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Tracking water pressure on water-energy-food system in global trade 追踪全球贸易中水-能源-粮食系统的水压力
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.002

Water resources are a critical component of the water-energy-food (WEF) nexus, making it vital to examine the pressures on WEF systems from a water resource perspective. However, few studies have examined how international trade can cause water stress on local WEF systems. This study begins by compiling an inventory of water use within the WEF system, and further employs Multi-Regional Input-Output model and structural decomposition analysis to analyze the water usage in each country's WEF system driven by global consumption, the associated risk contributions, and the underlying drivers. The findings indicate that demand from Brazil, China, the United States, and Russia significantly increased water stress on the WEF system from 2010 to 2020. In most countries, external consumption contributes <20 % to WEF water risks. However, in countries where the external water risk contribution exceeds 20 % and overall water risk is lower, this external risk is often dominated by the electric energy sector. The study also shows that water stress induced by China, Germany, Japan, and the United States has a more diffuse impact on food systems in water-scarce countries compared to energy systems. In major consuming nations like China and the United States, the increase in global WEF water stress is primarily driven by rising domestic demand. Conversely, in developed countries such as Germany and Japan, changes in foreign production structures heighten the water stress on the global WEF system. This study identifies the primary modes of water stress transmission in global trade and explores potential mitigation strategies. Implementing local water-saving measures in countries with high water scarcity risks, supported by developed countries along the supply chain, is crucial for the integrated utilization of water resources and the sustainable provision and production of essential resources.

水资源是水-能源-食品(WEF)关系的重要组成部分,因此从水资源的角度研究 WEF 系统面临的压力至关重要。然而,很少有研究探讨国际贸易如何对当地水-能源-食物系统造成用水压力。本研究首先编制了世界环境基金系统内的用水清单,并进一步采用多区域投入产出模型和结构分解分析方法,分析了各国世界环境基金系统内由全球消费驱动的用水量、相关风险贡献和根本驱动因素。研究结果表明,从 2010 年到 2020 年,巴西、中国、美国和俄罗斯的需求大大增加了世界水环境基金系统的用水压力。在大多数国家,外部消耗对世界水环境基金水风险的影响小于 20%。然而,在外部水资源风险占比超过 20%、总体水资源风险较低的国家,这种外部风险通常由电力能源行业主导。研究还表明,与能源系统相比,中国、德国、日本和美国造成的水资源压力对缺水国家的粮食系统的影响更为广泛。在中国和美国等主要消费国,全球世界环境基金水资源压力的增加主要是由国内需求的增长所驱动的。相反,在德国和日本等发达国家,国外生产结构的变化加剧了全球 WEF 系统的用水压力。本研究确定了全球贸易中水压力传递的主要模式,并探讨了潜在的缓解战略。在供应链上的发达国家的支持下,在缺水风险高的国家实施当地节水措施,对于水资源的综合利用以及基本资源的可持续供应和生产至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Supply potential, carbon emission reduction, energy conservation, and sustainable pathways for aluminum recycling in China 中国铝回收的供应潜力、碳减排、节能和可持续发展之路
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.034

Achieving low carbon emissions in the aluminum industry is greatly dependent on supply-side recycling, but recycling potential and benefits remain unclear. This study aims to explore proactively the long-term transition pathways for China's aluminum industry under the influence of multiple factors, by using top-down material flow analysis and Weibull distribution which quantifies aluminum stocks and flows across various sectors from 1978 to 2060 and then projects the recycling potential, energy conservation, and emission performance under 18 potential scenarios which accounts for social development, process changes, and production patterns to support sustainable pathways aligned with climate targets. The findings underscore the importance of transportation and infrastructure sectors, as well as demographic trends, in driving China's aluminum demand, with in-use stocks peaking between 2034 and 2045, contingent upon population dynamics. The increasing availability of scrap material necessitates enhanced recycling for sustainable resource utilization. Scenarios 6, 12, and 18 (durable products, a 5 % growth in secondary aluminum) show that secondary aluminum can fully meet China's needs, driven by high recycling rates that address supply challenges and yield substantial energy and carbon reduction. The optimal scenario 6 illustrates cumulative CO2 mitigation of 21.28 Gt and power savings of 9.03 PWh by 2050, which could even support the 1.5DS-China target. The longevity of end-of-life products significantly impacts secondary supply proportions. The short-flow processes for secondary aluminum are essential to the industry's climate commitments.

