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Stochastic comparisons of largest claim amounts from heterogeneous portfolios 异质投资组合中最大索赔金额的随机比较
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-04-20 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12296
Pradip Kundu, Amarjit Kundu, Biplab Hawlader
This paper investigates stochastic comparisons of largest claim amounts of two sets of independent or interdependent portfolios in the sense of some stochastic orders. Let random variable Xi$$ {X}_i $$ ( i=1,…,n$$ i=1,dots, n $$ ) with distribution function F(x;αi)$$ Fleft(x;{alpha}_iright) $$ , represents the claim amount for ith risk of a portfolio. Here two largest claim amounts are compared considering that the claim variables follow a general semiparametric family of distributions having the property that the survival function F‾(x;α)$$ overline{F}left(x;alpha right) $$ is increasing in α$$ alpha $$ or is increasing and convex/concave in α$$ alpha $$ . The results obtained in this paper apply to a large class of well‐known distributions including the family of exponentiated/generalized distributions (e.g., exponentiated exponential, Weibull, gamma and Pareto family), Rayleigh distribution and Marshall–Olkin family of distributions. As a direct consequence of some main theorems, we also obtained the results for scale family of distributions. Several numerical examples are provided to illustrate the results.
本文研究了两组独立或相互依赖的投资组合在一定随机顺序下最大索赔额的随机比较问题。$$ {X}_i $$ (i=1,…,n$$ i=1,dots, n $$ ),分布函数F(x;αi)$$ Fleft(x;{alpha}_iright) $$ ,表示投资组合风险的索赔金额。这里比较两个最大的索赔金额,考虑索赔变量遵循一般的半参数分布族,其性质是生存函数F (x;α)$$ overline{F}left(x;alpha right) $$ 在α中增加$$ alpha $$ 或在α中呈递增和凸/凹$$ alpha $$ . 本文所得到的结果适用于一大类众所周知的分布,包括指数/广义分布族(如指数分布族、Weibull分布族、gamma分布族和Pareto分布族)、Rayleigh分布族和Marshall-Olkin分布族。作为一些主要定理的直接推论,我们也得到了分布的尺度族的结果。给出了几个数值算例来说明结果。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of cross‐over experiments with count data in the presence of carry‐over effects 对存在结转效应的计数数据进行交叉实验分析
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-04-16 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12295
Nelson Alirio Cruz, Luis Alberto López Pérez, Oscar Orlando Melo
This paper presents an experimental cross‐over design whose response variable is a count that belongs to the Poisson distribution. The methodology is extended to data with overdispersion or subdispersion. We present the theoretical development for analysis of cases with few treatments and a few periods. In this case, we consider the log‐linear link for estimation effects and the Delta method for the asymptotic inference of the estimators. When the number of periods and sequences increases, we propose an extension of the previous methodology, using the generalized linear models. In this extension, cross‐over designs for count data include treatments, sequences, time effects, covariables, and any correlation structure. The most important result of the methodology is that it allows the detection of significant factors within the cross‐over design when the response variable belongs to the exponential family, especially the treatment effects. Finally, we present the analysis of data obtained in a student hydration study and a simulation study. We show a comparison between the usual methods of analysis and those obtained in the present work, demonstrating the advantage over the usual methods in situations with carry‐over presence.
本文提出了一种实验交叉设计,其响应变量为属于泊松分布的计数。该方法可扩展到具有过色散或次色散的数据。我们提出了对几种治疗方法和几种时期的病例分析的理论发展。在这种情况下,我们考虑对数线性联系的估计效果和Delta方法的渐近推断的估计量。当周期和序列的数量增加时,我们提出使用广义线性模型扩展先前的方法。在这个扩展中,计数数据的交叉设计包括处理,序列,时间效应,协变量和任何相关结构。该方法最重要的结果是,当响应变量属于指数族时,它允许在交叉设计中检测显着因素,特别是处理效果。最后,我们对学生水化研究和模拟研究中获得的数据进行了分析。我们展示了通常的分析方法与在当前工作中获得的分析方法之间的比较,证明了在结转存在的情况下比通常方法的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating function method for nonnegative autoregressive models 非负自回归模型的估计函数方法
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-03-31 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12294
E. Hari, Prasad N. Balakrishna, E. H. Prasad
A stationary sequence of nonnegative random variables generated by autoregressive (AR) models may be used to describe the inter‐arrival times between events in counting processes. Even though, several such models are available in the literature, there is no unified approach to estimate their parameters. In this paper, we propose a class of combined estimating function method to estimate the model parameters of AR models with gamma marginals. The proposed method is compared with other estimation procedures and are illustrated by simulation and data analysis.
