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Advancing ecosystem services auctions: Insights from an international Delphi panel 推进生态系统服务拍卖:国际德尔菲小组的见解
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101647
Logan Bingham , Peter Boxall , Riccardo Da Re , Stuart Whitten , Thomas Knoke , José G. Borges

Auction theory has made major contributions to overcoming allocation problems involving asymmetric information and common-pool resources, leading to multiple Nobel Prizes and serving as a foundation for multi-billion-dollar markets. Despite evidence that related mechanisms could enhance the performance of payments for ecosystem services (PES), adoption has been sporadic and inconsistent. One possibility is that the relevant peer reviewed literature has low visibility or consensus design elements are not sufficiently accessible to interested experts. To overcome this barrier, we adopt a straightforward approach: we asked the PES auction subfield to describe itself. In collaboration with an expert panel (n = 32) whose affiliations span more than two dozen universities and research bodies across three continents—including top-ranked economists, ecosystem services theorists, and practitioners with experience designing and implementing PES programs with and without auctions—we synthesize a birds-eye view of ecosystem services auctions for an interdisciplinary audience. Through an iterative, mixed-method Delphi consultation, we identify broad consensus about fundamental elements of theory and practice, including what functions auctions tend to perform well, common challenges, and key factors influencing their performance. By selecting topics that panelists appeared to disagree about for further discussion, we also highlight open questions and potential research frontiers. We conclude with a reflection on using the Delphi method to foster exchange between time-constrained experts.

拍卖理论为克服涉及信息不对称和共用资源的分配问题做出了重大贡献,多次获得诺贝尔奖,并为价值数十亿美元的市场奠定了基础。尽管有证据表明,相关机制可以提高生态系统服务补偿(PES)的绩效,但采用情况却时有发生且不一致。其中一个可能的原因是,相关的同行评议文献知名度较低,或者感兴趣的专家无法充分了解共识设计要素。为了克服这一障碍,我们采用了一种直接的方法:我们要求生态系统服务补偿拍卖子领域进行自我描述。我们与一个专家小组(= 32)合作,该小组成员来自三大洲的二十多所大学和研究机构,其中包括一流的经济学家、生态系统服务理论家以及在设计和实施生态系统服务补偿项目(无论是否采用拍卖)方面拥有丰富经验的实践者,我们为跨学科受众综合了生态系统服务拍卖的鸟瞰图。通过迭代、混合方法德尔菲咨询,我们就理论和实践的基本要素达成了广泛共识,包括拍卖往往能很好地履行哪些功能、常见挑战以及影响其绩效的关键因素。通过选择小组成员似乎存在分歧的主题进行进一步讨论,我们还强调了开放性问题和潜在的研究前沿。最后,我们对使用德尔菲法促进时间有限的专家之间的交流进行了反思。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing individual and collective valuation of ecosystem service tradeoffs: A case study from montane forests in southern California, USA 比较生态系统服务权衡的个人估值和集体估值:美国加利福尼亚州南部山地森林案例研究
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101648
Haotian Cheng , Francisco J. Escobedo , Alyssa S. Thomas , Jesus Felix De Los Reyes , José R. Soto

Accounting for the tradeoffs and importance urban, disadvantaged communities place on ecosystem services has implications for the management of nearby forests. Although stated preference valuation approaches are often used, they are based on an individual’s perspective and rarely account for collective or societal values. Thus, alternative methods are needed to capture this dichotomy from urban communities who may not even be aware of these benefits to themselves or society at-large. We explored individual and collective importance of, and tradeoffs for, ecosystem services (ES) and ecosystem disservices (ED) by urban residents living near montane forests in greater Los Angeles, California, USA. Using an online panel survey, individual (I-rationality) versus collective (We-rationality) scenarios, best-worst scaling (BWS) choice experiments, and latent class analyses, we ranked the importance and tradeoffs among ES-ED attributes to nearby residents based on the frequency of visits to montane forests as well as Hispanic ethnicity. Results show statistically significant tradeoffs and differences in importance rankings between individual versus collective valuation scenarios. Under the individual valuation scenario, non-Hispanics highly ranked the high forest density indicator, which has implications for wildfire EDs to montane forests and communities. Gender and income were more influential sociodemographic factors affecting importance for water and recreation-related ES than was education. Our BWS and econometric methods, attributes, and importance rankings can facilitate participatory processes with diverse urban communities and designing more effective policies and management guidelines. This approach can also more inclusively, and equitably, account for the tradeoffs and values that nearby urban communities place on ES/ED from Wildland-Urban Interface forests.

