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Fatigue properties and damage constitutive model of salt rock based on CT scanning 基于 CT 扫描的盐岩疲劳特性和损伤构成模型
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2024.01.002
Junbao Wang , Xiao Liu , Qiang Zhang , Xinrong Liu , Zhanping Song , Shijin Feng

To investigate the macroscopic fatigue properties and the mesoscopic pore evolution characteristics of salt rock under cyclic loading, fatigue tests under different upper-limit stresses were carried out on salt rock, and the mesoscopic pore structures of salt rock before and after fatigue tests and under different cycle numbers were measured using CT scanning instrument. Based on the test results, the effects of the cycle number and the upper-limit stress on the evolution of cracks, pore morphology, pore number, pore volume, pore size, plane porosity, and volume porosity of salt rock were analyzed. The failure path of salt rock specimens under cyclic loading was analyzed using the distribution law of plane porosity. The damage variable of salt rock under cyclic loading was defined on basis of the variation of volume porosity with cycle number. In order to describe the fatigue deformation behavior of salt rock under cyclic loading, the nonlinear Burgers damage constitutive model was further established. The results show that the model established can better reflect the whole development process of fatigue deformation of salt rock under cyclic loading.

为研究循环加载下盐岩的宏观疲劳特性和中观孔隙演化特征,对盐岩进行了不同上限应力下的疲劳试验,并利用CT扫描仪测量了疲劳试验前后和不同循环次数下盐岩的中观孔隙结构。根据试验结果,分析了循环次数和上限应力对盐岩裂缝演变、孔隙形态、孔隙数量、孔隙体积、孔隙大小、平面孔隙率和体积孔隙率的影响。利用平面孔隙率分布规律分析了盐岩试样在循环荷载作用下的破坏路径。根据体积孔隙率随循环次数的变化,定义了循环加载下盐岩的破坏变量。为了描述循环加载下盐岩的疲劳变形行为,进一步建立了非线性布尔格斯损伤构成模型。结果表明,所建立的模型能较好地反映循环加载下盐岩疲劳变形的整个发展过程。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of the anisotropy of hydraulic conductivity through 3D fracture networks using the directional geological entropy 利用定向地质熵估算三维断裂网络导水性的各向异性
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2024.01.004
Chuangbing Zhou , Zuyang Ye , Chi Yao , Xincheng Fan , Feng Xiong

With an extension of the geological entropy concept in porous media, the approach called directional entrogram is applied to link hydraulic behavior to the anisotropy of the 3D fracture networks. A metric called directional entropic scale is used to measure the anisotropy of spatial order in different directions. Compared with the traditional connectivity indexes based on the statistics of fracture geometry, the directional entropic scale is capable to quantify the anisotropy of connectivity and hydraulic conductivity in heterogeneous 3D fracture networks. According to the numerical analysis of directional entrogram and fluid flow in a number of the 3D fracture networks, the hydraulic conductivities and entropic scales in different directions both increase with spatial order (i.e., trace length decreasing and spacing increasing) and are independent of the dip angle. As a result, the nonlinear correlation between the hydraulic conductivities and entropic scales from different directions can be unified as quadratic polynomial function, which can shed light on the anisotropic effect of spatial order and global entropy on the heterogeneous hydraulic behaviors.

通过将地质熵概念扩展到多孔介质中,我们采用了称为定向熵图的方法,将水力行为与三维断裂网络的各向异性联系起来。一种称为定向熵标的指标被用来测量不同方向上空间秩序的各向异性。与传统的基于断裂几何统计的连通性指标相比,方向熵标能够量化异质三维断裂网络中连通性和导流性的各向异性。根据对多条三维断裂网络中的定向熵谱和流体流动的数值分析,不同方向的导水性和熵值均随空间顺序(即痕长减小、间距增大)的增加而增加,且与倾角无关。因此,不同方向的导流系数和熵值之间的非线性关联可以统一为二次多项式函数,从而揭示空间阶次和全局熵值对异质水力行为的各向异性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Pressure stimulated current in progressive failure process of combined coal-rock under uniaxial compression: Response and mechanism 单轴压缩下煤岩结合体渐进破坏过程中的压力刺激电流:响应和机理
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.008
Tiancheng Shan , Zhonghui Li , Xin Zhang , Haishan Jia , Xiaoran Wang , Enyuan Wang , Yue Niu , Dong Chen , Weichen Sun , Dongming Wang

