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Towards a holistic climate service: Addressing all four climate risk determinants 迈向全面气候服务:解决所有四个气候风险决定因素
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100558
Jan Ketil Rød , Carlo Aall , Torbjørn Selseng
This article presents a newly developed climate service designed to monitor climate risk in Norwegian municipalities using a variety of indicators. The service is accessible through a publicly available multimedia platform. With the expected increase in extreme weather events, many climate services have emerged focusing solely on future climate conditions, thus addressing only the hazard component of climate risk. As a result, most current local climate services evaluate how future climate will impact today’s society. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), however, recently developed a risk framework consisting of four determinants: hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and response. Following this framework, our climate service incorporates all four risk determinants. It presents geographically and temporally varying indicators expressing current, near-future, and far-future projections or scenarios on hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, and maps these against current response levels. This approach enables us to identify which municipalities in Norway are most at risk and currently have the least adequate responses.
本文介绍了一项新开发的气候服务,旨在利用各种指标监测挪威市政当局的气候风险。该服务可通过一个公开的多媒体平台访问。随着极端天气事件的预期增加,出现了许多只关注未来气候条件的气候服务,因此只处理气候风险的危害部分。因此,大多数当前的地方气候服务都会评估未来气候将如何影响当今社会。然而,政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)最近制定了一个由四个决定因素组成的风险框架:危害、暴露、脆弱性和应对。在此框架下,我们的气候服务纳入了所有四个风险决定因素。它提出了地理上和时间上不同的指标,表达了对危害、暴露和脆弱性的当前、近期和远期预测或情景,并将这些指标与当前的应对水平进行对比。这种方法使我们能够确定挪威哪些城市面临的风险最大,目前的应对措施最不充分。
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引用次数: 0
Smallholder Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies in Southern Ethiopia: Mixed method approach 埃塞俄比亚南部小农对气候变化的认知和适应策略:混合方法方法
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100567
Negussie Zeray
<div><div>The study objective is to assess farmers’ perception and adaptation to climate change in the Karat Zuria district, Southern Ethiopia. Multivariate probit models and descriptive statistics were used to evaluate cross-sectional data collected from 339 sample households. Surveyed farmers in Karat Zuria largely perceive increasing climate change impacts, including unpredictable rainfall, heat-related crop and animal diseases, intensified weed infestations, rising temperatures, shorter rainy seasons, and worsening droughts/water shortages. 46.4%, 72.5%, 63.4%, 88.9%, 85.6%, 51.0%, and 88.9% of the smallholder farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change are small-scale irrigation, agro-forestry, changing planting dates, soil and water conservation, growing different types of plants, growing different crop varieties, and using improved fodder crops and hay for livestock feed. The results of the multivariate probit model revealed that the main factors influencing households’ decisions to choose different adaptation strategies for coping with climate change are sex, age, knowledge of climate change, farm income, the number and size of animals owned by the household, the size of the farm, the use of credit, the distance between the farm and the residence, the frequency of drought, and experience of crop loss. To improve climate change adaptation in Karat Zuria, policymakers should focus on tailored interventions that address credit access, agricultural knowledge, and resource management, considering farmers’ unique needs and circumstances.</div><div>Practical implications</div><div>The images listed below were all taken when the study’s fieldwork was being done. Images 1 and 6 show rivers, springs, and irrigation water sources that are utilized to gather water and adapt to climate change.