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The legitimacy of local government in the Australian federation 澳大利亚联邦地方政府的合法性
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12582
Scott Brenton, Jonas Stein

Australian local government does not enjoy the status of its counterparts in comparable democracies and has long sought acknowledgment in the federal constitution. As these campaigns have consistently failed, this study considers how, and in which forms, local government obtains its own political legitimacy within a governance system centered on the citizen–state relationship, in addition to evaluating the relationships between the different forms of legitimacy. We find that positive perceptions of local government effectiveness are associated with higher levels of support for constitutional change, but that local governments need to pay more attention to systems of accountability and oversight, how building and planning issues are handled, and how they communicate with residents. Generally, and unsurprisingly, local government is appreciated more by those who rely on their services yet who are not always the loudest voices in public debates. Constitutional legitimacy is more likely when other sources of legitimacy are enhanced.

Related Articles

Tran, Carolyn-Thi Thanh Dung, and Brian Dollery. 2022. “Administrative Intensity and Financial Sustainability: An Empirical Analysis of the Victorian Local Government System.” Politics & Policy 50(3): 540–61. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12466.

Van Acker, Elizabeth. 2009. “Service Delivery of Relationship Support Programs in Australia: Implications for the ‘Community Sector.’” Politics & Policy 37(6): 1307–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2009.00221.x.

Wallis, Joe Tor Brodtkorb, Brian Dollery, and Muiris MacCarthaigh. 2017. “Commissions and Local Government Reform: Expressed Leadership Identities of Commissioners in Inquiries Proposing Municipal Mergers in Northern Ireland and New South Wales.” Politics & Policy 45(2): 285–308. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12199.

澳大利亚地方政府并不享有类似民主国家地方政府的地位,长期以来一直寻求在联邦宪法中得到承认。由于这些活动一直以失败告终,本研究除了评估不同形式的合法性之间的关系外,还考虑了地方政府如何以及以何种形式在以公民与国家关系为中心的治理体系中获得自身的政治合法性。我们发现,对地方政府有效性的积极看法与对宪法改革的较高支持度相关,但地方政府需要更加关注问责制和监督制度、建筑和规划问题的处理方式以及与居民的沟通方式。一般来说,地方政府更受那些依赖其服务的人的赞赏,但他们在公共辩论中的声音并不总是最响亮的,这并不奇怪。当其他合法性来源得到加强时,宪法合法性就更有可能得到加强。2022."行政强度与财政可持续性:维多利亚地方政府体系的经验分析"。Politics & Policy 50(3):540-61. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12466.Van Acker, Elizabeth.2009."Service Delivery of Relationship Support Programs in Australia:对'社区部门'的影响"。Politics & Policy 37(6):https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2009.00221.x.Wallis, Joe Tor Brodtkorb, Brian Dollery, and Muiris MacCarthaigh.2017."委员会与地方政府改革:北爱尔兰和新南威尔士市政合并调查中委员表达的领导身份"。Politics & Policy 45(2):285–308. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12199.
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Polovchenko, Konstantin A. 2022. “The constitutional court as a subject of the political process.” Politics & Policy 50(3): 622–30. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12469 撤回:Polovchenko, Konstantin A. 2022."宪法法院作为政治进程的主体"。Politics & Policy 50(3):622–30. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12469
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-16 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12586
Konstantin A. Polovchenko

The above article published online on 23 May 2022 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com), has been retracted by agreement between the Editor, Emma Norman, and Wiley Periodicals LLC. Following concerns raised by a third party regarding manipulation of the peer review and publishing process, the editor and publisher investigated and found that the peer review process for this paper was compromised. As a result, the conclusions reported in the article are not considered reliable.

