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Do credences model guesses? 你相信模型的猜测吗?
Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12519
Sophie Horowitz
What are credences? Where do the numbers come from? Some have argued that they are brute and primitive; others, that they model our dispositions to bet, our comparative confidence judgments, or our all‐out beliefs. This paper explores a new answer to this question: credences model our dispositions to guess. I argue that we can think of credences this way, and then consider: should we?
什么是信用?这些数字从何而来?有些人认为它们是原始的;有些人则认为它们是我们下注的倾向、比较信心判断或全面信念的模型。本文探讨了这一问题的新答案:信用是我们猜测的倾向的模型。我认为我们可以这样看待信用,然后再考虑:我们应该这样做吗?
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引用次数: 0
A puzzle about knowledge ascriptions 知识描述之谜
Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12515
Brian Porter, Kelli Barr, Abdellatif Bencherifa, Wesley Buckwalter, Yasuo Deguchi, Emanuele Fabiano, Takaaki Hashimoto, Julia Halamova, Joshua Homan, Kaori Karasawa, Martin Kanovsky, Hakjin Kim, Jordan Kiper, Minha Lee, Xiaofei Liu, Veli Mitova, Rukmini Bhaya, Ljiljana Pantovic, Pablo Quintanilla, Josien Reijer, Pedro Romero, Purmina Singh, Salma Tber, Daniel Wilkenfeld, Stephen Stich, Clark Barrett, Edouard Machery
Philosophers have argued that stakes affect knowledge: a given amount of evidence may suffice for knowledge if the stakes are low, but not if the stakes are high. By contrast, empirical work on the influence of stakes on ordinary knowledge ascriptions has been divided along methodological lines: “evidence‐fixed” prompts rarely find stakes effects, while “evidence‐seeking” prompts consistently find them. We present a cross‐cultural study using both evidence‐fixed and evidence‐seeking prompts with a diverse sample of 17 populations in 11 countries, speaking 14 languages. Our study is the first to use an evidence‐seeking prompt cross‐culturally, and includes several previously untested populations (including indigenous populations). Across cultures, we do not find evidence of a stakes effect with our evidence‐fixed prompt, but do with our evidence‐seeking prompt. We argue that the divergent results reveal a tension within folk epistemology: people's beliefs about when it is appropriate to ascribe knowledge differ significantly from their actual practice in ascribing knowledge.
哲学家们认为,利害关系会影响知识:如果利害关系较小,一定量的证据就足以获得知识,但如果利害关系较大,则不然。相比之下,关于利害关系对普通知识描述的影响的实证研究则在方法论上存在分歧:"固定证据 "提示很少发现利害关系的影响,而 "寻求证据 "提示则总是发现利害关系的影响。我们在一项跨文化研究中同时使用了 "固定证据 "和 "寻求证据 "两种提示方法,研究对象是 11 个国家的 17 个不同人群,使用 14 种语言。我们的研究是首次跨文化使用 "证据搜寻 "提示,其中包括一些以前未经测试的人群(包括土著居民)。在不同文化中,我们的证据固定提示没有发现利害关系效应的证据,但我们的证据寻求提示却发现了利害关系效应。我们认为,这些不同的结果揭示了民间认识论中的一个矛盾:人们关于何时应该归因于知识的信念与他们归因于知识的实际做法大相径庭。
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引用次数: 0
Arithmetical pluralism and the objectivity of syntax 算术多元化与句法的客观性
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12510
Lavinia Picollo, Daniel Waxman
Arithmetical pluralism is the view that there is not one true arithmetic but rather many apparently conflicting arithmetical theories, each true in its own language. While pluralism has recently attracted considerable interest, it has also faced significant criticism. One powerful objection, which can be extracted from Parsons (2008), appeals to a categoricity result to argue against the possibility of seemingly conflicting true arithmetics. Another salient objection raised by Putnam (1994) and Koellner (2009) draws upon the arithmetization of syntax to argue that arithmetical pluralism is inconsistent with the objectivity of syntax. First, we review these arguments and explain why they ultimately fail. We then offer a novel, more sophisticated argument that avoids the pitfalls of both. Our argument combines strategies from both objections to show that pluralism about arithmetic entails pluralism about syntax. Finally, we explore the viability of pluralism in light of our argument and conclude that a stable pluralist position is coherent. This position allows for the possibility of rival packages of arithmetic and syntax theories, provided that they systematically co‐vary with one another.