考虑城市弱势社区对生态系统服务的权衡和重视程度对附近森林的管理具有影响。虽然陈述偏好估值方法经常被使用,但它们基于个人视角,很少考虑集体或社会价值。因此,需要采用其他方法来捕捉城市社区的这种两极分化现象,因为城市社区可能根本没有意识到这些服务对其自身或整个社会的益处。我们探讨了居住在美国加利福尼亚州大洛杉矶地区山地森林附近的城市居民对生态系统服务 (ES) 和生态系统不利服务 (ED) 的个人和集体重要性及权衡。通过在线小组调查、个人(理性)与集体(理性)情景、最佳-最差比例(BWS)选择实验以及潜类分析,我们根据居民访问山地森林的频率以及西班牙裔的情况,对其生态系统服务(ES)-生态系统服务(ED)属性的重要性和权衡进行了排序。结果表明,在个人估值与集体估值情景之间,重要程度的权衡和排序差异在统计学上具有重要意义。在个人估价情景下,非西班牙裔人对森林密度高指标的排序很高,这对山地森林和社区的野火应急教育有影响。与教育程度相比,性别和收入是影响水和娱乐相关 ES 重要性的更重要的社会人口因素。我们的 BWS 和计量经济学方法、属性和重要性排名可以促进不同城市社区的参与进程,并设计出更有效的政策和管理指南。这种方法可以更全面、更公平地考虑附近城市社区对荒地-城市结合部森林的 ES/ED 的取舍和价值。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities to integrate Ecosystem Services into Life Cycle Assessment (LCA): a case study of milk production in Brazil 将生态系统服务纳入生命周期评估(LCA)的机会:巴西牛奶生产案例研究
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101646
Daiane Vitória da Silva , Ana Laura Raymundo Pavan , Luiz Carlos de Faria , Cassiano Moro Piekarski , Yovana María Barrera Saavedra , Diogo A. Lopes Silva

World dairy production is growing rapidly having increased by 339 million tons over the last twenty years. However, it remains unclear how anthropic activities in the milk sector can impact the Ecosystem Services (ES) supply to society. The aim of this study was to propose and determine the Net Environmental Performance (NEP) of different milk production systems. For this purpose, a case study on a confined compost barn farm, located in southeastern Brazil was selected as reference scenario and compared with three other systems. The mapping of ES benefits was carried out using the Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services, while environmental impacts were calculated using Life Cycle Assessment (LCA). The LCA results and ecosystem benefits were combined and converted into monetary units to calculate the NEP per 1 kg of milk. The results indicated that semi-confined systems had the worst environmental performance (90 % more impacts) compared to the compost barn milk system. On the other hand, confined systems generate few ES benefits, but their environmental impacts were lower for most LCA impact categories (up to 87 % minimized impacts) compared to semi-confined systems. Finally, we concluded the confined systems in SP and PR showed the best NEP (1.07 and 1.48) aiming for both environmental impacts and ES benefits to fit the win–win situation.

世界乳制品产量增长迅速,在过去二十年中增加了 3.39 亿吨。然而,人类在牛奶行业的活动如何影响为社会提供的生态系统服务(ES),目前仍不清楚。本研究旨在提出并确定不同牛奶生产系统的净环境绩效 (NEP)。为此,我们选择了位于巴西东南部的一个封闭堆肥牛舍农场作为参考方案,并与其他三个系统进行了比较。利用国际通用生态系统服务分类法绘制了生态系统效益图,并利用生命周期评估(LCA)计算了环境影响。生命周期评估结果与生态系统效益相结合,并转换成货币单位,计算出每 1 千克牛奶的 NEP。结果表明,与堆肥牛舍牛奶系统相比,半封闭系统的环境绩效最差(影响增加 90%)。另一方面,密闭系统产生的环境效益很少,但与半密闭系统相比,其对大多数生命周期评估影响类别的环境影响较小(影响最小化达 87%)。最后,我们得出结论,在 SP 和 PR 的封闭系统中,NEP 值(1.07 和 1.48)最佳,既能满足环境影响,又能满足环境效益,实现双赢。
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引用次数: 0
Using the Ecosystem Services assessment tool TESSA to balance the multiple landscape demands of increasing woodlands in a UK national park 利用生态系统服务评估工具 TESSA 平衡英国国家公园林地增加的多种景观需求
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101644
Sara V. Iversen , Michael A. MacDonald , Naomi van der Velden , Arnout van Soesbergen , Ian Convery , Lois Mansfield , Claire D.S. Holt

