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Global dynamics of discrete mathematical models of tuberculosis. 结核病离散数学模型的全球动力学。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-17 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2024.2323724
Saber Elaydi, René Lozi

In this paper, we develop discrete models of Tuberculosis (TB). This includes SEI endogenous and exogenous models without treatment. These models are then extended to a SEIT model with treatment. We develop two types of net reproduction numbers, one is the traditional R0 which is based on the disease-free equilibrium, and a new net reproduction number R0(E) based on the endemic equilibrium. It is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if R0 1 and unstable if R0>1. Moreover, the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable if R0(E)<1<R0.

在本文中,我们建立了结核病(TB)的离散模型。其中包括无治疗的 SEI 内生模型和外生模型。然后将这些模型扩展到有治疗的 SEIT 模型。我们建立了两种净繁殖数,一种是基于无病平衡的传统 R0,另一种是基于地方病平衡的新净繁殖数 R0(E∗)。结果表明,如果 R0≤ 1,无病均衡是全局渐近稳定的,如果 R0>1 则不稳定。此外,如果 R0(E∗)1R0,则地方病均衡是局部渐近稳定的。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction. 介绍。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2024.2367892
Abba B Gumel, Shandelle Henson
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引用次数: 0
Aziz Yakubu. 圣雅库布
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2024.2367893
Mike Reed
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引用次数: 0
An ODEs multiscale model with cell proliferation for hepatitis C virus infection treated with direct acting antiviral agents. 用直接作用抗病毒药物治疗丙型肝炎病毒感染的细胞增殖 ODEs 多尺度模型。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2024.2423956
Hesham A Elkaranshawy, Hossam M Ezzat

In a recent study, a mathematically identical ODE model is derived from a multiscale PDE model of hepatitis C virus infection, which helps to overcome the limitations of the PDE model in the analysis. Here, an extended proposed model is formulated for this transformed ODE model by including the hepatocyte proliferation of both uninfected and infected cells. Unlike the transformed model, the proposed model can predict the triphasic viral decline and the virus level after therapy cessation without oscillations. Numerical simulations are performed to investigate the effect of hepatocyte proliferation and therapy with direct-acting antivirals agents (DAAs). The basic reproduction number is obtained, the equilibrium points are specified, and their stability is analysed. A bifurcation analysis is performed to specify the bifurcation points and to study the effect of varying system parameters. Various viral load profiles generated by the model are confirmed to fit with reported data in the literature.

在最近的一项研究中,从丙型肝炎病毒感染的多尺度 PDE 模型推导出了一个数学上相同的 ODE 模型,这有助于克服 PDE 模型在分析中的局限性。在此,通过将未感染和已感染细胞的肝细胞增殖包括在内,为这一转化的 ODE 模型制定了一个扩展的拟议模型。与转化模型不同的是,所提出的模型可以预测三相病毒下降和治疗停止后的病毒水平,而不会出现振荡。通过数值模拟研究了肝细胞增殖和直接作用抗病毒药物(DAAs)治疗的影响。得到了基本繁殖数,确定了平衡点,并分析了其稳定性。通过分岔分析,确定了分岔点,并研究了系统参数变化的影响。该模型生成的各种病毒载量曲线与文献报道的数据相吻合。
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引用次数: 0
Hunting cooperation in a prey-predator model with maturation delay. 有成熟延迟的猎物-捕食者模型中的狩猎合作
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2024.2332279
Yoichi Enatsu, Jyotirmoy Roy, Malay Banerjee

We investigate the dynamics of a prey-predator model with cooperative hunting among specialist predators and maturation delay in predator growth. First, we consider a model without delay and explore the effect of hunting time on the coexistence of predator and their prey. When the hunting time is long enough and the cooperation rate among predators is weak, prey and predator species tend to coexist. Furthermore, we observe the occurrences of a series of bifurcations that depend on the cooperation rate and the hunting time. Second, we introduce a maturation delay for predator growth and analyse its impact on the system's dynamics. We find that as the delay becomes larger, predator species become more likely to go extinct, as the long maturation delay hinders the growth of the predator population. Our numerical exploration reveals that the delay causes shifts in both the bifurcation curves and bifurcation thresholds of the non-delayed system.

我们研究了一个猎物-捕食者模型的动态,该模型中专业捕食者合作狩猎,捕食者的成长成熟延迟。首先,我们考虑了一个没有延迟的模型,并探讨了狩猎时间对捕食者与猎物共存的影响。当狩猎时间足够长且捕食者之间的合作率较弱时,猎物和捕食者物种趋于共存。此外,我们还观察到一系列取决于合作率和狩猎时间的分岔现象。其次,我们为捕食者的成长引入了成熟延迟,并分析了它对系统动态的影响。我们发现,随着延迟变大,捕食者物种更有可能灭绝,因为较长的成熟延迟会阻碍捕食者种群的增长。我们的数值研究发现,延迟会导致非延迟系统的分岔曲线和分岔阈值发生变化。
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引用次数: 0
Metapopulation models with anti-symmetric Lotka-Volterra systems. 具有反对称洛特卡-伏特拉系统的元模型。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2024.2397404
Anju Susan Anish, Bernard De Baets, Shodhan Rao

We consider different anti-symmetric Lotka-Volterra systems governing the pairwise interactions among the same n species inhabiting m spatially discrete habitat patches, with each patch having infinitely many equilibria. In the absence of inter-patch species migration, the species densities in each isolated patch evolve in periodic orbits. A central idea of this work is to design a control action to make the trajectories of the system asymptotically converge to a desired coexistence equilibrium among the infinitely many equilibrium points. We propose a scheme to simultaneously control different anti-symmetric Lotka-Volterra systems in multiple habitat patches by designing a metapopulation model. By introducing a suitable inter-patch migration of species, we prove that the trajectories of the resulting metapopulation model are effectively asymptotically converging to the desired coexistence equilibrium. The stability of the coexistence equilibrium is proved using Lyapunov methods coupled with LaSalle's invariance principle.