铝工业实现低碳排放在很大程度上取决于供应方的回收利用,但回收利用的潜力和效益仍不明确。本研究旨在通过自上而下的物料流分析和威布尔分布,量化 1978 年至 2060 年各行业的铝库存和流量,然后预测 18 种潜在情景下的回收潜力、节能和排放表现,这些情景考虑了社会发展、工艺变化和生产模式,以支持与气候目标相一致的可持续发展路径,从而积极探索多种因素影响下中国铝工业的长期转型路径。研究结果强调了交通和基础设施行业以及人口趋势在推动中国铝需求方面的重要性,根据人口动态,在用铝库存将在 2034 年至 2045 年间达到峰值。废料供应量的增加要求加强回收利用,以实现资源的可持续利用。情景 6、12 和 18(耐用产品,再生铝增长 5%)表明,在高回收率的推动下,再生铝可完全满足中国的需求,既解决了供应难题,又大幅减少了能源和碳排放。最佳情景 6 显示,到 2050 年,累计减少二氧化碳排放量 21.28 千兆吨,节约电能 9.03 千瓦时,这甚至可以支持 DS-China 的目标。报废产品的寿命对二次供应比例有很大影响。二次铝的短流程工艺对该行业的气候承诺至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
A modular framework to assess biological resource utilization impacts (BIORIM) 评估生物资源利用影响的模块框架(BIORIM)
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.033

The strong influence of biological processes and site conditions, the large diversity in management, compositional changes of agricultural produce, and the circularity of processes challenge the assessment of environmental impacts of the bioeconomy. This paper introduces a novel sustainability assessment and material flow model to study biological resource utilization impacts (BIORIM) which aims to address these challenges. The model represents important bioeconomic production systems (e.g. arable land, dairy farm, biogas plant) and considers input properties, production parameters such as site conditions or management, and different emission factors when calculating products and emissions. For this reason, the functions that represent the conversion processes need to be executed in the correct order when analysing larger production networks. The model keeps full track of mass, carbon and nitrogen flows, and therefore allows assessing how much is lost during processing, ending up in the produce and is recycled. The modelling approach is illustrated at the example of a dairy farm where dairy manure is used as an organic fertilizer for fodder crop production in the following year. This is compared to a scenario that includes a biogas plant. The comparison of manure storage to biogas production reveals that this change does not only affects direct emissions. Biogas production leads to higher carbon losses and thus negatively affects the humus balance. The manure storage, on the other hand, leads to higher nitrogen losses, which result in a lower fertilization value of the manure, and therefore a higher amount of mineral fertilizer is required in the following year. Together with the emission savings from the energy production, this results in a lower global warming effect of the biogas scenario. The study shows that it is important to consider the interplay of processes when assessing impacts of bioeconomic production systems.

生物过程和现场条件的强烈影响、管理的巨大多样性、农产品成分的变化以及过程的循环性都对生物经济的环境影响评估提出了挑战。本文介绍了一种研究生物资源利用影响的新型可持续性评估和物质流模型(BIORIM),旨在应对这些挑战。该模型代表了重要的生物经济生产系统(如耕地、奶牛场、沼气厂),在计算产品和排放量时考虑了输入属性、生产参数(如场地条件或管理)以及不同的排放因子。因此,在分析大型生产网络时,需要按照正确的顺序执行表示转换过程的函数。该模型对质量流、碳流和氮流进行全面跟踪,因此可以评估在加工过程中损失了多少,最终在产品中损失了多少,以及回收利用了多少。建模方法以一个奶牛场为例进行说明,该奶牛场将奶牛粪便作为有机肥料用于下一年的饲料作物生产。这与包括沼气厂在内的方案进行了比较。粪便储存与沼气生产的比较表明,这种变化不仅影响直接排放。沼气生产会导致更高的碳损失,从而对腐殖质平衡产生负面影响。另一方面,粪便贮存会导致较高的氮损失,从而降低粪便的肥料价值,因此第二年需要更多的矿物肥料。再加上能源生产所节省的排放量,这就使得沼气方案的全球变暖效应降低。这项研究表明,在评估生物经济生产系统的影响时,必须考虑各种过程之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a methodological framework for consequential life cycle assessment with an illustrative application to plant protein extraction 制定相应生命周期评估的方法框架,并将其应用于植物蛋白提取
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.031