Upland regions in the UK are increasingly under consideration as potential areas for the creation of woodlands. This is driven by a combination of factors, including the aims of UK forestry policy to increase woodland cover, changes in current upland land-use and management, agri-environment schemes in national and international policy and an increasing public awareness of the ecosystem service benefits landscapes can deliver for society. Creating new woodlands in upland areas is challenging, partly due to concerns of potential impacts from a change in land use and stakeholder interests. This study considers a 250 km2 Cumbrian (England) upland landscape dominated by sheep grazing and, using an established ecosystem service assessment tool (TESSA), estimates the provision of ecosystem services under plausible alternative woodland creation scenarios. The assessment focuses on key ecosystem goods and services, which are identified by stakeholders to be of high importance to the study area, and the potential changes to those under the scenarios. The results indicate that, under lower woodland percentage scenarios (10 %), minor benefits are expected. However, a more complex outcome would be expected from the higher percentage woodland scenarios (75 %) with the woodland cover of 50 % identified as providing the highest overall benefit to society.

英国的高地地区正越来越多地被视为建立林地的潜在区域。这是由多种因素共同推动的,包括英国林业政策增加林地覆盖率的目标、当前高地土地利用和管理的变化、国家和国际政策中的农业环境计划以及公众对景观可为社会带来的生态系统服务效益的认识不断提高。在高地创建新林地具有挑战性,部分原因是担心土地用途的改变和利益相关者的利益会带来潜在影响。本研究考虑了英格兰坎布里亚 250 平方公里以牧羊为主的高地景观,并使用成熟的生态系统服务评估工具 (TESSA),估算了在合理的替代林地创建方案下提供的生态系统服务。评估的重点是利益相关者认为对研究区域非常重要的关键生态系统产品和服务,以及这些产品和服务在各种方案下可能发生的变化。结果表明,在林地比例较低(10%)的方案下,预计会产生较小的效益。然而,在林地覆盖率较高的方案(75%)中,预计会产生更复杂的结果,其中 50% 的林地覆盖率被认为可为社会带来最高的整体效益。
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引用次数: 0
Considering the land-cover elasticity of ecosystem service value coefficients improves assessments of large land-use changes 考虑生态系统服务价值系数的土地覆盖弹性可改进对大规模土地利用变化的评估
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101645
Thomas Knoke , Peter Elsasser , Mengistie Kindu

Economic development often impacts on ecosystem services. Previous studies have raised public and political awareness of the costs associated with such impacts and the benefits of ecosystem services. In cases where empirical information on the value of ecosystem services is lacking, benefit transfer (BT) approaches that use value estimates from a previously studied site to estimate the economic values of a new target area have been established. One of the most popular BT approaches is unit value transfer, where constant ecosystem service value coefficients are used to assess a given land-use/land-cover (LULC) change. In several case studies assessing LULC changes, such unit value transfers with constant value coefficients are biased when nonmarginal changes are involved. Theoretical considerations suggest that large changes in land allocation should alter the opportunity costs of gaining or losing natural capital because the marginal costs of additional losses increase as some LULC types become scarcer (e.g. natural ecosystems). In contrast, marginal benefits shrink as other LULC types become more abundant (e.g. agricultural replacement systems).

Here, we propose an improved method for assessing larger scale (i.e., at national levels and beyond) LULC changes using endogenous value coefficients that account for the size of the land cover allocated to each LULC type and derive an equation for calculating these coefficients. The extent to which the value coefficient changes with variations in the land cover area depends on the land-cover elasticity of the value coefficient. Using a hypothetical numerical example of an area of tropical forest converted into grassland, we show that the bias caused by neglecting this land-cover elasticity can be considerable. We also demonstrate how the elasticity needed to correct the value coefficient can be estimated empirically. Finally, we suggest some modifications for future studies assessing large LULC changes.