Effective monitoring of the structural health of combined coal-rock under complex geological conditions by pressure stimulated currents (PSCs) has great potential for the understanding of dynamic disasters in underground engineering. To reveal the effect of this way, the uniaxial compression experiments with PSC monitoring were conducted on three types of coal-rock combination samples with different strength combinations. The mechanism explanation of PSCs are investigated by resistivity test, atomic force microscopy (AFM) and computed tomography (CT) methods, and a PSC flow model based on progressive failure process is proposed. The influence of strength combinations on PSCs in the progressive failure process are emphasized. The results show the PSC responses between rock part, coal part and the two components are different, which are affected by multi-scale fracture characteristics and electrical properties. As the rock strength decreases, the progressive failure process changes obviously with the influence range of interface constraint effect decreasing, resulting in the different responses of PSC strength and direction in different parts to fracture behaviors. The PSC flow model is initially validated by the relationship between the accumulated charges of different parts. The results are expected to provide a new reference and method for mining design and roadway quality assessment.

利用压力激电(PSC)对复杂地质条件下的煤岩组合结构健康状况进行有效监测,对于了解地下工程中的动态灾害具有巨大潜力。为了揭示这种方式的效果,对三种不同强度组合的煤岩组合样品进行了单轴压缩实验。通过电阻率测试、原子力显微镜(AFM)和计算机断层扫描(CT)方法研究了 PSC 的机理解释,并提出了基于渐进破坏过程的 PSC 流动模型。研究强调了渐进破坏过程中强度组合对 PSC 的影响。结果表明,受多尺度断裂特征和电特性的影响,岩石部分、煤炭部分和两个组分之间的 PSC 响应是不同的。随着岩石强度的降低,界面约束效应的影响范围减小,渐进破坏过程发生明显变化,导致不同部位的 PSC 强度和方向对断裂行为的响应不同。通过不同部位累积电荷之间的关系初步验证了 PSC 流模型。研究结果有望为采矿设计和巷道质量评估提供新的参考和方法。
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引用次数: 0
IFC: Editorial 国际金融公司: 编辑
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/S2095-2686(24)00020-X
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引用次数: 0
Drilling-based measuring method for the c-φ parameter of rock and its field application 岩石c-φ参数的钻孔测量方法及其现场应用
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.06.005
Bei Jiang , Fenglin Ma , Qi Wang , Hongke Gao , Dahu Zhai , Yusong Deng , Chuanjie Xu , Liangdi Yao

The technology of drilling tests makes it possible to obtain the strength parameter of rock accurately in situ. In this paper, a new rock cutting analysis model that considers the influence of the rock crushing zone (RCZ) is built. The formula for an ultimate cutting force is established based on the limit equilibrium principle. The relationship between digital drilling parameters (DDP) and the c-φ parameter (DDP- formula, where c refers to the cohesion and φ refers to the internal friction angle) is derived, and the response of drilling parameters and cutting ratio to the strength parameters is analyzed. The drilling-based measuring method for the c-φ parameter of rock is constructed. The laboratory verification test is then completed, and the difference in results between the drilling test and the compression test is less than 6%. On this basis, in-situ rock drilling tests in a traffic tunnel and a coal mine roadway are carried out, and the strength parameters of the surrounding rock are effectively tested. The average difference ratio of the results is less than 11%, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method for obtaining the strength parameters based on digital drilling. This study provides methodological support for field testing of rock strength parameters.