经编辑艾玛-诺曼(Emma Norman)与威利期刊有限责任公司(Wiley Periodicals LLC)协商,2022 年 5 月 23 日在线发表于威利在线图书馆(wileyonlinelibrary.com)的上述文章已被撤回。在第三方提出对同行评审和出版流程被操纵的担忧后,编辑和出版商进行了调查,发现这篇论文的同行评审流程受到了损害。因此,文章中报告的结论不可信。
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引用次数: 0
Views on the hill: Disagreement and effectiveness in U.S. Senate agenda setting 山上的观点:美国参议院议程制定中的分歧与效率
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-14 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12583
Jonathan Lewallen

Setting the decision agenda requires restricting information and focusing attention on specific issue dimensions. Agenda setting also carries opportunity costs: focusing on some issues and proposals means others go unaddressed. Agenda setting thus generates conflict about the choice of issues and selection of alternatives and proposals. Using data on “views” attached to U.S. Senate committee reports and Volden and Wiseman's legislative effectiveness scores, I show that more effective legislators are more likely to express disagreement with agenda-setting choices. And rather than harm senators' future prospects at advancing legislation, expressing disagreement is associated with more subsequent legislative success relative to what other individual and institutional characteristics would predict, particularly in the middle stages of the legislative process. This article's findings illuminate potential short-term benefits to expressing disagreement in agenda setting. I also find these activities have declined over time, which suggests changes in the institutional environment about venues for expressing disagreement.

Related Articles

Heidbreder, Brianne. 2012. “Agenda Setting in the States: How Politics and Policy Needs Shape Gubernatorial Agendas.” Politics & Policy 40(2): 296–319. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2012.00345.x.

Sohn, Hyodong. 2023. “Policy Agenda Trade-offs for Sustainability: The Compositional Change of Attention about Energy in Legislative Hearings.” Politics & Policy 51(6): 973–1007. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12563.

Steger, Wayne P. 2008. “The President's Legislative Program: An Issue of Sincere versus Strategic Behavior.” Politics & Policy 33(2): 312–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2005.tb00645.x.

制定决策议程需要限制信息,并将注意力集中在特定问题上。议程设置还需要付出机会成本:关注某些问题和建议意味着其他问题和建议得不到解决。因此,议程设置会在问题的选择以及替代方案和提案的选择上产生冲突。利用美国参议院委员会报告所附的 "意见 "数据以及沃尔登和怀斯曼的立法效率评分,我发现效率更高的立法者更有可能对议程设置的选择表示异议。表达不同意见不仅不会损害参议员未来推进立法的前景,反而与其他个人和机构特征所预测的立法成功相关,尤其是在立法过程的中间阶段。本文的研究结果阐明了在议程设置中表达不同意见的潜在短期益处。我还发现,随着时间的推移,这些活动有所减少,这表明有关表达不同意见的场所的制度环境发生了变化。2012."Agenda Setting in the States:政治和政策需求如何塑造州长议程"。政治与政策》40(2):296–319. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747‐1346.2012.00345.x.Sohn, Hyodong.2023."政策议程对可持续性的权衡:立法听证会对能源关注的构成变化"。政治与政策》51(6):973-1007. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12563.Steger, Wayne P. 2008."总统的立法计划:An Issue of Sincere versus Strategic Behavior." Politics & Policy 33(2).Politics & Policy 33(2):312–29. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747‐1346.2005.tb00645.x.
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引用次数: 0
The politics of China's policy processes: A comparative review of the Advocacy Coalition Framework's applications to mainland China 中国政策过程的政治性:倡导联盟框架在中国大陆应用的比较研究
IF 1.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-12 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12574
Wei Li, Jonathan J. Pierce, Fang Chen, Fuguo Wang

Drawing on a review of 112 Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) applications to China published during 2006–2022, this article finds that, consistent with ACF assumptions, policy processes in China are complex processes of top-down decision making, horizontal negotiation, networked influence, and bottom-up initiation. The review finds policy processes in many subsystems of China inconsistent with one implicit assumption of the framework: the difficulty of reconciling conflicting beliefs between warring coalitions. Compared with the results from a review of the English ACF applications to countries around the globe, policy-oriented learning and imposition by a hierarchically superior jurisdiction were identified more frequently as pathways to policy change in reviewed applications to China. The Xi Jinping administration encourages between-coalition learning and negotiation to pursue the ideal of building a well-off and equitable society. At the same time, his top-level reforms have changed the long-time status quo in some subsystems by national policy reforms.

