首页 > 最新文献

Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans最新文献

英文 中文
MIKE21-based reservoir water quality enhancement simulation study: The case of Miyun Reservoir, China 基于mike21的水库水质改善模拟研究——以密云水库为例
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101610
Xianqi Zhang , He Ren , Jiawen Liu , Yang Yang , Yike Liu
Global climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events are exacerbating environmental degradation and water resource challenges. Given the complexity of reservoirs, it is important to assess the impact on reservoir water quality enhancement through testing. In this study, the hydrodynamic-water quality module coupling was constructed with the help of MIKE21 software and applied to Miyun Reservoir, and the improved water quality enhancement was subsequently validated and three different scenarios were evaluated for water quality. The results showed a significant improvement in water quality in the reservoirs with an average improvement rate of 38.65 %, and pollutant concentrations diffused towards the center of the reservoir in a gradient. The water quality is best improved when the flow rate was doubled and the duration of recharge was reduced by 50 %. In conclusion, the water quality enhancement effect of this study is of great significance for other reservoirs to improve water quality and protect the ecosystem.
全球气候变化和极端天气事件的日益频繁加剧了环境退化和水资源挑战。考虑到水库的复杂性,通过测试评估对水库水质改善的影响是非常重要的。本研究利用MIKE21软件构建水动力-水质模块耦合,并应用于密云水库,对改善后的水质进行了验证,并对3种不同的水质情景进行了评价。结果表明,水库水质得到明显改善,平均改善率为38.65 %,污染物浓度呈梯度向水库中心扩散。当流量增加一倍,回灌时间减少50% %时,水质改善效果最好。综上所述,本研究的水质改善效果对其他水库改善水质、保护生态系统具有重要意义。
{"title":"MIKE21-based reservoir water quality enhancement simulation study: The case of Miyun Reservoir, China","authors":"Xianqi Zhang ,&nbsp;He Ren ,&nbsp;Jiawen Liu ,&nbsp;Yang Yang ,&nbsp;Yike Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101610","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101610","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Global climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events are exacerbating environmental degradation and water resource challenges. Given the complexity of reservoirs, it is important to assess the impact on reservoir water quality enhancement through testing. In this study, the hydrodynamic-water quality module coupling was constructed with the help of MIKE21 software and applied to Miyun Reservoir, and the improved water quality enhancement was subsequently validated and three different scenarios were evaluated for water quality. The results showed a significant improvement in water quality in the reservoirs with an average improvement rate of 38.65 %, and pollutant concentrations diffused towards the center of the reservoir in a gradient. The water quality is best improved when the flow rate was doubled and the duration of recharge was reduced by 50 %. In conclusion, the water quality enhancement effect of this study is of great significance for other reservoirs to improve water quality and protect the ecosystem.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101610"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145466124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Influence of Cattaneo-Christov radiative heat flux in magnetized flow performance of three different materials with variable constraints 变约束条件下三种不同材料磁化流性能的影响
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101608
Muhammad Yasir , Karim Choubani , Muhammad Naveed Khan , Mohammed A. Almeshaal , Mohamed Hussien
The phase change transition aspects in various non-Newtonian fluid flow analyses have been examined, motivated by the progressive relaxation properties of flow and its applied benefits in the rheological characterization of various dynamic fluids. A thermal radiation-based mechanism with mass diffusion process and magnetized flow properties of three significant models of micropolar fluid, Casson fluid, and Maxwell fluid are briefly analyzed in this study. The melting heat transport phenomenon of all fluids is briefly explained with variables physical characteristics based on exponential function. By taking the medium of a stretched sheet, the radiative flow problem is scrutinized under the theory of boundary layer. Moreover, significant theory of Cattaneo Christov is imposed through modified Fourier and Ficks laws to discuss the thermal process and mass diffusion phenomenon. The physical factor of viscous dissipation along with thermal radiation is also incorporated. The velocity slip constraint is taken on the boundary surface. By taking both weak and strong concentrations of microparticles, the physical characteristics of micropolar fluid along with other Maxwell fluid and Casson fluid are graphically exhibited through bvp4c technique in MATLAB package. This comparative study yields the fact that radiation parameter significantly upsurges the temperature field of Casson fluid as compared to other fluids.
