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Dynamics of a diffusive HTLV and HIV coinfection model with macrophages, latent cells and two delays. 具有巨噬细胞、潜伏细胞和两次延迟的弥漫性HTLV和HIV共感染模型的动力学。
IF 2.2 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-12-31 Epub Date: 2025-12-25 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2607155
Hui Miao, Xiaomei Feng

Human T-lymphotropic virus (HTLV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are two retroviruses that pose a certain threat to human psychology and physiology. In this paper, we propose a diffusive HTLV and HIV coinfection model with macrophages, two delays, cell-to-cell transmission and three latently infected cells in which latent HIV infected CD4+T cells, latent HIV infected macrophages, and latent HTLV infected CD4+T cells are considered. Four reproduction number and four equilibria, namely, infection-free equilibrium, HIV infection equilibrium, HTLV infection equilibrium and HTLV and HIV coinfection equilibrium, are calculated and proved the global asymptotic stability of the coinfection model. Numerical simulations are executed to showcase the corresponding theoretical outcomes and uncover how macrophages and latently infected cells influence the dynamics of HTLV and HIV coinfection.

人类嗜t淋巴病毒(HTLV)和人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)是对人类心理和生理构成一定威胁的两种逆转录病毒。在本文中,我们提出了一个弥漫性HTLV和HIV共感染模型,包括巨噬细胞、两次延迟、细胞间传播和三种潜伏感染细胞,其中潜伏的HIV感染CD4+T细胞、潜伏的HIV感染巨噬细胞和潜伏的HTLV感染CD4+T细胞。计算了无感染均衡、HIV感染均衡、HTLV感染均衡和HTLV与HIV共感染均衡4个繁殖数和4个平衡点,证明了共感染模型的全局渐近稳定性。通过数值模拟来展示相应的理论结果,并揭示巨噬细胞和潜伏感染细胞如何影响HTLV和HIV共同感染的动力学。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal control analysis of a mathematical model of malaria and COVID-19 co-infection dynamics. 疟疾与COVID-19共感染动态数学模型的最优控制分析。
IF 2.2 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-31 Epub Date: 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2568392
Abou Bakari Diabaté, Boureima Sangaré, Ousmane Koutou

In this paper, we analyze a deterministic model of malaria and Corona Virus Disease 2019 co-infection within a homogeneous population. We first studied the single infection model of each disease and then the co-infection dynamics. We calculate the basic reproduction number of each model and study the existence and stability of the steady states. Then, we show that under some suitable conditions, both the malaria single infection model and co-infection model exhibit backward bifurcation. Furthermore, we analyze the conditions of extinction, competitive exclusion and co-existence of these two diseases. In addition, a local sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction numbers is performed to explore the impact of the different parameters' variability on the dynamics of each disease. Moreover, we apply Pontryagin's maximum principle to determine optimal strategies to control the two diseases in case of co-infection. Finally, some numerical simulation results are presented to support the theoretical findings.

在本文中,我们分析了同质人群中疟疾和2019冠状病毒病合并感染的确定性模型。我们首先研究了每种疾病的单感染模型,然后研究了共感染动力学。我们计算了每个模型的基本再现数,研究了稳态的存在性和稳定性。然后,我们证明了在一定条件下,疟疾单感染模型和共感染模型都表现出后分叉。进一步分析了这两种疾病的灭绝、竞争排斥和共存条件。此外,还进行了基本繁殖数的局部敏感性分析,以探讨不同参数的变异性对每种疾病动态的影响。此外,我们应用庞特里亚金的极大值原理来确定两种疾病共同感染时的最优控制策略。最后,给出了一些数值模拟结果来支持理论结论。
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引用次数: 0
Global dynamics of respiratory process in a class of bacterial culture. 一类细菌培养中呼吸过程的全局动力学。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-05 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2528680
Jiazhou Wu, Fabao Gao

The global dynamic behavior of the respiration process in bacterial culture at different concentrations was comprehensively described using the qualitative theory of differential equations and symbolic calculation software.

