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One year on from the Taliban takeover of Afghanistan: re-instituting gender apartheid 塔利班接管阿富汗一年后:重新实行性别隔离
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-07-30 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2107172
Farkhondeh Akbari, J. True
ABSTRACT One year on from the Taliban’s takeover, what has changed in Afghanistan? Why has re-instituting a gender apartheid regime been so central to the Taliban 2.0’s (Taliban 2.0 refers to the second version of the Taliban that came to power in August 2021. The first Taliban rule were from 1996 to 2001.) consolidation of power in Afghanistan since August 2021? We address these questions by explaining how gender has become a salient feature of multi-level power struggles in Taliban-ruled Afghanistan. First, we examine the changes experienced by women and girls over the past year under the second Taliban regime. Second, we consider four types of power struggles—in international relations, in transnational politics, within the Taliban organisation, and between Afghan men and women—that constrain the realisation of women’s rights and security. Finally, we suggest politically necessary actions for Australian Government to support the women and girls of Afghanistan in line with its value-based foreign policy and multilateral commitments.
塔利班掌权一年后,阿富汗发生了什么变化?为什么重新建立性别隔离制度对塔利班2.0如此重要(塔利班2.0指的是2021年8月上台的塔利班的第二个版本)?第一次塔利班统治是从1996年到2001年。我们通过解释性别如何成为塔利班统治下的阿富汗多层次权力斗争的一个显著特征来解决这些问题。首先,我们考察了妇女和女孩在过去一年中在第二个塔利班政权下所经历的变化。其次,我们考虑了四种类型的权力斗争——在国际关系中,在跨国政治中,在塔利班组织内部,以及在阿富汗男人和女人之间——它们限制了妇女权利和安全的实现。最后,我们建议澳大利亚政府采取政治上必要的行动,根据其基于价值的外交政策和多边承诺,支持阿富汗的妇女和女孩。
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引用次数: 7
The promise and peril of Australian climate leadership under Albanese 艾博年领导下的澳大利亚气候领导的希望与危险
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-07-30 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2107173
R. MacNeil, G. Edwards
Abstract After nearly a decade of policy inaction by the Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison Coalition governments, the election of Anthony Albanese’s Labor government has ushered in expectations of a sea-change in Australian climate policy, one that might allow the country to finally emerge as a global leader on the issue. Yet while years of inaction have left some relatively easy victories for the new government to rack up, the change of leadership and rhetoric obscures some key continuities in the Albanese government’s approach that need to be foregrounded and critiqued by domestic and international audiences alike. In this brief commentary, we consider what the new Labor government might mean for Australian climate action over the coming years. We focus, in particular, on the role that fossil fuel exports will continue to play in overwhelming any emissions cuts achieved domestically, and underscore the need for a much broader and more ambitious national climate strategy designed to wean the country off its reliance on coal and gas revenues.
在雅培/特恩布尔/莫里森联合政府近十年的政策无所作为之后,工党政府的选举带来了对澳大利亚气候政策发生重大变化的期望,这可能使该国最终成为该问题的全球领导者。然而,尽管多年的无所作为为新政府赢得了一些相对容易的胜利,但领导层和言论的变化掩盖了艾博政府方法中一些关键的连续性,这些连续性需要得到国内外观众的重视和批评。在这篇简短的评论中,我们考虑了新的工党政府在未来几年对澳大利亚气候行动可能意味着什么。我们特别关注化石燃料出口将继续在压倒国内实现的任何减排方面发挥作用,并强调需要制定一项更广泛、更雄心勃勃的国家气候战略,以使该国摆脱对煤炭和天然气收入的依赖。
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引用次数: 1
The development of robotics and autonomous systems in Australia: key issues, actors, and discourses 机器人和自主系统在澳大利亚的发展:关键问题,演员和话语
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2095615
Sian Troath
ABSTRACT Robotics and autonomous systems (RAS) are amongst a plethora of new and emerging technologies states are seeking to develop and use to gain military advantage in an environment of intensifying strategic competition. Australia is a key player when it comes to autonomous systems, with trusted autonomous systems (TAS) being earmarked as a priority area. RAS have taken an increasingly prevalent place in Australian research, discourse, military thinking, and defence industry. How Australia thinks about these technologies reveals important insights into their broader defence and strategic outlook, including their understanding of how the character of warfare is changing, and their approach to alliances and partnerships. In this article, I will trace how TAS became a priority area for defence in Australia, and provide a stocktake of the key developments in RAS which have taken place since 2016. This will include key actors, funding, discourses, and technologies. Taking stock of RAS in Australia reveals several key themes which stand out: the centrality of the concept of control, trust, ethics, interoperability, keeping ahead of adversaries, reducing danger to defence personnel, and developing systems which are cheap, small, and single-use.