Related Articles

Nam, Aerang, and Christopher M. Weible. 2023. “Examining Experts' Discourse in South Korea's Nuclear Power Policy Making: An Advocacy Coalition Framework Approach to Policy Knowledge.” Politics & Policy 51(2): 201–21. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12522.

Nwalie, Martin Ike. 2019. “Advocacy Coalition Framework and Policy Changes in a Third-World Country.” Politics & Policy 47(3): 545–68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12302.

von Malmborg, Fredrik. 2023. “Combining the Advocacy Coalition Framework and Argumentative Discourse Analysis: The Case of the ‘Energy Efficiency First’ Principle in EU Energy and Climate Policy.” Politics & Policy 51(2): 222–41. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12525.

本文通过对 2006-2022 年间发表的 112 篇 "倡导联盟框架"(ACF)在中国的应用进行回顾,发现与 ACF 的假设一致,中国的政策过程是自上而下的决策、横向谈判、网络化影响和自下而上的启动的复杂过程。综述发现,中国许多子系统的政策过程与该框架的一个隐含假设不一致:交战联盟之间的信念冲突难以调和。与对全球各国的英文 ACF 应用的回顾结果相比,在对中国的回顾应用中,政策导向的学习和上级管辖机构的强加更频繁地被认为是政策变化的途径。习近平政府鼓励联盟间的学习和谈判,以追求建设公平小康社会的理想。同时,他的高层改革通过国家政策改革改变了一些子系统的长期现状。2023."韩国核电政策制定中的专家话语研究:政策知识的倡导联盟框架方法"。Politics & Policy 51(2):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12522.Nwalie, Martin Ike.2019."第三世界国家的倡导联盟框架与政策变化》。政治与政策》47(3):545-68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12302.von Malmborg, Fredrik.2023."结合宣传联盟框架和论证话语分析:欧盟能源与气候政策中'能效优先'原则的案例"。政治与政策》51(2):222–41. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12525.
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引用次数: 0
The China–Iran strategic deal and CPEC: Navigating the influence of pragmatic balancing in China's relations with Iran and Pakistan 中伊战略协议与中巴经济走廊:中国与伊朗和巴基斯坦关系中的务实平衡之道
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-08 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12573
Mehmood Hussain, Ahmed Bux Jamali, Rana Danish Nisar, Abdulfattah Omar

This article argues that China is advancing its relations with Iran and Pakistan based on pragmatic balancing, a key component of soft balancing, to safeguard and advance national self-interest. China's relationship with Pakistan is based on shared interests to counter the Indian hegemony in South Asia and end the Chinese energy security dilemma through an overland route of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The bilateral relationship has enhanced and expanded over the years, despite steep transformations in regional geopolitics. Meanwhile, abundant Iranian energy reserves and Tehran's willingness to support China against the United States in the Middle East encouraged the Chinese leadership to sign a strategic deal with no significant ramifications for Pakistan and CPEC. The fair-weather friendship between China and Iran remains limited in scope, often suspending cooperation in various domains, including energy and defense. Nonetheless, an all-weather friendship between China and Pakistan sustained the collaboration of security, economy, and diplomacy, meticulously representing sincerity and cordiality.

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Bishwakarma, Jham Kumar, and Zongshan Hu. 2021. “Problems and Prospects for the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC).” Politics & Policy 50(1): 154–79. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12443.

Singh, Amit, and Amit Sarwal. 2017. “Paraspara, Encounters, and Confluences: India's Soft Power Objective in the Indo-Pacific Region.” Politics & Policy 45(5): 733–61. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12222.

Zaidi, Syed Muhammad Saad. 2020. “American Global Supremacy under Threat? The Chinese Factor.” Politics & Policy 49(2): 502–28. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12402.