Consequential Life Cycle Assessment (CLCA) can play an important role in providing insights for decision-makers regarding potential market-mediated resource/environmental consequences stemming from changes in product systems. However, the consistent application of CLCA encounters challenges due to the absence of common guidelines. This systematic review studied different sets of literature to develop a methodological framework for CLCA of plant protein extraction through fractionation, using Canada as an example. Given that economic models are integral components of CLCA, this systematic review offers a comprehensive survey of the economic models employed in 18 CLCA studies, shedding light on their respective strengths and weaknesses. Notably, the study identifies the use of both Computable General Equilibrium and Partial Equilibrium models for enabling the analysis of large-scale and long-term changes. The estimation of land use changes (both direct and indirect) is an integral part and economic models are instrumental in quantifying indirect land use changes. For characterizing the common modelling practices in the agri-food sector, 33 CLCA studies were reviewed to extract information on the decision context, time horizon, identification of marginal/substitutable markets, uncertainty and sensitivity analyses, etc. ‘Increased supply’ and ‘increased demand’ are both found to be important decision contexts. It is a common practice to identify marginal markets based on assumptions, literature, and other sources along with employing economic models for some cases. However, economic models in the agri-food studies were used more often for estimating land use change impacts. To elaborate the case study of plant protein extraction (i.e., pea fractionation), some of the alternative uses of the co-products of pea fractionation processes as a basis for determining probable marginal markets were identified. Building upon these findings, the review culminates in the proposal of a detailed methodological framework for CLCA applied to pea fractionation, incorporating considerations of marginal markets that revolve around utilizing co-products like pea starch and pea fibre. Future research could focus on identifying marginal markets relevant to the Canadian landscape, thereby enhancing the applicability and relevance of CLCA within this region.

后果生命周期评估(CLCA)可以发挥重要作用,为决策者提供有关产品系统变化可能对市场造成的资源/环境后果的见解。然而,由于缺乏通用指南,CLCA 的持续应用遇到了挑战。本系统性综述研究了不同的文献集,以加拿大为例,为通过分馏提取植物蛋白的 CLCA 制定了方法框架。鉴于经济模型是 CLCA 不可或缺的组成部分,本系统性综述对 18 项 CLCA 研究中采用的经济模型进行了全面调查,揭示了它们各自的优缺点。值得注意的是,该研究确定了可计算一般均衡模型和部分均衡模型的使用,以便对大规模和长期变化进行分析。对土地利用变化(包括直接和间接变化)的估算是不可或缺的一部分,而经济模型则有助于量化间接土地利用变化。为了解农业食品行业常见建模方法的特点,我们审查了 33 项 CLCA 研究,以提取有关决策背景、时间跨度、边际/可替代市场的确定、不确定性和敏感性分析等方面的信息。发现 "增加供应 "和 "增加需求 "都是重要的决策背景。通常的做法是根据假设、文献和其他来源确定边际市场,并在某些情况下使用经济模型。然而,在农业食品研究中,经济模型更多地被用于估算土地利用变化的影响。为了详细阐述植物蛋白提取(即豌豆分馏)案例研究,确定了豌豆分馏过程中副产品的一些替代用途,作为确定可能的边际市场的基础。在这些发现的基础上,审查最终提出了一个适用于豌豆分馏的 CLCA 详细方法框架,其中纳入了围绕利用豌豆淀粉和豌豆纤维等副产品的边际市场的考虑因素。未来的研究可侧重于确定与加拿大地貌相关的边缘市场,从而提高加拿大豌豆分馏法在该地区的适用性和相关性。
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引用次数: 0
1.5° lifestyle changes: Exploring consequences for individuals and households 1.5° 生活方式的改变:探讨对个人和家庭的影响
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.018

Low-carbon behaviour changes are essential for achieving the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 1.5° Celsius. Increasingly, it is recognised that such behaviour changes cause further effects in individuals' lifestyles, which are important to understand for the success of such low-carbon behaviour changes. Rebound effects can occur that undermine the carbon savings, and individual well-being can suffer leading to decreased acceptance of changes and undermine broader sustainability goals. This paper systematically and empirically maps what types of effects individuals experience with low-carbon lifestyle changes, what desirable effects are encouraged and how undesirable effects can be addressed and how undesirable effects can be addressed.