机器人和自主系统(RAS)是众多新兴技术之一,各国正在寻求开发和使用,以在日益激烈的战略竞争环境中获得军事优势。在自主系统方面,澳大利亚是一个关键的参与者,可信自主系统(TAS)被指定为优先领域。RAS在澳大利亚的研究、论述、军事思想和国防工业中占有越来越普遍的地位。澳大利亚对这些技术的看法揭示了其更广泛的国防和战略前景的重要见解,包括他们对战争特征如何变化的理解,以及他们对联盟和伙伴关系的态度。在本文中,我将追踪TAS如何成为澳大利亚国防的优先领域,并提供自2016年以来RAS的关键发展的盘点。这将包括关键角色、资金、论述和技术。对澳大利亚RAS的评估揭示了几个突出的关键主题:控制、信任、道德、互操作性、领先于对手、减少对国防人员的危险,以及开发廉价、小型和一次性使用的系统。
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引用次数: 1
East Asia’s strategic positioning toward China: identifying and accounting for intra-regional variations 东亚对中国的战略定位:识别和解释区域内的差异
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2091514
Jae-ho Chung, H. Kim
ABSTRACT Relatively few systematic and categorical studies have been conducted on the variant responses by East Asian states to the rise of China, and even fewer dealt with reasons for such intra-regional variations. This study seeks to fill the void by examining the strategic responses by 15 East Asian states for the period of 2011–2016. This period merits close scrutiny because China became more explicitly assertive. The research proceeds in two phases. First, by way of reading into the expert assessments in academic journals, the strategic responses of the 15 states are categorised into balancing, hedging, or bandwagoning. Second, statistical analyses are conducted to see how the intra-regional variations are related to unit-level factors. Of the seven variables analyzed, three – geographical proximity, democracy, and identity – turn out to be crucial in determining the East Asian states’ strategic responses.
关于东亚国家对中国崛起的不同反应的系统和分类研究相对较少,而对这种区域内差异的原因的研究就更少了。本研究试图通过考察15个东亚国家在2011-2016年期间的战略应对来填补这一空白。这段时期值得密切关注,因为中国变得更加明确自信。研究分两个阶段进行。首先,通过阅读学术期刊上的专家评估,将15个州的战略反应分为平衡、对冲和随波逐流。其次,进行统计分析,以了解区域内变化与单位层面因素的关系。在分析的七个变量中,地理邻近、民主和认同这三个变量在决定东亚国家的战略反应中起着至关重要的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Implications of the UN Common Agenda for Australia: Renewing Multilateralism 联合国共同议程对澳大利亚的影响:重振多边主义
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-14 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2084179
Erika Feller AO, John Langmore AM
In flagrant violation of international law, Russia has invaded Ukraine. It invokes a right to intervene on humanitarian and security grounds despite the necessary pre-conditions, including UN Security Council endorsement, being absent. In Myanmar, the February 2021 military coup has ushered in a new era of serious repression of citizens, violent conflict and human rights violations. ASEAN’s 2021 five-point consensus to end the violence and promote conciliation has been largely ignored. These are but two of a number of current global threats which defy unilateral resolution and demand multilateral responses. Others are the looming disasters provoked by climate change; the ongoing Covid pandemic; conflict and the threat of conflict from Syria and Yemen to the South China Sea; the return of repressive Taliban rule in Afghanistan; ferocious civil war in Ethiopia; historically high refugee displacement; and mass migratory movements. At a time when ‘the only certainty is more uncertainty’, countries must unite to forge a new, more hopeful and equal path, UN Secretary-General António Guterres (SG) told the General Assembly on 21 January 2022. In laying out his priorities for 2022, he observed, “We face a five-alarm