算术多元论认为,并不存在一种真正的算术,而是存在许多表面上相互冲突的算术理论,每种理论都有自己的语言。多元论近来引起了相当大的兴趣,但也遭到了不少批评。帕森斯(2008 年)提出了一个强有力的反对意见,呼吁用分类结果来反驳看似相互冲突的真正算术的可能性。普特南(Putnam,1994 年)和科尔纳(Koellner,2009 年)提出的另一个突出的反对意见则以句法的算术化为基础,认为算术多元论与句法的客观性不一致。首先,我们回顾了这些论点,并解释了它们最终失败的原因。然后,我们提出了一个新颖、更复杂的论证,避免了这两种论证的缺陷。我们的论证结合了这两种反对意见的策略,以证明关于算术的多元论包含关于句法的多元论。最后,我们根据我们的论证探讨了多元论的可行性,并得出结论:稳定的多元论立场是一致的。只要算术理论和句法理论系统地共同变化,这种立场就允许存在相互对立的一揽子理论。
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引用次数: 0
The puzzle of mood rationality 情绪理性之谜
Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12517
Adam Bradley
Moods, orthodoxy holds, exist outside the space of reasons. A depressed subject may change their thoughts and behaviors as a result of their depression. But, according to this view, their mood gives them no genuine reason to do so. Instead, moods are mere causal influences on cognition. The issue is that moods, with their diffuse phenomenology, appear to lack intentionality (Directionlessness). But intentionality appears to be a necessary condition on rationality (The Content Constraint). Together, these principles conflict with the idea that moods are rational states of mind (Mood Rationality). The inconsistency of these three principles is the Puzzle of Mood Rationality. Now to many, this puzzle is hardly vexing: we should reject Mood Rationality. But, I argue, Mood Rationality is true despite its unpopularity. Thus, we need another way of resolving the puzzle. To do so, I distinguish intentionality as a first‐personal, phenomenological notion from representation as a third‐personal, cognitive scientific notion. I then argue that moods satisfy a revised version of the Content Constraint and sketch an account of moods as representational but non‐intentional mental states, drawing on the Valuationist paradigm in affective neuroscience. I end by showing how this account enables us to explain moods’ rationality.
正统观念认为,情绪存在于原因之外。抑郁者可能会因为抑郁而改变自己的想法和行为。但是,根据这种观点,他们的情绪并没有给他们提供这样做的真正理由。相反,情绪只是对认知的因果影响。问题在于,情绪的散漫现象似乎缺乏意向性(无方向性)。但意向性似乎是理性的必要条件(内容制约)。这些原则加在一起,与情绪是理性心态的观点(情绪理性)相冲突。这三个原则的不一致性就是 "情绪理性之谜"。现在,对许多人来说,这个谜题并不令人烦恼:我们应该拒绝情绪理性。但我认为,尽管情绪理性不受欢迎,但它却是真实的。因此,我们需要另一种方法来解决这个难题。为此,我将作为第一人称、现象学概念的意向性与作为第三人称、认知科学概念的表征区分开来。然后,我借鉴情感神经科学中的估值主义范式,论证了情绪满足修订版的 "内容制约"(Content Constraint),并勾勒出情绪作为表征性但非意向性心理状态的解释。最后,我将说明这种解释是如何让我们解释情绪的合理性的。
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引用次数: 0
Metaphysics of risk and luck 风险与运气的形而上学
Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12516
Jaakko Hirvelä
According to the modal account of luck it is a matter of luck that p if p is true at the actual world, but false in a wide‐range of nearby worlds. According to the modal account of risk, it is risky that p if p is true at some close world. I argue that the modal accounts of luck and risk do not mesh well together. The views entail that p can be both maximally risky and maximally lucky, but there is nothing which is both maximally lucky and maximally risky. I offer a novel theory of risk that fits together with the modal account of luck and demonstrate that it is both extensionally and formally superior to extant proposals.
