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Geographies of EU dissatisfaction: Does spatial segregation between natives and migrants erode the EU project? 对欧盟不满的地理:本地居民和移民之间的空间隔离是否会侵蚀欧盟项目?
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-30 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2271504
Toni Rodon, Jonathan Kent
ABSTRACTThis article examines whether the spatial segregation of immigrant groups conditions the relationship between the share of migrants and attitudes towards EU integration. Do varying degrees of clustering of migrants in space diminish, mitigate or exacerbate the effect of immigration on EU attitudes? We combine data from the European Social Survey with fine-grain spatial segregation measures captured by the D4I project across four European Union countries. We find that those who live in regions with a greater share of migrants from Eastern Europe have more positive attitudes towards the EU but that this positive influence diminishes in highly segregated areas. The analysis also shows that the effect is primarily driven by the working class. Our findings have important implications as they show that the joint consideration of both the levels and the distribution of migrants in space is crucial to understanding the relationship between immigration and attitudes towards the EU.KEYWORDS: EU integrationimmigrationspatial segregationsocial classEastern Europe AcknowledgmentsWe want to thank the anonymous reviewers for their useful insights. We also want to thank Dominik Schraff, Sofia Vasilopoulou, Mads Dagnis Jensen and Anders Ejrnæs for their comments and suggestions, as well as all attendees on the workshop ‘Regional Inequality and Political Discontent in Europe’, which took place in Copenhagen on 13-14 October 2022.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 If we use Bayesian multi-level models, the findings are consistent.2 Including fixed effects for countries, in lieu of random intercepts, had no substantive effect on the findings.3 If we add other regional-level control variables, such as population density and unemployment (see Table C.2), or if we run the models with country FEs, results remain robust.Additional informationFundingThis research was funded, in part, by the “la Caixa” Foundation, under Grant HR19-00336.Notes on contributorsToni RodonToni Rodon is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Catalonia, Spain.Jonathan KentJonathan Kent is an academic guest in the Social Networks Lab at ETH Zürich, Switzerland.
摘要本文探讨移民群体的空间隔离是否决定了移民比例与对欧盟一体化的态度之间的关系。移民在空间上不同程度的聚集是否会减弱、减轻或加剧移民对欧盟态度的影响?我们将欧洲社会调查的数据与D4I项目在四个欧盟国家捕获的细粒度空间隔离措施相结合。我们发现,那些生活在东欧移民比例较高地区的人对欧盟的态度更为积极,但这种积极影响在高度隔离的地区减弱。分析还表明,这种影响主要是由工人阶级推动的。我们的研究结果具有重要的意义,因为它们表明,联合考虑移民的水平和空间分布对于理解移民与对欧盟的态度之间的关系至关重要。关键词:欧盟一体化、移民、空间隔离、社会阶层、东欧我们还要感谢Dominik Schraff、Sofia Vasilopoulou、Mads Dagnis Jensen和Anders Ejrnæs提出的意见和建议,以及2022年10月13日至14日在哥本哈根举行的“欧洲地区不平等和政治不满”研讨会的所有与会者。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1如果我们使用贝叶斯多级模型,结果是一致的包括对各国的固定影响,而不是随机拦截,对调查结果没有实质性影响如果我们加入其他区域层面的控制变量,如人口密度和失业率(见表C.2),或者如果我们使用国家FEs运行模型,结果仍然稳健。本研究部分由“la Caixa”基金会资助,资助号为HR19-00336。作者toni Rodon是西班牙加泰罗尼亚庞培法布拉大学政治学助理教授。Jonathan Kent是瑞士苏黎世联邦理工学院社交网络实验室的学术嘉宾。
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引用次数: 0
To play or not to play the ‘moral hazard card’: Germany and the European Union’s response to the Covid-19 crisis 打还是不打“道德风险牌”:德国和欧盟对新冠肺炎危机的回应
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2270573
Laura Pierret, David Howarth
