Margaux Mollier, Camille Mazé, François Prioul, Paul Hamer, Malo Hosken, Sam McKechnie, Paul Tixier
Large marine predators feeding on fish caught on fishing gear, referred to as ‘depredation’, occur in a wide range of fisheries worldwide. Depredation can result in negative ecological and socio-economic impacts, leading to conflict between fishers and depredating species. However, depredation remains understudied in many fisheries, and this hampers the development of effective mitigation solutions. In this study, 21 years of fishing data (2002–2022) were used to assess shark and odontocete depredation in the pelagic tuna longline fishery of New Caledonia. Using generalized linear models, the year, season, effort, soaking time, and vessel were identified as variables significantly influencing the probability of depredation to occur. Results showed that while shark depredation occurred more frequently than odontocete depredation (58.5% vs. 9.2% of the longline sets), they damaged a lower proportion of fish (3.9% vs. 12.3%) over the study period. Unlike sharks, odontocetes selectively depredate tuna, with their highest occurrence during periods of high tuna catch rates, suggesting a co-occurrence with fishing activities. Together, these results indicate that depredation in the New Caledonian fishery is high compared to other regions and provide essential information on the dynamics and impacts of the issue as a basis for considering management and mitigation options.
{"title":"Shark and odontocete depredation on the catch of the tuna longline fishery in New Caledonia (South Pacific Ocean)","authors":"Margaux Mollier, Camille Mazé, François Prioul, Paul Hamer, Malo Hosken, Sam McKechnie, Paul Tixier","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae014","url":null,"abstract":"Large marine predators feeding on fish caught on fishing gear, referred to as ‘depredation’, occur in a wide range of fisheries worldwide. Depredation can result in negative ecological and socio-economic impacts, leading to conflict between fishers and depredating species. However, depredation remains understudied in many fisheries, and this hampers the development of effective mitigation solutions. In this study, 21 years of fishing data (2002–2022) were used to assess shark and odontocete depredation in the pelagic tuna longline fishery of New Caledonia. Using generalized linear models, the year, season, effort, soaking time, and vessel were identified as variables significantly influencing the probability of depredation to occur. Results showed that while shark depredation occurred more frequently than odontocete depredation (58.5% vs. 9.2% of the longline sets), they damaged a lower proportion of fish (3.9% vs. 12.3%) over the study period. Unlike sharks, odontocetes selectively depredate tuna, with their highest occurrence during periods of high tuna catch rates, suggesting a co-occurrence with fishing activities. Together, these results indicate that depredation in the New Caledonian fishery is high compared to other regions and provide essential information on the dynamics and impacts of the issue as a basis for considering management and mitigation options.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139910291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Annabel Westell, Timothy J Rowell, Natalie Posdaljian, Alba Solsona-Berga, Sofie M Van Parijs, Annamaria I DeAngelis
Construction in the southern New England wind energy area (WEA), a large-scale offshore wind farm on the east coast of the United States, started in June 2023. Baseline data was collected from 2020 to 2022, with six passive acoustic recorders (SoundTraps) deployed at shallow (<60 m) sites in the vicinity of Nantucket Shoals and Cox’s Ledge. Data were analysed for sperm whale presence, and demographic composition was assessed using interclick intervals. Presence varied by site, season, and year. Sperm whales were detected year-round but the majority (78%) of days with acoustic occurrences were between May and August. Three demographic classes (putative social groups, adult males, and midsize animals) were detected across multiple seasons, with social groups detected most frequently. Sound propagation tests were conducted at two sites and predicted detection ranges within 20–40 km indicate that sperm whales were likely in proximity to the WEA. These results provide a baseline that will be used to assess ongoing sperm whale presence, especially that of social groups which may be more sensitive to disturbance. This study highlights why sperm whales, classed as endangered in US waters, should be considered in mitigation plans and permitting efforts for offshore wind energy.