global fire that requires the full mobilisation of all countries”, – the raging COVID-19 pandemic, a morally bankrupt global financial system, the climate crisis, lawlessness in cyberspace, and diminished peace and security. He stressed that countries must go into emergency mode. Leadership to guide such adaptation to these complex challenges is found in an uncharacteristically hard-hitting report, Our Common Agenda, released in September 2021 by the SG and adopted by consensus in the UN General Assembly, on 16 November 2021. It rests on a belief in the absolute criticality, now, of improving the way countries cooperate to manage the world’s common resources (oceans, land masses and space) and public goods like global health and peaceful security to safeguard the planet and its resources for future generations. Our Common Agenda aims to spur a renewed multilateral system built on a ‘UN 2.0’ able to offer ‘system-wide solutions to 21st century challenges’. The Agenda contains recommendations which address a multiplicity of issues, from the high-profile like climate change and loss of biodiversity, peace and disarmament, to the more micro-issues like coordination to reduce international tax evasion. New pathways to reaching the sustainable development goals adopted by the UN are a
俄罗斯悍然违反国际法,入侵乌克兰。尽管没有必要的先决条件,包括联合国安理会(UN security Council)的认可,但它援引了基于人道主义和安全理由进行干预的权利。在缅甸,2021年2月的军事政变开启了严重镇压公民、暴力冲突和侵犯人权的新时代。东盟2021年达成的结束暴力、促进和解的五点共识在很大程度上被忽视了。这些只是目前一些全球威胁中的两个,这些威胁无法单方面解决,需要多边反应。其他是气候变化引发的迫在眉睫的灾难;正在进行的Covid大流行;从叙利亚、也门到南海的冲突和冲突威胁;塔利班在阿富汗恢复专制统治;埃塞俄比亚的残酷内战;难民流离失所率处于历史高位;以及大规模的移民运动。联合国秘书长António古特雷斯(SG)于2022年1月21日在联合国大会上表示,在“唯一的确定性是更多的不确定性”的时候,各国必须团结起来,开辟一条更有希望和平等的新道路。在阐述2022年的优先事项时,他指出,“我们面临着一场需要所有国家充分动员的五级全球大火”,即肆虐的COVID-19大流行、道德沦丧的全球金融体系、气候危机、网络空间无法无天以及和平与安全的削弱。他强调,各国必须进入紧急状态。秘书长于2021年9月发布了一份措辞异常强硬的报告《我们的共同议程》,并于2021年11月16日在联合国大会上以协商一致方式通过。它建立在这样一种信念之上:现在,改善各国合作管理世界共同资源(海洋、陆地和空间)以及全球健康与和平安全等公共产品的方式,为子孙后代保护地球及其资源,是绝对至关重要的。我们的共同议程旨在推动建立在“联合国2.0”基础上的新的多边体系,能够提供“应对21世纪挑战的全系统解决方案”。《议程》载有涉及多种问题的建议,从气候变化和生物多样性丧失、和平与裁军等引人注目的问题,到协调减少国际逃税等较为微观的问题。实现联合国通过的可持续发展目标的新途径
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引用次数: 0
Examining the Philippines’ China policy: great powers and domestic politics 审视菲律宾的对华政策:大国与国内政治
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2085242
Xiangning Wu, J. C. Velasco
ABSTRACT When great powers such as the United States and China grow especially hawkish with more uncertainties, how does a smaller state react to such a complex and dangerous territorial conflict? Given the competing frames of influence between China and the United States, what are the underlying reasons for the shift in the Philippines’ foreign policy? This paper focuses on the Philippines’ changing foreign policy on the South China Sea dispute and examines the main rationale for its shift in strategy towards China. We use the perspective of neoclassical realism to unpack the constraining factors that underlie the Philippines’ domestic politics and ongoing global exigencies. With changes in its domestic politics and the security challenges posed by the evolving geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific region, the Philippines is in a difficult situation, having to choose between a territorially hostile trading partner and its historical security guarantor.