ABSTRACTAvoiding moral hazard is a recurrent argument of those seeking to limit the development of European financial support mechanisms. Germany has been the traditional leader of this coalition of actors in the European Union (EU). However, in reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic, Germany supported an EU response which included grants and massive debt issuance. What was previously presented as unacceptable – because of moral hazard – became appropriate. This contribution seeks to explain why the German government ceased to emphasise the moral hazard problem in EU economic governance. We argue that the answer is not because of a challenge to the relevance of moral hazard per se, or because the Germans lost interest in the moral hazard problem, but rather because German policymakers were discursively constrained by one of the dominant meanings of moral hazard they had previously imposed – which lost its relevance in the context of a symmetric exogenous shock.KEYWORDS: Germanymoral hazardCovid-19 pandemicNext Generation European Union (NGEU)Euro area crisisresponsibilitytext analysisdiscursive constraint AcknowledgmentsThe authors benefitted from the helpful feedback from academic colleagues participating in a number of workshops and conferences (at the Université Libre de Bruxelles, Trier University, the European University Institute, the 2022 EUSA conference and the 2023 CES conference). The authors have notably been inspired by the friendly guidance and encouragement of professors Amandine Crespy and Vivien Schmidt, and Tiago Moreira Ramalho. Three anonymous reviewers provided very helpful and detailed comments and constructive criticism. A number of expert interviewees provided invaluable information and advice.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 The empirical literature in neoclassical economics also distinguishes between two different types of moral hazard: ex ante moral hazard refers to actions that increase the probabilities of outcomes; ex post moral hazard refers to actions that increase the costs of outcomes. This distinction is worth mentioning because it provides a reminder that, in the academic literature, moral hazard is not restricted to cases of endogenous shocks.2 Other German institutions — notably the Bundestag — are of analytical interest and should be analysed in future research.3 The data were collected in mid-January 2022. The corpus of press documents is composed of speeches, interviews, guest contributions, declarations, and press releases (expressing an opinion).4 The press documents are available on the respective institutional websites and personal webpages.5 Keywords search to filter by topic: Eurozone crisis [Eurozone crisis, Euro crisis, Euro area crisis, debt crisis]; Covid-19 crisis [corona, covid].6 List of proxies based on synonymous and antonymous concepts: incentive (anreiz in German) [wrong, weaken, adverse, reduce, misguided, false, disincentives, for exces
David Howarth,卢森堡大学政治学研究所政治学(欧盟研究)正教授。
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引用次数: 0
How terrorist attacks distort public debates: a comparative study of right-wing and Islamist extremism 恐怖袭击如何扭曲公众辩论:右翼和伊斯兰极端主义的比较研究
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2269194
Teresa Völker
Previous research has shown how terrorist attacks attract media attention and influence public opinion and decision-makers. However, we lack a comparative assessment of the extent to which extremist ideologies matter and how they matter. Therefore, this paper compares mass media debates over extreme right and Islamist terrorist attacks. Theoretically, it innovates by linking research on discursive critical junctures and issue-specific discursive opportunity structures, emphasising the systematic differences between the two ideologies. Empirically, the study is based on an original, large-scale content analysis of mass media debates on all seven fatal attacks in Germany since 2015 (N = 9047). It combines relational quantitative content analysis with frame and network analyses. The results show how ideologies behind terrorist attack shape political reactions and the framing of the key security threat. Notably, both types of attacks provide favourable conditions for the far right, and political elites play a central role in the diffusion of far-right frames. In contrast, victims and ethnic or religious minorities have little voice in public debates. Overall, the study contributes to a better understanding of the impact of terrorist attacks on Western democracies by emphasising the impact of ideology and distorted threat perceptions in public debates.
