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The Warm War: The Effect of Ukrainian President’s Communal Personality Traits on Empathy and Pro-Social Behavior towards the Ukrainians 温暖的战争:乌克兰总统的社区人格特质对乌克兰人的同情和亲社会行为的影响
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241258379
M. Balmas, Nitzan Attias, E. Halperin
The war between Russia and Ukraine is not only over territory or security but also over public opinion. Research has shown that national leaders can leverage their personality – in a general, positive sense – to arouse, in people living beyond their countries’ borders, emotions of empathy or pro-social reactions towards their countries’ citizens. We focus on the personality of Ukrainian President Zelensky and examine which of his personality traits can promote empathy and pro-social behavior towards Ukrainians. In two experimental studies, conducted in Israel and in the US, we found that exposure to a news article that highlights Zelensky’s communal traits (warmth/morality), as compared to his agentic traits (competence/determination), led to (a) increased levels of empathy towards Ukrainian citizens, (b) willingness to help them, and (c) an actual monetary donation for their benefit. We end by discussing the theoretical and practical implications of the findings.
俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的战争不仅是领土或安全之争,也是舆论之争。研究表明,国家领导人可以利用自己的人格魅力--从一般积极的意义上讲--唤起境外民众对本国公民的共鸣或亲社会反应。我们将重点放在乌克兰总统泽连斯基的人格上,研究他的哪些人格特质可以促进对乌克兰人的移情和亲社会行为。在以色列和美国进行的两项实验研究中,我们发现,与泽伦斯基的代理人特质(能力/决断力)相比,接触一篇强调泽伦斯基的共性特质(温暖/道德)的新闻报道会导致:(a) 对乌克兰公民的移情水平提高;(b) 愿意帮助他们;(c) 为他们的利益实际捐款。最后,我们将讨论研究结果的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Social Cohesion, Economic Security, and Forced displacement in the Long-run: Evidence From Rural Colombia 社会凝聚力、经济安全与长期被迫流离失所:来自哥伦比亚农村的证据
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241253532
Juan F. Tellez, Laia Balcells
Millions of people around the world are internally displaced. And yet – compared to other forms of wartime victimization – scholars know relatively little about the long-run consequences of displacement for victims. This gap in the literature is problematic since displacement is distinct from other forms of victimization, and because IDPs face unique challenges in post-conflict transitions. This study contributes to the literature on the effects of displacement in three ways. First, the study brings to bear a unique sample of households in Colombia that is largely homogeneous along key confounders – mostly poor, rural, and conflict-afflicted – yet varies in their exposure to displacement. Next, the study draws on a rich set of covariates and outcomes to provide plausible estimates on the long-run effects of internal displacement. The study finds that a decade or more after displacement, victims experience substantial negative welfare deficits yet exhibit higher levels of social cohesion than their counterparts. Finally, combining a prediction framework with key stakeholder interviews, the study explores variation in outcomes among victims, particularly why some can return home and seek reparations while others are not. The results reveal a wide assortment of consequences resulting from displacement and should help inform policy-making bearing on support for internally displaced people.
全世界有数百万人在国内流离失所。然而,与其他形式的战时受害相比,学者们对流离失所给受害者造成的长期后果知之甚少。文献中的这一空白是有问题的,因为流离失所不同于其他形式的受害,而且国内流离失所者在冲突后过渡时期面临着独特的挑战。本研究从三个方面对有关流离失所影响的文献做出了贡献。首先,本研究采用了一个独特的哥伦比亚家庭样本,该样本在关键的混杂因素方面基本相同--大多为贫困、农村和受冲突影响的家庭,但他们所受流离失所的影响却各不相同。接下来,研究利用丰富的协变量和结果,对境内流离失所的长期影响进行了合理估计。研究发现,在流离失所十年或更久之后,受害者会经历巨大的负面福利赤字,但他们的社会凝聚力却高于同类人。最后,本研究将预测框架与主要利益相关者访谈相结合,探讨了受害者之间的结果差异,特别是为什么有些人可以返回家园并寻求赔偿,而有些人却不能。研究结果揭示了流离失所造成的各种后果,应有助于为支持境内流离失所者的决策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Cohesion Among Whom? Stayees, Displaced, and Returnees in Conflict Contexts 谁的凝聚力?冲突背景下的留守者、流离失所者和回归者
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241254585
Sarah Langlotz, Paul Michel, Philip Verwimp, Patricia Justino, Tilman Brück
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引用次数: 0
The Legacies of Armed Conflict: Insights From Stayees and Returning Forced Migrants 武装冲突的遗留问题:被滞留者和回归的被迫移民的见解
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241253529
Isabel Ruiz, Carlos Vargas-Silva
How does conflict, displacement, and return shape trust, reconciliation, and community engagement? And what is the relative impact of exposure to violence on these indicators? In this paper we explore these questions by focusing on the legacies of armed conflict and the differences between those who stayed in their communities of origin during the conflict (stayees) and those who were displaced internally and internationally and who returned home over time (returnees). The results, which rely on analysis of data we collected in Burundi, suggest that internal returnees have significantly lower levels of trust, reconciliation, and community engagement than stayees, whereas the differences between international returnees and stayees are mostly statistically insignificant. Greater exposure to violence has a more negative effect on reconciliation and community engagement for returnees compared to stayees, while the effects on trust are mixed.