{"title":"Acoustic presence and demographics of sperm whales (Physeter macrocephalus) off southern New England and near a US offshore wind energy area","authors":"Annabel Westell, Timothy J Rowell, Natalie Posdaljian, Alba Solsona-Berga, Sofie M Van Parijs, Annamaria I DeAngelis","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae012","url":null,"abstract":"Construction in the southern New England wind energy area (WEA), a large-scale offshore wind farm on the east coast of the United States, started in June 2023. Baseline data was collected from 2020 to 2022, with six passive acoustic recorders (SoundTraps) deployed at shallow (&lt;60 m) sites in the vicinity of Nantucket Shoals and Cox’s Ledge. Data were analysed for sperm whale presence, and demographic composition was assessed using interclick intervals. Presence varied by site, season, and year. Sperm whales were detected year-round but the majority (78%) of days with acoustic occurrences were between May and August. Three demographic classes (putative social groups, adult males, and midsize animals) were detected across multiple seasons, with social groups detected most frequently. Sound propagation tests were conducted at two sites and predicted detection ranges within 20–40 km indicate that sperm whales were likely in proximity to the WEA. These results provide a baseline that will be used to assess ongoing sperm whale presence, especially that of social groups which may be more sensitive to disturbance. This study highlights why sperm whales, classed as endangered in US waters, should be considered in mitigation plans and permitting efforts for offshore wind energy.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139910425","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alison M Macdonald, Luna Hiron, Leah McRaven, Laura Stolp, Kerry Strom, Rebecca Hudak, Shawn R Smith, Julia Hummon, Magdalena Andres
Science Research on Commercial Ships (Science RoCS) is a grassroots multi-institution group of scientists, engineers, data managers, and administrators seeking to further research opportunities by equipping commercial vessels with suites of maritime appropriate scientific sensors operated autonomously on regular ship routes with minimal crew intervention. Science RoCS aims to foster cooperation between the shipping industry and scientific community at a level that will be transformative for societally relevant ocean science, promote cross-disciplinary ocean science through simultaneous observation of the air/sea interface and water column, and spur a technological revolution in observational oceanography by developing new turnkey, maritime-industry-appropriate scientific equipment whose data streams can be used to stimulate innovations in oceanic (physical, chemical, and biological) understanding and forecasting. We envision a future where scientific data collection on commercial ships is the new industry standard, providing repeat measurements in undersampled, remote regions, on scales not otherwise accessible to the scientific community.
{"title":"A framework for multidisciplinary science observations from commercial ships","authors":"Alison M Macdonald, Luna Hiron, Leah McRaven, Laura Stolp, Kerry Strom, Rebecca Hudak, Shawn R Smith, Julia Hummon, Magdalena Andres","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae011","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae011","url":null,"abstract":"Science Research on Commercial Ships (Science RoCS) is a grassroots multi-institution group of scientists, engineers, data managers, and administrators seeking to further research opportunities by equipping commercial vessels with suites of maritime appropriate scientific sensors operated autonomously on regular ship routes with minimal crew intervention. Science RoCS aims to foster cooperation between the shipping industry and scientific community at a level that will be transformative for societally relevant ocean science, promote cross-disciplinary ocean science through simultaneous observation of the air/sea interface and water column, and spur a technological revolution in observational oceanography by developing new turnkey, maritime-industry-appropriate scientific equipment whose data streams can be used to stimulate innovations in oceanic (physical, chemical, and biological) understanding and forecasting. We envision a future where scientific data collection on commercial ships is the new industry standard, providing repeat measurements in undersampled, remote regions, on scales not otherwise accessible to the scientific community.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139910083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Changes and needs in marine science (and natural science in general) training over the past six decades are discussed. Among these are: new technological advances; the loss of -ology courses; the loss of field courses and sense of place opportunities for students; the need for a more interdisciplinary approach to training natural science students; a need to better expose our students to threats to Earth’s biocultural diversity; a need to include more humanities in our student training, including addressing diminished readership and appreciation of the great books; the nature of creativity; the perils of the internet; and university emphasis on faculty overhead dollars and high-profile publications at the expense of student training and more creative research.
