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The price of short-term housing: A study of Airbnb on 26 regions in the United States 短期住房的价格:对美国 26 个地区 Airbnb 的研究
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.102005
Wenzhen Lin , Fan Yang

This study investigates the influence of customer review content and other attributes on Airbnb listing prices, using data from listings across 26 U.S. regions. By integrating sentiment analysis and topic modeling with hedonic and quantile regression models, this paper examines the significant role of electronic word-of-mouth in the short-term rental market, by studying how review sentiments and topics affect pricing strategies. The findings reveal that negative reviews have twice the impact on listing prices as positive reviews; and fourfold for lower-priced listings. Moreover, the results of topic modeling show that both positive and negative reviews related to facilities and location have a larger impact on listing prices. Additionally, the study looks at how the distance of listings from the city center and the timing of reviews affect pricing adjustments. The influence of reviews diminishes for listings located farther from the city center, indicating that Airbnb listing prices near the city center are more sensitive to changes in price determinants. The study also uncovers the existence of a lag effect in how reviews impact prices, showing that Airbnb hosts may not adjust prices as quickly as hotel owners. Overall, the study enriches existing literature by taking into account the review content and type of customer reviews, offering a more comprehensive understanding of short-term rental pricing.

本研究利用美国 26 个地区的房源数据,调查了客户评论内容和其他属性对 Airbnb 房源价格的影响。通过将情感分析和主题建模与享乐回归模型和量子回归模型相结合,本文研究了评论情感和主题如何影响定价策略,从而探讨了电子口碑在短租市场中的重要作用。研究结果表明,负面评论对房源价格的影响是正面评论的两倍;对低价房源的影响是正面评论的四倍。此外,主题建模的结果显示,与设施和位置相关的正面和负面评论对挂牌价格的影响都较大。此外,研究还探讨了房源与市中心的距离以及评论的时间对价格调整的影响。距离市中心较远的房源受评论的影响较小,这表明市中心附近的 Airbnb 房源价格对价格决定因素的变化更为敏感。研究还发现,评论对价格的影响存在滞后效应,这表明 Airbnb 房东可能不会像酒店业主那样迅速调整价格。总之,该研究通过考虑客户评论的内容和类型,丰富了现有文献,为人们更全面地了解短租定价提供了依据。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks on housing prices in Canada 常规和非常规货币政策冲击对加拿大住房价格的影响
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101993
Dennis Nsafoah , Cosmas Dery

This paper investigates the relative importance and effect of conventional and unconventional Canadian monetary policy surprises on housing prices. Using a credible approach to identify structural monetary policy shocks in Canada and a comprehensive Bayesian VAR model to analyze their effects on financial and macroeconomic variables, we find that both conventional monetary policy and quantitative easing shocks have a significant and persistent effect on housing prices in Canada. However, the inflationary effect of a quantitative easing shock is more pronounced than that of an easing target monetary policy surprise. Specifically, the peak effect of a 25-basis point expansionary conventional monetary policy shock is a 2.30% increase in real housing prices while a comparable quantitative easing surprise leads to a peak of 4.56% increase in real housing prices. We conclude that expansionary monetary policy in various forms has had significant inflationary effects on Canadian housing prices. But quantitative easing surprises stand out as the most prominent contributory factor to the escalating Canadian real estate price. Quantitative easing impact consistently outweighs the effects of forward guidance and conventional monetary policy shocks.

本文研究了加拿大常规和非常规货币政策意外对房价的相对重要性和影响。我们使用可信的方法来识别加拿大的结构性货币政策冲击,并使用全面的贝叶斯 VAR 模型来分析它们对金融和宏观经济变量的影响,结果发现常规货币政策和量化宽松政策冲击对加拿大的住房价格都有显著和持续的影响。然而,量化宽松冲击对通货膨胀的影响比宽松目标货币政策的意外影响更为明显。具体来说,25 个基点的扩张性常规货币政策冲击的峰值效应是实际房价上涨 2.30%,而可比的量化宽松政策冲击则导致实际房价峰值上涨 4.56%。我们的结论是,各种形式的扩张性货币政策对加拿大房价产生了显著的通胀效应。但量化宽松政策的意外影响是导致加拿大房地产价格上涨的最主要因素。量化宽松政策的影响始终超过前瞻性指导和传统货币政策冲击的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Homeownership, the unemployed and financial hardship 房主、失业者和经济困难
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101996
Riccardo Welters , Ruud Gerards , Kyran Mellor

