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Ordered probit results of determinants of climate change vulnerability across different agricultural enterprises in Kenya 肯尼亚不同农业企业气候变化脆弱性决定因素的有序概率结果
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100578
Aurillia Manjella Ndiwa , John Mburu , Richard Mulwa , Chepchumba Chumo
Climate change is significantly impacting small-scale farmers in Kenya, particularly those engaged in key agricultural enterprises; crop cultivation, livestock farming, and fish production. To design interventions and develop policies to address the challenges posed by climate change, it is important to gather evidence of the extent of household vulnerability and the related factors. This study assessed household vulnerability to climate change and identify contributing factors to guide effective interventions and policies. Using the Livelihood Vulnerability Index and ordered Probit regression model, data from 723 small-scale farmers were analyzed. The findings show that households relying solely on crop farming are more vulnerable to the effects of climate change than those combining two or more types of agricultural activities. Households that engaged in multiple farming enterprises such as mixing crops with livestock or fish farming were better prepared to cope with climate-related challenges. Additionally, households headed by younger or more educated individuals, with access to agricultural training and extension services, accessing credit, having membership in farming groups, and located closer to markets were generally less vulnerable. Based on these findings, the study recommends i) implementation of interventions that promote multi-enterprise farming and synergies to enable farmers to diversify risks, (ii) introducing affordable credit options for farmer households, facilitated through policy and other initiatives such as cooperatives, as means to reduce household vulnerability to climate change, and (iii) strengthening government meteorological and extension services to ensure timely and efficient dissemination of climate change-related information to farmers, facilitating the adoption of adaptation measures.
气候变化正在严重影响肯尼亚的小农,特别是那些从事主要农业企业的小农;种植业、畜牧业和渔业。为了设计干预措施和制定政策以应对气候变化带来的挑战,收集有关家庭脆弱性程度和相关因素的证据非常重要。本研究评估了家庭对气候变化的脆弱性,并确定了影响因素,以指导有效的干预措施和政策。利用生计脆弱性指数和有序Probit回归模型,对723名小农的数据进行了分析。研究结果表明,仅仅依靠农作物种植的家庭比结合两种或两种以上农业活动的家庭更容易受到气候变化的影响。从事多种农业企业的家庭,如将作物与牲畜或鱼类混合养殖的家庭,能够更好地应对与气候有关的挑战。此外,户主较年轻或受教育程度较高的个人,能够获得农业培训和推广服务,获得信贷,是农业团体的成员,并且离市场更近的家庭通常不那么脆弱。根据这些发现,该研究建议:(1)实施促进多企业农业和协同效应的干预措施,使农民能够分散风险;(2)通过政策和合作社等其他举措为农户提供负担得起的信贷选择,作为减少家庭对气候变化脆弱性的手段;(三)加强政府气象和推广服务,确保及时有效地向农民传播与气候变化有关的信息,促进采取适应措施。
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引用次数: 0
Data mining application in unraveling the large-scale teleconnection and flood-inducing extreme precipitation events association in Jeddah City 数据挖掘在吉达市大尺度遥相关与致洪极端降水事件关联揭示中的应用
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100586
Hadir Abdelmoneim , Sameh Ahmed Kantoush , Vahid Nourani , Mohamed Saber , Fahad Alamoudi
The city of Jeddah recently experienced severe flooding, significantly impacting the community. We employed data mining techniques such as classification and association rules to investigate the complex relationships between large-scale atmospheric teleconnections and extreme precipitation events in Jeddah. Our study focused on classifying and analyzing the surrounding sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of the Mediterranean, Red, Arabian, and Gulf seas, along with the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), and monthly precipitation data for Jeddah. This analysis aims to identify the most significant factors and extract important nonlinear features from long-term measured data from 1970 to 2024. We applied our approach to varying lag times and evaluated the accuracy of the results based on confidence values. The findings revealed hidden associations between detrended SSTs and major extreme precipitation events, including floods in November 2009, December 2010, and January 2011. An extracted rule revealed that the 2017 flood event was associated with the La Niña phenomenon, low detrending of SSTs in the Red and Arabian Seas, and very low detrending of Gulf SSTs concurrently. This approach could serve as a valuable tool for decision-makers, providing knowledge-driven insights to help mitigate the risk of flooding.