经济发展通常会对生态系统服务产生影响。先前的研究提高了公众和政界对此类影响的相关成本及生态系统服务效益的认识。在缺乏有关生态系统服务价值的经验信息的情况下,人们建立了效益转移 (BT) 方法,利用先前研究过的地点的价值估算来估算新目标区域的经济价值。最流行的 BT 方法之一是单位价值转移,即使用恒定的生态系统服务价值系数来评估特定的土地利用/土地覆被 (LULC) 变化。在一些评估 LULC 变化的案例研究中,当涉及非边际变化时,这种使用恒定价值系数的单位价值转移会产生偏差。理论上的考虑表明,土地分配的巨大变化应该会改变获得或失去自然资本的机会成本,因为当某些 LULC 类型(如自然生态系统)变得稀缺时,额外损失的边际成本会增加。在此,我们提出了一种改进的方法,利用内生价值系数来评估更大规模(即国家级及以上级别)的 LULC 变化,该系数考虑了分配给每种 LULC 类型的土地覆被面积,并推导出了计算这些系数的方程。价值系数随土地覆被面积变化而变化的程度取决于价值系数的土地覆被弹性。通过一个热带森林转化为草地的假定数字示例,我们证明了忽略这种土地覆被弹性所造成的偏差可能相当大。我们还演示了如何根据经验估算出修正价值系数所需的弹性。最后,我们为今后评估大规模土地覆被变化的研究提出了一些修改建议。
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引用次数: 0
The nexus between pressures and ecosystem services in floodplains: New methods to integrate stakeholders’ knowledge for water quality management in Serbia 洪泛区压力与生态系统服务之间的关系:为塞尔维亚水质管理整合利益相关者知识的新方法
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101643
Milica Ilić , Zorica Srđević , Bojan Srđević , Barbara Stammel , Tim Borgs , Pavel Benka , Jasna Grabić , Senka Ždero

Floodplains provide a wide range of interdependent ecosystem services (ES) that more or less correlate with water quality. Any change to one component of the ecosystem can have a ripple effect on parts of or on the whole system. We tested a methodology that integrates collaborative learning and creation processes with stakeholders aimed at (1) identifying causal relationships between water quality-related ecosystem services of floodplains themselves and between ES and the pressures they encounter by using fuzzy cognitive mapping, and (2) visualizing “what-if” scenarios of the potential impact of changing pressures on selected ES, as the authors’ contribution to extending the methodology. The approach is tested on the case study of the Koviljsko-petrovaradinski rit floodplain in Serbia. Ten ES and five pressures selected as most important by stakeholders were used to create the sophisticated fuzzy cognitive model and assess the influence of pressures’ increase or decrease on given ES. Using the model, ideal (all pressures minimized) and optimal (stakeholders defined realistic level of reduction of pressures) scenarios were analyzed and mapped for the ‘Habitat provisioning’ service. The impact of maximization of each particular pressure on ES is assessed as well. The results indicate that ‘Wastewater‘ has the greatest negative influence on all ES (particularly on ‘Plant biomass grassland’); it is followed by ‘Land take’ and ‘Drought events’. If wastewater pressure is reduced to the minimum, the results obtained are similar to the optimal scenario. The proposed approach facilitates a comprehensive assessment of the floodplain’s potential to provide ES under different pressures and enhances stakeholders’ integrated understanding of the complex floodplain ecosystem and its services. This, in turn, together with the visualization of the different scenarios, enables more effective decision-making and management strategies for floodplains.