由于流动的渐进弛豫特性及其在各种动态流体流变学表征中的应用优势,研究了各种非牛顿流体流动分析中的相变方面。本文简要分析了三种重要的微极流体、Casson流体和Maxwell流体模型的热辐射质量扩散机理和磁化流动特性。以指数函数为基础,用变量物理特性对所有流体的熔融传热现象作了简要解释。以被拉伸薄片为介质,在边界层理论下研究了辐射流动问题。此外,通过修正傅里叶定律和菲克斯定律,引入了Cattaneo Christov的重要理论来讨论热过程和质量扩散现象。此外,还考虑了伴随热辐射的粘性耗散的物理因素。在边界面上取速度滑移约束。通过MATLAB软件包中的bvp4c技术,以微极流体以及其他麦克斯韦流体和卡森流体的弱、强浓度为条件,图形化地展示了微极流体的物理特性。对比研究发现,与其他流体相比,卡森流体的辐射参数使其温度场显著升高。
{"title":"Influence of Cattaneo-Christov radiative heat flux in magnetized flow performance of three different materials with variable constraints","authors":"Muhammad Yasir ,&nbsp;Karim Choubani ,&nbsp;Muhammad Naveed Khan ,&nbsp;Mohammed A. Almeshaal ,&nbsp;Mohamed Hussien","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101608","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101608","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The phase change transition aspects in various non-Newtonian fluid flow analyses have been examined, motivated by the progressive relaxation properties of flow and its applied benefits in the rheological characterization of various dynamic fluids. A thermal radiation-based mechanism with mass diffusion process and magnetized flow properties of three significant models of micropolar fluid, Casson fluid, and Maxwell fluid are briefly analyzed in this study. The melting heat transport phenomenon of all fluids is briefly explained with variables physical characteristics based on exponential function. By taking the medium of a stretched sheet, the radiative flow problem is scrutinized under the theory of boundary layer. Moreover, significant theory of Cattaneo Christov is imposed through modified Fourier and Ficks laws to discuss the thermal process and mass diffusion phenomenon. The physical factor of viscous dissipation along with thermal radiation is also incorporated. The velocity slip constraint is taken on the boundary surface. By taking both weak and strong concentrations of microparticles, the physical characteristics of micropolar fluid along with other Maxwell fluid and Casson fluid are graphically exhibited through bvp4c technique in MATLAB package. This comparative study yields the fact that radiation parameter significantly upsurges the temperature field of Casson fluid as compared to other fluids.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101608"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145362473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Initiation of quasi-biweekly oscillation over the equatorial western pacific during El Niño and La Niña developing summers El Niño和La Niña发展夏季期间赤道西太平洋准双周振荡的开始
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101606
Kuiping Li , Keyi Wang
The quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) represents a significant sub-seasonal variability in the tropical atmosphere, exerting profound impacts on weather and climate systems across the northwestern Pacific. This study investigates the distinct initiation mechanisms of QBWO convection during boreal summers (June-July-August-September) under El Niño and La Niña developing conditions. In La Niña summers, the initiation of QBWO convection is characterized by weaker activity and shallow convection in the initiation region (150°-170°E, 5°S-5°N), which is preconditioned by westward-moving moisture precursors. Subsequently, QBWO convection travels westward along the equator before eventually evolves into deep convection and triggers a distinct forced equatorial Rossby wave response. In contrast, during El Niño summers, QBWO convection initiates more vigorously, manifesting as deep convection right from the onset. A notable Rossby wave response is observed as convection develops, but unlike in La Niña years, the initiation is not preceded by a precursory moisture signal. Instead, it is triggered by a baroclinic divergence field at the equator, which is intricately linked to the meridional winds associated with double unstable developing Rossby wave cells in both hemispheres. These marked disparities in QBWO convection initiation between La Niña and El Niño years are likely attributable to ENSO-induced interannual variations in atmospheric circulation, particularly concerning vertical wind shear and moisture availability. Our findings not only advance the understanding of QBWO initiation dynamics but also shed light on its interannual modulation, thereby offering potential improvements for sub-seasonal climate predictability in tropical regions.
准双周振荡(QBWO)代表了热带大气中显著的亚季节变化,对西北太平洋的天气和气候系统产生深远影响。本文研究了El Niño和La Niña发展条件下北方夏季(6 - 7 - 8 - 9月)QBWO对流的不同启动机制。在La Niña夏季,QBWO对流的起始区(150°-170°E, 5°S-5°N)具有较弱的活动性和较浅的对流,这是西进水汽前兆的先决条件。随后,QBWO对流沿赤道向西移动,最终演变为深部对流,触发明显的强迫赤道罗斯比波响应。相比之下,在El Niño夏季,QBWO对流开始更加活跃,从一开始就表现为深对流。在对流发展过程中观察到显著的罗斯比波响应,但与La Niña年不同的是,在对流开始之前没有前兆水分信号。相反,它是由赤道的斜压散场引发的,这与两个半球的双重不稳定发展的罗斯比波细胞相关的经向风有着复杂的联系。La Niña年和El Niño年之间QBWO对流启动的显著差异可能归因于enso引起的大气环流年际变化,特别是在垂直风切变和水分可利用性方面。我们的研究结果不仅促进了对QBWO启动动力学的理解,而且揭示了其年际调节,从而为热带地区亚季节气候的可预测性提供了潜在的改进。
{"title":"Initiation of quasi-biweekly oscillation over the equatorial western pacific during El Niño and La Niña developing summers","authors":"Kuiping Li ,&nbsp;Keyi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101606","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101606","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The quasi-biweekly oscillation (QBWO) represents a significant sub-seasonal variability in the tropical atmosphere, exerting profound impacts on weather and climate systems across the northwestern Pacific. This study investigates the distinct initiation mechanisms of QBWO convection during boreal summers (June-July-August-September) under El Niño and La Niña developing conditions. In La Niña summers, the initiation of QBWO convection is characterized by weaker activity and shallow convection in the initiation region (150°-170°E, 5°S-5°N), which is preconditioned by westward-moving moisture precursors. Subsequently, QBWO convection travels westward along the equator before eventually evolves into deep convection and triggers a distinct forced equatorial Rossby wave response. In contrast, during El Niño summers, QBWO convection initiates more vigorously, manifesting as deep convection right from the onset. A notable Rossby wave response is observed as convection develops, but unlike in La Niña years, the initiation is not preceded by a precursory moisture signal. Instead, it is triggered by a baroclinic divergence field at the equator, which is intricately linked to the meridional winds associated with double unstable developing Rossby wave cells in both hemispheres. These marked disparities in QBWO convection initiation between La Niña and El Niño years are likely attributable to ENSO-induced interannual variations in atmospheric circulation, particularly concerning vertical wind shear and moisture availability. Our findings not only advance the understanding of QBWO initiation dynamics but also shed light on its interannual modulation, thereby offering potential improvements for sub-seasonal climate predictability in tropical regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101606"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145362472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Storm surge spatio-temporal modelling using machine learning on the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula 尤卡坦半岛东海岸使用机器学习的风暴潮时空模型