由自回归(AR)模型产生的非负随机变量的平稳序列可用于描述计数过程中事件之间的间隔到达时间。尽管文献中有几个这样的模型,但没有统一的方法来估计它们的参数。本文提出了一类组合估计函数方法来估计具有伽马边际的AR模型的模型参数。将该方法与其他估计方法进行了比较,并通过仿真和数据分析加以说明。
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引用次数: 0
A robust mixed‐effects parametric quantile regression model for continuous proportions: Quantifying the constraints to vitality in cushion plants 连续比例的鲁棒混合效应参数分位数回归模型:量化缓冲植物活力的约束
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12293
D. Burger, Sean van der Merwe, E. Lesaffre, P. C. le Roux, Morgan J. Raath‐Krüger
There is no literature on outlier‐robust parametric mixed‐effects quantile regression models for continuous proportion data as an alternative to systematically identifying and eliminating outliers. To fill this gap, we formulate a robust method by extending the recently proposed fixed‐effects quantile regression model based on the heavy‐tailed Johnson‐ t$$ t $$ distribution for continuous proportion data to the mixed‐effects modeling context, using a Bayesian approach. Our proposed method is motivated by and used to model the extreme quantiles of the vitality of cushion plants to provide insights into the ecology of the system in which the plants are dominant. We conducted a simulation study to assess the new method's performance and robustness to outliers. We show that the new model has good accuracy and confidence interval coverage properties and is remarkably robust to outliers. In contrast, our study demonstrates that the current approach in the literature for modeling hierarchically structured bounded data's quantiles is susceptible to outliers, especially when modeling the extreme quantiles. We conclude that the proposed model is an appropriate robust alternative to the current approach for modeling the quantiles of correlated continuous proportions when outliers are present in the data.
目前还没有关于连续比例数据的异常值-鲁棒参数混合效应分位数回归模型作为系统识别和消除异常值的替代方法的文献。为了填补这一空白,我们通过使用贝叶斯方法,将最近提出的基于连续比例数据的重尾Johnson - t $$ t $$分布的固定效应分位数回归模型扩展到混合效应建模环境,从而制定了一种鲁棒方法。我们提出的方法是由缓冲植物活力的极端分位数模型驱动的,并用于对植物占主导地位的系统的生态学提供见解。我们进行了仿真研究,以评估新方法的性能和对异常值的鲁棒性。结果表明,新模型具有良好的精度和置信区间覆盖性能,对异常值具有显著的鲁棒性。相比之下,我们的研究表明,目前文献中用于分层结构有界数据分位数建模的方法容易受到异常值的影响,特别是在建模极端分位数时。我们得出的结论是,当数据中存在异常值时,所提出的模型是对相关连续比例的分位数建模的当前方法的适当鲁棒替代方法。
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引用次数: 0
A partial posterior p value test for multilevel mediation 多水平中介的部分后验p值检验
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-03-16 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12291
Kyle Cox, Ben Kelcey
A variety of inferential tests are available for single and multilevel mediation but most come with notable limitations that balance tradeoffs between power and Type I error. We extend the partial posterior p value method (p3 method) to test multilevel mediation. This contemporary resampling‐based composite approach is specifically suited for complex null hypotheses. We develop the p3 method and investigate its performance within the context of two‐level cluster‐randomized multilevel mediation studies. Similar to its performance in single‐level studies, we found that the p3 method performed well relative to other mediation tests suggesting it provides a judicious balance between Type I error rate and power. While bias‐corrected bootstrapping achieved the best overall performance, the p3 method serves as an alternative tool for researchers investigating multilevel mediation that is especially useful when conducting a priori power analyses. To encourage utilization, we provide R code for implementing the p3 method.