根据 "运气 "的模态解释,如果 p 在实际世界中为真,而在附近的一系列世界中为假,那么 p 就是一个运气问题。根据风险的模态解释,如果p在某个近似世界中为真,那么p就是有风险的。我认为,关于运气和风险的模态解释并不能很好地融合在一起。这两种观点都会导致p既可能是风险最大的,也可能是运气最大的,但没有什么东西既是运气最大的,也是风险最大的。我提出了一种新的风险理论,它与运气的模态论述相吻合,并证明它在外延和形式上都优于现有的建议。
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引用次数: 0
How to be indifferent 如何做到无动于衷
Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12512
Sebastian Liu
According to the principle of indifference, when a set of possibilities is evidentially symmetric for you – when your evidence no more supports any one of the possibilities over any other – you're required to distribute your credences uniformly among them. Despite its intuitive appeal, the principle of indifference is often thought to be unsustainable due to the problem of multiple partitions: Depending on how a set of possibilities is divided, it seems that sometimes, applying indifference reasoning can require you to assign incompatible credences to equivalent possibilities. This paper defends the principle of indifference from the problem of multiple partitions by offering two guides for how to respond. The first is for permissivists about rationality, and is modeled on permissivists' arguments for the claim that a body of evidence sometimes does not uniquely determine a fully rational credence function. The second is for impermissivists about rationality, and is modeled on impermissivists' arguments for the claim that a body of evidence does always uniquely determine a fully rational credence function. What appears to be a decisive objection against the principle of indifference is in fact an instance of a general challenge taking different forms familiar to both permissivists and impermissivists.
根据 "冷漠原则",当一组可能性对你来说是证据对称的--当你的证据不再支持任何一种可能性时--你就必须在这些可能性中均匀地分配你的可信度。尽管 "冷漠原则 "具有直观的吸引力,但由于多重分区的问题,人们通常认为它是不可持续的:根据一组可能性的划分方式,似乎有时运用冷漠推理会要求你把不相容的可信度分配给等同的可能性。本文通过提供两个应对指南,从多重分割问题上为冷漠原则辩护。第一种指南是针对理性宽容论者的,以宽容论者的论证为模型,论证了证据体系有时并不能唯一地决定一个完全理性的可信度函数。第二种观点是针对理性的不允许论者的,是以不允许论者的论点为模型的,即证据总是唯一地决定完全理性的可信度函数。对漠视原则提出的看似决定性的反对意见,实际上是以允许论者和不允许论者都熟悉的不同形式提出的一般性挑战的一个实例。
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引用次数: 0
Rigidity and necessary application 刚性和必要的应用
Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12511
Mario Gómez‐Torrente
The question whether the notion of rigidity can be extended in a fruitful way beyond singular terms has received a standard answer in the literature, according to which non‐singular terms designate kinds, properties or other abstract singular objects, and generalized rigidity is the same thing as singular term rigidity, but for terms designating such objects. I offer some new criticisms of this view and go on to defend an alternative view, on which non‐singular terms designate extensions in general, and generalized rigidity is identity of extension across possible worlds. I develop some fundamental positive considerations that make this view virtually inevitable as a view of generalized rigidity, emphasizing its exclusive ability to offer a purely logical justification of the necessity of several kinds of statements that go beyond true identity statements between rigid singular terms.
关于 "刚性 "概念是否能以富有成效的方式扩展到奇异术语之外的问题,文献中给出了一个标准答案,即非奇异术语指代种类、属性或其他抽象奇异对象,广义刚性与奇异术语刚性是一回事,只不过是指代这类对象的术语。我对这一观点提出了一些新的批评,并进而为另一种观点辩护,根据这种观点,非奇异词一般指代外延,而广义刚性则是跨可能世界的外延同一性。我提出了一些基本的积极考虑,这些考虑使得这种观点作为广义刚性的观点几乎是不可避免的,并强调这种观点能够为几种陈述的必要性提供纯粹的逻辑证明,而这些陈述超越了刚性单数术语之间的真正同一性陈述。
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引用次数: 0
Epistemic practices: A unified account of epistemic and zetetic normativity 认识论实践:认识论和规范论的统一论述
Pub Date : 2024-06-23 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12514
Will Fleisher
This paper presents the epistemic practices account, a theory about the nature of epistemic normativity. The account aims to explain how the pursuit of epistemic values such as truth and knowledge can give rise to epistemic norms. On this account, epistemic norms are the internal rules of epistemic social practices. The account explains four crucial features of epistemic normativity while dissolving some apparent tensions between them. The account also provides a unified theory of epistemic and zetetic normativity.
