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Asymptotic comparison of negative multinomial and multivariate normal experiments 负多项与多元正态实验的渐近比较
3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12328
Christian Genest, Frédéric Ouimet
This note presents a refined local approximation for the logarithm of the ratio between the negative multinomial probability mass function and a multivariate normal density, both having the same mean–covariance structure. This approximation, which is derived using Stirling's formula and a meticulous treatment of Taylor expansions, yields an upper bound on the Hellinger distance between the jittered negative multinomial distribution and the corresponding multivariate normal distribution. Upper bounds on the Le Cam distance between negative multinomial and multivariate normal experiments ensue.
本文提出了负多项概率质量函数与多元正态密度之间的比率的对数的精细局部近似,两者具有相同的均值协方差结构。这个近似是用斯特林公式和对泰勒展开的细致处理推导出来的,它给出了抖动负多项分布和相应的多元正态分布之间的海灵格距离的上界。负多项式和多元正态实验之间的Le Cam距离的上界随之而来。
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引用次数: 1
New article types in Statistica Neerlandica 新文章类型在统计荷兰
3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12324
Ernst‐Jan Camiel Wit
In May 2023 a new editorial team, consisting of Edwin van den Heuvel, Veronica Vinciotti and myself, Ernst Wit, currently with the help of Casper Albers, have taken over from our predecessors, Nan van Geloven, Marijtje van Duijn, and Miroslav Ristic. We have immediately moved to a new format, of which we have informed you in the previous issue of Statistica Neerlandica, consisting of a fast-turnaround system with the aim of going from first submission to actual publication in two (!) months' time. Despite the efforts required on the part of the editors, associate editors and the publisher Wiley, the system seems to be working as intended. After the first half year, we are seeing the first fruits of this new approach. The first publications of the new regime are already available online, well within the 2-month target, and the number of quality submissions to Statistica Neerlandica is up. Clearly, we need to see how the system will develop in the future, but the first signs are encouraging. Besides the fast-turnaround system, we also want to diversify our offerings in the journal to better connect to the statistical society and the readers of Statistica Neerlandica. For eight decades we have only had the research paper, in which statistical researchers presented their research in a typical 20-page (or so) format. This trusted article type will obviously stay, as it a universal scientific currency with value for researchers and readers alike. From now on, however, we will also accept three new article types, in particular, Short Notes, Tutorials and State-of-the-Art reviews. Short Notes are short contributions that present a single, original, and significant discovery for rapid dissemination. They are aimed at informing colleagues about a finding, useful for the application, computation, methodology or theory of statistics. They should not be longer than 6–7 pages (2,500 words). These short notes can avoid long introductions or conclusions, and they do not need a lot of contextualization. They are little statistical gems, nice insights, useful mathematical tools that can aid the rest of the statistical community. Tutorials are aimed at introducing a general area of statistical theory, statistical methodology, statistical computing, statistical software, or an important application area of statistics. The tutorial should act as an introduction to those not already familiar with the area, and as a review to others. The mathematical level of each depends upon the topic. In all cases, however, the tutorial will strive for the broadest possible audience of researchers who comprise the readership of Statistica Neerlandica. Whereas tutorials are introductory, State-of-the-Art reviews focus on the latest developments. State-of-the-Art reviews aim at bringing an interested statistical audience up-to-date in an important and topical subject in the field of statistics with a focus on summarizing the latest advances. Although they present advanced material, th