可用于单层和多层中介的各种推断测试,但大多数都有明显的限制,需要在功率和I型误差之间进行权衡。我们扩展了部分后验p值法(p3法)来检验多层次中介。这种基于重新采样的当代复合方法特别适合于复杂的零假设。我们开发了p3方法,并在两级聚类随机多水平中介研究的背景下研究了其性能。与其在单水平研究中的表现相似,我们发现p3方法相对于其他中介测试表现良好,这表明它在I型错误率和功率之间提供了明智的平衡。虽然偏差校正的自举实现了最佳的整体性能,但p3方法作为研究人员调查多层次中介的替代工具,在进行先验功率分析时特别有用。为了鼓励使用,我们提供了实现p3方法的R代码。
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引用次数: 0
A portmanteau test for the iid hypothesis iid假设的组合检验
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-02-28 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12290
Ricardo Bórquez
In this paper, we introduce a new portmanteau test for the iid hypothesis, where the elements of the sample are allowed to take values in a general space (e.g., a function space). We study the finite sample properties of our test, evaluating its performance in terms of empirical size and power. In particular, we compare the empirical power of our test with the power of other tests in the literature designed to work in a specific data setting, as the one‐way analysis of variance test used in experimental data analysis and three portmanteau tests used in time series analysis. In every case, we found conditions where our test outperformed in power to the competing test. Finally, to illustrate the usefulness of our test, we implement it on two real‐world applications based on function‐valued data.
在本文中,我们为iid假设引入了一个新的组合检验,其中样本的元素允许在一般空间(例如,函数空间)中取值。我们研究了我们的测试的有限样本性质,在经验规模和功率方面评估其性能。特别地,我们将我们的检验的经验力量与文献中设计用于特定数据设置的其他检验的力量进行了比较,如实验数据分析中使用的单向方差分析检验和时间序列分析中使用的三个组合检验。在每种情况下,我们都发现我们的测试在功率方面优于竞争测试的条件。最后,为了说明我们的测试的有用性,我们在两个基于函数值数据的实际应用程序中实现了它。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian solution to the monotone likelihood in the standard mixture cure model 标准混合固化模型单调似然的贝叶斯解
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-02-26 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12289
F. M. Almeida, V. D. Mayrink, E. Colosimo
An advantage of the standard mixture cure model over an usual survival model is how it accounts for the population heterogeneity. It allows a joint estimation for the distribution related to the susceptible and non‐susceptible subjects. The estimation algorithm may provide ±∞$$ pm infty $$ coefficients when the likelihood cannot be maximized. This phenomenon is known as Monotone Likelihood (ML), common in survival and logistic regressions. The ML tends to appear in situations with small sample size, many censored times, many binary or unbalanced covariates. Particularly, it occurs when all uncensored cases correspond to one level of a binary covariate. The existing frequentist solution is an adaptation of the Firth correction, originally proposed to reduce bias of maximum likelihood estimates. It prevents ±∞$$ pm infty $$ estimates by penalizing the likelihood, with the penalty interpreted as the Bayesian Jeffreys prior. In this paper, the penalized likelihood of the standard mixture cure model is considered with different penalties (Bayesian priors). A Monte Carlo simulation study indicates good inference results, especially for balanced data sets. Finally, a real application involving a melanoma data illustrates the approach.
