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Unravelling circularity assessment for the bio-based economy: A systematic, critical review of indicators and recommendations 解开生物经济循环评估:对指标和建议的系统、批判性审查
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.11.004
C. Pérez-Hernández , P. Nachtergaele , S. Huysveld , J. Dewulf
The circular bioeconomy integrates the principles of both circular economy and bio-based economy, representing a promising pathway toward a more sustainable economic model. Current approaches to assessing circularity for bio-based product systems present notable limitations, as existing circularity assessment instruments (CAIs) often fail to adequately capture the particular properties of bio-based resource flows. To address these challenges, a comprehensive and systematic literature review was conducted to identify and evaluate CAIs applicable to the assessment of circularity in bio-based products. A total of 86 circularity indicators, indicator sets, and tools were examined based on their methodological scope and depth, including how they address resource flows, system boundaries, and material properties. Additional attention was given to their coverage of sustainability aspects, as well as their practical applicability. The analysis revealed several key gaps: a predominant emphasis on academic applications with limited industrial implementation; insufficient consideration of resource renewability and return to the biosphere; and an unclear distinction between circularity and sustainability aspects. Building on these findings, two contributions are proposed to advance circularity assessment methodologies: (i) a systems diagram conceptualising the circular bioeconomy, and (ii) a list of seven theoretical key elements essential for comprehensive circularity assessment. By synthesising these findings and advocating for the harmonisation of CAIs, this study provides guidance for developing indicators that better capture the different dimensions of the circular bioeconomy, offering a basis for policymaking and industry to deepen their understanding of circularity performance in the bio-based economy.
循环生物经济融合了循环经济和生物基经济的原则,代表了一条通往更可持续经济模式的有希望的道路。目前评估生物基产品系统循环性的方法存在明显的局限性,因为现有的循环性评估工具(CAIs)往往不能充分捕捉生物基资源流动的特定特性。为了应对这些挑战,进行了全面和系统的文献综述,以确定和评估适用于生物基产品循环性评估的CAIs。共有86个循环指标、指标集和工具根据它们的方法范围和深度进行了检查,包括它们如何处理资源流动、系统边界和材料属性。另外还注意到它们所涵盖的可持续性方面以及它们的实际适用性。分析揭示了几个关键的差距:主要强调学术应用,工业实施有限;对资源可再生性和对生物圈的回归考虑不足;循环性和可持续性之间的区别也不明确。在这些发现的基础上,提出了两项贡献来推进循环性评估方法:(i)将循环生物经济概念化的系统图,以及(ii)综合循环性评估所必需的七个理论关键要素的列表。通过综合这些发现并倡导cai的统一,本研究为制定更好地捕捉循环生物经济不同维度的指标提供了指导,为政策制定和行业加深对生物经济循环绩效的理解提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Operationalizing planetary boundaries through demand-side indicators 通过需求侧指标实施地球边界
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.11.003
Jan Matuštík , Richard Wood , Jan Weinzettel
Planetary boundaries delimit the safe operating space for humanity to ensure the stability and functioning of the Earth system. Demand-side indicators can help navigate specific pathways and solutions to stay within the boundaries. In recent years, an increasing quantity of scientific work is connecting planetary boundary framing to demand-side analysis, yet there is often a lack of consistency in this research. Here we review relevant literature (including life-cycle assessments and environmental footprint analysis), focusing on the choice and suitability of indicators and methods used. We find a persistent gap between the idealist focus on impacts on earth systems functioning and the actual indicators used. We evaluate the available options, outline current research gaps, and extract lessons on how to better account for Earth system impacts from the demand-side perspective.