For this purpose, we adopted a qualitative research approach, conducting five workshops with a total of 84 participants across five EU countries (Germany, Hungary, Latvia, Spain, Sweden) who had changed their lifestyles by adopting significant low-carbon lifestyle options. In the workshops, the consequences of four low-carbon lifestyle changes – giving up (1) car ownership, (2) flying, (3) meat, or (4) living space – were explored using simplified cause-effect diagrams, personal written reflections and discussions in focus groups.

Our results point to the relevance of intrinsic motivation to explain the likelihood for rebounding as well as the other social effects of the behaviour change on the individual and household. Findings indicated a wide range of both negative and positive effects related to feelings and perceptions of individual freedom, mental and physical conditions, and social consequences. Intrinsically motivated individuals showed a high awareness of the problem of rebounding and appeared more able to cope with negative consequences in general and reduce them. Monetary savings from a behaviour change increase the likelihood for rebounding; however, citizens with higher environmental awareness reported re-spending on other low-carbon behaviours and technologies indicating positive spillover effects. Finally, we observed the strong supporting effects of social communities for individuals to manage the negative consequences of low-carbon behaviour changes.

要实现《巴黎协定》将全球变暖控制在 1.5 摄氏度以内的目标,改变低碳行为至关重要。越来越多的人认识到,这种行为改变会对个人生活方式产生进一步的影响,而了解这些影响对于这种低碳行为改变的成功非常重要。反弹效应可能会破坏碳减排效果,个人福祉也会受到影响,从而导致对改变的接受度降低,并破坏更广泛的可持续发展目标。为此,我们采用了定性研究方法,在五个欧盟国家(德国、匈牙利、拉脱维亚、西班牙、瑞典)举办了五场研讨会,共有 84 名参与者参加,他们通过采用重要的低碳生活方式改变了自己的生活方式。在研讨会上,通过简化的因果关系图、个人书面反思和焦点小组讨论,探讨了四种低碳生活方式改变的后果,即放弃(1)汽车所有权、(2)飞行、(3)肉类或(4)居住空间。研究结果表明,在个人自由的感受和认知、精神和身体状况以及社会后果方面,存在着广泛的消极和积极影响。有内在动机的人对反弹问题有很高的认识,似乎更有能力应对和减少一般的负面影响。从行为改变中节省的金钱增加了反弹的可能性;然而,环境意识较高的公民报告说,他们在其他低碳行为和技术上重新消费,这表明了积极的溢出效应。最后,我们观察到社会社区对个人管理低碳行为改变的负面影响具有强大的支持作用。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring public perceptions of carbon capture and utilization in the U.S 探索美国公众对碳捕集与利用的看法
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.003

Carbon capture and utilization (CCU) is an emerging climate change mitigation technology. At this early stage of development, there are still major uncertainties about the extent to which CCU can help mitigate climate change due economic and technological challenges. This study focuses on an additional complication in the development and deployment of CCU: how the public perceives its benefits, risks, and acceptability. In a nationally representative study of U.S. adults (N = 1200), we examined (1) overall support for CCU; (2) public expectations about CCU's effects on health, the economy, and climate change; and (3) whether perceptions vary depending on which aspects of CCU are discussed (general overview of CCU, proposed local facility, or using CCU-derived products). Using an oversample of Black, Hispanic/Latino, and Asian American participants (n = 471, total N = 1671), we also explored how beliefs differed across race/ethnicity and gender as well as the influence of psychological traits of environmentalist identity and aversion to tampering with nature. We found that the U.S. public had moderately positive views of CCU overall, with important nuances. First, people were less positive about CCU facilities in their home communities than they were about the idea of CCU in general or about products made with CCU. Second, people believed CCU would benefit the economy more than health or climate change. Third, individual differences in demographics and psychological traits matter for perceptions: (1) women were more wary of CCU than men, and (2) while White participants had more positive views about CCU the more they identified as environmentalists, the same was not always true for Hispanic or Black respondents. The study, thus, reveals the nuanced ways in which different American audiences may respond to CCU proposals.