{"title":"A personal reflection on changes in marine science education over the past sixty years","authors":"Richard C Brusca","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae013","url":null,"abstract":"Changes and needs in marine science (and natural science in general) training over the past six decades are discussed. Among these are: new technological advances; the loss of -ology courses; the loss of field courses and sense of place opportunities for students; the need for a more interdisciplinary approach to training natural science students; a need to better expose our students to threats to Earth’s biocultural diversity; a need to include more humanities in our student training, including addressing diminished readership and appreciation of the great books; the nature of creativity; the perils of the internet; and university emphasis on faculty overhead dollars and high-profile publications at the expense of student training and more creative research.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139902720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sean C Anderson, Philina A English, Katie S P Gale, Dana R Haggarty, Carolyn K Robb, Emily M Rubidge, Patrick L Thompson
Marine protected areas (MPAs) are increasingly common worldwide, typically restricting fishing activities. However, MPAs may also limit scientific surveys that impact benthic habitat. We combine a historical data degradation approach and simulation to investigate the effects on population indices of excluding surveys from MPAs. Our approach quantifies losses in precision, inter-annual accuracy, trend accuracy, and power to detect trends, as well as correlates of these effects. We apply this approach to a proposed MPA network off western Canada, examining 43 groundfish species observed by four surveys. Survey exclusion particularly impacted less precise indices, species well-represented in MPAs, and those whose density shifted in or out of MPAs. Redistributing survey effort outside MPAs consistently improved precision but not accuracy or trend detection—sometimes making estimates more precise about the ‘wrong’ index. While these changes may not qualitatively alter stock assessment for many species, in some cases, ∼30 percentage point reductions in power to detect simulated 50% population declines suggest meaningful impacts are possible. If survey restrictions continue expanding, index integrity could further degrade, eventually compromising the management of exploited populations. Regulating surveys within MPA boundaries therefore requires careful consideration to balance MPA objectives with the need for reliable monitoring.
{"title":"Impacts on population indices if scientific surveys are excluded from marine protected areas","authors":"Sean C Anderson, Philina A English, Katie S P Gale, Dana R Haggarty, Carolyn K Robb, Emily M Rubidge, Patrick L Thompson","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae009","url":null,"abstract":"Marine protected areas (MPAs) are increasingly common worldwide, typically restricting fishing activities. However, MPAs may also limit scientific surveys that impact benthic habitat. We combine a historical data degradation approach and simulation to investigate the effects on population indices of excluding surveys from MPAs. Our approach quantifies losses in precision, inter-annual accuracy, trend accuracy, and power to detect trends, as well as correlates of these effects. We apply this approach to a proposed MPA network off western Canada, examining 43 groundfish species observed by four surveys. Survey exclusion particularly impacted less precise indices, species well-represented in MPAs, and those whose density shifted in or out of MPAs. Redistributing survey effort outside MPAs consistently improved precision but not accuracy or trend detection—sometimes making estimates more precise about the ‘wrong’ index. While these changes may not qualitatively alter stock assessment for many species, in some cases, ∼30 percentage point reductions in power to detect simulated 50% population declines suggest meaningful impacts are possible. If survey restrictions continue expanding, index integrity could further degrade, eventually compromising the management of exploited populations. Regulating surveys within MPA boundaries therefore requires careful consideration to balance MPA objectives with the need for reliable monitoring.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139902805","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Effective and sustainable management of small-scale fisheries (SSF) is challenging. We describe a novel approach to identify important fishing grounds for SSF, by implementing a habitat modelling approach, using environmental predictors and Automatic Identification System (AIS)-B data coupled with logbook and First Sales Notes data, within the SE Bay of Biscay. Fishing activity patterns and catches of longliners and netters are used to determine the main environmental characteristics of the fishing grounds, and a habitat modelling approach is implemented to predict the zones that fulfil similar environmental characteristics across a larger geographical extent. Generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs) were built for 24 fish species, and to identify other zones that fulfil similar characteristics and, thus, could be considered relevant for the species targeted by each gear type. Most of the models showed a good prediction capacity. The models included between one and four predictor variables. ‘Depth of mixing layer’ and ‘benthic rocky habitat’ were the variables included more frequently for fish species captured by netter’s fleet. For longliners, the ‘seafloor slope’ and ‘benthic rocky habitat’ were the two most important variables. The predictive maps provide relevant information to assist in management and marine spatial planning.