我们考虑了不同的反对称洛特卡-伏特拉(Lotka-Volterra)系统,该系统支配着栖息在 m 个空间离散的生境斑块中的 n 个相同物种之间的成对相互作用,每个斑块有无限多个均衡点。在没有斑块间物种迁移的情况下,每个孤立斑块中的物种密度会以周期性轨道演化。这项工作的核心思想是设计一种控制行动,使系统的轨迹在无限多个平衡点中渐近收敛到一个理想的共存平衡点。我们提出了一种方案,通过设计一个元种群模型来同时控制多个栖息地斑块中不同的反对称洛特卡-伏特拉(Lotka-Volterra)系统。通过引入适当的物种斑块间迁移,我们证明了所得到的元种群模型的轨迹能有效地渐近收敛到所需的共存均衡。共存平衡的稳定性是利用李亚普诺夫方法和拉萨尔不变性原理来证明的。
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引用次数: 0
An epidemiological model for analysing pandemic trends of novel coronavirus transmission with optimal control 利用优化控制分析新型冠状病毒传播大流行趋势的流行病学模型
IF 2.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2023.2299001
Tahir Khan, Fathalla A. Rihan, Qasem M. Al-Mdallal
Symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals play a significant role in the transmission dynamics of novel Coronaviruses. By considering the dynamical behaviour of symptomatic and asymptomatic individu...
无症状和无症状个体在新型冠状病毒的传播动态中扮演着重要角色。通过考虑有症状和无症状个体的动态行为,我们发现了新型冠状病毒的传播动态。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical model of Ehrlichia chaffeensis transmission dynamics in dogs 狗体内埃立卡氏虫传播动态的数学模型
IF 2.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-12-11 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2023.2287082
Folashade B. Agusto, Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse, Ousmane Seydi
Ehrlichia chaffeensis is a tick-borne disease transmitted by ticks to dogs. Few studies have mathematical modelled such tick-borne disease in dogs, and none have developed models that incorporate d...
埃里希氏菌是一种由蜱虫传播给狗的蜱媒疾病。很少有研究对狗的这种蜱传疾病进行数学建模,也没有任何研究建立了包含蜱传疾病的模型。
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引用次数: 0
Honoring the life and legacy of Fred Brauer. 纪念弗雷德·布劳尔的一生和遗产。
IF 2.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-21 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2023.2285096
Christopher M Kribs, Pauline van den Driessche

The work of Fred Brauer (1932-2021) broke new ground in several areas of mathematical population biology, especially mathematical epidemiology and population management. This special issue reflects his legacy: the lines of inquiry he opened, the impact of his research and his books, and his mentoring of generations of young researchers. This dedication highlights milestones in his career and connects his work to the contributions in this issue.

弗雷德·布劳尔(1932-2021)的工作在数学种群生物学的几个领域开辟了新的领域,特别是数学流行病学和种群管理。本期特刊反映了他的遗产:他开辟的研究路线,他的研究和著作的影响,以及他对几代年轻研究人员的指导。这种奉献突出了他职业生涯中的里程碑,并将他的工作与本期的贡献联系起来。
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引用次数: 0
Threshold dynamics of a stochastic mathematical model for Wolbachia infections. 沃尔巴克氏体感染随机数学模型的阈值动力学。
IF 1.8 4区 数学 Q3 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/17513758.2023.2231967
Jin Yang, Zhuo Chen, Yuanshun Tan, Zijian Liu, Robert A Cheke

A stochastic mathematical model is proposed to study how environmental heterogeneity and the augmentation of mosquitoes with Wolbachia bacteria affect the outcomes of dengue disease. The existence and uniqueness of the positive solutions of the system are studied. Then the V-geometrically ergodicity and stochastic ultimate boundedness are investigated. Further, threshold conditions for successful population replacement are derived and the existence of a unique ergodic steady-state distribution of the system is explored. The results show that the ratio of infected to uninfected mosquitoes has a great influence on population replacement. Moreover, environmental noise plays a significant role in control of dengue fever.

提出了一个随机数学模型来研究环境异质性和携带沃尔巴克氏菌的蚊子数量增加如何影响登革热的结果。研究了系统正解的存在性和唯一性。然后研究了V几何遍历性和随机极限有界性。进一步推导了种群置换成功的阈值条件,并探讨了系统存在唯一遍历稳态分布的问题。结果表明,受感染蚊子与未受感染蚊子的比例对种群更替有很大影响。此外,环境噪音在控制登革热方面发挥着重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Biological Dynamics
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