冲突、流离失所和回归如何影响信任、和解和社区参与?暴力对这些指标的相对影响是什么?在本文中,我们探讨了这些问题,重点是武装冲突的遗留问题,以及冲突期间留在原籍社区的人(留守者)与在国内和国际上流离失所并随着时间推移返回家园的人(回返者)之间的差异。我们对在布隆迪收集的数据进行了分析,结果表明,境内回返者的信任、和解和社区参与程度明显低于滞留者,而国际回返者与滞留者之间的差异在统计上大多不显著。与滞留者相比,更多的暴力事件对回归者的和解与社区参与产生了更消极的影响,而对信任的影响则好坏参半。
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引用次数: 0
Land Reform Versus Repression in Counterinsurgency: Evidence From El Salvador 反叛乱中的土地改革与镇压:萨尔瓦多的证据
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241247539
T. David Mason, Jesse Hamner, Amalia Pulido, Mustafa Kirisci, Frank M. Howell
Land reform has been employed as a component of counterinsurgency strategies to inoculate peasants against rebel appeals by giving peasants their own land. However, the remedial effects of land reform can be undermined by right wing violence and rebel violence intended to subvert land reform implementation. We used municipio level data on land reform and election results from El Salvador to test propositions on the competing effects of land reform and political violence - right wing and rebel - on the distribution of popular support between the regime versus the rebels versus anti-reform parties in the regime. We find consistent evidence across three elections that “land to the tiller” forms of agrarian reform do increase support for the regime while right wing violence does erode support for reformist parties.
土地改革被用作反叛乱战略的一个组成部分,通过让农民拥有自己的土地,使他们免受叛乱分子的侵扰。然而,土地改革的补救效果可能会被旨在破坏土地改革实施的右翼暴力和叛乱暴力破坏。我们利用萨尔瓦多市一级的土地改革数据和选举结果,检验了关于土地改革和政治暴力(右翼和叛乱)对政权、叛乱分子和政权内反改革党派之间民众支持分布的竞争影响的命题。我们在三次选举中发现了一致的证据,即 "耕者有其田 "形式的土地改革确实增加了对政权的支持,而右翼暴力确实削弱了对改革派政党的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Right-Wing Populist Leaders, Nationalist Rhetoric, and Dispute Initiation in International Politics 国际政治中的右翼民粹主义领袖、民族主义言论和争端的引发
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241247041
Minnie M. Joo, Brandon Bolte, N. Huynh, Vineeta Yadav, Bumba Mukherjee
The global rise of right-wing populist (RWP) leaders has raised concerns about the threat they pose to a cooperative international order, but there is little systematic evidence linking RWP leaders to military aggression. Are RWP leaders more prone to initiating international disputes? If so, when and why? We argue that a RWP leader’s hyper-nationalist rhetoric can galvanize popular support for militant internationalism, but this only leads to pressures for the leader to follow through on their belligerent rhetoric by initiating international disputes in participatory democracies. Using survey experiments fielded in India and Japan, we find strong support for our claims about the effects of RWP rhetoric on civilian attitudes. Statistical results from original data on populist leaders worldwide (1886-2014) then show that RWP leaders in participatory democracies are more likely to initiate militarized disputes. Our results are troubling given the recent increase in RWP leaders elected in participatory democracies.