{"title":"Predicting important fishing grounds for the small-scale fishery, based on Automatic Identification System records, catches, and environmental data","authors":"Ibon Galparsoro, Sarai Pouso, Isabel García-Barón, Estanis Mugerza, María Mateo, Iosu Paradinas, Maite Louzao, Ángel Borja, Gotzon Mandiola, Arantza Murillas","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae006","url":null,"abstract":"Effective and sustainable management of small-scale fisheries (SSF) is challenging. We describe a novel approach to identify important fishing grounds for SSF, by implementing a habitat modelling approach, using environmental predictors and Automatic Identification System (AIS)-B data coupled with logbook and First Sales Notes data, within the SE Bay of Biscay. Fishing activity patterns and catches of longliners and netters are used to determine the main environmental characteristics of the fishing grounds, and a habitat modelling approach is implemented to predict the zones that fulfil similar environmental characteristics across a larger geographical extent. Generalized additive mixed models (GAMMs) were built for 24 fish species, and to identify other zones that fulfil similar characteristics and, thus, could be considered relevant for the species targeted by each gear type. Most of the models showed a good prediction capacity. The models included between one and four predictor variables. ‘Depth of mixing layer’ and ‘benthic rocky habitat’ were the variables included more frequently for fish species captured by netter’s fleet. For longliners, the ‘seafloor slope’ and ‘benthic rocky habitat’ were the two most important variables. The predictive maps provide relevant information to assist in management and marine spatial planning.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139761790","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wenjia Ouyang, Yanhui Wei, Tongtong Hou, Junnan Liu
With the assistance of the visual system, remote operated vehicles (ROVs) can replace frogmen to achieve safer and more efficient capturing of marine organisms. However, the selective absorption and scattering of light lead to a decrease in the visual quality of underwater images, which hinders ROV operators from observing the operating environment. Unfortunately, most image enhancement methods only focus on image color correction rather than perceptual enhancement, which in turn prevents the object detector from quickly locating the target. Therefore, a visual-enhanced and detection-friendly underwater image enhancement method is needed. In this paper, an underwater image enhancement method called in-situ enhancement is proposed to improve the semantic information of the visual hierarchy based on current scene information in multiple stages. Mapping the underwater image to its dual space allows the enhancement equation to be applied to severely degraded underwater scenes. Moreover, it is also a detection-friendly method and has good generalization in both visual quality improvement and object detection. The experimental results show that in different underwater datasets, the in-situ enhancement effectively improves the visual quality of underwater images, and its enhanced results train different object detectors with high detection accuracy.