利用微分方程定性理论和符号计算软件,全面描述了不同浓度细菌培养中呼吸过程的全局动态行为。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable harvesting strategy in an ecological competition model with interference. 干扰生态竞争模型下的可持续采收策略
IF 2.2 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2554907
Peng Feng

This paper examines a three-species ecological competition model with two predators and one prey, incorporating food-limited growth and both linear and quadratic harvesting strategies. Using mathematical analysis, we identify equilibrium points and derive conditions for their stability and persistence. The results reveal that quadratic harvesting significantly enhances stability, promotes coexistence, and mitigates extinction risks compared to linear harvesting. Numerical simulations validate the theoretical findings, highlighting the effectiveness of quadratic harvesting in managing population dynamics. These insights contribute to the mathematical understanding of sustainable harvesting strategies in complex ecological systems.

本文研究了一个具有两个捕食者和一个猎物的三物种生态竞争模型,该模型考虑了食物限制生长和线性和二次收获策略。利用数学分析,我们确定了平衡点,并推导出其稳定性和持久性的条件。结果表明,与线性采伐相比,二次采伐显著提高了稳定性,促进了共存,减轻了灭绝风险。数值模拟验证了理论结果,突出了二次收获在种群动态管理中的有效性。这些见解有助于对复杂生态系统中可持续收获策略的数学理解。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling and analysis of an epidemic model with awareness caused by deaths due to fear. 基于恐惧致死意识的流行病模型建模和分析。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2458890
Ling Xue, Junqi Huo, Yuxin Zhang

In this paper, we establish a compartmental model in which the transmission rate is associated with the fear of being infected by COVID-19. We provide a detailed analysis of the epidemic model and established results for the existence of a positively invariant set. The expression of the basic reproduction number R0 is characterized. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is globally asymptotically stable if R0<1, and the system exhibits a forward bifurcation if R0=1. When R0>1, the system is uniformly persistent, the DFE is unstable and there exists a unique and globally asymptotic stable endemic equilibrium (EE). We fit unknown parameters using the reported data in Canada from September 1 to October 10, 2021, and carry out sensitivity analysis. The quantitative analysis of the model with awareness demonstrates the significance of reducing the transmission rate and enhancing public protective awareness.

在本文中,我们建立了一个室室模型,其中传播率与对COVID-19感染的恐惧相关。我们给出了流行病模型的详细分析,并建立了一个正不变集存在的结果。对基本繁殖数R0的表达式进行了表征。结果表明,当R01时,系统的无病平衡点(DFE)是全局渐近稳定的;当R0=1时,系统呈现正向分岔。当R0>1时,系统是一致持久的,DFE是不稳定的,存在一个唯一的全局渐近稳定的地方性平衡(EE)。我们利用加拿大2021年9月1日至10月10日的报告数据拟合未知参数,并进行敏感性分析。带意识模型的定量分析表明了降低传播率、增强公众防护意识的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamical analysis of a stochastic prey-predator model with fear effect and feedback control. 具有恐惧效应和反馈控制的随机捕食-捕食模型动力学分析。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-17 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2479461
Yan Zhang, Feng Lai, Shujing Gao, Yang Liu, Shuixian Yan

In this work, the intricacies and complexities of dynamical properties are extensively studied for the proposed deterministic and stochastic prey-predator models. The influence of fear effects, prey refuge and feedback control are considered and thorough theoretical research is conducted on the systems. It commences by establishing the global stability and uniqueness of the positive equilibrium of the deterministic model. Then for the stochastic system, the existence, uniqueness and boundedness of a global positive solution are analysed by constructing appropriate Lyapunov functions. Sufficient conditions are established for the extinction and persistence of the stochastic model. It can be observed that both the fear effect and prey refuge have a greatly impact on the dynamics of system. Intermediate values of feedback control intensity may be the most beneficial to species coexistence. It provides new insights into the sustainability of ecosystems.