</div><div>As a consequence of key informant interviews and field observations, early maturing crop varieties such as BH140 maize, DZ-CE37 teff, humara-1 sesame, Mung bean, common bean, Gubeye, Asnakech, and Berhane are being used as alternative sorts of adaptation techniques in the research region (See photos 7–17).</div><div>Since they lessen the risk of flooding and improve soil moisture and organic matter retention, soil and water conservation techniques, notably tracing, are a well-known approach for dealing with climate change. Regarding the agroforestry option, farmers in the study region cultivate fodder plants and widely utilized agroforestry techniques in the neighborhood include the indigenous Oybata (Terminalia browine) and pigeam pea (Cajanus cajan).</div><div>In order to alleviate the shortage of animal feed, farmers frequently plant indigenous forage (Kanda), Rhodes grass (Chloris gayana), and elephant grass (Pennisetum purpureum) around their fields. On the other hand, farmers in the study area frequently feed their animals agricultural leftovers and harvest acacia pods during times of drought as a kind of adaptation to climate change.</div><
这项研究的目的是评估埃塞俄比亚南部Karat Zuria地区农民对气候变化的认知和适应情况。采用多元概率模型和描述性统计对339个样本家庭收集的横截面数据进行评估。在Karat Zuria接受调查的农民大多认为气候变化的影响正在加剧,包括不可预测的降雨、与热有关的作物和动物疾病、杂草肆虐加剧、气温上升、雨季缩短以及干旱/水资源短缺加剧。46.4%、72.5%、63.4%、88.9%、85.6%、51.0%、88.9%的小农对气候变化的适应策略分别是:小灌溉、农林复合、改种、水土保持、种植不同类型的植物、种植不同的作物品种、使用改良饲料作物和干草作为牲畜饲料。多变量probit模型结果显示,影响农户选择不同气候变化适应策略的主要因素是性别、年龄、气候变化知识、农场收入、家庭拥有的动物数量和规模、农场规模、信贷使用情况、农场与居住地的距离、干旱频率和作物损失经历。为了改善Karat Zuria的气候变化适应,政策制定者应该把重点放在解决信贷获取、农业知识和资源管理问题的有针对性的干预措施上,同时考虑农民的独特需求和情况。实际意义下面列出的图片都是在研究现场工作完成时拍摄的。图1和图6显示了用于收集水和适应气候变化的河流、泉水和灌溉水源。通过对关键信息提供方的访谈和实地观察,研究区域正在使用BH140玉米、DZ-CE37 teff、humara-1芝麻、绿豆、普通豆、Gubeye、Asnakech和Berhane等早熟作物品种作为替代适应技术(见图7-17)。由于水土保持技术降低了洪水的风险,提高了土壤湿度和有机质的保持性,因此,尤其是追踪技术,是应对气候变化的一种众所周知的方法。在农林业选择方面,研究区域的农民种植饲料植物,并在附近广泛使用的农林业技术包括土着的Oybata (Terminalia browine)和鸽豆(Cajanus cajan)。为了缓解动物饲料的短缺,农民经常在他们的田地周围种植本地饲料(Kanda),罗氏草(Chloris gayana)和象草(Pennisetum purpureum)。另一方面,研究地区的农民经常在干旱时期给他们的动物喂食农业剩余物并收获金合欢豆荚,作为对气候变化的一种适应。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of urban flood risk for the implementation of sustainable land use measures 城市洪涝风险分析,实施土地可持续利用措施
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100568
Kiyong Park , Sang Hyun Choi
Over the past few decades, the intensity and frequency of flooding have increased worldwide, resulting in a significant increase in damage rate. Urban spatial analysis regarding land use has been conducted to address the fundamental problem of flood risk and prepare long-term measures. This study proposes a flood risk assessment approach that integrates vulnerability and hazard components within a Social-Economic-Structural-Environmental (S-E-S-E) framework. Vulnerability is classified into social, economic, and structural factors, while hazard is determined based on environmental variables such as topography and precipitation. The urban flood risk analysis results showed that commercial and residential areas are very dangerous, while green areas are safe for zoning districts. The urban, southwest, and southeast regions were found to be relatively dangerous for regions. These findings indicate that flood risk is high in urban areas with high population density, areas responsible for the key functions of the city, vulnerable groups, and declining urban areas. The proposed method enables the identification of high risk areas, facilitating data-driven land use planning for sustainable urban resilience. This study contributes to urban flood mitigation strategies by providing a systematic approach to spatial risk assessment, which can be adapted to different urban settings facing similar climate challenges.