本文认为,中国正基于务实平衡(软平衡的关键组成部分)推进与伊朗和巴基斯坦的关系,以维护和促进国家自身利益。中国与巴基斯坦的关系建立在共同利益的基础上,即通过中巴经济走廊(CPEC)的陆路通道,对抗印度在南亚的霸权并结束中国的能源安全困境。多年来,尽管地区地缘政治发生了急剧变化,双边关系仍得到了加强和拓展。与此同时,伊朗丰富的能源储备和德黑兰在中东支持中国对抗美国的意愿,促使中国领导人签署了一项对巴基斯坦和 CPEC 没有重大影响的战略协议。中国和伊朗之间的全天候友谊范围仍然有限,经常暂停在能源和国防等各个领域的合作。尽管如此,中巴之间的全天候友谊维持着安全、经济和外交领域的合作,一丝不苟地体现着诚意和友好。2021."南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC)的问题与前景》。政治与政策》50(1):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12443.Singh, Amit, and Amit Sarwal.2017."Paraspara, Encounters, and Confluences:印度在印度洋-太平洋地区的软实力目标》。Politics & Policy 45(5):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12222.Zaidi, Syed Muhammad Saad.2020."美国的全球霸主地位受到威胁?中国因素"。政治与政策》49(2):502–28. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12402.
{"title":"The China–Iran strategic deal and CPEC: Navigating the influence of pragmatic balancing in China's relations with Iran and Pakistan","authors":"Mehmood Hussain,&nbsp;Ahmed Bux Jamali,&nbsp;Rana Danish Nisar,&nbsp;Abdulfattah Omar","doi":"10.1111/polp.12573","DOIUrl":"10.1111/polp.12573","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This article argues that China is advancing its relations with Iran and Pakistan based on pragmatic balancing, a key component of soft balancing, to safeguard and advance national self-interest. China's relationship with Pakistan is based on shared interests to counter the Indian hegemony in South Asia and end the Chinese energy security dilemma through an overland route of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). The bilateral relationship has enhanced and expanded over the years, despite steep transformations in regional geopolitics. Meanwhile, abundant Iranian energy reserves and Tehran's willingness to support China against the United States in the Middle East encouraged the Chinese leadership to sign a strategic deal with no significant ramifications for Pakistan and CPEC. The fair-weather friendship between China and Iran remains limited in scope, often suspending cooperation in various domains, including energy and defense. Nonetheless, an all-weather friendship between China and Pakistan sustained the collaboration of security, economy, and diplomacy, meticulously representing sincerity and cordiality.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Related Articles</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Bishwakarma, Jham Kumar, and Zongshan Hu. 2021. “Problems and Prospects for the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC).” <i>Politics &amp; Policy</i> 50(1): 154–79. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12443.</p>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Singh, Amit, and Amit Sarwal. 2017. “<i>Paraspara</i>, Encounters, and Confluences: India's Soft Power Objective in the Indo-Pacific Region.” <i>Politics &amp; Policy</i> 45(5): 733–61. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12222.</p>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Zaidi, Syed Muhammad Saad. 2020. “American Global Supremacy under Threat? The Chinese Factor.” <i>Politics &amp; Policy</i> 49(2): 502–28. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12402.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51679,"journal":{"name":"Politics & Policy","volume":"52 1","pages":"227-244"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139794539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Natural resource fund governance and the institutionalization of rent seeking in Nigeria's oil sector 尼日利亚石油部门的自然资源基金管理和寻租制度化
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12579
Martin F. Asiegbu, Okey Marcellus Ikeanyibe, Pius Otu Abang, Okwudili Chukwuma Nwosu, Chuka Eugene Ugwu

The concept of resource curse is widely accepted in the extant literature. However, the burden of proof remains high as some resource-rich countries experience rapid economic growth. This study examines how Nigeria's strategy for governance and management of revenue proceeds from petroleum resources has helped sustain rent-seeking behavior, the resource curse phenomenon, and under-development of the country. Using the theory of new institutionalism and a process-tracing method, the article argues that political and historical dynamics in establishing legislation for governance and management of oil and gas revenues engendered path-dependent rent-seeking practices sustained by selfish political elites. The resource curse is not universal or inevitable in resource-rich countries, but largely a product of institutionalization and sustenance of initial unhealthy practices. We recommend that recognizing the need for savings, stabilization, and investment, and setting clear fiscal rules to check excessive political discretion will reduce rent seeking and the resource curse in Nigeria and elsewhere.