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101605
Alberto Alatriste-Domínguez , Zobeida Jezabel Guzmán-Zavaleta , José Manuel Cabrera-Miranda
Developing countries lie vulnerable to increasingly intense tropical cyclones. The storm surge caused by nine tropical cyclones is analyzed using machine learning models. The tropical cyclones’ data is transformed into an eight-feature dataset. A fitted artificial neural network (ANN) and eight categories of other machine learning models are constructed and trained with the dataset. The effect and performance of forecasting windows is assessed. The fitted ANN and Ensemble Boosted Trees were the best performing models, as they reach an RMSE as low as 2 cm. The models manage to extract the relationships between the parameters due to their performance on the unknown testing dataset. The models are then assessed in a spatio-temporal scenario on historical tropical cyclones. This application develops insights into its response’s adjustment to observed elevations along the coast. Overall, the models accurately estimate the extent and duration of the storm surge where tide stations are present and highlight regions of potential interest due to higher storm surges for research and resource investment. This work contributes towards the application of ML models in developing countries with low infrastructure density and data availability, by increasing spatial density of the storm surge data, with the benefit of low computational costs.
发展中国家容易受到日益强烈的热带气旋的影响。使用机器学习模型分析由九个热带气旋引起的风暴潮。热带气旋的数据被转换成一个八个特征的数据集。利用该数据集构建并训练了拟合的人工神经网络(ANN)和其他八类机器学习模型。评估了预测窗口的效果和性能。拟合的ANN和Ensemble boosting Trees是表现最好的模型,因为它们的RMSE低至2 cm。由于参数在未知测试数据集上的表现,模型设法提取参数之间的关系。然后在历史热带气旋的时空情景中对这些模式进行评估。该应用程序深入了解其响应对沿海观测高度的调整。总的来说,这些模型准确地估计了存在潮站的风暴潮的范围和持续时间,并突出了由于风暴潮较高而可能引起研究和资源投资兴趣的区域。这项工作有助于ML模型在基础设施密度低和数据可用性低的发展中国家的应用,方法是增加风暴潮数据的空间密度,并带来低计算成本的好处。
{"title":"Storm surge spatio-temporal modelling using machine learning on the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula","authors":"Alberto Alatriste-Domínguez ,&nbsp;Zobeida Jezabel Guzmán-Zavaleta ,&nbsp;José Manuel Cabrera-Miranda","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101605","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101605","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Developing countries lie vulnerable to increasingly intense tropical cyclones. The storm surge caused by nine tropical cyclones is analyzed using machine learning models. The tropical cyclones’ data is transformed into an eight-feature dataset. A fitted artificial neural network (ANN) and eight categories of other machine learning models are constructed and trained with the dataset. The effect and performance of forecasting windows is assessed. The fitted ANN and Ensemble Boosted Trees were the best performing models, as they reach an RMSE as low as 2 cm. The models manage to extract the relationships between the parameters due to their performance on the unknown testing dataset. The models are then assessed in a spatio-temporal scenario on historical tropical cyclones. This application develops insights into its response’s adjustment to observed elevations along the coast. Overall, the models accurately estimate the extent and duration of the storm surge where tide stations are present and highlight regions of potential interest due to higher storm surges for research and resource investment. This work contributes towards the application of ML models in developing countries with low infrastructure density and data availability, by increasing spatial density of the storm surge data, with the benefit of low computational costs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101605"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145362474","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Various approximations of mathematical models of planetary internal gravity waves in the f-plane approximation f平面近似中行星内部重力波数学模型的各种近似
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101604
Robert G. Zakinyan, Andrey V. Chernyshov, Arthur R. Zakinyan
The paper proposes a mathematical model describing the propagation of internal inertial-gravity waves (IIGWs) in a stratified atmosphere. The necessity to propose a novel mathematical model stems from the fact that, as shown in the paper, the temperature disturbance field in the existing mathematical models depicting internal gravity waves (IGWs) in the incompressible fluid and anelastic gas approximations is not consistent with the temperature disturbance field derived from the heat conduction equation. In these models, the temperature field is obtained from the diagnostic Boussinesq relation, which states a direct proportionality between the density disturbance (or potential temperature disturbance) and the temperature disturbance. The temperature field in the compressible fluid approximation is consistent, yet it also describes the acoustic spectrum. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model describing the IIGWs in the compressible fluid approximation. In this model, the temperature field is consistent with the heat conduction equation, and the acoustic spectrum is absent. The paper also proposes a general mathematical model for the propagation of IIGWs in a baroclinic atmosphere. This model differs from the compressible fluid approximation in that the state of an air parcel is described not by the adiabatic equation, but by the Mendeleev–Clapeyron equation.