2023年5月,一个由Edwin van den Heuvel, Veronica Vinciotti和我,Ernst Wit组成的新编辑团队,目前在Casper Albers的帮助下,接替了我们的前任Nan van Geloven, Marijtje van Duijn和Miroslav Ristic。我们已经立即移动到一个新的格式,其中我们已经通知你在前一个问题的统计荷兰,包括一个快速周转系统,从第一次提交到实际出版的目的在两个(!)个月的时间。尽管编辑、副编辑和出版商Wiley需要付出努力,但这个系统似乎正在按计划工作。上半年过去了,我们看到了这种新方法的初步成果。新制度的第一批出版物已经在网上发布,远远超过了2个月的目标,向荷兰统计局提交的高质量报告数量也在增加。显然,我们需要观察这个系统未来将如何发展,但最初的迹象令人鼓舞。除了快速周转系统,我们还希望使我们在期刊上的产品多样化,以便更好地与统计学会和《荷兰统计》的读者建立联系。80年来,我们只有研究论文,其中统计研究人员以典型的20页(左右)格式展示他们的研究。这种值得信赖的文章类型显然会继续存在,因为它是一种普遍的科学货币,对研究人员和读者都有价值。但是,从现在开始,我们还将接受3种新的文章类型,特别是Short Notes, tutorial和state -of-the- review。短文是一篇简短的文章,它提出了一个单一的、原创的、重要的发现,以便迅速传播。它们的目的是通知同事一个对应用、计算、方法或统计学理论有用的发现。简历不应超过6-7页(2500字)。这些简短的笔记可以避免冗长的介绍或结论,也不需要大量的语境化。它们是小小的统计瑰宝,有很好的见解,有用的数学工具,可以帮助统计社区的其他人。教程旨在介绍统计理论、统计方法、统计计算、统计软件或统计的重要应用领域的一般领域。对于那些不熟悉该领域的人来说,教程应该是一个介绍,同时也是对其他人的一种回顾。每个人的数学水平取决于主题。然而,在所有情况下,本教程都将争取尽可能广泛的研究人员读者,这些研究人员包括《荷兰统计》的读者。教程是介绍性的,而最新的评论则侧重于最新的发展。最新的评论旨在使有兴趣的统计读者了解统计领域中一个重要和热门主题的最新情况,重点是总结最新进展。虽然它们提供了先进的材料,但它们应该是专门和感兴趣的统计学家,而不仅仅是专家可以访问的。它们应该为感兴趣的研究人员提供一种方法,使他们能够迅速掌握某一统计主题的最新技术。因此,最先进的文章应该限制在大约12-13页(5000字)。在我们努力使《荷兰统计》再次成为Q1期刊的过程中,我们邀请社区向我们提供建议,向我们反馈我们的工作情况,当然,还请向期刊提交手稿,可以是研究论文,也可以是三种新格式之一:简短说明、教程或最新评论。我们期待着收到更多高质量的提交。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial statistics 编辑数据
3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12325
Edwin van den Heuvel, Veronica Vinciotti, Ernst‐Jan Camiel Wit
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引用次数: 0
Connections between two classes of estimators for single‐index models 单指标模型的两类估计量之间的联系
3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12329
Weichao Yang, Xu Guo, Niwen Zhou, Changliang Zou
Single‐index model is a very popular and powerful semiparametric model. As an improvement of the maximum rank correlation estimator, [[spiapacite]]bib1[[/spiapacite]] proposed the linearized maximum rank correlation estimator. We show that this estimator has some interesting connections with the distribution‐transformed least‐squares estimator for single‐index models. We also propose a rescaled distribution‐transformed least‐squares estimator, which is mathematically equivalent to the linearized maximum rank correlation estimator when the distribution of the response is absolutely continuous. Despite some nontrivial connections, the two estimation procedures are different in terms of motivations, interpretations, and applications. We discuss some of the differences between the two estimation procedures. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
单指标模型是一种非常流行且功能强大的半参数模型。作为对最大秩相关估计器的改进,[[spiapacite]]bib1[[/spiapacite]]提出了线性化最大秩相关估计器。我们证明了这个估计量与单指标模型的分布变换最小二乘估计量有一些有趣的联系。我们还提出了一个重标化的分布变换最小二乘估计量,当响应分布绝对连续时,它在数学上等同于线性化的最大秩相关估计量。尽管有一些重要的联系,但这两种评估过程在动机、解释和应用方面是不同的。我们将讨论这两种估计过程之间的一些差异。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
Testing Conditional Independence in Casual Inference for Time Series Data 时间序列数据随机推理的条件独立性检验
3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12323
Zongwu Cai, Ying Fang, Ming Lin, Shengfang Tang
In this paper, we propose a new procedure to test conditional independence assumption in studying casual inference for time series data. The conditional independence assumption is transformed to a nonparametric conditional moment test with the help of auxiliary variables which are allowed to affect policy choice but the dependence can be fully captured by potential outcomes and observable controls. When the policy choice is binary, a nonparametric statistic test is developed further for testing the conditional independence assumption conditional on policy propensity score. Under some regular conditions, we show that the proposed test statistics are asymptotically normal under the null hypotheses for time series data. In addition, the performances of the proposed methods are illustrated through Monte Carlo simulations and a real example considered in Angrist and Kuersteiner (2011).