Related Articles

Ali, Hamid E., and Shahjahan Bhuiyan. 2022. “Governance, Natural Resources Rent, and Infrastructure Development: Evidence from the Middle East and North Africa.” Politics & Policy 50(2): 408–40. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12451.

Ikeanyibe, Okechukwu M. 2018. “Bureaucratic Politics and the Implementation of Liberalization Reforms in Nigeria: A Study of the Unbundling and Reorganization of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation.” Politics & Policy 46(2): 263–94. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12249.

Mähler, Annegret. 2011. “Oil in Venezuela: Triggering Conflicts or Ensuring Stability? A Historical Comparative Analysis.” Politics & Policy 39(4): 583–611. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2011.00305.x.

资源诅咒的概念在现有文献中被广泛接受。然而,由于一些资源丰富的国家经历了快速的经济增长,举证责任仍然很重。本研究探讨了尼日利亚对石油资源收入的治理和管理战略是如何帮助维持寻租行为、资源诅咒现象和国家欠发达的。文章运用新制度主义理论和过程追踪方法,论证了在制定石油和天然气收入治理和管理立法过程中的政治和历史动态,产生了由自私的政治精英维持的路径依赖寻租行为。资源诅咒在资源丰富的国家并不普遍,也不是不可避免的,它在很大程度上是最初不健康做法制度化和持续化的产物。我们建议,认识到储蓄、稳定和投资的必要性,并制定明确的财政规则以遏制过度的政治自由裁量权,将减少尼日利亚和其他地方的寻租行为和资源诅咒。2022."Governance, Natural Resources Rent, and Infrastructure Development:来自中东和北非的证据"。政治与政策》50(2):408-40. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12451.Ikeanyibe, Okechukwu M. 2018."尼日利亚官僚政治与自由化改革的实施》:尼日利亚国家石油公司的拆分和重组研究"。Politics & Policy 46(2):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12249.Mähler, Annegret.2011."委内瑞拉的石油:引发冲突还是确保稳定?历史比较分析"。政治与政策》39(4):583–611. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747‐1346.2011.00305.x.
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引用次数: 0
Cautious or marginalized? Perceptions of the riskiness of engaging in corruption and gender differences in corruptness 谨慎还是边缘化?对腐败风险性的认识和腐败的性别差异
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12578
Fredrik G. Malmberg, Inga A.-L. Saikkonen

Previous studies suggest that women are often perceived as less corrupt and more risk averse, possibly due to longstanding asymmetries in power and marginalization that reproduce certain gender stereotypes. However, much remains unclear regarding the origins of these perceptions. Why are some individuals and societies more prone to perceive women as less corrupt than men? We present the first cross-country examination of these questions utilizing data from the latest wave of the World Values Survey, covering a total of 49 countries. Our results suggest that both perceived riskiness of corruption and attitude toward gender equality, in addition to the overall level of gender inequality in society, matter in explaining a stronger belief in gender differences in corruptness. However, the positive association between a higher perceived riskiness and the perception that women are less corrupt is mostly limited to societies with high levels of corruption and gender inequality.

Related Articles

Caillier, James. 2010. “Citizen Trust, Political Corruption, and Voting Behavior: Connecting the Dots.” Politics & Policy 38(5): 1015–35. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2010.00267.

Malmberg, Fredrik G., and Henrik Serup Christensen. 2021. “Voting Women, Protesting Men: A Multilevel Analysis of Corruption, Gender, and Political Participation.” Politics & Policy 49(1): 126–61. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12393.

Tusalem, Rollin F. 2022. “Does Gendered Representation in National Legislatures Promote Substantive Representation and Human Development? Evidence from the Developing World.” Politics & Policy 50(6): 1096–137. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12503.