本文提出了一个描述内部惯性重力波(IIGWs)在分层大气中传播的数学模型。提出一种新的数学模型的必要性在于,如本文所示,现有的描述不可压缩流体和非弹性气体近似中的内重力波的数学模型中的温度扰动场与由热传导方程导出的温度扰动场不一致。在这些模型中,温度场由诊断Boussinesq关系获得,该关系表明密度扰动(或势温扰动)与温度扰动成正比关系。可压缩流体近似中的温度场是一致的,但它也描述了声谱。在本文中,我们提出了一个在可压缩流体近似中描述iigw的数学模型。在该模型中,温度场与热传导方程一致,声谱缺失。本文还提出了斜压大气中iigw传播的一般数学模型。这个模型与可压缩流体近似的不同之处在于,空气包的状态不是由绝热方程描述的,而是由门捷列夫-克拉珀龙方程描述的。
{"title":"Various approximations of mathematical models of planetary internal gravity waves in the f-plane approximation","authors":"Robert G. Zakinyan,&nbsp;Andrey V. Chernyshov,&nbsp;Arthur R. Zakinyan","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101604","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101604","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The paper proposes a mathematical model describing the propagation of internal inertial-gravity waves (IIGWs) in a stratified atmosphere. The necessity to propose a novel mathematical model stems from the fact that, as shown in the paper, the temperature disturbance field in the existing mathematical models depicting internal gravity waves (IGWs) in the incompressible fluid and anelastic gas approximations is not consistent with the temperature disturbance field derived from the heat conduction equation. In these models, the temperature field is obtained from the diagnostic Boussinesq relation, which states a direct proportionality between the density disturbance (or potential temperature disturbance) and the temperature disturbance. The temperature field in the compressible fluid approximation is consistent, yet it also describes the acoustic spectrum. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model describing the IIGWs in the compressible fluid approximation. In this model, the temperature field is consistent with the heat conduction equation, and the acoustic spectrum is absent. The paper also proposes a general mathematical model for the propagation of IIGWs in a baroclinic atmosphere. This model differs from the compressible fluid approximation in that the state of an air parcel is described not by the adiabatic equation, but by the Mendeleev–Clapeyron equation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101604"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145321505","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessment of precipitation reanalysis product ERA5 on summer extreme precipitation in the Yellow River Basin 降水再分析产品ERA5对黄河流域夏季极端降水的评价
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101603
Guangyu Lan, Yun Liang, Yucheng Ma
Based on the rain gauge-based gridded precipitation data from the CN05.1 dataset, the applicability of ERA5 in representing summer extreme precipitation in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) was evaluated from three aspects: climatology, deterministic and probabilistic assessment, and the spatiotemporal characteristics of the leading modes. The results showed that the ERA5 reanalysis demonstrates capability in capturing climatological characteristics of precipitation and extreme precipitation over the YRB, albeit with intensified climatological means and standard deviations, coupled with opposing linear trends. In terms of interannual variability, its precipitation estimates demonstrate notably higher accuracy in the recent decade compared to earlier periods. Deterministic evaluation reveals superior representation of general precipitation compared to intense precipitation. Probabilistic assessments indicate that uncertainties predominantly originate from the upper and northern middle reaches of the YRB, accompanied by systematic biases in probabilistic estimations of increased extreme precipitation amounts and decreased extreme precipitation days. While ERA5 successfully reproduces spatial patterns of the first two dominant modes of precipitation and extreme precipitation across the YRB, it amplifies anomalous signals. ERA5 accurately simulates interannual cycles associated with the first mode, but introduces spurious decadal signals in the second mode's temporal evolution.