Practical implications

Flood disasters have become increasingly frequent and destructive due to the impacts of climate change, particularly in semiarid and arid regions such as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The consequences of these events are significant, posing risks to human lives and leading to substantial economic losses. However, predicting floods in the region remains challenging, as precipitation is the primary driver of these disasters. Large-scale ocean-atmospheric teleconnections can influence hydroclimatic events across vast distances globally. Understanding the complex associations between these teleconnections and extreme precipitation is critical for the region. This study employed hybrid data mining techniques to explore the nonlinear relationships between extreme precipitation events and large-scale ocean-atmospheric signals, using Jeddah city as a case study. The results revealed several rules that shed light on the hidden nonlinear characteristics of extreme precipitation events and their connection to large-scale teleconnections.
Therefore, the practical implications of this study can be summarized as follows:
  • -
    This approach can be a strong tool for decision-makers, allowing them to make informed, proactive decisions to mitigate extreme precipitation events.
  • -
    Adaptation strategies to lessen the impacts of extreme hydroclimatic events in the region can be developed based on this research.
吉达市最近经历了严重的洪水,对社区造成了严重影响。采用分类规则和关联规则等数据挖掘技术,研究了吉达地区大尺度大气遥相关与极端降水事件之间的复杂关系。我们的研究重点是分类和分析地中海、红海、阿拉伯和海湾海的周围海面温度(SSTs),以及南方涛动指数(SOI)、海洋Niño指数(ONI)和吉达的月降水数据。该分析旨在从1970年至2024年的长期测量数据中识别最重要的因素并提取重要的非线性特征。我们将我们的方法应用于不同的滞后时间,并基于置信度值评估结果的准确性。这些发现揭示了海温趋势与主要极端降水事件(包括2009年11月、2010年12月和2011年1月的洪水)之间的潜在关联。提取的规律表明,2017年的洪水事件与La Niña现象有关,同时与红海和阿拉伯海海温低趋势和海湾海温极低趋势有关。这种方法可以作为决策者的宝贵工具,提供知识驱动的见解,以帮助减轻洪水风险。由于气候变化的影响,洪水灾害变得越来越频繁和具有破坏性,特别是在沙特阿拉伯王国等半干旱和干旱地区。这些事件的后果十分严重,对人类生命构成威胁,并造成重大经济损失。然而,预测该地区的洪水仍然具有挑战性,因为降水是这些灾害的主要驱动因素。大尺度海洋-大气遥相关可以影响全球范围内远距离的水文气候事件。了解这些遥相关与极端降水之间的复杂联系对该地区至关重要。本研究以吉达市为例,采用混合数据挖掘技术探讨极端降水事件与大尺度海洋大气信号之间的非线性关系。结果揭示了一些规则,揭示了极端降水事件的隐藏非线性特征及其与大尺度遥相关的联系。因此,本研究的实际意义可以概括如下:-这种方法可以成为决策者的有力工具,使他们能够做出明智的、积极的决策,以减轻极端降水事件。-在本研究的基础上,可以制定适应策略,以减轻该地区极端水文气候事件的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Reflections on the large-scale application of a community resilience measurement framework across the globe 社区恢复力测量框架在全球范围内大规模应用的思考
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100562
Adriana Keating , Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler , Reinhard Mechler , Finn Laurien , Naomi Rubenstein , Teresa Deubelli , Stefan Velev , Michael Szoenyi , David Nash
This paper reflects on learnings and analysis from an extensively globally applied, standardized community disaster resilience measurement framework that utilises bottom-up (locally collected) data. These lessons, from over a decade of on-the-ground work and analysis, are based on empirical evidence and have salience for scholars, policy-makers and practitioners aiming to strengthen community disaster resilience and apply bottom-up community disaster resilience measurement approaches. The Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities approach was co-designed and implemented by the Zurich Flood Resilience Alliance: a transdisciplinary science-policy-practice collaboration including scientists, practitioners and private business. It has been applied globally in approximately 400 communities worldwide, demonstrating the real-world impact of scalable community disaster resilience measurement initiatives. Findings provide evidence for the impacts and good practices of applying bottom-up community disaster resilience measurement approaches. Quantitative analysis on this unique dataset provides new entry points for research on typologies and dynamics of resilience, based on empirical evidence on human, social, physical, natural and financial dimensions. Based on our analysis, we find that the use of bottom-up, multidimensional, standardized community disaster resilience measurement approaches is a worthwhile endeavour to support community disaster resilience strengthening.
