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Measuring the strength of trade unions and identifying the privileged groups: A two-dimensional approach and its implementation 衡量工会力量和确定特权群体:一种二维方法及其实施
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2018-04-10 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2018.1449110
R. G. Koçer
ABSTRACT Trade unions were important actors in the advanced capitalist countries until the late 1970s, but since the 1980s, union membership is declining. Whether this decline has been homogenous is crucial. Because unions may still have power and non-homogenous decline implies that some groups benefit from this power disproportionately. However, we don’t have instruments to scrutinize this dynamic properly. To fill the gap, this study develops a model that identifies privileged groups within trade unions by informing us about the relative strength of a group within trade unions, the ability of this group to use the union power, and the extent to which union members belonging to the group would advance the interests of the entire group by using this power.
直到20世纪70年代末,工会在发达资本主义国家中一直是重要的角色,但自20世纪80年代以来,工会成员数量正在下降。这种下降是否同质化至关重要。因为工会可能仍然有权力,而非同质化的衰落意味着一些群体从这种权力中获得了不成比例的利益。然而,我们没有工具来仔细检查这种动态。为了填补这一空白,本研究开发了一个模型,通过告知我们工会内部某个群体的相对实力、该群体使用工会权力的能力以及属于该群体的工会成员通过使用这种权力来促进整个群体利益的程度,来识别工会内部的特权群体。
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引用次数: 4
Age-structured social interactions enhance radicalization 年龄结构的社会互动增强了激进化
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2018-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2018.1448975
Y. Chuang, T. Chou, M. D’Orsogna
ABSTRACT Disaffected youth are among the most susceptible in espousing extremist ideals, as confirmed by demographic studies. We study age-dependent radicalization via a three-stage model where individuals progress through non-radical, activist, and radical states while also aging. Transitions are modeled as age-dependent interactions that are maximized for individuals of the same age and that are enhanced at early adulthood. For comparison, we also derive the age-independent formulation corresponding to our model. We find that age dependence enhances radicalization and leads to waves of radical behavior ebbing and flowing over generational cycles, realizing well-known sociological paradigms. While government intervention is most effective when the appropriate ages are targeted, whether preventive or corrective action is preferable depends on the aggressiveness of the radicalization process.
人口学研究证实,心怀不满的年轻人是最容易拥护极端主义理想的人群之一。我们通过一个三阶段模型来研究年龄依赖的激进化,在这个模型中,个人在衰老的同时经历了非激进、激进和激进的状态。过渡被建模为年龄依赖的相互作用,这种相互作用在相同年龄的个体中最大化,并在成年早期得到加强。为了比较,我们还推导出与我们的模型相对应的年龄无关的公式。我们发现,年龄依赖性增强了激进化,并导致激进行为的浪潮在代际循环中起起落落,实现了众所周知的社会学范式。虽然政府干预在针对适当的年龄时最为有效,但预防行动还是纠正行动更可取取决于激进化进程的侵略性。
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引用次数: 13
A dynamic process interpretation of the sparse ERGM reference model 稀疏ERGM参考模型的动态过程解释
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2018-01-30 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2018.1490737
C. Butts
ABSTRACT Exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) can be understood in terms of a set of structural biases that act on an underlying reference distribution. This distribution determines many aspects of the behavior and interpretation of the ERGM families incorporating it. One important innovation in this area has been the development of an ERGM reference model that produces realistic behavior when generalized to sparse networks of varying sizes. Here, we show that this model can be derived from a latent dynamic process in which tie formation takes place within small local settings between which individuals move. This derivation provides one possible micro-process interpretation of the sparse ERGM reference model and sheds light on the conditions under which constant mean degree scaling can emerge.