行星边界划定了人类的安全活动空间,以确保地球系统的稳定和运作。需求侧指标可以帮助引导特定的路径和解决方案,以保持在边界内。近年来,越来越多的科学工作将行星边界框架与需求侧分析联系起来,但这种研究往往缺乏一致性。在此,我们回顾了相关文献(包括生命周期评估和环境足迹分析),重点关注所使用的指标和方法的选择和适用性。我们发现,理想主义者关注对地球系统功能的影响与所使用的实际指标之间存在持续的差距。我们评估了可用的选择,概述了当前的研究差距,并从需求方的角度提取了如何更好地解释地球系统影响的经验教训。
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引用次数: 0
Mainstreaming sustainable consumption through regulation: Public acceptance of new meat reduction policies 通过监管使可持续消费主流化:公众接受新的减肉政策
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.10.020
Esa-Pekka Nykänen , Juulia Räikkönen , Antti Honkanen , Sanna Ahvenharju , Fanny Lalot , Saska Tuomasjukka , Hanna Lagström
Reducing meat consumption is crucial for addressing environmental and health challenges; however, implementing effective policies requires public support. This study investigates psychological and political determinants of public acceptance of four proposed meat reduction policies in Finland—two price-based and two availability-based measures—developed from expert recommendations. Using a representative sample of Finnish adults (N = 1999), we applied structural equation modeling to examine how perceived policy fairness, effectiveness, and intrusiveness mediate the influence of environmental risk perception and political trust on policy acceptance. Acceptance rates ranged from 25 % for the prohibition of discount sales to 35 % for taxing the most environmentally harmful meat products. Of the proximal predictors, perceived fairness had the strongest association with acceptance across all policies. Perceived effectiveness and intrusiveness had smaller associations. Environmental risk perception showed a large indirect effect on acceptance. Political trust had a moderate indirect effect on acceptance, primarily through perceived fairness. These findings suggest that future communication strategies might benefit most from emphasizing policy fairness. Interventions targeting distal predictors may aim to raise environmental risk awareness, although this strategy must be pursued carefully to avoid fear-based disengagement. This cross-sectional work opens exciting avenues for future research using experimental or longitudinal designs.
减少肉类消费对于应对环境和健康挑战至关重要;然而,实施有效的政策需要公众的支持。本研究调查了公众接受芬兰四项拟议的肉类减少政策的心理和政治决定因素——两项基于价格的措施和两项基于可获得性的措施——根据专家建议制定。采用芬兰成年人代表性样本(N = 1999),我们采用结构方程模型来检验感知政策公平性、有效性和侵入性如何中介环境风险感知和政治信任对政策接受的影响。接受率从禁止打折销售的25%到对最有害环境的肉制品征税的35%不等。在最接近的预测因素中,感知到的公平与所有政策的接受程度有最强烈的联系。感知有效性和侵入性的关联较小。环境风险感知对接受度有较大的间接影响。政治信任对接受度有适度的间接影响,主要是通过感知公平。这些发现表明,未来的沟通策略可能从强调政策公平性中获益最多。针对远端预测因子的干预措施可能旨在提高环境风险意识,尽管这一策略必须谨慎执行,以避免基于恐惧的脱离接触。这项横断面研究为未来使用实验或纵向设计的研究开辟了令人兴奋的途径。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the divide between projected hydroclimatic variability and agricultural ecosystem sustainability through Life Cycle Assessment–Geographic Information System 通过生命周期评估-地理信息系统弥合预估水文气候变率与农业生态系统可持续性之间的鸿沟
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.11.002
Haseeb Akbar , Shabbir H. Gheewala
Climate change is expected to decrease crop yields and increase irrigation demands, compounded by worsening hydrological changes. Because these impacts vary across regions, spatially resolved environmental impact assessments are needed to enable proactive and targeted management strategies. To address this need, this study assesses the spatial variations in the environmental sustainability of wheat production in Pakistan by combining Geographic Information Systems with Life Cycle Assessment. Under Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, for 2030–39, which projects a potential decline in crop yields, increased irrigation demand, and reduced water table levels. The findings project global warming is expected to rise by 4–12 % relative to the baseline. Other impact categories—including particulate matter formation, acidification, freshwater and marine eutrophication, and land use—are projected to increase within a range of 4–11 %. Fossil resource use is anticipated to increase by 4–13 %, while water consumption is projected to rise by 7–17 % during the same period. For most mid- and end-point impact categories, the northern and southern regions generally fall within the upper range, whereas the central region represents the lower range within the study area. These findings underscore the importance of context-specific adaptation by integrating spatially detailed data into Geographic Information Systems and Life Cycle Assessment tools, thereby enabling targeted interventions that optimize resources, mitigate vulnerabilities, and minimize environmental impacts. Key adaptive strategies include using solar-powered tube wells, partially replacing synthetic fertilizers with organic alternatives, improving irrigation efficiency, and enhancing soil fertility to sustain crop farming in arid and semi-arid regions.