本文反思了一个广泛应用于全球的标准化社区抗灾能力测量框架的经验和分析,该框架利用自下而上(当地收集)的数据。这些经验教训来自十多年来的实地工作和分析,基于经验证据,对旨在加强社区抗灾能力和应用自下而上的社区抗灾能力测量方法的学者、政策制定者和实践者具有重要意义。“社区抗洪能力测量”方法由苏黎世抗洪能力联盟共同设计和实施,该联盟是一个跨学科的科学-政策-实践合作组织,包括科学家、从业人员和私营企业。它已在全球约400个社区得到应用,展示了可扩展的社区抗灾能力测量计划对现实世界的影响。研究结果为应用自下而上的社区抗灾能力测量方法的影响和良好实践提供了证据。基于人类、社会、物理、自然和金融方面的经验证据,对这一独特数据集进行定量分析,为研究复原力的类型学和动态提供了新的切入点。根据我们的分析,我们发现使用自下而上、多维度、标准化的社区抗灾能力测量方法是支持社区抗灾能力加强的一项有价值的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a holistic climate service: Addressing all four climate risk determinants 迈向全面气候服务:解决所有四个气候风险决定因素
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100558
Jan Ketil Rød , Carlo Aall , Torbjørn Selseng
This article presents a newly developed climate service designed to monitor climate risk in Norwegian municipalities using a variety of indicators. The service is accessible through a publicly available multimedia platform. With the expected increase in extreme weather events, many climate services have emerged focusing solely on future climate conditions, thus addressing only the hazard component of climate risk. As a result, most current local climate services evaluate how future climate will impact today’s society. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), however, recently developed a risk framework consisting of four determinants: hazard, exposure, vulnerability, and response. Following this framework, our climate service incorporates all four risk determinants. It presents geographically and temporally varying indicators expressing current, near-future, and far-future projections or scenarios on hazard, exposure, and vulnerability, and maps these against current response levels. This approach enables us to identify which municipalities in Norway are most at risk and currently have the least adequate responses.
本文介绍了一项新开发的气候服务,旨在利用各种指标监测挪威市政当局的气候风险。该服务可通过一个公开的多媒体平台访问。随着极端天气事件的预期增加,出现了许多只关注未来气候条件的气候服务,因此只处理气候风险的危害部分。因此,大多数当前的地方气候服务都会评估未来气候将如何影响当今社会。然而,政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)最近制定了一个由四个决定因素组成的风险框架:危害、暴露、脆弱性和应对。在此框架下,我们的气候服务纳入了所有四个风险决定因素。它提出了地理上和时间上不同的指标,表达了对危害、暴露和脆弱性的当前、近期和远期预测或情景,并将这些指标与当前的应对水平进行对比。这种方法使我们能够确定挪威哪些城市面临的风险最大,目前的应对措施最不充分。
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引用次数: 0
Smallholder Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies in Southern Ethiopia: Mixed method approach 埃塞俄比亚南部小农对气候变化的认知和适应策略:混合方法方法
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100567
Negussie Zeray
<div><div>The study objective is to assess farmers’ perception and adaptation to climate change in the Karat Zuria district, Southern Ethiopia. Multivariate probit models and descriptive statistics were used to evaluate cross-sectional data collected from 339 sample households. Surveyed farmers in Karat Zuria largely perceive increasing climate change impacts, including unpredictable rainfall, heat-related crop and animal diseases, intensified weed infestations, rising temperatures, shorter rainy seasons, and worsening droughts/water shortages. 46.4%, 72.5%, 63.4%, 88.9%, 85.6%, 51.0%, and 88.9% of the smallholder farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change are small-scale irrigation, agro-forestry, changing planting dates, soil and water conservation, growing different types of plants, growing different crop varieties, and using improved fodder crops and hay for livestock feed. The results of the multivariate probit model revealed that the main factors influencing households’ decisions to choose different adaptation strategies for coping with climate change are sex, age, knowledge of climate change, farm income, the number and size of animals owned by the household, the size of the farm, the use of credit, the distance between the farm and the residence, the frequency of drought, and experience of crop loss. To improve climate change adaptation in Karat Zuria, policymakers should focus on tailored interventions that address credit access, agricultural knowledge, and resource management, considering farmers’ unique needs and circumstances.</div><div>Practical implications</div><div>The images listed below were all taken when the study’s fieldwork was being done. Images 1 and 6 show rivers, springs, and irrigation water sources that are utilized to gather water and adapt to climate change.