基于CN05.1雨量计格点降水资料,从气候学、确定性和概率评估以及主要模态的时空特征三个方面,对ERA5表征黄河流域夏季极端降水的适用性进行了评价。结果表明,ERA5再分析具有较强的气候平均值和标准差,并伴有相反的线性趋势,但能较好地捕捉到青藏高原降水和极端降水的气候特征。就年际变率而言,其降水估计在最近十年中显示出与早期相比显著更高的准确性。确定性评价表明一般降水比强降水具有更好的代表性。概率评估表明,不确定性主要来自长江三角洲中上游和中北部,在极端降水量增加和极端降水日数减少的概率估计中存在系统偏差。虽然ERA5成功地再现了YRB前两种主要降水模态和极端降水模态的空间格局,但它放大了异常信号。ERA5准确地模拟了与第一模态相关的年际周期,但在第二模态的时间演变中引入了伪年代际信号。
{"title":"Assessment of precipitation reanalysis product ERA5 on summer extreme precipitation in the Yellow River Basin","authors":"Guangyu Lan,&nbsp;Yun Liang,&nbsp;Yucheng Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101603","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101603","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Based on the rain gauge-based gridded precipitation data from the CN05.1 dataset, the applicability of ERA5 in representing summer extreme precipitation in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) was evaluated from three aspects: climatology, deterministic and probabilistic assessment, and the spatiotemporal characteristics of the leading modes. The results showed that the ERA5 reanalysis demonstrates capability in capturing climatological characteristics of precipitation and extreme precipitation over the YRB, albeit with intensified climatological means and standard deviations, coupled with opposing linear trends. In terms of interannual variability, its precipitation estimates demonstrate notably higher accuracy in the recent decade compared to earlier periods. Deterministic evaluation reveals superior representation of general precipitation compared to intense precipitation. Probabilistic assessments indicate that uncertainties predominantly originate from the upper and northern middle reaches of the YRB, accompanied by systematic biases in probabilistic estimations of increased extreme precipitation amounts and decreased extreme precipitation days. While ERA5 successfully reproduces spatial patterns of the first two dominant modes of precipitation and extreme precipitation across the YRB, it amplifies anomalous signals. ERA5 accurately simulates interannual cycles associated with the first mode, but introduces spurious decadal signals in the second mode's temporal evolution.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101603"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145362471","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Moisture build-up and thermodynamic processes in precipitation regimes during the southwest monsoon over a tropical coastal region 热带沿海地区西南季风降水过程中的水汽积累和热力过程
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101601
Anusha Andrews , E.A. Resmi , R.K. Sumesh , Sneha Sunil , A.R. Aswini , Nita Sukumar , Sumit Kumar , A. Sabarinath , Tejavath Charan Teja , Dharmadas Jash
The thermodynamical and microphysical characteristics of precipitation systems in shallow, Bright Band (BB), and Non-Bright Band (NBB) categories over a coastal site in Thiruvananthapuram, India were investigated. Radar reflectivity and fall velocity profiles, and surface rain rates were utilized to categorize the precipitation systems in June-July 2022. Shallow and NBB events exhibit a significant increase in humidity within the 4–8 km layer around 10–20 min prior to the onset of precipitation. In contrast, BB events maintain a deeper humid layer extending from the surface up to 8 km, with high liquid water content observed at least 30 min before precipitation, supporting widespread precipitation over the coastal region. In both NBB and shallow events, a sharp increase in liquid water path, integrated water vapor, and convective available potential energy (CAPE) occurred ∼10 min before rainfall onset. The substantially higher magnitudes of moisture and instability parameters in NBB systems indicate convective development, while the relatively lower values in shallow systems reflect weak instability and limited vertical growth, resulting in short-lived, low-intensity precipitation. BB systems maintained elevated and steady moisture with minimal variation in CAPE, supporting prolonged stratiform rain. The study shows that shallow systems are primarily influenced by low-level moisture, whereas BB and NBB systems rely on deeper mid- and upper-tropospheric moisture to sustain precipitation. CAPE influences rain rates and raindrop size distributions, with NBB events pronounced response, marked by intense rainfall and broader drop spectra.
研究了印度Thiruvananthapuram沿海站点浅层、明亮带(BB)和非明亮带(NBB)降水系统的热力和微物理特征。利用雷达反射率、下降速度剖面和地表降雨率对2022年6 - 7月的降水系统进行了分类。在降水开始前10-20 min左右,浅层和NBB事件在4-8 km层内表现出显著的湿度增加。相比之下,BB事件维持了从地表延伸至8 km的较深湿润层,在降水前至少30 min观测到高液态水含量,支持沿海地区的广泛降水。在NBB和浅层事件中,液态水路径、综合水汽和对流有效势能(CAPE)在降雨开始前约10 min急剧增加。NBB系统中较高的水汽和不稳定参数值表明对流发展,而浅层系统中相对较低的数值反映了较弱的不稳定和有限的垂直增长,导致短时、低强度降水。BB系统在CAPE变化极小的情况下保持了较高和稳定的湿度,支持了长时间的层状雨。研究表明,浅层系统主要受低层水汽的影响,而BB和NBB系统则依赖较深的对流层中高层水汽来维持降水。CAPE影响降雨率和雨滴大小分布,NBB事件响应明显,降雨强度大,雨滴光谱宽。
{"title":"Moisture build-up and thermodynamic processes in precipitation regimes during the southwest monsoon over a tropical coastal region","authors":"Anusha Andrews ,&nbsp;E.A. Resmi ,&nbsp;R.K. Sumesh ,&nbsp;Sneha Sunil ,&nbsp;A.R. Aswini ,&nbsp;Nita Sukumar ,&nbsp;Sumit Kumar ,&nbsp;A. Sabarinath ,&nbsp;Tejavath Charan Teja ,&nbsp;Dharmadas Jash","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101601","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101601","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The thermodynamical and microphysical characteristics of precipitation systems in shallow, Bright Band (BB), and Non-Bright Band (NBB) categories over a coastal site in Thiruvananthapuram, India were investigated. Radar reflectivity and fall velocity profiles, and surface rain rates were utilized to categorize the precipitation systems in June-July 2022. Shallow and NBB events exhibit a significant increase in humidity within the 4–8 km layer around 10–20 min prior to the onset of precipitation. In contrast, BB events maintain a deeper humid layer extending from the surface up to 8 km, with high liquid water content observed at least 30 min before precipitation, supporting widespread precipitation over the coastal region. In both NBB and shallow events, a sharp increase in liquid water path, integrated water vapor, and convective available potential energy (CAPE) occurred ∼10 min before rainfall onset. The substantially higher magnitudes of moisture and instability parameters in NBB systems indicate convective development, while the relatively lower values in shallow systems reflect weak instability and limited vertical growth, resulting in short-lived, low-intensity precipitation. BB systems maintained elevated and steady moisture with minimal variation in CAPE, supporting prolonged stratiform rain. The study shows that shallow systems are primarily influenced by low-level moisture, whereas BB and NBB systems rely on deeper mid- and upper-tropospheric moisture to sustain precipitation. CAPE influences rain rates and raindrop size distributions, with NBB events pronounced response, marked by intense rainfall and broader drop spectra.