在过去的几十年里,世界范围内洪水的强度和频率都在增加,导致了灾害发生率的显著增加。开展了城市土地利用空间分析,以解决洪水风险的根本问题,并制定长期措施。本研究提出了一种在社会-经济-结构-环境(S-E-S-E)框架内整合脆弱性和危害成分的洪水风险评估方法。脆弱性分为社会、经济和结构因素,而危害是根据地形和降水等环境变量确定的。城市洪涝风险分析结果表明,商业区和住宅区非常危险,而绿地对于分区来说是安全的。城市、西南和东南地区被发现是相对危险的地区。研究结果表明,城市人口密度高的地区、城市主要功能区、城市弱势群体和城市衰退地区的洪水风险较高。所提出的方法能够识别高风险地区,促进数据驱动的土地利用规划,实现可持续的城市弹性。该研究提供了一种系统的空间风险评估方法,可以适应面临类似气候挑战的不同城市环境,从而有助于制定城市洪水缓解策略。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring what matters: Building impact pathways to actionable information for the weADAPT platform 衡量重要事项:为weADAPT平台构建可操作信息的影响途径
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100574
S. Bharwani, K. Williamson, R. Butterfield
<div><div>The potential of online knowledge platforms to support urgent climate action is increasingly recognized; however, their effectiveness is often hindered by the fragmentation and overabundance of information, which can impede learning and contribute to misinformation, redundancy, and erosion of trust. Despite their proliferation, few platforms have undergone systematic evaluation of their impact on research, policy, and practice. This study addresses this gap by assessing the usability and impact of the weADAPT online platform through a mixed-methods approach, combining a user survey and semi-structured interviews. The findings reveal clear pathways linking knowledge management (KM) aims and activities to outputs, outcomes, and longer-term impacts. Users reported that the platform effectively promoted climate change adaptation awareness, supported capacity development, influenced policy and planning, and facilitated knowledge exchange and collaboration. Further analysis identified six core KM activities—enhancing usability, inclusivity, trust, transferability, connectivity, and alignment with FAIR principles—as central to platform effectiveness. These findings informed a recent platform upgrade (2022–2024), the refinement of weADAPT’s Theory of Change, and the development of a tailored monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) framework featuring custom progress indicators. The study underscores the importance of aligning KM practices with user needs and evaluating platform impact in meaningful ways—measuring what we value, rather than merely what is easy to quantify. These insights offer practical guidance for knowledge managers and platform developers working to enhance learning and support evidence-based climate adaptation.</div></div><div><h3>Practical implications chapter</h3><div>As a climate service, the weADAPT online platform<span><span><sup>1</sup></span></span> primarily (but not exclusively) targets communities in low- to middle-income countries to help reach and give voice to vulnerable communities and those in “hard to reach” regions of the world. Acting on results of a survey (379 responses) and interviews (21) conducted (June 2022 – February 2023) on the impact and use of platform, weADAPT adopted six key knowledge management (KM) specific aims and related activities to support its mission to help users collectively “Learn, Share and Connect” (see <span><span>Fig. 1</span></span> for three use cases that provide examples of these three pillars). These are as follows: 1) increasing usability through translation, tailoring, syntheses and capacity development; 2) enhancing inclusivity through just and equitable sharing of multiple knowledges; 3) building trust through collaborative KM processes; 4) creating transferability through sharing multi-scale, multi-sectoral place-based knowledge; 5) improving connectivity through cross-fertilization of knowledge, users, networks and influencing other platforms; and 6) promoting find