</div><div>As a consequence of key informant interviews and field observations, early maturing crop varieties such as BH140 maize, DZ-CE37 teff, humara-1 sesame, Mung bean, common bean, Gubeye, Asnakech, and Berhane are being used as alternative sorts of adaptation techniques in the research region (See photos 7–17).</div><div>Since they lessen the risk of flooding and improve soil moisture and organic matter retention, soil and water conservation techniques, notably tracing, are a well-known approach for dealing with climate change. Regarding the agroforestry option, farmers in the study region cultivate fodder plants and widely utilized agroforestry techniques in the neighborhood include the indigenous Oybata (Terminalia browine) and pigeam pea (Cajanus cajan).</div><div>In order to alleviate the shortage of animal feed, farmers frequently plant indigenous forage (Kanda), Rhodes grass (Chloris gayana), and elephant grass (Pennisetum purpureum) around their fields. On the other hand, farmers in the study area frequently feed their animals agricultural leftovers and harvest acacia pods during times of drought as a kind of adaptation to climate change.</div><
这项研究的目的是评估埃塞俄比亚南部Karat Zuria地区农民对气候变化的认知和适应情况。采用多元概率模型和描述性统计对339个样本家庭收集的横截面数据进行评估。在Karat Zuria接受调查的农民大多认为气候变化的影响正在加剧,包括不可预测的降雨、与热有关的作物和动物疾病、杂草肆虐加剧、气温上升、雨季缩短以及干旱/水资源短缺加剧。46.4%、72.5%、63.4%、88.9%、85.6%、51.0%、88.9%的小农对气候变化的适应策略分别是:小灌溉、农林复合、改种、水土保持、种植不同类型的植物、种植不同的作物品种、使用改良饲料作物和干草作为牲畜饲料。多变量probit模型结果显示,影响农户选择不同气候变化适应策略的主要因素是性别、年龄、气候变化知识、农场收入、家庭拥有的动物数量和规模、农场规模、信贷使用情况、农场与居住地的距离、干旱频率和作物损失经历。为了改善Karat Zuria的气候变化适应,政策制定者应该把重点放在解决信贷获取、农业知识和资源管理问题的有针对性的干预措施上,同时考虑农民的独特需求和情况。实际意义下面列出的图片都是在研究现场工作完成时拍摄的。图1和图6显示了用于收集水和适应气候变化的河流、泉水和灌溉水源。通过对关键信息提供方的访谈和实地观察,研究区域正在使用BH140玉米、DZ-CE37 teff、humara-1芝麻、绿豆、普通豆、Gubeye、Asnakech和Berhane等早熟作物品种作为替代适应技术(见图7-17)。由于水土保持技术降低了洪水的风险,提高了土壤湿度和有机质的保持性,因此,尤其是追踪技术,是应对气候变化的一种众所周知的方法。在农林业选择方面,研究区域的农民种植饲料植物,并在附近广泛使用的农林业技术包括土着的Oybata (Terminalia browine)和鸽豆(Cajanus cajan)。为了缓解动物饲料的短缺,农民经常在他们的田地周围种植本地饲料(Kanda),罗氏草(Chloris gayana)和象草(Pennisetum purpureum)。另一方面,研究地区的农民经常在干旱时期给他们的动物喂食农业剩余物并收获金合欢豆荚,作为对气候变化的一种适应。
{"title":"Smallholder Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies in Southern Ethiopia: Mixed method approach","authors":"Negussie Zeray","doi":"10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100567","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100567","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;The study objective is to assess farmers’ perception and adaptation to climate change in the Karat Zuria district, Southern Ethiopia. Multivariate probit models and descriptive statistics were used to evaluate cross-sectional data collected from 339 sample households. Surveyed farmers in Karat Zuria largely perceive increasing climate change impacts, including unpredictable rainfall, heat-related crop and animal diseases, intensified weed infestations, rising temperatures, shorter rainy seasons, and worsening droughts/water shortages. 46.4%, 72.5%, 63.4%, 88.9%, 85.6%, 51.0%, and 88.9% of the smallholder farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate change are small-scale irrigation, agro-forestry, changing planting dates, soil and water conservation, growing different types of plants, growing different crop varieties, and using improved fodder crops and hay for livestock feed. The results of the multivariate probit model revealed that the main factors influencing households’ decisions to choose different adaptation strategies for coping with climate change are sex, age, knowledge of climate change, farm income, the number and size of animals owned by the household, the size of the farm, the use of credit, the distance between the farm and the residence, the frequency of drought, and experience of crop loss. To improve climate change adaptation in Karat Zuria, policymakers should focus on tailored interventions that address credit access, agricultural knowledge, and resource management, considering farmers’ unique needs and circumstances.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;Practical implications&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;The images listed below were all taken when the study’s fieldwork was being done. Images 1 and 6 show rivers, springs, and irrigation water sources that are utilized to gather water and adapt to climate change.