摘要当美国和中国这样的大国在不确定性增加的情况下变得特别强硬时,一个小国如何应对如此复杂和危险的领土冲突?考虑到中美之间相互竞争的影响力框架,菲律宾外交政策转变的根本原因是什么?本文着重分析了菲律宾在南海争端上外交政策的变化,并探讨了其对华战略转变的主要理由。我们用新古典现实主义的视角来解读菲律宾国内政治和当前全球紧急情况背后的制约因素。随着国内政治的变化和印太地区不断演变的地缘政治带来的安全挑战,菲律宾处境艰难,不得不在领土敌对的贸易伙伴和历史安全保障者之间做出选择。
{"title":"Examining the Philippines’ China policy: great powers and domestic politics","authors":"Xiangning Wu, J. C. Velasco","doi":"10.1080/10357718.2022.2085242","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2022.2085242","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT When great powers such as the United States and China grow especially hawkish with more uncertainties, how does a smaller state react to such a complex and dangerous territorial conflict? Given the competing frames of influence between China and the United States, what are the underlying reasons for the shift in the Philippines’ foreign policy? This paper focuses on the Philippines’ changing foreign policy on the South China Sea dispute and examines the main rationale for its shift in strategy towards China. We use the perspective of neoclassical realism to unpack the constraining factors that underlie the Philippines’ domestic politics and ongoing global exigencies. With changes in its domestic politics and the security challenges posed by the evolving geopolitics of the Indo-Pacific region, the Philippines is in a difficult situation, having to choose between a territorially hostile trading partner and its historical security guarantor.","PeriodicalId":51708,"journal":{"name":"Australian Journal of International Affairs","volume":"76 1","pages":"672 - 693"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43840364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The Solomons-China 2022 security deal: extraterritoriality and the perils of militarisation in the Pacific Islands 所罗门群岛-中国2022年安全协议:太平洋岛屿的治外法权和军事化危险
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2085243
Jon Fraenkel, Graeme Smith
ABSTRACT A security deal struck between the Solomon Islands and China in April 2022 has been depicted as the precursor to the establishment of a Chinese naval base in the Pacific. Fed by the proximity of an Australian federal election, these fears have stimulated lurid images in the Australian press of Beijing's aircraft carriers being stationed off Brisbane's coast creating a Pacific version of the 1962 Cuban missile crisis. In this paper, we examine the provisions of the ‘framework agreement’, explore its rationale and consider the likelihood that the predicted naval base eventuates. We also investigate Chinese extraterritoriality on the global stage and Chinese commercial activity in the Solomons since the switch in diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing in 2019. We argue that Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare signed the deal primarily in response to domestic pressures, in particular the danger of a repeat of major riots that took place in the capital in November 2021. The most pressing risk is not Chinese warships or nuclear missiles stationed in Honiara, but repression to handle urban unrest without the restraint required of Australian, Papua New Guinean, Fijian or New Zealand police officers.