本文提出了一种检验时间序列随机推理中条件独立性假设的新方法。在辅助变量的帮助下,将条件独立假设转换为非参数条件矩检验,这些辅助变量允许影响策略选择,但依赖性可以通过潜在结果和可观察控制完全捕获。当策略选择为二元时,进一步发展了非参数统计检验,用于检验以策略倾向得分为条件的条件独立假设。在一些正则条件下,我们证明了所提出的检验统计量在零假设下是渐近正态的。此外,所提出的方法的性能通过Monte Carlo模拟和Angrist和Kuersteiner(2011)中考虑的一个真实例子来说明。
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引用次数: 0
An Informative Prior distribution on Functions with Application to Functional Regression 函数的信息先验分布及其在函数回归中的应用
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12322
C. Abraham
We provide a prior distribution for a functional parameter so that its trajectories are smooth and vanish on a given subset. This distribution can be interpreted as the distribution of an initial Gaussian process conditioned to be zero on a given subset. Precisely, we show that the initial Gaussian process is the sum of the conditioned process and an independent process with probability one and that all the processes have the same almost sure regularity. This prior distribution is use to provide an interpretable estimate of the coefficient function in the linear scalar‐on‐function regression; by interpretable, we mean a smooth function that may possibly be zero on some intervals. We apply our model in a simulation and real case studies with two different priors for the null region of the coefficient function. In one case, the null region is known to be an unknown single interval. In the other case, it can be any unknown unions of intervals.This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
我们提供了一个函数参数的先验分布,使得它的轨迹在给定的子集上是光滑的和消失的。这个分布可以解释为初始高斯过程在给定子集上条件为零的分布。准确地说,我们证明了初始高斯过程是有条件过程和一个概率为1的独立过程的和,并且所有的过程都具有相同的几乎确定的规律性。该先验分布用于提供线性标量函数回归中系数函数的可解释估计;所谓可解释,我们指的是一个平滑函数,它可能在某些区间上为零。我们将我们的模型应用于模拟和实际案例研究中,对系数函数的零区有两种不同的先验。在一种情况下,已知空区域是一个未知的单个区间。在另一种情况下,它可以是任何未知的区间并集。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
Semiparametric Recovery of Central Dimension Reduction Space with Nonignorable Nonresponse‪ 具有不可忽略非响应的中心降维空间半参数恢复
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12321
Siming Zheng, Alan T.K. Wan, Yong Zhou
Sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods are effective tools for handling high dimensional data. Classical SDR methods are developed under the assumption that the data are completely observed. When the data are incomplete due to missing values, SDR has only been considered when the data are randomly missing, but not when they are non‐ignorably missing, which is arguably more difficult to handle due to the missing values' dependence on the reasons they are missing. The purpose of this paper is to fill this void. We propose an intuitive, easy‐to‐implement SDR estimator based on a semiparametric propensity score function for response data with non‐ignorable missing values. We refer to it as the dimension reduction‐based imputed estimator. We establish the theoretical properties of this estimator and examine its empirical performance via an extensive numerical study on real and simulated data. As well, we compare the performance of our proposed dimension reduction‐based imputed estimator with two competing estimators, including the fusion refined estimator and cumulative slicing estimator. A distinguishing feature of our method is that it requires no validation sample. The SDR theory developed in this paper is a non‐trivial extension of the existing literature, due to the technical challenges posed by non‐ignorable missingness. All the technical proofs of the theorems are given in the Online Supplementary Material.This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