We follow 3,826 Australian unemployed persons, approximately half of whom are homeowners. We conduct a matching analysis and find that homeownership reduces both experienced and perceived financial hardship. Building on recent findings in the literature that the presence of financial hardship deteriorates job search quality (i.e., stressors like financial hardship lead to the adoption of haphazard rather than focused job search strategies), we introduce financial hardship as a novel channel through which homeownership affects labour market outcomes of the unemployed. In our matching analysis, we include historical labour market performance and personality traits linked to mobility preferences, to address endogeneity. We also confirm that homeownership reduces residential mobility and increases neighbourhood social capital but find no effect on reservation wages of the unemployed. Considering declining homeownership rates across the OECD in recent years, our findings are both timely and imperative to understand the effect of homeownership on labour market outcomes of the unemployed.

我们对 3826 名澳大利亚失业者进行了跟踪调查,其中约有一半人是房主。我们进行了配对分析,发现拥有房屋会减少经历的和感知到的经济困难。最近有文献发现,经济困难会降低求职质量(即经济困难等压力因素会导致求职者采取草率而非专注的求职策略),在此基础上,我们将经济困难作为一种新的渠道,通过这种渠道,房屋所有权会影响失业者在劳动力市场上的结果。在匹配分析中,我们纳入了劳动力市场的历史表现和与流动偏好相关的个性特征,以解决内生性问题。我们还证实,房屋所有权降低了居住流动性,增加了邻里社会资本,但对失业者的保留工资没有影响。考虑到近年来整个经合组织的住房自有率不断下降,我们的研究结果对于了解住房自有率对失业者劳动力市场结果的影响既及时又必要。
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引用次数: 0
An urban overhead? Crime, agglomeration, and amenity 城市上空?犯罪、集聚和便利性
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101994
Stuart Donovan , Thomas de Graaff , Henri L.F. de Groot , Aaron Schiff

We study the effects of crime and agglomeration on the value of urban amenities using data for 134 locations in New Zealand and report three key findings. First, the negative effects of crime operate mostly via rents, with elasticities that range from 0.15 to 0.44. Accounting for endogeneity leads to larger elasticities in most specifications, possibly due to sorting effects. Second, crime has negative effects on the value of urban amenities, with elasticities that range from approximately 0.03 to 0.06 for firms and 0.02 to 0.09 for workers. Using reduced-form models, we show that these effects imply an elasticity of population with respect to crime of 0.04 to 0.10. Third, controlling for crime causes estimates of agglomeration economies to increase by approximately 0.01–0.02 points, on average. Our findings confirm that crime is an important urban congestion cost that erodes productivity and well-being.

我们利用新西兰 134 个地点的数据研究了犯罪和集聚对城市设施价值的影响,并报告了三项主要发现。首先,犯罪的负面影响主要是通过租金产生的,其弹性从-0.15 到-0.44 不等。考虑到内生性,在大多数规格中,弹性系数都较大,这可能是由于排序效应造成的。其次,犯罪对城市便利设施的价值有负面影响,对企业的弹性约为-0.03 至-0.06,对工人的弹性约为-0.02 至-0.09。通过简化模型,我们发现这些影响意味着人口对犯罪的弹性为-0.04 至-0.10。第三,控制犯罪会使聚集经济的估计值平均增加约 0.01-0.02 个点。我们的研究结果证实,犯罪是侵蚀生产力和福祉的重要城市拥堵成本。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of a macroprudential borrower-based measure on households’ leverage and housing choices 基于借款人的宏观审慎措施对家庭杠杆率和住房选择的影响
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-04-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101995
Daniel Abreu , Sónia Félix , Vitor Oliveira , Fátima Silva

This paper investigates the impact of changes in lending limits on household leverage and housing choices. Using credit registry data and a difference-in-differences estimation strategy we determine how a change in the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio - a macroprudential policy tool - affected constrained households. Our results show that the policy change was effective in reducing households' leverage as constrained households took out smaller loans and had lower loan-to-income ratios. Such households also paid higher interest rate spreads and had higher loan-service-to-income ratios than the control group. Finally, we also show that the policy change affected households' housing choices, as constrained households bought less expensive houses. Our results highlight the improvement of the risk profile of households following the introduction of the LTV limits.