气候变化预计会降低作物产量,增加灌溉需求,再加上水文变化的恶化。由于这些影响因区域而异,因此需要进行空间解决的环境影响评估,以实现主动和有针对性的管理战略。为了满足这一需求,本研究将地理信息系统与生命周期评估相结合,评估了巴基斯坦小麦生产环境可持续性的空间变化。在代表性浓度路径8.5下,2030-39年,预计作物产量可能下降,灌溉需求增加,地下水位下降。研究结果显示,全球变暖预计将比基线上升4 - 12%。其他影响类别——包括颗粒物质形成、酸化、淡水和海洋富营养化以及土地利用——预计将增加4 - 11%。化石资源的使用预计将增加4 - 13%,而同期的用水量预计将增加7 - 17%。对于大多数中期和终点影响类别,北部和南部地区通常处于较高范围内,而中部地区则代表研究区域内的较低范围。这些发现强调了通过将空间详细数据整合到地理信息系统和生命周期评估工具中来适应特定环境的重要性,从而实现有针对性的干预措施,优化资源,减轻脆弱性,最大限度地减少环境影响。关键的适应性策略包括使用太阳能管井,用有机替代品部分替代合成肥料,提高灌溉效率,提高土壤肥力,以维持干旱和半干旱地区的作物种植。
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引用次数: 0
Ethical AI for sustainable development: User perceptions across the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals 可持续发展的道德人工智能:用户对联合国可持续发展目标的看法
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.09.014
Bo Wang , Jianlong Zhou , Fang Chen , Heimo Müller , Andreas Holzinger
Artificial intelligence is rapidly transforming technology in society and is increasingly seen as a critical tool for addressing complex global challenges, including the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. These seventeen goals, grouped into societal, economic, and environmental domains, present both opportunities and risks when intersecting with artificial intelligence. While artificial intelligence has the capacity to accelerate sustainable development, it may also exacerbate inequalities, environmental degradation, or other unintended harms if ethical concerns are not adequately addressed. Despite a growing body of research on ethical frameworks for artificial intelligence, there remains a lack of empirical understanding of how users perceive its potential, its ethical implications, and the principles that should guide its deployment in sustainable development contexts. It is natural to raise the questions: How do Sustainable Development Goals and goal groups affect these user perceptions? To answer these questions, we conducted a comprehensive human-subject study examining variations in user perceptions across 17 Sustainable Development Goals and three overarching goal groups. Our findings reveal substantial variation in perceived potential and ethical priorities depending on the specific goal, while the perceived importance of ethical considerations remains consistent across goal groups. The novelty of this study lies in combining the AI–SDG context with empirical and perception-based evidence, and our results highlight the necessity of incorporating user perspectives into the design and governance of artificial intelligence systems to ensure ethically aligned and socially accepted progress toward sustainable development.