钻探试验技术使得在原位精确获取岩石强度参数成为可能。本文建立了一个考虑岩石破碎带(RCZ)影响的新型岩石切割分析模型。根据极限平衡原理建立了极限切削力公式。得出了数字钻孔参数(DDP)与 c-φ 参数(DDP-cφ 公式,其中 c 指内聚力,φ 指内摩擦角)之间的关系,并分析了钻孔参数和切削比对强度参数的响应。构建了基于钻孔的岩石 c-φ 参数测量方法。随后完成了实验室验证试验,钻孔试验和压缩试验的结果差异小于 6%。在此基础上,进行了交通隧道和煤矿巷道的原位凿岩试验,对围岩的强度参数进行了有效测试。结果的平均差异比小于 11%,验证了所提出的基于数字钻孔获取强度参数的方法的有效性。该研究为现场测试岩石强度参数提供了方法支持。
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引用次数: 0
Pore-pressure and stress-coupled creep behavior in deep coal: Insights from real-time NMR analysis 深层煤炭中的孔隙压力和应力耦合蠕变行为:实时核磁共振分析的启示
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.001
Wenhao Jia , Hongwei Zhou , Senlin Xie , Yimeng Wang , Xinfeng Hu , Lei Zhang

Understanding the variations in microscopic pore-fracture structures (MPFS) during coal creep under pore pressure and stress coupling is crucial for coal mining and effective gas treatment. In this manuscript, a triaxial creep test on deep coal at various pore pressures using a test system that combines in-situ mechanical loading with real-time nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) detection was conducted. Full-scale quantitative characterization, online real-time detection, and visualization of MPFS during coal creep influenced by pore pressure and stress coupling were performed using NMR and NMR imaging (NMRI) techniques. The results revealed that seepage pores and microfractures (SPM) undergo the most significant changes during coal creep, with creep failure gradually expanding from dense primary pore fractures. Pore pressure presence promotes MPFS development primarily by inhibiting SPM compression and encouraging adsorption pores (AP) to evolve into SPM. Coal enters the accelerated creep stage earlier at lower stress levels, resulting in more pronounced creep deformation. The connection between the micro and macro values was established, demonstrating that increased porosity at different pore pressures leads to a negative exponential decay of the viscosity coefficient. The Newton dashpot in the ideal viscoplastic body and the Burgers model was improved using NMR experimental results, and a creep model that considers pore pressure and stress coupling using variable-order fractional operators was developed. The model’s reasonableness was confirmed using creep experimental data. The damage-state adjustment factors ω and β were identified through a parameter sensitivity analysis to characterize the effect of pore pressure and stress coupling on the creep damage characteristics (size and degree of difficulty) of coal.