{"title":"An in-situ image enhancement method for the detection of marine organisms by remotely operated vehicles","authors":"Wenjia Ouyang, Yanhui Wei, Tongtong Hou, Junnan Liu","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae004","url":null,"abstract":"With the assistance of the visual system, remote operated vehicles (ROVs) can replace frogmen to achieve safer and more efficient capturing of marine organisms. However, the selective absorption and scattering of light lead to a decrease in the visual quality of underwater images, which hinders ROV operators from observing the operating environment. Unfortunately, most image enhancement methods only focus on image color correction rather than perceptual enhancement, which in turn prevents the object detector from quickly locating the target. Therefore, a visual-enhanced and detection-friendly underwater image enhancement method is needed. In this paper, an underwater image enhancement method called in-situ enhancement is proposed to improve the semantic information of the visual hierarchy based on current scene information in multiple stages. Mapping the underwater image to its dual space allows the enhancement equation to be applied to severely degraded underwater scenes. Moreover, it is also a detection-friendly method and has good generalization in both visual quality improvement and object detection. The experimental results show that in different underwater datasets, the in-situ enhancement effectively improves the visual quality of underwater images, and its enhanced results train different object detectors with high detection accuracy.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139761854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Maria Vigo, Eve Galimany, Patricia Poch, Ricardo Santos-Bethencourt, Joan Sala-Coromina, Nixon Bahamón, Jacopo Aguzzi, Joan Navarro, Joan B Company
The Norway lobster, Nephrops norvegicus, is one of the most valuable fishery resources in many coastal countries of the Mediterranean Sea and the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. In the Mediterranean Sea, several stocks are being overexploited, with ecological, economic, and social consequences. To perform an adequate stock assessment and provide guidance on maximum sustainable yield, reliable biological parameters of the species are required. Considering that biological parameters may change over time in overexploited populations, in the present study, we updated key biological parameters for the N. norvegicus stock of the northwestern Mediterranean Sea: size at which 50% (L50) of females were in reproductive condition, length–weight relationship, and individual size structure. Moreover, daily landings were combined with the spatial position of the vessels tracked by their Vessel Monitoring System (VMS), to obtain information on the geographical distribution and time series of Landings Per Unit Effort (LPUE), as well as total landings from 2008 to 2021. Our results suggest overexploitation of the resource, revealing a severe reduction in size at 50% maturity, an earlier spawning and brooding period, and a clear decrease of LPUE over time.
{"title":"An update on the biological parameters of the Norway lobster (Nephrops norvegicus) in the northwestern Mediterranean Sea","authors":"Maria Vigo, Eve Galimany, Patricia Poch, Ricardo Santos-Bethencourt, Joan Sala-Coromina, Nixon Bahamón, Jacopo Aguzzi, Joan Navarro, Joan B Company","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae003","url":null,"abstract":"The Norway lobster, Nephrops norvegicus, is one of the most valuable fishery resources in many coastal countries of the Mediterranean Sea and the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. In the Mediterranean Sea, several stocks are being overexploited, with ecological, economic, and social consequences. To perform an adequate stock assessment and provide guidance on maximum sustainable yield, reliable biological parameters of the species are required. Considering that biological parameters may change over time in overexploited populations, in the present study, we updated key biological parameters for the N. norvegicus stock of the northwestern Mediterranean Sea: size at which 50% (L50) of females were in reproductive condition, length–weight relationship, and individual size structure. Moreover, daily landings were combined with the spatial position of the vessels tracked by their Vessel Monitoring System (VMS), to obtain information on the geographical distribution and time series of Landings Per Unit Effort (LPUE), as well as total landings from 2008 to 2021. Our results suggest overexploitation of the resource, revealing a severe reduction in size at 50% maturity, an earlier spawning and brooding period, and a clear decrease of LPUE over time.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139680292","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Katherine E Mills, Adam Kemberling, Lisa A Kerr, Sean M Lucey, Richard S McBride, Janet A Nye, Andrew J Pershing, Miguel Barajas, Carly S Lovas
Ocean waters of the Northeast US continental shelf have warmed rapidly in recent years, with sea surface temperatures rising 2.5 times faster than those of the global oceans. With this strong warming trend, the frequency and duration of marine heatwaves have increased. These temperature changes stood out as a distinct warm temperature regime during the 2010s. During this decade, fish population characteristics also differed from the past. Species distribution shifts were detected for many species, demonstrating one way species could adapt to warming conditions. However, for most species, distribution shifts were insufficient to avoid warmer surface or bottom temperatures. As species occupied warmer habitats, growth patterns aligned with expectations for warming temperatures. Consistent with the temperature-size rule, some species exhibited faster growth at early life stages but plateaued at smaller body sizes; other species, however, experienced reduced growth across all ages, indicating thermal stress. Finally, population productivity indexed by the recruit-to-spawner ratio declined significantly during the 2010s for some populations. Changes in these three processes—distribution, growth, and productivity—indicate the emergence of climate change signals across multiple Northeast US fish populations. These effects create new challenges for fishery managers and industry participants operating in the context of non-stationarity and uncertainty.