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;As a consequence of key informant interviews and field observations, early maturing crop varieties such as BH140 maize, DZ-CE37 teff, humara-1 sesame, Mung bean, common bean, Gubeye, Asnakech, and Berhane are being used as alternative sorts of adaptation techniques in the research region (See photos 7–17).&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;Since they lessen the risk of flooding and improve soil moisture and organic matter retention, soil and water conservation techniques, notably tracing, are a well-known approach for dealing with climate change. Regarding the agroforestry option, farmers in the study region cultivate fodder plants and widely utilized agroforestry techniques in the neighborhood include the indigenous Oybata (Terminalia browine) and pigeam pea (Cajanus cajan).&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;In order to alleviate the shortage of animal feed, farmers frequently plant indigenous forage (Kanda), Rhodes grass (Chloris gayana), and elephant grass (Pennisetum purpureum) around their fields. On the other hand, farmers in the study area frequently feed their animals agricultural leftovers and harvest acacia pods during times of drought as a kind of adaptation to climate change.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;","PeriodicalId":51332,"journal":{"name":"Climate Services","volume":"38 ","pages":"Article 100567"},"PeriodicalIF":4.0,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143894951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Analysis of urban flood risk for the implementation of sustainable land use measures 城市洪涝风险分析,实施土地可持续利用措施
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100568
Kiyong Park , Sang Hyun Choi
Over the past few decades, the intensity and frequency of flooding have increased worldwide, resulting in a significant increase in damage rate. Urban spatial analysis regarding land use has been conducted to address the fundamental problem of flood risk and prepare long-term measures. This study proposes a flood risk assessment approach that integrates vulnerability and hazard components within a Social-Economic-Structural-Environmental (S-E-S-E) framework. Vulnerability is classified into social, economic, and structural factors, while hazard is determined based on environmental variables such as topography and precipitation. The urban flood risk analysis results showed that commercial and residential areas are very dangerous, while green areas are safe for zoning districts. The urban, southwest, and southeast regions were found to be relatively dangerous for regions. These findings indicate that flood risk is high in urban areas with high population density, areas responsible for the key functions of the city, vulnerable groups, and declining urban areas. The proposed method enables the identification of high risk areas, facilitating data-driven land use planning for sustainable urban resilience. This study contributes to urban flood mitigation strategies by providing a systematic approach to spatial risk assessment, which can be adapted to different urban settings facing similar climate challenges.
在过去的几十年里,世界范围内洪水的强度和频率都在增加,导致了灾害发生率的显著增加。开展了城市土地利用空间分析,以解决洪水风险的根本问题,并制定长期措施。本研究提出了一种在社会-经济-结构-环境(S-E-S-E)框架内整合脆弱性和危害成分的洪水风险评估方法。脆弱性分为社会、经济和结构因素,而危害是根据地形和降水等环境变量确定的。城市洪涝风险分析结果表明,商业区和住宅区非常危险,而绿地对于分区来说是安全的。城市、西南和东南地区被发现是相对危险的地区。研究结果表明,城市人口密度高的地区、城市主要功能区、城市弱势群体和城市衰退地区的洪水风险较高。所提出的方法能够识别高风险地区,促进数据驱动的土地利用规划,实现可持续的城市弹性。该研究提供了一种系统的空间风险评估方法,可以适应面临类似气候挑战的不同城市环境,从而有助于制定城市洪水缓解策略。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring what matters: Building impact pathways to actionable information for the weADAPT platform 衡量重要事项:为weADAPT平台构建可操作信息的影响途径
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100574
S. Bharwani, K. Williamson, R. Butterfield
<div><div>The potential of online knowledge platforms to support urgent climate action is increasingly recognized; however, their effectiveness is often hindered by the fragmentation and overabundance of information, which can impede learning and contribute to misinformation, redundancy, and erosion of trust. Despite their proliferation, few platforms have undergone systematic evaluation of their impact on research, policy, and practice. This study addresses this gap by assessing the usability and impact of the weADAPT online platform through a mixed-methods approach, combining a user survey and semi-structured interviews. The findings reveal clear pathways linking