了解在孔隙压力和应力耦合作用下煤炭蠕变过程中微观孔隙-断裂结构(MPFS)的变化对于煤炭开采和有效的瓦斯处理至关重要。在本手稿中,使用一种结合了原位机械加载和实时核磁共振(NMR)检测的试验系统,对深层煤炭在不同孔隙压力下进行了三轴蠕变试验。利用核磁共振和核磁共振成像(NMRI)技术,对煤炭蠕变过程中受孔隙压力和应力耦合影响的 MPFS 进行了全面的定量表征、在线实时检测和可视化。结果表明,煤炭蠕变过程中渗水孔隙和微裂缝(SPM)的变化最为显著,蠕变破坏从致密的原生孔隙裂缝逐渐扩展。孔隙压力的存在主要通过抑制 SPM 压缩和促进吸附孔隙(AP)演化为 SPM 来促进 MPFS 的发展。在较低应力水平下,煤炭更早进入加速蠕变阶段,从而产生更明显的蠕变变形。微观值和宏观值之间的联系已经建立,证明了在不同孔隙压力下孔隙度的增加会导致粘度系数的负指数衰减。利用核磁共振实验结果改进了理想粘塑体中的牛顿达斯锅和布尔格斯模型,并利用变阶分数算子建立了考虑孔隙压力和应力耦合的蠕变模型。蠕变实验数据证实了该模型的合理性。通过参数敏感性分析确定了损伤状态调整因子ω和β,以描述孔隙压力和应力耦合对煤的蠕变损伤特征(大小和难易程度)的影响。
{"title":"Pore-pressure and stress-coupled creep behavior in deep coal: Insights from real-time NMR analysis","authors":"Wenhao Jia ,&nbsp;Hongwei Zhou ,&nbsp;Senlin Xie ,&nbsp;Yimeng Wang ,&nbsp;Xinfeng Hu ,&nbsp;Lei Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Understanding the variations in microscopic pore-fracture structures (MPFS) during coal creep under pore pressure and stress coupling is crucial for coal mining and effective gas treatment. In this manuscript, a triaxial creep test on deep coal at various pore pressures using a test system that combines in-situ mechanical loading with real-time nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) detection was conducted. Full-scale quantitative characterization, online real-time detection, and visualization of MPFS during coal creep influenced by pore pressure and stress coupling were performed using NMR and NMR imaging (NMRI) techniques. The results revealed that seepage pores and microfractures (SPM) undergo the most significant changes during coal creep, with creep failure gradually expanding from dense primary pore fractures. Pore pressure presence promotes MPFS development primarily by inhibiting SPM compression and encouraging adsorption pores (AP) to evolve into SPM. Coal enters the accelerated creep stage earlier at lower stress levels, resulting in more pronounced creep deformation. The connection between the micro and macro values was established, demonstrating that increased porosity at different pore pressures leads to a negative exponential decay of the viscosity coefficient. The Newton dashpot in the ideal viscoplastic body and the Burgers model was improved using NMR experimental results, and a creep model that considers pore pressure and stress coupling using variable-order fractional operators was developed. The model’s reasonableness was confirmed using creep experimental data. The damage-state adjustment factors <em>ω</em> and <em>β</em> were identified through a parameter sensitivity analysis to characterize the effect of pore pressure and stress coupling on the creep damage characteristics (size and degree of difficulty) of coal.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48625,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Mining Science and Technology","volume":"34 1","pages":"Pages 77-90"},"PeriodicalIF":11.8,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095268623001635/pdfft?md5=a580dd851177a656b53c6792efb97b02&pid=1-s2.0-S2095268623001635-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139101457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Experimental investigation of the inhibition of deep-sea mining sediment plumes by polyaluminum chloride 聚合氯化铝抑制深海采矿沉积物羽流的实验研究
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.002
Fengpeng Zhang , Xuguang Chen , Jiakang Wei , Yangyang Zhang , Weikun Xu , Hao Li

Deep-sea sediment disturbance may occur when collecting polymetallic nodules, resulting in the creation of plumes that could have a negative impact on the ecological environment. This study aims to investigate the potential solution of using polyaluminum chloride (PAC) in the water jet. The effects of PAC are examined through a self-designed simulation system for deep-sea polymetallic nodule collection and sediment samples from a potential deep-sea mining area. The experimental results showed that the optimal PAC dose was found to be 0.75 g/L. Compared with the test conditions without the addition of PAC, the presence of PAC leads to a reduction in volume, lower characteristic turbidity, smaller diffusion velocity, and shorter settling time of the plume. This indicates that PAC inhibits the entire development process of the plume. The addition of PAC leads to the flocculation of mm-sized particles, resulting in the formation of cm-sized flocs. The flocculation of particles decreases the rate of erosion on the seabed by around 30%. This reduction in erosion helps to decrease the formation of plumes. Additionally, when the size of suspended particles increases, it reduces the scale at which they diffuse. Furthermore, the settling velocity of flocs (around 10−2 m/s) is much higher that of compared to sediment particles (around 10−5 m/s), which effectively reduces the amount of time the plume remains in suspension.