以往的研究表明,妇女往往被认为腐败程度较低,规避风险的能力较强,这可能是由于长期以来权力不对称和边缘化造成了某些性别陈规定型观念。然而,关于这些看法的起源还有很多不清楚的地方。为什么有些个人和社会更容易认为女性比男性更不腐败?我们首次利用最新一期《世界价值观调查》的数据对这些问题进行了跨国研究,共涉及 49 个国家。我们的研究结果表明,除了社会中性别不平等的总体水平外,腐败风险感知和对性别平等的态度也是导致人们更加相信腐败的性别差异的重要原因。然而,较高的风险感知与女性腐败程度较低的看法之间的正相关关系主要局限于腐败和性别不平等程度较高的社会。2010."Citizen Trust, Political Corruption, and Voting Behavior:Connecting the Dots."Politics & Policy 38(5):https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1747-1346.2010.00267.Malmberg, Fredrik G., and Henrik Serup Christensen.2021."Voting Women, Protesting Men:A Multilevel Analysis of Corruption, Gender, and Political Participation." 《腐败、性别和政治参与的多层次分析》。Politics & Policy 49(1):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12393.Tusalem, Rollin F. 2022."国家立法机构中的性别代表是否促进实质性代表和人类发展?来自发展中国家的证据"。Politics & Policy 50(6):1096–137. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12503.
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引用次数: 0
The effect of place on voting behavior: The case of the Arizona proposition to legalize recreational marijuana 地点对投票行为的影响:亚利桑那州娱乐用大麻合法化提案案例
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-01-27 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12580
Mason Clay Mathews, A. Stewart Fotheringham

In 2020, Arizonans approved Proposition 207, the Smart and Safe Arizona Act, which legalized recreational marijuana sales. Previous research has typically used non-spatial survey data to understand marijuana legalization voting patterns. However, voting behavior can, in part, be shaped by geographic context, or place, which is unaccounted for in aspatial survey data. We use multiscale geographically weighted regression to analyze how place shaped Proposition 207 voting behavior, independently of demographic variations across space. We find significant spatial variability in the sensitivity of voting for Proposition 207 to changes in several of the predictor variables of opposition and support for recreational marijuana legalization. We argue that local statistical modeling approaches provide a more in-depth understanding of ballot measure voting behavior than the current use of global models.

Related Articles

Branton, Regina, and Ronald J. McGauvran. 2018. “Mary Jane Rocks the Vote: The Impact of Climate Context on Support for Cannabis Initiatives.” Politics & Policy 46(2): 209–32. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12248.

Brekken, Katheryn C., and Vanessa M. Fenley. 2020. “Part of the Narrative: Generic News Frames in the U.S. Recreational Marijuana Policy Subsystem.” Politics & Policy 49(1): 6–32. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12388.

Fisk, Jonathan M., Joseph A. Vonasek, and Elvis Davis. 2018. “‘Pot'reneurial Politics: The Budgetary Highs and Lows of Recreational Marijuana Policy Innovation.” Politics & Policy 46(2): 189–208. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12246.

2020 年,亚利桑那州人批准了 207 号提案,即《亚利桑那州智能与安全法案》,该法案将娱乐性大麻销售合法化。以往的研究通常使用非空间调查数据来了解大麻合法化的投票模式。然而,投票行为在一定程度上会受到地理环境或地点的影响,而这在非空间调查数据中是无法体现的。我们使用多尺度地理加权回归分析了地方如何影响 207 号提案的投票行为,而不受空间人口变化的影响。我们发现,207 号提案的投票对反对和支持娱乐性大麻合法化的几个预测变量变化的敏感性存在明显的空间差异。我们认为,与目前使用的全局模型相比,地方统计建模方法能更深入地了解选票措施投票行为。2018."Mary Jane Rocks the Vote: The Impact of Climate Context on Support for Cannabis Initiatives." Politics & Policy 46(2).政治与政策》46(2):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12248.Brekken, Katheryn C., and Vanessa M. Fenley.2020."Part of the Narrative:美国娱乐大麻政策子系统中的通用新闻框架"。政治与政策》49(1):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12388.Fisk, Jonathan M., Joseph A. Vonasek, and Elvis Davis.2018."Pot'reneurial Politics:The Budgetary Highs and Lows of Recreational Marijuana Policy Innovation." Politics & Policy 46(2).政治与政策》46(2):189–208. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12246.
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引用次数: 0
To vote or not to vote? Fake news, voter fraud, and support for postponing the 2020 U.S. presidential election 投票还是不投票?假新闻、选民欺诈以及对推迟 2020 年美国总统大选的支持
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-01-26 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12577
Stephen C. Craig, Jason Gainous