人工智能正在迅速改变社会中的技术,并日益被视为解决复杂全球挑战的关键工具,包括联合国可持续发展目标。这17个目标分为社会、经济和环境领域,在与人工智能交叉时,既带来了机遇,也带来了风险。虽然人工智能有能力加速可持续发展,但如果伦理问题得不到充分解决,它也可能加剧不平等、环境退化或其他意想不到的危害。尽管关于人工智能伦理框架的研究越来越多,但对于用户如何看待其潜力、其伦理影响以及在可持续发展背景下指导其部署的原则,仍然缺乏经验上的理解。人们自然会提出这样的问题:可持续发展目标和目标群体如何影响这些用户的看法?为了回答这些问题,我们进行了一项全面的人类受试者研究,研究了17个可持续发展目标和三个总体目标组中用户感知的变化。我们的研究结果显示,根据具体目标,感知到的潜力和道德优先级存在很大差异,而感知到的道德考虑的重要性在目标群体中保持一致。本研究的新颖之处在于将人工智能可持续发展目标背景与经验和基于感知的证据相结合,我们的研究结果强调了将用户视角纳入人工智能系统设计和治理的必要性,以确保在道德上与社会一致,并为可持续发展所接受。
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引用次数: 0
Enabling circularity in construction: A technology-phase alignment of construction 4.0 and circular economy principles 在建筑中实现循环:建筑4.0和循环经济原则的技术阶段对齐
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.10.004
Sara Rashidian , SK Tahsin Hossain , Kirsty Volz , Melissa Teo
<div><div>Integrating Construction 4.0 technologies—the construction-specific application of Industry 4.0—with circular economy (CE) principles presents a transformative opportunity for the construction sector to enhance sustainability, improve resource efficiency, and build long-term resilience. Construction 4.0 refers to the digitalisation and automation of processes through technologies such as Building Information Modelling (BIM), the Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain, digital twins, robotics, and artificial intelligence (AI). Given the construction industry's significant environmental footprint and contribution to global waste, aligning Construction 4.0 with CE principles is essential for shifting from traditional linear practices towards regenerative, closed-loop systems. While sectors such as transport and manufacturing have already demonstrated the benefits of Industry 4.0 technologies in reducing waste and optimising resources, construction has been comparatively slow to embed these innovations across buildings and infrastructure. In addition, despite growing scholarly and industry interest, there remains no comprehensive framework that systematically integrates Construction 4.0 technologies with CE principles across all stages of the construction lifecycle.</div><div>This study addresses this gap through a systematic literature review of 58 peer-reviewed articles published between 2015 and 2024, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. The review focused on English-language publications directly examining the intersection of Construction 4.0 and CE in the construction sector, while excluding non-peer-reviewed studies from unrelated industries. Thematic and co-occurrence analyses were applied to map the alignment of CE principles with Construction 4.0 technologies across seven phases of construction: Planning, Design, Tendering, Manufacturing, Construction, Operation, and End-of-Life. The study contributes a conceptual framework that visualises these alignments and highlights key opportunities and barriers for advancing circularity through digital transformation within the construction industry.</div><div>The findings highlight that BIM and IoT play pivotal roles in lifecycle planning, operational efficiency, and resource optimisation, while AI and digital twins support predictive maintenance, material recovery, and closed-loop optimisation. In contrast, robotics and blockchain remain underutilised in manufacturing and deconstruction, representing significant untapped potential to advance circularity. Persistent challenges, including fragmented stakeholder collaboration, siloed practices, and slow technological adoption, continue to impede the sector's ability to fully realise CE ambitions.</div><div>Future research should focus on fostering early stakeholder engagement and promoting cross-phase integration of Construction 4.0 technologies to enhance circular outcomes. Furth