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101601"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-10-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145321504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Soret and Dufour effects of Bingham plastic fluid flow over a solar radiative heat flux 太阳辐射热通量上Bingham塑性流体流动的Soret和Dufour效应
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101600
Mair Khan , T. Salahuddin , Muhammad Awais , Basem Al Awan , Muyassar Norberdiyeva , Nidhal Ben Khedher
The main concern of current study is the analysis of entropy generation impact on incompressible boundary layer flow near an inclined rough rotating disk by assuming flow characteristic of Bingham plastic material. Variable fluid properties and radiative heat flux are considered under the entropy generation. We presented the solutions for fluid, heat and mass transfer phenomenon that causes large effect on Bingham plastic model. The similarity variables, first initiated by Von-Kàrmàn for viscous fluid is used for Bingham fluid which effectively converted boundary layer equations into ordinary differential equations. The RK-five approach, in conjunction with Cash and Karp, is used to get numerical solutions to the resulting equations. Next utilising the production data, the entropy data are explored by using theoretical and numerical approaches. Tables and figures are used to display the numerical results. The results reveals that the Bingham number reduces the base flow radial velocity and intensify the azimuthal velocity. The thermal and solutal Grashof numbers rises the both the azimuthal velocity. The increment in temperature distribution is observed due to radiation parameter and thermal conductivity coefficient. The augmentation in concentration region is observed due to thermal diffusion coefficient and Soret number. We concluded that numerical results calculated here show perfect description of Bingham fluid, mass and heat transfer features based on Soret and Dufour influence near an inclined rotating disk. Entropy generation increases with increase in the values of α1 parameter, Bingham fluid plastic paramter Bn, radiation Rd parameter and ξ parameter.
本文主要研究的是假设宾汉姆塑性材料的流动特性,分析熵生对倾斜粗糙旋转盘附近不可压缩边界层流动的影响。在熵产生条件下,考虑了变流体性质和辐射热通量。提出了对Bingham塑性模型影响较大的流体、传热和传质现象的解法。首先由Von-Kàrmàn在粘性流体中提出的相似变量用于Bingham流体,有效地将边界层方程转化为常微分方程。rk - 5方法与Cash和Karp相结合,用于得到所得方程的数值解。其次,利用生产数据,利用理论和数值方法探索熵数据。表格和图表用于显示数值结果。结果表明,宾厄姆数降低了基流径向速度,增强了基流的方位速度。热格拉西夫数和溶质格拉西夫数均随方位角速度的增大而增大。由于辐射参数和导热系数的影响,温度分布发生了变化。由于热扩散系数和索雷特数的影响,在浓度区出现了增大。计算结果较好地描述了倾斜旋转圆盘附近基于Soret和Dufour影响的Bingham流体、质量和传热特征。熵产随着α1参数、Bingham流塑性参数Bn、辐射Rd参数和ξ参数值的增大而增大。
{"title":"Soret and Dufour effects of Bingham plastic fluid flow over a solar radiative heat flux","authors":"Mair Khan ,&nbsp;T. Salahuddin ,&nbsp;Muhammad Awais ,&nbsp;Basem Al Awan ,&nbsp;Muyassar Norberdiyeva ,&nbsp;Nidhal Ben Khedher","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101600","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101600","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The main concern of current study is the analysis of entropy generation impact on incompressible boundary layer flow near an inclined rough rotating disk by assuming flow characteristic of Bingham plastic material. Variable fluid properties and radiative heat flux are considered under the entropy generation. We presented the solutions for fluid, heat and mass transfer phenomenon that causes large effect on Bingham plastic model. The similarity variables, first initiated by Von-Kàrmàn for viscous fluid is used for Bingham fluid which effectively converted boundary layer equations into ordinary differential equations. The RK-five approach, in conjunction with Cash and Karp, is used to get numerical solutions to the resulting equations. Next utilising the production data, the entropy data are explored by using theoretical and numerical approaches. Tables and figures are used to display the numerical results. The results reveals that the Bingham number reduces the base flow radial velocity and intensify the azimuthal velocity. The thermal and solutal Grashof numbers rises the both the azimuthal velocity. The increment in temperature distribution is observed due to radiation parameter and thermal conductivity coefficient. The augmentation in concentration region is observed due to thermal diffusion coefficient and Soret number. We concluded that numerical results calculated here show perfect description of Bingham fluid, mass and heat transfer features based on Soret and Dufour influence near an inclined rotating disk. Entropy generation increases with increase in the values of <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>α</mi></mrow><mrow><mn>1</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> parameter, Bingham fluid plastic paramter <span><math><mrow><mi>B</mi><mi>n</mi></mrow></math></span>, radiation <span><math><msub><mrow><mi>R</mi></mrow><mrow><mi>d</mi></mrow></msub></math></span> parameter and <span><math><mi>ξ</mi></math></span> parameter.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101600"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145159474","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Poiseuille flow of Jeffrey fluid with variable transport properties in porous media under magnetic and radiative effects 磁辐射作用下具有可变输运性质的Jeffrey流体在多孔介质中的泊泽维尔流动
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101599
Mubbashar Nazeer , Ali B.M. Ali , Farooq Hussain , N. Beemkumar , Khayrilla Kurbonov , Vatsal Jain , M. Ijaz Khan , Nidhal Ben Khedher

Objective

The aim of this study is to analyze the momentum and heat transfer characteristics within a porous medium influenced by thermal radiation, slip boundary conditions, and temperature-dependent viscosity and thermal conductivity.