本文研究了贷款限额的变化对家庭杠杆率和住房选择的影响。我们利用信贷登记数据和差异估算策略,确定了宏观审慎政策工具--贷款价值比(LTV)的变化对受限家庭的影响。我们的结果表明,政策变化有效降低了家庭的杠杆率,因为受限家庭的贷款额度更小,贷款收入比更低。与对照组相比,这些家庭支付的息差也更高,贷款服务与收入比率也更高。最后,我们还表明,政策变化影响了家庭的住房选择,因为受限家庭购买了价格较低的住房。我们的研究结果凸显出,在引入按揭成数限制后,家庭的风险状况得到了改善。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 vaccination and housing payments COVID-19 疫苗接种和住房付款
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101992
Yi Zheng , He Ren

Using data from the Household Pulse Survey collected by the U.S. Census Bureau, we show that COVID-19 vaccination mitigates households’ payment difficulty and that there is a positive causal relationship between the vaccination and housing rent/mortgage payment confidence. We attribute these findings to an economic recovery channel. Specifically, the vaccination results in improvement of economic activities and reduction in job losses and households’ anxiety, worry, and depression. Moreover, our results identify some racial, occupational, and regional disparities. The positive causal relationship between the vaccination and housing payments is more pronounced for black households, self-employed and non-teleworking households, and Southern households.

利用美国人口普查局收集的家庭脉搏调查数据,我们发现接种 COVID-19 疫苗可减轻家庭的支付困难,而且接种疫苗与住房租金/抵押贷款支付信心之间存在正向因果关系。我们将这些发现归因于经济复苏渠道。具体来说,疫苗接种改善了经济活动,减少了失业和家庭的焦虑、担忧和抑郁。此外,我们的研究结果还发现了一些种族、职业和地区差异。接种疫苗与住房付款之间的正向因果关系在黑人家庭、自营职业和非电话工作家庭以及南方家庭中更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Seller and search behavior in the Belgian housing market 比利时住房市场的卖方和搜索行为
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101997
Joren Vandenbergh

This paper analyzes online real estate listings to estimate the listing price elasticity of search activity for the individual seller for both the rental and sales market. This elasticity is an essential parameter in the literature modeling the process of selling a home, as it indicates the extend to which potential buyers will react to the listing price. Furthermore, we argue that our estimates are an approximation for the average price elasticity of demand facing the individual seller, which is an indication for the amount of competition in the market. A novel dataset tracking real estate advertisements on a daily basis allows to control for unobserved heterogeneity between properties by using property fixed effects, exploiting the variation caused by changes in listing prices and search behavior throughout the listing process. The findings indicate that a one percent increase in the listing price reduces search activity for the property by 6.7 percent for the sales market and 6.6 percent for the rental market. Additionally, we find that an increase in the number of listings in a market segment enhances the listing price elasticity.

本文分析了在线房地产挂牌信息,以估算个人卖家在租赁和销售市场的搜索活动的挂牌价格弹性。该弹性是模拟房屋销售过程的文献中的一个重要参数,因为它表明了潜在买家对挂牌价格的反应程度。此外,我们还认为,我们的估计值是个体卖家所面临的平均需求价格弹性的近似值,这也是市场竞争程度的一个指标。通过每天跟踪房地产广告的新数据集,我们可以使用房地产固定效应来控制房地产之间未观察到的异质性,利用挂牌价格和搜索行为在整个挂牌过程中的变化引起的变化。研究结果表明,挂牌价格每提高 1%,销售市场的搜索活动就会减少 6.7%,租赁市场的搜索活动则会减少 6.6%。此外,我们还发现,一个细分市场中挂牌数量的增加会增强挂牌价格弹性。
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引用次数: 0
Rent control effects through the lens of empirical research: An almost complete review of the literature 从实证研究的角度看租金管制的效果:几乎完整的文献综述
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-02-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2024.101983
Konstantin A. Kholodilin

Rent control is a highly debated social policy that has been omnipresent since World War I. Since the 2010s, it is experiencing a true renaissance, for many cities and countries facing chronic housing shortages are desperately looking for solutions, directing their attention to controling housing rents and other restrictive policies. Is rent control useful or does it create more damage than utility? To answer this question, we need to identify the effects of rent control. This study reviews a large empirical literature investigating the impact of rent controls on various socioeconomic and demographic aspects. Rent controls appear to be quite effective in terms of slowing the growth of rents paid for dwellings subject to control. However, this policy also leads to a wide range of adverse effects affecting the whole society.