标准混合治愈模型比通常的生存模型的一个优点是它如何解释群体异质性。它允许对与易感和非易感受试者相关的分布进行联合估计。当似然不能最大化时,估计算法可以提供±∞$$ pm infty $$系数。这种现象被称为单调似然(ML),在生存和逻辑回归中很常见。机器学习倾向于出现在小样本量,许多审查时间,许多二进制或不平衡协变量的情况下。特别是,当所有未审查的情况对应于二进制协变量的一个水平时,就会发生这种情况。现有的频率解是Firth修正的一种改编,最初提出的目的是减少最大似然估计的偏差。它通过惩罚似然来防止±∞$$ pm infty $$估计,惩罚被解释为贝叶斯杰弗里斯先验。本文考虑了不同惩罚(贝叶斯先验)下标准混合固化模型的惩罚似然。蒙特卡罗模拟研究表明了良好的推理效果,特别是对于平衡数据集。最后,一个涉及黑色素瘤的实际应用数据说明了该方法。
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引用次数: 0
Testing the common risk difference of proportions for stratified uni‐ and bilateral correlated data 检验分层单侧和双侧相关数据的共同风险差异比例
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-02-16 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12288
Zhiming Li, Changxing Ma, Keyi Mou
In medical clinical studies, uni‐ and bilateral data naturally occurs if each patient contributes either one or both of paired organ measurements in a stratified design. This paper mainly proposes a common test of risk differences between proportions for stratified uni‐ and bilateral correlated data. Likelihood ratio, score, and Wald‐type test statistics are constructed using global, unconstrained, and constrained maximum likelihood estimations of parameters. Simulation studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of these test procedures in terms of type I error rates and powers. Empirical results show that the likelihood ratio test is more robust and powerful than other statistics. A real example is used to illustrate the proposed methods.
在医学临床研究中,如果每个患者在分层设计中提供一种或两种成对的器官测量,则自然会出现单侧和双侧数据。本文主要提出了一种对分层单相关数据和双边相关数据比例之间风险差异的通用检验。似然比、分数和Wald型检验统计量是使用参数的全局、无约束和约束最大似然估计构建的。进行仿真研究以评估这些测试程序在I型错误率和功率方面的性能。实证结果表明,似然比检验比其他统计方法具有更强的稳健性和有效性。最后用一个实例说明了所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 1
Inference in the presence of likelihood monotonicity for proportional hazards regression 比例风险回归中存在似然单调性的推理
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12287
J. Kolassa, Juan Zhang
Proportional hazards are often used to model event time data subject to censoring. Samples involving discrete covariates with strong effects can lead to infinite maximum partial likelihood estimates. A methodology is presented for eliminating nuisance parameters estimated at infinity using approximate conditional inference. Of primary interest is testing in cases in which the parameter of primary interest has a finite estimate, but in which other parameters are estimated at infinity.
比例风险常用于对事件时间数据进行建模。涉及具有强影响的离散协变量的样本可能导致无限最大部分似然估计。提出了一种利用近似条件推理消除无穷远处估计的干扰参数的方法。我们最感兴趣的是在主要感兴趣的参数有一个有限的估计,而其他参数的估计是无穷大的情况下进行检验。
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引用次数: 0
Discretized skew‐t mixture model for deconvoluting liquid chromatograph mass spectrometry data 反卷积液相色谱仪质谱数据的离散偏t混合模型
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12285
Xuwen Zhu, Xiang Zhang
In this paper, new statistical algorithms for accurate peak detection in the metabolomic data are proposed. Specifically, liquid chromatograph‐mass spectrometry data are analyzed. The discretized skew‐t mixture model for peak detection is proposed. It shows great flexibility and capability in fitting skewed or heavy‐tailed peaks. The methodology is further extended to cross‐sample peak alignment for identifying the true peaks. A measure of peak credibility is provided through the assessment of misclassification probabilities between two cross‐sample peaks. The proposed algorithms are applied to spike‐in data with promising results.
本文提出了一种新的统计算法,用于代谢组学数据的准确峰检测。具体来说,分析了液相色谱-质谱数据。提出了用于峰值检测的离散化skew - t混合模型。它在拟合偏峰或重尾峰方面显示出极大的灵活性和能力。该方法进一步扩展到跨样本峰对齐,以识别真峰。通过评估两个交叉样本峰值之间的错误分类概率,提供了峰值可信度的度量。将所提出的算法应用于峰值数据,取得了令人满意的结果。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Statistica Neerlandica
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