指数族随机图模型(ergm)可以被理解为一组作用于底层参考分布的结构偏差。这种分布决定了包含它的ERGM家族的行为和解释的许多方面。该领域的一个重要创新是开发了一个ERGM参考模型,该模型在推广到不同规模的稀疏网络时产生了真实的行为。在这里,我们表明这个模型可以从一个潜在的动态过程中推导出来,在这个过程中,纽带的形成发生在个体移动的小局部环境中。这一推导为稀疏ERGM参考模型提供了一种可能的微过程解释,并揭示了恒定平均度标度可以出现的条件。
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引用次数: 14
Labor market underrepresentation results in minority discrimination: A dynamic hiring model with employer learning 劳动力市场代表性不足导致少数族裔歧视:一个具有雇主学习的动态招聘模型
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2018-01-29 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2018.1425299
D. Kretschmer
ABSTRACT This paper develops a dynamic model of minority labor market discrimination. Employers repeatedly decide to hire either minority or majority job candidates whose productivities are unobservable beforehand. Hiring decisions are based on productivity expectations derived from the observable productivity of employers’ previously hired workers. If employers have fewer minority workers initially—a plausible assumption for (numerical) minorities—they discriminate against minority workers over time. Discrimination results from more dispersed minority expectations across the employer population and stronger effects of additional productivity observations on minority expectations. Both effects are a direct consequence of the minority’s initial underrepresentation in firms. I demonstrate the emergence of minority discrimination formally in a two-period hiring model and show simulation results for longer time frames.
摘要本文建立了一个少数民族劳动力市场歧视的动态模型。雇主们一再决定雇佣少数族裔或多数族裔的求职者,因为他们的工作效率事先是无法观察到的。雇佣决定是基于从雇主以前雇佣的工人的可观察到的生产力中得出的生产率预期。如果雇主最初雇佣的少数族裔员工较少——这是对(数量上)少数族裔的合理假设——那么随着时间的推移,他们就会歧视少数族裔员工。歧视源于雇主群体中对少数族裔的期望更分散,以及额外的生产率观察对少数族裔期望的更强影响。这两种效应都是少数族裔最初在公司中代表性不足的直接后果。我在一个两期招聘模型中正式展示了少数族裔歧视的出现,并展示了更长时间框架的模拟结果。
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引用次数: 0
Media pressures on Welsh language preservation 媒体对威尔士语保护的压力
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2017.1396984
J. Wyburn
ABSTRACT Despite compulsory school instruction in the Welsh language and strong cultural incentives to acquire the language, the most recent UK Census showed a downward trend in the number of speakers. The asymmetry in explicit language acquisition incentives is here considered to be offset by the media dominance of the English language. This dominance is modeled by the introduction of time-dependent connectivity and infectivity among English speakers into an adapted epidemiological model. Extrapolations up to 2050 are made, this being the announced date of a Welsh Assembly language-planning target of one million Welsh speakers.
尽管威尔士语是强制性的学校教学,并且有很强的文化激励来学习这种语言,但最近的英国人口普查显示,说威尔士语的人数呈下降趋势。外显语言习得动机的不对称被英语在媒体中的主导地位所抵消。这种优势是通过将英语使用者之间的时间依赖性连通性和传染性引入适应性流行病学模型来建模的。预计到2050年,也就是威尔士议会宣布的100万威尔士语使用者的语言规划目标日期。
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引用次数: 7
Melioration learning in iterated public goods games: The impact of exploratory noise 迭代公共产品游戏中的改进学习:探索性噪音的影响
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2018-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2017.1396983
Johannes Zschache
ABSTRACT Experimental observations in iterated public goods games are explained by a simple but empirically well-grounded model of long-term reinforcement learning. In many experiments, medium levels of cooperation at the beginning decrease with further repetitions. However, in some settings, the actors only slowly learn the individual benefits of defection. In the present model, the decay in cooperation is mitigated by high individual returns, a large group size or stability in the group’s composition. Results from agent-based simulations are presented, and the underlying mechanisms are disclosed. The proposed explanation stresses the role of exploratory noise: if multiple actors explore their alternatives simultaneously, the marginal benefit of defection diminishes and cooperation can be sustained.