2022年4月,中国与所罗门群岛签署了一项安全协议,这被认为是中国在太平洋建立海军基地的前兆。由于澳大利亚联邦大选临近,这些担忧在澳大利亚媒体上引发了耸人听闻的画面:中国的航空母舰驻扎在布里斯班海岸附近,制造了1962年古巴导弹危机的太平洋版。在本文中,我们研究了“框架协议”的条款,探讨了其基本原理,并考虑了预测的海军基地最终出现的可能性。我们还研究了自2019年外交承认从台北转向北京以来,中国在全球舞台上的治外法权以及中国在所罗门群岛的商业活动。我们认为,所罗门群岛总理玛纳西·索加瓦雷签署该协议主要是为了应对国内压力,特别是2021年11月在首都发生的重大骚乱重演的危险。最紧迫的风险不是驻扎在霍尼亚拉的中国军舰或核导弹,而是在处理城市骚乱时的镇压,而没有澳大利亚、巴布亚新几内亚、斐济或新西兰警察所要求的克制。
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引用次数: 2
Taking the power shift seriously: China and the transformation of power relations in development cooperation 认真对待权力转移:中国与发展合作中权力关系的转变
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-06 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2084708
Veysel Tekdal
ABSTRACT It is widely agreed that recent decades have witnessed a power shift towards the emerging economies. Yet the magnitude of the power shift and its implications for the global economic order are much contested. For some, the diffusion of power has been changing the power relations between the global North and global South as well as within the global South. For others, the emerging economies do not pose a significant challenge to the global North’s dominance in the global political economy as the latter continues to hold structural power advantages in technology, finance, and institutional capacity. This paper contributes to this debate by analysing the changing power relations in the field of development cooperation. As shown by recent work, Chinese development finance, combining a massive scale, global reach, and distinctive modalities, has reshaped the global landscape of development finance. This paper offers an interpretation of this transformation with a focus on power relations. It argues that Chinese development finance has not only decreased the ability of Western development finance institutions to influence policy agendas and preferences in the developing world, but also eroded the latter’s power to shape the governance, norms, and modalities of development cooperation.
摘要人们普遍认为,近几十年来,权力向新兴经济体转移。然而,权力转移的规模及其对全球经济秩序的影响仍存在很大争议。对一些人来说,权力的扩散一直在改变全球北方和全球南方之间以及全球南方内部的权力关系。对其他国家来说,新兴经济体并没有对全球北方在全球政治经济中的主导地位构成重大挑战,因为后者在技术、金融和体制能力方面继续拥有结构性权力优势。本文通过分析发展合作领域中不断变化的权力关系,为这场辩论做出了贡献。正如最近的工作所表明的那样,中国的发展性金融结合了大规模、全球性和独特的模式,重塑了全球发展性金融的格局。本文以权力关系为重点,对这种转变进行了解释。它认为,中国的发展性金融不仅降低了西方发展性金融机构影响发展中国家政策议程和偏好的能力,而且侵蚀了后者塑造发展合作治理、规范和模式的力量。
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引用次数: 1
US-China COVID-19 vaccine diplomacy competition in Vietnam: where vaccines go, influence may follow 中美在越南的新冠肺炎疫苗外交竞争:疫苗到哪里,影响就到哪里
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2077302
N. Tung
ABSTRACT This paper investigates the COVID-19 vaccine diplomacy of the United States and China in Vietnam and conceptualises Hanoi’s practical responses. The deployment of vaccine diplomacy is closely associated with US-China strategic rivalry and is thus labelled as proxy competition in this paper. This paper found that both Washington and Beijing leveraged vaccine diplomacy to achieve general strategic objectives and specific foreign policy objectives in relations with Vietnam. For the USA, vaccine donation consolidated Hanoi’s strategic trust in Washington during tough times. Meanwhile, despite widespread mistrust and suspicion regarding the quality and efficacy of Chinese-made vaccines amongst Vietnamese people, China’s vaccine donation to Vietnam could still prevent Hanoi from further spiraling into the US-led anti-China coalition. Nevertheless, Vietnam has constantly been at a crossroads, for it not only strives to respond reasonably to the USA and China at the international level but also has to accommodate the Vietnamese public’s policy preferences at the domestic level.