在采集多金属结核时,深海沉积物可能会受到扰动,从而产生羽流,对生态环境造成负面影响。本研究旨在调查在水射流中使用聚合氯化铝(PAC)的潜在解决方案。通过自行设计的模拟系统,对深海多金属结核采集和潜在深海采矿区的沉积物样本进行了研究,考察了 PAC 的效果。实验结果表明,最佳 PAC 剂量为 0.75 克/升。与不添加 PAC 的试验条件相比,PAC 的存在导致羽流体积减小、特征浊度降低、扩散速度减小和沉降时间缩短。这表明 PAC 会抑制羽流的整个发展过程。添加 PAC 会导致毫米大小的颗粒絮凝,从而形成厘米大小的絮团。颗粒的絮凝使海床的侵蚀速度降低了约 30%。侵蚀速度的降低有助于减少羽流的形成。此外,当悬浮颗粒的尺寸增大时,它们扩散的尺度也会减小。此外,絮状物的沉降速度(约 10-2 米/秒)远高于沉积物颗粒的沉降速度(约 10-5 米/秒),这就有效地减少了羽流停留在悬浮状态的时间。
{"title":"Experimental investigation of the inhibition of deep-sea mining sediment plumes by polyaluminum chloride","authors":"Fengpeng Zhang ,&nbsp;Xuguang Chen ,&nbsp;Jiakang Wei ,&nbsp;Yangyang Zhang ,&nbsp;Weikun Xu ,&nbsp;Hao Li","doi":"10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Deep-sea sediment disturbance may occur when collecting polymetallic nodules, resulting in the creation of plumes that could have a negative impact on the ecological environment. This study aims to investigate the potential solution of using polyaluminum chloride (PAC) in the water jet. The effects of PAC are examined through a self-designed simulation system for deep-sea polymetallic nodule collection and sediment samples from a potential deep-sea mining area. The experimental results showed that the optimal PAC dose was found to be 0.75 g/L. Compared with the test conditions without the addition of PAC, the presence of PAC leads to a reduction in volume, lower characteristic turbidity, smaller diffusion velocity, and shorter settling time of the plume. This indicates that PAC inhibits the entire development process of the plume. The addition of PAC leads to the flocculation of mm-sized particles, resulting in the formation of cm-sized flocs. The flocculation of particles decreases the rate of erosion on the seabed by around 30%. This reduction in erosion helps to decrease the formation of plumes. Additionally, when the size of suspended particles increases, it reduces the scale at which they diffuse. Furthermore, the settling velocity of flocs (around 10<sup>−2</sup> m/s) is much higher that of compared to sediment particles (around 10<sup>−5</sup> m/s), which effectively reduces the amount of time the plume remains in suspension.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48625,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Mining Science and Technology","volume":"34 1","pages":"Pages 91-104"},"PeriodicalIF":11.8,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095268623001647/pdfft?md5=104a5ec2a58b25e991cbd8063db4b56e&pid=1-s2.0-S2095268623001647-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139431200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Numerical and experimental investigation on hydraulic-electric rock fragmentation of heterogeneous granite 异质花岗岩水电岩石破碎的数值和实验研究
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.003
Xiaohua Zhu , Ling He , Weiji Liu , Yunxu Luo , Youjian Zhang , Wuji Tang

Hydraulic-electric rock fragmentation (HERF) plays a significant role in improving the efficiency of high voltage pulse rock breaking. However, the underlying mechanism of HERF remains unclear. In this study, considering the heterogeneity of the rock, microscopic thermodynamic properties, and shockwave time domain waveforms, based on the shockwave model, digital imaging technology and the discrete element method, the cyclic loading numerical simulations of HERF is achieved by coupling electrical, thermal, and solid mechanics under different formation temperatures, confining pressure, initial peak voltage, electrode bit diameter, and loading times. Meanwhile, the HERF discharge system is conducive to the laboratory experiments with various electrical parameters and the resulting broken pits are numerically reconstructed to obtain the geometric parameters. The results show that, the completely broken area consists of powdery rock debris. In the pre-broken zone, the mineral cementation of the rock determines the transition of type C cracks to type C and type C cracks. Furthermore, the peak pressure of the shockwave increased with initial peak voltage but decreased with electrode bit diameter, while the wave front time reduced. Moreover, increasing well depth, formation temperature and confining pressure augment and inhibit HERF, but once confining pressure surpassed the threshold of 60 MPa for 152.40, 215.90, and 228.60 mm electrode bits, and 40 MPa for 309.88 mm electrode bits, HERF is promoted. Additionally, for the same kind of rock, the volume and width of the broken pit increase with higher initial peak voltage and rock fissures will promote HERF. Eventually, the electrode drill bit with a 215.90 mm diameter is more suitable for drilling pink granite. This research contributes to a better microscopic understanding of HERF and provides valuable insights for electrode bit selection, as well as the optimization of circuit parameters for HERF technology.

