Study region
Yalong River Basin, southwest China
Study focus
Hydrological cycle has been affected by environmental changes, leading to serious freshwater crisis. In this research, hydrological modeling along with detrend techniques were advanced to address the blue and green water components responses to climate change and anthropogenic disturbances.
New hydrological insights for the region
Blue and green water exhibited upward trends from 1967 to 2017. In two studying periods (P1: 1981–1996; P2: 1997–2017), land use/land cover change exerted a slight effect of −2–2 mm variation in blue and green water in most subbasins. Climate change exhibited the dominant role in hydrological variations, in which the contribution of precipitation was the highest for blue and green water storage and temperature for green water flow. Rising precipitation led to an increase in blue water of overall 5–25 mm in P1 and 25–80 mm in P2. Rising temperatures caused increased green water flow, from 0–15 mm in P1 to 2–30 mm in P2. From P1 to P2, climate change’s effect on green water storage showed a negative trend in certain subbasins due to intensified warming. Spatially, regulated by catchment distributions and land cover types, the responses of blue water and green water storage to climate change presented higher heterogeneity than green water flow. This study illustrates how interactive factors modulate blue water availability and ecological water requirements in heterogeneous environments.
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