knowledge management (KM) aims and activities to outputs, outcomes, and longer-term impacts. Users reported that the platform effectively promoted climate change adaptation awareness, supported capacity development, influenced policy and planning, and facilitated knowledge exchange and collaboration. Further analysis identified six core KM activities—enhancing usability, inclusivity, trust, transferability, connectivity, and alignment with FAIR principles—as central to platform effectiveness. These findings informed a recent platform upgrade (2022–2024), the refinement of weADAPT’s Theory of Change, and the development of a tailored monitoring, evaluation, and learning (MEL) framework featuring custom progress indicators. The study underscores the importance of aligning KM practices with user needs and evaluating platform impact in meaningful ways—measuring what we value, rather than merely what is easy to quantify. These insights offer practical guidance for knowledge managers and platform developers working to enhance learning and support evidence-based climate adaptation.</div></div><div><h3>Practical implications chapter</h3><div>As a climate service, the weADAPT online platform<span><span><sup>1</sup></span></span> primarily (but not exclusively) targets communities in low- to middle-income countries to help reach and give voice to vulnerable communities and those in “hard to reach” regions of the world. Acting on results of a survey (379 responses) and interviews (21) conducted (June 2022 – February 2023) on the impact and use of platform, weADAPT adopted six key knowledge management (KM) specific aims and related activities to support its mission to help users collectively “Learn, Share and Connect” (see <span><span>Fig. 1</span></span> for three use cases that provide examples of these three pillars). These are as follows: 1) increasing usability through translation, tailoring, syntheses and capacity development; 2) enhancing inclusivity through just and equitable sharing of multiple knowledges; 3) building trust through collaborative KM processes; 4) creating transferability through sharing multi-scale, multi-sectoral place-based knowledge; 5) improving connectivity through cross-fertilization of knowledge, users, networks and influencing other platforms; and 6) promoting find
人们日益认识到在线知识平台支持紧急气候行动的潜力;然而,它们的有效性经常受到信息碎片化和过剩的阻碍,这可能会阻碍学习,并导致错误信息、冗余和信任的侵蚀。尽管平台数量激增,但很少有平台对其对研究、政策和实践的影响进行系统评估。本研究通过混合方法,结合用户调查和半结构化访谈,评估了weADAPT在线平台的可用性和影响,从而解决了这一差距。研究结果揭示了将知识管理(KM)的目标和活动与产出、结果和长期影响联系起来的清晰途径。用户报告说,该平台有效地提高了对气候变化适应的认识,支持了能力建设,影响了政策和规划,促进了知识交流与协作。进一步的分析确定了六项核心知识管理活动——增强可用性、包容性、信任、可转移性、连通性和与公平原则的一致性——是平台有效性的核心。这些发现为最近的平台升级(2022-2024)提供了信息,完善了weADAPT的变化理论,并开发了一个定制的监测、评估和学习(MEL)框架,该框架具有定制的进度指标。该研究强调了将知识管理实践与用户需求结合起来以及以有意义的方式评估平台影响的重要性——衡量我们看重的东西,而不仅仅是容易量化的东西。这些见解为致力于加强学习和支持基于证据的气候适应的知识管理者和平台开发人员提供了实用指导。作为一项气候服务,weADAPT在线平台1主要(但不完全)以中低收入国家的社区为目标,帮助弱势社区和世界上“难以接触”地区的社区发声。根据对平台的影响和使用进行的调查(379份回复)和访谈(21份)(2022年6月至2023年2月)的结果,weADAPT采用了六个关键知识管理(KM)具体目标和相关活动,以支持其帮助用户集体“学习、分享和联系”的使命(见图1,其中有三个用例提供了这三个支柱的示例)。这些措施如下:1)通过翻译、裁剪、综合和能力发展提高可用性;2)通过公正和公平地分享多种知识来增强包容性;3)通过协同KM流程建立信任;4)通过共享多尺度、多部门的基于地方的知识创造可转移性;5)通过知识、用户、网络的交叉施肥,影响其他平台,提高互联互通水平;6)促进可查找、可访问、可互操作、可重用(FAIR)和非殖民化的搜索和发现。从调查中获得的见解有助于完善变革理论;建立针对用户反馈的监测、评估和学习(MEL)框架;并指导该平台的技术升级,该平台于2024年1月完成。在非洲、亚洲、欧洲、大洋洲、北美和南美的83个国家的调查和访谈中,用户对weADAPT的使用做出了一系列的结果和影响。这些包括但不限于:支持国家政策和规划(例如,在斯里兰卡第三次气候变化国家信息通报中编写关于脆弱性和适应的一章);制定战略环境评估(例如在也门);起草国家适应气候变化战略(如乌克兰、菲律宾);加强农民、青年和社区成员的能力建设(例如,在津巴布韦、加纳和尼日利亚);规划和实施适应举措(例如在坦桑尼亚);并参与报告、项目文件、研究论文、提案、文献综述和分析评估(例如,在柬埔寨、肯尼亚和菲律宾)。用户将自己和社区的学习机会归功于平台简单的语言、中性的语气和精心合成的材料。此外,用户指出,weADAPT全球案例研究地图(显示适应措施的位置和类型)、可下载的时事通讯和专题内容结构这三个功能对于支持将经验教训转化为基于社区和基于政策的活动,以及为各种研究、政策和实践活动发现和使用证据至关重要。 用户称该平台的“接地气语言”可以交流“现实生活”和“实际”案例;“可信赖”和“可推荐”的知识,用于教育、告知他人并提供基于案例的具体证据,以影响决策者;以及“当前”、“适用”和“当代”信息,以便与适应趋势和里程碑保持同步,并形成新的研究和项目。此外,用户强调了该平台在帮助建立新的伙伴关系和适应项目方面的价值;从广泛的地方和角度了解适应;解决知识差距;发展地方利益相关者的能力;更重要的是,感觉自己被代表了,被倾听了。对平台的吸收、结果和潜在影响的分析加强了现有的、指导性的知识管理(KM)目标和活动,并提出了额外的建议。该平台据此制定了六项目标和活动,以巩固和支持weADAPT的使命,帮助用户学习、分享和联系;并寻求提供“可用”的内容,而不仅仅是有用的内容(Lemos等人,2012)(图1)。例如,提高知识、用户和网络之间的连通性和交叉施肥的目标和活动是通过促进在线和多样化的实践社区、提供讨论空间、提供培训机会以及在平台上为所有组织和贡献者提供平等的可见性的措施来实现的。这些措施和weADAPT的协作编辑过程为代表多种类型的知识和边缘化行动者的声音铺平了道路。本研究的结果揭示了知识管理活动(第3.3节)与产出、结果和长期影响之间的途径。这导致weADAPT平台进行了更具战略性的视觉和技术网站升级(于2024年1月公布);完善其变化理论;并采用监测、评估和学习框架来衡量用户的价值(Hargreaves &amp;雪莉,2009);并监测未来的影响途径(第3.4节)。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the gap: Gender-sensitive climate information and its implications for cowpea production in Mali 弥合差距:性别敏感的气候信息及其对马里豇豆生产的影响