Prior to the 2020 election President Trump suggested the election should be postponed “until the country can make sure that only eligible American citizens can vote.” With the COVID-19 pandemic leading many states to take steps that made it easier for citizens to vote safely, the president and his allies made numerous false claims about voter fraud; others argued that voter fraud is not common and is unlikely to appreciably increase with greater reliance on mail balloting. We rely on a national Internet-based survey experiment conducted prior to the 2020 election to assess the effectiveness of both messages on citizens' support for a hypothetical proposal to postpone the presidential election. The results suggest that respondents were more likely to support postponement if they received a fake news message that fraud is common. The results also suggest that these effects are conditional; both political party and knowledge moderate the relationship.

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Aguado, N. Alexander. 2022. “When Charismatic Leadership Trumps Social Networking: Searching for the Effects of Social Media on Beliefs of Electoral Legitimacy.” Politics & Policy 50(5): 942–51. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12494.

Fisher, Patrick. 2020. “Generational Replacement and the Impending Transformation of the American Electorate.” Politics & Policy 48(1): 38–68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12340.

Stockemer, Daniel. 2013. “Corruption and Turnout in Presidential Elections: A Macro-Level Quantitative Analysis.” Politics & Policy 41(2): 189–212. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12012.

在 2020 年大选之前,特朗普总统建议推迟大选,"直到国家能够确保只有合格的美国公民才能投票"。由于 COVID-19 大流行导致许多州采取措施使公民更容易安全投票,总统及其盟友对选民舞弊行为提出了许多不实的说法;其他人则认为,选民舞弊行为并不常见,而且不太可能随着对邮寄投票的更大依赖而明显增加。我们以 2020 年大选前进行的一项全国性互联网调查实验为基础,评估了这两种信息对公民支持推迟总统选举这一假设提案的影响。结果表明,如果受访者收到一条假消息,称欺诈行为很常见,那么他们更有可能支持推迟选举。结果还表明,这些影响是有条件的;政党和知识都会缓和这种关系。2022."当魅力型领导战胜社交网络时:寻找社交媒体对选举合法性信念的影响"。Politics & Policy 50(5):942-51. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12494.Fisher, Patrick.2020."代际更替与美国选民即将发生的转变》。Politics & Policy 48(1):38-68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12340.Stockemer, Daniel.2013."总统选举中的腐败与投票率:A Macro-Level Quantitative Analysis." Politics & Policy 41(2).政治与政策》41(2):189–212. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12012.
{"title":"To vote or not to vote? Fake news, voter fraud, and support for postponing the 2020 U.S. presidential election","authors":"Stephen C. Craig,&nbsp;Jason Gainous","doi":"10.1111/polp.12577","DOIUrl":"10.1111/polp.12577","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Prior to the 2020 election President Trump suggested the election should be postponed “until the country can make sure that only eligible American citizens can vote.” With the COVID-19 pandemic leading many states to take steps that made it easier for citizens to vote safely, the president and his allies made numerous false claims about voter fraud; others argued that voter fraud is not common and is unlikely to appreciably increase with greater reliance on mail balloting. We rely on a national Internet-based survey experiment conducted prior to the 2020 election to assess the effectiveness of both messages on citizens' support for a hypothetical proposal to postpone the presidential election. The results suggest that respondents were more likely to support postponement if they received a fake news message that fraud is common. The results also suggest that these effects are conditional; both political party and knowledge moderate the relationship.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Related Articles</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Aguado, N. Alexander. 2022. “When Charismatic Leadership Trumps Social Networking: Searching for the Effects of Social Media on Beliefs of Electoral Legitimacy.” <i>Politics &amp; Policy</i> 50(5): 942–51. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12494.</p>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Fisher, Patrick. 2020. “Generational Replacement and the Impending Transformation of the American Electorate.” <i>Politics &amp; Policy</i> 48(1): 38–68. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12340.</p>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Stockemer, Daniel. 2013. “Corruption and Turnout in Presidential Elections: A Macro-Level Quantitative Analysis.” <i>Politics &amp; Policy</i> 41(2): 189–212. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12012.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51679,"journal":{"name":"Politics & Policy","volume":"52 1","pages":"33-50"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-01-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139593988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Urbanization, civil conflict, and the severity of food insecurity in Africa 城市化、国内冲突和非洲粮食不安全的严重程度
IF 1.3 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-01-25 DOI: 10.1111/polp.12572
Aristophane Djeufack Dongmo, Désiré Avom