水电岩石破碎(HERF)在提高高压脉冲破岩效率方面发挥着重要作用。然而,HERF 的基本机理仍不清楚。在本研究中,考虑到岩石的异质性、微观热力学特性和冲击波时域波形,基于冲击波模型、数字成像技术和离散元方法,通过电学、热学和固体力学耦合,实现了不同地层温度、约束压力、初始峰值电压、电极钻头直径和加载时间下 HERF 的循环加载数值模拟。同时,将 HERF 放电系统与各种电学参数下的实验室实验相结合,对产生的破碎凹坑进行数值重构,以获得几何参数。结果表明,完全破碎区由粉状岩石碎屑组成。在预破碎区,岩石的矿物胶结决定了 CⅠ 型裂缝向 CⅡ 型和 CⅢ 型裂缝的过渡。此外,冲击波的峰值压力随初始峰值电压的增加而增加,但随电极钻头直径的增加而减小,同时波前时间缩短。此外,井深、地层温度和封闭压力的增加会增强和抑制 HERF,但一旦封闭压力超过阈值(152.40、215.90 和 228.60 mm 电极钻头为 60 MPa,309.88 mm 电极钻头为 40 MPa),则会促进 HERF。此外,对于同类岩石,初始峰值电压越高,破碎坑的体积和宽度越大,岩石裂缝也会促进 HERF。最终,直径为 215.90 毫米的电极钻头更适合粉红花岗岩的钻探。这项研究有助于从微观上更好地理解 HERF,为电极钻头的选择以及 HERF 技术的电路参数优化提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Classifying rockburst with confidence: A novel conformal prediction approach 可信的岩爆分类:新型保形预测方法
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmst.2023.12.005
Bemah Ibrahim, Isaac Ahenkorah

The scientific community recognizes the seriousness of rockbursts and the need for effective mitigation measures. The literature reports various successful applications of machine learning (ML) models for rockburst assessment; however, a significant question remains unanswered: How reliable are these models, and at what confidence level are classifications made? Typically, ML models output single rockburst grade even in the face of intricate and out-of-distribution samples, without any associated confidence value. Given the susceptibility of ML models to errors, it becomes imperative to quantify their uncertainty to prevent consequential failures. To address this issue, we propose a conformal prediction (CP) framework built on traditional ML models (extreme gradient boosting and random forest) to generate valid classifications of rockburst while producing a measure of confidence for its output. The proposed framework guarantees marginal coverage and, in most cases, conditional coverage on the test dataset. The CP was evaluated on a rockburst case in the Sanshandao Gold Mine in China, where it achieved high coverage and efficiency at applicable confidence levels. Significantly, the CP identified several “confident” classifications from the traditional ML model as unreliable, necessitating expert verification for informed decision-making. The proposed framework improves the reliability and accuracy of rockburst assessments, with the potential to bolster user confidence.

科学界认识到岩爆的严重性和采取有效缓解措施的必要性。文献报道了机器学习(ML)模型在岩爆评估中的各种成功应用;然而,一个重要的问题仍未得到解答:这些模型的可靠性如何?通常情况下,即使面对错综复杂和超出分布范围的样本,ML 模型也只能输出单一的岩爆等级,而没有任何相关的置信度值。鉴于 ML 模型容易出错,当务之急是量化其不确定性,以防止出现重大失误。为解决这一问题,我们提出了一种基于传统 ML 模型(极梯度提升和随机森林)的保形预测(CP)框架,用于生成有效的岩爆分类,同时为其输出提供置信度。所提出的框架保证了边际覆盖率,并在大多数情况下保证了测试数据集的条件覆盖率。在中国三山岛金矿的岩爆案例中对 "CP "进行了评估,在适用的置信水平下,"CP "实现了高覆盖率和高效率。值得注意的是,CP 将传统 ML 模型中的几个 "可信 "分类确定为不可靠,这就需要专家验证以做出明智的决策。所提出的框架提高了岩爆评估的可靠性和准确性,有可能增强用户的信心。
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引用次数: 0
IFC: Editorial 国际金融公司: 编辑
IF 11.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 MINING & MINERAL PROCESSING Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/S2095-2686(24)00004-1
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Mining Science and Technology
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