迭代公共产品博弈中的实验观察可以用一个简单但经验基础良好的长期强化学习模型来解释。在许多实验中,随着进一步的重复,开始时的中等合作水平会下降。然而,在某些情况下,演员只是慢慢地了解到背叛的个人利益。在目前的模型中,合作的衰减被高个人回报、大群体规模或群体组成的稳定性所缓解。给出了基于智能体的仿真结果,并揭示了其潜在机制。提出的解释强调探索性噪声的作用:如果多个参与者同时探索他们的替代方案,背叛的边际效益会减少,合作可以持续。
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引用次数: 1
A note on the H index in random networks 关于随机网络中H指数的注解
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2017-11-27 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2017.1403438
Y. Shang
ABSTRACT The H index, also known as Hirsch index, quantifies and compares the citation impact of scientific researchers. In the general context of networks, we define a node as a leader if its H index is not less than the average of the H indices of its neighbors. We show that in a randomly connected network, the proportion of leaders is almost always close to a half.
摘要H指数,也称为赫希指数,用于量化和比较科研人员的引用影响。在网络的一般上下文中,如果节点的H指数不小于其邻居的H指数的平均值,则我们将其定义为领导者。我们发现,在一个随机连接的网络中,领导者的比例几乎总是接近一半。
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引用次数: 4
No place like home: Opinion formation with homophily and implications for policy decisions 没有地方像家一样:具有同质性的意见形成和对政策决定的影响
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2017-11-13 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2017.1399374
A. Önder, Marco Portmann, D. Stadelmann
ABSTRACT We set up an opinion diffusion model with a local opinion leader, and using simulations we show the possibility of driving a significant wedge between the opinions of two groups that exhibit homophily although individuals are highly conformist. There exists an opinion gap between the group to which the opinion leader belongs and the other group. This opinion gap increases according to the relative size of the residence community. We show empirical traits related to our simulation: Employing Swiss national referenda data from 2008 to 2012, we show that members of parliament match referenda outcomes in their residence communities closer than they do in neighboring communities and that this wedge interacts significantly with the relative size of the residence community.
摘要:我们建立了一个具有本地意见领袖的意见扩散模型,并通过模拟表明,尽管个体高度顺从,但在表现出同质性的两个群体的意见之间存在显著分歧的可能性。意见领袖所属的群体与其他群体之间存在意见差距。这种意见差距随着居住社区的相对规模而增加。我们展示了与我们的模拟相关的经验特征:使用2008年至2012年的瑞士全国公民投票数据,我们表明,议会成员在其居住社区的公民投票结果比在邻近社区的结果更接近,并且这种楔形与居住社区的相对规模显著相互作用。
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引用次数: 3
A perfect sampling method for exponential family random graph models 指数族随机图模型的一种完美抽样方法
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2017-10-08 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2017.1396985
C. Butts
ABSTRACT Generation of deviates from random graph models with nontrivial edge dependence is an increasingly important problem. Here, we introduce a method which allows perfect sampling from random graph models in exponential family form (“exponential family random graph” models), using a variant of Coupling From The Past. We illustrate the use of the method via an application to the Markov graphs, a family that has been the subject of considerable research. We also show how the method can be applied to a variant of the biased net models, which are not exponentially parameterized.
具有非平凡边缘依赖性的偏离随机图模型的生成是一个越来越重要的问题。在这里,我们介绍了一种方法,该方法允许从指数族形式的随机图模型(“指数族随机图”模型)中进行完美采样,使用来自过去的耦合的变体。我们通过在马尔可夫图中的应用来说明该方法的使用,马尔可夫图族一直是大量研究的主题。我们还展示了该方法如何应用于非指数参数化的有偏网络模型的变体。
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引用次数: 17
Illuminating Dark Networks: The Study of Clandestine Groups and Organizations by Luke M. Gerdes 《照亮黑暗网络:秘密团体和组织的研究》作者:Luke M. Gerdes
IF 1 4区 社会学 Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2017-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/0022250X.2017.1382165
Zack W. Almquist
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Mathematical Sociology
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