充分降维方法是处理高维数据的有效工具。经典的SDR方法是在完全观测数据的假设下发展起来的。当数据由于缺失值而不完整时,SDR只在数据随机缺失时被考虑,而在数据不可忽略缺失时则不被考虑,由于缺失值依赖于它们缺失的原因,这可以说是更难以处理。本文的目的就是填补这一空白。我们提出了一个直观的,易于实现的基于半参数倾向评分函数的SDR估计器,用于具有不可忽略缺失值的响应数据。我们将其称为基于降维的估算估计器。我们建立了该估计器的理论性质,并通过对真实和模拟数据的广泛数值研究来检验其经验性能。此外,我们还比较了我们提出的基于降维的估计器与两种竞争估计器的性能,包括融合改进估计器和累积切片估计器。我们的方法的一个显著特征是它不需要验证样本。由于不可忽视的缺失所带来的技术挑战,本文中发展的SDR理论是对现有文献的非平凡扩展。所有这些定理的技术证明都在在线补充材料中给出。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
The Yates, Conover and Mantel statistics in 2×2 tables revisited (and extended) Yates, Conover和Mantel在2×2表中的统计数据重新访问(并扩展)
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12320
A. Martín Andrés, Álvarez Hernández M, Gayá Moreno F
Asymptotic inferences about the difference, ratio or odds‐ratio of two independent proportions are very common in diverse fields. This article defines for each parameter eight conditional inference methods. These methods depend on: (1) using a chi‐squared type statistic or a z type one; (2) using the classic Yates continuity correction or the less well‐known Conover one; and (3) whether the p‐value of the test is determined by doubling the one‐tailed p‐value or by the Mantel method (asymmetrical approach). In all cases, the conclusions are: (i) the methods based on the chi‐squared statistic should not be used, as they are too liberal; (ii) for those in favour of using the criterion of doubling the p‐value, the best method is using the z statistic with Conover continuity correction; and (iii) for those in favour of the asymmetrical approach, the best method is based on the z statistic with Conover continuity correction and the Mantel p‐value.This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
关于两个独立比例的差、比或比值比的渐近推断在各个领域都很常见。本文为每个参数定义了八种条件推理方法。这些方法取决于:(1)使用卡平方型统计量或z型统计量;(2)使用经典的耶茨连续性校正或不太为人所知的康诺弗连续性校正;(3)检验的p值是通过将单尾p值加倍还是通过曼特尔方法(不对称方法)确定的。在所有情况下,结论是:(i)不应该使用基于卡平方统计量的方法,因为它们过于自由;(ii)对于那些赞成使用p值加倍标准的人,最好的方法是使用具有Conover连续性校正的z统计量;(iii)对于那些赞成不对称方法的人来说,最好的方法是基于具有Conover连续性校正和Mantel p值的z统计量。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
Improved estimation of average treatment effects under covariate‐adaptive randomization methods 协变量自适应随机化方法下平均治疗效果的改进估计
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12319
Jun Wang, Yahe Yu
Estimation of the average treatment effect is one of the crucial problems in clinical trials for two or multiple treatments. The covariate‐adaptive randomization methods are often applied to balance treatment assignments across prognostic factors in clinical trials, such as the minimization and stratified permuted blocks method. We propose a model‐free estimator of average treatment effects under covariate‐adaptive randomization methods, which is least square adjustment for the estimator of outcome models. The proposed estimator is not only applicable to the case of binary treatment, but also can be extended to the case of multiple treatment. The proposed estimator is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. Simulation studies show that the proposed estimator and Ye's estimator are comparable, and it performs better than Bugni's estimator