先前的研究表明,恐怖袭击如何吸引媒体的注意力,并影响公众舆论和决策者。然而,我们缺乏对极端主义意识形态的影响程度和影响方式的比较评估。因此,本文比较了大众媒体对极右翼和伊斯兰恐怖袭击的争论。在理论上,它通过将话语关键节点和特定问题的话语机会结构的研究联系起来进行创新,强调了两种意识形态之间的系统差异。从经验上看,该研究基于对2015年以来德国所有七起致命袭击事件的大众媒体辩论的原创、大规模内容分析(N = 9047)。它将关系定量内容分析与框架和网络分析相结合。研究结果显示,恐怖袭击背后的意识形态如何影响政治反应和主要安全威胁的构成。值得注意的是,这两种类型的攻击都为极右翼提供了有利条件,政治精英在极右翼框架的传播中发挥了核心作用。相比之下,受害者和少数民族或宗教少数派在公共辩论中几乎没有发言权。总的来说,这项研究通过强调意识形态的影响和公众辩论中扭曲的威胁认知,有助于更好地理解恐怖袭击对西方民主国家的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Regional inequalities and political trust in a global context 全球背景下的区域不平等与政治信任
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2269207
Lisa Dellmuth
Climate change, health pandemics, structural decline, and more – the challenges of solving political problems are daunting, particularly when the political institutions addressing them are not trusted. This article tests the economic theory that residents of high-income regions are more likely to trust political institutions, given their positive experiences with services and opportunities, against the rival argument that predicts a negative effect of regional disadvantage within a country on political trust. Using European Values Study and World Values Survey (2017–2020) data, combined with socioeconomic data for 606 regions in 42 countries, this paper analyses samples of regions both in and outside the EU. The results suggest that people living in wealthy EU regions – both in absolute and relative terms – trust national government more and the EU less. In the global sample, the evidence is more variegated and corroborates economic theory only in democracies. The article sketches implications for regional inequality, political trust, and legitimacy research.
气候变化、卫生流行病、结构性衰退等等——解决政治问题的挑战令人生畏,尤其是在处理这些问题的政治机构不受信任的情况下。本文检验了经济理论,即高收入地区的居民更有可能信任政治机构,因为他们在服务和机会方面有积极的经历,而不是预测一个国家内部的区域劣势对政治信任有负面影响的对立论点。本文利用《欧洲价值观研究》和《世界价值观调查(2017-2020)》数据,结合42个国家606个地区的社会经济数据,对欧盟内外地区的样本进行了分析。研究结果表明,生活在富裕的欧盟地区的人们——无论是绝对还是相对而言——对本国政府的信任度更高,对欧盟的信任度更低。在全球样本中,证据更加多样化,只有在民主国家才能证实经济理论。本文概述了对区域不平等、政治信任和合法性研究的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Timely climate proposals. Discourse networks and (dis)continuity in European policies 及时提出气候建议。话语网络与欧洲政策的(非)连续性
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-14 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2268673
Laurie Durel, Laure Gosselin
ABSTRACTHow do discursive fields influence support for climate policies? The European Green Deal (EGD) has gained media attention in part because it was presented as a cross-sectorial strategy aiming to ‘transform the European economy’. Our analysis focuses on two specific policy proposals of the EGD: the carbon border adjustment mechanism and the reform for a greener Common Agricultural Policy. By comparing their discourse network structure, we aim to understand policy (dis)continuity introduced with the EGD. We use an original longitudinal dataset and discourse network analysis to map framing dynamics over time and understand how particular frames can gather support in policy networks. Our study shows that two elements favor policy change, namely the resonance of new frames with the discursive field and the presence of brokers connecting previously disconnected actors or coalitions. This paper is relevant for scholars interested in the discursive layer of policy networks as well as (dis)continuity in policy debates.KEYWORDS: Discoursepolicy networksdiscursive fieldframingclimate changeEuropean Green Deal AcknowledgmentsThe authors would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable feedback that helped improve and refine our