{"title":"Multispecies population-scale emergence of climate change signals in an ocean warming hotspot","authors":"Katherine E Mills, Adam Kemberling, Lisa A Kerr, Sean M Lucey, Richard S McBride, Janet A Nye, Andrew J Pershing, Miguel Barajas, Carly S Lovas","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsad208","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsad208","url":null,"abstract":"Ocean waters of the Northeast US continental shelf have warmed rapidly in recent years, with sea surface temperatures rising 2.5 times faster than those of the global oceans. With this strong warming trend, the frequency and duration of marine heatwaves have increased. These temperature changes stood out as a distinct warm temperature regime during the 2010s. During this decade, fish population characteristics also differed from the past. Species distribution shifts were detected for many species, demonstrating one way species could adapt to warming conditions. However, for most species, distribution shifts were insufficient to avoid warmer surface or bottom temperatures. As species occupied warmer habitats, growth patterns aligned with expectations for warming temperatures. Consistent with the temperature-size rule, some species exhibited faster growth at early life stages but plateaued at smaller body sizes; other species, however, experienced reduced growth across all ages, indicating thermal stress. Finally, population productivity indexed by the recruit-to-spawner ratio declined significantly during the 2010s for some populations. Changes in these three processes—distribution, growth, and productivity—indicate the emergence of climate change signals across multiple Northeast US fish populations. These effects create new challenges for fishery managers and industry participants operating in the context of non-stationarity and uncertainty.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"41 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139677922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lauren A Rogers, Cole C Monnahan, Kresimir Williams, Darin T Jones, Martin W Dorn
Climate-driven changes in the timing of spawning or migration can affect the availability of fish to surveys designed to monitor their abundance, complicating efforts to assess stock status and sustainably manage fisheries. From 2017 to 2019, trends in biomass estimates from four surveys used to monitor Gulf of Alaska pollock diverged. These conflicting trends increased uncertainty in the stock assessment and occurred during a time of rapid environmental change. We hypothesized that changes in spawn timing affected availability of pollock to a winter survey that targets pre-spawning aggregations. To test this, we reconstructed relative spawn timing using two independent data sources: spring larval surveys and observations of spawning state in mature female pollock. We found that changes in spawn timing relative to survey timing explained a significant portion of recent and historical discrepancies between survey and model estimates of biomass. We then incorporated measures of spawn timing/survey timing mismatch as catchability covariates in an enhanced state-space stock assessment model. Including spawn timing-based catchability covariates significantly improved the model fit to survey data and provided a mechanistic explanation for recent survey discrepancies.
{"title":"Climate-driven changes in the timing of spawning and the availability of walleye pollock (Gadus chalcogrammus) to assessment surveys in the Gulf of Alaska","authors":"Lauren A Rogers, Cole C Monnahan, Kresimir Williams, Darin T Jones, Martin W Dorn","doi":"10.1093/icesjms/fsae005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsae005","url":null,"abstract":"Climate-driven changes in the timing of spawning or migration can affect the availability of fish to surveys designed to monitor their abundance, complicating efforts to assess stock status and sustainably manage fisheries. From 2017 to 2019, trends in biomass estimates from four surveys used to monitor Gulf of Alaska pollock diverged. These conflicting trends increased uncertainty in the stock assessment and occurred during a time of rapid environmental change. We hypothesized that changes in spawn timing affected availability of pollock to a winter survey that targets pre-spawning aggregations. To test this, we reconstructed relative spawn timing using two independent data sources: spring larval surveys and observations of spawning state in mature female pollock. We found that changes in spawn timing relative to survey timing explained a significant portion of recent and historical discrepancies between survey and model estimates of biomass. We then incorporated measures of spawn timing/survey timing mismatch as catchability covariates in an enhanced state-space stock assessment model. Including spawn timing-based catchability covariates significantly improved the model fit to survey data and provided a mechanistic explanation for recent survey discrepancies.","PeriodicalId":51072,"journal":{"name":"ICES Journal of Marine Science","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2024-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139644659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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