Problem statement

The Poiseuille flow of MHD Jeffrey fluid through the horizontal infinite slippery walls filled by porous medium is discussed in this theoretical analysis under the contribution of variably viscosity and thermal conductivity along viscous dissipation and thermal radiation effects.

Methodology

The problem is simplified into ordinary differential equations through the dimensionless numbers and parameters. The resultant boundary values problem is solved by using the numerical technique (shooting method based on Runge-Kutta method) to regulate the velocity and temperature profiles. The graphs of velocity and temperature are drawn against the dimensionless parameters and numbers under the acceptable range.

Outcomes

The outcome of the study reveals that the temperature dependent viscosity improves the flow phenomena and thermal profile, but variable thermal conductivity declines the profile of temperature. The velocity slip upgrades the velocity distribution and thermal sip enhances the temperature field. The velocity and thermal profile of Jeffrey fluid is superior to the Newtonian fluid under the impact of each dimensionless parameter and numbers.

Applications

The results offer valuable insights for applications that demand effective thermal regulation and accurate fluid flow control, enhancing their relevance to both engineering and biomedical fields.

Originality/value

Earlier research has not presented a comparative investigation of Newtonian and non-Newtonian fluid flows through porous media, considering the combined influences of a uniform magnetic field, thermal radiation, slip boundary conditions, and temperature-dependent viscosity and thermal conductivity. This study is undertaken to address this identified gap in literature.
本研究的目的是分析受热辐射、滑移边界条件和温度相关粘度和导热系数影响的多孔介质内的动量和传热特性。在变黏度和变导热系数的作用下,沿黏性耗散和热辐射效应,讨论了MHD Jeffrey流体在含多孔介质的水平无限光滑壁面中的泊泽维尔流动。方法通过无量纲数和参数将问题简化为常微分方程。利用数值技术(基于龙格-库塔法的射击法)调节速度和温度分布,解决了所得边值问题。在可接受范围内,根据无量纲参数和数字绘制速度和温度的曲线图。研究结果表明,温度相关的粘度改善了流动现象和热分布,但变热导率降低了温度分布。速度滑移使速度分布升级,热滑移使温度场增强。在各无量纲参数和数值的影响下,杰弗里流体的速度和热剖面优于牛顿流体。这些结果为需要有效的热调节和精确的流体流动控制的应用提供了有价值的见解,增强了它们与工程和生物医学领域的相关性。早期的研究并没有对牛顿流体和非牛顿流体在多孔介质中的流动进行比较研究,考虑到均匀磁场、热辐射、滑移边界条件以及温度依赖性粘度和导热性的综合影响。本研究旨在解决这一文献空白。
{"title":"Poiseuille flow of Jeffrey fluid with variable transport properties in porous media under magnetic and radiative effects","authors":"Mubbashar Nazeer ,&nbsp;Ali B.M. Ali ,&nbsp;Farooq Hussain ,&nbsp;N. Beemkumar ,&nbsp;Khayrilla Kurbonov ,&nbsp;Vatsal Jain ,&nbsp;M. Ijaz Khan ,&nbsp;Nidhal Ben Khedher","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101599","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101599","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><div>The aim of this study is to analyze the momentum and heat transfer characteristics within a porous medium influenced by thermal radiation, slip boundary conditions, and temperature-dependent viscosity and thermal conductivity.</div></div><div><h3>Problem statement</h3><div>The Poiseuille flow of MHD Jeffrey fluid through the horizontal infinite slippery walls filled by porous medium is discussed in this theoretical analysis under the contribution of variably viscosity and thermal conductivity along viscous dissipation and thermal radiation effects.</div></div><div><h3>Methodology</h3><div>The problem is simplified into ordinary differential equations through the dimensionless numbers and parameters. The resultant boundary values problem is solved by using the numerical technique (shooting method based on Runge-Kutta method) to regulate the velocity and temperature profiles. The graphs of velocity and temperature are drawn against the dimensionless parameters and numbers under the acceptable range.</div></div><div><h3>Outcomes</h3><div>The outcome of the study reveals that the temperature dependent viscosity improves the flow phenomena and thermal profile, but variable thermal conductivity declines the profile of temperature. The velocity slip upgrades the velocity distribution and thermal sip enhances the temperature field. The velocity and thermal profile of Jeffrey fluid is superior to the Newtonian fluid under the impact of each dimensionless parameter and numbers.</div></div><div><h3>Applications</h3><div>The results offer valuable insights for applications that demand effective thermal regulation and accurate fluid flow control, enhancing their relevance to both engineering and biomedical fields.</div></div><div><h3>Originality/value</h3><div>Earlier research has not presented a comparative investigation of Newtonian and non-Newtonian fluid flows through porous media, considering the combined influences of a uniform magnetic field, thermal radiation, slip boundary conditions, and temperature-dependent viscosity and thermal conductivity. This study is undertaken to address this identified gap in literature.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101599"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145097761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An optimized network model for sea level height prediction integrating OLSDBO and BiTCN-BiGRU 结合OLSDBO和BiTCN-BiGRU的海平面高度预测网络模型优化