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100582
Amos Mensah , Prince Asiedu
The intersection of gender dynamics and climate information sources significantly shapes the resilience and adaptive capacities of cowpea farmers in Cinzana, Mali. The paper investigates farmers’ access to and perception of climate information, focusing on gender differences that are needed to enhance adaptation to climate variability. The study also explores the constraints faced by both groups in adopting climate-resilient practices. Using data from 260 smallholder cowpea farmers, including 133 men and 127 women, ordered logit and multiple regression models were employed. The results indicate that age, sex, years of experience, and use of high-yielding varieties influence farmers’ frequency of information access from respective sources. The study further revealed that access of information from television, the use of high-yielding varieties, among others, significantly influence cowpea yields. We recommend the promotion of gender-responsive climate information services that facilitate targeted interventions that recognize farmers’ differences to enhance equitable access to resources, improve adaptation, and increase cowpea productivity in Mali.
性别动态和气候信息来源的交集显著地影响了马里Cinzana豇豆农民的恢复力和适应能力。本文调查了农民对气候信息的获取和感知,重点关注了增强对气候变率的适应所需的性别差异。该研究还探讨了这两个群体在采取适应气候变化的做法时面临的制约。利用260名豇豆小农(包括133名男性和127名女性)的数据,采用有序logit和多元回归模型。结果表明,年龄、性别、经验年限和高产品种的使用影响农民从各自来源获取信息的频率。研究进一步表明,从电视获取信息、使用高产品种等对豇豆产量有显著影响。我们建议促进促进性别平等的气候信息服务,促进有针对性的干预措施,认识到农民的差异,以加强对资源的公平获取,改善适应,提高马里的豇豆生产力。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change perceptions and adaptation responses among smallholder farmers across three locations in Megech Watershed, Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚Megech流域三个地点小农对气候变化的认知和适应反应
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100566
Achenafi Teklay , Asrat Ayalew , Amanuel Abate , Masresha Ashenafi , Ashenafi Tadesse Marye , Assefa Tilahun , Haimanote K. Bayabil , Alemayehu Kassa , Hailu Birara , Kassaye Gurebiyaw , Kibruyesfa Sisay
Climate change significantly affects smallholder farmers in Ethiopia who rely on rain-fed agriculture for their livelihoods. Farmers’ perceptions of climate change can modify their adaptation response decisions. However, there is limited knowledge about the key constraints that hinder the adoption of climate change measures in the Megech watershed. This research aimed to assess the smallholder farmers’ perception regarding climate change and the factors influencing their decision to adopt adaptation measures. This research employed a multi-stage sampling procedure to select a sample of 385 smallholder farmer households. Structured and semi-structured questionnaires were designed to conduct a household survey and focus group discussion for data purposes. Furthermore, this study covered a comparison between the farmers’ perspectives on climate change and the observed climate trends. The data analysis was done by descriptive statistics and logistic regression equation. Results showed that the primary sources for most farmers to get information about climate change were extension workers, radio broadcasts, and religious institutions. The majority of farmers believed that climate change was attributed to deforestation, population growth, and industrialization. Almost all farmers were cognizant of the temperature rise, aligning with the observed trend. However, the perception of the farmers on declining rainfall aligns only with recent rainfall trends. Farmers in the downstream had more experience in adopting climate change resilience strategies than farmers in the mid and upstream. On average, 87% of the farmers applied adaptation measures, including intensive inputs (fertilizers), planting date changes, and improved varieties. The farmers’ adoption of adaptation strategies was hampered by challenges such as limited access to credit and high costs of agricultural inputs. The regression analysis revealed that age, education, extension and credit access, and livestock size significantly affected the decision to adopt adaptation measures. These findings may support policymakers in formulating location-based adaptation measures to enhance resilience to climate change.