人们日益认识到在线知识平台支持紧急气候行动的潜力;然而,它们的有效性经常受到信息碎片化和过剩的阻碍,这可能会阻碍学习,并导致错误信息、冗余和信任的侵蚀。尽管平台数量激增,但很少有平台对其对研究、政策和实践的影响进行系统评估。本研究通过混合方法,结合用户调查和半结构化访谈,评估了weADAPT在线平台的可用性和影响,从而解决了这一差距。研究结果揭示了将知识管理(KM)的目标和活动与产出、结果和长期影响联系起来的清晰途径。用户报告说,该平台有效地提高了对气候变化适应的认识,支持了能力建设,影响了政策和规划,促进了知识交流与协作。进一步的分析确定了六项核心知识管理活动——增强可用性、包容性、信任、可转移性、连通性和与公平原则的一致性——是平台有效性的核心。这些发现为最近的平台升级(2022-2024)提供了信息,完善了weADAPT的变化理论,并开发了一个定制的监测、评估和学习(MEL)框架,该框架具有定制的进度指标。该研究强调了将知识管理实践与用户需求结合起来以及以有意义的方式评估平台影响的重要性——衡量我们看重的东西,而不仅仅是容易量化的东西。这些见解为致力于加强学习和支持基于证据的气候适应的知识管理者和平台开发人员提供了实用指导。作为一项气候服务,weADAPT在线平台1主要(但不完全)以中低收入国家的社区为目标,帮助弱势社区和世界上“难以接触”地区的社区发声。根据对平台的影响和使用进行的调查(379份回复)和访谈(21份)(2022年6月至2023年2月)的结果,weADAPT采用了六个关键知识管理(KM)具体目标和相关活动,以支持其帮助用户集体“学习、分享和联系”的使命(见图1,其中有三个用例提供了这三个支柱的示例)。这些措施如下:1)通过翻译、裁剪、综合和能力发展提高可用性;2)通过公正和公平地分享多种知识来增强包容性;3)通过协同KM流程建立信任;4)通过共享多尺度、多部门的基于地方的知识创造可转移性;5)通过知识、用户、网络的交叉施肥,影响其他平台,提高互联互通水平;6)促进可查找、可访问、可互操作、可重用(FAIR)和非殖民化的搜索和发现。从调查中获得的见解有助于完善变革理论;建立针对用户反馈的监测、评估和学习(MEL)框架;并指导该平台的技术升级,该平台于2024年1月完成。在非洲、亚洲、欧洲、大洋洲、北美和南美的83个国家的调查和访谈中,用户对weADAPT的使用做出了一系列的结果和影响。这些包括但不限于:支持国家政策和规划(例如,在斯里兰卡第三次气候变化国家信息通报中编写关于脆弱性和适应的一章);制定战略环境评估(例如在也门);起草国家适应气候变化战略(如乌克兰、菲律宾);加强农民、青年和社区成员的能力建设(例如,在津巴布韦、加纳和尼日利亚);规划和实施适应举措(例如在坦桑尼亚);并参与报告、项目文件、研究论文、提案、文献综述和分析评估(例如,在柬埔寨、肯尼亚和菲律宾)。用户将自己和社区的学习机会归功于平台简单的语言、中性的语气和精心合成的材料。此外,用户指出,weADAPT全球案例研究地图(显示适应措施的位置和类型)、可下载的时事通讯和专题内容结构这三个功能对于支持将经验教训转化为基于社区和基于政策的活动,以及为各种研究、政策和实践活动发现和使用证据至关重要。 用户称该平台的“接地气语言”可以交流“现实生活”和“实际”案例;“可信赖”和“可推荐”的知识,用于教育、告知他人并提供基于案例的具体证据,以影响决策者;以及“当前”、“适用”和“当代”信息,以便与适应趋势和里程碑保持同步,并形成新的研究和项目。此外,用户强调了该平台在帮助建立新的伙伴关系和适应项目方面的价值;从广泛的地方和角度了解适应;解决知识差距;发展地方利益相关者的能力;更重要的是,感觉自己被代表了,被倾听了。对平台的吸收、结果和潜在影响的分析加强了现有的、指导性的知识管理(KM)目标和活动,并提出了额外的建议。该平台据此制定了六项目标和活动,以巩固和支持weADAPT的使命,帮助用户学习、分享和联系;并寻求提供“可用”的内容,而不仅仅是有用的内容(Lemos等人,2012)(图1)。例如,提高知识、用户和网络之间的连通性和交叉施肥的目标和活动是通过促进在线和多样化的实践社区、提供讨论空间、提供培训机会以及在平台上为所有组织和贡献者提供平等的可见性的措施来实现的。这些措施和weADAPT的协作编辑过程为代表多种类型的知识和边缘化行动者的声音铺平了道路。本研究的结果揭示了知识管理活动(第3.3节)与产出、结果和长期影响之间的途径。这导致weADAPT平台进行了更具战略性的视觉和技术网站升级(于2024年1月公布);完善其变化理论;并采用监测、评估和学习框架来衡量用户的价值(Hargreaves &amp;雪莉,2009);并监测未来的影响途径(第3.4节)。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the gap: Gender-sensitive climate information and its implications for cowpea production in Mali 弥合差距:性别敏感的气候信息及其对马里豇豆生产的影响
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100582
Amos Mensah , Prince Asiedu
The intersection of gender dynamics and climate information sources significantly shapes the resilience and adaptive capacities of cowpea farmers in Cinzana, Mali. The paper investigates farmers’ access to and perception of climate information, focusing on gender differences that are needed to enhance adaptation to climate variability. The study also explores the constraints faced by both groups in adopting climate-resilient practices. Using data from 260 smallholder cowpea farmers, including 133 men and 127 women, ordered logit and multiple regression models were employed. The results indicate that age, sex, years of experience, and use of high-yielding varieties influence farmers’ frequency of information access from respective sources. The study further revealed that access of information from television, the use of high-yielding varieties, among others, significantly influence cowpea yields. We recommend the promotion of gender-responsive climate information services that facilitate targeted interventions that recognize farmers’ differences to enhance equitable access to resources, improve adaptation, and increase cowpea productivity in Mali.