将建筑4.0技术(工业4.0在建筑领域的具体应用)与循环经济(CE)原则相结合,为建筑行业提供了一个变革性的机会,可以增强可持续性,提高资源效率,并建立长期弹性。建筑4.0是指通过建筑信息模型(BIM)、物联网(IoT)、区块链、数字双胞胎、机器人和人工智能(AI)等技术实现流程的数字化和自动化。考虑到建筑行业对环境的巨大影响和对全球垃圾的贡献,将建筑4.0与CE原则相结合对于从传统的线性实践转向可再生的闭环系统至关重要。虽然运输和制造业等行业已经展示了工业4.0技术在减少浪费和优化资源方面的优势,但建筑业在将这些创新融入建筑和基础设施方面相对缓慢。此外,尽管学术界和业界对建筑4.0的兴趣日益浓厚,但在建筑生命周期的所有阶段,仍然没有一个全面的框架系统地将建筑4.0技术与CE原则集成在一起。本研究通过对2015年至2024年间发表的58篇同行评议文章进行系统文献综述,遵循系统评价和荟萃分析(PRISMA)指南的首选报告项目,解决了这一差距。该评论集中于直接检查建筑行业建筑4.0和CE交叉的英语出版物,同时排除了来自不相关行业的非同行评议研究。主题分析和共现分析应用于规划、设计、招标、制造、施工、运营和寿命结束等七个施工阶段,以映射CE原则与建筑4.0技术的一致性。该研究提供了一个概念性框架,将这些对齐可视化,并强调了通过建筑行业的数字化转型推进循环的关键机会和障碍。研究结果强调,BIM和物联网在生命周期规划、运营效率和资源优化方面发挥着关键作用,而人工智能和数字孪生则支持预测性维护、材料回收和闭环优化。相比之下,机器人和区块链在制造和解构领域仍未得到充分利用,这代表着推进循环的巨大潜力。持续存在的挑战,包括分散的利益相关者合作、孤立的实践和缓慢的技术采用,继续阻碍该行业充分实现CE目标的能力。未来的研究应侧重于促进早期利益相关者的参与,并促进建筑4.0技术的跨阶段整合,以增强循环成果。还需要进一步的研究,在不同的项目背景和地理环境中对拟议的框架进行实证验证。此外,未来的研究应该研究新兴技术,特别是人工智能,在加速向循环建筑过渡和扩大整个行业的可持续创新方面的不断发展的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Supply chain management in response to climate change: A system dynamics approach 应对气候变化的供应链管理:系统动力学方法
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.09.007
Ryleen Balawanth , Thayla Zomer , Paulo Gonçalves , Paulo Savaget
As companies intensify efforts to decarbonize their supply chains to mitigate climate-related risks, their responses often remain fragmented and uncoordinated, limiting overall effectiveness and missing opportunities for synergy. This study analyzes disclosures from 1095 European firms reported to the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) to examine these varied responses. Using qualitative thematic coding, we identified six macro-themes, each representing a distinct causal-effect pathway that companies adopt in their decarbonization efforts: (i) diagnosing climate-related risks, (ii) collaborating within the supply chain to reduce emissions, (iii) adopting energy-efficient practices, (iv) implementing sustainable practices that minimize waste, (v) fostering enablers of sustainable behavior, and (vi) redesigning supply chain networks. These pathways highlight the strategies companies use to address climate risks within their supply chains. Adopting a systems dynamics perspective, we map the feedback processes governing these decarbonization strategies, illustrating how different pathways interact and generate either beneficial or detrimental outcomes. The findings contribute to the field of sustainable supply chain management by elucidating the dynamic interplay between various climate risk response strategies, their impact on supply networks, and their ultimate influence on climate risk performance. Specifically, we demonstrate the iterative nature of diagnostic efforts and associated responses, and how collaboration can drive a continuous cycle of innovation that integrates incremental and transformative efforts. The causal loop diagrams developed in this study provide managers and policymakers tools to anticipate the outcomes of their supply chain strategies, enabling better-informed decisions that align with sustainability objectives.