The objective of this article is to examine the impact of urbanization and civil conflicts on the severity of food insecurity for a panel of 43 African countries over the period 2000–2020. Subsequently, the heterogeneous choice models approach was used for the estimations. The results show that urbanization and civil conflict increase food insecurity. The parallel line probability hypothesis results specifically show that a one-unit increase in urban growth rate increases the probability of belonging to a high-risk food insecurity category by more than .6 times. Furthermore, the results show that the impacts of urbanization on food insecurity are modulated by civil conflicts in Africa leading to the net effect of .692. This corresponds to the policy threshold of 2.315 when the net positive effect is canceled out. Therefore, this study strongly recommends the need for African economies to develop urban agriculture while controlling the pace of urbanization in order to reduce food insecurity and avoid possible civil wars.

Related Articles

Asare-Nuamah, Peter, Anthony Amoah, and Simplice A. Asongu. 2023. “Achieving Food Security in Ghana: Does Governance Matter?” Politics & Policy 51(4): 614–35. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12540.

Ayanoore, Ishmael, and Sam Hickey. 2022. “Reframing the Politics of Natural Resource Governance in Africa: Insights from the Local Content Legislation Process in Ghana.” Politics & Policy 50(1): 119–36. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12449.

Oehmke, James F., Sera L. Young, Godfrey Bahiigwa, Boaz Blackie Keizire, and Lori Ann Post. 2018. “The Behavioral-Economics Basis of Mutual Accountability to Achieve Food Security.” Politics & Policy 46(1): 32–57. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12244.

本文旨在研究 2000-2020 年间城市化和国内冲突对 43 个非洲国家粮食不安全严重程度的影响。随后,采用异质选择模型方法进行了估算。结果显示,城市化和国内冲突加剧了粮食不安全。平行线概率假设的结果特别表明,城市增长率每增加一个单位,属于高风险粮食不安全类别的概率就会增加 0.6 倍以上。此外,结果表明,城市化对粮食不安全的影响受到非洲内部冲突的调节,净效应为 0.692。当净正效应被抵消时,这相当于 2.315 的政策阈值。因此,本研究强烈建议非洲经济体在控制城市化步伐的同时发展城市农业,以减少粮食不安全,避免可能发生的内战。2023."实现加纳的粮食安全:治理重要吗?Politics & Policy 51(4):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12540.Ayanoore, Ishmael, and Sam Hickey.2022."非洲自然资源治理政治的重构:加纳本地内容立法进程的启示》。Politics & Policy 50(1):https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12449.Oehmke, James F., Sera L. Young, Godfrey Bahiigwa, Boaz Blackie Keizire, and Lori Ann Post.2018."实现粮食安全相互问责的行为经济学基础》。政治与政策》46(1):32–57. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12244.
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