性别动态和气候信息来源的交集显著地影响了马里Cinzana豇豆农民的恢复力和适应能力。本文调查了农民对气候信息的获取和感知,重点关注了增强对气候变率的适应所需的性别差异。该研究还探讨了这两个群体在采取适应气候变化的做法时面临的制约。利用260名豇豆小农(包括133名男性和127名女性)的数据,采用有序logit和多元回归模型。结果表明,年龄、性别、经验年限和高产品种的使用影响农民从各自来源获取信息的频率。研究进一步表明,从电视获取信息、使用高产品种等对豇豆产量有显著影响。我们建议促进促进性别平等的气候信息服务,促进有针对性的干预措施,认识到农民的差异,以加强对资源的公平获取,改善适应,提高马里的豇豆生产力。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change perceptions and adaptation responses among smallholder farmers across three locations in Megech Watershed, Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚Megech流域三个地点小农对气候变化的认知和适应反应
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100566
Achenafi Teklay , Asrat Ayalew , Amanuel Abate , Masresha Ashenafi , Ashenafi Tadesse Marye , Assefa Tilahun , Haimanote K. Bayabil , Alemayehu Kassa , Hailu Birara , Kassaye Gurebiyaw , Kibruyesfa Sisay
Climate change significantly affects smallholder farmers in Ethiopia who rely on rain-fed agriculture for their livelihoods. Farmers’ perceptions of climate change can modify their adaptation response decisions. However, there is limited knowledge about the key constraints that hinder the adoption of climate change measures in the Megech watershed. This research aimed to assess the smallholder farmers’ perception regarding climate change and the factors influencing their decision to adopt adaptation measures. This research employed a multi-stage sampling procedure to select a sample of 385 smallholder farmer households. Structured and semi-structured questionnaires were designed to conduct a household survey and focus group discussion for data purposes. Furthermore, this study covered a comparison between the farmers’ perspectives on climate change and the observed climate trends. The data analysis was done by descriptive statistics and logistic regression equation. Results showed that the primary sources for most farmers to get information about climate change were extension workers, radio broadcasts, and religious institutions. The majority of farmers believed that climate change was attributed to deforestation, population growth, and industrialization. Almost all farmers were cognizant of the temperature rise, aligning with the observed trend. However, the perception of the farmers on declining rainfall aligns only with recent rainfall trends. Farmers in the downstream had more experience in adopting climate change resilience strategies than farmers in the mid and upstream. On average, 87% of the farmers applied adaptation measures, including intensive inputs (fertilizers), planting date changes, and improved varieties. The farmers’ adoption of adaptation strategies was hampered by challenges such as limited access to credit and high costs of agricultural inputs. The regression analysis revealed that age, education, extension and credit access, and livestock size significantly affected the decision to adopt adaptation measures. These findings may support policymakers in formulating location-based adaptation measures to enhance resilience to climate change.