在这项工作中,广泛研究了所提出的确定性和随机猎物-捕食者模型的复杂性和动力学特性。考虑了恐惧效应、猎物庇护和反馈控制的影响,对系统进行了深入的理论研究。首先建立了确定性模型正平衡的全局稳定性和唯一性。然后通过构造适当的Lyapunov函数,分析了随机系统整体正解的存在性、唯一性和有界性。建立了随机模型消隐和持续的充分条件。可以看出,恐惧效应和猎物避难对系统动力学都有很大的影响。反馈控制强度的中间值可能最有利于物种共存。它为生态系统的可持续性提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical modelling and optimal control of malaria transmission with antimalarial drug and insecticide resistance. 与抗疟药和杀虫剂耐药性有关的疟疾传播的数学建模和最优控制。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-24 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2522345
Gasper G Mwanga

This study presents a mathematical model to explore malaria transmission dynamics in the presence of antimalarial drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes. The analytical findings demonstrate a stable disease-free equilibrium when the effective reproduction number is below one. For single-strain malaria infections, the endemic equilibrium may exhibit one, two or no solutions. The model is extended to incorporate three time-dependent controls: long-lasting insecticidal nets, antimalarial treatment and mosquito adulticides. Simulation results indicate that interventions excluding drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes are ineffective. The most effective strategies combine insecticides targeting all vectors with treatments for all malaria cases, regardless of resistance. Efficiency analysis suggests implementing all three controls at 80% efficacy for the maximum impact, while assessments of cost-effectiveness highlight the combination of long-lasting insecticidal nets and antimalarial treatment as a practical option in resource-constrained settings. Nonetheless, integrating all three measures is recommended for substantial malaria transmission reduction.

本研究提出了一个数学模型来探索抗疟药寄生虫和抗杀虫剂蚊子存在下的疟疾传播动力学。分析结果表明,当有效繁殖数小于1时,无病平衡稳定。对于单株疟疾感染,地方性平衡可能出现一种、两种或没有解决方案。该模型得到扩展,纳入了三种随时间变化的控制:长效杀虫蚊帐、抗疟疾治疗和杀蚊剂。模拟结果表明,排除耐药寄生虫和耐杀虫剂蚊子的干预措施是无效的。最有效的战略是将针对所有病媒的杀虫剂与针对所有疟疾病例的治疗相结合,而不管耐药性如何。效率分析建议以≥80%的效力实施所有三种控制措施,以获得最大影响,而成本效益评估强调,在资源有限的情况下,长效驱虫蚊帐和抗疟疾治疗相结合是一种切实可行的选择。尽管如此,建议将所有三种措施结合起来,以大幅减少疟疾传播。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic HIV-1 infection model with time delay: case study of clinical data. 具有时间延迟的随机HIV-1感染模型:临床数据的案例研究。
IF 2.2 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2553766
Yan Li, Yongchang Wei, Shuang Li, Yong Li, Zhihang Peng

This paper proposes an immunosuppressive infection model with time delay and stochastic perturbation. A stochastic threshold R0s is constructed, and the sufficient conditions for virus extinction and weak persistence are given. Subsequently, we respectively fit the SDDE and ODE models to the real data, and conduct a sensitivity analysis of the equilibrium. The greater the noise intensity, the more obvious the oscillation amplitude of the solution curve around the immune-free equilibrium, the larger noise intensity can cause the originally persistent virus in ODE to go extinct in the SDDE model. The greater the time delay, the longer it takes for the virus and immune cells to reach their first peaks. The viral replication rate significantly affects the virus-immune system, and the reproduction of HIV-1 can be inhibited by modulating it. A relatively high viral inhibition rate will lead to the extinction of immune cells while the virus persists.