摘要本文调查了美国和中国在越南的新冠肺炎疫苗外交,并提出了河内的实际对策。疫苗外交的部署与美中战略竞争密切相关,因此本文将其称为代理竞争。本文发现,华盛顿和北京都利用疫苗外交来实现与越南关系的总体战略目标和具体外交政策目标。对美国来说,疫苗捐赠巩固了河内在困难时期对华盛顿的战略信任。与此同时,尽管越南人民对中国制造的疫苗的质量和疗效普遍不信任和怀疑,但中国向越南捐赠疫苗仍可能阻止河内进一步升级为美国领导的反华联盟。然而,越南一直处于十字路口,因为它不仅努力在国际层面上合理回应美国和中国,而且还必须在国内层面上照顾越南公众的政策偏好。
{"title":"US-China COVID-19 vaccine diplomacy competition in Vietnam: where vaccines go, influence may follow","authors":"N. Tung","doi":"10.1080/10357718.2022.2077302","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10357718.2022.2077302","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper investigates the COVID-19 vaccine diplomacy of the United States and China in Vietnam and conceptualises Hanoi’s practical responses. The deployment of vaccine diplomacy is closely associated with US-China strategic rivalry and is thus labelled as proxy competition in this paper. This paper found that both Washington and Beijing leveraged vaccine diplomacy to achieve general strategic objectives and specific foreign policy objectives in relations with Vietnam. For the USA, vaccine donation consolidated Hanoi’s strategic trust in Washington during tough times. Meanwhile, despite widespread mistrust and suspicion regarding the quality and efficacy of Chinese-made vaccines amongst Vietnamese people, China’s vaccine donation to Vietnam could still prevent Hanoi from further spiraling into the US-led anti-China coalition. Nevertheless, Vietnam has constantly been at a crossroads, for it not only strives to respond reasonably to the USA and China at the international level but also has to accommodate the Vietnamese public’s policy preferences at the domestic level.","PeriodicalId":51708,"journal":{"name":"Australian Journal of International Affairs","volume":"76 1","pages":"653 - 671"},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2022-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46494510","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
The Turkey-China rapprochement in the context of the BRI: a geoeconomic perspective “一带一路”倡议背景下的土中和解:地缘经济视角
IF 1.5 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-05-18 DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2022.2076805
Murat Güneylioğlu
ABSTRACT This article examines how the rise of geoeconomics vis-à-vis geopolitics has influenced the Turkish-Chinese rapprochement. It focuses on the impacts of the rise of geoeconomics on the long-term military alliances established in the Cold War and the strategic autonomy of smaller states that were once primarily dependent on their great power allies for their economic and regime security. Besides, it deals with the case-specific factors pushing Turkey towards China such as the rising authoritarian tendencies in Turkey and Ankara's disagreements on regional security issues with its traditional Western allies. Those factors have had negative repercussions on Turkey's economy, while the government has been facing a strong domestic imperative to continue infrastructure and construction projects which had contributed to the rapid economic growth in the 2000s. This situation has facilitated China's geoeconomic power projections seeking to create asymmetrical interdependence with Turkey and to influence Ankara's significant political and economic decisions. This article also underlines the limits of Turkish-Chinese rapprochement like Turkey's long-standing interdependence with the West and the relatively small role played by China in the Turkish economy. It concludes that Sino-Turkish ‘geoeconomic rapprochement' would neither ensure Turkey’s economic recovery nor increase its strategic autonomy unless Turkish-Western relations are ameliorated.
本文探讨地缘经济与-à-vis地缘政治的崛起如何影响土耳其与中国的友好关系。它主要关注地缘经济的兴起对冷战时期建立的长期军事联盟的影响,以及曾经主要依赖大国盟友保障经济和政权安全的小国的战略自主权。此外,本文还探讨了推动土耳其走向中国的具体因素,如土耳其日益上升的威权主义倾向,以及安卡拉与其传统西方盟友在地区安全问题上的分歧。这些因素对土耳其经济产生了负面影响,而政府一直面临着继续进行基础设施和建筑项目的强烈国内需求,这些项目在21世纪头十年促进了经济的快速增长。这种情况促进了中国的地缘经济力量预测,寻求与土耳其建立不对称的相互依存关系,并影响安卡拉的重大政治和经济决策。这篇文章还强调了土耳其与中国和解的局限性,比如土耳其与西方的长期相互依赖,以及中国在土耳其经济中扮演的相对较小的角色。它的结论是,除非土耳其与西方的关系得到改善,否则中土“地缘经济和解”既不能确保土耳其的经济复苏,也不能增加其战略自主权。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Australian Journal of International Affairs
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