自 2010 年代以来,它正经历着真正的复兴,因为许多面临长期住房短缺问题的城市和国家都在拼命寻找解决方案,并将目光投向了控制住房租金和其他限制性政策。房租控制到底是有用还是弊大于利?要回答这个问题,我们需要确定租金管制的效果。本研究回顾了大量调查租金管制对社会经济和人口各方面影响的实证文献。租金管制在减缓受管制住房的租金增长方面似乎相当有效。然而,这一政策也会导致一系列影响整个社会的不利后果。
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引用次数: 0
Does Easy Accessibility to Urban Parks Always Raise Home Values? 交通便利的城市公园是否总能提升房屋价值?
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2023.101981
Lu Liu , Lina Meng , Ruige Zhang

This paper employs a boundary discontinuity design to separate the cost of easy access (EA) to urban parks from the combined effects of proximity.1 On average, houses with EA to urban parks experience a significant price reduction of 2.0%. This reduction equals approximately $7,986 per house in 2018 dollars, all else being equal. The average negative effect originates from EA to city parks. Mechanism analysis using novel cellphone data reveals that frequent visits to areas with EA to urban parks can lead to congestion disamenities that have a negative effect on the prices of EA houses.

本文采用了边界不连续设计,将方便到达城市公园(EA)的成本从邻近性的综合影响中分离出来。1 平均而言,方便到达城市公园的房屋价格大幅下降 2.0%。在其他条件相同的情况下,按 2018 年的美元计算,每套房屋的降价幅度约为 7986 美元。平均的负面影响来自于城市公园的 EA。利用新颖的手机数据进行的机制分析表明,频繁造访拥有城市公园 EA 的地区可能会导致拥堵等不利因素,从而对 EA 房屋的价格产生负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of subsidies on house prices in Mexico's mortgage market for low-income households 2008–2019 2008-2019 年补贴对墨西哥低收入家庭抵押贷款市场房价的影响
IF 2.4 3区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-03-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2023.101970
Gabriel Darío Ramírez Sierra, Alayn Alejandro González Martínez, Miguel Ángel Monroy Cruz, Luis Gerardo Zapata Barrientos

We estimate the effect of Mexico's primary house-purchase subsidy program for low-income individuals on house prices between 2008 and 2019, using administrative records from Infonavit, the nation's largest mortgage originator. We employ a fuzzy regression discontinuity design that leverages the existence of a threshold on the borrower's income that determined access to the subsidy program to identify the effect on house prices. Our estimations yield statistically significant evidence that the subsidy led to an average increase in house prices of 863 US dollars for the program participants at the threshold during those years. This effect represents 28.9 % of the average subsidy amount and 5.4 % of the average house price. The estimations control for individual, house, and location characteristics. Furthermore, we find evidence that when an intermediary is involved in the mortgage application process, there is a statistically significant price difference of 867 dollars for subsidy recipients. On the contrary, this impact disappears when no external broker is involved. These intermediaries are primarily real estate developers that build and sell the houses associated with the mortgages. These findings shed light on how market structure could have nonnegligible impacts on equilibrium outcomes and on the welfare effects of economic policy.

我们利用墨西哥最大的抵押贷款发放机构 Infonavit 的行政记录,估算了 2008 年至 2019 年期间墨西哥针对低收入人群的主要购房补贴计划对房价的影响。我们采用模糊回归不连续设计,利用借款人收入门槛的存在来确定补贴计划的准入门槛,从而确定对房价的影响。我们的估算结果在统计意义上证明,在这些年中,补贴使达到门槛的计划参与者的房价平均上涨了 863 美元。这一影响占平均补贴金额的 28.9%,占平均房价的 5.4%。估计结果控制了个人、房屋和地点特征。此外,我们还发现有证据表明,当中介机构参与抵押贷款申请过程时,在统计意义上,补贴受益人的房价会相差 867 美元。相反,如果没有外部中介参与,这种影响就会消失。这些中介主要是房地产开发商,他们负责建造和销售与抵押贷款相关的房屋。这些发现揭示了市场结构如何对均衡结果和经济政策的福利效应产生不可忽视的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Housing Economics
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