的客运交通(包括公路、地铁列车和内陆水运)进行了全面的生命周期评估,以确定部署电动汽车的益处。研究结果表明,在比较内燃机汽车和电动汽车的各运输生命周期阶段时,车辆生命周期(制造、维护和处置)是造成人类健康和生态系统质量影响的重要因素。在私家车中,根据目前的电力组合,电动汽车对人类健康和生态系统质量的影响与小型内燃机汽车相当。在预计的 2037 年电力结构下,电动汽车对人类健康、生态系统质量和资源稀缺性的影响将低于内燃机汽车。在情景分析中,如果只考虑现场排放,可以发现私人电动汽车推广的环境成本比 "一切照旧"(BAU)情景低约 16%-43%,这取决于电动汽车的采用率,而与 "一切照旧 "相比,转向公共电动公交车或地铁列车的环境成本分别低 21% 和 23%。如果对整个交通生命周期进行评估,转向公共电动公交车或地铁列车的环境成本(22%-23%)低于在当前电力组合下推广电动汽车的环境成本(14%)。当泰国在 2037 年实现可再生能源占 34% 的电力结构目标时,通过部署私人电动汽车来减少环境影响的效果可能会提高到与公共电动公交车或地铁列车相媲美的水平。
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引用次数: 0
Uncovering the structure and evolution of global virtual water and agricultural land network 揭示全球虚拟水和农田网络的结构与演变
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.017
Zhenguo Wang , Tengyun Li , Wei Liang , Bojie Fu , Junyi Li , Jianwu Yan
The effective management and allocation of water and land resources is pivotal for ensuring global food security and facilitating the transition towards sustainable development. Combining multi-regional input-output analysis and complex network modelling, this study examining the spatial-temporal evolution and topological structures of multi-layer virtual water and agricultural land networks, analyzed the network characteristics of different countries/regions, and tested the network vulnerability between virtual water trade network and virtual agricultural land network. From the results, it is revealed that 30.9 %—34.14 % of global water resources and 32.9 %—40 % of global agricultural land are associated with international trade. Meanwhile, the geographical distribution of this trade has shifted from low-income countries to middle and high-income countries, showing three distinct fluctuations in their instability levels. Additionally, quantitative network analysis indicates that resource trade networks exhibit small-world characteristics with increasing trends in network density, clustering coefficient, and average path length values over time. Among the two disturbance scenarios, both virtual water and virtual agricultural land networks were more vulnerable under deliberate assault than under random failure, however, the agricultural land network demonstrates greater toughness compared to the virtual water network. These findings highlight the importance of sustainably managing global water and land resources within a framework for sustainable development which aims at promoting both worldwide food security and environmental protection simultaneously.
有效管理和分配水资源和土地资源是确保全球粮食安全和促进向可持续发展过渡的关键。本研究结合多区域投入产出分析和复杂网络建模,研究了多层虚拟水网络和虚拟农田网络的时空演化和拓扑结构,分析了不同国家/地区的网络特征,检验了虚拟水贸易网络和虚拟农田网络之间的网络脆弱性。研究结果表明,全球 30.9 %-34.14 % 的水资源和 32.9 %-40 % 的农田与国际贸易有关。同时,这种贸易的地理分布已从低收入国家转向中等收入和高收入国家,其不稳定性水平呈现出三种明显的波动。此外,定量网络分析表明,资源贸易网络呈现出小世界特征,网络密度、聚类系数和平均路径长度值随时间呈上升趋势。在两种干扰情景中,虚拟水网络和虚拟农田网络在蓄意攻击下比随机失效下更脆弱,但农田网络比虚拟水网络表现出更大的韧性。这些发现凸显了在可持续发展框架内可持续管理全球水和土地资源的重要性,可持续发展的目标是同时促进全球粮食安全和环境保护。
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引用次数: 0
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Sustainable Production and Consumption
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