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101598
Huan Wu , Shijian Zhou , Fengwei Wang , Tieding Lu , Xiao Li
Reliable sea level predictions are essential for ensuring the sustainability and ecological protection of coastal areas. An adaptive deep learning sea level height prediction hybrid model based on the improved dung beetle optimizer (OLSDBO), bidirectional temporal convolutional network (BiTCN), and bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) is proposed in this paper. Initially, we optimize the BiTCN-BiGRU hyperparameters via OLSDBO. Sea level data are fed into the BiTCN, where bidirectional temporal convolutions with dilated causal layers and residual connections extract hidden information. Next, the extracted features are passed into the BiGRU to learn the dynamic changes in both directions, thereby capturing the temporal dependencies within the sequence. Finally, the optimal model prediction results are obtained. The model was evaluated via Australian tide gauge data and compared with nine relevant models. The experimental results show that the OLSDBO-BiTCN-BiGRU outperforms the comparison models, indicating its strong modeling capabilities. To address the randomness in neural network initialization, statistical comparisons were conducted with ten random seeds, confirming robustness. When applied to satellite altimetry data from the East China Sea, the model indicated a 3.28 ± 0.26 mm/a rise (1993–2023), corroborating the official bulletins. This study introduces a novel framework and practical pathway for regional sea level prediction, offering practical value for coastal management and climate adaptation strategies.
可靠的海平面预测对于确保沿海地区的可持续性和生态保护至关重要。提出了一种基于改进屎壳虫优化器(OLSDBO)、双向时间卷积网络(BiTCN)和双向门控循环单元(BiGRU)的自适应深度学习海平面高度预测混合模型。最初,我们通过OLSDBO优化BiTCN-BiGRU超参数。海平面数据被输入BiTCN,在BiTCN中,具有扩展因果层和残差连接的双向时间卷积提取隐藏信息。然后,将提取的特征传递给BiGRU学习两个方向的动态变化,从而捕获序列内的时间依赖关系。最后,得到了最优的模型预测结果。该模型通过澳大利亚潮汐计数据进行了评估,并与9个相关模型进行了比较。实验结果表明,olsbo - bitcn - bigru模型优于对比模型,表明其具有较强的建模能力。为了解决神经网络初始化的随机性,对10个随机种子进行了统计比较,证实了鲁棒性。当应用于东海卫星测高数据时,该模型显示出3.28 ± 0.26 mm/a的上升(1993-2023),证实了官方公报。本研究为区域海平面预测提供了一个新的框架和实用途径,为沿海管理和气候适应策略提供了实用价值。
{"title":"An optimized network model for sea level height prediction integrating OLSDBO and BiTCN-BiGRU","authors":"Huan Wu ,&nbsp;Shijian Zhou ,&nbsp;Fengwei Wang ,&nbsp;Tieding Lu ,&nbsp;Xiao Li","doi":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101598","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2025.101598","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reliable sea level predictions are essential for ensuring the sustainability and ecological protection of coastal areas. An adaptive deep learning sea level height prediction hybrid model based on the improved dung beetle optimizer (OLSDBO), bidirectional temporal convolutional network (BiTCN), and bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) is proposed in this paper. Initially, we optimize the BiTCN-BiGRU hyperparameters via OLSDBO. Sea level data are fed into the BiTCN, where bidirectional temporal convolutions with dilated causal layers and residual connections extract hidden information. Next, the extracted features are passed into the BiGRU to learn the dynamic changes in both directions, thereby capturing the temporal dependencies within the sequence. Finally, the optimal model prediction results are obtained. The model was evaluated via Australian tide gauge data and compared with nine relevant models. The experimental results show that the OLSDBO-BiTCN-BiGRU outperforms the comparison models, indicating its strong modeling capabilities. To address the randomness in neural network initialization, statistical comparisons were conducted with ten random seeds, confirming robustness. When applied to satellite altimetry data from the East China Sea, the model indicated a 3.28 ± 0.26 mm/a rise (1993–2023), corroborating the official bulletins. This study introduces a novel framework and practical pathway for regional sea level prediction, offering practical value for coastal management and climate adaptation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50563,"journal":{"name":"Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 101598"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145097759","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1