碳捕集与利用(CCU)是一项新兴的减缓气候变化技术。在发展的早期阶段,由于经济和技术方面的挑战,CCU 对减缓气候变化的帮助程度仍存在很大的不确定性。本研究重点关注 CCU 开发和应用过程中的另一个复杂因素:公众如何看待其效益、风险和可接受性。在一项针对美国成年人(N = 1200)的具有全国代表性的研究中,我们考察了:(1)对 CCU 的总体支持情况;(2)公众对 CCU 对健康、经济和气候变化影响的预期;以及(3)在讨论 CCU 的哪些方面(CCU 概述、拟议的当地设施或使用 CCU 衍生产品)时,公众的看法是否会有所不同。通过对黑人、西班牙裔/拉丁美洲人和亚裔美国人参与者(n = 471,总人数 = 1671)的超样本研究,我们还探讨了不同种族/族裔和性别的信念差异,以及环保主义者身份和厌恶破坏自然的心理特征的影响。我们发现,美国公众对 CCU 的看法总体上比较积极,但也存在一些重要的细微差别。首先,与对CCU的总体看法或使用CCU制造的产品的看法相比,人们对其家乡社区的CCU设施的看法并不那么积极。其次,人们认为CCU对经济的益处大于对健康或气候变化的益处。第三,人口统计学和心理特征方面的个体差异对人们的看法很重要:(1)女性比男性对CCU的警惕性更高;(2)虽然白人受访者对CCU的看法越积极,他们就越认为自己是环保主义者,但西班牙裔或黑人受访者的情况并非总是如此。因此,这项研究揭示了不同的美国受众可能对 CCU 建议做出的细微反应。
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引用次数: 0
Balancing photovoltaic development and cropland protection: Assessing agrivoltaic potential in China 平衡光伏发展与耕地保护:中国农业光伏潜力评估
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.08.001

The expansion of utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) installations has precipitated a growing conflict for land resources between energy generation and agricultural production. Agrivoltaics, which integrate PV systems with crop production, have emerged as promising solutions to alleviate land-use conflicts. This research integrates spatial data on PV installations with agricultural productivity figures to assess the impact of China's PV expansion on croplands and estimate the yield potential for six main crops under agrivoltaics. The results disclose a substantial incursion of PV plants into croplands, totaling 911 km2 by the year 2020. Compared to PV installations causing these croplands to be completely abandoned, agrivoltaics in a full-density PV system scenario could preserve up to 139 km2 of cropland with a corresponding crop yield of 7.1 × 104 tons, which is 9 % of the crop yield in a no-PV scenario. In a half-density PV system scenario, agrivoltaics could conserve 585 km2 of cropland with a corresponding crop yield of 4.6 × 105 tons, which is 55 % of the crop yield in a no-PV scenario. A regional distinction is observed, with northern agricultural regions demonstrating a more favorable agrivoltaic yield potential than the south. This study provides valuable insights for developing policies and best practices related to implementing agrivoltaics and PV spatial planning, thus steering a more sustainable coexistence of China's energy production and agricultural yield imperatives.

公用事业规模的光伏(PV)装置的扩大,导致能源生产和农业生产之间的土地资源冲突日益加剧。将光伏系统与农作物生产相结合的农业光伏已成为缓解土地使用冲突的有前途的解决方案。这项研究整合了光伏发电设施的空间数据和农业生产力数据,以评估中国光伏发电扩张对耕地的影响,并估算六种主要农作物在农业光伏发电下的产量潜力。结果表明,到 2020 年,光伏电站将大量侵入耕地,总长度将达到 911 公里。与光伏发电装置导致这些耕地完全荒废相比,全密度光伏发电系统方案下的农业光伏发电可保护多达 139 千米的耕地,相应的农作物产量为 7.1 × 10 吨,相当于无光伏发电方案下农作物产量的 9%。在半密度光伏系统方案中,光伏农业可保护 585 千米耕地,相应的农作物产量为 4.6 × 10 吨,是无光伏方案中农作物产量的 55%。研究还发现了地区差异,北部农业区比南部农业区显示出更大的农业光伏增产潜力。这项研究为制定与实施农业光伏和光伏空间规划相关的政策和最佳实践提供了宝贵的见解,从而引导中国的能源生产和农业产量需求更可持续地共存。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental performance of three innovative leather production processes using less chromium and water 使用较少铬和水的三种创新皮革生产工艺的环境性能
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.030