气候变化严重影响了埃塞俄比亚依靠雨养农业为生的小农。农民对气候变化的认知可以改变他们的适应响应决策。然而,人们对阻碍在Megech流域采取气候变化措施的关键制约因素的了解有限。本研究旨在评估小农对气候变化的认知以及影响其采取适应措施决策的因素。本研究采用多阶段抽样方法,选取385户小农家庭为样本。设计结构化和半结构化问卷进行住户调查和焦点小组讨论,以获取数据。此外,本研究还将农民对气候变化的看法与观测到的气候趋势进行了比较。数据分析采用描述性统计和logistic回归方程。结果表明,大多数农民获取气候变化信息的主要来源是推广人员、无线电广播和宗教机构。大多数农民认为气候变化是由森林砍伐、人口增长和工业化造成的。几乎所有的农民都意识到了气温的上升,这与观测到的趋势一致。然而,农民对降雨量下降的看法只与最近的降雨趋势一致。在采取气候变化适应战略方面,下游农民比中上游农民更有经验。平均而言,87%的农民采取了适应措施,包括集约化投入品(肥料)、改变种植日期和改良品种。农民采取适应战略受到诸如获得信贷机会有限和农业投入成本高等挑战的阻碍。回归分析显示,年龄、教育程度、推广和信贷获取以及牲畜规模显著影响采取适应措施的决策。这些发现可能支持决策者制定基于地点的适应措施,以增强对气候变化的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Co-production in climate services for the electricity sector in Brazil – Insights from the CLIMAX project 巴西电力部门气候服务的合作生产——来自CLIMAX项目的见解
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100570
Jean C.H. Miguel , Renzo R. Taddei , Marley C.L. Moscati , Caio A.S. Coelho , Iracema F.A. Cavalcanti , Luiz F. Rezende , Celso von Randow
This research paper presents the findings and lessons from the international CLIMAX project—Climate Services Through Knowledge Co-production: A Euro-South American Initiative for Strengthening Societal Adaptation Response to Extreme Events. The project, engaging with the Brazilian National Electric System Operator (ONS), explores co-production as a method to implement climate services in the context of Brazil, particularly within the country’s hydroelectric power sector. Through interactive research and transdisciplinary collaboration, the CLIMAX project evaluates both the implementation of climate services and the concept of utility in knowledge co-production. The research identifies inherent diversity and “utility paradoxes” within the co-production process. These paradoxes involve the perceived relevance of climate information versus its integration into systems, and its instrumental use versus its justification for decisions. The study highlights the significance of stakeholder engagement, close and meaningful communication, and adaptability to context-specific needs. By sharing experiences from a five-year interactive research initiative, it offers insights into improving practices for future co-production endeavors. This entails recognizing varied research contexts, managing co-design processes with an awareness of time and resources, and encouraging flexibility and personal transformation within co-design.