右翼民粹主义(RWP)领导人在全球的崛起引发了人们对他们对合作性国际秩序所构成威胁的担忧,但几乎没有系统性的证据表明右翼民粹主义领导人与军事侵略有关。RWP 领导人是否更容易挑起国际争端?如果是,何时以及为什么?我们认为,RWP 领导人的超民族主义言论可以激发民众对好战国际主义的支持,但这只会导致领导人迫于压力,通过在参与式民主国家挑起国际争端来落实其好战言论。通过在印度和日本进行实地调查实验,我们发现,我们关于好战国际主义言论对平民态度影响的说法得到了有力的支持。随后,来自全球民粹主义领导人原始数据(1886-2014 年)的统计结果表明,参与式民主国家的无赖主义者领导人更有可能发起军事化争端。考虑到最近在参与式民主国家当选的RWP领导人越来越多,我们的结果令人担忧。
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引用次数: 0
Us and Them: Foreign Threat and Domestic Polarization 我们和他们外国威胁与国内两极分化
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241246539
Joshua A. Schwartz, Dominic Tierney
Can foreign threats reduce domestic polarization, and if so, under what conditions? This is an important question for the United States given the severity of internal division and the emergence of China as a potentially unifying external peril. We offer a novel theoretical argument about when external danger will rally Americans based on the nexus between the vividness of foreign danger and bipartisan elite agreement about the threat. We test our theory through a series of pre-registered survey experiments. We find that vivid foreign threats, in isolation, do not reduce domestic polarization and therefore the danger from China alone may not be sufficient to spur domestic unity. However, vivid foreign threats in combination with policymaker agreement about the threat does significantly reduce domestic polarization. This reduction in polarization comes at a cost: increased public willingness to violate use of force norms against China. Overall, our study establishes that foreign peril can reduce domestic polarization under certain circumstances, and demonstrates that elite reactions to foreign threats are highly important in shaping wider domestic effects.
外国威胁能否减少国内两极分化?对美国来说,这是一个重要的问题,因为美国国内分裂严重,而中国作为一个潜在的外部危险正在崛起。我们提出了一个新颖的理论论点,即外部危险何时会使美国人团结起来,其基础是外部危险的鲜明性与两党精英对威胁的共识之间的联系。我们通过一系列预先登记的调查实验来验证我们的理论。我们发现,孤立地看生动的外来威胁并不能减少国内的两极分化,因此,仅仅来自中国的危险可能不足以促进国内的团结。然而,生动的外国威胁与政策制定者对威胁的一致看法相结合,确实能显著减少国内两极分化。这种两极分化的减少是有代价的:公众更愿意违反对华使用武力的准则。总之,我们的研究证实,在某些情况下,外国危险可以减少国内两极分化,并证明精英对外国威胁的反应在形成更广泛的国内效应方面非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
A Threat to Cohesion: Intragroup Affective Polarization in the Context of Intractable Intergroup Conflict 对凝聚力的威胁:棘手的群际冲突背景下的群内情感极化
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241247033
Tal Orian Harel, Nimrod Nir, Daan Vandermeulen, Ifat Maoz, Eran Halperin
Growing affective polarization, or animosity between competing ideological groups, threatens to tear apart democratic societies worldwide. In nations that are facing external conflicts, the threat arising from these conflicts may boost internal cohesion and potentially reduce the internal threat of fragmentation. However, in the current study, we analyze survey datasets from two societies embedded in intractable conflicts, South Korea ( N = 897) and Israel ( N = 504), and demonstrate that gaps in the perception of the external threat between competing ideological groups are related to higher levels of affective polarization within these societies. We also find support for a mechanism that explains this trend: an internal threat from the ideological outgroup. We discuss the implications of our findings for the study of conflicts' impact on intragroup processes, specifically affective polarization, and for the understanding of how such processes might perpetuate the conflict itself.