when the outcome model is linear. The proposed estimator has some advantages over targeted maximum likelihood estimator, Bugni's estimator and Ye's estimator in terms of the standard error and root mean squared error when the outcome model is nonlinear. The proposed estimator is stable for the from of outcome model. Finally, we apply the proposed methodology to a data set that studies the causal effect promotional videos mode on the school‐age children's educational attainment in Peru.This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
在两种或多种治疗的临床试验中,平均治疗效果的估计是关键问题之一。在临床试验中,协变量自适应随机化方法通常用于平衡预后因素之间的治疗分配,例如最小化和分层排列块方法。我们提出了协变量自适应随机化方法下平均治疗效果的无模型估计量,即结果模型估计量的最小二乘调整。所提出的估计量不仅适用于二元处理的情况,而且可以推广到多重处理的情况。所提出的估计量是一致且渐近正态分布的。仿真研究表明,该估计量与Ye的估计量具有可比性,且在输出模型为线性的情况下,其性能优于Bugni的估计量。当结果模型为非线性时,所提出的估计量在标准误差和均方根误差方面优于目标极大似然估计量、Bugni估计量和Ye估计量。所提出的估计量对于结果模型是稳定的。最后,我们将提出的方法应用于一个数据集,该数据集研究了宣传片模式对秘鲁学龄儿童教育成就的因果效应。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
Franklin's Randomized Response Model With Correlated Scrambled Variables 富兰克林的随机反应模型与相关的混乱变量
IF 1.5 3区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1111/stan.12318
Christopher Aguirre‐Hamilton, Stephen A. Sedory, Sarjinder Singh
We propose two types of estimators that are analogous to Franklin's model. One estimator is derived by concentrating on the row averages of the responses, and another is obtained by concentrating on the column averages of the observed responses. In the latter case we have two responses per respondent from a bi‐variate normal distribution. The proposed estimator based on row averages, by making use of negatively correlated random numbers from a multivariate density, is always more efficient than the corresponding Franklin's estimator. In the case of the proposed estimator based on column averages, we found that the use of positively correlated random numbers from a bivariate density can lead to the most efficient estimator. We also discuss results which are observed by making use of three responses per respondent. When the three responses are recorded, three independent normal densities are derived from three correlated variables. The findings are supported based on analytical, numerical and simulation studies. A simulation study was done to determine the minimum sample size required to produce non‐negative estimates of the population proportion of a sensitive characteristic, and to investigate the 95% nominal coverage by the interval estimates. Ultimately at the end, one best estimator is suggested. A very neat and clean derivations of theoretical results and discussion of numerical and simulation studies are documented in online supplementary material.This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
我们提出了两种类似于富兰克林模型的估计器。一个估计量是通过集中于响应的行平均值得到的,另一个估计量是通过集中于观察到的响应的列平均值得到的。在后一种情况下,我们从双变量正态分布中得到每个应答者的两个回答。所提出的基于行平均值的估计器,通过利用来自多元密度的负相关随机数,总是比相应的富兰克林估计器更有效。在基于列平均值的估计器的情况下,我们发现使用来自二元密度的正相关随机数可以产生最有效的估计器。我们还讨论了通过使用每个受访者的三个回答来观察到的结果。当记录三个响应时,三个独立的正态密度由三个相关变量导出。这些发现得到了分析、数值和模拟研究的支持。进行了模拟研究,以确定产生敏感特征总体比例的非负估计所需的最小样本量,并通过区间估计调查95%的名义覆盖率。最后,给出了一个最好的估计器。一个非常整洁和干净的推导理论结果和讨论的数值和模拟研究记录在网上补充材料。这篇文章受版权保护。版权所有。
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引用次数: 0
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Statistica Neerlandica
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