提出了一种具有时滞和随机扰动的免疫抑制感染模型。构造了一个随机阈值R0s,给出了病毒灭活和弱持久性的充分条件。随后,我们分别将SDDE和ODE模型拟合到实际数据中,并对均衡进行敏感性分析。噪声强度越大,溶液曲线在无免疫平衡点附近的振荡幅度越明显,噪声强度越大,可以使原本在ODE中持续存在的病毒在SDDE模型中灭绝。时间延迟越长,病毒和免疫细胞到达第一个高峰所需的时间就越长。病毒复制速率显著影响病毒免疫系统,通过调节病毒复制速率可以抑制HIV-1的繁殖。较高的病毒抑制率将导致免疫细胞的灭绝,而病毒持续存在。
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引用次数: 0
Study on a delayed pest management model with pulse chemical control. 脉冲化学控制延迟害虫治理模型的研究。
IF 2.2 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2548493
Yize Chen, Juhua Liang

Chemical control is crucial in pest management, but delayed responses to pesticide application can significantly affect its success. This study develops a type of novel mathematical models combining delayed impulse differential equations with pulse pesticide spraying to evaluate these delayed effects. The uniform stability of the pest eradication solution is analysed, and key parameters influencing pest control success are explored. Considering delays in both pest population growth reaching environmental capacity and pesticide response, a double delayed impulse differential equation is formulated. The asymptotic stability and exponential stability of the system are studied, and threshold conditions for pest extinction are identified. The findings help optimize pest control strategies under delayed pesticide responses.

化学防治在害虫管理中至关重要,但对农药施用的延迟反应会严重影响其成功。本文建立了一种将延迟脉冲微分方程与脉冲农药喷洒相结合的新型数学模型来评估这些延迟效应。分析了除虫液的均匀稳定性,探讨了影响除虫成功的关键参数。考虑害虫种群增长达到环境容量和农药响应的延迟,建立了双延迟脉冲微分方程。研究了系统的渐近稳定性和指数稳定性,并确定了害虫灭绝的阈值条件。研究结果有助于优化农药反应延迟的病虫害防治策略。
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引用次数: 0
The dynamics of CD4+ T cell proliferation and regulation. CD4+ T细胞增殖及调控的动态。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2025.2458867
Mingran Zhang, Junling Ma, Roderick Edwards, Meili Li

We use mathematical modeling to study the proliferation dynamics of CD4+ T cells within an immune response. This proliferation is driven by the autocrine reaction of helper T cells and interleukin-2 (IL-2), and regulated by natural regulatory T cells (nTregs). Previous studies suggested that a fratricidal mechanism is necessary to eliminate helper T cells post-infection. Contrary to this, our mathematical analysis establishes that the depletion of these cells is due to two pivotal factors: the saturation in the proliferation rate of helper CD4+ T cells at high IL-2 concentrations, and the activation rate of nTregs outpacing their death rate. This yields an excitable process, such that the proliferation starts once the helper T cell population passes a threshold. Additionally, we find that when the proliferation of nTregs lags behind their mortality, induced regulatory T cells (iTregs) are crucial to curbing the proliferation of helper CD4+ T cells.

我们使用数学模型来研究CD4+ T细胞在免疫反应中的增殖动力学。这种增殖是由辅助性T细胞和白细胞介素-2 (IL-2)的自分泌反应驱动的,并由自然调节性T细胞(nTregs)调节。先前的研究表明,一个自相残杀的机制是必要的,以消除辅助性T细胞感染后。与此相反,我们的数学分析表明,这些细胞的消耗是由于两个关键因素:在高IL-2浓度下,辅助性CD4+ T细胞的增殖率饱和,以及nTregs的激活率超过了它们的死亡率。这产生了一个可兴奋的过程,一旦辅助T细胞群超过一个阈值,增殖就开始了。此外,我们发现当ntreg的增殖落后于它们的死亡时,诱导调节性T细胞(iTregs)对抑制辅助性CD4+ T细胞的增殖至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Biological Dynamics
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