日益加剧的情感两极分化,或相互竞争的意识形态群体之间的敌意,有可能使全世界的民主社会四分五裂。在面临外部冲突的国家,这些冲突带来的威胁可能会增强内部凝聚力,并有可能减少内部分裂的威胁。然而,在本研究中,我们分析了韩国(N = 897)和以色列(N = 504)这两个深陷棘手冲突的社会的调查数据集,结果表明,相互竞争的意识形态团体之间对外部威胁的认知差距与这些社会内部较高程度的情感极化有关。我们还发现了解释这一趋势的机制:来自意识形态外群体的内部威胁。我们讨论了我们的发现对研究冲突对群体内部过程(特别是情感极化)的影响以及对理解这种过程如何可能使冲突本身持续下去的意义。
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引用次数: 0
Traditional Authorities, Norm Collisions, and Communal Conflict 传统权威、规范碰撞和族群冲突
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241237438
Clara Neupert-Wentz
I examine the effect of the policing capacity of traditional authorities (TAs) on communal conflict. TAs of ethnic groups use distinct customary laws and dispute-resolution mechanisms. Their coexistence with national norms and those of other TAs results in parallel legal systems. I argue that this generates uncertainties about norms and vertical and horizontal jurisdictional conflict, which increases the risk of communal conflict. However, this effect can be dampened by state-level rules on norm collisions, which lead to a system of co-production and less violence. To investigate these claims, I use global georeferenced expert survey data on customary policing of TAs and data measuring their constitutional regulation. I show that customary policing can have an adverse effect on communal peace. More subgroups of the larger ethnic group with policing institutions increase the risk of conflict. State-level regulation moderates these relationships. Additional evidence suggests that policing increases communal conflict through vertical jurisdictional conflict but otherwise achieves its intended purpose of providing security.
我研究了传统当局(TAs)的警务能力对社区冲突的影响。少数民族的传统当局使用不同的习惯法和争端解决机制。他们与国家规范和其他传统当局的规范共存,形成了平行的法律体系。我认为,这会产生规范的不确定性以及纵向和横向的司法冲突,从而增加族群冲突的风险。然而,国家层面的规范碰撞规则可以抑制这种影响,从而形成一个共同生产和较少暴力的体系。为了研究这些说法,我使用了全球地理参照的专家调查数据,这些数据涉及 TAs 的习俗警务,以及衡量其宪法监管的数据。我的研究表明,按习俗维持治安会对社区和平产生不利影响。大族群中拥有治安机构的子族群越多,冲突的风险就越大。国家层面的监管调节了这些关系。其他证据表明,维持治安会通过纵向管辖冲突增加社区冲突,但在其他方面却能实现其提供安全的预期目的。
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引用次数: 0
Managing Nationalism: Experiments in China 管理民族主义:中国的实验
IF 3.1 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-26 DOI: 10.1177/00220027241232961
Kai Quek, Samuel S. H. Chan
One of the most urgent problems in politics today is to understand and manage nationalism. In particular, much attention is paid to the dangers of nationalism in China, but to date, there is little causal evidence on whether and how the government can rein in the anti-foreign sentiments of a nationalistic public. We fielded national survey experiments in China to evaluate the persuasion devices used by the government to contain anti-foreign sentiments. Through a novel “question-as-treatment” design, we identified their effectiveness in making citizens more likely to cooperate with a foreign rival at the operational level, even when they did not always change how people felt at the emotional level. The persuasion devices, however, were less effective on highly patriotic citizens, unless it was salient to them that the government was trying to persuade them. These results contribute a first set of causal evidence on whether anti-foreign sentiments can be contained by the Chinese government, and how.
当今政治中最紧迫的问题之一是理解和管理民族主义。特别是在中国,民族主义的危险性备受关注,但迄今为止,关于政府能否以及如何控制民族主义公众的反外情绪,却鲜有因果证据。我们在中国进行了全国性调查实验,以评估政府为遏制反外情绪而使用的说服手段。通过一种新颖的 "问题即治疗 "设计,我们发现这些方法在操作层面上有效地提高了公民与外国对手合作的可能性,而在情感层面上却并不总能改变人们的感受。然而,劝说手段对高度爱国的公民的效果较差,除非他们清楚地认识到政府正试图劝说他们。这些结果为中国政府能否控制反外情绪以及如何控制反外情绪提供了第一组因果证据。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Conflict Resolution
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