analysis and the paper. We presented previous versions of this paper at the 2022 International Studies Association Conference in Montreal, the 2022 Environmental Politics and Governance Conference in Pennsylvania, the 2022 American Political Science Association Conference in Montreal, the 2022 Earth System Governance Conference in Toronto, and a seminar of the Canada Research Chair in International Political Economy. We thank the participants and especially Jean-Frédéric Morin for their insightful comments. Finally, we would like to thank the three research assistants who helped with the data collection and coding process: Laurence Bolduc-Landry, Jeanne Desrosiers, and Naomi Laflamme. This work was conducted as part of the Frames in Production: Actors, Networks, Diffusion (FRAMENET), a collaborative research network across research institutions in Germany, Canada and the UK, funded by the Open Research Area (DFG, SSHRC, ESRC).Data availability statementThe data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, LD, upon reasonable request.Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 For example, in 2006, French Prime Minister Dominique de Villepin suggested to implement a carbon border tax. In 2008, the EU adopted a directive providing that from 2012 onwards, the aviation sector would be included in the EU ETS. Therefore, all flights that landed or took off in the EU, regardless of their origin or destination, were subject to the directive (Wu & Salzman, Citation2014). In light of an important push back by some EU trading partners, the EU changed its regulation in order to cover only flights within the European Economic Area argui
话语领域如何影响对气候政策的支持?《欧洲绿色协议》(EGD)获得了媒体的关注,部分原因是它被视为一项旨在“改变欧洲经济”的跨部门战略。我们的分析集中在两个具体的政策建议:碳边界调整机制和绿色共同农业政策改革。通过比较它们的话语网络结构,我们旨在理解EGD引入的政策(非)连续性。我们使用原始的纵向数据集和话语网络分析来绘制框架动态随时间的变化,并了解特定框架如何在政策网络中获得支持。我们的研究表明,有两个因素有利于政策变化,即新框架与话语场的共鸣,以及连接先前断开的行动者或联盟的中间人的存在。本文适用于对政策网络的话语层以及政策辩论中的(非)连续性感兴趣的学者。关键词:话语政策网络话语领域框架气候变化欧洲绿色协议作者要感谢两位匿名审稿人的宝贵反馈,他们帮助改进和完善了我们的分析和论文。我们在2022年蒙特利尔国际研究协会会议、2022年宾夕法尼亚州环境政治与治理会议、2022年蒙特利尔美国政治科学协会会议、2022年多伦多地球系统治理会议和加拿大国际政治经济学研究主席研讨会上展示了本文的先前版本。我们感谢与会者,特别是让-弗朗茨·莫兰提出的富有见地的意见。最后,我们要感谢协助数据收集和编码过程的三位研究助理:Laurence bolducc - landry, Jeanne Desrosiers和Naomi Laflamme。这项工作是“生产中的框架:参与者、网络、传播”(FRAMENET)的一部分,这是一个由开放研究区(DFG、SSHRC、ESRC)资助的德国、加拿大和英国研究机构的合作研究网络。数据可用性声明支持本研究结果的数据可根据合理要求从通讯作者LD处获得。披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。注1如2006年,法国总理德维尔潘建议征收碳边境税。2008年,欧盟通过了一项指令,规定从2012年起,航空业将被纳入欧盟碳排放交易体系。因此,所有在欧盟降落或起飞的航班,无论其出发地或目的地如何,都受到该指令的约束(Wu & Salzman, Citation2014)。鉴于一些欧盟贸易伙伴的重要反对,欧盟改变了其规定,以便仅涵盖欧洲经济区内的航班,认为这将允许“支持国际民用航空组织(ICAO)制定全球措施”(欧盟委员会,Citation2016)一些成员国(保加利亚、荷兰、爱尔兰和意大利)虽然没有被要求作为EGD的一部分,但已经选择将牲畜作为其生态计划政策的目标,但却面临着农民的强烈反对(见Runge等人,Citation2022)3 .三部曲已成为欧盟立法程序的一个组成部分(例如,参见Brandsma等人、Citation2021以及该特刊的其他文章)碳排放交易体系正处于第四阶段,而自1992年首次引入环境因素以来,CAP已经进行了四次重大改革诊断框架是指框架问题的方式,而预测框架是指框架解决方案的方式(一种区分最初由Entman, Citation1993建立)对于我们的两场辩论,数据集涵盖了从1997年到2021年的一段时间。这是因为这项研究是一个更大的研究项目的一部分,该项目调查了具体的陈述是如何在政策辩论中出现的,由谁提出的,以及它们是如何更广泛地传播到公共领域的中间性中心性表明,“行动者的中心性与网络结构中存在的行动者与网络中行动者的联系(或有效传递信息)程度成正比,而不是将其从网络中移除”(Patty & Penn, Citation2018,第150页)虽然“绿化CAP”经常出现在政策辩论中,但这并不是一个新框架。当关于CAP改革的辩论重新开始时,这是一个反复出现的论点,随着时间的推移,这是一个非常一致的框架(见在线附录B)在第一支柱下,MS将通过“生态计划”为环境措施提供资金,第二支柱将继续提供农业-环境-气候支付。 MS现在有义务将至少30%的第二支柱资金用于环境和气候措施(欧盟委员会,Citation2020)直接支付和市场措施(支柱1)占农业拨款的76.8%(欧洲议会,Citation2023)其他参与者诉诸于使用两极分化的主张(即在辩论中引发参与者之间同意或不同意的主张,参见在线附录中的图17)。然而,这些主张并没有得到各方行动者的足够支持,不足以显著影响话语网络结构这一框架意味着迫切需要采取行动(无论是牲畜、农药或大农场等特定部门的责任)补贴的附加条件,提到农田作为碳汇的潜力,或者在农业部门进行研发,这些都是相当普遍和一致同意的解决问题的方式因此,在乌克兰战争的经济需求中,由于粮食生产被优先考虑,改革带来的环境收益迅速受到侵蚀,导致环境措施受到损害,这并不奇怪(Fortuna & Foote Citation2022)例如,在2020年1月,欧盟委员会主席说:“对进口征收碳边境税可能是必要的,但(她)更希望欧盟的全球合作伙伴能够达到欧盟的承诺。”(美联社国际,Citation2020)2022年12月,“七国集团国家元首和政府首脑决定……建立一个开放合作的国际气候俱乐部。17 .七国集团邀请有兴趣追求雄心勃勃的气候政策的国家加入气候俱乐部[…](G7, Citation2022)虽然cam的想法在2006年得到了工业专员Verheugen的支持,但贸易专员Mandelson公开反对这一想法(见Euractiv, Citation2006)。本研究得到了基金会de Recherche du quemobe - sociacemotre et Culture的支持;开放研究区(DFG、SSHRC、ESRC);加拿大社会科学与人文研究理事会。作者简介劳里·杜雷尔,拉瓦尔大学国际研究研究生院博士研究生。Laure Gosselin,拉瓦尔大学Universität德累斯顿理工大学政治学系博士研究生。