洪泛区提供了广泛的相互依存的生态系统服务 (ES),这些服务或多或少与水质相关。生态系统中一个组成部分的任何变化都会对整个系统的部分或全部产生连锁反应。我们测试了一种方法,该方法整合了与利益相关者的协作学习和创造过程,旨在:(1) 通过使用模糊认知绘图,确定洪泛区本身与水质相关的生态系统服务之间的因果关系,以及生态系统服务与它们所面临的压力之间的因果关系;(2) 将压力变化对选定生态系统服务的潜在影响的 "假设 "情景可视化,作为作者对扩展该方法的贡献。该方法在塞尔维亚 Koviljsko-petrovaradinski rit 洪泛平原的案例研究中进行了测试。利益相关者选择了 10 种生态系统和 5 种最重要的压力,用于创建复杂的模糊认知模型,并评估压力增减对特定生态系统的影响。利用该模型,对 "生境供应 "服务的理想(所有压力最小化)和最佳(利益相关者定义的压力减少的现实水平)方案进行了分析和规划。同时还评估了每种特定压力最大化对 ES 的影响。结果表明,"废水 "对所有生态系统(尤其是 "植物生物量草地")的负面影响最大,其次是 "土地占用 "和 "干旱事件"。如果将废水压力降到最低,得到的结果与最佳方案相似。建议的方法有助于全面评估洪泛区在不同压力下提供生态系统服务的潜力,并增强利益相关者对复杂的洪泛区生态系统及其服务的综合理解。这反过来又与不同方案的可视化相结合,使洪泛区的决策和管理策略更加有效。
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引用次数: 0
The importance of ecosystem services to support the governance of critical ecological assets 生态系统服务对支持关键生态资产治理的重要性
IF 6.1 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101642
Alessandra La Notte

Ecosystem services (ES) are the ecosystem contribution to human well-being: they bridge ecosystems with socio-economic systems, in terms of both impacts and dependencies. So far, most of the research on ES focused on the services delivered “here and now”, i.e. where spatial location of ecosystem providers and human users can be defined and when the delivery of the needed services can be allocated to the current generations. However, especially when considering the medium- and long-term effects of climate change adaptation, there is the need to start projecting the scope of the services beyond national boundaries and to the future generations. Although formally listed and acknowledged, many ES currently miss applications able to support appropriate biophysical assessment and valuation. In this respect, it is time to start considering ES that go beyond the “here” because they serve the global society, and beyond the “now” because they consider long terms impacts. This article identifies possible streams of these “not-here, not-now” ES that requires developing applications, as it is already happening for many other ES. Such ES, in fact, contribute to identify long-term “critical ecological asset”, whose assessment can provide important environmental metrics for economic and financial analyses.

生态系统服务(ES)是生态系统对人类福祉的贡献:从影响和依赖性两方面来说,它们是生态系统与社会经济系统之间的桥梁。迄今为止,大多数关于生态系统服务的研究都集中在 "此时此地 "提供的服务上,即生态系统提供者和人类使用者的空间位置可以确定,以及所需的服务可以分配给当代人。然而,特别是在考虑适应气候变化的中长期影响时,有必要开始将服务范围预测到国界之外和子孙后代。尽管许多环境服务已被正式列出并得到认可,但目前还没有能够支持适当的生物物理评估和估值的应用程序。在这方面,现在是时候开始考虑超越 "此地 "的 ES 了,因为它们服务于全球社会,也超越了 "现在",因为它们考虑的是长期影响。本文确定了这些 "非此时、非此地 "ES 的可能流向,需要开发应用,正如许多其他 ES 已经在做的那样。事实上,这些生态系统服务有助于确定长期的 "关键生态资产",其评估可为经济和金融分析提供重要的环境指标。
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引用次数: 0
Systematic conservation planning for people and nature: Biodiversity, ecosystem services, and equitable benefit sharing 为人类和自然制定系统的保护规划:生物多样性、生态系统服务和公平惠益分享
IF 7.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101637
Myriam J. Perschke , Linda R. Harris , Kerry J. Sink , Amanda T. Lombard

Including human dimensions in conservation practice is increasingly recognized as being essential for creating sustainable and equitable solutions to the current biodiversity crisis. However, including ecosystem services in conservation planning is challenging because services can be intangible and difficult to map, and incorporating equitable access to the resulting benefits of ecosystem services has hardly been considered. Ecological Infrastructure (EI) is a promising framework for integrating ecosystem services into systematic conservation planning (SCP), yet its application remains to be tested. We aimed to quantify the effects of including EI, with and without equitable access, in a biodiversity-based SCP, where EI is the spatial representation of ecosystem services. We took an experimental, scenario-planning approach, running five scenarios in Marxan software with different combinations of input features: biodiversity (n = 135 features), EI (n = 6) and EI with equitable access (hereafter EI*, n = 84) for the South African coastal zone. The resulting conservation networks were compared using multivariate statistics, considering: the proportion of feature targets met; coverage of core areas (areas with 100 % selection frequency for biodiversity features, EI, and EI*); conservation network size and cost; and spatial configuration. Including biodiversity and equitable access drove the dissimilarity among scenarios, and only when all input features were included, were all core areas well covered and all feature targets met. Therefore, biodiversity features were not an adequate surrogate for EI or EI*, and including ecosystem services (via EI*) in SCP is necessary to ensure equitable access to benefits. However, including EI increased the mean size (7.0 % more planning units) and cost (by 9.1 %) of conservation networks. Despite this, the social and economic benefits of investing in EI (e.g., securing dunes for coastal protection) likely outweigh these costs, especially in the longer term.