Leather production contributes positively to economic developments but can create severe environmental impacts, due to the associated consumptions of water and chemicals. The substance of main concern is the basic chromium sulphate, widely used as tanning agent, which provides high-technical performance to the finished leather. This study quantifies the environmental sustainability of a conventional leather production process and those of three innovative processes, characterised by limited consumptions of chromium and water. Standardised life cycle assessments were implemented, with reference to the production chains starting from pickled skins until the production of two finished leathers (for goods and footwear), having the same technical and aesthetic characteristics of those from the conventional process. The innovative tanning processes adopt conventional rotating drums or substitute them with spray nozzles or aerosol rooms, and require a specific pre-treatment that includes de-pickling, drying and stabilisation of input skins. Tests at industrial scale (or at pilot scale for the solution with aerosol rooms) indicate that the new processes strongly reduce impacts in terms of Human toxicity-cancer, Ecotoxicity freshwater and Resource use-minerals and metals (up to 57 %, 29 % and 48 %, respectively) even though they imply an increase in terms of Climate Change (up to 51 %). Losses of chromium in wastewater and solid waste are reduced from >33 g/m2finished leather, for the conventional process, to about 8 g/m2finished leather, 5 g/m2finished leather, and 1 g/m2finished leather, for the innovative processes.

The environmental sustainability of the proposed new processes increases from the solution with drums (and less water and chromium) to that utilising spray nozzles and aerosol rooms. A great improving can be obtained even just with the “simple” new drum solution, able to reduce the Human toxicity-cancer potential up to 53 % and Resource use-minerals and metals potential up to 42 %.

皮革生产为经济发展做出了积极贡献,但由于相关的水和化学品消耗,会对环境造成严重影响。主要关注的物质是碱式硫酸铬,它被广泛用作鞣剂,为成品皮革提供了高技术性能。本研究对传统皮革生产工艺和三种创新工艺的环境可持续性进行了量化,这三种工艺的特点是铬和水的消耗量有限。参照从腌制皮革到生产两种成品皮革(商品革和鞋类革)的生产链,实施了标准化的生命周期评估,其技术和美学特性与传统工艺相同。创新型鞣革工艺采用传统的旋转滚筒,或以喷嘴或气雾室代替,并需要进行特定的预处理,包括输入皮料的去皮、干燥和稳定。工业规模的测试(或气溶胶室解决方案的试验规模)表明,新工艺大大降低了对人类毒性--癌症、淡水生态毒性和资源使用--矿物和金属的影响(分别高达 57%、29% 和 48%),尽管它们意味着对气候变化的影响会增加(高达 51%)。废水和固体废物中铬的损失从传统工艺的大于 33 克/米减少到创新工艺的约 8 克/米、5 克/米和 1 克/米。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and temporal dynamic zoning of crop water consumption under past and future climate and socioeconomic changes in China 中国过去和未来气候及社会经济变化下作物耗水量的时空动态分区
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.024

The impacts of multiple changes in climatic and socioeconomic conditions within countries and regions are spatially heterogeneous, thus complicating stringent agricultural water management. Here we developed a framework for the dynamic identification of zone types and provided targeted agricultural water management strategies for each zone in response to global change. Considering China as an example, eight zones of typical major grain crop production prefectures were identified based on an analysis of the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics at four levels (agricultural, natural, social, and economic) according to the water footprint of major grain crop production at the prefecture-level for the past 15 years (2004–2018). We then presented the response of China's future zoning landscape for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under three representative scenarios by combining shared socioeconomic paths (SSPs) and representative concentration paths (RCPs). Results show that, by 2080, the national water consumption of the major grain crop production will increase under all scenarios. Half of the prefectures facing function shifts are likely to change from low to high water-consuming zones. Different zonal prefectures react differently under global changes, especially those that are prone to functional transformation, and should pay attention to their instability. Consideration of the water footprint in agricultural zoning is of great importance for national sustainable water resources management. This study proposes a more explicit approach to coping with global change, that is, to propose regionalized and prior agricultural water management strategies and measures for China and beyond.

各国和各地区气候和社会经济条件的多重变化所产生的影响在空间上是不同的,因此使严格的农业用水管理变得更加复杂。在此,我们建立了一个动态识别区域类型的框架,并为每个区域提供了有针对性的农业用水管理策略,以应对全球变化。以中国为例,根据过去 15 年(2004-2018 年)地级主要粮食作物生产的水足迹,分析了四个层面(农业、自然、社会和经济)的时空演变特征,确定了八个典型的主要粮食作物生产县区。然后,我们结合共同社会经济路径(SSPs)和代表性浓度路径(RCPs),提出了三种代表性情景下 2030 年、2050 年和 2080 年中国未来分区景观的响应。结果表明,到 2080 年,在所有情景下,全国主要粮食作物生产用水量都将增加。半数面临功能转变的县可能会从低耗水区变为高耗水区。不同区划的县在全球变化中的反应不同,尤其是那些容易发生功能转变的县,应注意其不稳定性。在农业区划中考虑水足迹对国家水资源可持续管理具有重要意义。本研究提出了一种更为明确的应对全球变化的方法,即为中国乃至更远的地区提出区域化、先行化的农业水资源管理战略和措施。
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引用次数: 0
Development of the Dietary Pattern Sustainability Index (DIPASI): A novel multidimensional approach for assessing the sustainability of an individual's diet 开发膳食模式可持续性指数(DIPASI):评估个人饮食可持续性的新型多维方法
IF 10.9 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.spc.2024.07.029