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引用次数: 0
Helping citizens to lobby themselves. Experimental evidence on the effects of citizen lobby engagement on internal efficacy and political support 帮助公民游说自己。公民游说参与对内部效能和政治支持影响的实验证据
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2266459
Ellis Aizenberg, Hannah Werner, Sharon van Geldere
Ideally, interest groups form a link between citizens and politics. However, this link is often flawed in practice. Many citizens also feel that the average citizen is not heard and that special interests exert undue influence on policymaking. One proposal to address this problem is the stimulation of so-called citizen lobby: Ordinary citizens can use lobbying strategies to achieve influence on decision-makers. This benefits both policymakers and citizens as it can empower citizens to make their voices heard and it can help policymakers to build perceived legitimacy among citizens that are dissatisfied with existing decision-making processes. Formal channels for citizen lobby often exist but remain underused. However, what happens when governments actively engage with citizen lobby? We conducted two survey experiments in the Netherlands (N = 1218) and showed that engagement with citizen lobby has no systematic effect on internal political efficacy but has robust positive effects on political support.
理想情况下,利益集团会在公民和政治之间形成联系。然而,这种联系在实践中往往存在缺陷。许多公民还认为,普通公民的声音没有被倾听,特殊利益集团对政策制定施加了不当影响。解决这个问题的一个建议是刺激所谓的公民游说:普通公民可以利用游说策略对决策者施加影响。这对政策制定者和公民都有利,因为它可以使公民能够发出自己的声音,并有助于政策制定者在对现有决策程序不满意的公民中建立公认的合法性。公民游说的正式渠道经常存在,但仍未得到充分利用。然而,当政府积极参与公民游说时,会发生什么呢?我们在荷兰进行了两次调查实验(N = 1218),结果表明参与公民游说对内部政治效能没有系统性影响,但对政治支持有很强的积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial announcement 编辑公告
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2256370
Jeremy Richardson, Berthold Rittberger
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引用次数: 0
Euroscepticism as a syndrome of stagnation? Regional inequality and trust in the EU 欧洲怀疑主义是一种停滞综合症?地区不平等和对欧盟的信任
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2264891
Sofia Vasilopoulou, Liisa Talving
This article advances the literature on the spatial patterns of EU support by arguing that the relationship between regional inequality and EU trust is not linear. We posit that, to fully understand this relationship, we should systematically investigate three dimensions of regional inequality, i.e., regional wealth status, regional wealth growth, and regional wealth growth at different levels of wealth status. Using individual-level survey data for EU27 countries and the UK from 11 Eurobarometer waves (2015–2019), we show that a non-linear association exists whereby poor and rich European regions tend to trust the EU more compared to middle-income regions, and that within-region over-time growth is associated with higher levels of EU trust. We demonstrate that the association between growth and EU trust is more pronounced among poor and middle-income regions compared to rich regions. Our findings have implications about the nature of public Euroscepticism and the ways in which to address it.