随着企业加大努力使供应链脱碳以减轻气候相关风险,他们的应对措施往往仍然是分散和不协调的,限制了整体有效性,错失了协同合作的机会。本研究分析了向碳披露项目(CDP)报告的1095家欧洲公司的信息披露,以检验这些不同的反应。使用定性主题编码,我们确定了六个宏观主题,每个主题代表了公司在脱碳工作中采用的不同因果关系途径:(i)诊断气候相关风险,(ii)在供应链内合作减少排放,(iii)采用节能实践,(iv)实施减少浪费的可持续实践,(v)培养可持续行为的推手,以及(vi)重新设计供应链网络。这些途径突出了公司在其供应链中应对气候风险的策略。采用系统动力学的观点,我们绘制了控制这些脱碳策略的反馈过程,说明了不同的途径如何相互作用并产生有益或有害的结果。通过阐明各种气候风险应对策略之间的动态相互作用,它们对供应网络的影响,以及它们对气候风险绩效的最终影响,这些发现有助于可持续供应链管理领域。具体来说,我们展示了诊断工作和相关响应的迭代性质,以及协作如何推动集成增量和变革工作的持续创新循环。本研究中开发的因果循环图为管理者和政策制定者提供了预测其供应链战略结果的工具,从而使更明智的决策与可持续发展目标保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Revealing energy-economic inequality in China: A quantification and decomposition analysis 揭示中国能源经济不平等:量化与分解分析
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.10.002
Qingjuan Chen , Chengzhen Xu , Qunwei Wang
Unequal exchanges of energy consumption and economic benefits among provinces hinder sustainable development, underscoring the need to evaluate trade-induced disparities. Using the latest multiregional input–output tables, we examine the transfers of energy consumption and value-added embodied in China's interregional trade. We then develop a mutual EEI index and an extended EEI index to quantify bilateral and aggregate energy–economic inequality (EEI). Finally, we employ energy-related Gini coefficients to evaluate overall inequality and identify its drivers. The results reveal that: (1) in 2017, 41.12 % of energy consumption and 32.29 % of value-added were transferred across provinces, with the north, northeast, and northwest being major net exporters of energy consumption, while the southwest and northwest were net importers of value-added; (2) the highest EEI mainly occurs between developed and less developed regions, where trade benefits concentrate in more developed regions but diminish over time, whereas disadvantaged provinces are often located in the northwest; and (3) overall EEI has widened, with heavy industry and construction as the primary contributors on the production and consumption sides, respectively, and significant influences from between-group effects and coal consumption. These findings provide insights for allocating energy-saving responsibilities and distributing economic benefits more equitably, ultimately supporting sustainable trade patterns.
各省之间能源消费和经济利益的不平等交换阻碍了可持续发展,强调有必要评价贸易引起的差异。利用最新的多区域投入产出表,研究了中国区域间贸易中蕴含的能源消费转移和附加值转移。然后,我们开发了一个相互的EEI指数和一个扩展的EEI指数来量化双边和总能源经济不平等(EEI)。最后,我们使用与能源相关的基尼系数来评估总体不平等并确定其驱动因素。结果表明:(1)2017年,中国能源消费和增加值的跨省转移占比分别为41.12%和32.29%,其中北部、东北和西北是能源消费的主要净出口国,而西南和西北是增加值的净进口国;(2)经济效益指数最高的地区主要分布在发达地区和欠发达地区之间,贸易利益集中在较发达地区,但随着时间的推移会逐渐减少,而弱势省份往往位于西北部;(3)整体经济效益指数有所扩大,重工业和建筑业分别是生产侧和消费侧的主要贡献者,群间效应和煤炭消费对经济效益的影响显著。这些发现为分配节能责任和更公平地分配经济利益提供了见解,最终支持可持续的贸易模式。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing sustainability transformations in agriculture: An agent-based life cycle assessment for supporting policymaking 推进农业可持续性转型:支持政策制定的基于主体的生命周期评估
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.09.008
Raül López i Losada , Cecilia Larsson , Mark V. Brady , Fredrik Wilhelmsson , Katarina Hedlund
The European Green Deal (EGD) aims for agriculture to contribute positively to climate change mitigation and nature preservation while meeting growing societal needs for food, energy, and biomaterials. Delivering comprehensive policy action efficiently requires decision-support tools to assess the outcomes of interventions across multiple, and potentially conflicting, goals. By means of agent-based (territorial) life cycle assessment, we evaluate the effect of removing coupled cattle support and pricing greenhouse gas emissions of agricultural products in two regions in Southern Sweden as representative cases for intensive and extensive agriculture in the EU. Regional production features influenced policy outcomes by affecting the profitability of possible production activities, and thereby the economic viability of alternatives to cattle. Production changes abroad were critical for the environmental lifecycle performance of the evaluated policy reforms, given the relatively low environmental impacts of Swedish production compared to global averages. Our ex-ante approach offers decision support by discerning the implications of policy interventions on the regional structure of production and subsequent effects on the environment, considering both regional and global aspects of the EGD objectives for agriculture. Ultimately, we hope our analysis can facilitate policymaking to speed the transition of agriculture towards EGD objectives.