The adoption of sustainable dietary patterns that consider simultaneously nutritional well-being and reduced environmental impact is of paramount importance. This paper introduces the Dietary Pattern Sustainability Index (DIPASI), as a method to assess the sustainability of dietary patterns by covering the environmental, nutritional, and economic dimensions in a single score. Environmental indicators include carbon footprint, water footprint, and land use, the nutritional quality is evaluated through the Nutritional Rich Diet 9.3 score, and the economic aspects are considered using diet cost. DIPASI measures the deviation (in %) of an individual's diet in relation to a reference diet. The case study utilized dietary data from the Portuguese National Food, Nutrition, and Physical Activity Survey (IAN-AF 2015–2016), which included 2999 adults aged 18 to 64. The Portuguese dietary patterns (covering 1492 food products consumed), were compared against the reference Mediterranean diet. Results indicated that the Portuguese dietary pattern had a higher environmental impact (CF: 4.32 kg CO2eq/day, WF: 3162.88 L/day, LU: 7.03 m2/day), a lower nutritional quality (NRD9.3: 334), and a higher cost (6.65 euros/day) when compared to the Mediterranean diet (CF: 3.30 kg CO2eq/day, WF: 2758.84 L/day, LU: 3.67 m2/day, NRD9.3: 668, cost: 5.71 euros/day). DIPASI reveals that only 4% of the sample's population does not deviate or presents a positive deviation (> − 0.5%) from the Mediterranean diet, indicating that the majority of Portuguese individuals have lower sustainability performance. For the environmental sub-score, this percentage was 21.3%, for the nutritional sub-score was 10.9%, and for the economic sub-score was 34.2%. This study provides a robust framework for assessing dietary sustainability on a global scale. The comprehensive methodology offers an essential foundation for understanding and addressing challenges in promoting sustainable and healthy dietary choices worldwide.

采用同时考虑营养健康和减少环境影响的可持续膳食模式至关重要。本文介绍了膳食模式可持续性指数(DIPASI),这是一种评估膳食模式可持续性的方法,它将环境、营养和经济维度纳入一个单一的评分中。环境指标包括碳足迹、水足迹和土地利用,营养质量通过营养丰富膳食 9.3 评分进行评估,经济方面则使用膳食成本进行考量。DIPASI 衡量个人膳食与参考膳食的偏差(百分比)。案例研究利用了葡萄牙全国食品、营养和体育活动调查(IAN-AF 2015-2016)中的膳食数据,其中包括 2999 名 18 至 64 岁的成年人。研究人员将葡萄牙人的膳食模式(涵盖所消费的 1492 种食品)与地中海参考膳食进行了比较。结果表明,葡萄牙膳食模式对环境的影响较大(CF:4.32 千克二氧化碳当量/天,WF:3162.88 升/天,LU:7.03 米/天),营养质量较低(NRD9.与地中海饮食(CF:3.30 千克二氧化碳当量/天,WF:2758.84 升/天,LU:367 米/天,NRD9.3:668,成本:5.71 欧元/天)相比,营养质量较低(NRD9.3:334),成本较高(6.65 欧元/天)。DIPASI 显示,只有 4% 的样本人口没有偏离地中海饮食或呈现正偏离(> -0.5%),这表明葡萄牙大多数人的可持续性表现较差。就环境分项而言,这一比例为 21.3%,营养分项为 10.9%,经济分项为 34.2%。这项研究为在全球范围内评估膳食可持续性提供了一个强有力的框架。该综合方法为了解和应对在全球范围内推广可持续健康膳食选择所面临的挑战奠定了重要基础。
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引用次数: 0
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Sustainable Production and Consumption
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