气候变化严重影响了埃塞俄比亚依靠雨养农业为生的小农。农民对气候变化的认知可以改变他们的适应响应决策。然而,人们对阻碍在Megech流域采取气候变化措施的关键制约因素的了解有限。本研究旨在评估小农对气候变化的认知以及影响其采取适应措施决策的因素。本研究采用多阶段抽样方法,选取385户小农家庭为样本。设计结构化和半结构化问卷进行住户调查和焦点小组讨论,以获取数据。此外,本研究还将农民对气候变化的看法与观测到的气候趋势进行了比较。数据分析采用描述性统计和logistic回归方程。结果表明,大多数农民获取气候变化信息的主要来源是推广人员、无线电广播和宗教机构。大多数农民认为气候变化是由森林砍伐、人口增长和工业化造成的。几乎所有的农民都意识到了气温的上升,这与观测到的趋势一致。然而,农民对降雨量下降的看法只与最近的降雨趋势一致。在采取气候变化适应战略方面,下游农民比中上游农民更有经验。平均而言,87%的农民采取了适应措施,包括集约化投入品(肥料)、改变种植日期和改良品种。农民采取适应战略受到诸如获得信贷机会有限和农业投入成本高等挑战的阻碍。回归分析显示,年龄、教育程度、推广和信贷获取以及牲畜规模显著影响采取适应措施的决策。这些发现可能支持决策者制定基于地点的适应措施,以增强对气候变化的适应能力。
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引用次数: 0
Co-production in climate services for the electricity sector in Brazil – Insights from the CLIMAX project 巴西电力部门气候服务的合作生产——来自CLIMAX项目的见解
IF 4 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.cliser.2025.100570
Jean C.H. Miguel , Renzo R. Taddei , Marley C.L. Moscati , Caio A.S. Coelho , Iracema F.A. Cavalcanti , Luiz F. Rezende , Celso von Randow
This research paper presents the findings and lessons from the international CLIMAX project—Climate Services Through Knowledge Co-production: A Euro-South American Initiative for Strengthening Societal Adaptation Response to Extreme Events. The project, engaging with the Brazilian National Electric System Operator (ONS), explores co-production as a method to implement climate services in the context of Brazil, particularly within the country’s hydroelectric power sector. Through interactive research and transdisciplinary collaboration, the CLIMAX project evaluates both the implementation of climate services and the concept of utility in knowledge co-production. The research identifies inherent diversity and “utility paradoxes” within the co-production process. These paradoxes involve the perceived relevance of climate information versus its integration into systems, and its instrumental use versus its justification for decisions. The study highlights the significance of stakeholder engagement, close and meaningful communication, and adaptability to context-specific needs. By sharing experiences from a five-year interactive research initiative, it offers insights into improving practices for future co-production endeavors. This entails recognizing varied research contexts, managing co-design processes with an awareness of time and resources, and encouraging flexibility and personal transformation within co-design.
本研究报告介绍了国际CLIMAX项目的成果和经验教训——通过知识合作生产提供气候服务:加强对极端事件社会适应反应的欧洲-南美倡议。该项目与巴西国家电力系统运营商(ONS)合作,探索联合生产作为在巴西实施气候服务的一种方法,特别是在该国的水力发电部门。通过互动研究和跨学科合作,CLIMAX项目评估了气候服务的实施和知识合作生产中的效用概念。该研究确定了合作生产过程中固有的多样性和“效用悖论”。这些矛盾涉及到气候信息的感知相关性与将其整合到系统中,以及其工具性使用与决策正当性之间的矛盾。该研究强调了利益相关者参与、密切而有意义的沟通以及对特定情境需求的适应性的重要性。通过分享一项为期五年的互动研究计划的经验,它为未来的合作生产努力提供了改进实践的见解。这需要认识到不同的研究背景,在时间和资源的意识下管理协同设计过程,并鼓励协同设计中的灵活性和个人转变。
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Climate Services
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