越来越多的人认识到,在保护实践中纳入人类因素对于为当前的生物多样性危机提供可持续的公平解决方案至关重要。然而,将生态系统服务纳入保护规划具有挑战性,因为服务可能是无形的,难以绘制地图,而且几乎没有人考虑过公平获取生态系统服务带来的益处。生态基础设施(EI)是将生态系统服务纳入系统保护规划(SCP)的一个前景广阔的框架,但其应用仍有待检验。我们的目标是量化在基于生物多样性的 SCP(EI 是生态系统服务的空间代表)中纳入 EI(有公平获取和无公平获取)的效果。我们采用了一种实验性情景规划方法,在 Marxan 软件中运行了五种情景,并对输入特征进行了不同的组合:南非沿海地区的生物多样性(n = 135 个特征)、EI(n = 6)和公平获取的 EI(以下简称 EI*,n = 84)。利用多变量统计对由此产生的保护网络进行比较,考虑因素包括:达到特征目标的比例;核心区域的覆盖范围(生物多样性特征、EI 和 EI* 的选择频率为 100% 的区域);保护网络的规模和成本;以及空间配置。将生物多样性和公平获取包括在内导致了不同方案之间的差异,只有当所有输入特征都包括在内时,才能很好地覆盖所有核心区域并实现所有特征目标。因此,生物多样性特征并不能充分替代 EI 或 EI*,将生态系统服务(通过 EI*)纳入 SCP 是确保公平获取效益的必要条件。然而,纳入生态系统服务增加了保护网络的平均规模(规划单位增加了 7.0%)和成本(增加了 9.1%)。尽管如此,投资于环境影响指标的社会和经济效益(例如,确保沙丘用于海岸保护)很可能超过这些成本,特别是在长期。
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引用次数: 0
Potential impacts of climate change on ecosystem services in Austria 气候变化对奥地利生态系统服务的潜在影响
IF 7.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101641
Uta Schirpke , Erich Tasser

Climate change is considered a major driver for environmental changes and impacts on human well-being. Understanding the relationships between climatic changes and ecosystem services (ES) is therefore crucial to develop effective adaption and mitigation measures. However, studies that comprehensively assess climate change impacts on ES, providing also spatially explicit information, are greatly lacking. To address this gap, this study aims at assessing and mapping potential impacts on multiple ES in Central Europe, using the example of Austria. Our analysis steps included (1) mapping provisioning, regulating, and cultural ES (n = 19) using a land use/cover-based approach, (2) deriving potential impacts on indicators (n = 58), used to assess ES, through a literature analysis, (3) mapping potential impacts on ES in qualitative terms, and (4) analysing spatial patterns across Austria. Our results indicate that, in particular, water-related ES and cultural ES will decline, while some provisioning and regulating ES will improve. The spatial analysis revealed that regions located in the south-eastern parts of Austria will be potentially affected the most by climate change impacts, while less ES will decline in western mountain regions. Our findings contribute to the knowledge base for decision-making at different governance levels, supporting the development of policies and management strategies at the national and international level, as well as fostering communication with stakeholders and the elaboration of targeted management plans at the local and regional level. Our proposed mapping approach is easily transferable to other regions, but future research should address current limitations related to uncertainties in climate projections, the clear distinction of climate-induced impacts, and the role of climate-related hazards.