《欧洲绿色协议》(EGD)旨在使农业为减缓气候变化和保护自然作出积极贡献,同时满足社会对粮食、能源和生物材料日益增长的需求。有效地提供全面的政策行动需要决策支持工具,以评估跨多个且可能相互冲突的目标的干预措施的结果。通过基于主体的(领土)生命周期评估,我们评估了瑞典南部两个地区取消耦合牛支持和农产品温室气体排放定价的效果,作为欧盟集约化和粗放化农业的代表性案例。区域生产特点通过影响可能的生产活动的盈利能力,从而影响牛的替代品的经济可行性,从而影响政策结果。鉴于瑞典生产对环境的影响与全球平均水平相比相对较低,国外的生产变化对所评价的政策改革的环境生命周期绩效至关重要。我们的事前方法通过识别政策干预对区域生产结构的影响以及随后对环境的影响,同时考虑到农业EGD目标的区域和全球方面,为决策提供支持。最终,我们希望我们的分析能够促进政策制定,加快农业向EGD目标的转变。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental and socio-economic Pareto-front trade-off analysis of U.S. PET packaging material in a circular economy 美国PET包装材料在循环经济中的环境和社会经济帕累托前权衡分析
IF 9.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2025.09.009
Utkarsh S. Chaudhari , David W. Watkins , Robert M. Handler , Barbara K. Reck , Anne T. Johnson , Tasmin Hossain , Damon S. Hartley , Vicki S. Thompson , David R. Shonnard
Various recycling technologies are emerging to implement circular economy in plastics supply chain systems. However, the environmental and socio-economic trade-offs of plastics in circular economy are not well understood at a systems level. Particularly, quantifying these trade-offs as a function of end-of-life (EOL) management decisions, including transition of recycling technologies, systems level metrics such as circularity, recycled content, and the need for fossil-derived plastics are not well understood. The present study addressed these research gaps by applying a systems analysis modeling approach that utilizes material flow analysis, life cycle assessment, socio-economic data, and system optimization techniques for polyethylene terephthalate (PET) packaging supply chains in the United States. Pareto-front trade-offs between conflicting environmental and socio-economic impacts as well as those between socio-economic impacts and circularity were explored using the epsilon constraint method. The Pareto-front trade-off analysis revealed the transition of EOL management strategies for PET packaging systems, including changes in selection of recycling technologies, to aid decision making process by quantifying studied system metrics. Transitioning from environmentally optimal to socio-economically optimal systems led to increased employment (by 17 %), wages (by 26 %), and revenues (by 6 %) but also led to increased global warming potential (GWP; by 65 %), energy consumption (by 59 %), and reliance on fossil PET in the system (by 78 %). Finally, the results show that there is not a unique set of recycling technologies to achieve a sustainable circular economy of PET packaging system, instead it depends on the decision maker's objectives and targeted metrics of the system.
为了在塑料供应链系统中实现循环经济,各种回收技术正在兴起。然而,塑料在循环经济中的环境和社会经济权衡在系统层面上还没有得到很好的理解。特别是,将这些权衡作为报废(EOL)管理决策的功能进行量化,包括回收技术的过渡、循环度、回收含量等系统级指标以及对化石衍生塑料的需求,目前还没有得到很好的理解。本研究通过应用系统分析建模方法解决了这些研究空白,该方法利用了美国聚对苯二甲酸乙二醇酯(PET)包装供应链的物料流分析、生命周期评估、社会经济数据和系统优化技术。利用epsilon约束方法探讨了环境和社会经济影响之间的帕累托前权衡,以及社会经济影响和循环之间的权衡。帕累托前权衡分析揭示了PET包装系统EOL管理策略的转变,包括回收技术选择的变化,通过量化所研究的系统指标来帮助决策过程。从环境最优系统向社会经济最优系统的过渡导致了就业(17%)、工资(26%)和收入(6%)的增加,但也导致了全球变暖潜能值(GWP)增加65%,能源消耗增加59%,以及系统中对化石PET的依赖增加78%。最后,研究结果表明,并没有一套独特的回收技术来实现PET包装系统的可持续循环经济,而是取决于决策者的目标和系统的针对性指标。
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Sustainable Production and Consumption
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