本文介绍了关于认识规范性本质的理论--认识实践账户。该理论旨在解释对真理和知识等认识论价值的追求是如何产生认识论规范的。根据这一观点,认识规范是认识论社会实践的内部规则。这一观点解释了认识论规范性的四个关键特征,同时消解了它们之间的一些明显紧张关系。该观点还提供了认识规范性与泽提克规范性的统一理论。
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引用次数: 0
Moral understanding: From virtue to knowledge 道德理解:从美德到知识
Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12508
Miloud Belkoniene
This paper examines the nature of the specific grasp involved in moral understanding. After discussing Hills's ability account of that central component of moral understanding in light of problematic cases, I argue that moral grasp is best conceived of as a type of knowledge that is grounded in a subject's moral appreciation. I then show how and why the relevant notion of moral appreciation is connected to moral virtues and to one's affective and motivational engagement with moral reasons. Finally, I discuss the connection between moral appreciation and a subject's ability to offer moral explanations in relation to the debate between pessimists and optimists about moral understanding's testimonial transmission.
本文探讨了道德理解所涉及的具体把握的性质。在根据有问题的案例讨论了希尔斯对道德理解的这一核心要素的能力论述之后,我认为,道德把握最好被视为一种以主体的道德鉴赏为基础的知识。然后,我将说明道德鉴赏的相关概念是如何以及为什么与道德美德以及一个人对道德理由的情感和动机参与联系在一起的。最后,我结合悲观主义者和乐观主义者关于道德理解的见证传播的争论,讨论了道德鉴赏与主体提供道德解释的能力之间的联系。
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引用次数: 0
‘I didn't know it was you’: The impersonal grounds of relational normativity 我不知道是你》:关系规范性的非个人理由
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1111/nous.12498
Jed Lewinsohn
A notable feature of our moral and legal practices is the recognition of privileges, powers, and entitlements belonging to a select group of individuals in virtue of their status as victims of wrongful conduct. A philosophical literature on relational normativity purports to account for this status in terms of such notions as interests, rights, and attitudes of disregard. This paper argues that such individualistic notions cannot account for prevailing and intuitive ways of demarcating the class of victims. The paper is focused on the wrongful infliction of harm, and centers on the mediating role played by impersonal “danger‐making properties” in the determination of the class of victims. The paper begins with an analysis of one of the most well‐ known discussions of negligently‐inflicted harm — from the most famous case of the American common law tradition, Palsgraf v. Long Island Railroad Co. — and the analysis is then extended to the morality of harm‐doing more broadly, negligent and intentional alike. The paper's chief targets are interest theories of rights — including contractualist theories of moral claim‐rights of the kind defended by R. Jay Wallace — and neo‐Strawsonian Quality of Will theories of “moral injury”.
我们的道德和法律实践的一个显著特点是承认特定群体因其不法行为受害者的身份而享有特权、权力和权利。关于关系规范性的哲学文献试图从利益、权利和漠视态度等概念的角度来解释这种地位。本文认为,这种个人主义的概念无法解释划分受害者类别的普遍和直观的方式。本文以不法侵害为研究对象,重点探讨非个人的 "危险制造属性 "在确定受害者类别时所发挥的中介作用。本文首先分析了美国普通法传统中最著名的帕尔斯格拉夫诉长岛铁路公司案中最广为人知的关于过失致人损害的论述,然后将分析扩展到更广义的伤害行为的道德问题,无论是过失还是故意。本文的主要研究对象是权利的利益理论--包括杰伊-华莱士(R. Jay Wallace)所捍卫的那种道德请求权的契约主义理论--以及新斯特劳森意志品质(neo-Strawsonian Quality of Will)的 "道德伤害 "理论。
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引用次数: 0
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