本研究报告介绍了国际CLIMAX项目的成果和经验教训——通过知识合作生产提供气候服务:加强对极端事件社会适应反应的欧洲-南美倡议。该项目与巴西国家电力系统运营商(ONS)合作,探索联合生产作为在巴西实施气候服务的一种方法,特别是在该国的水力发电部门。通过互动研究和跨学科合作,CLIMAX项目评估了气候服务的实施和知识合作生产中的效用概念。该研究确定了合作生产过程中固有的多样性和“效用悖论”。这些矛盾涉及到气候信息的感知相关性与将其整合到系统中,以及其工具性使用与决策正当性之间的矛盾。该研究强调了利益相关者参与、密切而有意义的沟通以及对特定情境需求的适应性的重要性。通过分享一项为期五年的互动研究计划的经验,它为未来的合作生产努力提供了改进实践的见解。这需要认识到不同的研究背景,在时间和资源的意识下管理协同设计过程,并鼓励协同设计中的灵活性和个人转变。
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引用次数: 0
Smallholder perceptions of climate change in high-altitude farming: the influence of household characteristics and local knowledge on adaptation strategies in Nagar District, Pakistan 巴基斯坦纳加尔地区小农对高海拔农业气候变化的认识:家庭特征和当地知识对适应战略的影响
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100581
Iftikhar Ali , Ashfaq Ahmad Shah , Bader Alhafi Alotaibi , Amjad Ali , Mohsin Khan
Local knowledge on climate change is important for designing efficient and effective context-specific adaptation policies. However, there is lack of empirical evidence on the local manifestations of climate change in the high-altitude areas of Pakistan. To fill this gap, this study examines the local knowledge-based perceptions of smallholders on climate change, highlighting transformations of farming system. To achieve study objective, data were collected through 430 structured household surveys, 27 key informant interviews and 4 focus group discussions. Data were analyzed on Microsoft Excel and SPSS using univariate and bivariate techniques. Results of univariate analysis discovered that the majority of respondents have perceived substantial climatic changes such as reduction in snowfall, increase in temperature and unpredictable precipitation. To overcome these variations, smallholders have implemented transformative strategies like use of chemical fertilizers and pesticides and a shift from traditional crop farming to horticultural production. Moreover, bivariate results show a significant positive relationship between education and climate change perception of respondents; signifying individuals with higher levels of education tend to have better perceptions. The study underlines the significance of developing context-specific adaptation policies and strategies by integrating local insights, thereby enhancing the resilience and adaptive capacity of smallholders in high mountain regions of Pakistan.
当地对气候变化的了解对于设计高效和有效的因地制宜的适应政策非常重要。然而,巴基斯坦高海拔地区气候变化的局部表现缺乏经验证据。为了填补这一空白,本研究考察了当地小农对气候变化的基于知识的看法,强调了农业系统的转型。为达到研究目的,通过430个结构化家庭调查、27个关键信息访谈和4个焦点小组讨论收集数据。数据采用单变量和双变量技术在Microsoft Excel和SPSS上进行分析。单变量分析的结果发现,大多数受访者已经感受到实质性的气候变化,如降雪量减少、温度升高和不可预测的降水。为了克服这些差异,小农实施了诸如使用化肥和农药以及从传统作物种植转向园艺生产等变革性战略。此外,双变量结果显示受教育程度与气候变化感知之间存在显著的正相关关系;具有象征意义的是,受教育程度较高的人往往有更好的洞察力。该研究强调了通过整合当地见解来制定针对具体情况的适应政策和战略的重要性,从而增强巴基斯坦高山地区小农的抵御能力和适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
The nexus of economic growth, energy prices, climate policy uncertainty (CPU), and digitalization on ESG performance in the USA 美国经济增长、能源价格、气候政策不确定性(CPU)和数字化对ESG绩效的影响
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100572
Cem Işık , Serdar Ongan , Hasibul Islam , Jiale Yan , Rafael Alvarado , Munir Ahmad
This study examines the impact of economic growth, energy prices, digitalization, and climate policy uncertainty—key macroeconomic, technological, and political factors—on ESG performance in the U.S. within a comprehensive sustainability framework to mitigate climate change. The study reveals how these variables impact different levels of ESG performance using Quantile and Quantile-on-Quantile analyses. Findings show that economic growth positively impacts ESG performance. This can be interpreted as the economy incentivizing U.S. companies to adopt and enhance their ESG practices. No significant impact of climate policy uncertainty was found. This result can be interpreted as companies mitigating the effects of climate policy uncertainty on ESG through hedging and risk management strategies. The positive relationship between energy prices and ESG indicates that higher energy costs may improve ESG performance. This can be explained by the fact that sectors facing high energy prices may invest more in sustainable practices, such as adopting renewable energy. Therefore, policymakers should encourage businesses to take individual and collective action to adopt behavior against climate change. The negative impact of digitalization on ESG performance can be explained by the rapid pace of technological change, leading business companies to prioritize profitability over ESG considerations. This result may refer to the Corporate Sustainability Theory.1 Therefore, businesses should integrate digitalization into climate strategies through regulatory measures and enhanced corporate reporting.