气候变化被认为是环境变化和对人类福祉影响的主要驱动因素。因此,了解气候变化与生态系统服务(ES)之间的关系对于制定有效的适应和减缓措施至关重要。然而,全面评估气候变化对生态系统服务(ES)的影响并提供明确空间信息的研究却非常缺乏。为了填补这一空白,本研究以奥地利为例,旨在评估和绘制中欧多种环境系统可能受到的影响。我们的分析步骤包括:(1)使用基于土地利用/覆盖率的方法绘制供给、调节和文化环境(n = 19)图;(2)通过文献分析得出对用于评估环境的指标(n = 58)的潜在影响;(3)绘制定性环境潜在影响图;以及(4)分析整个奥地利的空间模式。我们的研究结果表明,与水相关的生态系统服务和文化生态系统服务将会减少,而一些供给和调节生态系统服务将会增加。空间分析表明,位于奥地利东南部的地区受气候变化的潜在影响最大,而西部山区的环境质量下降幅度较小。我们的研究结果为不同治理层面的决策提供了知识基础,支持了国家和国际层面的政策和管理战略的制定,也促进了与利益相关者的沟通,并在地方和区域层面制定了有针对性的管理计划。我们提出的绘图方法很容易移植到其他地区,但未来的研究应解决目前在气候预测的不确定性、明确区分气候引起的影响以及气候相关灾害的作用等方面存在的局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Quantification of the flood mitigation ecosystem service by coupling hydrological and hydrodynamic models 通过耦合水文和水动力模型量化洪水缓解生态系统服务
IF 7.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoser.2024.101640
Zixuan Xu , Jinfeng Ma , Hua Zheng , Lijing Wang , Lingxiao Ying , Ruonan Li , Yanzheng Yang

Flood mitigation service provides crucial information for reducing flood disasters and assessing ecosystem capacities by quantifying how much damage is reduced and how many benefiting areas are protected during flood events. However, there remains a gap in the full-process quantification, which results in less precise simulation outcomes. In this study, we introduce a novel methodology to accurately quantify the flood mitigation service of ecosystems by coupling hydrological and hydrodynamic models. We utilized the Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) model to simulate peak flow and flood volume and then used these data as inputs for the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC) hydrodynamic model to simulate the spatial extent and depth of flood inundation. The contribution and capacity of the ecosystem are reflected through the reduction in peak flow, flood volume, and inundation areas. We used the Nandu Basin flood event in October 2010 as a case study to illustrate our approach, comparing our assessment results with those simulated by the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model and the Height Above Nearest Drainage (HAND) model. The results demonstrate that coupling the HSPF model (R2 = 0.93) with the EFDC model (overlap ratio = 83.71 %) allows for precise quantification of flood mitigation service. The process-based hydrological and hydrodynamic models show a high correlation with the simpler and faster InVEST and HAND model simulations, with the full-process models reducing relative errors by 7.66 % and 5.25 % respectively. This study offers a promising approach for accurately and comprehensively assessing flood mitigation ecosystem service and provides a basis for model selection.

洪水减灾服务通过量化洪水事件中损失的减少程度和受益地区的数量,为减少洪水灾害和评估生态系统能力提供了重要信息。然而,在全过程量化方面仍存在差距,导致模拟结果不够精确。在本研究中,我们介绍了一种新方法,通过将水文模型和水动力模型结合起来,精确量化生态系统的洪水缓解服务。我们利用水文模拟程序-Fortran(HSPF)模型模拟峰值流量和洪水量,然后将这些数据作为环境流体动力学代码(EFDC)水动力模型的输入,模拟洪水淹没的空间范围和深度。生态系统的贡献和能力通过洪峰流量、洪水量和淹没面积的减少得以体现。我们以 2010 年 10 月的南渡江流域洪水事件为案例,将我们的评估结果与生态系统服务和权衡综合评估 (InVEST) 模型和最近排水口以上高度 (HAND) 模型模拟的结果进行比较,以说明我们的方法。结果表明,将 HSPF 模型(R2 = 0.93)与 EFDC 模型(重叠率 = 83.71%)相结合,可以精确量化洪水缓解服务。基于过程的水文和水动力模型与更简单、更快速的 InVEST 和 HAND 模型模拟显示出很高的相关性,全过程模型分别减少了 7.66 % 和 5.25 % 的相对误差。这项研究为准确、全面地评估洪水缓解生态系统服务提供了一种可行的方法,并为模型选择提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
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Ecosystem Services
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