本文对欧盟支持的空间格局进行了梳理,认为区域不平等与欧盟信任的关系不是线性的。我们认为,要充分理解这种关系,需要系统考察区域不平等的三个维度,即区域财富状况、区域财富增长和不同财富状况水平下的区域财富增长。利用11次欧洲晴雨表(2015-2019)对欧盟27个国家和英国的个人层面调查数据,我们发现存在一种非线性关联,即与中等收入地区相比,贫穷和富裕的欧洲地区往往更信任欧盟,而且随着时间的推移,区域内的增长与欧盟信任水平的提高有关。我们证明,与富裕地区相比,增长与欧盟信任之间的关联在贫困和中等收入地区更为明显。我们的发现对公众欧洲怀疑主义的本质和解决它的方式有启示。
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引用次数: 4
Issue salience and feedback effects: the case of pension reforms 问题凸显与反馈效应:以养老金改革为例
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-10-04 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2263051
Juan J. Fernández, Tobias Wiß, Karen M. Anderson
What is the relationship between social policy reforms and issue salience in public opinion? Extensive research analyses policy feedbacks on policy preferences and the influence of policy preferences on policy change. Scant research, however, considers the link between reforms and issue salience – i.e., the perception of importance citizens attach to a topic. We address this gap in the literature through the comparative study of the salience of the ‘pension issue’. Drawing on a novel dataset covering 2010–2020 and 28 European countries, we argue that the passage of pension reforms shapes pension salience. Multilevel fixed effects models indicate that pension reforms that include either contracting or expansionary provisions are positively related to pension salience. In contrast, expansionary and contracting reforms, by themselves, are not robustly associated with pension salience.
社会政策改革与问题在公众舆论中的突出性之间的关系是什么?大量研究分析了政策反馈对政策偏好的影响以及政策偏好对政策变化的影响。然而,很少有研究考虑改革和问题突出性之间的联系,即公民对某一主题的重视程度。我们通过对“养老金问题”的突出性的比较研究来解决文献中的这一差距。利用涵盖2010-2020年和28个欧洲国家的新数据集,我们认为养老金改革的通过塑造了养老金的显著性。多层固定效应模型表明,包括收缩或扩张条款的养老金改革与养老金显著性呈正相关。相比之下,扩张性和承包性改革本身并不与养老金显著性密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
Who influences whom? Inequality in the mutual responsiveness between voters and elites 谁影响谁?选民和精英之间相互反应的不平等
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2023.2260810
Max Joosten
Recent years have seen a proliferation of research on the connection between voters and elites. One literature explores whether elites’ responsiveness is biased towards affluent voters, but does not allow for reverse causality. Another literature investigates voters’ responsiveness to elite cues but pays limited attention to potential inequality in such responsiveness. This study combines insights from both literatures by analysing income inequality in elite responsiveness to voters, and vice versa. It does so using detailed time-series data on citizens’ preferences and party positions towards government spending in the Netherlands. Empirical analyses reveal that there is no exclusive pro-middle or pro-rich bias in voter influence, while adaptation increases with income. The analysis has important implications for the study of representation and inequality and, more broadly, for the relationship between citizens and elites in established democracies.
近年来,关于选民与精英之间关系的研究激增。一篇文献探讨了精英的反应是否偏向富裕选民,但不考虑反向因果关系。另一篇文献调查了选民对精英暗示的反应,但对这种反应中潜在的不平等关注有限。本研究结合了两篇文献的见解,分析了精英阶层对选民反应的收入不平等,反之亦然。它使用了荷兰公民对政府支出的偏好和政党立场的详细时间序列数据。实证分析表明,选民影响不存在排他的亲中产或亲富人偏见,而适应性随着收入的增加而增加。这一分析对代表性和不平等的研究,以及更广泛地说,对成熟民主国家公民与精英之间的关系的研究具有重要意义。
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Journal of European Public Policy
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