本研究考察了经济增长、能源价格、数字化和气候政策不确定性(关键的宏观经济、技术和政治因素)在缓解气候变化的综合可持续性框架下对美国ESG绩效的影响。该研究通过分位数分析和分位数对分位数分析揭示了这些变量如何影响不同水平的ESG绩效。研究结果表明,经济增长对企业ESG绩效有正向影响。这可以解释为经济激励美国公司采用和加强其ESG实践。没有发现气候政策不确定性的显著影响。这一结果可以解释为企业通过对冲和风险管理策略减轻了气候政策不确定性对ESG的影响。能源价格与ESG之间的正相关关系表明,较高的能源成本可能会改善ESG绩效。这可以用这样一个事实来解释,即面临高能源价格的部门可能会更多地投资于可持续实践,例如采用可再生能源。因此,政策制定者应鼓励企业采取个人和集体行动,采取应对气候变化的行动。数字化对ESG绩效的负面影响可以用技术变革的快速步伐来解释,这导致商业公司将盈利能力置于ESG考虑之上。因此,企业应通过监管措施和加强公司报告,将数字化融入气候战略。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal dynamics of urban heat island using Google Earth Engine: Assessment and prediction—A case study of Kathmandu Valley, Nepal 基于谷歌地球引擎的城市热岛时空动态评价与预测——以尼泊尔加德满都谷地为例
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100560
Bishal Khatri, Bipin Kharel, Pragati Dhakal, Samrat Acharya, Ujjwol Thapa
This study examines UHI dynamics and impacts in the rapidly urbanizing Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, using remote sensing and predictive modeling. The primary goals are to evaluate UHI trends and explore how urbanization influences temperature and climate change. To achieve these objectives, the research investigates the relationship between spectral characteristics, Land Use Land Cover (LULC), and UHI, utilizing high-resolution data from MODIS and Landsat satellites to analyze land surface temperature (LST) and land use changes over recent decades. The study employs Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) modeling to predict future UHI dynamics, taking into account climatic variability, land use changes, and population growth. Findings reveal significant increases in LST and UHI intensity due to the expansion of impermeable surfaces and loss of vegetative cover. Predictions for 2030 indicate higher LSTs, with winter temperatures ranging from 9.34 °C to 30.12 °C and summer temperatures from 19.74 °C to 42.32 °C, showing an increase compared to 2020. Additionally, the UHI effect is predicted to intensify due to expanding built-up areas, with greater seasonal variation observed in summer. The results suggest that without effective mitigation, UHI will continue to worsen, exacerbating climate-related issues. Insights into the relationship between spectral parameters, LULC, and UHI can guide strategies to mitigate UHI effects, promote sustainable urban growth, and improve urban resilience. Integrating remote sensing technologies with predictive modeling is crucial for addressing urbanization and climate change challenges.
本研究利用遥感和预测模型研究了快速城市化的尼泊尔加德满都谷地的热岛动态及其影响。主要目标是评估城市热岛的趋势,并探索城市化如何影响温度和气候变化。为了实现这些目标,本研究利用MODIS和Landsat卫星的高分辨率数据分析近几十年来地表温度(LST)和土地利用变化,研究了光谱特征、土地利用、土地覆盖(LULC)和城市热岛指数之间的关系。该研究采用元胞自动机-马尔可夫(CA-Markov)模型来预测未来的热岛热岛动态,同时考虑到气候变化、土地利用变化和人口增长。研究结果表明,由于不透水表面的扩大和植被覆盖的丧失,地表温度和热岛热强度显著增加。对2030年的预测表明地表温度更高,冬季气温在9.34°C至30.12°C之间,夏季气温在19.74°C至42.32°C之间,与2020年相比有所增加。此外,由于建成区的扩大,预计热岛效应将加剧,夏季观测到的季节变化更大。结果表明,如果没有有效的缓解措施,热岛问题将继续恶化,从而加剧与气候有关的问题。深入了解光谱参数、土地利用成本和城市热岛指数之间的关系,可以指导缓解城市热岛指数影响、促进城市可持续增长和提高城市韧性的策略。将遥感技术与预测建模相结合对于应对城市化和气候变化挑战至关重要。
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